SIGN

Sign · Ethereum · beta_5y

token id: #520
symbol: SIGN
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x868fced65edbf0056c4163515dd840e9f287a4c3
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-21
predictions: 528

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

175

of 176 predictions shown

direction hit

57.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0209

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0042

actual -0.0024

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.011185	0.011145	-0.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-21	oos	0.010474	0.010443	-0.30%	0.011185	+0.09%	0.0016	✓	0.97
2026-10-20	oos	0.010772	0.010735	-0.35%	0.010474	-2.77%	0.0218	✓	0.96
2026-10-19	oos	0.011014	0.010982	-0.29%	0.010772	-2.20%	0.0324	✓	0.97
2026-10-18	oos	0.011069	0.011039	-0.27%	0.011014	-0.49%	0.0003	✓	0.97
2026-10-17	oos	0.011685	0.011648	-0.31%	0.011069	-5.28%	0.0586	✓	0.98
2026-10-16	oos	0.011774	0.011735	-0.33%	0.011685	-0.76%	0.0029	✓	0.98
2026-10-15	oos	0.012009	0.01196	-0.41%	0.011774	-1.95%	0.0083	✓	0.96
2026-10-14	oos	0.011812	0.011774	-0.32%	0.012009	+1.66%	0.0131	✗	0.96
2026-10-13	oos	0.0128	0.012738	-0.48%	0.011812	-7.72%	0.0580	✓	0.93
2026-10-12	oos	0.012991	0.012917	-0.57%	0.0128	-1.47%	0.0247	✓	0.95
2026-10-11	oos	0.012905	0.012845	-0.47%	0.012991	+0.67%	0.0332	✗	0.94
2026-10-10	oos	0.012919	0.012855	-0.49%	0.012905	-0.11%	0.0047	✓	0.93
2026-10-09	oos	0.012907	0.01283	-0.60%	0.012919	+0.09%	0.0028	✓	0.93
2026-10-08	oos	0.012345	0.012287	-0.47%	0.012907	+4.55%	0.0397	✗	0.92
2026-10-07	oos	0.01225	0.012182	-0.56%	0.012345	+0.78%	0.0312	✗	0.93
2026-10-06	oos	0.012594	0.012536	-0.46%	0.01225	-2.73%	0.0019	✓	0.93
2026-10-05	oos	0.012734	0.01267	-0.50%	0.012594	-1.10%	0.0038	✓	0.92
2026-10-04	oos	0.012807	0.012745	-0.48%	0.012734	-0.56%	0.0073	✗	0.92
2026-10-03	oos	0.012649	0.012588	-0.48%	0.012807	+1.25%	0.0018	✓	0.92
2026-10-02	oos	0.012734	0.012663	-0.56%	0.012649	-0.67%	0.0038	✓	0.92
2026-10-01	oos	0.01223	0.012176	-0.44%	0.012734	+4.12%	0.0486	✗	0.93
2026-09-30	oos	0.012499	0.012436	-0.50%	0.01223	-2.15%	0.0311	✓	0.94
2026-09-29	oos	0.012441	0.012374	-0.54%	0.012499	+0.47%	0.0110	✗	0.94
2026-09-28	oos	0.012654	0.012571	-0.66%	0.012441	-1.68%	0.0124	✓	0.94
2026-09-27	oos	0.013821	0.013699	-0.89%	0.012654	-8.44%	0.0681	✓	0.93
2026-09-26	oos	0.013853	0.013729	-0.90%	0.013821	-0.23%	0.0062	✓	0.94
2026-09-25	oos	0.013473	0.013356	-0.87%	0.013853	+2.82%	0.0329	✗	0.94
2026-09-24	oos	0.012913	0.012814	-0.77%	0.013473	+4.34%	0.0534	✗	0.95
2026-09-23	oos	0.012528	0.012428	-0.80%	0.012913	+3.07%	0.0382	✗	0.96
2026-09-22	oos	0.012568	0.012463	-0.84%	0.012528	-0.32%	0.0257	✗	0.96
