O

o1.exchange · Base · beta_5y

token id: #266
symbol: O
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0x182fa643e5f29d5eca75e7b9cf9336a3fe4620b2
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-17
predictions: 357

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

118

of 119 predictions shown

direction hit

57.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0331

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0051

actual -0.0027

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.43434	0.432151	-0.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.44
2026-10-21	oos	0.44305	0.440683	-0.53%	0.43434	+0.42%	0.0084	✗	0.50
2026-10-20	oos	0.439245	0.436761	-0.57%	0.44305	+0.87%	0.0159	✗	0.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.407545	0.405922	-0.40%	0.439245	+7.78%	0.0719	✗	0.52
2026-10-18	oos	0.42721	0.425317	-0.44%	0.407545	-4.60%	0.0416	✓	0.51
2026-10-17	oos	0.445015	0.442935	-0.47%	0.42721	-4.00%	0.0402	✓	0.53
2026-10-16	oos	0.4589	0.456465	-0.53%	0.445015	-3.03%	0.0246	✓	0.52
2026-10-15	oos	0.455525	0.452876	-0.58%	0.4589	+0.74%	0.0172	✗	0.53
2026-10-14	oos	0.46111	0.458663	-0.53%	0.455525	-1.21%	0.0105	✓	0.53
2026-10-13	oos	0.47322	0.470684	-0.54%	0.46111	-2.56%	0.0104	✓	0.55
2026-10-12	oos	0.48416	0.481134	-0.62%	0.47322	-2.26%	0.0258	✓	0.56
2026-10-11	oos	0.480645	0.477559	-0.64%	0.48416	+0.73%	0.0281	✗	0.61
2026-10-10	oos	0.47832	0.474098	-0.88%	0.480645	+0.49%	0.0080	✓	0.62
2026-10-09	oos	0.449425	0.447078	-0.52%	0.47832	+6.43%	0.0648	✗	0.62
2026-10-08	oos	0.454605	0.45233	-0.50%	0.449425	-1.14%	0.0129	✓	0.62
2026-10-07	oos	0.47178	0.469273	-0.53%	0.454605	-3.64%	0.0203	✓	0.60
2026-10-06	oos	0.503025	0.499878	-0.63%	0.47178	-6.21%	0.0427	✓	0.57
2026-10-05	oos	0.50726	0.504352	-0.57%	0.503025	-0.83%	0.0013	✓	0.56
2026-10-04	oos	0.513105	0.510278	-0.55%	0.50726	-1.14%	0.0012	✓	0.54
2026-10-03	oos	0.51275	0.510059	-0.52%	0.513105	+0.07%	0.0052	✓	0.54
2026-10-02	oos	0.5204	0.517838	-0.49%	0.51275	-1.47%	0.0114	✓	0.53
2026-10-01	oos	0.539035	0.536248	-0.52%	0.5204	-3.46%	0.0278	✓	0.54
2026-09-30	oos	0.55308	0.549543	-0.64%	0.539035	-2.54%	0.0275	✓	0.54
2026-09-29	oos	0.566075	0.56184	-0.75%	0.55308	-2.30%	0.0152	✓	0.53
2026-09-28	oos	0.52923	0.52613	-0.59%	0.566075	+6.96%	0.0719	✗	0.58
2026-09-27	oos	0.53924	0.536126	-0.58%	0.52923	-1.86%	0.0057	✓	0.61
2026-09-26	oos	0.543685	0.540608	-0.57%	0.53924	-0.82%	0.0029	✓	0.63
2026-09-25	oos	0.548345	0.545284	-0.56%	0.543685	-0.85%	0.0052	✓	0.58
2026-09-24	oos	0.55141	0.548231	-0.58%	0.548345	-0.56%	0.0023	✓	0.59
2026-09-23	oos	0.54546	0.54246	-0.55%	0.55141	+1.09%	0.0163	✗	0.59
2026-09-22	oos	0.55875	0.555385	-0.60%	0.54546	-2.38%	0.0005	✓	0.82
2026-09-21	oos	0.54479	0.541826	-0.54%	0.55875	+2.56%	0.0330	✗	0.49
2026-09-20	oos	0.550025	0.546795	-0.59%	0.54479	-0.95%	0.0438	✓	0.62
2026-09-19	oos	0.566845	0.563157	-0.65%	0.550025	-2.97%	0.0231	✓	0.60
2026-09-18	oos	0.572975	0.569003	-0.69%	0.566845	-1.07%	0.0066	✓	0.64
2026-09-17	oos	0.55887	0.555244	-0.65%	0.572975	+2.52%	0.0050	✓	0.63
