O

o1.exchange · Base · beta_5y

token id: #266
symbol: O
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0x182fa643e5f29d5eca75e7b9cf9336a3fe4620b2
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-17
predictions: 357

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

112

of 119 predictions shown

direction hit

71.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0799

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0126

actual -0.0298

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.43434	0.427384	-1.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.44
2026-10-21	oos	0.43252	0.426457	-1.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.49
2026-10-20	oos	0.439245	0.432534	-1.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.407545	0.400706	-1.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-10-18	oos	0.42721	0.42018	-1.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-10-17	oos	0.445015	0.437064	-1.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-10-16	oos	0.4589	0.450808	-1.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-10-15	oos	0.455525	0.447583	-1.74%	0.43434	-4.65%	0.0433	✓	0.53
2026-10-14	oos	0.46111	0.452582	-1.85%	0.43252	-6.20%	0.0610	✓	0.53
2026-10-13	oos	0.47322	0.466197	-1.48%	0.439245	-7.18%	0.0585	✓	0.55
2026-10-12	oos	0.48416	0.475232	-1.84%	0.407545	-15.82%	0.1543	✓	0.56
2026-10-11	oos	0.480645	0.472859	-1.62%	0.42721	-11.12%	0.0892	✓	0.61
2026-10-10	oos	0.47832	0.469123	-1.92%	0.445015	-6.96%	0.0412	✓	0.62
2026-10-09	oos	0.449425	0.441759	-1.71%	0.4589	+2.11%	0.0460	✗	0.62
2026-10-08	oos	0.454605	0.446268	-1.83%	0.455525	+0.20%	0.0173	✓	0.62
2026-10-07	oos	0.47178	0.464449	-1.55%	0.46111	-2.26%	0.0051	✓	0.60
2026-10-06	oos	0.503025	0.49712	-1.17%	0.47322	-5.93%	0.0329	✓	0.57
2026-10-05	oos	0.50726	0.501225	-1.19%	0.48416	-4.55%	0.0077	✓	0.56
2026-10-04	oos	0.513105	0.507799	-1.03%	0.480645	-6.33%	0.0370	✓	0.54
2026-10-03	oos	0.51275	0.506215	-1.27%	0.47832	-6.71%	0.0449	✓	0.54
2026-10-02	oos	0.5204	0.514421	-1.15%	0.449425	-13.64%	0.1227	✓	0.53
2026-10-01	oos	0.539035	0.533125	-1.10%	0.454605	-15.66%	0.1389	✓	0.54
2026-09-30	oos	0.55308	0.546091	-1.26%	0.47178	-14.70%	0.1445	✓	0.54
2026-09-29	oos	0.566075	0.558366	-1.36%	0.503025	-11.14%	0.1162	✓	0.53
2026-09-28	oos	0.52923	0.523719	-1.04%	0.50726	-4.15%	0.0476	✓	0.58
2026-09-27	oos	0.53924	0.53404	-0.96%	0.513105	-4.85%	0.0545	✓	0.61
2026-09-26	oos	0.543685	0.53886	-0.89%	0.51275	-5.69%	0.0521	✓	0.63
2026-09-25	oos	0.548345	0.544135	-0.77%	0.5204	-5.10%	0.0474	✓	0.58
2026-09-24	oos	0.55141	0.547984	-0.62%	0.539035	-2.24%	0.0197	✓	0.59
2026-09-23	oos	0.54546	0.542708	-0.50%	0.55308	+1.40%	0.0247	✗	0.59
2026-09-22	oos	0.55875	0.556228	-0.45%	0.566075	+1.31%	0.0423	✗	0.82
2026-09-21	oos	0.54479	0.543374	-0.26%	0.52923	-2.86%	0.0084	✓	0.49
2026-09-20	oos	0.550025	0.546983	-0.55%	0.53924	-1.96%	0.0390	✓	0.62
2026-09-19	oos	0.566845	0.563755	-0.55%	0.543685	-4.09%	0.0592	✓	0.60
2026-09-18	oos	0.572975	0.569996	-0.52%	0.548345	-4.30%	0.0637	✓	0.64
2026-09-17	oos	0.55887	0.554483	-0.79%	0.55141	-1.33%	0.0689	✓	0.63
