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RAIL

Railgun · Ethereum · beta_5y

token id
#740
symbol
RAIL
variant
–
chain
Ethereum
address
0xe76c6c83af64e4c60245d8c7de953df673a7a33d
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2026-01-30
predictions
771
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +7d

assessed
250
of 257 predictions shown
direction hit
63.2%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1367
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0278
actual +0.0089

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-22live2.3382.2806-2.45%–pending––2.38
2026-10-21oos2.3892.325-2.68%–pending––2.35
2026-10-20oos2.3932.3258-2.81%–pending––2.41
2026-10-19oos2.1942.144-2.28%–pending––2.36
2026-10-18oos2.3952.334-2.55%–pending––2.34
2026-10-17oos2.5772.499-3.03%–pending––2.35
2026-10-16oos2.55422.4791-2.94%–pending––2.34
2026-10-15oos2.56772.4909-2.99%2.338-8.95%0.1225✓2.35
2026-10-14oos2.66832.5859-3.09%2.389-10.47%0.1115✓2.35
2026-10-13oos2.94752.8398-3.65%2.393-18.81%0.1666✓2.31
2026-10-12oos2.93472.8256-3.72%2.194-25.24%0.2557✓2.34
2026-10-11oos3.26393.0972-5.11%2.395-26.62%0.2110✓2.28
2026-10-10oos2.73052.6179-4.12%2.577-5.62%0.0274✓2.32
2026-10-09oos2.59432.4858-4.18%2.5542-1.54%0.0566✗2.31
2026-10-08oos2.42312.3284-3.91%2.5677+5.97%0.0858✗2.29
2026-10-07oos2.35912.2696-3.79%2.6683+13.11%0.2102✗2.33
2026-10-06oos2.36362.2743-3.78%2.9475+24.70%0.3269✗2.34
2026-10-05oos2.62672.5302-3.68%2.9347+11.73%0.2584✗2.30
2026-10-04oos2.76362.6612-3.70%3.2639+18.10%0.2802✗2.29
2026-10-03oos2.81752.7089-3.85%2.7305-3.09%0.0584✗2.31
2026-10-02oos2.82132.7079-4.02%2.5943-8.05%0.0113✓2.31
2026-10-01oos3.18493.017-5.27%2.4231-23.92%0.1328✓2.28
2026-09-30oos2.3912.285-4.43%2.3591-1.33%0.0393✓2.19
2026-09-29oos2.55712.4451-4.38%2.3636-7.57%0.0825✓2.16
2026-09-28oos2.60752.4902-4.50%2.6267+0.74%0.0055✓2.17
2026-09-27oos2.83412.7013-4.69%2.7636-2.49%0.0285✓2.14
2026-09-26oos2.82692.6936-4.71%2.8175-0.33%0.0368✓2.13
2026-09-25oos2.73172.6021-4.75%2.8213+3.28%0.0705✗2.13
2026-09-24oos2.77762.6444-4.80%3.1849+14.66%0.1743✗2.13
2026-09-23oos2.86822.7297-4.83%2.391-16.64%0.1117✓2.12
2026-09-22oos3.09352.9409-4.93%2.5571-17.34%0.0772✓2.08
2026-09-21oos3.17133.0062-5.21%2.6075-17.78%0.0658✓2.07
2026-09-20oos2.99792.8368-5.38%2.8341-5.46%0.0892✓2.21
2026-09-19oos2.97472.8037-5.75%2.8269-4.97%0.0770✓2.22
2026-09-18oos2.92872.7171-7.22%2.7317-6.73%0.0802✓2.19