2026-09-16	oos	0.536045	0.533398	-0.49%	0.55887	+4.26%	0.0448	✗	0.70
2026-09-15	oos	0.52681	0.524417	-0.45%	0.536045	+1.75%	0.0160	✗	0.80
2026-09-14	oos	0.54605	0.543032	-0.55%	0.52681	-3.52%	0.0035	✓	0.80
2026-09-13	oos	0.506	0.505023	-0.19%	0.54605	+7.92%	0.0646	✗	0.76
2026-09-12	oos	0.541645	0.540078	-0.29%	0.506	-6.58%	0.0607	✓	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	0.54789	0.546529	-0.25%	0.541645	-1.14%	0.0095	✓	0.75
2026-09-10	oos	0.53246	0.532047	-0.08%	0.54789	+2.90%	0.0229	✗	0.74
2026-09-09	oos	0.525035	0.525751	+0.14%	0.53246	+1.41%	0.0301	✓	0.77
2026-09-08	oos	0.53373	0.534512	+0.15%	0.525035	-1.63%	0.0163	✗	0.77
2026-09-07	oos	0.54462	0.545694	+0.20%	0.53373	-2.00%	0.0159	✗	0.77
2026-09-06	oos	0.53535	0.537571	+0.41%	0.54462	+1.73%	0.0253	✓	0.79
2026-09-05	oos	0.53493	0.537587	+0.50%	0.53535	+0.08%	0.0092	✗	0.79
2026-09-04	oos	0.55411	0.556743	+0.48%	0.53493	-3.46%	0.0415	✗	0.79
2026-09-03	oos	0.56077	0.563935	+0.56%	0.55411	-1.19%	0.0020	✓	0.79
2026-09-02	oos	0.549935	0.551894	+0.36%	0.56077	+1.97%	0.0249	✗	0.82
2026-09-01	oos	0.55791	0.559505	+0.29%	0.549935	-1.43%	0.0163	✗	0.82
2026-08-31	oos	0.55311	0.554899	+0.32%	0.55791	+0.87%	0.0178	✓	0.83
2026-08-30	oos	0.53392	0.534892	+0.18%	0.55311	+3.59%	0.0240	✓	0.82
2026-08-29	oos	0.5311	0.530917	-0.03%	0.53392	+0.53%	0.0117	✗	0.83
2026-08-28	oos	0.452265	0.453296	+0.23%	0.5311	+17.43%	0.1543	✓	0.81
2026-08-27	oos	0.4366	0.437769	+0.27%	0.452265	+3.59%	0.0604	✓	0.90
2026-08-26	oos	0.44712	0.447835	+0.16%	0.4366	-2.35%	0.0398	✗	0.92
2026-08-25	oos	0.446145	0.446416	+0.06%	0.44712	+0.22%	0.0042	✗	0.92
2026-08-24	oos	0.43008	0.430349	+0.06%	0.446145	+3.74%	0.0414	✓	0.93
2026-08-23	oos	0.44159	0.441511	-0.02%	0.43008	-2.61%	0.0414	✓	0.95
2026-08-22	oos	0.4364	0.436338	-0.01%	0.44159	+1.19%	0.0037	✗	0.95
2026-08-21	oos	0.51216	0.510361	-0.35%	0.4364	-14.79%	0.1428	✓	0.84
2026-08-20	oos	0.48057	0.479224	-0.28%	0.51216	+6.57%	0.0098	✗	0.81
2026-08-19	oos	0.48616	0.484256	-0.39%	0.48057	-1.15%	0.0566	✓	0.94
2026-08-18	oos	0.484325	0.481566	-0.57%	0.48616	+0.38%	0.0745	✓	1.22
2026-08-17	oos	0.45821	0.455613	-0.57%	0.484325	+5.70%	0.0573	✗	1.20
2026-08-16	oos	0.449445	0.446826	-0.58%	0.45821	+1.95%	0.0062	✓	1.22
2026-08-15	oos	0.455485	0.453152	-0.51%	0.449445	-1.33%	0.0047	✓	1.22
2026-08-14	oos	0.4421	0.440079	-0.46%	0.455485	+3.03%	0.0336	✗	1.21
2026-08-13	oos	0.44526	0.443162	-0.47%	0.4421	-0.71%	0.0063	✗	1.22
2026-08-12	oos	0.439325	0.437398	-0.44%	0.44526	+1.35%	0.0176	✗	1.22
2026-08-11	oos	0.445895	0.443902	-0.45%	0.439325	-1.47%	0.0081	✓	1.22
2026-08-10	oos	0.45317	0.451061	-0.47%	0.445895	-1.61%	0.0043	✓	1.21
2026-08-09	oos	0.47207	0.469556	-0.53%	0.45317	-4.00%	0.0181	✓	1.20
2026-08-08	oos	0.467935	0.465657	-0.49%	0.47207	+0.88%	0.0148	✗	1.20
2026-08-07	oos	0.47738	0.474964	-0.51%	0.467935	-1.98%	0.0152	✓	1.20
2026-08-06	oos	0.4807	0.478277	-0.50%	0.47738	-0.69%	0.0135	✓	1.21
2026-08-05	oos	0.489915	0.487313	-0.53%	0.4807	-1.88%	0.0074	✓	1.20
2026-08-04	oos	0.50446	0.501416	-0.60%	0.489915	-2.88%	0.0337	✓	1.23
