NEX
Nexus · Ethereum · beta_5y
- token id
- #668
- symbol
- NEX
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0xf57d49646621f563b0b905afc8336923ac569ec5
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-05-20
- predictions
- 441
Track record at +30d
assessed
117
of 147 predictions shown
direction hit
72.6%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.3436
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0476
actual -0.3883
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | live | 6.75e-7 | 6.65e-7 | -1.55% | – | pending | – | – | 0.57 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 6.85e-7 | 6.73e-7 | -1.75% | – | pending | – | – | 0.56 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 6.85e-7 | 6.78e-7 | -1.02% | – | pending | – | – | 0.57 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 6.75e-7 | 6.66e-7 | -1.40% | – | pending | – | – | 0.56 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 7.15e-7 | 7.01e-7 | -1.97% | – | pending | – | – | 0.54 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 7.15e-7 | 6.98e-7 | -2.44% | – | pending | – | – | 0.53 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 7.35e-7 | 7.15e-7 | -2.74% | – | pending | – | – | 0.53 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 7.45e-7 | 7.30e-7 | -2.06% | – | pending | – | – | 0.53 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 7.75e-7 | 7.53e-7 | -2.83% | – | pending | – | – | 0.54 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 7.75e-7 | 7.61e-7 | -1.87% | – | pending | – | – | 0.54 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 8.05e-7 | 7.79e-7 | -3.23% | – | pending | – | – | 0.55 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 8.15e-7 | 8.05e-7 | -1.26% | – | pending | – | – | 0.56 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 8.15e-7 | 8.01e-7 | -1.75% | – | pending | – | – | 0.57 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 7.95e-7 | 7.79e-7 | -2.02% | – | pending | – | – | 0.59 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 7.95e-7 | 7.76e-7 | -2.44% | – | pending | – | – | 0.58 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 8.05e-7 | 8.00e-7 | -0.59% | – | pending | – | – | 0.57 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 8.15e-7 | 8.30e-7 | +1.80% | – | pending | – | – | 0.55 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 8.25e-7 | 8.58e-7 | +4.01% | – | pending | – | – | 0.55 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 8.25e-7 | 8.65e-7 | +4.82% | – | pending | – | – | 0.56 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 8.35e-7 | 8.65e-7 | +3.65% | – | pending | – | – | 0.56 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 8.40e-7 | 8.77e-7 | +4.37% | – | pending | – | – | 0.56 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 8.15e-7 | 8.51e-7 | +4.38% | – | pending | – | – | 0.58 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 8.25e-7 | 8.63e-7 | +4.66% | – | pending | – | – | 0.74 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 8.35e-7 | 8.82e-7 | +5.60% | – | pending | – | – | 0.74 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 8.25e-7 | 8.74e-7 | +5.90% | – | pending | – | – | 0.74 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 8.40e-7 | 8.94e-7 | +6.43% | – | pending | – | – | 0.73 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 8.35e-7 | 8.88e-7 | +6.36% | – | pending | – | – | 0.73 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 8.35e-7 | 8.92e-7 | +6.77% | – | pending | – | – | 0.73 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 8.30e-7 | 8.93e-7 | +7.59% | – | pending | – | – | 0.74 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 8.50e-7 | 9.12e-7 | +7.29% | – | pending | – | – | 0.74 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.000001065 | 0.000001079 | +1.34% | 6.75e-7 | -36.62% | 0.4545 | ✗ | 0.64 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.000001075 | 0.000001092 | +1.56% | 6.85e-7 | -36.28% | 0.4343 | ✗ | 0.69 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.000001055 | 0.000001067 | +1.12% | 6.85e-7 | -35.07% | 0.4589 | ✗ | 0.73 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.000001085 | 0.0000011 | +1.39% | 6.75e-7 | -37.79% | 0.4938 | ✗ | 0.72 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.000001065 | 0.000001082 | +1.59% | 7.15e-7 | -32.86% | 0.4242 | ✗ | 0.72 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.00000104 | 0.000001043 | +0.33% | 7.15e-7 | -31.25% | 0.4244 | ✗ | 0.73 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.000001015 | 0.000001024 | +0.88% | 7.35e-7 | -27.59% | 0.3795 | ✗ | 0.71 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 9.95e-7 | 0.000001005 | +1.00% | 7.45e-7 | -25.13% | 0.3655 | ✗ | 0.80 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.000001025 | 0.000001051 | +2.54% | 7.75e-7 | -24.39% | 0.3360 | ✗ | 0.74 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.000001005 | 0.000001027 | +2.17% | 7.75e-7 | -22.89% | 0.3393 | ✗ | 0.73 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.000001015 | 0.000001033 | +1.74% | 8.05e-7 | -20.69% | 0.2909 | ✗ | 0.74 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.000001025 | 0.000001045 | +1.99% | 8.15e-7 | -20.49% | 0.3102 | ✗ | 0.76 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.000001045 | 0.000001052 | +0.67% | 8.15e-7 | -22.01% | 0.3164 | ✗ | 0.76 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.00000107 | 0.000001093 | +2.11% | 7.95e-7 | -25.70% | 0.3589 | ✗ | 0.77 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.000001425 | 0.000001417 | -0.53% | 7.95e-7 | -44.21% | 0.6083 | ✓ | 0.74 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.000001445 | 0.000001452 | +0.51% | 8.05e-7 | -44.29% | 0.6272 | ✗ | 0.72 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.00000145 | 0.000001498 | +3.34% | 8.15e-7 | -43.79% | 0.6541 | ✗ | 0.72 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.00000147 | 0.0000015 | +2.05% | 8.25e-7 | -43.88% | 0.6498 | ✗ | 0.73 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.00000145 | 0.000001483 | +2.28% | 8.25e-7 | -43.10% | 0.6449 | ✗ | 0.71 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.00000145 | 0.000001513 | +4.33% | 8.35e-7 | -42.41% | 0.6248 | ✗ | 0.73 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.00000143 | 0.000001412 | -1.29% | 8.40e-7 | -41.26% | 0.5758 | ✓ | 0.64 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.00000144 | 0.000001439 | -0.04% | 8.15e-7 | -43.40% | 0.6279 | ✓ | 0.64 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.000001435 | 0.000001465 | +2.11% | 8.25e-7 | -42.51% | 0.6192 | ✗ | 0.73 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.000001435 | 0.000001456 | +1.46% | 8.35e-7 | -41.81% | 0.6055 | ✗ | 0.67 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.000001445 | 0.000001493 | +3.30% | 8.25e-7 | -42.91% | 0.6350 | ✗ | 0.65 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.000001455 | 0.000001512 | +3.94% | 8.40e-7 | -42.27% | 0.6409 | ✗ | 0.65 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.00000148 | 0.000001589 | +7.38% | 8.35e-7 | -43.58% | 0.6765 | ✗ | 0.66 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.000001465 | 0.000001557 | +6.25% | 8.35e-7 | -43.00% | 0.6632 | ✗ | 0.65 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.000001475 | 0.00000156 | +5.73% | 8.30e-7 | -43.73% | 0.6773 | ✗ | 0.65 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.000001465 | 0.000001564 | +6.72% | 8.50e-7 | -41.98% | 0.6507 | ✗ | 0.62 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.00000149 | 0.000001565 | +5.01% | 0.000001065 | -28.52% | 0.4526 | ✗ | 0.66 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.0000015 | 0.000001567 | +4.47% | 0.000001075 | -28.33% | 0.4518 | ✗ | 0.64 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.00000154 | 0.000001621 | +5.29% | 0.000001055 | -31.49% | 0.4525 | ✗ | 0.64 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.000001505 | 0.000001505 | +0.03% | 0.000001085 | -27.91% | 0.3999 | ✗ | 0.68 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.00000149 | 0.00000144 | -3.33% | 0.000001065 | -28.52% | 0.4404 | ✓ | 0.90 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.000001435 | 0.000001356 | -5.51% | 0.00000104 | -27.53% | 0.4192 | ✓ | 0.93 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.000001515 | 0.000001418 | -6.38% | 0.000001015 | -33.00% | 0.4904 | ✓ | 0.94 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.000001485 | 0.000001382 | -6.93% | 9.95e-7 | -33.00% | 0.5001 | ✓ | 0.93 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.000001495 | 0.00000139 | -7.01% | 0.000001025 | -31.44% | 0.5048 | ✓ | 0.93 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.000001545 | 0.000001433 | -7.25% | 0.000001005 | -34.95% | 0.5395 | ✓ | 0.93 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.000001545 | 0.000001435 | -7.15% | 0.000001015 | -34.30% | 0.5303 | ✓ | 0.93 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.000001555 | 0.000001442 | -7.26% | 0.000001025 | -34.08% | 0.5251 | ✓ | 0.93 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.000001635 | 