2026-09-17oos2.14522.045-4.67%2.7776+29.48%0.1214✗1.85
2026-09-16oos1.94911.8756-3.77%2.8682+47.16%0.2352✗1.85
2026-09-15oos1.93131.8658-3.39%3.0935+60.18%0.2533✗1.92
2026-09-14oos2.06321.9755-4.25%3.1713+53.71%0.2757✗1.93
2026-09-13oos1.99491.9248-3.51%2.9979+50.28%0.3359✗1.94
2026-09-12oos2.07661.9981-3.78%2.9747+43.25%0.3006✗1.94
2026-09-11oos2.12832.0474-3.80%2.9287+37.61%0.2682✗1.94
2026-09-10oos2.03181.9753-2.78%2.1452+5.58%0.0872✗1.92
2026-09-09oos2.17342.0954-3.59%1.9491-10.32%0.0196✓1.91
2026-09-08oos2.26512.1741-4.02%1.9313-14.74%0.0444✓1.99
2026-09-07oos2.25022.1605-3.99%2.0632-8.31%0.0225✓2.02
2026-09-06oos2.31082.2283-3.57%1.9949-13.67%0.0185✓2.04
2026-09-05oos1.98481.9668-0.91%2.0766+4.63%0.1200✗2.01
2026-09-04oos1.9611.9704+0.48%2.1283+8.53%0.1459✓2.19
2026-09-03oos1.97512.0155+2.05%2.0318+2.87%0.1405✓2.21
2026-09-02oos1.80581.8882+4.56%2.1734+20.36%0.1138✓2.14
2026-09-01oos1.99452.0548+3.02%2.2651+13.57%0.0686✓2.15
2026-08-31oos2.01732.0699+2.61%2.2502+11.54%0.0714✓1.80
2026-08-30oos2.04082.0716+1.51%2.3108+13.23%0.0456✓1.88
2026-08-29oos2.11042.1179+0.35%1.9848-5.95%0.1041✗1.94
2026-08-28oos2.07292.067-0.28%1.961-5.40%0.0979✓1.94
2026-08-27oos2.07512.0619-0.63%1.9751-4.82%0.0673✓1.98
2026-08-26oos1.98951.9681-1.08%1.8058-9.23%0.0427✓1.97
2026-08-25oos1.98811.9634-1.24%1.9945+0.32%0.0446✗2.00
2026-08-24oos2.24862.2124-1.61%2.0173-10.29%0.0819✓1.96
2026-08-23oos2.17132.1405-1.42%2.0408-6.01%0.0461✓1.96
2026-08-22oos2.19242.1584-1.55%2.1104-3.74%0.0523✓1.96
2026-08-21oos2.2392.1945-1.99%2.0729-7.42%0.0447✓1.98
2026-08-20oos1.86961.8368-1.75%2.0751+10.99%0.0705✓2.03
2026-08-19oos1.71621.6781-2.22%1.9895+15.92%0.0477✓1.66
2026-08-18oos1.441.4174-1.57%1.9881+38.06%0.0434✗1.52
2026-08-17oos1.41041.3896-1.47%2.2486+59.43%0.1662✗1.55
2026-08-16oos1.39041.3694-1.51%2.1713+56.16%0.1244✗1.58
2026-08-15oos1.38361.3643-1.40%2.1924+58.46%0.1562✗1.58
2026-08-14oos1.38121.3629-1.32%2.239+62.11%0.1488✗1.59
2026-08-13oos1.3751.3584-1.21%1.8696+35.97%0.0894✗1.63
2026-08-12oos1.38091.3652-1.14%1.7162+24.28%0.0799✗1.68
2026-08-11oos1.40331.3874-1.14%1.44+2.62%0.0068✓1.69
2026-08-10oos1.41881.4028-1.13%1.4104-0.59%0.0097✓1.71
2026-08-09oos1.45371.4364-1.19%1.3904-4.35%0.0218✗1.72
2026-08-08oos1.47241.4529-1.32%1.3836-6.03%0.0024✓1.73
2026-08-07oos1.47721.4563-1.41%1.3812-6.50%0.0012✓1.73
2026-08-06oos1.42331.4059-1.22%1.375-3.39%0.0005✓1.72
2026-08-05oos1.42431.4066-1.24%1.3809-3.05%0.0141✗1.75
