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RAIL

Railgun · Ethereum · beta_5y

token id
#740
symbol
RAIL
variant
–
chain
Ethereum
address
0xe76c6c83af64e4c60245d8c7de953df673a7a33d
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2026-01-30
predictions
771
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +30d

assessed
227
of 257 predictions shown
direction hit
54.6%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2968
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0761
actual +0.0557

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-22live2.3382.1858-6.51%–pending––2.38
2026-10-21oos2.3892.2177-7.17%–pending––2.35
2026-10-20oos2.3932.2263-6.97%–pending––2.41
2026-10-19oos2.1942.0449-6.79%–pending––2.36
2026-10-18oos2.3952.2244-7.12%–pending––2.34
2026-10-17oos2.5772.367-8.15%–pending––2.35
2026-10-16oos2.55422.3417-8.32%–pending––2.34
2026-10-15oos2.56772.3511-8.44%–pending––2.35
2026-10-14oos2.66832.4301-8.93%–pending––2.35
2026-10-13oos2.94752.661-9.72%–pending––2.31
2026-10-12oos2.93472.6349-10.22%–pending––2.34
2026-10-11oos3.26392.8868-11.55%–pending––2.28
2026-10-10oos2.73052.4448-10.46%–pending––2.32
2026-10-09oos2.59432.3177-10.66%–pending––2.31
2026-10-08oos2.42312.1622-10.77%–pending––2.29
2026-10-07oos2.35912.1095-10.58%–pending––2.33
2026-10-06oos2.36362.1206-10.28%–pending––2.34
2026-10-05oos2.62672.3703-9.76%–pending––2.30
2026-10-04oos2.76362.4982-9.60%–pending––2.29
2026-10-03oos2.81752.5325-10.11%–pending––2.31
2026-10-02oos2.82132.5263-10.46%–pending––2.31
2026-10-01oos3.18492.8258-11.28%–pending––2.28
2026-09-30oos2.3912.111-11.71%–pending––2.19
2026-09-29oos2.55712.2642-11.45%–pending––2.16
2026-09-28oos2.60752.3042-11.63%–pending––2.17
2026-09-27oos2.83412.5045-11.63%–pending––2.14
2026-09-26oos2.82692.4926-11.82%–pending––2.13
2026-09-25oos2.73172.4014-12.09%–pending––2.13
2026-09-24oos2.77762.4376-12.24%–pending––2.13
2026-09-23oos2.86822.513-12.38%–pending––2.12
2026-09-22oos3.09352.7131-12.30%2.338-24.42%0.1005✓2.08
2026-09-21oos3.17132.7751-12.49%2.389-24.67%0.0543✓2.07
2026-09-20oos2.99792.5983-13.33%2.393-20.18%0.1303✓2.21
2026-09-19oos2.97472.5646-13.79%2.194-26.24%0.1725✓2.22
2026-09-18oos2.92872.4897-14.99%2.395-18.22%0.0692✓2.19
2026-09-17oos2.14521.8845-12.15%2.577+20.13%0.1951✗1.85
2026-09-16oos1.94911.7284-11.32%2.5542+31.05%0.2650✗1.85
2026-09-15oos1.93131.7175-11.07%2.5677+32.95%0.2428✗1.92
