RE
RE · Ethereum · beta_5y
- token id
- #279
- symbol
- RE
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x526526528f35ac738177003b8773b402b8df8143
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-06-18
- predictions
- 354
Track record at +30d
assessed
88
of 118 predictions shown
direction hit
93.2%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1797
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0924
actual -0.2472
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.39165 | 0.362642 | -7.41% | – | pending | – | – | 1.06 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.39145 | 0.362908 | -7.29% | – | pending | – | – | 1.03 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.3878 | 0.357484 | -7.82% | – | pending | – | – | 0.93 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.38025 | 0.347996 | -8.48% | – | pending | – | – | 0.88 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.3807 | 0.347519 | -8.72% | – | pending | – | – | 0.90 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.3939 | 0.357504 | -9.24% | – | pending | – | – | 0.90 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.4072 | 0.372842 | -8.44% | – | pending | – | – | 0.90 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.41905 | 0.385931 | -7.90% | – | pending | – | – | 0.85 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.42225 | 0.387349 | -8.27% | – | pending | – | – | 0.85 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.43205 | 0.398359 | -7.80% | – | pending | – | – | 0.84 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.42635 | 0.390917 | -8.31% | – | pending | – | – | 0.85 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.44755 | 0.411445 | -8.07% | – | pending | – | – | 0.80 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.4449 | 0.407931 | -8.31% | – | pending | – | – | 0.82 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.4408 | 0.403566 | -8.45% | – | pending | – | – | 0.82 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.4381 | 0.400464 | -8.59% | – | pending | – | – | 0.82 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.4626 | 0.423264 | -8.50% | – | pending | – | – | 0.79 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.4822 | 0.440677 | -8.61% | – | pending | – | – | 0.77 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.5048 | 0.461981 | -8.48% | – | pending | – | – | 0.77 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.5176 | 0.472013 | -8.81% | – | pending | – | – | 0.78 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.50915 | 0.464878 | -8.70% | – | pending | – | – | 0.78 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.5062 | 0.463615 | -8.41% | – | pending | – | – | 0.78 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.5149 | 0.471122 | -8.50% | – | pending | – | – | 0.78 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.4815 | 0.440463 | -8.52% | – | pending | – | – | 0.72 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.47595 | 0.435285 | -8.54% | – | pending | – | – | 0.81 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.46175 | 0.421428 | -8.73% | – | pending | – | – | 0.75 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.4892 | 0.445465 | -8.94% | – | pending | – | – | 0.87 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.49105 | 0.44656 | -9.06% | – | pending | – | – | 0.92 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.47765 | 0.434626 | -9.01% | – | pending | – | – | 0.96 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.4691 | 0.427365 | -8.90% | – | pending | – | – | 0.93 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.4464 | 0.407458 | -8.72% | – | pending | – | – | 0.94 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.4724 | 0.42971 | -9.04% | 0.39165 | -17.09% | 0.0700 | ✓ | 0.98 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.46815 | 0.42544 | -9.12% | 0.39145 | -16.38% | 0.0496 | ✓ | 1.12 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.45915 | 0.419157 | -8.71% | 0.3878 | -15.54% | 0.1043 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.46645 | 0.426557 | -8.55% | 0.38025 | -18.48% | 0.1239 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.459 | 0.422251 | -8.01% | 0.3807 | -17.06% | 0.1209 | ✓ | 1.25 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.444 | 0.409174 | -7.84% | 0.3939 | -11.28% | 0.1229 | ✓ | 1.33 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.44075 | 0.406829 | -7.70% | 0.4072 | -7.61% | 0.1002 | ✓ | 1.49 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.41745 | 0.387319 | -7.22% | 0.41905 | +0.38% | 0.0441 | ✓ | 1.48 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.4368 | 0.405756 | -7.11% | 0.42225 | -3.33% | 0.0234 | ✓ | 1.49 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.4253 | 0.395964 | -6.90% | 0.43205 | +1.59% | 0.0301 | ✓ | 1.49 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.4416 | 0.411295 | -6.86% | 0.42635 | -3.45% | 0.0475 | ✓ | 1.48 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.4528 | 0.421726 | -6.86% | 0.44755 | -1.16% | 0.0597 | ✓ | 1.48 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.4323 | 0.403801 | -6.59% | 0.4449 | +2.91% | 0.0209 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.4244 | 0.400004 | -5.75% | 0.4408 | +3.86% | 0.0167 | ✓ | 1.52 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.45435 | 0.426675 | -6.09% | 0.4381 | -3.58% | 0.0347 | ✓ | 1.51 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.462 | 0.436022 | -5.62% | 0.4626 | +0.13% | 0.0186 | ✓ | 1.51 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.4594 | 0.436924 | -4.89% | 0.4822 | +4.96% | 0.0027 | ✓ | 1.53 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.4504 | 0.429769 | -4.58% | 0.5048 | +12.08% | 0.0517 | ✗ | 1.53 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.4372 | 0.419646 | -4.02% | 0.5176 | +18.39% | 0.0840 | ✗ | 1.53 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.4678 | 0.451364 | -3.51% | 0.50915 | +8.84% | 0.0575 | ✗ | 1.50 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.4633 | 0.440318 | -4.96% | 0.5062 | +9.26% | 0.0038 | ✓ | 1.61 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.4791 | 0.455354 | -4.96% | 0.5149 | +7.47% | 0.0246 | ✓ | 1.61 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.489 | 0.468735 | -4.14% | 0.4815 | -1.53% | 0.0723 | ✓ | 1.61 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.4687 | 0.448305 | -4.35% | 0.47595 | +1.55% | 0.0588 | ✓ | 1.60 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.4914 | 0.473207 | -3.70% | 0.46175 | -6.03% | 0.1272 | ✓ | 1.59 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.51565 | 0.496691 | -3.68% | 0.4892 | -5.13% | 0.1453 | ✓ | 1.59 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.5365 | 0.524152 | -2.30% | 0.49105 | -8.47% | 0.1462 | ✓ | 1.61 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.5266 | 0.513362 | -2.51% | 0.47765 | -9.30% | 0.1722 | ✓ | 1.61 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.5521 | 0.535187 | -3.06% | 0.4691 | -15.03% | 0.2482 | ✓ | 1.62 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.53905 | 0.527841 | -2.08% | 0.4464 | -17.19% | 0.2753 | ✓ | 1.63 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.5417 | 0.527486 | -2.62% | 0.4724 | -12.79% | 0.2804 | ✓ | 1.64 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.5018 | 0.490879 | -2.18% | 0.46815 | -6.71% | 0.2377 | ✓ | 1.63 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.5242 | 0.515872 | -1.59% | 0.45915 | -12.41% | 0.1740 | ✓ | 1.62 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.51015 | 0.481232 | -5.67% | 0.46645 | -8.57% | 0.2343 | ✓ | 1.90 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.5374 | 0.491271 | -8.58% | 0.459 | -14.59% | 0.4285 | ✓ | 2.33 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.3976 | 0.35462 | -10.81% | 0.444 | +11.67% | 0.0386 | ✓ | 1.59 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.4054 | 0.35962 | -11.29% | 0.44075 | +8.72% | 0.0615 | ✓ | 1.59 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.4192 | 0.372969 | -11.03% | 0.41745 | -0.42% | 0.2098 | ✓ | 1.75 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.4616 | 0.411646 | -10.82% | 0.4368 | -5.37% | 0.3123 | ✓ | 1.72 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.4469 | 0.397981 | -10.95% | 0.4253 | -4.83% | 0.2755 | ✓ | 1.72 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.44 | 0.390988 | -11.14% | 0.4416 | +0.36% | 0.2215 | ✓ | 1.74 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.4319 | 0.382698 | -11.39% | 0.4528 | +4.84% | 0.1741 | ✓ | 1.74 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.41915 | 0.369885 | -11.75% | 0.4323 | +3.14% | 0.1690 | ✓ | 1.74 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.4086 | 0.358848 | -12.18% | 0.4244 | +3.87% | 0.1900 | ✓ | 1.76 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.40445 | 0.353397 | -12.62% | 0.45435 | +12.34% | 0.0936 | ✓ | 1.81 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.4089 | 0.356324 | -12.86% | 0.462 | +12.99% | 0.0981 | ✓ | 1.81 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.38965 | 0.336653 | -13.60% | 0.4594 | +17.90% | 0.0761 | ✓ | 1.81 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.39565 | 0.341352 | -13.72% | 0.4504 | +13.84% | 0.1208 | ✓ | 1.84 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.38465 | 0.328846 | -14.51% | 0.4372 | +13.66% | 0.1042 | ✓ | 1.86 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.385 | 0.327995 | -14.81% | 0.4678 | +21.51% | 0.0887 | ✓ | 1.86 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.40515 | 0.346937 | -14.37% | 0.4633 | +14.35% | 0.0884 | ✓ | 1.91 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.4209 | 0.360943 | -14.24% | 0.4791 | +13.83% | 0.0952 | ✓ | 1.91 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.4414 | 0.380361 | -13.83% | 0.489 | +10.78% | 0.1936 | ✓ | 1.98 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.4421 | 0.381309 | -13.75% | 0.4687 | +6.02% | 0.2138 | ✓ | 1.98 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.44585 | 0.384858 | -13.68% | 0.4914 | +10.22% | 0.1585 | ✓ | 2.12 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.496 | 0.430325 | -13.24% | 0.51565 | +3.96% | 0.2698 | ✓ | 2.28 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.4515 | 0.392554 | -13.06% | 0.5365 | +18.83% | 0.2096 | ✓ | 2.28 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.44995 | 0.392337 | -12.80% | 0.5266 | +17.04% | 0.1975 | ✓ | 2.28 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.4815 | 0.422897 | -12.17% | 0.5521 | +14.66% | 0.1477 | ✓ | 2.25 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.5458 | 0.479979 | -12.06% | 0.53905 | -1.24% | 0.4019 | ✓ | 2.52 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.5818 | 0.510417 | -12.27% | 0.5417 | -6.89% | 0.4309 | ✓ | 2.54 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.5535 | 0.487588 | -11.91% | 0.5018 | -9.34% | 0.4251 | ✓ | 2.68 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.4747 | 0.417913 | -11.96% | 0.5242 | +10.43% | 0.2912 | ✓ | 3.05 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.3954 | 0.347334 | -12.16% | 0.51015 | +29.02% | 0.0830 | ✓ | 3.24 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.375 | 0.328028 | -12.53% | 0.5374 | +43.31% | 0.2967 | ✗ | 3.24 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.3923 | 0.344118 | -12.28% | 0.3976 | +1.35% | 0.1445 | ✗ | 3.29 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.3954 | 0.345992 | -12.50% | 0.4054 | +2.53% | 0.1747 | ✗ | 3.30 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.4476 | 0.39659 | -11.40% | 0.4192 | -6.34% | 0.0721 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.4905 | 0.438399 | -10.62% | 0.4616 | -5.89% | 0.0634 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.4868 | 0.437756 | -10.07% | 0.4469 | -8.20% | 0.0480 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.5268 | 0.479286 | -9.02% | 0.44 | -16.48% | 0.0612 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.5264 | 0.472764 | -10.19% | 0.4319 | -17.95% | 0.1087 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.55705 | 0.506762 | -9.03% | 0.41915 | -24.76% | 0.1865 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.5811 | 0.531842 | -8.48% | 0.4086 | -29.69% | 0.2658 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.57485 | 0.527396 | -8.26% | 0.40445 | -29.64% | 0.2766 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.5845 | 0.536563 | -8.20% | 0.4089 | -30.04% | 0.2988 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.603 | 0.55408 | -8.11% | 0.38965 | -35.38% | 0.3938 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.6298 | 0.584163 | -7.25% | 0.39565 | -37.18% | 0.4044 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.6573 | 0.612384 | -6.83% | 0.38465 | -41.48% | 0.4744 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.6457 | 0.600611 | -6.98% | 0.385 | -40.37% | 0.4520 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-04 | oos | 0.6332 | 0.587687 | -7.19% | 0.40515 | -36.02% | 0.3779 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-03 | oos | 0.6217 | 0.57584 | -7.38% | 0.4209 | -32.30% | 0.3290 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-02 | oos | 0.6877 | 0.636615 | -7.43% | 0.4414 | -35.82% | 0.3868 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-01 | oos | 0.5835 | 0.533184 | -8.62% | 0.4421 | -24.23% | 0.2340 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-30 | oos | 0.6483 | 0.593898 | -8.39% | 0.44585 | -31.23% | 0.3874 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-29 | oos | 0.7829 | 0.721266 | -7.87% | 0.496 | -36.65% | 0.4346 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-28 | oos | 0.6058 | 0.555794 | -8.25% | 0.4515 | -25.47% | 0.2788 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-27 | oos | 0.6924 | 0.639931 | -7.58% | 0.44995 | -35.02% | 0.4131 | ✓ | 1.00 |