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RAIL

Railgun · Ethereum · beta_5y

token id
#740
symbol
RAIL
variant
–
chain
Ethereum
address
0xe76c6c83af64e4c60245d8c7de953df673a7a33d
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2026-01-30
predictions
771
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +1d

assessed
256
of 257 predictions shown
direction hit
53.5%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0461
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0061
actual +0.0010

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-22live2.3382.3257-0.53%–pending––2.38
2026-10-21oos2.3892.3757-0.55%2.338-1.58%0.0158✓2.35
2026-10-20oos2.3932.3782-0.62%2.389-0.17%0.0116✗2.41
2026-10-19oos2.1942.1858-0.37%2.393+9.07%0.0591✗2.36
2026-10-18oos2.3952.3837-0.47%2.194-8.39%0.0781✓2.34
2026-10-17oos2.5772.5611-0.62%2.395-7.06%0.0850✓2.35
2026-10-16oos2.55422.5403-0.54%2.577+0.89%0.0177✗2.34
2026-10-15oos2.56772.5541-0.53%2.5542-0.53%0.0179✗2.35
2026-10-14oos2.66832.6541-0.53%2.5677-3.77%0.0491✓2.35
2026-10-13oos2.94752.9258-0.74%2.6683-9.47%0.0490✓2.31
2026-10-12oos2.93472.9135-0.72%2.9475+0.44%0.0270✓2.34
2026-10-11oos3.26393.2184-1.39%2.9347-10.08%0.0388✓2.28
2026-10-10oos2.73052.7049-0.94%3.2639+19.53%0.1665✗2.32
2026-10-09oos2.59432.5696-0.95%2.7305+5.25%0.0505✗2.31
2026-10-08oos2.42312.404-0.79%2.5943+7.06%0.0524✗2.29
2026-10-07oos2.35912.3432-0.68%2.4231+2.71%0.0783✗2.33
2026-10-06oos2.36362.3492-0.61%2.3591-0.19%0.0669✗2.34
2026-10-05oos2.62672.6087-0.68%2.3636-10.02%0.0931✓2.30
2026-10-04oos2.76362.7432-0.74%2.6267-4.95%0.0232✓2.29
2026-10-03oos2.81752.7957-0.77%2.7636-1.91%0.0591✓2.31
2026-10-02oos2.82132.7986-0.81%2.8175-0.13%0.0003✓2.31
2026-10-01oos3.18493.1349-1.57%2.8213-11.42%0.0962✓2.28
2026-09-30oos2.3912.3741-0.71%3.1849+33.20%0.2602✗2.19
2026-09-29oos2.55712.5379-0.75%2.391-6.50%0.0575✓2.16
2026-09-28oos2.60752.5871-0.78%2.5571-1.93%0.0164✓2.17
2026-09-27oos2.83412.8072-0.95%2.6075-8.00%0.0481✓2.14
2026-09-26oos2.82692.8008-0.92%2.8341+0.25%0.0107✗2.13
2026-09-25oos2.73172.7086-0.85%2.8269+3.49%0.0346✗2.13
2026-09-24oos2.77762.7542-0.84%2.7317-1.65%0.0008✓2.13
2026-09-23oos2.86822.844-0.85%2.7776-3.16%0.0238✓2.12
2026-09-22oos3.09353.0635-0.97%2.8682-7.28%0.0215✓2.08
2026-09-21oos3.17133.1352-1.14%3.0935-2.45%0.0039✓2.07
2026-09-20oos2.99792.9649-1.10%3.1713+5.78%0.0761✓2.21
