NEX

Nexus · Ethereum · beta_5y

token id: #668
symbol: NEX
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xf57d49646621f563b0b905afc8336923ac569ec5
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-20
predictions: 441

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

146

of 147 predictions shown

direction hit

68.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0290

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0041

actual -0.0118

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	6.75e-7	6.74e-7	-0.20%	–	pending	–	–	0.57
2026-10-21	oos	6.85e-7	6.83e-7	-0.23%	6.75e-7	+0.00%	0.0010	✓	0.56
2026-10-20	oos	6.85e-7	6.84e-7	-0.21%	6.85e-7	+0.00%	0.0037	✗	0.57
2026-10-19	oos	6.75e-7	6.74e-7	-0.21%	6.85e-7	+1.48%	0.0093	✗	0.56
2026-10-18	oos	7.15e-7	7.12e-7	-0.47%	6.75e-7	-5.59%	0.0518	✓	0.54
2026-10-17	oos	7.15e-7	7.13e-7	-0.24%	7.15e-7	+0.00%	0.0017	✓	0.53
2026-10-16	oos	7.35e-7	7.33e-7	-0.26%	7.15e-7	-2.72%	0.0242	✓	0.53
2026-10-15	oos	7.45e-7	7.43e-7	-0.25%	7.35e-7	-1.34%	0.0070	✓	0.53
2026-10-14	oos	7.75e-7	7.73e-7	-0.29%	7.45e-7	-3.87%	0.0402	✓	0.54
2026-10-13	oos	7.75e-7	7.73e-7	-0.26%	7.75e-7	+0.00%	0.0127	✗	0.54
2026-10-12	oos	8.05e-7	8.02e-7	-0.33%	7.75e-7	-3.73%	0.0438	✓	0.55
2026-10-11	oos	8.15e-7	8.13e-7	-0.27%	8.05e-7	-1.23%	0.0035	✗	0.56
2026-10-10	oos	8.15e-7	8.12e-7	-0.32%	8.15e-7	+0.00%	0.0021	✓	0.57
2026-10-09	oos	7.95e-7	7.93e-7	-0.27%	8.15e-7	+2.52%	0.0249	✗	0.59
2026-10-08	oos	7.95e-7	7.93e-7	-0.27%	7.95e-7	+0.00%	0.0033	✓	0.58
2026-10-07	oos	8.05e-7	8.03e-7	-0.21%	7.95e-7	-1.24%	0.0006	✓	0.57
2026-10-06	oos	8.15e-7	8.14e-7	-0.16%	8.05e-7	-1.23%	0.0040	✗	0.55
2026-10-05	oos	8.25e-7	8.24e-7	-0.11%	8.15e-7	-1.21%	0.0097	✓	0.55
2026-10-04	oos	8.25e-7	8.25e-7	-0.05%	8.25e-7	+0.00%	0.0055	✗	0.56
2026-10-03	oos	8.35e-7	8.34e-7	-0.11%	8.25e-7	-1.20%	0.0226	✓	0.56
2026-10-02	oos	8.40e-7	8.39e-7	-0.12%	8.35e-7	-0.60%	0.0063	✓	0.56
2026-10-01	oos	8.15e-7	8.15e-7	-0.05%	8.40e-7	+3.07%	0.0330	✗	0.58
2026-09-30	oos	8.25e-7	8.25e-7	-0.04%	8.15e-7	-1.21%	0.0232	✓	0.74
2026-09-29	oos	8.35e-7	8.35e-7	-0.04%	8.25e-7	-1.20%	0.0110	✓	0.74
2026-09-28	oos	8.25e-7	8.25e-7	+0.01%	8.35e-7	+1.21%	0.0104	✓	0.74
2026-09-27	oos	8.40e-7	8.40e-7	+0.00%	8.25e-7	-1.79%	0.0092	✗	0.73
2026-09-26	oos	8.35e-7	8.35e-7	+0.05%	8.40e-7	+0.60%	0.0051	✓	0.73
2026-09-25	oos	8.35e-7	8.36e-7	+0.10%	8.35e-7	+0.00%	0.0038	✗	0.73
2026-09-24	oos	8.30e-7	8.31e-7	+0.14%	8.35e-7	+0.60%	0.0072	✓	0.74
2026-09-23	oos	8.50e-7	8.51e-7	+0.10%	8.30e-7	-2.35%	0.0248	✗	0.74
2026-09-22	oos	0.000001065	0.000001062	-0.28%	8.50e-7	-20.19%	0.2091	✓	0.64
2026-09-21	oos	0.000001075	0.000001071	-0.35%	0.000001065	-0.93%	0.0026	✓	0.69
2026-09-20	oos	0.000001055	0.000001052	-0.26%	0.000001075	+1.90%	0.0259	✓	0.73
2026-09-19	oos	0.000001085	0.000001079	-0.51%	0.000001055	-2.76%	0.0223	✓	0.72
2026-09-18	oos	0.000001065	0.000001063	-0.22%	0.000001085	+1.88%	0.0177	✗	0.72
2026-09-17	oos	0.00000104	0.000001038	-0.22%	0.000001065	+2.40%	0.0159	✓	0.73
2026-09-16	oos	0.000001015	0.000001012	-0.26%	0.00000104	+2.46%	0.0250	✗	0.71