2026-09-21	oos	0.012193	0.012099	-0.77%	0.012568	+3.08%	0.0426	✗	0.98
2026-09-20	oos	0.011562	0.011487	-0.65%	0.012193	+5.47%	0.0067	✓	1.03
2026-09-19	oos	0.011772	0.01169	-0.70%	0.011562	-1.79%	0.0101	✓	1.03
2026-09-18	oos	0.011794	0.011706	-0.75%	0.011772	-0.19%	0.0010	✓	1.04
2026-09-17	oos	0.010752	0.010705	-0.44%	0.011794	+9.70%	0.0400	✗	0.99
2026-09-16	oos	0.010675	0.010627	-0.45%	0.010752	+0.72%	0.0090	✗	0.99
2026-09-15	oos	0.010572	0.010516	-0.53%	0.010675	+0.98%	0.0078	✗	0.98
2026-09-14	oos	0.010665	0.010611	-0.50%	0.010572	-0.87%	0.0285	✗	0.96
2026-09-13	oos	0.009751	0.009736	-0.16%	0.010665	+9.37%	0.0749	✗	0.92
2026-09-12	oos	0.010795	0.010757	-0.35%	0.009751	-9.66%	0.0927	✓	0.89
2026-09-11	oos	0.010615	0.010591	-0.23%	0.010795	+1.69%	0.0184	✗	0.91
2026-09-10	oos	0.01031	0.010299	-0.11%	0.010615	+2.96%	0.0224	✗	0.90
2026-09-09	oos	0.010932	0.010911	-0.19%	0.01031	-5.69%	0.0371	✓	0.87
2026-09-08	oos	0.011235	0.011202	-0.30%	0.010932	-2.69%	0.0225	✓	0.87
2026-09-07	oos	0.010951	0.010933	-0.17%	0.011235	+2.59%	0.0345	✗	0.88
2026-09-06	oos	0.010757	0.010743	-0.13%	0.010951	+1.80%	0.0337	✗	0.93
2026-09-05	oos	0.010377	0.010361	-0.15%	0.010757	+3.66%	0.0317	✗	0.92
2026-09-04	oos	0.009716	0.009721	+0.05%	0.010377	+6.80%	0.0636	✓	0.89
2026-09-03	oos	0.009525	0.009534	+0.09%	0.009716	+2.01%	0.0372	✓	0.92
2026-09-02	oos	0.008784	0.008782	-0.02%	0.009525	+8.44%	0.0347	✗	0.93
2026-09-01	oos	0.008936	0.008925	-0.12%	0.008784	-1.70%	0.0148	✓	0.95
2026-08-31	oos	0.008794	0.008783	-0.13%	0.008936	+1.61%	0.0305	✗	0.89
2026-08-30	oos	0.008705	0.008684	-0.25%	0.008794	+1.02%	0.0024	✓	0.89
2026-08-29	oos	0.008386	0.008369	-0.21%	0.008705	+3.80%	0.0462	✗	0.93
2026-08-28	oos	0.008235	0.008209	-0.31%	0.008386	+1.83%	0.0166	✗	0.93
2026-08-27	oos	0.008145	0.008124	-0.25%	0.008235	+1.10%	0.0432	✗	0.96
2026-08-26	oos	0.008134	0.008092	-0.52%	0.008145	+0.14%	0.0086	✓	0.97
2026-08-25	oos	0.007845	0.007814	-0.40%	0.008134	+3.68%	0.0340	✗	0.97
2026-08-24	oos	0.0078	0.007764	-0.46%	0.007845	+0.58%	0.0160	✗	0.97
2026-08-23	oos	0.007819	0.007782	-0.47%	0.0078	-0.24%	0.0135	✓	0.99
2026-08-22	oos	0.007708	0.007658	-0.65%	0.007819	+1.44%	0.0123	✗	0.98
2026-08-21	oos	0.007736	0.007685	-0.65%	0.007708	-0.36%	0.0191	✗	0.99
2026-08-20	oos	0.007216	0.007168	-0.67%	0.007736	+7.20%	0.0071	✗	0.98
2026-08-19	oos	0.007008	0.006936	-1.02%	0.007216	+2.98%	0.0141	✓	1.03
2026-08-18	oos	0.00654	0.006512	-0.42%	0.007008	+7.16%	0.0029	✓	1.02
2026-08-17	oos	0.006674	0.006642	-0.48%	0.00654	-2.02%	0.0188	✓	1.03
2026-08-16	oos	0.006659	0.006624	-0.54%	0.006674	+0.23%	0.0194	✓	1.05
2026-08-15	oos	0.006515	0.006485	-0.47%	0.006659	+2.21%	0.0296	✗	1.05
2026-08-14	oos	0.006387	0.006357	-0.48%	0.006515	+2.00%	0.0239	✗	1.05