2026-09-19oos2.97472.9369-1.27%2.9979+0.78%0.0226✗2.22
2026-09-18oos2.92872.8676-2.08%2.9747+1.57%0.0269✗2.19
2026-09-17oos2.14522.1258-0.90%2.9287+36.52%0.2141✗1.85
2026-09-16oos1.94911.9378-0.58%2.1452+10.06%0.0967✗1.85
2026-09-15oos1.93131.9221-0.48%1.9491+0.92%0.0002✓1.92
2026-09-14oos2.06322.0495-0.67%1.9313-6.39%0.0057✓1.93
2026-09-13oos1.99491.9853-0.48%2.0632+3.42%0.0041✓1.94
2026-09-12oos2.07662.0648-0.57%1.9949-3.93%0.0228✓1.94
2026-09-11oos2.12832.1152-0.62%2.0766-2.43%0.0198✓1.94
2026-09-10oos2.03182.0246-0.36%2.1283+4.75%0.0332✗1.92
2026-09-09oos2.17342.1609-0.57%2.0318-6.52%0.0186✓1.91
2026-09-08oos2.26512.2476-0.77%2.1734-4.05%0.0294✓1.99
2026-09-07oos2.25022.2311-0.85%2.2651+0.66%0.0316✗2.02
2026-09-06oos2.31082.2946-0.70%2.2502-2.62%0.0124✗2.04
2026-09-05oos1.98481.9839-0.04%2.3108+16.42%0.1398✗2.01
2026-09-04oos1.9611.964+0.15%1.9848+1.21%0.0063✓2.19
2026-09-03oos1.97511.9815+0.32%1.961-0.71%0.0333✓2.21
2026-09-02oos1.80581.8186+0.71%1.9751+9.38%0.0241✗2.14
2026-09-01oos1.99452.0009+0.32%1.8058-9.46%0.1000✗2.15
2026-08-31oos2.01732.0215+0.21%1.9945-1.13%0.0133✓1.80
2026-08-30oos2.04082.041+0.01%2.0173-1.15%0.0333✗1.88
2026-08-29oos2.11042.1057-0.22%2.0408-3.30%0.0172✓1.94
2026-08-28oos2.07292.0664-0.31%2.1104+1.81%0.0112✗1.94
2026-08-27oos2.07512.0669-0.40%2.0729-0.11%0.0640✗1.98
2026-08-26oos1.98951.9814-0.41%2.0751+4.30%0.0153✗1.97
2026-08-25oos1.98811.9801-0.40%1.9895+0.07%0.0079✓2.00
2026-08-24oos2.24862.2357-0.58%1.9881-11.58%0.1060✓1.96
2026-08-23oos2.17132.1596-0.54%2.2486+3.56%0.0091✗1.96
2026-08-22oos2.19242.1786-0.63%2.1713-0.96%0.0204✓1.96
2026-08-21oos2.2392.2168-0.99%2.1924-2.08%0.0213✗1.98
2026-08-20oos1.86961.8551-0.78%2.239+19.76%0.0455✗2.03
2026-08-19oos1.71621.7014-0.86%1.8696+8.94%0.0077✓1.66
2026-08-18oos1.441.4333-0.47%1.7162+19.18%0.0753✗1.52
2026-08-17oos1.41041.4043-0.44%1.44+2.10%0.0202✗1.55
2026-08-16oos1.39041.3845-0.43%1.4104+1.44%0.0222✓1.58
2026-08-15oos1.38361.378-0.40%1.3904+0.49%0.0135✗1.58
2026-08-14oos1.38121.3758-0.39%1.3836+0.17%0.0045✗1.59
2026-08-13oos1.3751.3701-0.36%1.3812+0.45%0.0197✗1.63
2026-08-12oos1.38091.3762-0.34%1.375-0.43%0.0013✓1.68
2026-08-11oos1.40331.3985-0.34%1.3809-1.60%0.0095✓1.69
2026-08-10oos1.41881.4139-0.35%1.4033-1.09%0.0027✓1.71
2026-08-09oos1.45371.4483-0.37%1.4188-2.40%0.0045✗1.72
2026-08-08oos1.47241.4663-0.42%1.4537-1.27%0.0070✓1.73
