LONGXIA

? · · beta_5y

token id: #185
symbol: LONGXIA
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-27
predictions: 144

Track record at +7d

assessed

41

of 48 predictions shown

direction hit

70.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.6122

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0879

actual -0.1736

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.02106	0.020414	-3.07%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-21	oos	0.021215	0.020587	-2.96%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-20	oos	0.021195	0.0206	-2.81%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.020355	0.01978	-2.82%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-18	oos	0.02088	0.020197	-3.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.02746	0.026878	-2.12%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-10-16	oos	0.029085	0.028507	-1.99%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-10-15	oos	0.029995	0.029382	-2.04%	0.02106	-29.79%	0.3690	✓	1.43
2026-10-14	oos	0.029625	0.029059	-1.91%	0.021215	-28.39%	0.3570	✓	1.43
2026-10-13	oos	0.04862	0.044901	-7.65%	0.021195	-56.41%	0.7489	✓	0.92
2026-10-12	oos	0.040295	0.038355	-4.81%	0.020355	-49.49%	0.6345	✓	0.77
2026-10-11	oos	0.04401	0.04117	-6.45%	0.02088	-52.56%	0.6656	✓	0.66
2026-10-10	oos	0.04627	0.04317	-6.70%	0.02746	-40.65%	0.4395	✓	0.69
2026-10-09	oos	0.046	0.042918	-6.70%	0.029085	-36.77%	0.3802	✓	0.69
2026-10-08	oos	0.05196	0.047693	-8.21%	0.029995	-42.27%	0.4678	✓	0.77
2026-10-07	oos	0.04116	0.03774	-8.31%	0.029625	-28.02%	0.2200	✓	1.07
2026-10-06	oos	0.06616	0.058748	-11.20%	0.04862	-26.51%	0.1821	✓	0.25
2026-10-05	oos	0.04544	0.0398	-12.41%	0.040295	-11.32%	0.0287	✓	0.34
2026-10-04	oos	0.04529	0.038823	-14.28%	0.04401	-2.83%	0.1367	✓	0.34
2026-10-03	oos	0.049945	0.042458	-14.99%	0.04627	-7.36%	0.0965	✓	0.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.03919	0.031504	-19.61%	0.046	+17.38%	0.3894	✗	0.46
2026-10-01	oos	0.110175	0.094328	-14.38%	0.05196	-52.84%	0.5935	✓	0.07
2026-09-30	oos	0.0359	0.027308	-23.93%	0.04116	+14.65%	0.4071	✗	-0.96
2026-09-29	oos	0.068975	0.0584	-15.33%	0.06616	-4.08%	0.1485	✓	-1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.070225	0.059186	-15.72%	0.04544	-35.29%	0.2357	✓	-1.05
2026-09-27	oos	0.08775	0.077628	-11.54%	0.04529	-48.39%	0.5079	✓	-1.29
2026-09-26	oos	0.1038	0.093956	-9.48%	0.049945	-51.88%	0.6269	✓	-1.31
2026-09-25	oos	0.130175	0.119169	-8.46%	0.03919	-69.89%	1.1170	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.10344	0.094566	-8.58%	0.110175	+6.51%	0.1473	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.16812	0.15578	-7.34%	0.0359	-78.65%	1.4579	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.139465	0.131477	-5.73%	0.068975	-50.54%	0.6149	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.234285	0.218458	-6.76%	0.070225	-70.03%	1.0980	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.238305	0.219232	-8.00%	0.08775	-63.18%	0.9555	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.226335	0.208525	-7.87%	0.1038	-54.14%	0.7360	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.22224	0.204766	-7.86%	0.130175	-41.43%	0.4920	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.23069	0.208573	-9.59%	0.10344	-55.16%	0.8014	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.21309	0.192664	-9.59%	0.16812	-21.10%	0.2389	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.195995	0.17643	-9.98%	0.139465	-28.84%	0.3665	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.16108	0.148973	-7.52%	0.234285	+45.45%	0.3505	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.14472	0.134237	-7.24%	0.238305	+64.67%	0.5187	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.154585	0.139584	-9.70%	0.226335	+46.41%	0.4332	✗	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.07052	0.068591	-2.74%	0.22224	+215.14%	1.1292	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.03809	0.036267	-4.79%	0.23069	+505.64%	1.8526	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.049155	0.048618	-1.09%	0.21309	+333.51%	1.5054	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.05884	0.058643	-0.34%	0.195995	+233.10%	1.2438	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.05455	0.054527	-0.04%	0.16108	+195.29%	1.0949	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.0741	0.074306	+0.28%	0.14472	+95.30%	0.7117	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.08774	0.087572	-0.19%	0.154585	+76.19%	0.6010	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.