NEX

Nexus · Ethereum · beta_5y

token id: #668
symbol: NEX
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xf57d49646621f563b0b905afc8336923ac569ec5
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-20
predictions: 441

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

140

of 147 predictions shown

direction hit

62.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1241

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0144

actual -0.0855

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	6.75e-7	6.71e-7	-0.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.57
2026-10-21	oos	6.85e-7	6.80e-7	-0.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-20	oos	6.85e-7	6.81e-7	-0.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.57
2026-10-19	oos	6.75e-7	6.71e-7	-0.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-18	oos	7.15e-7	7.06e-7	-1.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-17	oos	7.15e-7	7.09e-7	-0.88%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-10-16	oos	7.35e-7	7.28e-7	-0.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-10-15	oos	7.45e-7	7.39e-7	-0.85%	6.75e-7	-9.40%	0.1035	✓	0.53
2026-10-14	oos	7.75e-7	7.67e-7	-1.08%	6.85e-7	-11.61%	0.1200	✓	0.54
2026-10-13	oos	7.75e-7	7.69e-7	-0.84%	6.85e-7	-11.61%	0.1140	✓	0.54
2026-10-12	oos	8.05e-7	7.95e-7	-1.22%	6.75e-7	-16.15%	0.1645	✓	0.55
2026-10-11	oos	8.15e-7	8.09e-7	-0.68%	7.15e-7	-12.27%	0.1127	✓	0.56
2026-10-10	oos	8.15e-7	8.08e-7	-0.89%	7.15e-7	-12.27%	0.1113	✓	0.57
2026-10-09	oos	7.95e-7	7.88e-7	-0.84%	7.35e-7	-7.55%	0.0625	✓	0.59
2026-10-08	oos	7.95e-7	7.88e-7	-0.94%	7.45e-7	-6.29%	0.0586	✓	0.58
2026-10-07	oos	8.05e-7	8.02e-7	-0.42%	7.75e-7	-3.73%	0.0220	✓	0.57
2026-10-06	oos	8.15e-7	8.16e-7	+0.15%	7.75e-7	-4.91%	0.0359	✗	0.55
2026-10-05	oos	8.25e-7	8.30e-7	+0.62%	8.05e-7	-2.42%	0.0042	✓	0.55
2026-10-04	oos	8.25e-7	8.32e-7	+0.90%	8.15e-7	-1.21%	0.0025	✓	0.56
2026-10-03	oos	8.35e-7	8.40e-7	+0.57%	8.15e-7	-2.40%	0.0176	✗	0.56
2026-10-02	oos	8.40e-7	8.45e-7	+0.64%	7.95e-7	-5.36%	0.0483	✗	0.56
2026-10-01	oos	8.15e-7	8.22e-7	+0.81%	7.95e-7	-2.45%	0.0109	✗	0.58
2026-09-30	oos	8.25e-7	8.32e-7	+0.82%	8.05e-7	-2.42%	0.0302	✗	0.74
2026-09-29	oos	8.35e-7	8.43e-7	+0.91%	8.15e-7	-2.40%	0.0499	✗	0.74
2026-09-28	oos	8.25e-7	8.34e-7	+1.04%	8.25e-7	+0.00%	0.0303	✗	0.74
2026-09-27	oos	8.40e-7	8.49e-7	+1.08%	8.25e-7	-1.79%	0.0463	✗	0.73
2026-09-26	oos	8.35e-7	8.45e-7	+1.19%	8.35e-7	+0.00%	0.0146	✗	0.73
2026-09-25	oos	8.35e-7	8.46e-7	+1.32%	8.40e-7	+0.60%	0.0107	✓	0.73
2026-09-24	oos	8.30e-7	8.43e-7	+1.51%	8.15e-7	-1.81%	0.0373	✗	0.74
2026-09-23	oos	8.50e-7	8.62e-7	+1.37%	8.25e-7	-2.94%	0.0362	✗	0.74
2026-09-22	oos	0.000001065	0.000001061	-0.39%	8.35e-7	-21.60%	0.2201	✓	0.64
2026-09-21	oos	0.000001075	0.000001069	-0.52%	8.25e-7	-23.26%	0.2340	✓	0.69
2026-09-20	oos	0.000001055	0.000001051	-0.34%	8.40e-7	-20.38%	0.2536	✓	0.73
2026-09-19	oos	0.000001085	0.000001076	-0.83%	8.35e-7	-23.04%	0.2813	✓	0.72
2026-09-18	oos	0.000001065	0.000001063	-0.21%	8.35e-7	-21.60%	0.2691	✓	0.72
2026-09-17	oos	0.00000104	0.000001037	-0.30%	8.30e-7	-20.19%	0.2953	✓	0.73
