PROLOGUE

Prologue · Robinhood · beta_5y

token id: #747
symbol: PROLOGUE
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0xb9972ca7188e511174947e3936a5315ac7073277
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-30
predictions: 135

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 45 predictions shown

direction hit

50.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1129

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0050

actual -0.0433

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.001203	0.001223	+1.74%	–	pending	–	–	3.15
2026-10-21	oos	0.001409	0.001437	+1.95%	0.001203	-0.33%	0.0308	✗	3.56
2026-10-20	oos	0.001988	0.002021	+1.66%	0.001409	-29.10%	0.3501	✗	3.49
2026-10-19	oos	0.003266	0.003273	+0.21%	0.001988	-39.13%	0.5501	✗	3.86
2026-10-18	oos	0.003638	0.003639	+0.04%	0.003266	-10.21%	0.1002	✗	3.84
2026-10-17	oos	0.003952	0.00395	-0.05%	0.003638	-7.96%	0.1121	✓	3.88
2026-10-16	oos	0.004829	0.004803	-0.55%	0.003952	-18.17%	0.1894	✓	3.85
2026-10-15	oos	0.005071	0.005037	-0.68%	0.004829	-4.76%	0.0127	✓	3.85
2026-10-14	oos	0.004854	0.004829	-0.52%	0.005071	+4.47%	0.0228	✗	3.84
2026-10-13	oos	0.004327	0.004329	+0.05%	0.004854	+12.18%	0.1904	✓	4.08
2026-10-12	oos	0.004935	0.004923	-0.25%	0.004327	-12.32%	0.1990	✓	4.25
2026-10-11	oos	0.005705	0.005651	-0.95%	0.004935	-13.50%	0.0374	✓	4.19
2026-10-10	oos	0.004834	0.004832	-0.02%	0.005705	+18.04%	0.1281	✗	4.13
2026-10-09	oos	0.004975	0.004975	+0.01%	0.004834	-2.84%	0.0472	✗	4.13
2026-10-08	oos	0.005437	0.005423	-0.26%	0.004975	-8.51%	0.1298	✓	4.20
2026-10-07	oos	0.005456	0.005447	-0.16%	0.005437	-0.33%	0.0812	✗	4.32
2026-10-06	oos	0.005941	0.005912	-0.49%	0.005456	-8.18%	0.0379	✗	4.41
2026-10-05	oos	0.005721	0.005705	-0.27%	0.005941	+3.85%	0.0514	✗	4.43
2026-10-04	oos	0.005961	0.005938	-0.40%	0.005721	-4.03%	0.0020	✓	4.44
2026-10-03	oos	0.005959	0.005948	-0.18%	0.005961	+0.04%	0.0914	✓	4.54
2026-10-02	oos	0.006944	0.006908	-0.52%	0.005959	-14.18%	0.1605	✓	4.54
2026-10-01	oos	0.007509	0.007462	-0.63%	0.006944	-7.52%	0.0536	✓	4.52
2026-09-30	oos	0.008083	0.008017	-0.82%	0.007509	-7.10%	0.1368	✓	4.65
2026-09-29	oos	0.007228	0.007187	-0.57%	0.008083	+11.82%	0.1220	✗	4.68
2026-09-28	oos	0.00827	0.008212	-0.70%	0.007228	-12.59%	0.1297	✓	1.00
2026-09-27	oos	0.00852	0.008458	-0.73%	0.00827	-2.93%	0.0105	✓	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.00893	0.008864	-0.75%	0.00852	-4.60%	0.0401	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.010942	0.010844	-0.90%	0.00893	-18.38%	0.1980	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.01306	0.012851	-1.60%	0.010942	-16.22%	0.1574	✓	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.011093	0.010964	-1.16%	0.01306	+17.73%	0.1748	✗	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.010161	0.010064	-0.95%	0.011093	+9.17%	0.1186	✗	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.010187	0.010073	-1.12%	0.010161	-0.26%	0.0133	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.008994	0.00891	-0.94%	0.010187	+13.26%	0.0692	✗	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.008861	0.00878	-0.91%	0.008994	+1.50%	0.0250	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.00998	0.009828	-1.52%	0.008861	-11.21%	0.1080	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.008086	0.008004	-1.01%	0.00998	+23.42%	0.1629	✗	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.007527	0.007478	-0.65%	0.008086	+7.43%	0.0755	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.00747	0.007434	-0.49%	0.007527	+0.76%	0.0051	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.009209	0.009092	-1.27%	0.00747	-18.88%	0.1628	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.007935	0.007878	-0.72%	0.009209	+16.06%	0.1384	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.008396	0.008313	-0.99%	0.007935	-5.49%	0.0405	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.008184	0.008089	-1.16%	0.008396	+2.59%	0.0366	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.00674	0.006736	-0.06%	0.008184	+21.42%	0.1860	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.007021	0.00701	-0.17%	0.00674	-4.01%	0.0167	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.009219	0.009152	-0.73%	0.007021	-23.84%	0.2629	✓	1.00