2026-08-13	oos	0.006477	0.006452	-0.40%	0.006387	-1.39%	0.0024	✓	1.07
2026-08-12	oos	0.006531	0.006504	-0.42%	0.006477	-0.82%	0.0043	✓	1.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.006685	0.006651	-0.51%	0.006531	-2.30%	0.0161	✓	1.11
2026-08-10	oos	0.00678	0.006749	-0.46%	0.006685	-1.40%	0.0028	✓	1.12
2026-08-09	oos	0.00686	0.006816	-0.64%	0.00678	-1.17%	0.0110	✗	1.12
2026-08-08	oos	0.00682	0.006778	-0.62%	0.00686	+0.59%	0.0131	✗	1.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.006835	0.006794	-0.60%	0.00682	-0.22%	0.0036	✓	1.12
2026-08-06	oos	0.006515	0.006492	-0.35%	0.006835	+4.91%	0.0408	✗	1.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.006635	0.006603	-0.48%	0.006515	-1.81%	0.0077	✓	1.10
2026-08-04	oos	0.00663	0.006616	-0.22%	0.006635	+0.08%	0.0065	✓	1.10
2026-08-03	oos	0.00678	0.006764	-0.23%	0.00663	-2.21%	0.0302	✓	1.11
2026-08-02	oos	0.00679	0.006775	-0.21%	0.00678	-0.15%	0.0012	✓	1.11
2026-08-01	oos	0.00675	0.006737	-0.20%	0.00679	+0.59%	0.0052	✓	1.12
2026-07-31	oos	0.00686	0.006846	-0.21%	0.00675	-1.60%	0.0130	✓	1.12
2026-07-30	oos	0.007055	0.007039	-0.22%	0.00686	-2.76%	0.0078	✗	1.13
2026-07-29	oos	0.00702	0.007003	-0.24%	0.007055	+0.50%	0.0068	✓	1.11
2026-07-28	oos	0.007615	0.007589	-0.34%	0.00702	-7.81%	0.0788	✓	1.11
2026-07-27	oos	0.00772	0.007689	-0.40%	0.007615	-1.36%	0.0124	✓	1.11
2026-07-26	oos	0.00839	0.008353	-0.44%	0.00772	-7.99%	0.0515	✓	1.07
2026-07-25	oos	0.0083	0.008264	-0.44%	0.00839	+1.08%	0.0026	✓	1.10
2026-07-24	oos	0.00824	0.008206	-0.41%	0.0083	+0.73%	0.0077	✗	1.10
2026-07-23	oos	0.008445	0.008411	-0.40%	0.00824	-2.43%	0.0041	✓	1.10
2026-07-22	oos	0.00858	0.008548	-0.38%	0.008445	-1.57%	0.0052	✗	1.09
2026-07-21	oos	0.00864	0.008607	-0.38%	0.00858	-0.69%	0.0039	✗	1.09
2026-07-20	oos	0.008565	0.008529	-0.43%	0.00864	+0.88%	0.0082	✓	1.07
2026-07-19	oos	0.008405	0.008374	-0.36%	0.008565	+1.90%	0.0138	✗	1.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.008395	0.008367	-0.34%	0.008405	+0.12%	0.0065	✗	1.07
2026-07-17	oos	0.00853	0.008495	-0.41%	0.008395	-1.58%	0.0270	✓	1.08
2026-07-16	oos	0.008395	0.008368	-0.32%	0.00853	+1.61%	0.0171	✗	1.08
2026-07-15	oos	0.00866	0.008631	-0.34%	0.008395	-3.06%	0.0119	✓	1.07
2026-07-14	oos	0.00869	0.008659	-0.36%	0.00866	-0.35%	0.0046	✗	1.07
2026-07-13	oos	0.008555	0.008524	-0.36%	0.00869	+1.58%	0.0284	✓	1.11
2026-07-12	oos	0.008585	0.008556	-0.34%	0.008555	-0.35%	0.0265	✗	1.14
2026-07-11	oos	0.008775	0.008738	-0.42%	0.008585	-2.17%	0.0171	✓	1.14
2026-07-10	oos	0.00876	0.008727	-0.37%	0.008775	+0.17%	0.0118	✗	1.14
2026-07-09	oos	0.00867	0.008639	-0.36%	0.00876	+1.04%	0.0031	✓	1.14
2026-07-08	oos	0.008595	0.008559	-0.41%	0.00867	+0.87%	0.0042	✓	1.14
