PROLOGUE

Prologue · Robinhood · beta_5y

token id: #747
symbol: PROLOGUE
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0xb9972ca7188e511174947e3936a5315ac7073277
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-30
predictions: 135

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

of 45 predictions shown

direction hit

68.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2837

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0237

actual -0.2077

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.001203	0.000894365	-25.62%	–	pending	–	–	3.15
2026-10-21	oos	0.001207	0.00088969	-26.26%	–	pending	–	–	3.15
2026-10-20	oos	0.001988	0.001678	-15.61%	–	pending	–	–	3.49
2026-10-19	oos	0.003266	0.003199	-2.05%	–	pending	–	–	3.86
2026-10-18	oos	0.003638	0.003565	-1.99%	–	pending	–	–	3.84
2026-10-17	oos	0.003952	0.003885	-1.70%	–	pending	–	–	3.88
2026-10-16	oos	0.004829	0.004689	-2.91%	–	pending	–	–	3.85
2026-10-15	oos	0.005071	0.00491	-3.17%	0.001203	-76.29%	1.5038	✓	3.85
2026-10-14	oos	0.004854	0.004745	-2.25%	0.001207	-75.14%	1.4833	✓	3.84
2026-10-13	oos	0.004327	0.004271	-1.29%	0.001988	-54.06%	0.7567	✓	4.08
2026-10-12	oos	0.004935	0.004853	-1.66%	0.003266	-33.82%	0.4009	✓	4.25
2026-10-11	oos	0.005705	0.005513	-3.38%	0.003638	-36.25%	0.3311	✓	4.19
2026-10-10	oos	0.004834	0.004767	-1.37%	0.003952	-18.24%	0.1107	✓	4.13
2026-10-09	oos	0.004975	0.004905	-1.40%	0.004829	-2.92%	0.0370	✗	4.13
2026-10-08	oos	0.005437	0.00533	-1.98%	0.005071	-6.74%	0.0719	✓	4.20
2026-10-07	oos	0.005456	0.005309	-2.69%	0.004854	-11.03%	0.0001	✓	4.32
2026-10-06	oos	0.005941	0.005746	-3.29%	0.004327	-27.17%	0.1562	✓	4.41
2026-10-05	oos	0.005721	0.005525	-3.43%	0.004935	-13.74%	0.0992	✗	4.43
2026-10-04	oos	0.005961	0.005768	-3.24%	0.005705	-4.29%	0.1368	✗	4.44
2026-10-03	oos	0.005959	0.005732	-3.81%	0.004834	-18.89%	0.0713	✓	4.54
2026-10-02	oos	0.006944	0.006731	-3.06%	0.004975	-28.36%	0.1957	✓	4.54
2026-10-01	oos	0.007509	0.007309	-2.66%	0.005437	-27.59%	0.1245	✓	4.52
2026-09-30	oos	0.008083	0.007853	-2.85%	0.005456	-32.51%	0.3486	✓	4.65
2026-09-29	oos	0.007228	0.007015	-2.96%	0.005941	-17.80%	0.2711	✓	4.68
2026-09-28	oos	0.00827	0.008066	-2.47%	0.005721	-30.82%	0.3706	✓	1.00
2026-09-27	oos	0.00852	0.008349	-2.01%	0.005961	-30.03%	0.3607	✓	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.00893	0.008766	-1.84%	0.005959	-33.27%	0.3899	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.010942	0.010684	-2.36%	0.006944	-36.54%	0.4358	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.01306	0.012616	-3.40%	0.007509	-42.50%	0.5243	✓	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.011093	0.010828	-2.39%	0.008083	-27.13%	0.2826	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.010161	0.01	-1.59%	0.007228	-28.86%	0.2944	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.010187	0.01003	-1.54%	0.00827	-18.82%	0.1560	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.008994	0.008799	-2.16%	0.00852	-5.27%	0.0721	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.008861	0.008684	-2.00%	0.00893	+0.78%	0.0105	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.00998	0.009718	-2.62%	0.010942	+9.64%	0.0796	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.008086	0.007842	-3.02%	0.01306	+61.51%	0.4100	✗	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.007527	0.007326	-2.67%	0.011093	+47.38%	0.3122	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.00747	0.007277	-2.59%	0.010161	+36.02%	0.2025	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.009209	0.008987	-2.41%	0.010187	+10.62%	0.0231	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.007935	0.007769	-2.09%	0.008994	+13.35%	0.0912	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.008396	0.008227	-2.01%	0.008861	+5.54%	0.0241	✗	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.008184	0.008028	-1.90%	0.00998	+21.94%	0.1712	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.00674	0.006624	-1.72%	0.008086	+19.97%	0.2019	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.007021	0.006967	-0.77%	0.007527	+7.20%	0.1050	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.009219	0.009136	-0.90%	0.00747	-18.97%	0.1641	✓	1.00