2026-09-16	oos	0.000001015	0.000001013	-0.19%	8.50e-7	-16.26%	0.2480	✓	0.71
2026-09-15	oos	9.95e-7	9.98e-7	+0.30%	0.000001065	+7.04%	0.0399	✗	0.80
2026-09-14	oos	0.000001025	0.000001034	+0.90%	0.000001075	+4.88%	0.0369	✗	0.74
2026-09-13	oos	0.000001005	0.000001014	+0.86%	0.000001055	+4.98%	0.0006	✓	0.73
2026-09-12	oos	0.000001015	0.000001027	+1.14%	0.000001085	+6.90%	0.0181	✓	0.74
2026-09-11	oos	0.000001025	0.000001036	+1.10%	0.000001065	+3.90%	0.0080	✓	0.76
2026-09-10	oos	0.000001045	0.00000105	+0.48%	0.00000104	-0.48%	0.0077	✗	0.76
2026-09-09	oos	0.00000107	0.000001083	+1.19%	0.000001015	-5.14%	0.0432	✗	0.77
2026-09-08	oos	0.000001425	0.000001434	+0.60%	9.95e-7	-30.18%	0.3376	✗	0.74
2026-09-07	oos	0.000001445	0.00000146	+1.02%	0.000001025	-29.07%	0.3452	✗	0.72
2026-09-06	oos	0.00000145	0.000001482	+2.24%	0.000001005	-30.69%	0.3563	✗	0.72
2026-09-05	oos	0.00000147	0.000001492	+1.51%	0.000001015	-30.95%	0.3616	✗	0.73
2026-09-04	oos	0.00000145	0.000001469	+1.29%	0.000001025	-29.31%	0.3373	✗	0.71
2026-09-03	oos	0.00000145	0.000001483	+2.27%	0.000001045	-27.93%	0.3062	✗	0.73
2026-09-02	oos	0.00000143	0.000001426	-0.26%	0.00000107	-25.17%	0.2954	✓	0.64
2026-09-01	oos	0.00000144	0.000001441	+0.04%	0.000001425	-1.04%	0.0195	✗	0.64
2026-08-31	oos	0.000001435	0.000001445	+0.70%	0.000001445	+0.70%	0.0049	✓	0.73
2026-08-30	oos	0.000001435	0.00000144	+0.36%	0.00000145	+1.05%	0.0158	✗	0.67
2026-08-29	oos	0.000001445	0.000001456	+0.78%	0.00000147	+1.73%	0.0038	✓	0.65
2026-08-28	oos	0.000001455	0.000001465	+0.70%	0.00000145	-0.34%	0.0255	✗	0.65
2026-08-27	oos	0.00000148	0.000001504	+1.60%	0.00000145	-2.03%	0.0443	✗	0.66
2026-08-26	oos	0.000001465	0.000001482	+1.13%	0.00000143	-2.39%	0.0211	✗	0.65
2026-08-25	oos	0.000001475	0.000001488	+0.87%	0.00000144	-2.37%	0.0233	✗	0.65
2026-08-24	oos	0.000001465	0.00000148	+1.02%	0.000001435	-2.05%	0.0275	✗	0.62
2026-08-23	oos	0.00000149	0.000001498	+0.52%	0.000001435	-3.69%	0.0423	✗	0.66
2026-08-22	oos	0.0000015	0.000001504	+0.26%	0.000001445	-3.67%	0.0497	✗	0.64
2026-08-21	oos	0.00000154	0.000001544	+0.27%	0.000001455	-5.52%	0.0555	✗	0.64
2026-08-20	oos	0.000001505	0.000001492	-0.87%	0.00000148	-1.66%	0.0723	✓	0.68
2026-08-19	oos	0.00000149	0.000001467	-1.56%	0.000001465	-1.68%	0.1189	✓	0.90
2026-08-18	oos	0.000001435	0.000001404	-2.13%	0.000001475	+2.79%	0.1311	✓	0.93
2026-08-17	oos	0.000001515	0.000001479	-2.38%	0.000001465	-3.30%	0.1995	✓	0.94
2026-08-16	oos	0.000001485	0.000001448	-2.48%	0.00000149	+0.34%	0.1689	✓	0.93
2026-08-15	oos	0.000001495	0.000001455	-2.69%	0.0000015	+0.33%	0.1561	✓	0.93
2026-08-14	oos	0.000001545	0.000001502	-2.77%	0.00000154	-0.32%	0.1782	✓	0.93
2026-08-13	oos	0.000001545	0.000001505	-2.59%	0.000001505	-2.59%	0.1314	✓	0.93
2026-08-12	oos	0.000001555	0.000001511	-2.82%	0.00000149	-4.18%	0.0969	✓	0.93
2026-08-11	oos	0.000001635	0.000001573	-3.80%	0.000001435	-12.23%	0.1085	✓	0.93
2026-08-10	oos	0.000001645	0.000001567	-4.74%	0.000001515	-7.90%	0.0420	✓	0.94
2026-08-09	oos	0.000001435	0.000001404	-2.19%	0.000001485	+3.48%	0.0882	✗	1.01
2026-08-08	oos	0.000001445	0.000001412	-2.31%	0.000001495	+3.46%	0.0872	✗	1.01
2026-08-07	oos	0.000001475	0.000001444	-2.13%	0.000001545	+4.75%	0.0982	✗	1.01
