O

o1.exchange · Base · beta_5y

token id: #266
symbol: O
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0x182fa643e5f29d5eca75e7b9cf9336a3fe4620b2
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-17
predictions: 357

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

of 119 predictions shown

direction hit

87.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1112

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0523

actual -0.1446

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.43434	0.411698	-5.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.44
2026-10-21	oos	0.44305	0.418255	-5.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-20	oos	0.439245	0.415221	-5.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.407545	0.386997	-5.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-10-18	oos	0.42721	0.404715	-5.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-10-17	oos	0.445015	0.41871	-5.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-10-16	oos	0.4589	0.429808	-6.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-10-15	oos	0.455525	0.426186	-6.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-10-14	oos	0.46111	0.429079	-6.95%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-10-13	oos	0.47322	0.441683	-6.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-12	oos	0.48416	0.448939	-7.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-11	oos	0.480645	0.446714	-7.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-10	oos	0.47832	0.442173	-7.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-09	oos	0.449425	0.418901	-6.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-08	oos	0.454605	0.423019	-6.95%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-07	oos	0.47178	0.440109	-6.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.60
2026-10-06	oos	0.503025	0.471752	-6.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.57
2026-10-05	oos	0.50726	0.476457	-6.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-04	oos	0.513105	0.485179	-5.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-03	oos	0.51275	0.482414	-5.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-02	oos	0.5204	0.491552	-5.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-10-01	oos	0.539035	0.509085	-5.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-09-30	oos	0.55308	0.518787	-6.20%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-09-29	oos	0.566075	0.528556	-6.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-09-28	oos	0.52923	0.499711	-5.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.58
2026-09-27	oos	0.53924	0.509893	-5.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-09-26	oos	0.543685	0.514549	-5.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-09-25	oos	0.548345	0.519647	-5.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.58
2026-09-24	oos	0.55141	0.524515	-4.88%	–	pending	–	–	0.59
2026-09-23	oos	0.54546	0.519335	-4.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.59
2026-09-22	oos	0.55875	0.534839	-4.28%	0.43434	-22.27%	0.1891	✓	0.82
2026-09-21	oos	0.54479	0.523983	-3.82%	0.44305	-18.68%	0.1453	✓	0.49
2026-09-20	oos	0.550025	0.515306	-6.31%	0.439245	-20.14%	0.1731	✓	0.62