2026-09-14oos2.06321.8033-12.60%2.6683+29.33%0.3098✗1.93
2026-09-13oos1.99491.7562-11.96%2.9475+47.75%0.3648✗1.94
2026-09-12oos2.07661.8171-12.50%2.9347+41.32%0.3699✗1.94
2026-09-11oos2.12831.8584-12.68%3.2639+53.35%0.4074✗1.94
2026-09-10oos2.03181.7893-11.94%2.7305+34.39%0.2695✗1.92
2026-09-09oos2.17341.8918-12.96%2.5943+19.36%0.2148✗1.91
2026-09-08oos2.26511.9617-13.39%2.4231+6.98%0.1305✓1.99
2026-09-07oos2.25021.9474-13.45%2.3591+4.84%0.0877✓2.02
2026-09-06oos2.31082.0035-13.30%2.3636+2.28%0.0371✓2.04
2026-09-05oos1.98481.7531-11.67%2.6267+32.34%0.2607✗2.01
2026-09-04oos1.9611.7619-10.15%2.7636+40.93%0.2702✗2.19
2026-09-03oos1.97511.8205-7.83%2.8175+42.65%0.3441✗2.21
2026-09-02oos1.80581.7245-4.50%2.8213+56.24%0.3020✗2.14
2026-09-01oos1.99451.9125-4.11%3.1849+59.68%0.3128✗2.15
2026-08-31oos2.01731.9472-3.48%2.391+18.52%0.0947✗1.80
2026-08-30oos2.04081.965-3.71%2.5571+25.30%0.1240✗1.88
2026-08-29oos2.11042.0257-4.01%2.6075+23.55%0.1271✗1.94
2026-08-28oos2.07291.985-4.24%2.8341+36.72%0.1975✗1.94
2026-08-27oos2.07511.9989-3.67%2.8269+36.23%0.2468✗1.98
2026-08-26oos1.98951.9093-4.03%2.7317+37.31%0.2356✗1.97
2026-08-25oos1.98811.9116-3.85%2.7776+39.71%0.2299✗2.00
2026-08-24oos2.24862.1569-4.08%2.8682+27.55%0.1555✗1.96
2026-08-23oos2.17132.0999-3.29%3.0935+42.47%0.1848✗1.96
2026-08-22oos2.19242.1252-3.07%3.1713+44.65%0.1714✗1.96
2026-08-21oos2.2392.1898-2.20%2.9979+33.89%0.2437✗1.98
2026-08-20oos1.86961.8277-2.24%2.9747+59.11%0.2705✗2.03
2026-08-19oos1.71621.6588-3.35%2.9287+70.65%0.3122✗1.66
2026-08-18oos1.441.392-3.34%2.1452+48.97%0.1804✗1.52
2026-08-17oos1.41041.3664-3.12%1.9491+38.19%0.0969✗1.55
2026-08-16oos1.39041.3425-3.44%1.9313+38.90%0.0714✗1.58
2026-08-15oos1.38361.3404-3.12%2.0632+49.12%0.0902✗1.58
2026-08-14oos1.38121.3411-2.90%1.9949+44.43%0.0808✗1.59
2026-08-13oos1.3751.3393-2.60%2.0766+51.03%0.1162✗1.63
2026-08-12oos1.38091.3468-2.47%2.1283+54.12%0.1274✗1.68
2026-08-11oos1.40331.369-2.44%2.0318+44.79%0.0793✗1.69
2026-08-10oos1.41881.3856-2.34%2.1734+53.19%0.1034✗1.71
2026-08-09oos1.45371.4189-2.39%2.2651+55.82%0.1394✗1.72
2026-08-08oos1.47241.4337-2.63%2.2502+52.82%0.1081✗1.73
2026-08-07oos1.47721.437-2.72%2.3108+56.43%0.1063✗1.73
2026-08-06oos1.42331.3874-2.52%1.9848+39.45%0.0146✓1.72
2026-08-05oos1.42431.3884-2.52%1.961+37.68%0.0215✓1.75
2026-08-04oos1.4611.4146-3.17%1.9751+35.19%0.0861✓1.76
2026-08-03oos1.42261.3784-3.11%1.8058+26.94%0.0770✓1.76
2026-08-02oos1.4641.4154-3.32%1.9945+36.24%0.0227✓1.85
