MCAT
Marscat Token · Binance Smart Chain · beta_5y
- token id
- #456
- symbol
- MCAT
- variant
- –
- chain
- Binance Smart Chain
- address
- 0xd69a4b260ef021ccd4e1c5f5a4fb522b032ce831
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-10
- predictions
- 102
Track record at +1d
assessed
33
of 34 predictions shown
direction hit
54.5%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0811
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0099
actual -0.0066
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.718485 | 0.712441 | -0.84% | – | pending | – | – | 3.76 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.71641 | 0.710959 | -0.76% | 0.718485 | +0.29% | 0.0019 | ✓ | 3.76 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.759515 | 0.752447 | -0.93% | 0.71641 | -5.68% | 0.0991 | ✓ | 3.84 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.774195 | 0.765883 | -1.07% | 0.759515 | -1.90% | 0.0606 | ✓ | 3.91 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.7811 | 0.771673 | -1.21% | 0.774195 | -0.88% | 0.0113 | ✓ | 3.91 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.74617 | 0.736917 | -1.24% | 0.7811 | +4.68% | 0.0284 | ✗ | 3.90 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.646255 | 0.64053 | -0.89% | 0.74617 | +15.46% | 0.1584 | ✗ | 3.94 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.62541 | 0.620095 | -0.85% | 0.646255 | +3.33% | 0.0717 | ✗ | 3.98 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.60864 | 0.603573 | -0.83% | 0.62541 | +2.76% | 0.0084 | ✗ | 3.98 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.599125 | 0.594294 | -0.81% | 0.60864 | +1.59% | 0.1011 | ✗ | 4.14 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.596775 | 0.591642 | -0.86% | 0.599125 | +0.39% | 0.0569 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.608905 | 0.603666 | -0.86% | 0.596775 | -1.99% | 0.0914 | ✗ | 4.39 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.611255 | 0.60534 | -0.97% | 0.608905 | -0.38% | 0.0348 | ✓ | 4.42 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.563305 | 0.558367 | -0.88% | 0.611255 | +8.51% | 0.0861 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.51154 | 0.507494 | -0.79% | 0.563305 | +10.12% | 0.0940 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.54838 | 0.544527 | -0.70% | 0.51154 | -6.72% | 0.0433 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.689605 | 0.68417 | -0.79% | 0.54838 | -20.48% | 0.1944 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.65254 | 0.648218 | -0.66% | 0.689605 | +5.68% | 0.0643 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.6717 | 0.66739 | -0.64% | 0.65254 | -2.85% | 0.0137 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.704355 | 0.698559 | -0.82% | 0.6717 | -4.64% | 0.0598 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.70984 | 0.703786 | -0.85% | 0.704355 | -0.77% | 0.0020 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.722985 | 0.716716 | -0.87% | 0.70984 | -1.82% | 0.0056 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.745455 | 0.737873 | -1.02% | 0.722985 | -3.01% | 0.0357 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.796315 | 0.787008 | -1.17% | 0.745455 | -6.39% | 0.0533 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.780635 | 0.771605 | -1.16% | 0.796315 | +2.01% | 0.0293 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.77554 | 0.767087 | -1.09% | 0.780635 | +0.66% | 0.0295 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.76579 | 0.757653 | -1.06% | 0.77554 | +1.27% | 0.0228 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.77739 | 0.768846 | -1.10% | 0.76579 | -1.49% | 0.0078 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.73189 | 0.725278 | -0.90% | 0.77739 | +6.22% | 0.0729 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.82997 | 0.819428 | -1.27% | 0.73189 | -11.82% | 0.1131 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.91021 | 0.89338 | -1.85% | 0.82997 | -8.82% | 0.0523 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.72185 | 0.712628 | -1.28% | 0.91021 | +26.09% | 0.2493 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.51745 | 0.514929 | -0.49% | 0.72185 | +39.50% | 0.2730 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.829055 | 0.813723 | -1.85% | 0.51745 | -37.59% | 0.4518 | ✓ | 1.00 |