2026-07-07	oos	0.00869	0.008637	-0.61%	0.008595	-1.09%	0.0150	✗	1.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.00864	0.008608	-0.37%	0.00869	+0.58%	0.0218	✗	1.16
2026-07-05	oos	0.00864	0.008612	-0.33%	0.00864	+0.00%	0.0043	✓	1.16
2026-07-04	oos	0.0087	0.00867	-0.35%	0.00864	-0.69%	0.0125	✓	1.16
2026-07-03	oos	0.00871	0.008678	-0.37%	0.0087	-0.11%	0.0079	✓	1.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.008665	0.008622	-0.49%	0.00871	+0.52%	0.0094	✓	1.17
2026-07-01	oos	0.00844	0.008401	-0.46%	0.008665	+2.67%	0.0017	✓	1.17
2026-06-30	oos	0.00814	0.008112	-0.34%	0.00844	+3.69%	0.0118	✗	1.15
2026-06-29	oos	0.00857	0.008525	-0.53%	0.00814	-5.02%	0.0149	✓	1.13
2026-06-28	oos	0.0083	0.008261	-0.47%	0.00857	+3.25%	0.0239	✗	1.12
2026-06-27	oos	0.008405	0.008377	-0.33%	0.0083	-1.25%	0.0006	✓	1.12
2026-06-26	oos	0.00864	0.008605	-0.41%	0.008405	-2.72%	0.0222	✓	1.12
2026-06-25	oos	0.00832	0.008293	-0.33%	0.00864	+3.85%	0.0355	✗	1.10
2026-06-24	oos	0.008405	0.008381	-0.29%	0.00832	-1.01%	0.0165	✗	1.12
2026-06-23	oos	0.008755	0.008726	-0.33%	0.008405	-4.00%	0.0075	✓	1.12
2026-06-22	oos	0.0093	0.009248	-0.56%	0.008755	-5.86%	0.0322	✓	1.09
2026-06-21	oos	0.009075	0.009039	-0.39%	0.0093	+2.48%	0.0163	✗	1.08
2026-06-20	oos	0.0095	0.009456	-0.47%	0.009075	-4.47%	0.0245	✓	1.07
2026-06-19	oos	0.00932	0.009276	-0.47%	0.0095	+1.93%	0.0114	✗	1.06
2026-06-18	oos	0.00928	0.009233	-0.51%	0.00932	+0.43%	0.0006	✓	1.06
2026-06-17	oos	0.00949	0.009437	-0.56%	0.00928	-2.21%	0.0096	✗	1.07
2026-06-16	oos	0.008815	0.008795	-0.23%	0.00949	+7.66%	0.0967	✗	1.15
2026-06-15	oos	0.008885	0.008864	-0.24%	0.008815	-0.79%	0.0060	✗	1.15
2026-06-14	oos	0.009	0.008972	-0.31%	0.008885	-1.28%	0.0198	✓	1.16
2026-06-13	oos	0.008615	0.00859	-0.29%	0.009	+4.47%	0.0246	✗	1.12
2026-06-12	oos	0.00858	0.008561	-0.22%	0.008615	+0.41%	0.0094	✓	1.12
2026-06-11	oos	0.00857	0.008551	-0.22%	0.00858	+0.12%	0.0038	✗	1.12
2026-06-10	oos	0.0083	0.008287	-0.15%	0.00857	+3.25%	0.0041	✓	1.11
2026-06-09	oos	0.008605	0.008588	-0.19%	0.0083	-3.54%	0.0298	✓	1.11
2026-06-08	oos	0.00913	0.009101	-0.31%	0.008605	-5.75%	0.0321	✓	1.09
2026-06-07	oos	0.00876	0.008745	-0.17%	0.00913	+4.22%	0.0472	✗	1.09
2026-06-06	oos	0.00866	0.00865	-0.11%	0.00876	+1.15%	0.0327	✓	1.15
2026-06-05	oos	0.00885	0.008841	-0.10%	0.00866	-2.15%	0.0173	✓	1.15
2026-06-04	oos	0.00966	0.009639	-0.21%	0.00885	-8.39%	0.0380	✓	1.07
2026-06-03	oos	0.01054	0.010507	-0.32%	0.00966	-8.35%	0.0801	✓	1.07
2026-06-02	oos	0.01031	0.01028	-0.29%	0.01054	+2.23%	0.0766	✗	1.29
2026-06-01	oos	0.01101	0.010968	-0.38%	0.01031	-6.36%	0.0419	✗	1.54
2026-05-31	oos	0.0119	0.011788	-0.94%	0.01101	-7.48%	0.0230	✓	1.45