2026-09-16	oos	0.536045	0.534166	-0.35%	0.54546	+1.76%	0.0510	✓	0.70
2026-09-15	oos	0.52681	0.525819	-0.19%	0.55875	+6.06%	0.0446	✓	0.80
2026-09-14	oos	0.54605	0.545785	-0.05%	0.54479	-0.23%	0.0833	✓	0.80
2026-09-13	oos	0.506	0.507835	+0.36%	0.550025	+8.70%	0.0377	✓	0.76
2026-09-12	oos	0.541645	0.542102	+0.08%	0.566845	+4.65%	0.0071	✓	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	0.54789	0.548648	+0.14%	0.572975	+4.58%	0.0087	✓	0.75
2026-09-10	oos	0.53246	0.533944	+0.28%	0.55887	+4.96%	0.0475	✓	0.74
2026-09-09	oos	0.525035	0.529014	+0.76%	0.536045	+2.10%	0.0345	✓	0.77
2026-09-08	oos	0.53373	0.53787	+0.78%	0.52681	-1.30%	0.0078	✓	0.77
2026-09-07	oos	0.54462	0.548454	+0.70%	0.54605	+0.26%	0.0045	✓	0.77
2026-09-06	oos	0.53535	0.541551	+1.16%	0.506	-5.48%	0.0325	✗	0.79
2026-09-05	oos	0.53493	0.540713	+1.08%	0.541645	+1.26%	0.0274	✓	0.79
2026-09-04	oos	0.55411	0.559271	+0.93%	0.54789	-1.12%	0.0041	✓	0.79
2026-09-03	oos	0.56077	0.568127	+1.31%	0.53246	-5.05%	0.0174	✗	0.79
2026-09-02	oos	0.549935	0.551938	+0.36%	0.525035	-4.53%	0.0602	✗	0.82
2026-09-01	oos	0.55791	0.55995	+0.37%	0.53373	-4.33%	0.0590	✗	0.82
2026-08-31	oos	0.55311	0.557029	+0.71%	0.54462	-1.53%	0.0281	✗	0.83
2026-08-30	oos	0.53392	0.537369	+0.65%	0.53535	+0.27%	0.0316	✗	0.82
2026-08-29	oos	0.5311	0.535181	+0.77%	0.53493	+0.72%	0.0172	✗	0.83
2026-08-28	oos	0.452265	0.45878	+1.44%	0.55411	+22.52%	0.1698	✓	0.81
2026-08-27	oos	0.4366	0.445239	+1.98%	0.56077	+28.44%	0.2197	✓	0.90
2026-08-26	oos	0.44712	0.454554	+1.66%	0.549935	+22.99%	0.2106	✓	0.92
2026-08-25	oos	0.446145	0.453067	+1.55%	0.55791	+25.05%	0.2214	✓	0.92
2026-08-24	oos	0.43008	0.437291	+1.68%	0.55311	+28.61%	0.2399	✓	0.93
2026-08-23	oos	0.44159	0.447188	+1.27%	0.53392	+20.91%	0.1781	✓	0.95
2026-08-22	oos	0.4364	0.441111	+1.08%	0.5311	+21.70%	0.1713	✓	0.95
2026-08-21	oos	0.51216	0.516941	+0.93%	0.452265	-11.69%	0.1284	✗	0.84
2026-08-20	oos	0.48057	0.480438	-0.03%	0.4366	-9.15%	0.1722	✓	0.81
2026-08-19	oos	0.48616	0.482498	-0.75%	0.44712	-8.03%	0.1994	✓	0.94
2026-08-18	oos	0.484325	0.476845	-1.54%	0.446145	-7.88%	0.3028	✓	1.22
2026-08-17	oos	0.45821	0.450236	-1.74%	0.43008	-6.14%	0.2902	✓	1.20
2026-08-16	oos	0.449445	0.440747	-1.94%	0.44159	-1.75%	0.2568	✓	1.22
2026-08-15	oos	0.455485	0.446191	-2.04%	0.4364	-4.19%	0.2666	✓	1.22
2026-08-14	oos	0.4421	0.433216	-2.01%	0.51216	+15.85%	0.0971	✓	1.21
2026-08-13	oos	0.44526	0.436402	-1.99%	0.48057	+7.93%	0.0749	✓	1.22
2026-08-12	oos	0.439325	0.430595	-1.99%	0.48616	+10.66%	0.0134	✓	1.22
2026-08-11	oos	0.445895	0.436921	-2.01%	0.484325	+8.62%	0.0812	✗	1.22
2026-08-10	oos	0.45317	0.443868	-2.05%	0.45821	+1.11%	0.0211	✗	1.21
2026-08-09	oos	0.47207	0.461863	-2.16%	0.449445	-4.79%	0.0104	✓	1.20
2026-08-08	oos	0.467935	0.457321	-2.27%	0.455485	-2.66%	0.0313	✗	1.20
2026-08-07	oos	0.47738	0.466318	-2.32%	0.4421	-7.39%	0.0175	✓	1.20
2026-08-06	oos	0.4807	0.46924	-2.38%	0.44526	-7.37%	0.0366	✓	1.21
2026-08-05	oos	0.489915	0.477987	-2.43%	0.439325	-10.33%	0.0619	✓	1.20
2026-08-04	oos	0.50446	0.491414	-2.59%	0.445895	-11.61%	0.0872	✓	1.23