2026-08-01oos1.3961.3553-2.92%2.0173+44.51%0.0157✓1.84
2026-07-31oos1.44291.3998-2.99%2.0408+41.44%0.0137✓1.84
2026-07-30oos1.49191.4548-2.48%2.1104+41.46%0.0185✓1.86
2026-07-29oos1.47951.4455-2.30%2.0729+40.11%0.0074✓1.86
2026-07-28oos1.52391.487-2.42%2.0751+36.17%0.0923✓1.86
2026-07-27oos1.52041.4827-2.48%1.9895+30.85%0.1102✓1.87
2026-07-26oos1.54231.5153-1.75%1.9881+28.90%0.0772✓1.90
2026-07-25oos1.5171.4885-1.88%2.2486+48.23%0.0138✓1.94
2026-07-24oos1.65511.6141-2.48%2.1713+31.19%0.0820✓1.96
2026-07-23oos1.61331.5882-1.56%2.1924+35.90%0.0108✓1.97
2026-07-22oos1.8521.8169-1.90%2.239+20.90%0.1157✓1.91
2026-07-21oos1.66151.648-0.81%1.8696+12.52%0.0534✓1.93
2026-07-20oos1.6031.5774-1.60%1.7162+7.06%0.0324✓1.92
2026-07-19oos1.6541.6197-2.07%1.44-12.94%0.1176✓1.96
2026-07-18oos1.56321.5343-1.85%1.4104-9.77%0.0744✓1.99
2026-07-17oos1.5031.4693-2.24%1.3904-7.49%0.0210✓2.05
2026-07-16oos1.49331.4584-2.34%1.3836-7.35%0.0284✓2.05
2026-07-15oos1.53051.4974-2.16%1.3812-9.75%0.0226✓2.13
2026-07-14oos1.65471.6079-2.83%1.375-16.90%0.1044✓2.14
2026-07-13oos1.5221.4735-3.19%1.3809-9.27%0.1049✓2.19
2026-07-12oos1.75031.6795-4.05%1.4033-19.83%0.1727✓2.12
2026-07-11oos1.69151.6246-3.96%1.4188-16.12%0.1402✓2.17
2026-07-10oos1.64041.5802-3.67%1.4537-11.38%0.1078✓2.18
2026-07-09oos1.62121.5619-3.66%1.4724-9.18%0.1183✓2.19
2026-07-08oos1.82521.7402-4.66%1.4772-19.07%0.2582✓2.26
2026-07-07oos1.83851.758-4.38%1.4233-22.58%0.2446✓2.26
2026-07-06oos1.87661.7963-4.28%1.4243-24.10%0.2532✓2.26
2026-07-05oos2.06941.9646-5.06%1.461-29.40%0.3123✓2.20
2026-07-04oos2.0861.9725-5.44%1.4226-31.80%0.3401✓2.21
2026-07-03oos2.09421.9709-5.89%1.464-30.09%0.3307✓2.15
2026-07-02oos2.05711.927-6.33%1.396-32.14%0.3671✓2.17
2026-07-01oos2.01411.8756-6.88%1.4429-28.36%0.3652✓2.21
2026-06-30oos1.891.7689-6.41%1.4919-21.06%0.3937✓2.22
2026-06-29oos2.00211.861-7.05%1.4795-26.10%0.3626✓2.21
2026-06-28oos2.1131.9439-8.00%1.5239-27.88%0.3997✓2.20
2026-06-27oos2.12561.9494-8.29%1.5204-28.47%0.3830✓2.21
2026-06-26oos2.15631.9705-8.62%1.5423-28.47%0.4333✓2.21
2026-06-25oos2.15091.9628-8.74%1.517-29.47%0.4217✓2.21
2026-06-24oos2.17181.9859-8.56%1.6551-23.79%0.2902✓2.18
2026-06-23oos2.29622.0972-8.67%1.6133-29.74%0.3445✓2.18
2026-06-22oos2.43582.2152-9.06%1.852-23.97%0.2496✓2.15
2026-06-21oos2.34742.1389-8.88%1.6615-29.22%0.3617✓2.16
2026-06-20oos2.31832.1228-8.43%1.603-30.85%0.3113✓1.99
2026-06-19oos2.45712.2355-9.02%1.654-32.68%0.3391✓2.01