2026-08-04oos1.4611.4389-1.51%1.4033-3.95%0.0107✓1.76
2026-08-03oos1.42261.4024-1.42%1.4188-0.27%0.0007✓1.76
2026-08-02oos1.4641.441-1.57%1.4537-0.70%0.0300✓1.85
2026-08-01oos1.3961.3785-1.25%1.4724+5.47%0.0040✓1.84
2026-07-31oos1.44291.4241-1.30%1.4772+2.38%0.0230✓1.84
2026-07-30oos1.49191.4736-1.22%1.4233-4.60%0.0216✓1.86
2026-07-29oos1.47951.4631-1.11%1.4243-3.73%0.0474✓1.86
2026-07-28oos1.52391.5057-1.20%1.461-4.13%0.0360✓1.86
2026-07-27oos1.52041.5026-1.17%1.4226-6.43%0.0480✓1.87
2026-07-26oos1.54231.5272-0.98%1.464-5.08%0.0120✗1.90
2026-07-25oos1.5171.5034-0.90%1.396-7.98%0.0274✓1.94
2026-07-24oos1.65511.6351-1.21%1.4429-12.82%0.0862✓1.96
2026-07-23oos1.61331.5996-0.85%1.4919-7.52%0.0597✓1.97
2026-07-22oos1.8521.8258-1.42%1.4795-20.11%0.1459✓1.91
2026-07-21oos1.66151.6457-0.95%1.5239-8.28%0.0020✓1.93
2026-07-20oos1.6031.5856-1.09%1.5204-5.15%0.0033✓1.92
2026-07-19oos1.6541.6311-1.39%1.5423-6.75%0.0759✓1.96
2026-07-18oos1.56321.5437-1.25%1.517-2.96%0.0020✓1.99
2026-07-17oos1.5031.4844-1.24%1.6551+10.12%0.1028✗2.05
2026-07-16oos1.49331.4758-1.17%1.6133+8.04%0.0484✗2.05
2026-07-15oos1.53051.5129-1.15%1.852+21.01%0.1576✗2.13
2026-07-14oos1.65471.6292-1.54%1.6615+0.41%0.0301✓2.14
2026-07-13oos1.5221.503-1.25%1.603+5.32%0.0371✓2.19
2026-07-12oos1.75031.7171-1.89%1.654-5.50%0.0686✓2.12
2026-07-11oos1.69151.6611-1.80%1.5632-7.58%0.0953✓2.17
2026-07-10oos1.64041.615-1.55%1.503-8.38%0.0639✓2.18
2026-07-09oos1.62121.5992-1.36%1.4933-7.89%0.0890✓2.19
2026-07-08oos1.82521.7917-1.84%1.5305-16.15%0.2458✓2.26
2026-07-07oos1.83851.8068-1.72%1.6547-10.00%0.1466✓2.26
2026-07-06oos1.87661.8447-1.70%1.522-18.90%0.1301✓2.26
2026-07-05oos2.06942.0264-2.08%1.7503-15.42%0.1519✓2.20
2026-07-04oos2.0862.0395-2.23%1.6915-18.91%0.2110✓2.21
2026-07-03oos2.09422.0435-2.42%1.6404-21.67%0.2744✓2.15
2026-07-02oos2.05712.0055-2.51%1.6212-21.19%0.2716✓2.17
2026-07-01oos2.01411.9617-2.60%1.8252-9.38%0.1543✓2.21
2026-06-30oos1.891.8518-2.02%1.8385-2.72%0.1821✓2.22
2026-06-29oos2.00211.9528-2.46%1.8766-6.27%0.1767✓2.21
2026-06-28oos2.1132.0527-2.86%2.0694-2.06%0.1391✓2.20
2026-06-27oos2.12562.0628-2.95%2.086-1.86%0.1020✓2.21
2026-06-26oos2.15632.0902-3.07%2.0942-2.88%0.0889✓2.21
2026-06-25oos2.15092.0862-3.01%2.0571-4.36%0.0791✓2.21
2026-06-24oos2.17182.1075-2.96%2.0141-7.26%0.0086✓2.18
2026-06-23oos2.29622.2237-3.16%1.89-17.69%0.0143✓2.18
2026-06-22oos2.43582.35-3.52%2.0021-17.81%0.0292✓2.15
2026-06-21oos2.34742.2701-3.29%2.113-9.99%0.0606✗2.16
