RE
RE · Ethereum · beta_5y
- token id
- #279
- symbol
- RE
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x526526528f35ac738177003b8773b402b8df8143
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-06-18
- predictions
- 354
Track record at +7d
assessed
111
of 118 predictions shown
direction hit
73.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1107
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0325
actual -0.0623
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.39165 | 0.381964 | -2.47% | – | pending | – | – | 1.06 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.39145 | 0.381937 | -2.43% | – | pending | – | – | 1.03 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.3878 | 0.377589 | -2.63% | – | pending | – | – | 0.93 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.38025 | 0.369273 | -2.89% | – | pending | – | – | 0.88 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.3807 | 0.369288 | -3.00% | – | pending | – | – | 0.90 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.3939 | 0.38103 | -3.27% | – | pending | – | – | 0.90 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.4072 | 0.395297 | -2.92% | – | pending | – | – | 0.90 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.41905 | 0.407517 | -2.75% | 0.39165 | -6.54% | 0.0611 | ✓ | 0.85 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.42225 | 0.41016 | -2.86% | 0.39145 | -7.29% | 0.0720 | ✓ | 0.85 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.43205 | 0.420344 | -2.71% | 0.3878 | -10.24% | 0.0789 | ✓ | 0.84 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.42635 | 0.414004 | -2.90% | 0.38025 | -10.81% | 0.0860 | ✓ | 0.85 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.44755 | 0.434707 | -2.87% | 0.3807 | -14.94% | 0.1166 | ✓ | 0.80 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.4449 | 0.431719 | -2.96% | 0.3939 | -11.46% | 0.0764 | ✓ | 0.82 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.4408 | 0.427517 | -3.01% | 0.4072 | -7.62% | 0.0382 | ✓ | 0.82 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.4381 | 0.424561 | -3.09% | 0.41905 | -4.35% | 0.0174 | ✓ | 0.82 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.4626 | 0.448319 | -3.09% | 0.42225 | -8.72% | 0.0435 | ✓ | 0.79 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.4822 | 0.466638 | -3.23% | 0.43205 | -10.40% | 0.0549 | ✓ | 0.77 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.5048 | 0.488335 | -3.26% | 0.42635 | -15.54% | 0.0987 | ✓ | 0.77 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.5176 | 0.499916 | -3.42% | 0.44755 | -13.53% | 0.0847 | ✓ | 0.78 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.50915 | 0.492253 | -3.32% | 0.4449 | -12.62% | 0.0841 | ✓ | 0.78 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.5062 | 0.489998 | -3.20% | 0.4408 | -12.92% | 0.0875 | ✓ | 0.78 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.5149 | 0.497695 | -3.34% | 0.4381 | -14.92% | 0.0979 | ✓ | 0.78 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.4815 | 0.466079 | -3.20% | 0.4626 | -3.93% | 0.0051 | ✓ | 0.72 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.47595 | 0.460089 | -3.33% | 0.4822 | +1.31% | 0.0286 | ✓ | 0.81 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.46175 | 0.446666 | -3.27% | 0.5048 | +9.32% | 0.1020 | ✗ | 0.75 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.4892 | 0.472124 | -3.49% | 0.5176 | +5.81% | 0.0712 | ✗ | 0.87 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.49105 | 0.473716 | -3.53% | 0.50915 | +3.69% | 0.0686 | ✗ | 0.92 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.47765 | 0.461182 | -3.45% | 0.5062 | +5.98% | 0.0885 | ✗ | 0.96 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.4691 | 0.453185 | -3.39% | 0.5149 | +9.76% | 0.1226 | ✗ | 0.93 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.4464 | 0.431781 | -3.27% | 0.4815 | +7.86% | 0.1182 | ✗ | 0.94 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.4724 | 0.45584 | -3.51% | 0.47595 | +0.75% | 0.0727 | ✗ | 0.98 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.46815 | 0.451728 | -3.51% | 0.46175 | -1.37% | 0.0631 | ✗ | 1.12 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.45915 | 0.444958 | -3.09% | 0.4892 | +6.54% | 0.0460 | ✗ | 1.22 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.46645 | 0.452277 | -3.04% | 0.49105 | +5.27% | 0.0356 | ✗ | 1.21 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.459 | 0.446501 | -2.72% | 0.47765 | +4.06% | 0.0188 | ✓ | 1.25 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.444 | 0.433471 | -2.37% | 0.4691 | +5.65% | 0.0540 | ✓ | 1.33 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.44075 | 0.430796 | -2.26% | 0.4464 | +1.28% | 0.1172 | ✓ | 1.49 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.41745 | 0.410038 | -1.78% | 0.4724 | +13.16% | 0.0530 | ✓ | 1.48 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.4368 | 0.428192 | -1.97% | 0.46815 | +7.18% | 0.0632 | ✓ | 1.49 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.4253 | 0.418101 | -1.69% | 0.45915 | +7.96% | 0.0115 | ✓ | 1.49 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.4416 | 0.433644 | -1.80% | 0.46645 | +5.63% | 0.0013 | ✓ | 1.48 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.4528 | 0.444294 | -1.88% | 0.459 | +1.37% | 0.0361 | ✓ | 1.48 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.4323 | 0.425363 | -1.60% | 0.444 | +2.71% | 0.0465 | ✗ | 1.47 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.4244 | 0.419332 | -1.19% | 0.44075 | +3.85% | 0.0919 | ✗ | 1.52 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.45435 | 0.447257 | -1.56% | 0.41745 | -8.12% | 0.0129 | ✓ | 1.51 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.462 | 0.455388 | -1.43% | 0.4368 | -5.45% | 0.0241 | ✓ | 1.51 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.4594 | 0.454276 | -1.12% | 0.4253 | -7.42% | 0.0030 | ✓ | 1.53 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.4504 | 0.446018 | -0.97% | 0.4416 | -1.95% | 0.0400 | ✗ | 1.53 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.4372 | 0.434041 | -0.72% | 0.4528 | +3.57% | 0.0904 | ✗ | 1.53 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.4678 | 0.464671 | -0.67% | 0.4323 | -7.59% | 0.0178 | ✗ | 1.50 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.4633 | 0.457106 | -1.34% | 0.4244 | -8.40% | 0.0944 | ✓ | 1.61 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.4791 | 0.472288 | -1.42% | 0.45435 | -5.17% | 0.0603 | ✓ | 1.61 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.489 | 0.483278 | -1.17% | 0.462 | -5.52% | 0.0558 | ✓ | 1.61 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.4687 | 0.462792 | -1.26% | 0.4594 | -1.98% | 0.0616 | ✓ | 1.60 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.4914 | 0.485973 | -1.10% | 0.4504 | -8.34% | 0.1081 | ✓ | 1.59 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.51565 | 0.509528 | -1.19% | 0.4372 | -15.21% | 0.1902 | ✓ | 1.59 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.5365 | 0.53212 | -0.82% | 0.4678 | -12.81% | 0.1485 | ✓ | 1.61 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.5266 | 0.521827 | -0.91% | 0.4633 | -12.02% | 0.0835 | ✓ | 1.61 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.5521 | 0.545647 | -1.17% | 0.4791 | -13.22% | 0.1067 | ✓ | 1.62 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.53905 | 0.5343 | -0.88% | 0.489 | -9.28% | 0.0799 | ✓ | 1.63 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.5417 | 0.535761 | -1.10% | 0.4687 | -13.48% | 0.1324 | ✓ | 1.64 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.5018 | 0.497027 | -0.95% | 0.4914 | -2.07% | 0.0362 | ✓ | 1.63 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.5242 | 0.519602 | -0.88% | 0.51565 | -1.63% | 0.0024 | ✓ | 1.62 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.51015 | 0.49852 | -2.28% | 0.5365 | +5.17% | 0.1071 | ✓ | 1.90 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.5374 | 0.516248 | -3.94% | 0.5266 | -2.01% | 0.2867 | ✓ | 2.33 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.3976 | 0.380934 | -4.19% | 0.5521 | +38.86% | 0.0630 | ✗ | 1.59 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.4054 | 0.3874 | -4.44% | 0.53905 | +32.97% | 0.0071 | ✓ | 1.59 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.4192 | 0.401081 | -4.32% | 0.5417 | +29.22% | 0.0708 | ✓ | 1.75 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.4616 | 0.441595 | -4.33% | 0.5018 | +8.71% | 0.2189 | ✓ | 1.72 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.4469 | 0.427374 | -4.37% | 0.5242 | +17.30% | 0.1715 | ✓ | 1.72 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.44 | 0.42014 | -4.51% | 0.51015 | +15.94% | 0.0507 | ✓ | 1.74 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.4319 | 0.412078 | -4.59% | 0.5374 | +24.43% | 0.1111 | ✗ | 1.74 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.41915 | 0.39928 | -4.74% | 0.3976 | -5.14% | 0.0355 | ✓ | 1.74 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.4086 | 0.388409 | -4.94% | 0.4054 | -0.78% | 0.0273 | ✓ | 1.76 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.40445 | 0.38356 | -5.17% | 0.4192 | +3.65% | 0.1460 | ✗ | 1.81 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.4089 | 0.386891 | -5.38% | 0.4616 | +12.89% | 0.2301 | ✗ | 1.81 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.38965 | 0.367792 | -5.61% | 0.4469 | +14.69% | 0.2491 | ✗ | 1.81 