2026-05-30	oos	0.011635	0.011593	-0.37%	0.0119	+2.28%	0.0301	✗	1.46
2026-05-29	oos	0.011735	0.011686	-0.42%	0.011635	-0.85%	0.0124	✓	1.47
2026-05-28	oos	0.01153	0.011493	-0.32%	0.011735	+1.78%	0.0237	✗	1.47
2026-05-27	oos	0.01209	0.01204	-0.41%	0.01153	-4.63%	0.0276	✓	1.44
2026-05-26	oos	0.01232	0.01227	-0.41%	0.01209	-1.87%	0.0154	✗	1.50
2026-05-25	oos	0.01291	0.012842	-0.53%	0.01232	-4.57%	0.0141	✓	1.48
2026-05-24	oos	0.01273	0.012676	-0.43%	0.01291	+1.41%	0.0131	✗	1.47
2026-05-23	oos	0.013085	0.013025	-0.46%	0.01273	-2.71%	0.0292	✓	1.48
2026-05-22	oos	0.01276	0.012705	-0.43%	0.013085	+2.55%	0.0065	✗	1.45
2026-05-21	oos	0.01351	0.013423	-0.65%	0.01276	-5.55%	0.0118	✓	1.41
2026-05-20	oos	0.012955	0.012901	-0.42%	0.01351	+4.28%	0.0452	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.01279	0.012747	-0.33%	0.012955	+1.29%	0.0070	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.012985	0.012942	-0.33%	0.01279	-1.50%	0.0095	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.013405	0.013361	-0.33%	0.012985	-3.13%	0.0225	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.0138	0.013744	-0.41%	0.013405	-2.86%	0.0160	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.01476	0.014699	-0.41%	0.0138	-6.50%	0.0510	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.01595	0.015858	-0.58%	0.01476	-7.46%	0.0465	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.01559	0.015508	-0.53%	0.01595	+2.31%	0.0058	✗	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.01654	0.016432	-0.65%	0.01559	-5.74%	0.0376	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.016455	0.016361	-0.57%	0.01654	+0.52%	0.0262	✗	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.016415	0.016324	-0.55%	0.016455	+0.24%	0.0138	✗	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.01612	0.01603	-0.56%	0.016415	+1.83%	0.0048	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.01606	0.015969	-0.56%	0.01612	+0.37%	0.0036	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.01576	0.015681	-0.50%	0.01606	+1.90%	0.0216	✗	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	0.01607	0.015983	-0.54%	0.01576	-1.93%	0.0037	✓	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	0.01597	0.015888	-0.52%	0.01607	+0.63%	0.0049	✓	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	0.01593	0.015843	-0.55%	0.01597	+0.25%	0.0051	✓	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.01549	0.015417	-0.47%	0.01593	+2.84%	0.0164	✗	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.01572	0.015647	-0.47%	0.01549	-1.46%	0.0085	✓	1.00
2026-05-01	oos	0.01564	0.015574	-0.42%	0.01572	+0.51%	0.0036	✓	1.00
2026-04-30	oos	0.01568	0.015612	-0.43%	0.01564	-0.26%	0.0232	✓	1.00