MCAT
Marscat Token · Binance Smart Chain · beta_5y
- token id
- #456
- symbol
- MCAT
- variant
- –
- chain
- Binance Smart Chain
- address
- 0xd69a4b260ef021ccd4e1c5f5a4fb522b032ce831
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-10
- predictions
- 102
Track record at +7d
assessed
27
of 34 predictions shown
direction hit
59.3%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1477
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0478
actual +0.0001
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | live | 0.718485 | 0.697649 | -2.90% | – | pending | – | – | 3.76 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.719025 | 0.698303 | -2.88% | – | pending | – | – | 3.86 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.759515 | 0.734204 | -3.33% | – | pending | – | – | 3.84 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.774195 | 0.74577 | -3.67% | – | pending | – | – | 3.91 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.7811 | 0.749314 | -4.07% | – | pending | – | – | 3.91 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.74617 | 0.714766 | -4.21% | – | pending | – | – | 3.90 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.646255 | 0.625929 | -3.15% | – | pending | – | – | 3.94 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.62541 | 0.606016 | -3.10% | 0.718485 | +14.88% | 0.0699 | ✗ | 3.98 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.60864 | 0.590878 | -2.92% | 0.719025 | +18.14% | 0.1415 | ✗ | 3.98 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.599125 | 0.58149 | -2.94% | 0.759515 | +26.77% | 0.2753 | ✗ | 4.14 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.596775 | 0.580169 | -2.78% | 0.774195 | +29.73% | 0.2836 | ✗ | 4.21 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.608905 | 0.590677 | -2.99% | 0.7811 | +28.28% | 0.3681 | ✗ | 4.39 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.611255 | 0.591696 | -3.20% | 0.74617 | +22.07% | 0.3142 | ✗ | 4.42 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.563305 | 0.550378 | -2.29% | 0.646255 | +14.73% | 0.1733 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.51154 | 0.507292 | -0.83% | 0.62541 | +22.26% | 0.2041 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.54838 | 0.540274 | -1.48% | 0.60864 | +10.99% | 0.1399 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.689605 | 0.667592 | -3.19% | 0.599125 | -13.12% | 0.0793 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.65254 | 0.632193 | -3.12% | 0.596775 | -8.55% | 0.0098 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.6717 | 0.648104 | -3.51% | 0.608905 | -9.35% | 0.0291 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.704355 | 0.675897 | -4.04% | 0.611255 | -13.22% | 0.0787 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.70984 | 0.678623 | -4.40% | 0.563305 | -20.64% | 0.1628 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.722985 | 0.688524 | -4.77% | 0.51154 | -29.25% | 0.2592 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.745455 | 0.706952 | -5.17% | 0.54838 | -26.44% | 0.2506 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.796315 | 0.751063 | -5.68% | 0.689605 | -13.40% | 0.1078 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.780635 | 0.734089 | -5.96% | 0.65254 | -16.41% | 0.1449 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.77554 | 0.727833 | -6.15% | 0.6717 | -13.39% | 0.1042 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.76579 | 0.716655 | -6.42% | 0.704355 | -8.02% | 0.0212 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.77739 | 0.724439 | -6.81% | 0.70984 | -8.69% | 0.0252 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.73189 | 0.682002 | -6.82% | 0.722985 | -1.22% | 0.0529 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.82997 | 0.768805 | -7.37% | 0.745455 | -10.18% | 0.0211 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.91021 | 0.83448 | -8.32% | 0.796315 | -12.51% | 0.0167 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.72185 | 0.668084 | -7.45% | 0.780635 | +8.14% | 0.1926 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.51745 | 0.486594 | -5.96% | 0.77554 | +49.88% | 0.4262 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.829055 | 0.763679 | -7.89% | 0.76579 | -7.63% | 0.0357 | ✓ | 1.00 |