2026-09-19	oos	0.566845	0.529205	-6.64%	0.407545	-28.10%	0.2656	✓	0.60
2026-09-18	oos	0.572975	0.534168	-6.77%	0.42721	-25.44%	0.2323	✓	0.64
2026-09-17	oos	0.55887	0.518925	-7.15%	0.445015	-20.37%	0.1941	✓	0.63
2026-09-16	oos	0.536045	0.503115	-6.14%	0.4589	-14.39%	0.1396	✓	0.70
2026-09-15	oos	0.52681	0.497238	-5.61%	0.455525	-13.53%	0.1541	✓	0.80
2026-09-14	oos	0.54605	0.515679	-5.56%	0.46111	-15.56%	0.1457	✓	0.80
2026-09-13	oos	0.506	0.485537	-4.04%	0.47322	-6.48%	0.0859	✓	0.76
2026-09-12	oos	0.541645	0.517008	-4.55%	0.48416	-10.61%	0.1078	✓	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	0.54789	0.526709	-3.87%	0.480645	-12.27%	0.1517	✓	0.75
2026-09-10	oos	0.53246	0.51788	-2.74%	0.47832	-10.17%	0.1389	✓	0.74
2026-09-09	oos	0.525035	0.519182	-1.11%	0.449425	-14.40%	0.1851	✓	0.77
2026-09-08	oos	0.53373	0.532026	-0.32%	0.454605	-14.82%	0.1884	✓	0.77
2026-09-07	oos	0.54462	0.540657	-0.73%	0.47178	-13.37%	0.1757	✓	0.77
2026-09-06	oos	0.53535	0.538923	+0.67%	0.503025	-6.04%	0.1182	✗	0.79
2026-09-05	oos	0.53493	0.540888	+1.11%	0.50726	-5.17%	0.1204	✗	0.79
2026-09-04	oos	0.55411	0.564516	+1.88%	0.513105	-7.40%	0.1601	✗	0.79
2026-09-03	oos	0.56077	0.579213	+3.29%	0.51275	-8.56%	0.1550	✗	0.79
2026-09-02	oos	0.549935	0.565578	+2.84%	0.5204	-5.37%	0.1560	✗	0.82
2026-09-01	oos	0.55791	0.580775	+4.10%	0.539035	-3.38%	0.1496	✗	0.82
2026-08-31	oos	0.55311	0.584868	+5.74%	0.55308	-0.01%	0.1072	✗	0.83
2026-08-30	oos	0.53392	0.571498	+7.04%	0.566075	+6.02%	0.0705	✗	0.82
2026-08-29	oos	0.5311	0.571962	+7.69%	0.52923	-0.35%	0.1312	✗	0.83
2026-08-28	oos	0.452265	0.496364	+9.75%	0.53924	+19.23%	0.0164	✓	0.81
2026-08-27	oos	0.4366	0.486977	+11.54%	0.543685	+24.53%	0.0648	✓	0.90
2026-08-26	oos	0.44712	0.500358	+11.91%	0.548345	+22.64%	0.0346	✓	0.92
2026-08-25	oos	0.446145	0.498864	+11.82%	0.55141	+23.59%	0.0343	✓	0.92
2026-08-24	oos	0.43008	0.483882	+12.51%	0.54546	+26.83%	0.0582	✓	0.93
2026-08-23	oos	0.44159	0.48763	+10.43%	0.55875	+26.53%	0.0380	✓	0.95
2026-08-22	oos	0.4364	0.480053	+10.00%	0.54479	+24.84%	0.0161	✓	0.95
2026-08-21	oos	0.51216	0.547648	+6.93%	0.550025	+7.39%	0.0256	✓	0.84
2026-08-20	oos	0.48057	0.491859	+2.35%	0.566845	+17.95%	0.0558	✓	0.81
2026-08-19	oos	0.48616	0.480192	-1.23%	0.572975	+17.86%	0.0317	✗	0.94
2026-08-18	oos	0.484325	0.463652	-4.27%	0.55887	+15.39%	0.0152	✓	1.22
2026-08-17	oos	0.45821	0.437454	-4.53%	0.536045	+16.99%	0.0029	✓	1.20
2026-08-16	oos	0.449445	0.426843	-5.03%	0.52681	+17.21%	0.0142	✓	1.22
2026-08-15	oos	0.455485	0.432261	-5.10%	0.54605	+19.88%	0.0283	✓	1.22
2026-08-14	oos	0.4421	0.420932	-4.79%	0.506	+14.45%	0.0566	✓	1.21
2026-08-13	oos	0.44526	0.424103	-4.75%	0.541645	+21.65%	0.0045	✓	1.22
2026-08-12	oos	0.439325	0.418754	-4.68%	0.54789	+24.71%	0.0294	✓	1.22
2026-08-11	oos	0.445895	0.424185	-4.87%	0.53246	+19.41%	0.0010	✓	1.22
2026-08-10	oos	0.45317	0.43031	-5.04%	0.525035	+15.86%	0.0474	✓	1.21
2026-08-09	oos	0.47207	0.446817	-5.35%	0.53373	+13.06%	0.0498	✓	1.20
2026-08-08	oos	0.467935	0.442578	-5.42%	0.54462	+16.39%	0.0290	✓	1.20
2026-08-07	oos	0.47738	0.45056	-5.62%	0.53535	+12.14%	0.0832	✓	1.20
2026-08-06	oos	0.4807	0.452469	-5.87%	0.53493	+11.28%	0.0942	✓	1.21