2026-08-07oos1.47721.4705-0.45%1.4724-0.32%0.0008✓1.73
2026-08-06oos1.42331.4181-0.36%1.4772+3.79%0.0242✗1.72
2026-08-05oos1.42431.4191-0.36%1.4233-0.07%0.0121✗1.75
2026-08-04oos1.4611.4546-0.44%1.4243-2.51%0.0362✓1.76
2026-08-03oos1.42261.4171-0.39%1.461+2.70%0.0144✗1.76
2026-08-02oos1.4641.4573-0.45%1.4226-2.83%0.0232✓1.85
2026-08-01oos1.3961.3914-0.33%1.464+4.87%0.0294✗1.84
2026-07-31oos1.44291.4378-0.35%1.396-3.25%0.0277✓1.84
2026-07-30oos1.49191.4865-0.36%1.4429-3.28%0.0257✗1.86
2026-07-29oos1.47951.4747-0.32%1.4919+0.84%0.0123✓1.86
2026-07-28oos1.52391.5184-0.36%1.4795-2.91%0.0274✓1.86
2026-07-27oos1.52041.5153-0.34%1.5239+0.23%0.0012✓1.87
2026-07-26oos1.54231.5375-0.31%1.5204-1.42%0.0373✗1.90
2026-07-25oos1.5171.5132-0.25%1.5423+1.67%0.0122✓1.94
2026-07-24oos1.65511.6489-0.37%1.517-8.34%0.0899✓1.96
2026-07-23oos1.61331.6089-0.27%1.6551+2.59%0.0578✗1.97
2026-07-22oos1.8521.8413-0.58%1.6133-12.89%0.1020✓1.91
2026-07-21oos1.66151.655-0.39%1.852+11.47%0.1250✗1.93
2026-07-20oos1.6031.5972-0.36%1.6615+3.65%0.0015✓1.92
2026-07-19oos1.6541.6463-0.47%1.603-3.08%0.0427✓1.96
2026-07-18oos1.56321.5571-0.39%1.654+5.81%0.0639✗1.99
2026-07-17oos1.5031.4981-0.33%1.5632+4.01%0.0138✗2.05
2026-07-16oos1.49331.4891-0.28%1.503+0.65%0.0053✗2.05
2026-07-15oos1.53051.5263-0.28%1.4933-2.43%0.0096✗2.13
2026-07-14oos1.65471.6478-0.42%1.5305-7.51%0.0649✓2.14
2026-07-13oos1.5221.5184-0.24%1.6547+8.72%0.0079✓2.19
2026-07-12oos1.75031.7421-0.47%1.522-13.04%0.0853✓2.12
2026-07-11oos1.69151.6845-0.41%1.7503+3.48%0.0394✗2.17
2026-07-10oos1.64041.6354-0.31%1.6915+3.12%0.0459✗2.18
2026-07-09oos1.62121.6176-0.22%1.6404+1.18%0.0188✓2.19
2026-07-08oos1.82521.8184-0.37%1.6212-11.18%0.1486✓2.26
2026-07-07oos1.83851.8324-0.33%1.8252-0.72%0.0351✗2.26
2026-07-06oos1.87661.8706-0.32%1.8385-2.03%0.0068✗2.26
2026-07-05oos2.06942.0601-0.45%1.8766-9.32%0.1077✓2.20
2026-07-04oos2.0862.0759-0.48%2.0694-0.80%0.0205✓2.21
2026-07-03oos2.09422.0831-0.53%2.086-0.39%0.0180✓2.15
2026-07-02oos2.05712.0462-0.53%2.0942+1.80%0.0131✓2.17
2026-07-01oos2.01412.0033-0.53%2.0571+2.13%0.0288✓2.21
2026-06-30oos1.891.8836-0.34%2.0141+6.57%0.0132✗2.22
2026-06-29oos2.00211.9933-0.44%1.89-5.60%0.0079✗2.21
2026-06-28oos2.1132.1015-0.55%2.0021-5.25%0.0738✓2.20
2026-06-27oos2.12562.1138-0.56%2.113-0.59%0.0167✗2.21
2026-06-26oos2.15632.1438-0.58%2.1256-1.42%0.0060✓2.21