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.39565 | 0.373221 | -5.67% | 0.44 | +11.21% | 0.1888 | ✗ | 1.84 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.38465 | 0.361571 | -6.00% | 0.4319 | +12.28% | 0.2123 | ✗ | 1.86 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.385 | 0.361675 | -6.06% | 0.41915 | +8.87% | 0.1626 | ✗ | 1.86 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.40515 | 0.381606 | -5.81% | 0.4086 | +0.85% | 0.0550 | ✓ | 1.91 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.4209 | 0.396794 | -5.73% | 0.40445 | -3.91% | 0.0211 | ✓ | 1.91 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.4414 | 0.417237 | -5.47% | 0.4089 | -7.36% | 0.0868 | ✓ | 1.98 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.4421 | 0.418468 | -5.35% | 0.38965 | -11.86% | 0.1355 | ✓ | 1.98 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.44585 | 0.421837 | -5.39% | 0.39565 | -11.26% | 0.0491 | ✓ | 2.12 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.496 | 0.46885 | -5.47% | 0.38465 | -22.45% | 0.2231 | ✓ | 2.28 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.4515 | 0.429222 | -4.93% | 0.385 | -14.73% | 0.1160 | ✓ | 2.28 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.44995 | 0.429014 | -4.65% | 0.40515 | -9.96% | 0.0491 | ✓ | 2.28 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.4815 | 0.459216 | -4.63% | 0.4209 | -12.59% | 0.0227 | ✓ | 2.25 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.5458 | 0.518899 | -4.93% | 0.4414 | -19.13% | 0.1011 | ✓ | 2.52 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.5818 | 0.549776 | -5.50% | 0.4421 | -24.01% | 0.1676 | ✓ | 2.54 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.5535 | 0.524076 | -5.32% | 0.44585 | -19.45% | 0.1481 | ✓ | 2.68 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.4747 | 0.450507 | -5.10% | 0.496 | +4.49% | 0.1989 | ✗ | 3.05 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.3954 | 0.378904 | -4.17% | 0.4515 | +14.19% | 0.3078 | ✗ | 3.24 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.375 | 0.360108 | -3.97% | 0.44995 | +19.99% | 0.2991 | ✗ | 3.24 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.3923 | 0.376713 | -3.97% | 0.4815 | +22.74% | 0.2120 | ✗ | 3.29 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.3954 | 0.378957 | -4.16% | 0.5458 | +38.04% | 0.3904 | ✗ | 3.30 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.4476 | 0.430209 | -3.89% | 0.5818 | +29.98% | 0.2989 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.4905 | 0.472139 | -3.74% | 0.5535 | +12.84% | 0.1391 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.4868 | 0.469591 | -3.54% | 0.4747 | -2.49% | 0.0101 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.5268 | 0.510003 | -3.19% | 0.3954 | -24.94% | 0.2778 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.5264 | 0.507257 | -3.64% | 0.375 | -28.76% | 0.3484 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.55705 | 0.539047 | -3.23% | 0.3923 | -29.58% | 0.3324 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.5811 | 0.563428 | -3.04% | 0.3954 | -31.96% | 0.3701 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.57485 | 0.557982 | -2.93% | 0.4476 | -22.14% | 0.2168 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.5845 | 0.567544 | -2.90% | 0.4905 | -16.08% | 0.1553 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.603 | 0.585699 | -2.87% | 0.4868 | -19.27% | 0.2240 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.6298 | 0.613621 | -2.57% | 0.5268 | -16.35% | 0.1785 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.6573 | 0.641154 | -2.46% | 0.5264 | -19.91% | 0.1697 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.6457 | 0.629539 | -2.50% | 0.55705 | -13.73% | 0.1248 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-04 | oos | 0.6332 | 0.616993 | -2.56% | 0.5811 | -8.23% | 0.0708 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-03 | oos | 0.6217 | 0.605494 | -2.61% | 0.57485 | -7.54% | 0.0773 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-02 | oos | 0.6877 | 0.668689 | -2.76% | 0.5845 | -15.01% | 0.1617 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-01 | oos | 0.5835 | 0.566137 | -2.98% | 0.603 | +3.34% | 0.0258 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-30 | oos | 0.6483 | 0.62912 | -2.96% | 0.6298 | -2.85% | 0.0777 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-29 | oos | 0.7829 | 0.757334 | -3.27% | 0.6573 | -16.04% | 0.2035 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-28 | oos | 0.6058 | 0.588606 | -2.84% | 0.6457 | +6.59% | 0.0258 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-27 | oos | 0.6924 | 0.673336 | -2.75% | 0.6332 | -8.55% | 0.1127 | ✓ | 1.00 |