RE

RE · Ethereum · beta_5y

token id: #279
symbol: RE
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x526526528f35ac738177003b8773b402b8df8143
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-18
predictions: 354

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

117

of 118 predictions shown

direction hit

57.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0453

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0067

actual -0.0094

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.39165	0.390013	-0.42%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-10-21	oos	0.39085	0.389151	-0.43%	0.39165	+0.05%	0.0025	✓	1.02
2026-10-20	oos	0.3878	0.386124	-0.43%	0.39085	+0.79%	0.0149	✗	0.93
2026-10-19	oos	0.38025	0.378675	-0.41%	0.3878	+1.99%	0.0120	✗	0.88
2026-10-18	oos	0.3807	0.379143	-0.41%	0.38025	-0.12%	0.0048	✗	0.90
2026-10-17	oos	0.3939	0.392155	-0.44%	0.3807	-3.35%	0.0365	✓	0.90
2026-10-16	oos	0.4072	0.405363	-0.45%	0.3939	-3.27%	0.0274	✓	0.90
2026-10-15	oos	0.41905	0.416706	-0.56%	0.4072	-2.83%	0.0166	✓	0.85
2026-10-14	oos	0.42225	0.420223	-0.48%	0.41905	-0.76%	0.0086	✓	0.85
2026-10-13	oos	0.43205	0.429861	-0.51%	0.42225	-2.27%	0.0023	✓	0.84
2026-10-12	oos	0.42635	0.424297	-0.48%	0.43205	+1.34%	0.0041	✓	0.85
2026-10-11	oos	0.44755	0.445157	-0.53%	0.42635	-4.74%	0.0245	✓	0.80
2026-10-10	oos	0.4449	0.442504	-0.54%	0.44755	+0.60%	0.0038	✓	0.82
2026-10-09	oos	0.4408	0.438458	-0.53%	0.4449	+0.93%	0.0109	✗	0.82
2026-10-08	oos	0.4381	0.435536	-0.59%	0.4408	+0.62%	0.0035	✓	0.82
2026-10-07	oos	0.4626	0.459964	-0.57%	0.4381	-5.30%	0.0335	✓	0.79
2026-10-06	oos	0.4822	0.479269	-0.61%	0.4626	-4.06%	0.0149	✓	0.77
2026-10-05	oos	0.5048	0.500973	-0.76%	0.4822	-4.48%	0.0363	✓	0.77
2026-10-04	oos	0.5176	0.513704	-0.75%	0.5048	-2.47%	0.0106	✓	0.78
2026-10-03	oos	0.50915	0.505464	-0.72%	0.5176	+1.66%	0.0077	✗	0.78
2026-10-02	oos	0.5062	0.502462	-0.74%	0.50915	+0.58%	0.0110	✗	0.78
2026-10-01	oos	0.5149	0.510239	-0.91%	0.5062	-1.69%	0.0048	✓	0.78
2026-09-30	oos	0.4815	0.478167	-0.69%	0.5149	+6.94%	0.0629	✗	0.72
2026-09-29	oos	0.47595	0.471886	-0.85%	0.4815	+1.17%	0.0210	✗	0.81
2026-09-28	oos	0.46175	0.458636	-0.67%	0.47595	+3.08%	0.0354	✗	0.75
2026-09-27	oos	0.4892	0.485224	-0.81%	0.46175	-5.61%	0.0392	✓	0.87
2026-09-26	oos	0.49105	0.487042	-0.82%	0.4892	-0.38%	0.0039	✓	0.92
2026-09-25	oos	0.47765	0.474064	-0.75%	0.49105	+2.81%	0.0315	✗	0.96
2026-09-24	oos	0.4691	0.465663	-0.73%	0.47765	+1.82%	0.0287	✗	0.93
2026-09-23	oos	0.4464	0.443152	-0.73%	0.4691	+5.09%	0.0568	✗	0.94
2026-09-22	oos	0.4724	0.468711	-0.78%	0.4464	-5.50%	0.0278	✓	0.98
2026-09-21	oos	0.46815	0.464578	-0.76%	0.4724	+0.91%	0.0218	✗	1.12
2026-09-20	oos	0.45915	0.455725	-0.75%	0.46815	+1.96%	0.0525	✓	1.22
2026-09-19	oos	0.46645	0.46259	-0.83%	0.45915	-1.57%	0.0064	✓	1.21
2026-09-18	oos	0.459	0.455317	-0.80%	0.46645	+1.62%	0.0186	✗	1.25
2026-09-17	oos	0.444	0.441026	-0.67%	0.459	+3.38%	0.0366	✓	1.33
