SIGN

Sign · Ethereum · beta_5y

token id: #520
symbol: SIGN
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x868fced65edbf0056c4163515dd840e9f287a4c3
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-21
predictions: 528

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

146

of 176 predictions shown

direction hit

75.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1735

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0222

actual -0.0395

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.011185	0.010775	-3.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-21	oos	0.011175	0.010816	-3.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-10-20	oos	0.010772	0.010398	-3.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-19	oos	0.011014	0.010535	-4.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-10-18	oos	0.011069	0.010622	-4.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-10-17	oos	0.011685	0.011151	-4.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-16	oos	0.011774	0.011229	-4.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-15	oos	0.012009	0.011414	-4.95%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-14	oos	0.011812	0.011162	-5.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-13	oos	0.0128	0.012063	-5.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-12	oos	0.012991	0.012153	-6.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-11	oos	0.012905	0.012127	-6.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-10-10	oos	0.012919	0.012104	-6.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-09	oos	0.012907	0.012108	-6.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-08	oos	0.012345	0.011573	-6.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-07	oos	0.01225	0.011584	-5.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-06	oos	0.012594	0.011936	-5.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-05	oos	0.012734	0.012067	-5.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-04	oos	0.012807	0.01214	-5.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-03	oos	0.012649	0.011974	-5.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-02	oos	0.012734	0.01203	-5.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-01	oos	0.01223	0.011521	-5.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-09-30	oos	0.012499	0.011718	-6.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-09-29	oos	0.012441	0.011688	-6.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-09-28	oos	0.012654	0.011883	-6.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-09-27	oos	0.013821	0.012914	-6.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-09-26	oos	0.013853	0.012947	-6.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-09-25	oos	0.013473	0.012673	-5.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-09-24	oos	0.012913	0.01229	-4.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-09-23	oos	0.012528	0.011992	-4.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-09-22	oos	0.012568	0.012061	-4.04%	0.011185	-11.01%	0.0531	✓	0.96
2026-09-21	oos	0.012193	0.011738	-3.73%	0.011175	-8.35%	0.0196	✓	0.98
2026-09-20	oos	0.011562	0.011077	-4.19%	0.010772	-6.83%	0.0501	✓	1.03
2026-09-19	oos	0.011772	0.011274	-4.24%	0.011014	-6.44%	0.0309	✓	1.03
2026-09-18	oos	0.011794	0.011312	-4.09%	0.011069	-6.16%	0.0362	✓	1.04
2026-09-17	oos	0.010752	0.010231	-4.84%	0.011685	+8.68%	0.0698	✗	0.99
2026-09-16	oos	0.010675	0.010208	-4.37%	0.011774	+10.29%	0.0756	✗	0.99