2026-06-25oos2.15092.139-0.55%2.1563+0.25%0.0030✓2.21
2026-06-24oos2.17182.1605-0.52%2.1509-0.96%0.0417✗2.18
2026-06-23oos2.29622.2831-0.57%2.1718-5.42%0.0086✗2.18
2026-06-22oos2.43582.4188-0.70%2.2962-5.73%0.0078✓2.15
2026-06-21oos2.34742.3332-0.61%2.4358+3.77%0.0188✗2.16
2026-06-20oos2.31832.3067-0.50%2.3474+1.26%0.0484✗1.99
2026-06-19oos2.45712.4429-0.58%2.3183-5.65%0.0759✓2.01
2026-06-18oos2.40912.3983-0.45%2.4571+1.99%0.0055✗1.98
2026-06-17oos2.7842.7651-0.68%2.4091-13.47%0.0912✓1.90
2026-06-16oos2.92972.9069-0.78%2.784-4.97%0.0094✓1.88
2026-06-15oos3.1053.0732-1.03%2.9297-5.65%0.0287✓1.91
2026-06-14oos2.97762.9502-0.92%3.105+4.28%0.0347✗1.90
2026-06-13oos2.91892.8933-0.88%2.9776+2.01%0.0091✓1.93
2026-06-12oos2.9642.9351-0.97%2.9189-1.52%0.0325✓1.94
2026-06-11oos3.06913.029-1.31%2.964-3.42%0.0209✓1.94
2026-06-10oos2.63382.6156-0.69%3.0691+16.53%0.0969✗1.86
2026-06-09oos2.90842.8797-0.99%2.6338-9.44%0.0821✓1.86
2026-06-08oos3.14183.0927-1.56%2.9084-7.43%0.0210✓1.83
2026-06-07oos2.90182.851-1.75%3.1418+8.27%0.1039✗1.79
2026-06-06oos2.2862.2721-0.61%2.9018+26.94%0.1833✗1.55
2026-06-05oos2.22932.2192-0.45%2.286+2.54%0.0342✗1.54
2026-06-04oos2.32132.3086-0.55%2.2293-3.96%0.0350✗1.57
2026-06-03oos2.60612.575-1.19%2.3213-10.93%0.0985✓1.42
2026-06-02oos2.10112.0952-0.28%2.6061+24.04%0.2869✗1.71
2026-06-01oos2.49362.4739-0.79%2.1011-15.74%0.0597✓1.53
2026-05-31oos2.87512.8429-1.12%2.4936-13.27%0.0860✓1.45
2026-05-30oos3.04463.0086-1.18%2.8751-5.57%0.0417✓1.40
2026-05-29oos3.33133.2811-1.51%3.0446-8.61%0.0827✓1.43
2026-05-28oos3.22233.181-1.28%3.3313+3.38%0.0490✗1.41
2026-05-27oos3.60613.55-1.56%3.2223-10.64%0.0815✓1.41
2026-05-26oos3.61693.5614-1.54%3.6061-0.30%0.0410✗1.42
2026-05-25oos3.80623.7393-1.76%3.6169-4.97%0.0072✓1.40
2026-05-24oos3.90153.8062-2.44%3.8062-2.44%0.0049✓1.38
2026-05-23oos3.44853.3471-2.94%3.9015+13.14%0.1467✗1.55
2026-05-22oos2.46212.3968-2.65%3.4485+40.06%0.3408✗1.45
2026-05-21oos1.56831.5525-1.01%2.4621+56.99%0.5103✗1.79
2026-05-20oos1.48581.4708-1.01%1.5683+5.55%0.0625✗1.77
2026-05-19oos1.33641.3275-0.67%1.4858+11.18%0.0966✗1.75
2026-05-18oos1.32811.3203-0.59%1.3364+0.62%0.0162✗1.76
2026-05-17oos1.33541.3287-0.50%1.3281-0.55%0.0102✗1.76
2026-05-16oos1.41191.4045-0.52%1.3354-5.42%0.0347✓1.75
2026-05-15oos1.60211.5914-0.67%1.4119-11.87%0.0986✓1.74
2026-05-14oos1.7581.7427-0.87%1.6021-8.87%0.0409✓1.71