0.000001503 | -8.06% | 0.000001045 | -36.09% | 0.5375 | ✓ | 0.93 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.000001645 | 0.000001503 | -8.62% | 0.00000107 | -34.95% | 0.5297 | ✓ | 0.94 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.000001435 | 0.000001351 | -5.86% | 0.000001425 | -0.70% | 0.1386 | ✓ | 1.01 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.000001445 | 0.000001357 | -6.06% | 0.000001445 | +0.00% | 0.1367 | ✓ | 1.01 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.000001475 | 0.000001387 | -6.00% | 0.00000145 | -1.69% | 0.1707 | ✓ | 1.01 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.000001475 | 0.000001385 | -6.08% | 0.00000147 | -0.34% | 0.1590 | ✓ | 1.01 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.000001455 | 0.000001373 | -5.65% | 0.00000145 | -0.34% | 0.1571 | ✓ | 1.01 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.000001445 | 0.000001361 | -5.81% | 0.00000145 | +0.35% | 0.1759 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.000001465 | 0.000001369 | -6.55% | 0.00000143 | -2.39% | 0.1554 | ✓ | 1.01 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.00000149 | 0.00000139 | -6.72% | 0.00000144 | -3.36% | 0.1641 | ✓ | 1.01 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.00000145 | 0.000001359 | -6.31% | 0.000001435 | -1.03% | 0.1680 | ✓ | 0.99 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.000001455 | 0.000001365 | -6.19% | 0.000001435 | -1.37% | 0.1601 | ✓ | 0.99 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.000001495 | 0.000001406 | -5.96% | 0.000001445 | -3.34% | 0.1640 | ✓ | 1.01 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.000001505 | 0.000001415 | -5.99% | 0.000001455 | -3.32% | 0.1718 | ✓ | 1.01 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.000001505 | 0.000001425 | -5.34% | 0.00000148 | -1.66% | 0.1931 | ✓ | 1.01 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.000001505 | 0.000001426 | -5.23% | 0.000001465 | -2.66% | 0.1905 | ✓ | 1.01 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.000001575 | 0.000001493 | -5.22% | 0.000001475 | -6.35% | 0.1965 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.000001565 | 0.000001482 | -5.33% | 0.000001465 | -6.39% | 0.2168 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.000001575 | 0.000001492 | -5.26% | 0.00000149 | -5.40% | 0.1940 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.000001595 | 0.000001516 | -4.96% | 0.0000015 | -5.96% | 0.1810 | ✓ | 1.01 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.000001635 | 0.000001558 | -4.74% | 0.00000154 | -5.81% | 0.1831 | ✓ | 1.01 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.000001635 | 0.00000156 | -4.61% | 0.000001505 | -7.95% | 0.1302 | ✓ | 1.01 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.000001695 | 0.000001603 | -5.43% | 0.00000149 | -12.09% | 0.1370 | ✓ | 1.05 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.000001715 | 0.000001615 | -5.83% | 0.000001435 | -16.33% | 0.1182 | ✓ | 1.05 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.000001705 | 0.000001608 | -5.68% | 0.000001515 | -11.14% | 0.0545 | ✓ | 1.05 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.000001705 | 0.000001611 | -5.51% | 0.000001485 | -12.90% | 0.0640 | ✓ | 1.05 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.000001775 | 0.000001671 | -5.86% | 0.000001495 | -15.77% | 0.0987 | ✓ | 1.06 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.000001775 | 0.000001675 | -5.66% | 0.000001545 | -12.96% | 0.0513 | ✓ | 1.07 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.000001785 | 0.000001687 | -5.50% | 0.000001545 | -13.45% | 0.0617 | ✓ | 1.07 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.000001755 | 0.000001657 | -5.58% | 0.000001555 | -11.40% | 0.0837 | ✓ | 1.10 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.000001825 | 0.000001726 | -5.43% | 0.000001635 | -10.41% | 0.0505 | ✓ | 1.10 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.000002225 | 0.000002055 | -7.65% | 0.000001645 | -26.07% | 0.2249 | ✓ | 1.13 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.0000022 | 0.000002039 | -7.31% | 0.000001435 | -34.77% | 0.3641 | ✓ | 1.13 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.000002355 | 0.000002156 | -8.46% | 0.000001445 | -38.64% | 0.4325 | ✓ | 1.20 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.000002615 | 0.000002361 | -9.72% | 0.000001475 | -43.59% | 0.5248 | ✓ | 1.30 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.00000269 | 0.000002412 | -10.35% | 0.000001475 | -45.17% | 0.5110 | ✓ | 1.31 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.00000276 | 0.000002459 | -10.91% | 0.000001455 | -47.28% | 0.5369 | ✓ | 1.31 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.00000285 | 0.000002519 | -11.63% | 0.000001445 | -49.30% | 0.5653 | ✓ | 1.32 |