2026-09-15	oos	0.010572	0.010091	-4.55%	0.012009	+13.59%	0.0923	✗	0.98
2026-09-14	oos	0.010665	0.010326	-3.18%	0.011812	+10.75%	0.0939	✗	0.96
2026-09-13	oos	0.009751	0.009445	-3.14%	0.0128	+31.26%	0.2314	✗	0.92
2026-09-12	oos	0.010795	0.01041	-3.56%	0.012991	+20.35%	0.1712	✗	0.89
2026-09-11	oos	0.010615	0.010363	-2.38%	0.012905	+21.57%	0.1465	✗	0.91
2026-09-10	oos	0.01031	0.010139	-1.66%	0.012919	+25.31%	0.1705	✗	0.90
2026-09-09	oos	0.010932	0.010826	-0.97%	0.012907	+18.06%	0.1298	✗	0.87
2026-09-08	oos	0.011235	0.011139	-0.86%	0.012345	+9.88%	0.0677	✗	0.87
2026-09-07	oos	0.010951	0.010937	-0.13%	0.01225	+11.86%	0.0678	✗	0.88
2026-09-06	oos	0.010757	0.010958	+1.87%	0.012594	+17.08%	0.0808	✓	0.93
2026-09-05	oos	0.010377	0.010639	+2.53%	0.012734	+22.72%	0.1141	✓	0.92
2026-09-04	oos	0.009716	0.010116	+4.12%	0.012807	+31.81%	0.1622	✓	0.89
2026-09-03	oos	0.009525	0.010081	+5.84%	0.012649	+32.79%	0.1882	✓	0.92
2026-09-02	oos	0.008784	0.009074	+3.31%	0.012734	+44.97%	0.2558	✓	0.93
2026-09-01	oos	0.008936	0.00923	+3.29%	0.01223	+36.86%	0.1946	✓	0.95
2026-08-31	oos	0.008794	0.009245	+5.13%	0.012499	+42.13%	0.2469	✓	0.89
2026-08-30	oos	0.008705	0.009132	+4.90%	0.012441	+42.92%	0.2433	✓	0.89
2026-08-29	oos	0.008386	0.00891	+6.24%	0.012654	+50.89%	0.2904	✓	0.93
2026-08-28	oos	0.008235	0.008763	+6.41%	0.013821	+67.83%	0.3797	✓	0.93
2026-08-27	oos	0.008145	0.008879	+9.01%	0.013853	+70.08%	0.3963	✓	0.96
2026-08-26	oos	0.008134	0.008829	+8.55%	0.013473	+65.65%	0.3626	✓	0.97
2026-08-25	oos	0.007845	0.008442	+7.60%	0.012913	+64.60%	0.3553	✓	0.97
2026-08-24	oos	0.0078	0.008421	+7.96%	0.012528	+60.62%	0.3332	✓	0.97
2026-08-23	oos	0.007819	0.008304	+6.20%	0.012568	+60.74%	0.3126	✓	0.99
2026-08-22	oos	0.007708	0.008221	+6.66%	0.012193	+58.19%	0.2793	✓	0.98
2026-08-21	oos	0.007736	0.008313	+7.45%	0.011562	+49.45%	0.2947	✓	0.99
2026-08-20	oos	0.007216	0.007429	+2.95%	0.011772	+63.13%	0.3553	✓	0.98
2026-08-19	oos	0.007008	0.006998	-0.14%	0.011794	+68.30%	0.3632	✗	1.03
2026-08-18	oos	0.00654	0.00622	-4.88%	0.010752	+64.42%	0.3777	✗	1.02
2026-08-17	oos	0.006674	0.006351	-4.85%	0.010675	+59.94%	0.3482	✗	1.03
2026-08-16	oos	0.006659	0.006265	-5.92%	0.010572	+58.75%	0.3296	✗	1.05
2026-08-15	oos	0.006515	0.006129	-5.93%	0.010665	+63.69%	0.3273	✗	1.05
2026-08-14	oos	0.006387	0.006039	-5.45%	0.009751	+52.67%	0.2703	✗	1.05
2026-08-13	oos	0.006477	0.006168	-4.77%	0.010795	+66.65%	0.3486	✗	1.07
2026-08-12	oos	0.006531	0.006248	-4.33%	0.010615	+62.54%	0.3127	✗	1.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.006685	0.006422	-3.94%	0.01031	+54.23%	0.2670	✗	1.11
2026-08-10	oos	0.00678	0.006556	-3.30%	0.010932	+61.25%	0.2834	✗	1.12
2026-08-09	oos	0.00686	0.006718	-2.07%	0.011235	+63.78%	0.3019	✗	1.12
2026-08-08	oos	0.00682	0.006697	-1.81%	0.010951	+60.57%	0.2718	✗	1.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.006835	0.006701	-1.96%	0.010757	+57.38%	0.2351	✗	1.12
2026-08-06	oos	0.006515	0.006356	-2.44%	0.010377	+59.28%	0.2519	✗	1.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.006635	0.006498	-2.07%	0.009716	+46.44%	0.1713	✗	1.10
2026-08-04	oos	0.00663	0.00647	-2.42%	0.009525	+43.67%	0.1252	✗	1.10
2026-08-03	oos	0.00678	0.006647	-1.96%	0.008784	+29.56%	0.0596	✗	1.11
2026-08-02	oos	0.00679	0.006645	-2.13%	0.008936	+31.61%	0.0769	✗	1.11
2026-08-01	oos	0.00675	0.006613	-2.03%	0.008794	+30.28%	0.0339	✗	1.12
2026-07-31	oos	0.00686	0.006688	-2.51%	0.008705	+26.90%	0.0265	✗	1.12
2026-07-30	oos	0.007055	0.006895	-2.27%	0.008386	+18.87%	0.0186	✓	1.13