2026-05-13oos1.65681.6457-0.67%1.758+6.11%0.0289✗1.66
2026-05-12oos1.75881.7463-0.71%1.6568-5.80%0.0282✓1.63
2026-05-11oos1.86661.8523-0.77%1.7588-5.78%0.0277✓1.57
2026-05-10oos2.04562.0254-0.99%1.8666-8.75%0.0724✓1.59
2026-05-09oos1.99931.9787-1.03%2.0456+2.32%0.0030✓1.59
2026-05-08oos1.97711.9509-1.32%1.9993+1.12%0.0154✗1.56
2026-05-07oos1.63321.6203-0.79%1.9771+21.06%0.1954✗1.55
2026-05-06oos1.67641.6602-0.97%1.6332-2.58%0.0093✓1.45
2026-05-05oos1.66151.64-1.29%1.6764+0.90%0.0140✗1.22
2026-05-04oos1.37241.3647-0.56%1.6615+21.07%0.1811✗1.19
2026-05-03oos1.31691.3129-0.30%1.3724+4.21%0.0247✗1.20
2026-05-02oos1.34611.3411-0.37%1.3169-2.17%0.0163✓1.22
2026-05-01oos1.29211.29-0.16%1.3461+4.18%0.0354✗1.26
2026-04-30oos1.24151.242+0.04%1.2921+4.08%0.0090✓1.23
2026-04-29oos1.25211.2524+0.02%1.2415-0.85%0.0177✗1.23
2026-04-28oos1.36781.3638-0.29%1.2521-8.46%0.0764✓1.22
2026-04-27oos1.39771.3925-0.37%1.3678-2.14%0.0013✓1.22
2026-04-26oos1.5231.5137-0.61%1.3977-8.23%0.0594✓1.21
2026-04-25oos1.46441.4569-0.51%1.523+4.00%0.0286✗1.21
2026-04-24oos1.6041.5931-0.68%1.4644-8.70%0.0872✓1.21
2026-04-23oos1.60551.5941-0.71%1.604-0.09%0.0189✗1.21
2026-04-22oos1.63331.6195-0.84%1.6055-1.70%0.0098✓1.21
2026-04-21oos1.5731.5583-0.93%1.6333+3.83%0.0179✗1.21
2026-04-20oos1.40491.3948-0.72%1.573+11.97%0.1126✗1.20
2026-04-19oos1.28981.283-0.53%1.4049+8.92%0.0586✗1.18
2026-04-18oos1.46151.4504-0.76%1.2898-11.75%0.0879✓1.15
2026-04-17oos1.50361.4874-1.08%1.4615-2.80%0.0030✓1.15
2026-04-16oos1.28691.2754-0.89%1.5036+16.84%0.1364✗1.11
2026-04-15oos1.17511.1652-0.84%1.2869+9.51%0.0945✗1.10
2026-04-14oos1.05111.0449-0.59%1.1751+11.80%0.1078✗1.09
2026-04-13oos1.07951.0706-0.82%1.0511-2.63%0.0145✓1.09
2026-04-12oos0.93440.930764-0.39%1.0795+15.53%0.0961✗1.03
2026-04-11oos1.00010.994683-0.54%0.9344-6.57%0.0296✓1.02
2026-04-10oos1.01761.0114-0.61%1.0001-1.72%0.0125✓1.02
2026-04-09oos0.99450.989073-0.55%1.0176+2.32%0.0116✗1.01
2026-04-08oos0.9940.988756-0.53%0.9945+0.05%0.0043✓1.01
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2026-04-02oos0.92840.924927-0.37%0.9287+0.03%0.0031✓1.02
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2026-03-31oos0.96510.960638-0.46%0.9803+1.57%0.0219✗1.01
2026-03-30oos0.96870.964002-0.48%0.9651-0.37%0.0212✓1.02
2026-03-29oos0.920.916651-0.36%0.9687+5.29%0.0434✗1.01