2026-08-05	oos	0.489915	0.460128	-6.08%	0.55411	+13.10%	0.0665	✓	1.20
2026-08-04	oos	0.50446	0.471125	-6.61%	0.56077	+11.16%	0.1179	✓	1.23
2026-08-03	oos	0.49863	0.464405	-6.86%	0.549935	+10.29%	0.0721	✓	1.22
2026-08-02	oos	0.47985	0.446995	-6.85%	0.55791	+16.27%	0.0205	✓	1.22
2026-08-01	oos	0.51585	0.476642	-7.60%	0.55311	+7.22%	0.1440	✓	1.30
2026-07-31	oos	0.496455	0.459213	-7.50%	0.53392	+7.55%	0.1261	✓	1.31
2026-07-30	oos	0.5026	0.465293	-7.42%	0.5311	+5.67%	0.1315	✓	1.39
2026-07-29	oos	0.47888	0.441995	-7.70%	0.452265	-5.56%	0.2430	✓	1.35
2026-07-28	oos	0.487225	0.447412	-8.17%	0.4366	-10.39%	0.3333	✓	1.35
2026-07-27	oos	0.48183	0.441779	-8.31%	0.44712	-7.20%	0.2781	✓	1.34
2026-07-26	oos	0.4778	0.438193	-8.29%	0.446145	-6.63%	0.2522	✓	1.47
2026-07-25	oos	0.51004	0.46512	-8.81%	0.43008	-15.68%	0.4070	✓	1.60
2026-07-24	oos	0.48595	0.441573	-9.13%	0.44159	-9.13%	0.3051	✓	1.58
2026-07-23	oos	0.54517	0.491892	-9.77%	0.4364	-19.95%	0.3657	✓	1.45
2026-07-22	oos	0.59166	0.534099	-9.73%	0.51216	-13.44%	0.2734	✓	1.36
2026-07-21	oos	0.6201	0.55738	-10.11%	0.48057	-22.50%	0.2728	✓	1.34
2026-07-20	oos	0.6262	0.558113	-10.87%	0.48616	-22.36%	0.2234	✓	1.41
2026-07-19	oos	0.5895	0.527578	-10.50%	0.484325	-17.84%	0.0855	✓	1.36
2026-07-18	oos	0.57496	0.51453	-10.51%	0.45821	-20.31%	0.1092	✓	1.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.56643	0.505115	-10.82%	0.449445	-20.65%	0.0940	✓	1.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.521855	0.468262	-10.27%	0.455485	-12.72%	0.0158	✓	1.00
2026-07-15	oos	0.556	0.497103	-10.59%	0.4421	-20.49%	0.0900	✓	1.00
2026-07-14	oos	0.55588	0.496673	-10.65%	0.44526	-19.90%	0.0849	✓	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.525275	0.468287	-10.85%	0.439325	-16.36%	0.0821	✓	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.542635	0.483101	-10.97%	0.445895	-17.83%	0.0769	✓	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.56335	0.49945	-11.34%	0.45317	-19.56%	0.0994	✓	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.55385	0.490762	-11.39%	0.47207	-14.77%	0.0500	✓	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.57192	0.504085	-11.86%	0.467935	-18.18%	0.1015	✓	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.55441	0.488494	-11.89%	0.47738	-13.89%	0.0648	✓	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.558795	0.492204	-11.92%	0.4807	-13.98%	0.0384	✓	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.53254	0.470568	-11.64%	0.489915	-8.00%	0.0309	✓	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.55362	0.486788	-12.07%	0.50446	-8.88%	0.0283	✓	1.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.609515	0.530682	-12.93%	0.49863	-18.19%	0.0683	✓	1.00
2026-07-03	oos	0.54012	0.475437	-11.98%	0.47985	-11.16%	0.0063	✓	1.00
2026-07-02	oos	0.557835	0.489154	-12.31%	0.51585	-7.53%	0.0325	✓	1.00
2026-07-01	oos	0.558	0.489742	-12.23%	0.496455	-11.03%	0.0331	✓	1.00
2026-06-30	oos	0.505	0.445998	-11.68%	0.5026	-0.48%	0.0188	✓	1.00
2026-06-29	oos	0.535035	0.468993	-12.34%	0.47888	-10.50%	0.0393	✓	1.00
2026-06-28	oos	0.488	0.428303	-12.23%	0.487225	-0.16%	0.0579	✓	1.00
2026-06-27	oos	0.427605	0.374373	-12.45%	0.48183	+12.68%	0.1915	✗	1.00
2026-06-26	oos	0.457	0.399053	-12.68%	0.4778	+4.55%	0.0949	✓	1.00