2026-06-20oos2.31832.248-3.03%2.1256-8.31%0.0817✗1.99
2026-06-19oos2.45712.3759-3.31%2.1563-12.24%0.0161✓2.01
2026-06-18oos2.40912.3369-3.00%2.1509-10.72%0.0199✓1.98
2026-06-17oos2.7842.6728-3.99%2.1718-21.99%0.1029✓1.90
2026-06-16oos2.92972.7985-4.48%2.2962-21.62%0.1108✓1.88
2026-06-15oos3.1052.9417-5.26%2.4358-21.55%0.1205✓1.91
2026-06-14oos2.97762.8291-4.99%2.3474-21.16%0.1137✓1.90
2026-06-13oos2.91892.7745-4.95%2.3183-20.58%0.1734✓1.93
2026-06-12oos2.9642.8051-5.36%2.4571-17.10%0.1305✓1.94
2026-06-11oos3.06912.8782-6.22%2.4091-21.50%0.1570✓1.94
2026-06-10oos2.63382.5201-4.32%2.784+5.70%0.0110✓1.86
2026-06-09oos2.90842.7476-5.53%2.9297+0.73%0.0506✓1.86
2026-06-08oos3.14182.9189-7.09%3.105-1.17%0.0293✓1.83
2026-06-07oos2.90182.6958-7.10%2.9776+2.61%0.0329✓1.79
2026-06-06oos2.2862.2104-3.31%2.9189+27.69%0.1893✗1.55
2026-06-05oos2.22932.17-2.66%2.964+32.96%0.2499✗1.54
2026-06-04oos2.32132.245-3.29%3.0691+32.21%0.3187✗1.57
2026-06-03oos2.60612.4693-5.25%2.6338+1.06%0.1232✗1.42
2026-06-02oos2.10112.0491-2.48%2.9084+38.42%0.4831✗1.71
2026-06-01oos2.49362.3672-5.07%3.1418+25.99%0.4717✗1.53
2026-05-31oos2.87512.6922-6.36%2.9018+0.93%0.2925✗1.45
2026-05-30oos3.04462.8383-6.77%2.286-24.92%0.0527✓1.40
2026-05-29oos3.33133.0757-7.67%2.2293-33.08%0.0583✓1.43
2026-05-28oos3.22232.9895-7.23%2.3213-27.96%0.0534✓1.41
2026-05-27oos3.60613.3173-8.01%2.6061-27.73%0.0319✓1.41
2026-05-26oos3.61693.3285-7.97%2.1011-41.91%0.2775✓1.42
2026-05-25oos3.80623.4864-8.40%2.4936-34.49%0.2230✓1.40
2026-05-24oos3.90153.5297-9.53%2.8751-26.31%0.1426✓1.38
2026-05-23oos3.44853.1017-10.06%3.0446-11.71%0.0408✓1.55
2026-05-22oos2.46212.253-8.49%3.3313+35.30%0.4316✗1.45
2026-05-21oos1.56831.4965-4.58%3.2223+105.46%0.8625✗1.79
2026-05-20oos1.48581.4189-4.50%3.6061+142.70%1.0066✗1.77
2026-05-19oos1.33641.2883-3.60%3.6169+170.65%1.0539✗1.75
2026-05-18oos1.32811.283-3.39%3.8062+186.59%1.0804✗1.76
2026-05-17oos1.33541.2919-3.25%3.9015+192.16%1.1151✗1.76
2026-05-16oos1.41191.3634-3.44%3.4485+144.25%0.9610✗1.75
2026-05-15oos1.60211.5403-3.86%2.4621+53.68%0.5504✗1.74
2026-05-14oos1.7581.6809-4.39%1.5683-10.79%0.0069✓1.71
2026-05-13oos1.65681.5914-3.95%1.4858-10.32%0.0302✓1.66
2026-05-12oos1.75881.6858-4.15%1.3364-24.02%0.1553✓1.63
2026-05-11oos1.86661.7851-4.37%1.3281-28.85%0.2008✓1.57
2026-05-10oos2.04561.9464-4.85%1.3354-34.72%0.2811✓1.59
2026-05-09oos1.99931.9017-4.88%1.4119-29.38%0.2465✓1.59
2026-05-08oos1.97711.8718-5.33%1.6021-18.97%0.1335✓1.56
