PROLOGUE
Prologue · Robinhood · beta_5y
- token id
- #747
- symbol
- PROLOGUE
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0xb9972ca7188e511174947e3936a5315ac7073277
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-30
- predictions
- 135
Track record at +30d
assessed
15
of 45 predictions shown
direction hit
100.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.8422
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0452
actual -0.8874
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.001203 | 0.000638693 | -46.89% | – | pending | – | – | 3.15 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.001207 | 0.000628912 | -47.87% | – | pending | – | – | 3.15 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.001988 | 0.001341 | -32.53% | – | pending | – | – | 3.49 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.003266 | 0.002968 | -9.12% | – | pending | – | – | 3.86 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.003638 | 0.003324 | -8.61% | – | pending | – | – | 3.84 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.003952 | 0.00363 | -8.16% | – | pending | – | – | 3.88 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.004829 | 0.004393 | -9.04% | – | pending | – | – | 3.85 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.005071 | 0.004598 | -9.33% | – | pending | – | – | 3.85 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.004854 | 0.004431 | -8.72% | – | pending | – | – | 3.84 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.004327 | 0.003976 | -8.11% | – | pending | – | – | 4.08 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.004935 | 0.004527 | -8.26% | – | pending | – | – | 4.25 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.005705 | 0.005193 | -8.97% | – | pending | – | – | 4.19 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.004834 | 0.004447 | -7.99% | – | pending | – | – | 4.13 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.004975 | 0.004576 | -8.03% | – | pending | – | – | 4.13 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.005437 | 0.004982 | -8.37% | – | pending | – | – | 4.20 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.005456 | 0.004973 | -8.85% | – | pending | – | – | 4.32 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.005941 | 0.005458 | -8.14% | – | pending | – | – | 4.41 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.005721 | 0.005231 | -8.57% | – | pending | – | – | 4.43 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.005961 | 0.005508 | -7.60% | – | pending | – | – | 4.44 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.005959 | 0.005404 | -9.31% | – | pending | – | – | 4.54 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.006944 | 0.006451 | -7.11% | – | pending | – | – | 4.54 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.007509 | 0.007056 | -6.03% | – | pending | – | – | 4.52 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.008083 | 0.007568 | -6.37% | – | pending | – | – | 4.65 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.007228 | 0.00673 | -6.89% | – | pending | – | – | 4.68 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.00827 | 0.007808 | -5.59% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.00852 | 0.00814 | -4.46% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.00893 | 0.00857 | -4.04% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.010942 | 0.010392 | -5.02% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.01306 | 0.01218 | -6.74% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.011093 | 0.010575 | -4.67% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.010161 | 0.009899 | -2.58% | 0.001203 | -88.17% | 2.0848 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.010187 | 0.009965 | -2.18% | 0.001207 | -88.16% | 2.0812 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.008994 | 0.008599 | -4.39% | 0.001988 | -77.90% | 1.4862 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.008861 | 0.008511 | -3.95% | 0.003266 | -63.14% | 0.9652 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.00998 | 0.009489 | -4.91% | 0.003638 | -63.55% | 0.9728 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.008086 | 0.007522 | -6.97% | 0.003952 | -51.13% | 0.7075 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.007527 | 0.00702 | -6.74% | 0.004829 | -35.84% | 0.4419 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.00747 | 0.006961 | -6.81% | 0.005071 | -32.12% | 0.3998 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.009209 | 0.008751 | -4.97% | 0.004854 | -47.29% | 0.6318 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.007935 | 0.007529 | -5.12% | 0.004327 | -45.47% | 0.6327 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.008396 | 0.008018 | -4.51% | 0.004935 | -41.22% | 0.5417 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.008184 | 0.007842 | -4.18% | 0.005705 | -30.28% | 0.3985 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.00674 | 0.0064 | -5.05% | 0.004834 | -28.29% | 0.3607 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.007021 | 0.006864 | -2.24% | 0.004975 | -29.15% | 0.3749 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.009219 | 0.009086 | -1.45% | 0.005437 | -41.02% | 0.5539 | ✓ | 1.00 |