2026-07-29	oos	0.00702	0.006792	-3.24%	0.008235	+17.31%	0.0266	✓	1.11
2026-07-28	oos	0.007615	0.007308	-4.03%	0.008145	+6.96%	0.1467	✓	1.11
2026-07-27	oos	0.00772	0.007375	-4.46%	0.008134	+5.36%	0.1425	✓	1.11
2026-07-26	oos	0.00839	0.008007	-4.56%	0.007845	-6.50%	0.2171	✓	1.07
2026-07-25	oos	0.0083	0.00789	-4.94%	0.0078	-6.02%	0.2384	✓	1.10
2026-07-24	oos	0.00824	0.007855	-4.68%	0.007819	-5.11%	0.2164	✓	1.10
2026-07-23	oos	0.008445	0.008084	-4.28%	0.007708	-8.73%	0.2330	✓	1.10
2026-07-22	oos	0.00858	0.008293	-3.35%	0.007736	-9.84%	0.2550	✓	1.09
2026-07-21	oos	0.00864	0.008404	-2.74%	0.007216	-16.48%	0.2540	✓	1.09
2026-07-20	oos	0.008565	0.008336	-2.67%	0.007008	-18.18%	0.2387	✓	1.07
2026-07-19	oos	0.008405	0.00818	-2.67%	0.00654	-22.20%	0.2239	✓	1.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.008395	0.008237	-1.88%	0.006674	-20.49%	0.2051	✓	1.07
2026-07-17	oos	0.00853	0.0084	-1.52%	0.006659	-21.93%	0.2142	✓	1.08
2026-07-16	oos	0.008395	0.008263	-1.57%	0.006515	-22.39%	0.2249	✓	1.08
2026-07-15	oos	0.00866	0.00855	-1.27%	0.006387	-26.24%	0.2623	✓	1.07
2026-07-14	oos	0.00869	0.008611	-0.91%	0.006477	-25.46%	0.2586	✓	1.07
2026-07-13	oos	0.008555	0.008419	-1.59%	0.006531	-23.66%	0.2742	✓	1.11
2026-07-12	oos	0.008585	0.008486	-1.16%	0.006685	-22.13%	0.2348	✓	1.14
2026-07-11	oos	0.008775	0.008666	-1.24%	0.00678	-22.74%	0.2479	✓	1.14
2026-07-10	oos	0.00876	0.008636	-1.41%	0.00686	-21.69%	0.2430	✓	1.14
2026-07-09	oos	0.00867	0.008547	-1.42%	0.00682	-21.34%	0.2565	✓	1.14
2026-07-08	oos	0.008595	0.008481	-1.32%	0.006835	-20.48%	0.2634	✓	1.14
2026-07-07	oos	0.00869	0.008613	-0.88%	0.006515	-25.03%	0.2962	✓	1.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.00864	0.008545	-1.10%	0.006635	-23.21%	0.2638	✓	1.16
2026-07-05	oos	0.00864	0.008533	-1.24%	0.00663	-23.26%	0.2608	✓	1.16
2026-07-04	oos	0.0087	0.008616	-0.97%	0.00678	-22.07%	0.2466	✓	1.16
2026-07-03	oos	0.00871	0.00864	-0.80%	0.00679	-22.04%	0.2591	✓	1.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.008665	0.008606	-0.68%	0.00675	-22.10%	0.2670	✓	1.17
2026-07-01	oos	0.00844	0.008357	-0.98%	0.00686	-18.72%	0.2518	✓	1.17
2026-06-30	oos	0.00814	0.00804	-1.22%	0.007055	-13.33%	0.2463	✓	1.15
2026-06-29	oos	0.00857	0.008475	-1.11%	0.00702	-18.09%	0.2567	✓	1.13
2026-06-28	oos	0.0083	0.008209	-1.10%	0.007615	-8.25%	0.1543	✓	1.12
2026-06-27	oos	0.008405	0.0083	-1.25%	0.00772	-8.15%	0.1405	✓	1.12
2026-06-26	oos	0.00864	0.008544	-1.11%	0.00839	-2.89%	0.1137	✓	1.12
2026-06-25	oos	0.00832	0.00825	-0.84%	0.0083	-0.24%	0.0758	✓	1.10
2026-06-24	oos	0.008405	0.00836	-0.54%	0.00824	-1.96%	0.0700	✓	1.12
2026-06-23	oos	0.008755	0.008706	-0.56%	0.008445	-3.54%	0.0726	✓	1.12
2026-06-22	oos	0.0093	0.009233	-0.72%	0.00858	-7.74%	0.1093	✓	1.09
2026-06-21	oos	0.009075	0.008998	-0.85%	0.00864	-4.79%	0.0952	✓	1.08
2026-06-20	oos	0.0095	0.009388	-1.18%	0.008565	-9.84%	0.1081	✓	1.07
2026-06-19	oos	0.00932	0.009207	-1.22%	0.008405	-9.82%	0.1110	✓	1.06
2026-06-18	oos	0.00928	0.00916	-1.29%	0.008395	-9.54%	0.1189	✓	1.06
2026-06-17	oos	0.00949	0.009352	-1.46%	0.00853	-10.12%	0.0828	✓	1.07
2026-06-16	oos	0.008815	0.008719	-1.09%	0.008395	-4.76%	0.0051	✓	1.15
2026-06-15	oos	0.008885	0.008782	-1.16%	0.00866	-2.53%	0.0135	✗	1.15
2026-06-14	oos	0.009	0.008876	-1.38%	0.00869	-3.44%	0.0084	✓	1.16
2026-06-13	oos	0.008615	0.008498	-1.36%	0.008555	-0.70%	0.0451	✗	1.12
2026-06-12	oos	0.00858	0.008433	-1.72%	0.008585	+0.06%	0.0143	✓	1.12
2026-06-11	oos	0.00857	0.008407	-1.90%	0.008775	+2.39%	0.0391	✗	1.12