2026-09-15	oos	9.95e-7	9.94e-7	-0.06%	0.000001015	+2.01%	0.0146	✗	0.80
2026-09-14	oos	0.000001025	0.000001025	+0.02%	9.95e-7	-2.93%	0.0050	✗	0.74
2026-09-13	oos	0.000001005	0.000001005	-0.01%	0.000001025	+1.99%	0.0067	✗	0.73
2026-09-12	oos	0.000001015	0.000001016	+0.12%	0.000001005	-0.99%	0.0067	✗	0.74
2026-09-11	oos	0.000001025	0.000001026	+0.10%	0.000001015	-0.98%	0.0114	✗	0.76
2026-09-10	oos	0.000001045	0.000001044	-0.05%	0.000001025	-1.91%	0.0255	✓	0.76
2026-09-09	oos	0.00000107	0.000001071	+0.06%	0.000001045	-2.34%	0.0067	✗	0.77
2026-09-08	oos	0.000001425	0.000001424	-0.07%	0.00000107	-24.91%	0.2843	✓	0.74
2026-09-07	oos	0.000001445	0.000001445	-0.02%	0.000001425	-1.38%	0.0079	✓	0.72
2026-09-06	oos	0.00000145	0.000001452	+0.15%	0.000001445	-0.34%	0.0063	✓	0.72
2026-09-05	oos	0.00000147	0.00000147	+0.02%	0.00000145	-1.36%	0.0185	✗	0.73
2026-09-04	oos	0.00000145	0.00000145	-0.02%	0.00000147	+1.38%	0.0125	✗	0.71
2026-09-03	oos	0.00000145	0.000001451	+0.10%	0.00000145	+0.00%	0.0134	✓	0.73
2026-09-02	oos	0.00000143	0.000001427	-0.24%	0.00000145	+1.40%	0.0156	✓	0.64
2026-09-01	oos	0.00000144	0.000001437	-0.20%	0.00000143	-0.69%	0.0042	✓	0.64
2026-08-31	oos	0.000001435	0.000001433	-0.13%	0.00000144	+0.35%	0.0156	✗	0.73
2026-08-30	oos	0.000001435	0.000001433	-0.17%	0.000001435	+0.00%	0.0060	✓	0.67
2026-08-29	oos	0.000001445	0.000001443	-0.14%	0.000001435	-0.69%	0.0008	✓	0.65
2026-08-28	oos	0.000001455	0.000001453	-0.16%	0.000001445	-0.69%	0.0086	✓	0.65
2026-08-27	oos	0.00000148	0.000001479	-0.06%	0.000001455	-1.69%	0.0038	✗	0.66
2026-08-26	oos	0.000001465	0.000001463	-0.12%	0.00000148	+1.02%	0.0012	✓	0.65
2026-08-25	oos	0.000001475	0.000001472	-0.17%	0.000001465	-0.68%	0.0092	✓	0.65
2026-08-24	oos	0.000001465	0.000001463	-0.15%	0.000001475	+0.68%	0.0119	✗	0.62
2026-08-23	oos	0.00000149	0.000001487	-0.22%	0.000001465	-1.68%	0.0252	✓	0.66
2026-08-22	oos	0.0000015	0.000001496	-0.28%	0.00000149	-0.67%	0.0095	✓	0.64
2026-08-21	oos	0.00000154	0.000001535	-0.33%	0.0000015	-2.60%	0.0125	✓	0.64
2026-08-20	oos	0.000001505	0.000001499	-0.42%	0.00000154	+2.33%	0.0205	✓	0.68
2026-08-19	oos	0.00000149	0.000001484	-0.41%	0.000001505	+1.01%	0.0326	✓	0.90
2026-08-18	oos	0.000001435	0.000001428	-0.45%	0.00000149	+3.83%	0.0219	✓	0.93
2026-08-17	oos	0.000001515	0.000001507	-0.51%	0.000001435	-5.28%	0.0521	✓	0.94
2026-08-16	oos	0.000001485	0.000001478	-0.49%	0.000001515	+2.02%	0.0010	✓	0.93
2026-08-15	oos	0.000001495	0.000001486	-0.60%	0.000001485	-0.67%	0.0020	✓	0.93
2026-08-14	oos	0.000001545	0.000001535	-0.64%	0.000001495	-3.24%	0.0271	✓	0.93
2026-08-13	oos	0.000001545	0.000001536	-0.57%	0.000001545	+0.00%	0.0123	✗	0.93
2026-08-12	oos	0.000001555	0.000001544	-0.68%	0.000001545	-0.64%	0.0002	✓	0.93
2026-08-11	oos	0.000001635	0.000001615	-1.20%	0.000001555	-4.89%	0.0364	✓	0.93
2026-08-10	oos	0.000001645	0.000001617	-1.70%	0.000001635	-0.61%	0.0166	✓	0.94
2026-08-09	oos	0.000001435	0.000001428	-0.46%	0.000001645	+14.63%	0.1559	✗	1.01
2026-08-08	oos	0.000001445	0.000001438	-0.51%	0.000001435	-0.69%	0.0009	✓	1.01
2026-08-07	oos	0.000001475	0.000001468	-0.45%	0.000001445	-2.03%	0.0163	✓	1.01