2026-06-18oos2.40912.1992-8.71%1.5632-35.11%0.4010✓1.98
2026-06-17oos2.7842.4903-10.55%1.503-46.01%0.4886✓1.90
2026-06-16oos2.92972.5924-11.51%1.4933-49.03%0.4980✓1.88
2026-06-15oos3.1052.7067-12.83%1.5305-50.71%0.5246✓1.91
2026-06-14oos2.97762.6053-12.50%1.6547-44.43%0.4330✓1.90
2026-06-13oos2.91892.5485-12.69%1.522-47.86%0.4495✓1.93
2026-06-12oos2.9642.5593-13.65%1.7503-40.95%0.3861✓1.94
2026-06-11oos3.06912.6091-14.99%1.6915-44.89%0.4398✓1.94
2026-06-10oos2.63382.3095-12.31%1.6404-37.72%0.4215✓1.86
2026-06-09oos2.90842.4795-14.75%1.6212-44.26%0.4692✓1.86
2026-06-08oos3.14182.6049-17.09%1.8252-41.91%0.3316✓1.83
2026-06-07oos2.90182.418-16.67%1.8385-36.64%0.2746✓1.79
2026-06-06oos2.2862.0153-11.84%1.8766-17.91%0.1497✓1.55
2026-06-05oos2.22931.974-11.45%2.0694-7.17%0.0158✓1.54
2026-06-04oos2.32132.0263-12.71%2.086-10.14%0.0469✓1.57
2026-06-03oos2.60612.214-15.05%2.0942-19.64%0.0215✓1.42
2026-06-02oos2.10111.8456-12.16%2.0571-2.09%0.2470✗1.71
2026-06-01oos2.49362.1242-14.81%2.0141-19.23%0.2128✗1.53
2026-05-31oos2.87512.4036-16.40%1.89-34.26%0.0906✓1.45
2026-05-30oos3.04462.5207-17.21%2.0021-34.24%0.0547✓1.40
2026-05-29oos3.33132.711-18.62%2.113-36.57%0.0513✓1.43
2026-05-28oos3.22232.6362-18.19%2.1256-34.03%0.0724✓1.41
2026-05-27oos3.60612.902-19.52%2.1563-40.20%0.0040✓1.41
2026-05-26oos3.61692.9111-19.52%2.1509-40.53%0.0361✓1.42
2026-05-25oos3.80623.0414-20.09%2.1718-42.94%0.0051✓1.40
2026-05-24oos3.90153.0747-21.19%2.2962-41.15%0.0071✓1.38
2026-05-23oos3.44852.7226-21.05%2.4358-29.37%0.1695✓1.55
2026-05-22oos2.46212.0342-17.38%2.3474-4.66%0.3990✗1.45
2026-05-21oos1.56831.389-11.44%2.3183+47.82%0.8493✗1.79
2026-05-20oos1.48581.3181-11.29%2.4571+65.37%0.9761✗1.77
2026-05-19oos1.33641.1965-10.47%2.4091+80.27%1.0489✗1.75
2026-05-18oos1.32811.1933-10.15%2.784+109.62%1.1597✗1.76
2026-05-17oos1.33541.2035-9.88%2.9297+119.39%1.1813✗1.76
2026-05-16oos1.41191.2722-9.89%3.105+119.92%1.1804✗1.75
2026-05-15oos1.60211.4358-10.38%2.9776+85.86%1.0510✗1.74
2026-05-14oos1.7581.5648-10.99%2.9189+66.04%1.0167✗1.71
2026-05-13oos1.65681.481-10.61%2.964+78.90%1.0619✗1.66
2026-05-12oos1.75881.5651-11.01%3.0691+74.50%1.0573✗1.63
2026-05-11oos1.86661.6532-11.43%2.6338+41.10%0.9145✗1.57
2026-05-10oos2.04561.796-12.20%2.9084+42.18%0.9390✗1.59
2026-05-09oos1.99931.7538-12.28%3.1418+57.15%0.9755✗1.59
2026-05-08oos1.97711.729-12.55%2.9018+46.77%0.8864✗1.56
2026-05-07oos1.63321.4539-10.98%2.286+39.97%0.8779✗1.55