2026-05-07oos1.63321.5663-4.10%1.758+7.64%0.0947✗1.55
2026-05-06oos1.67641.6024-4.42%1.6568-1.17%0.0721✗1.45
2026-05-05oos1.66151.5808-4.86%1.7588+5.86%0.1131✗1.22
2026-05-04oos1.37241.3336-2.82%1.8666+36.01%0.3085✗1.19
2026-05-03oos1.31691.2951-1.65%2.0456+55.33%0.4026✗1.20
2026-05-02oos1.34611.3256-1.52%1.9993+48.53%0.3808✗1.22
2026-05-01oos1.29211.2863-0.45%1.9771+53.01%0.3988✗1.26
2026-04-30oos1.24151.2479+0.51%1.6332+31.55%0.2111✓1.23
2026-04-29oos1.25211.2578+0.45%1.6764+33.89%0.1985✓1.23
2026-04-28oos1.36781.3551-0.93%1.6615+21.47%0.1325✗1.22
2026-04-27oos1.39771.377-1.48%1.3724-1.81%0.0420✓1.22
2026-04-26oos1.5231.4859-2.44%1.3169-13.53%0.1190✓1.21
2026-04-25oos1.46441.4295-2.38%1.3461-8.08%0.0760✓1.21
2026-04-24oos1.6041.5572-2.92%1.2921-19.45%0.1986✓1.21
2026-04-23oos1.60551.5571-3.01%1.2415-22.67%0.1955✓1.21
2026-04-22oos1.63331.5792-3.32%1.2521-23.34%0.1934✓1.21
2026-04-21oos1.5731.5189-3.44%1.3678-13.05%0.1043✓1.21
2026-04-20oos1.40491.3648-2.86%1.3977-0.51%0.0004✓1.20
2026-04-19oos1.28981.2571-2.53%1.523+18.08%0.1168✗1.18
2026-04-18oos1.46151.4172-3.03%1.4644+0.20%0.0040✓1.15
2026-04-17oos1.50361.4504-3.54%1.604+6.68%0.0952✗1.15
2026-04-16oos1.28691.2462-3.16%1.6055+24.76%0.2082✗1.11
2026-04-15oos1.17511.1399-3.00%1.6333+38.99%0.3110✗1.10
2026-04-14oos1.05111.0266-2.33%1.573+49.65%0.3953✗1.09
2026-04-13oos1.07951.0481-2.91%1.4049+30.14%0.2724✗1.09
2026-04-12oos0.93440.917276-1.83%1.2898+38.04%0.2973✗1.03
2026-04-11oos1.00010.977309-2.28%1.4615+46.14%0.3662✗1.02
2026-04-10oos1.01760.992366-2.48%1.5036+47.76%0.3600✗1.02
2026-04-09oos0.99450.971543-2.31%1.2869+29.40%0.2347✗1.01
2026-04-08oos0.9940.971597-2.25%1.1751+18.22%0.1381✗1.01
2026-04-07oos1.01720.990927-2.58%1.0511+3.33%0.0275✗1.01
2026-04-06oos0.97620.955154-2.16%1.0795+10.58%0.0435✗1.01
2026-04-05oos0.96640.945828-2.13%0.9344-3.31%0.0374✓1.01
2026-04-04oos0.99110.968116-2.32%1.0001+0.91%0.0522✓1.03
2026-04-03oos0.92870.912271-1.77%1.0176+9.57%0.0214✗1.02
2026-04-02oos0.92840.913166-1.64%0.9945+7.12%0.0134✓1.02
2026-04-01oos0.98030.961424-1.93%0.994+1.40%0.0099✓1.01
2026-03-31oos0.96510.948329-1.74%1.0172+5.40%0.0169✓1.01
2026-03-30oos0.96870.951941-1.73%0.9762+0.77%0.0066✓1.02
2026-03-29oos0.920.907431-1.37%0.9664+5.04%0.0175✗1.01
2026-03-28oos0.9260.914425-1.25%0.9911+7.03%0.0659✗1.01
2026-03-27oos0.9220.912194-1.06%0.9287+0.73%0.0088✓1.01
2026-03-26oos0.9380.9316-0.68%0.9284-1.02%0.0247✗1.02
