MCAT
Marscat Token · Binance Smart Chain · beta_5y
- token id
- #456
- symbol
- MCAT
- variant
- –
- chain
- Binance Smart Chain
- address
- 0xd69a4b260ef021ccd4e1c5f5a4fb522b032ce831
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-10
- predictions
- 102
Track record at +30d
assessed
4
of 34 predictions shown
direction hit
50.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2202
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.1815
actual +0.0288
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | live | 0.718485 | 0.662243 | -7.83% | – | pending | – | – | 3.76 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.719025 | 0.662292 | -7.89% | – | pending | – | – | 3.86 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.759515 | 0.692525 | -8.82% | – | pending | – | – | 3.84 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.774195 | 0.700645 | -9.50% | – | pending | – | – | 3.91 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.7811 | 0.702162 | -10.11% | – | pending | – | – | 3.91 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.74617 | 0.671126 | -10.06% | – | pending | – | – | 3.90 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.646255 | 0.592033 | -8.39% | – | pending | – | – | 3.94 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.62541 | 0.572903 | -8.40% | – | pending | – | – | 3.98 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.60864 | 0.558455 | -8.25% | – | pending | – | – | 3.98 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.599125 | 0.548596 | -8.43% | – | pending | – | – | 4.14 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.596775 | 0.547468 | -8.26% | – | pending | – | – | 4.21 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.608905 | 0.555896 | -8.71% | – | pending | – | – | 4.39 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.611255 | 0.556922 | -8.89% | – | pending | – | – | 4.42 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.563305 | 0.519397 | -7.79% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.51154 | 0.480773 | -6.01% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.54838 | 0.513137 | -6.43% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.689605 | 0.631202 | -8.47% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.65254 | 0.597178 | -8.48% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.6717 | 0.609882 | -9.20% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.704355 | 0.63176 | -10.31% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.70984 | 0.631248 | -11.07% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.722985 | 0.637264 | -11.86% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.745455 | 0.649992 | -12.81% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.796315 | 0.686156 | -13.83% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.780635 | 0.668087 | -14.42% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.77554 | 0.66089 | -14.78% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.76579 | 0.648149 | -15.36% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.77739 | 0.652295 | -16.09% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.73189 | 0.612257 | -16.35% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.82997 | 0.686187 | -17.32% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.91021 | 0.750141 | -17.59% | 0.718485 | -21.06% | 0.0199 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.72185 | 0.609386 | -15.58% | 0.719025 | -0.39% | 0.2115 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.51745 | 0.440068 | -14.95% | 0.759515 | +46.78% | 0.5241 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.829055 | 0.677987 | -18.22% | 0.774195 | -6.62% | 0.1253 | ✓ | 1.00 |