2026-05-06oos1.67641.4884-11.21%2.2293+32.98%0.8214✗1.45
2026-05-05oos1.66151.4712-11.45%2.3213+39.71%0.7458✗1.22
2026-05-04oos1.37241.2369-9.87%2.6061+89.89%1.0086✗1.19
2026-05-03oos1.31691.1984-9.00%2.1011+59.55%0.7590✗1.20
2026-05-02oos1.34611.2294-8.67%2.4936+85.25%0.8268✗1.22
2026-05-01oos1.29211.1919-7.75%2.8751+122.51%0.9579✗1.26
2026-04-30oos1.24151.1561-6.88%3.0446+145.24%1.0097✗1.23
2026-04-29oos1.25211.172-6.39%3.3313+166.06%1.0839✗1.23
2026-04-28oos1.36781.2743-6.84%3.2223+135.58%0.9735✗1.22
2026-04-27oos1.39771.2995-7.02%3.6061+158.00%1.0697✗1.22
2026-04-26oos1.5231.4045-7.78%3.6169+137.49%0.9906✗1.21
2026-04-25oos1.46441.3495-7.84%3.8062+159.92%1.0431✗1.21
2026-04-24oos1.6041.468-8.48%3.9015+143.24%0.9851✗1.21
2026-04-23oos1.60551.47-8.44%3.4485+114.79%0.8782✗1.21
2026-04-22oos1.63331.4912-8.70%2.4621+50.74%0.5450✗1.21
2026-04-21oos1.5731.4365-8.68%1.5683-0.30%0.0689✓1.21
2026-04-20oos1.40491.298-7.61%1.4858+5.76%0.1099✗1.20
2026-04-19oos1.28981.1955-7.31%1.3364+3.61%0.0653✓1.18
2026-04-18oos1.46151.3459-7.91%1.3281-9.13%0.0315✓1.15
2026-04-17oos1.50361.3842-7.94%1.3354-11.19%0.0405✓1.15
2026-04-16oos1.28691.1934-7.27%1.4119+9.71%0.1255✗1.11
2026-04-15oos1.17511.0971-6.64%1.6021+36.34%0.3181✗1.10
2026-04-14oos1.05110.994851-5.35%1.758+67.25%0.4724✗1.09
2026-04-13oos1.07951.0146-6.01%1.6568+53.48%0.4217✗1.09
2026-04-12oos0.93440.891304-4.61%1.7588+88.23%0.5475✗1.03
2026-04-11oos1.00010.948303-5.18%1.8666+86.64%0.5637✗1.02
2026-04-10oos1.01760.961512-5.51%2.0456+101.02%0.6343✗1.02
2026-04-09oos0.99450.942378-5.24%1.9993+101.04%0.6343✗1.01
2026-04-08oos0.9940.942426-5.19%1.9771+98.90%0.6188✗1.01
2026-04-07oos1.01720.960922-5.53%1.6332+60.56%0.4224✗1.01
2026-04-06oos0.97620.926581-5.08%1.6764+71.73%0.4234✗1.01
2026-04-05oos0.96640.917979-5.01%1.6615+71.93%0.4327✗1.01
2026-04-04oos0.99110.93754-5.40%1.3724+38.47%0.2056✗1.03
2026-04-03oos0.92870.887276-4.46%1.3169+41.80%0.2323✗1.02
2026-04-02oos0.92840.888589-4.29%1.3461+44.99%0.2503✗1.02
2026-04-01oos0.98030.935946-4.52%1.2921+31.81%0.1823✗1.01
2026-03-31oos0.96510.925636-4.09%1.2415+28.64%0.1804✗1.01
2026-03-30oos0.96870.927818-4.22%1.2521+29.26%0.1709✗1.02
2026-03-29oos0.920.884606-3.85%1.3678+48.67%0.2889✗1.01
2026-03-28oos0.9260.892477-3.62%1.3977+50.94%0.2935✗1.01
2026-03-27oos0.9220.890792-3.38%1.523+65.18%0.3650✗1.01
2026-03-26oos0.9380.917189-2.22%1.4644+56.12%0.3441✗1.02
2026-03-25oos1.0111.0015-0.94%1.604+58.65%0.3876✗1.01