2026-06-10	oos	0.0083	0.008145	-1.87%	0.00876	+5.54%	0.0253	✗	1.11
2026-06-09	oos	0.008605	0.008431	-2.02%	0.00867	+0.76%	0.0014	✓	1.11
2026-06-08	oos	0.00913	0.008898	-2.55%	0.008595	-5.86%	0.0203	✓	1.09
2026-06-07	oos	0.00876	0.008522	-2.72%	0.00869	-0.80%	0.0192	✓	1.09
2026-06-06	oos	0.00866	0.008443	-2.51%	0.00864	-0.23%	0.0347	✓	1.15
2026-06-05	oos	0.00885	0.008616	-2.64%	0.00864	-2.37%	0.0442	✓	1.15
2026-06-04	oos	0.00966	0.009328	-3.44%	0.0087	-9.94%	0.0576	✓	1.07
2026-06-03	oos	0.01054	0.0101	-4.17%	0.00871	-17.36%	0.1224	✓	1.07
2026-06-02	oos	0.01031	0.00984	-4.56%	0.008665	-15.96%	0.0231	✓	1.29
2026-06-01	oos	0.01101	0.010374	-5.78%	0.00844	-23.34%	0.0602	✗	1.54
2026-05-31	oos	0.0119	0.011132	-6.45%	0.00814	-31.60%	0.0191	✓	1.45
2026-05-30	oos	0.011635	0.010874	-6.54%	0.00857	-26.34%	0.0595	✓	1.46
2026-05-29	oos	0.011735	0.010961	-6.59%	0.0083	-29.27%	0.0297	✓	1.47
2026-05-28	oos	0.01153	0.010752	-6.75%	0.008405	-27.10%	0.0540	✓	1.47
2026-05-27	oos	0.01209	0.011279	-6.71%	0.00864	-28.54%	0.0416	✓	1.44
2026-05-26	oos	0.01232	0.011491	-6.73%	0.00832	-32.47%	0.0358	✓	1.50
2026-05-25	oos	0.01291	0.012062	-6.57%	0.008405	-34.90%	0.0123	✓	1.48
2026-05-24	oos	0.01273	0.011866	-6.79%	0.008755	-31.23%	0.0021	✓	1.47
2026-05-23	oos	0.013085	0.012176	-6.95%	0.0093	-28.93%	0.0013	✓	1.48
2026-05-22	oos	0.01276	0.011845	-7.17%	0.009075	-28.88%	0.0107	✓	1.45
2026-05-21	oos	0.01351	0.012609	-6.67%	0.0095	-29.68%	0.0167	✓	1.41
2026-05-20	oos	0.012955	0.012073	-6.81%	0.00932	-28.06%	0.0595	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.01279	0.011891	-7.03%	0.00928	-27.44%	0.0483	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.012985	0.012127	-6.61%	0.00949	-26.92%	0.0680	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.013405	0.012547	-6.40%	0.008815	-34.24%	0.1878	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.0138	0.012996	-5.83%	0.008885	-35.62%	0.2160	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.01476	0.01394	-5.56%	0.009	-39.02%	0.2525	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.01595	0.015234	-4.49%	0.008615	-45.99%	0.3402	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.01559	0.014719	-5.59%	0.00858	-44.96%	0.3183	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.01654	0.015675	-5.23%	0.00857	-48.19%	0.3677	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.016455	0.015736	-4.37%	0.0083	-49.56%	0.3545	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.016415	0.015834	-3.54%	0.008605	-47.58%	0.3227	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.01612	0.015449	-4.16%	0.00913	-43.36%	0.2799	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.01606	0.015372	-4.28%	0.00876	-45.45%	0.3259	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.01576	0.015106	-4.15%	0.00866	-45.05%	0.2827	✓	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	0.01607	0.015592	-2.98%	0.00885	-44.93%	0.2779	✓	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	0.01597	0.015445	-3.29%	0.00966	-39.51%	0.2318	✓	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	0.01593	0.01533	-3.77%	0.01054	-33.84%	0.1540	✓	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.01549	0.014804	-4.43%	0.01031	-33.44%	0.1975	✓	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.01572	0.015064	-4.18%	0.01101	-29.96%	0.2152	✓	1.00
2026-05-01	oos	0.01564	0.014989	-4.17%	0.0119	-23.91%	0.1694	✓	1.00
2026-04-30	oos	0.01568	0.014896	-5.00%	0.011635	-25.80%	0.2133	✓	1.00