2026-03-25oos1.0111.007-0.40%0.9803-3.04%0.0192✗1.01
2026-03-24oos1.0291.024-0.49%0.9651-6.21%0.0256✓1.01
2026-03-23oos1.1511.1425-0.74%0.9687-15.84%0.1044✓1.01
2026-03-22oos1.21.1838-1.35%0.92-23.33%0.2221✓1.06
2026-03-21oos1.1861.1715-1.22%0.926-21.92%0.1943✓1.07
2026-03-20oos1.1711.1595-0.99%0.922-21.26%0.1638✓1.08
2026-03-19oos1.2311.2171-1.13%0.938-23.80%0.2425✓1.09
2026-03-18oos1.2481.2357-0.98%1.011-18.99%0.2016✓1.09
2026-03-17oos1.3871.371-1.15%1.029-25.81%0.2370✓1.06
2026-03-16oos1.3851.3676-1.25%1.151-16.90%0.1138✓1.06
2026-03-15oos1.281.2648-1.18%1.2-6.25%0.0210✗1.04
2026-03-14oos1.2381.2227-1.24%1.186-4.20%0.0037✓1.03
2026-03-13oos1.2381.2216-1.32%1.171-5.41%0.0358✓1.03
2026-03-12oos1.2471.2278-1.54%1.231-1.28%0.0116✓1.03
2026-03-11oos1.1771.1596-1.48%1.248+6.03%0.0584✗1.02
2026-03-10oos1.1311.1148-1.43%1.387+22.63%0.1622✗1.02
2026-03-09oos1.1671.1474-1.68%1.385+18.68%0.0948✗1.04
2026-03-08oos1.151.128-1.92%1.28+11.30%0.0230✗1.05
2026-03-07oos1.1411.1203-1.81%1.238+8.50%0.0394✗1.05
2026-03-06oos1.1981.1735-2.04%1.238+3.34%0.0106✓1.05
2026-03-05oos1.11.0808-1.75%1.247+13.36%0.1487✗1.13
2026-03-04oos1.1471.1255-1.87%1.177+2.62%0.0838✗1.13
2026-03-03oos1.0581.0369-1.99%1.131+6.90%0.0610✗1.10
2026-03-02oos1.0971.0744-2.06%1.167+6.38%0.0891✗1.10
2026-03-01oos1.0531.0316-2.04%1.15+9.21%0.1053✗1.09
2026-02-28oos1.1131.0903-2.04%1.141+2.52%0.0411✗1.00
2026-02-27oos1.1411.1175-2.06%1.198+5.00%0.0360✗1.00
2026-02-26oos1.2261.1988-2.22%1.1-10.28%0.1351✓1.00
2026-02-25oos1.2341.204-2.43%1.147-7.05%0.1152✓1.00
2026-02-24oos1.121.0935-2.37%1.058-5.54%0.0975✓1.00
2026-02-23oos1.0341.0144-1.90%1.097+6.09%0.0153✓1.00
2026-02-22oos1.2751.2482-2.11%1.053-17.41%0.1423✓1.00
2026-02-21oos1.3121.2827-2.23%1.113-15.17%0.1273✓1.00
2026-02-20oos1.2721.245-2.12%1.141-10.30%0.0555✓1.00
2026-02-19oos1.31.272-2.15%1.226-5.69%0.0446✓1.00
2026-02-18oos1.3391.3097-2.19%1.234-7.84%0.0829✓1.00
2026-02-17oos1.4231.3881-2.45%1.12-21.29%0.1629✓1.00
2026-02-16oos1.481.4371-2.90%1.034-30.14%0.2658✓1.00
2026-02-15oos1.3241.2921-2.41%1.275-3.70%0.0039✓1.00
2026-02-14oos1.4251.3847-2.83%1.312-7.93%0.0274✓1.00
2026-02-13oos1.3771.3384-2.80%1.272-7.63%0.0388✓1.00
2026-02-12oos1.3491.3117-2.76%1.3-3.63%0.0205✓1.00
2026-02-11oos1.2911.2577-2.58%1.339+3.72%0.0717✗1.00
2026-02-10oos1.2691.2385-2.40%1.423+12.14%0.1585✗1.00
2026-02-09oos1.3991.3615-2.68%1.48+5.79%0.1014✗1.00
2026-02-08oos1.3981.3623-2.55%1.324-5.29%0.0071✓1.00