2026-03-24oos1.0291.0146-1.40%1.6055+56.03%0.3537✗1.01
2026-03-23oos1.1511.1301-1.82%1.6333+41.90%0.2691✗1.01
2026-03-22oos1.21.158-3.50%1.573+31.08%0.1810✗1.06
2026-03-21oos1.1861.1472-3.27%1.4049+18.46%0.1001✗1.07
2026-03-20oos1.1711.1381-2.81%1.2898+10.15%0.0754✗1.08
2026-03-19oos1.2311.1919-3.18%1.4615+18.72%0.1170✗1.09
2026-03-18oos1.2481.2133-2.78%1.5036+20.48%0.1284✗1.09
2026-03-17oos1.3871.3514-2.57%1.2869-7.22%0.0664✓1.06
2026-03-16oos1.3851.3528-2.32%1.1751-15.16%0.1401✓1.06
2026-03-15oos1.281.2479-2.51%1.0511-17.88%0.1907✓1.04
2026-03-14oos1.2381.2025-2.86%1.0795-12.80%0.1535✓1.03
2026-03-13oos1.2381.2005-3.03%0.9344-24.52%0.2478✓1.03
2026-03-12oos1.2471.2051-3.36%1.0001-19.80%0.2232✓1.03
2026-03-11oos1.1771.1371-3.39%1.0176-13.54%0.1509✓1.02
2026-03-10oos1.1311.0915-3.49%0.9945-12.07%0.1195✓1.02
2026-03-09oos1.1671.1194-4.08%0.994-14.82%0.1582✓1.04
2026-03-08oos1.151.0943-4.84%1.0172-11.55%0.1632✓1.05
2026-03-07oos1.1411.0884-4.61%0.9762-14.44%0.1335✓1.05
2026-03-06oos1.1981.1416-4.71%0.9664-19.33%0.1804✓1.05
2026-03-05oos1.11.0544-4.14%0.9911-9.90%0.0032✓1.13
2026-03-04oos1.1471.1016-3.96%0.9287-19.03%0.0782✓1.13
2026-03-03oos1.0581.0047-5.04%0.9284-12.25%0.0555✓1.10
2026-03-02oos1.0971.042-5.02%0.9803-10.64%0.0495✓1.10
2026-03-01oos1.0530.993597-5.64%0.9651-8.35%0.0692✓1.09
2026-02-28oos1.1131.0529-5.40%0.9687-12.96%0.0799✓1.00
2026-02-27oos1.1411.077-5.61%0.92-19.37%0.1590✓1.00
2026-02-26oos1.2261.1584-5.52%0.926-24.47%0.2064✓1.00
2026-02-25oos1.2341.1631-5.74%0.922-25.28%0.2079✓1.00
2026-02-24oos1.121.047-6.52%0.938-16.25%0.1807✓1.00
2026-02-23oos1.0340.969099-6.28%1.011-2.22%0.0560✓1.00
2026-02-22oos1.2751.2035-5.60%1.029-19.29%0.1989✓1.00
2026-02-21oos1.3121.2363-5.77%1.151-12.27%0.1136✓1.00
2026-02-20oos1.2721.1985-5.78%1.2-5.66%0.0033✓1.00
2026-02-19oos1.31.2225-5.96%1.186-8.77%0.0589✓1.00
2026-02-18oos1.3391.2567-6.15%1.171-12.55%0.1302✓1.00
2026-02-17oos1.4231.3301-6.53%1.231-13.49%0.1131✓1.00
2026-02-16oos1.481.3755-7.06%1.248-15.68%0.1313✓1.00
2026-02-15oos1.3241.2353-6.70%1.387+4.76%0.0437✓1.00
2026-02-14oos1.4251.322-7.23%1.385-2.81%0.0240✓1.00
2026-02-13oos1.3771.2744-7.45%1.28-7.04%0.0524✓1.00
2026-02-12oos1.3491.2448-7.72%1.238-8.23%0.0787✓1.00
2026-02-11oos1.2911.1916-7.70%1.238-4.11%0.0186✓1.00
2026-02-10oos1.2691.1724-7.61%1.247-1.73%0.0368✓1.00
2026-02-09oos1.3991.2898-7.81%1.177-15.87%0.0930✓1.00
2026-02-08oos1.3981.2885-7.83%1.131-19.10%0.1258✓1.00