NIULAI
? · · beta_5y
- token id
- #227
- symbol
- NIULAI
- variant
- –
- chain
- address
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-19
- predictions
- 168
Track record at +30d
assessed
26
of 56 predictions shown
direction hit
84.6%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.3264
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.1198
actual -0.3095
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | live | 0.06274 | 0.057911 | -7.70% | – | pending | – | – | 1.54 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.06254 | 0.057881 | -7.45% | – | pending | – | – | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.0625 | 0.057489 | -8.02% | – | pending | – | – | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.05795 | 0.053763 | -7.23% | – | pending | – | – | 1.53 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.058765 | 0.054297 | -7.60% | – | pending | – | – | 1.53 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.059455 | 0.055059 | -7.39% | – | pending | – | – | 1.53 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.065015 | 0.059583 | -8.35% | – | pending | – | – | 1.52 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.06738 | 0.061228 | -9.13% | – | pending | – | – | 1.51 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.06963 | 0.062997 | -9.53% | – | pending | – | – | 1.51 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.07463 | 0.066522 | -10.86% | – | pending | – | – | 1.48 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.07206 | 0.064684 | -10.24% | – | pending | – | – | 1.47 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.07927 | 0.070051 | -11.63% | – | pending | – | – | 1.40 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.080075 | 0.070666 | -11.75% | – | pending | – | – | 1.41 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.07419 | 0.066101 | -10.90% | – | pending | – | – | 1.41 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.0731 | 0.065347 | -10.61% | – | pending | – | – | 1.41 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.071685 | 0.064162 | -10.49% | – | pending | – | – | 1.44 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.079075 | 0.070297 | -11.10% | – | pending | – | – | 1.36 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.0768 | 0.06859 | -10.69% | – | pending | – | – | 1.36 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.08235 | 0.0736 | -10.63% | – | pending | – | – | 1.32 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.08011 | 0.071882 | -10.27% | – | pending | – | – | 1.33 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.08755 | 0.078414 | -10.43% | – | pending | – | – | 1.32 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.09927 | 0.088383 | -10.97% | – | pending | – | – | 1.27 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.104825 | 0.092817 | -11.45% | – | pending | – | – | 1.32 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.10513 | 0.09272 | -11.80% | – | pending | – | – | 1.31 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.115845 | 0.101205 | -12.64% | – | pending | – | – | 1.30 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.10403 | 0.091416 | -12.12% | – | pending | – | – | 1.38 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.10584 | 0.092842 | -12.28% | – | pending | – | – | 1.37 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.104305 | 0.091614 | -12.17% | – | pending | – | – | 1.37 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.10064 | 0.088568 | -12.00% | – | pending | – | – | 1.38 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.10741 | 0.094327 | -12.18% | – | pending | – | – | 1.36 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.112325 | 0.098584 | -12.23% | 0.06274 | -44.14% | 0.4215 | ✓ | 1.31 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.10777 | 0.095149 | -11.71% | 0.06254 | -41.97% | 0.3587 | ✓ | 1.32 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.10109 | 0.089992 | -10.98% | 0.0625 | -38.17% | 0.3963 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.107915 | 0.095821 | -11.21% | 0.05795 | -46.30% | 0.5135 | ✓ | 1.44 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.11962 | 0.105524 | -11.78% | 0.058765 | -50.87% | 0.6053 | ✓ | 1.43 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.10627 | 0.094006 | -11.54% | 0.059455 | -44.05% | 0.5220 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.10055 | 0.088782 | -11.70% | 0.065015 | -35.34% | 0.3795 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.11971 | 0.103808 | -13.28% | 0.06738 | -43.71% | 0.5152 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.12225 | 0.106405 | -12.96% | 0.06963 | -43.04% | 0.4665 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.11709 | 0.101421 | -13.38% | 0.07463 | -36.26% | 0.3856 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.134925 | 0.116723 | -13.49% | 0.07206 | -46.59% | 0.5387 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.125765 | 0.109812 | -12.69% | 0.07927 | -36.97% | 0.4064 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.12138 | 0.105745 | -12.88% | 0.080075 | -34.03% | 0.3581 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.078585 | 0.070751 | -9.97% | 0.07419 | -5.59% | 0.0055 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.102125 | 0.08994 | -11.93% | 0.0731 | -28.42% | 0.2478 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.08165 | 0.070083 | -14.17% | 0.071685 | -12.20% | 0.0289 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.09102 | 0.077407 | -14.96% | 0.079075 | -13.12% | 0.0414 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.12056 | 0.106322 | -11.81% | 0.0768 | -36.30% | 0.3968 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.08412 | 0.073403 | -12.74% | 0.08235 | -2.10% | 0.0327 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.09631 | 0.086802 | -9.87% | 0.08011 | -16.82% | 0.1221 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.07782 | 0.067484 | -13.28% | 0.08755 | +12.50% | 0.1713 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.08336 | 0.073929 | -11.31% | 0.09927 | +19.09% | 0.2028 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.10287 | 0.093449 | -9.16% | 0.104825 | +1.90% | 0.0533 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.10148 | 0.091224 | -10.11% | 0.10513 | +3.60% | 0.0678 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.05494 | 0.053812 | -2.05% | 0.115845 | +110.86% | 0.7021 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.05606 | 0.05556 | -0.89% | 0.10403 | +85.57% | 0.5456 | ✗ | 1.00 |