2026-03-28oos0.9260.922831-0.34%0.92-0.65%0.0025✓1.01
2026-03-27oos0.9220.919394-0.28%0.926+0.43%0.0077✗1.01
2026-03-26oos0.9380.936135-0.20%0.922-1.71%0.0212✗1.02
2026-03-25oos1.0111.009-0.20%0.938-7.22%0.0366✓1.01
2026-03-24oos1.0291.0271-0.18%1.011-1.75%0.0268✓1.01
2026-03-23oos1.1511.1476-0.30%1.029-10.60%0.1042✓1.01
2026-03-22oos1.21.1947-0.44%1.151-4.08%0.0837✓1.06
2026-03-21oos1.1861.1815-0.38%1.2+1.18%0.0322✗1.07
2026-03-20oos1.1711.1676-0.29%1.186+1.28%0.0402✗1.08
2026-03-19oos1.2311.2269-0.33%1.171-4.87%0.0556✓1.09
2026-03-18oos1.2481.2444-0.29%1.231-1.36%0.0097✗1.09
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2026-03-15oos1.281.2747-0.41%1.385+8.20%0.0540✗1.04
2026-03-14oos1.2381.2333-0.38%1.28+3.39%0.0143✗1.03
2026-03-13oos1.2381.233-0.40%1.238+0.00%0.0001✓1.03
2026-03-12oos1.2471.2411-0.48%1.238-0.72%0.0085✓1.03
2026-03-11oos1.1771.1721-0.41%1.247+5.95%0.0572✗1.02
2026-03-10oos1.1311.127-0.36%1.177+4.07%0.0398✗1.02
2026-03-09oos1.1671.162-0.43%1.131-3.08%0.0499✓1.04
2026-03-08oos1.151.1447-0.46%1.167+1.48%0.0190✓1.05
2026-03-07oos1.1411.1362-0.42%1.15+0.79%0.0325✗1.05
2026-03-06oos1.1981.1915-0.54%1.141-4.76%0.0301✓1.05
2026-03-05oos1.11.0957-0.39%1.198+8.91%0.1344✗1.13
2026-03-04oos1.1471.1415-0.48%1.1-4.10%0.0088✓1.13
2026-03-03oos1.0581.0538-0.40%1.147+8.41%0.0170✗1.10
2026-03-02oos1.0971.0922-0.44%1.058-3.56%0.0238✓1.10
2026-03-01oos1.0531.0491-0.38%1.097+4.18%0.0051✓1.09
2026-02-28oos1.1131.1086-0.40%1.053-5.39%0.0333✓1.00
2026-02-27oos1.1411.1364-0.40%1.113-2.45%0.0375✓1.00
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2026-02-25oos1.2341.2269-0.58%1.226-0.65%0.0067✗1.00
2026-02-24oos1.121.1146-0.48%1.234+10.18%0.0423✗1.00
2026-02-23oos1.0341.0312-0.27%1.12+8.32%0.0912✗1.00
2026-02-22oos1.2751.2695-0.43%1.034-18.90%0.1599✓1.00
2026-02-21oos1.3121.3057-0.48%1.275-2.82%0.0188✓1.00
2026-02-20oos1.2721.2668-0.41%1.312+3.14%0.0355✗1.00
2026-02-19oos1.31.2946-0.42%1.272-2.15%0.0326✓1.00
2026-02-18oos1.3391.3333-0.43%1.3-2.91%0.0336✓1.00
2026-02-17oos1.4231.4157-0.52%1.339-5.90%0.0400✓1.00
2026-02-16oos1.481.47-0.68%1.423-3.85%0.0121✓1.00
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2026-02-14oos1.4251.4164-0.60%1.324-7.09%0.0531✓1.00
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2026-02-10oos1.2691.2641-0.39%1.291+1.73%0.0473✗1.00
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