2026-08-06	oos	0.000001475	0.000001443	-2.19%	0.000001545	+4.75%	0.0818	✗	1.01
2026-08-05	oos	0.000001455	0.000001424	-2.12%	0.000001555	+6.87%	0.1067	✗	1.01
2026-08-04	oos	0.000001445	0.000001415	-2.08%	0.000001635	+13.15%	0.1527	✗	1.00
2026-08-03	oos	0.000001465	0.000001429	-2.49%	0.000001645	+12.29%	0.1340	✗	1.01
2026-08-02	oos	0.00000149	0.000001455	-2.37%	0.000001435	-3.69%	0.0348	✓	1.01
2026-08-01	oos	0.00000145	0.000001419	-2.15%	0.000001445	-0.34%	0.0150	✓	0.99
2026-07-31	oos	0.000001455	0.000001424	-2.12%	0.000001475	+1.37%	0.0030	✓	0.99
2026-07-30	oos	0.000001495	0.000001463	-2.16%	0.000001475	-1.34%	0.0155	✓	1.01
2026-07-29	oos	0.000001505	0.00000147	-2.31%	0.000001455	-3.32%	0.0215	✓	1.01
2026-07-28	oos	0.000001505	0.000001477	-1.83%	0.000001445	-3.99%	0.0254	✓	1.01
2026-07-27	oos	0.000001505	0.000001478	-1.79%	0.000001465	-2.66%	0.0053	✓	1.01
2026-07-26	oos	0.000001575	0.000001546	-1.86%	0.00000149	-5.40%	0.0080	✓	1.00
2026-07-25	oos	0.000001565	0.000001536	-1.85%	0.00000145	-7.35%	0.0336	✓	1.00
2026-07-24	oos	0.000001575	0.000001546	-1.82%	0.000001455	-7.62%	0.0411	✓	1.00
2026-07-23	oos	0.000001595	0.000001566	-1.81%	0.000001495	-6.27%	0.0413	✓	1.01
2026-07-22	oos	0.000001635	0.000001608	-1.68%	0.000001505	-7.95%	0.0318	✓	1.01
2026-07-21	oos	0.000001635	0.000001608	-1.66%	0.000001505	-7.95%	0.0246	✓	1.01
2026-07-20	oos	0.000001695	0.000001663	-1.89%	0.000001505	-11.21%	0.0751	✓	1.05
2026-07-19	oos	0.000001715	0.000001681	-1.98%	0.000001575	-8.16%	0.0758	✓	1.05
2026-07-18	oos	0.000001705	0.000001673	-1.89%	0.000001565	-8.21%	0.0584	✓	1.05
2026-07-17	oos	0.000001705	0.000001674	-1.81%	0.000001575	-7.62%	0.0641	✓	1.05
2026-07-16	oos	0.000001775	0.000001739	-2.02%	0.000001595	-10.14%	0.1075	✓	1.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.000001775	0.000001739	-2.03%	0.000001635	-7.89%	0.0841	✓	1.07
2026-07-14	oos	0.000001785	0.000001751	-1.91%	0.000001635	-8.40%	0.0934	✓	1.07
2026-07-13	oos	0.000001755	0.000001722	-1.86%	0.000001695	-3.42%	0.0668	✓	1.10
2026-07-12	oos	0.000001825	0.00000179	-1.92%	0.000001715	-6.03%	0.0590	✓	1.10
2026-07-11	oos	0.000002225	0.000002159	-2.99%	0.000001705	-23.37%	0.2538	✓	1.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.0000022	0.000002137	-2.86%	0.000001705	-22.50%	0.2217	✓	1.13
2026-07-09	oos	0.000002355	0.000002267	-3.74%	0.000001775	-24.63%	0.2558	✓	1.20
2026-07-08	oos	0.000002615	0.000002515	-3.82%	0.000001775	-32.12%	0.3995	✓	1.30
2026-07-07	oos	0.00000269	0.000002558	-4.91%	0.000001785	-33.64%	0.3937	✓	1.31
2026-07-06	oos	0.00000276	0.000002601	-5.75%	0.000001755	-36.41%	0.3576	✓	1.31
2026-07-05	oos	0.00000285	0.000002671	-6.29%	0.000001825	-35.96%	0.3841	✓	1.32
2026-07-04	oos	0.000002975	0.000002755	-7.38%	0.000002225	-25.21%	0.2284	✓	1.35
2026-07-03	oos	0.00000283	0.000002599	-8.17%	0.0000022	-22.26%	0.2001	✓	1.32
2026-07-02	oos	0.00000185	0.000001819	-1.70%	0.000002355	+27.30%	0.2356	✗	0.84
2026-07-01	oos	0.00000185	0.000001818	-1.71%	0.000002615	+41.35%	0.3319	✗	0.85
2026-06-30	oos	0.00000184	0.000001808	-1.71%	0.00000269	+46.20%	0.3312	✗	0.84