2026-08-06	oos	0.000001475	0.000001468	-0.47%	0.000001475	+0.00%	0.0051	✓	1.01
2026-08-05	oos	0.000001455	0.000001448	-0.46%	0.000001475	+1.37%	0.0235	✗	1.01
2026-08-04	oos	0.000001445	0.000001439	-0.44%	0.000001455	+0.69%	0.0026	✓	1.00
2026-08-03	oos	0.000001465	0.000001457	-0.55%	0.000001445	-1.37%	0.0175	✓	1.01
2026-08-02	oos	0.00000149	0.000001483	-0.49%	0.000001465	-1.68%	0.0115	✓	1.01
2026-08-01	oos	0.00000145	0.000001444	-0.43%	0.00000149	+2.76%	0.0200	✗	0.99
2026-07-31	oos	0.000001455	0.000001449	-0.42%	0.00000145	-0.34%	0.0017	✓	0.99
2026-07-30	oos	0.000001495	0.000001488	-0.44%	0.000001455	-2.68%	0.0074	✗	1.01
2026-07-29	oos	0.000001505	0.000001497	-0.53%	0.000001495	-0.66%	0.0143	✓	1.01
2026-07-28	oos	0.000001505	0.000001499	-0.38%	0.000001505	+0.00%	0.0030	✓	1.01
2026-07-27	oos	0.000001505	0.0000015	-0.36%	0.000001505	+0.00%	0.0012	✓	1.01
2026-07-26	oos	0.000001575	0.000001569	-0.39%	0.000001505	-4.44%	0.0160	✓	1.00
2026-07-25	oos	0.000001565	0.000001559	-0.37%	0.000001575	+0.64%	0.0060	✓	1.00
2026-07-24	oos	0.000001575	0.000001569	-0.37%	0.000001565	-0.63%	0.0060	✓	1.00
2026-07-23	oos	0.000001595	0.000001589	-0.37%	0.000001575	-1.25%	0.0062	✗	1.01
2026-07-22	oos	0.000001635	0.00000163	-0.34%	0.000001595	-2.45%	0.0054	✓	1.01
2026-07-21	oos	0.000001635	0.00000163	-0.32%	0.000001635	+0.00%	0.0098	✗	1.01
2026-07-20	oos	0.000001695	0.000001689	-0.36%	0.000001635	-3.54%	0.0532	✓	1.05
2026-07-19	oos	0.000001715	0.000001709	-0.37%	0.000001695	-1.17%	0.0166	✓	1.05
2026-07-18	oos	0.000001705	0.000001699	-0.34%	0.000001715	+0.59%	0.0112	✗	1.05
2026-07-17	oos	0.000001705	0.0000017	-0.32%	0.000001705	+0.00%	0.0116	✓	1.05
2026-07-16	oos	0.000001775	0.000001769	-0.36%	0.000001705	-3.94%	0.0387	✓	1.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.000001775	0.000001769	-0.35%	0.000001775	+0.00%	0.0193	✗	1.07
2026-07-14	oos	0.000001785	0.00000178	-0.31%	0.000001775	-0.56%	0.0020	✓	1.07
2026-07-13	oos	0.000001755	0.00000175	-0.28%	0.000001785	+1.71%	0.0273	✓	1.10
2026-07-12	oos	0.000001825	0.000001819	-0.33%	0.000001755	-3.84%	0.0100	✓	1.10
2026-07-11	oos	0.000002225	0.00000221	-0.67%	0.000001825	-17.98%	0.1908	✓	1.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.0000022	0.000002186	-0.66%	0.000002225	+1.14%	0.0242	✗	1.13
2026-07-09	oos	0.000002355	0.00000233	-1.06%	0.0000022	-6.58%	0.0754	✓	1.20
2026-07-08	oos	0.000002615	0.00000259	-0.95%	0.000002355	-9.94%	0.1147	✓	1.30
2026-07-07	oos	0.00000269	0.000002647	-1.60%	0.000002615	-2.79%	0.0104	✓	1.31
2026-07-06	oos	0.00000276	0.000002702	-2.09%	0.00000269	-2.54%	0.0094	✓	1.31
2026-07-05	oos	0.00000285	0.000002783	-2.37%	0.00000276	-3.16%	0.0168	✓	1.32
2026-07-04	oos	0.000002975	0.000002888	-2.94%	0.00000285	-4.20%	0.0237	✓	1.35
2026-07-03	oos	0.00000283	0.000002736	-3.33%	0.000002975	+5.12%	0.0719	✗	1.32
2026-07-02	oos	0.00000185	0.000001845	-0.27%	0.00000283	+52.97%	0.4137	✗	0.84
2026-07-01	oos	0.00000185	0.000001845	-0.28%	0.00000185	+0.00%	0.0184	✓	0.85
2026-06-30	oos	0.00000184	0.000001835	-0.29%	0.00000185	+0.54%	0.0119	✓	0.84
2026-06-29	oos	0.000001885	0.00000188	-0.28%	0.00000184	-2.39%	0.0024	✓	0.86