2026-09-16	oos	0.44075	0.437381	-0.76%	0.444	+0.74%	0.0110	✗	1.49
2026-09-15	oos	0.41745	0.415196	-0.54%	0.44075	+5.58%	0.0488	✗	1.48
2026-09-14	oos	0.4368	0.434128	-0.61%	0.41745	-4.43%	0.0110	✗	1.49
2026-09-13	oos	0.4253	0.42338	-0.45%	0.4368	+2.70%	0.0048	✗	1.49
2026-09-12	oos	0.4416	0.439383	-0.50%	0.4253	-3.69%	0.0237	✓	1.48
2026-09-11	oos	0.4528	0.45013	-0.59%	0.4416	-2.47%	0.0202	✓	1.48
2026-09-10	oos	0.4323	0.430005	-0.53%	0.4528	+4.74%	0.0388	✗	1.47
2026-09-09	oos	0.4244	0.423062	-0.32%	0.4323	+1.86%	0.0559	✗	1.52
2026-09-08	oos	0.45435	0.452301	-0.45%	0.4244	-6.59%	0.0605	✓	1.51
2026-09-07	oos	0.462	0.459933	-0.45%	0.45435	-1.66%	0.0001	✓	1.51
2026-09-06	oos	0.4594	0.457739	-0.36%	0.462	+0.57%	0.0332	✗	1.53
2026-09-05	oos	0.4504	0.449355	-0.23%	0.4594	+2.00%	0.0124	✗	1.53
2026-09-04	oos	0.4372	0.436794	-0.09%	0.4504	+3.02%	0.0277	✗	1.53
2026-09-03	oos	0.4678	0.466927	-0.19%	0.4372	-6.54%	0.0361	✓	1.50
2026-09-02	oos	0.4633	0.461956	-0.29%	0.4678	+0.97%	0.0678	✓	1.61
2026-09-01	oos	0.4791	0.477352	-0.36%	0.4633	-3.30%	0.0280	✓	1.61
2026-08-31	oos	0.489	0.487203	-0.37%	0.4791	-2.02%	0.0073	✗	1.61
2026-08-30	oos	0.4687	0.467159	-0.33%	0.489	+4.33%	0.0273	✗	1.60
2026-08-29	oos	0.4914	0.489664	-0.35%	0.4687	-4.62%	0.0322	✓	1.59
2026-08-28	oos	0.51565	0.513568	-0.40%	0.4914	-4.70%	0.0522	✓	1.59
2026-08-27	oos	0.5365	0.534346	-0.40%	0.51565	-3.89%	0.0140	✗	1.61
2026-08-26	oos	0.5266	0.524568	-0.39%	0.5365	+1.88%	0.0028	✓	1.61
2026-08-25	oos	0.5521	0.549347	-0.50%	0.5266	-4.62%	0.0525	✓	1.62
2026-08-24	oos	0.53905	0.536666	-0.44%	0.5521	+2.42%	0.0378	✗	1.63
2026-08-23	oos	0.5417	0.538866	-0.52%	0.53905	-0.49%	0.0259	✓	1.64
2026-08-22	oos	0.5018	0.499851	-0.39%	0.5417	+7.95%	0.0662	✗	1.63
2026-08-21	oos	0.5242	0.521434	-0.53%	0.5018	-4.27%	0.0119	✓	1.62
2026-08-20	oos	0.51015	0.506515	-0.71%	0.5242	+2.75%	0.0994	✓	1.90
2026-08-19	oos	0.5374	0.527695	-1.81%	0.51015	-5.07%	0.1556	✓	2.33
2026-08-18	oos	0.3976	0.395599	-0.50%	0.5374	+35.16%	0.1968	✗	1.59
2026-08-17	oos	0.4054	0.403319	-0.51%	0.3976	-1.92%	0.0193	✓	1.59
2026-08-16	oos	0.4192	0.416765	-0.58%	0.4054	-3.29%	0.0726	✓	1.75
2026-08-15	oos	0.4616	0.458096	-0.76%	0.4192	-9.19%	0.0837	✓	1.72
2026-08-14	oos	0.4469	0.443684	-0.72%	0.4616	+3.29%	0.0384	✗	1.72
2026-08-13	oos	0.44	0.436506	-0.79%	0.4469	+1.57%	0.0359	✗	1.74
2026-08-12	oos	0.4319	0.42868	-0.75%	0.44	+1.88%	0.0257	✗	1.74
2026-08-11	oos	0.41915	0.416135	-0.72%	0.4319	+3.04%	0.0405	✗	1.74
2026-08-10	oos	0.4086	0.405697	-0.71%	0.41915	+2.58%	0.0431	✗	1.76
2026-08-09	oos	0.40445	0.401682	-0.68%	0.4086	+1.03%	0.0434	✗	1.81
2026-08-08	oos	0.4089	0.405315	-0.88%	0.40445	-1.09%	0.0005	✓	1.81
2026-08-07	oos	0.38965	0.387037	-0.67%	0.4089	+4.94%	0.0545	✗	1.81
2026-08-06	oos	0.39565	0.392751	-0.73%	0.38965	-1.52%	0.0257	✓	1.84
2026-08-05	oos	0.38465	0.382177	-0.64%	0.39565	+2.86%	0.0443	✗	1.86