2026-06-29	oos	0.000001885	0.000001852	-1.75%	0.00000276	+46.42%	0.3458	✗	0.86
2026-06-28	oos	0.000001885	0.000001856	-1.53%	0.00000285	+51.19%	0.3722	✗	0.85
2026-06-27	oos	0.000001905	0.00000188	-1.33%	0.000002975	+56.17%	0.4157	✗	0.85
2026-06-26	oos	0.00000201	0.00000198	-1.49%	0.00000283	+40.80%	0.3218	✗	0.86
2026-06-25	oos	0.00000199	0.000001964	-1.29%	0.00000185	-7.04%	0.0846	✓	0.84
2026-06-24	oos	0.000002145	0.000002107	-1.79%	0.00000185	-13.75%	0.1163	✓	0.81
2026-06-23	oos	0.000002345	0.000002297	-2.06%	0.00000184	-21.54%	0.1709	✓	0.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.000002455	0.000002403	-2.13%	0.000001885	-23.22%	0.1977	✓	0.74
2026-06-21	oos	0.000002535	0.000002478	-2.23%	0.000001885	-25.64%	0.2270	✓	0.76
2026-06-20	oos	0.000002575	0.00000252	-2.15%	0.000001905	-26.02%	0.2263	✓	0.77
2026-06-19	oos	0.00000258	0.000002527	-2.06%	0.00000201	-22.09%	0.1861	✓	0.76
2026-06-18	oos	0.000002835	0.000002764	-2.49%	0.00000199	-29.81%	0.2769	✓	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.0000033	0.000003182	-3.59%	0.000002145	-35.00%	0.3390	✓	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.00000302	0.000002932	-2.91%	0.000002345	-22.35%	0.1771	✓	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.00000314	0.000003035	-3.34%	0.000002455	-21.82%	0.1764	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.00000308	0.000002981	-3.20%	0.000002535	-17.69%	0.1239	✓	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.000002975	0.000002889	-2.89%	0.000002575	-13.45%	0.1119	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.000002985	0.000002898	-2.91%	0.00000258	-13.57%	0.1153	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.00000318	0.000003066	-3.58%	0.000002835	-10.85%	0.0675	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.000003115	0.000003007	-3.46%	0.0000033	+5.94%	0.0453	✗	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.00000282	0.000002753	-2.37%	0.00000302	+7.09%	0.0307	✗	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.00000286	0.000002792	-2.39%	0.00000314	+9.79%	0.0679	✗	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.00000296	0.000002886	-2.51%	0.00000308	+4.05%	0.0279	✗	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.00000295	0.000002884	-2.22%	0.000002975	+0.85%	0.0263	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.00000305	0.000002971	-2.59%	0.000002985	-2.13%	0.0355	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.00000294	0.000002872	-2.30%	0.00000318	+8.16%	0.1055	✗	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.00000306	0.000002987	-2.38%	0.000003115	+1.80%	0.0832	✗	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.00000337	0.000003252	-3.50%	0.00000282	-16.32%	0.0650	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.00000346	0.000003314	-4.21%	0.00000286	-17.34%	0.0245	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.000003485	0.000003339	-4.18%	0.00000296	-15.06%	0.0298	✓	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.000003395	0.000003265	-3.84%	0.00000295	-13.11%	0.0912	✗	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.0000035	0.000003361	-3.98%	0.00000305	-12.86%	0.0870	✗	1.00