| 2026-07-04 | oos | 0.000002975 | 0.000002593 | -12.84% | 0.000001465 | -50.76% | 0.5791 | ✓ | 1.35 |
| 2026-07-03 | oos | 0.00000283 | 0.000002449 | -13.45% | 0.00000149 | -47.35% | 0.5175 | ✓ | 1.32 |
| 2026-07-02 | oos | 0.00000185 | 0.00000174 | -5.92% | 0.00000145 | -21.62% | 0.2000 | ✓ | 0.84 |
| 2026-07-01 | oos | 0.00000185 | 0.000001738 | -6.03% | 0.000001455 | -21.35% | 0.2174 | ✓ | 0.85 |
| 2026-06-30 | oos | 0.00000184 | 0.000001727 | -6.14% | 0.000001495 | -18.75% | 0.2284 | ✓ | 0.84 |
| 2026-06-29 | oos | 0.000001885 | 0.000001766 | -6.32% | 0.000001505 | -20.16% | 0.2116 | ✓ | 0.86 |
| 2026-06-28 | oos | 0.000001885 | 0.00000177 | -6.08% | 0.000001505 | -20.16% | 0.2225 | ✓ | 0.85 |
| 2026-06-27 | oos | 0.000001905 | 0.000001794 | -5.81% | 0.000001505 | -21.00% | 0.2275 | ✓ | 0.85 |
| 2026-06-26 | oos | 0.00000201 | 0.000001888 | -6.06% | 0.000001575 | -21.64% | 0.2547 | ✓ | 0.86 |
| 2026-06-25 | oos | 0.00000199 | 0.000001878 | -5.63% | 0.000001565 | -21.36% | 0.2445 | ✓ | 0.84 |
| 2026-06-24 | oos | 0.000002145 | 0.00000201 | -6.29% | 0.000001575 | -26.57% | 0.2840 | ✓ | 0.81 |
| 2026-06-23 | oos | 0.000002345 | 0.000002187 | -6.73% | 0.000001595 | -31.98% | 0.3439 | ✓ | 0.75 |
| 2026-06-22 | oos | 0.000002455 | 0.000002289 | -6.78% | 0.000001635 | -33.40% | 0.3605 | ✓ | 0.74 |
| 2026-06-21 | oos | 0.000002535 | 0.000002359 | -6.95% | 0.000001635 | -35.50% | 0.4050 | ✓ | 0.76 |
| 2026-06-20 | oos | 0.000002575 | 0.000002401 | -6.77% | 0.000001695 | -34.17% | 0.3599 | ✓ | 0.77 |
| 2026-06-19 | oos | 0.00000258 | 0.000002411 | -6.53% | 0.000001715 | -33.53% | 0.3551 | ✓ | 0.76 |
| 2026-06-18 | oos | 0.000002835 | 0.000002623 | -7.46% | 0.000001705 | -39.86% | 0.4610 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-17 | oos | 0.0000033 | 0.000002982 | -9.64% | 0.000001705 | -48.33% | 0.5504 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-16 | oos | 0.00000302 | 0.000002768 | -8.34% | 0.000001775 | -41.23% | 0.4159 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-15 | oos | 0.00000314 | 0.000002854 | -9.11% | 0.000001775 | -43.47% | 0.4510 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-14 | oos | 0.00000308 | 0.000002804 | -8.97% | 0.000001785 | -42.05% | 0.4405 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-13 | oos | 0.000002975 | 0.00000272 | -8.58% | 0.000001755 | -41.01% | 0.4039 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-12 | oos | 0.000002985 | 0.000002723 | -8.77% | 0.000001825 | -38.86% | 0.4034 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-11 | oos | 0.00000318 | 0.000002859 | -10.08% | 0.000002225 | -30.03% | 0.2541 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-10 | oos | 0.000003115 | 0.000002803 | -10.00% | 0.0000022 | -29.37% | 0.2851 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-09 | oos | 0.00000282 | 0.000002585 | -8.34% | 0.000002355 | -16.49% | 0.1170 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-08 | oos | 0.00000286 | 0.00000262 | -8.39% | 0.000002615 | -8.57% | 0.0112 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-07 | oos | 0.00000296 | 0.000002702 | -8.72% | 0.00000269 | -9.12% | 0.0048 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-06 | oos | 0.00000295 | 0.000002701 | -8.43% | 0.00000276 | -6.44% | 0.0289 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-05 | oos | 0.00000305 | 0.00000277 | -9.18% | 0.00000285 | -6.56% | 0.0125 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-04 | oos | 0.00000294 | 0.000002679 | -8.87% | 0.000002975 | +1.19% | 0.1160 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-03 | oos | 0.00000306 | 0.000002776 | -9.27% | 0.00000283 | -7.52% | 0.0431 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-02 | oos | 0.00000337 | 0.000003 | -10.99% | 0.00000185 | -45.10% | 0.4025 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-01 | oos | 0.00000346 | 0.000003052 | -11.79% | 0.00000185 | -46.53% | 0.3272 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-31 | oos | 0.000003485 | 0.000003076 | -11.73% | 0.00000184 | -47.20% | 0.2850 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-30 | oos | 0.000003395 | 0.000003012 | -11.30% | 0.000001885 | -44.48% | 0.2646 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-29 | oos | 0.0000035 | 0.0000031 | -11.43% | 0.000001885 | -46.14% | 0.2875 | ✓ | 1.00 |