2026-06-28	oos	0.000001885	0.00000188	-0.24%	0.000001885	+0.00%	0.0073	✓	0.85
2026-06-27	oos	0.000001905	0.000001901	-0.20%	0.000001885	-1.05%	0.0020	✓	0.85
2026-06-26	oos	0.00000201	0.000002005	-0.24%	0.000001905	-5.22%	0.0503	✓	0.86
2026-06-25	oos	0.00000199	0.000001986	-0.19%	0.00000201	+1.01%	0.0077	✗	0.84
2026-06-24	oos	0.000002145	0.000002138	-0.30%	0.00000199	-7.23%	0.0548	✓	0.81
2026-06-23	oos	0.000002345	0.000002337	-0.36%	0.000002145	-8.53%	0.0655	✓	0.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.000002455	0.000002446	-0.37%	0.000002345	-4.48%	0.0269	✓	0.74
2026-06-21	oos	0.000002535	0.000002525	-0.40%	0.000002455	-3.16%	0.0366	✓	0.76
2026-06-20	oos	0.000002575	0.000002565	-0.37%	0.000002535	-1.55%	0.0000	✓	0.77
2026-06-19	oos	0.00000258	0.000002571	-0.34%	0.000002575	-0.19%	0.0075	✓	0.76
2026-06-18	oos	0.000002835	0.000002823	-0.44%	0.00000258	-8.99%	0.0993	✓	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.0000033	0.000003276	-0.74%	0.000002835	-14.09%	0.1199	✓	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.00000302	0.000003004	-0.53%	0.0000033	+9.27%	0.1119	✗	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.00000314	0.00000312	-0.63%	0.00000302	-3.82%	0.0227	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.00000308	0.000003062	-0.59%	0.00000314	+1.95%	0.0165	✗	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.000002975	0.00000296	-0.50%	0.00000308	+3.53%	0.0201	✗	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.000002985	0.00000297	-0.49%	0.000002975	-0.34%	0.0123	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.00000318	0.000003158	-0.68%	0.000002985	-6.13%	0.0561	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.000003115	0.000003093	-0.71%	0.00000318	+2.09%	0.0061	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.00000282	0.000002809	-0.40%	0.000003115	+10.46%	0.1074	✗	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.00000286	0.000002849	-0.40%	0.00000282	-1.40%	0.0120	✗	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.00000296	0.000002947	-0.43%	0.00000286	-3.38%	0.0263	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.00000295	0.000002938	-0.39%	0.00000296	+0.34%	0.0322	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.00000305	0.000003035	-0.51%	0.00000295	-3.28%	0.0253	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.00000294	0.000002928	-0.40%	0.00000305	+3.74%	0.0851	✗	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.00000306	0.000003048	-0.40%	0.00000294	-3.92%	0.0324	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.00000337	0.000003348	-0.64%	0.00000306	-9.20%	0.0500	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.00000346	0.000003432	-0.81%	0.00000337	-2.60%	0.0493	✗	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.000003485	0.000003458	-0.77%	0.00000346	-0.72%	0.0317	✗	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.000003395	0.000003373	-0.66%	0.000003485	+2.65%	0.0355	✗	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.0000035	0.000003475	-0.71%	0.000003395	-3.00%	0.0288	✓	1.00