2026-08-04	oos	0.385	0.382781	-0.58%	0.38465	-0.09%	0.0111	✓	1.86
2026-08-03	oos	0.40515	0.402586	-0.63%	0.385	-4.97%	0.0622	✓	1.91
2026-08-02	oos	0.4209	0.418106	-0.66%	0.40515	-3.74%	0.0305	✓	1.91
2026-08-01	oos	0.4414	0.438218	-0.72%	0.4209	-4.64%	0.0634	✓	1.98
2026-07-31	oos	0.4421	0.438919	-0.72%	0.4414	-0.16%	0.0076	✗	1.98
2026-07-30	oos	0.44585	0.442371	-0.78%	0.4421	-0.84%	0.0626	✗	2.12
2026-07-29	oos	0.496	0.489931	-1.22%	0.44585	-10.11%	0.1236	✓	2.28
2026-07-28	oos	0.4515	0.447638	-0.86%	0.496	+9.86%	0.1008	✗	2.28
2026-07-27	oos	0.44995	0.446617	-0.74%	0.4515	+0.34%	0.0054	✓	2.28
2026-07-26	oos	0.4815	0.477625	-0.80%	0.44995	-6.55%	0.0022	✓	2.25
2026-07-25	oos	0.5458	0.539673	-1.12%	0.4815	-11.78%	0.1547	✓	2.52
2026-07-24	oos	0.5818	0.571846	-1.71%	0.5458	-6.19%	0.0550	✓	2.54
2026-07-23	oos	0.5535	0.543033	-1.89%	0.5818	+5.11%	0.1091	✗	2.68
2026-07-22	oos	0.4747	0.465204	-2.00%	0.5535	+16.60%	0.2219	✗	3.05
2026-07-21	oos	0.3954	0.393107	-0.58%	0.4747	+20.06%	0.2096	✗	3.24
2026-07-20	oos	0.375	0.373828	-0.31%	0.3954	+5.44%	0.0080	✓	3.24
2026-07-19	oos	0.3923	0.390675	-0.41%	0.375	-4.41%	0.0679	✓	3.29
2026-07-18	oos	0.3954	0.394359	-0.26%	0.3923	-0.78%	0.0006	✓	3.30
2026-07-17	oos	0.4476	0.445351	-0.50%	0.3954	-11.66%	0.1330	✓	1.00
2026-07-16	oos	0.4905	0.487337	-0.64%	0.4476	-8.75%	0.0870	✓	1.00
2026-07-15	oos	0.4868	0.483999	-0.58%	0.4905	+0.76%	0.0281	✗	1.00
2026-07-14	oos	0.5268	0.523197	-0.68%	0.4868	-7.59%	0.0679	✓	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.5264	0.522868	-0.67%	0.5268	+0.08%	0.0353	✓	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.55705	0.553287	-0.68%	0.5264	-5.50%	0.0264	✓	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.5811	0.576845	-0.73%	0.55705	-4.14%	0.0344	✓	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.57485	0.571103	-0.65%	0.5811	+1.09%	0.0229	✗	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.5845	0.580737	-0.64%	0.57485	-1.65%	0.0252	✓	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.603	0.598998	-0.66%	0.5845	-3.07%	0.0395	✓	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.6298	0.625276	-0.72%	0.603	-4.26%	0.0190	✓	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.6573	0.652146	-0.78%	0.6298	-4.18%	0.0242	✓	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.6457	0.640683	-0.78%	0.6573	+1.80%	0.0190	✗	1.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.6332	0.628558	-0.73%	0.6457	+1.97%	0.0191	✗	1.00
2026-07-03	oos	0.6217	0.617393	-0.69%	0.6332	+1.85%	0.0163	✗	1.00
2026-07-02	oos	0.6877	0.68054	-1.04%	0.6217	-9.60%	0.1071	✓	1.00
2026-07-01	oos	0.5835	0.580149	-0.57%	0.6877	+17.86%	0.1450	✗	1.00
2026-06-30	oos	0.6483	0.643402	-0.76%	0.5835	-10.00%	0.1220	✓	1.00
2026-06-29	oos	0.7829	0.769564	-1.70%	0.6483	-17.19%	0.1439	✓	1.00
2026-06-28	oos	0.6058	0.601428	-0.72%	0.7829	+29.23%	0.2522	✗	1.00
2026-06-27	oos	0.6924	0.684189	-1.19%	0.6058	-12.51%	0.1140	✓	1.00