2026-08-03	oos	0.49863	0.485132	-2.71%	0.45317	-9.12%	0.0767	✓	1.22
2026-08-02	oos	0.47985	0.466514	-2.78%	0.47207	-1.62%	0.0139	✓	1.22
2026-08-01	oos	0.51585	0.500759	-2.93%	0.467935	-9.29%	0.1116	✓	1.30
2026-07-31	oos	0.496455	0.481912	-2.93%	0.47738	-3.84%	0.0517	✓	1.31
2026-07-30	oos	0.5026	0.488382	-2.83%	0.4807	-4.36%	0.0060	✓	1.39
2026-07-29	oos	0.47888	0.465095	-2.88%	0.489915	+2.30%	0.0372	✗	1.35
2026-07-28	oos	0.487225	0.472766	-2.97%	0.50446	+3.54%	0.0606	✗	1.35
2026-07-27	oos	0.48183	0.467903	-2.89%	0.49863	+3.49%	0.0684	✗	1.34
2026-07-26	oos	0.4778	0.465626	-2.55%	0.47985	+0.43%	0.0721	✗	1.47
2026-07-25	oos	0.51004	0.496377	-2.68%	0.51585	+1.14%	0.0770	✗	1.60
2026-07-24	oos	0.48595	0.47314	-2.64%	0.496455	+2.16%	0.0794	✗	1.58
2026-07-23	oos	0.54517	0.530704	-2.65%	0.5026	-7.81%	0.0470	✓	1.45
2026-07-22	oos	0.59166	0.579044	-2.13%	0.47888	-19.06%	0.1440	✓	1.36
2026-07-21	oos	0.6201	0.606959	-2.12%	0.487225	-21.43%	0.1650	✓	1.34
2026-07-20	oos	0.6262	0.61077	-2.46%	0.48183	-23.05%	0.2040	✓	1.41
2026-07-19	oos	0.5895	0.57561	-2.36%	0.4778	-18.95%	0.2000	✓	1.36
2026-07-18	oos	0.57496	0.562045	-2.25%	0.51004	-11.29%	0.0865	✓	1.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.56643	0.552561	-2.45%	0.48595	-14.21%	0.1325	✓	1.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.521855	0.509901	-2.29%	0.54517	+4.47%	0.0470	✗	1.00
2026-07-15	oos	0.556	0.544584	-2.05%	0.59166	+6.41%	0.0620	✗	1.00
2026-07-14	oos	0.55588	0.544815	-1.99%	0.6201	+11.55%	0.1062	✗	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.525275	0.512491	-2.43%	0.6262	+19.21%	0.1541	✗	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.542635	0.531062	-2.13%	0.5895	+8.64%	0.0897	✗	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.56335	0.551508	-2.10%	0.57496	+2.06%	0.0257	✗	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.55385	0.542974	-1.96%	0.56643	+2.27%	0.0460	✗	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.57192	0.559531	-2.17%	0.521855	-8.75%	0.0791	✓	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.55441	0.541867	-2.26%	0.556	+0.29%	0.0133	✓	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.558795	0.547165	-2.08%	0.55588	-0.52%	0.0102	✓	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.53254	0.522396	-1.90%	0.525275	-1.36%	0.0330	✗	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.55362	0.54304	-1.91%	0.542635	-1.98%	0.0032	✓	1.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.609515	0.595963	-2.22%	0.56335	-7.57%	0.0671	✓	1.00
2026-07-03	oos	0.54012	0.528727	-2.11%	0.55385	+2.54%	0.0210	✓	1.00
2026-07-02	oos	0.557835	0.545131	-2.28%	0.57192	+2.52%	0.0208	✓	1.00
2026-07-01	oos	0.558	0.543877	-2.53%	0.55441	-0.64%	0.0181	✓	1.00
2026-06-30	oos	0.505	0.491237	-2.73%	0.558795	+10.65%	0.0500	✗	1.00
2026-06-29	oos	0.535035	0.522168	-2.40%	0.53254	-0.47%	0.0422	✓	1.00
2026-06-28	oos	0.488	0.47491	-2.68%	0.55362	+13.45%	0.0865	✗	1.00
2026-06-27	oos	0.427605	0.414937	-2.96%	0.609515	+42.54%	0.3333	✗	1.00
2026-06-26	oos	0.457	0.445678	-2.48%	0.54012	+18.19%	0.1511	✗	1.00