2026-08-03	oos	0.49863	0.495616	-0.60%	0.50446	+1.17%	0.0065	✗	1.22
2026-08-02	oos	0.47985	0.477349	-0.52%	0.49863	+3.91%	0.0443	✗	1.22
2026-08-01	oos	0.51585	0.512316	-0.69%	0.47985	-6.98%	0.0807	✓	1.30
2026-07-31	oos	0.496455	0.493618	-0.57%	0.51585	+3.91%	0.0453	✗	1.31
2026-07-30	oos	0.5026	0.499365	-0.64%	0.496455	-1.22%	0.0355	✗	1.39
2026-07-29	oos	0.47888	0.476203	-0.56%	0.5026	+4.95%	0.0366	✗	1.35
2026-07-28	oos	0.487225	0.483658	-0.73%	0.47888	-1.71%	0.0110	✓	1.35
2026-07-27	oos	0.48183	0.47871	-0.65%	0.487225	+1.12%	0.0144	✗	1.34
2026-07-26	oos	0.4778	0.475204	-0.54%	0.48183	+0.84%	0.0514	✗	1.47
2026-07-25	oos	0.51004	0.50638	-0.72%	0.4778	-6.32%	0.0839	✓	1.60
2026-07-24	oos	0.48595	0.482996	-0.61%	0.51004	+4.96%	0.0493	✗	1.58
2026-07-23	oos	0.54517	0.540024	-0.94%	0.48595	-10.86%	0.0837	✓	1.45
2026-07-22	oos	0.59166	0.587043	-0.78%	0.54517	-7.86%	0.0525	✓	1.36
2026-07-21	oos	0.6201	0.614574	-0.89%	0.59166	-4.59%	0.0293	✓	1.34
2026-07-20	oos	0.6262	0.619518	-1.07%	0.6201	-0.97%	0.0269	✓	1.41
2026-07-19	oos	0.5895	0.584024	-0.93%	0.6262	+6.23%	0.0586	✗	1.36
2026-07-18	oos	0.57496	0.56952	-0.95%	0.5895	+2.53%	0.0369	✗	1.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.56643	0.560431	-1.06%	0.57496	+1.51%	0.0064	✓	1.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.521855	0.517688	-0.80%	0.56643	+8.54%	0.0880	✗	1.00
2026-07-15	oos	0.556	0.550894	-0.92%	0.521855	-6.14%	0.0394	✓	1.00
2026-07-14	oos	0.55588	0.550591	-0.95%	0.556	+0.02%	0.0140	✗	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.525275	0.520673	-0.88%	0.55588	+5.83%	0.0226	✗	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.542635	0.537814	-0.89%	0.525275	-3.20%	0.0002	✓	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.56335	0.557955	-0.96%	0.542635	-3.68%	0.0273	✓	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.55385	0.548636	-0.94%	0.56335	+1.72%	0.0320	✗	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.57192	0.566037	-1.03%	0.55385	-3.16%	0.0367	✓	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.55441	0.548907	-0.99%	0.57192	+3.16%	0.0261	✗	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.558795	0.553011	-1.04%	0.55441	-0.78%	0.0198	✗	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.53254	0.527777	-0.89%	0.558795	+4.93%	0.0678	✗	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.55362	0.548371	-0.95%	0.53254	-3.81%	0.0359	✓	1.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.609515	0.601986	-1.24%	0.55362	-9.17%	0.0916	✓	1.00
2026-07-03	oos	0.54012	0.534998	-0.95%	0.609515	+12.85%	0.1214	✗	1.00
2026-07-02	oos	0.557835	0.551993	-1.05%	0.54012	-3.18%	0.0385	✓	1.00
2026-07-01	oos	0.558	0.552163	-1.05%	0.557835	-0.03%	0.0149	✓	1.00
2026-06-30	oos	0.505	0.500707	-0.85%	0.558	+10.50%	0.0841	✗	1.00
2026-06-29	oos	0.535035	0.529103	-1.11%	0.505	-5.61%	0.0190	✓	1.00
2026-06-28	oos	0.488	0.482823	-1.06%	0.535035	+9.64%	0.0912	✗	1.00
2026-06-27	oos	0.427605	0.424628	-0.70%	0.488	+14.12%	0.1468	✗	1.00
2026-06-26	oos	0.457	0.453694	-0.72%	0.427605	-6.43%	0.0581	✓	1.00