LONGXIA

? · · beta_5y

token id: #185
symbol: LONGXIA
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-27
predictions: 144

Track record at +30d

assessed

18

of 48 predictions shown

direction hit

83.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

1.2329

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.1274

actual -1.3308

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.02106	0.01753	-16.76%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-21	oos	0.021215	0.01769	-16.62%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-20	oos	0.021195	0.017676	-16.60%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.020355	0.016901	-16.97%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-18	oos	0.02088	0.017241	-17.43%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.02746	0.023365	-14.91%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-10-16	oos	0.029085	0.024898	-14.39%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-10-15	oos	0.029995	0.025776	-14.06%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-14	oos	0.029625	0.025434	-14.15%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-13	oos	0.04862	0.039789	-18.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-12	oos	0.040295	0.033908	-15.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-11	oos	0.04401	0.036505	-17.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-10	oos	0.04627	0.038208	-17.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-09	oos	0.046	0.03785	-17.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-08	oos	0.05196	0.041814	-19.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-07	oos	0.04116	0.032488	-21.07%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-10-06	oos	0.06616	0.051401	-22.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-10-05	oos	0.04544	0.033489	-26.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-10-04	oos	0.04529	0.032061	-29.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-10-03	oos	0.049945	0.03485	-30.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.03919	0.024061	-38.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-10-01	oos	0.110175	0.082242	-25.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.07
2026-09-30	oos	0.0359	0.019575	-45.47%	–	pending	–	–	-0.96
2026-09-29	oos	0.068975	0.047618	-30.96%	–	pending	–	–	-1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.070225	0.047918	-31.77%	–	pending	–	–	-1.05
2026-09-27	oos	0.08775	0.066419	-24.31%	–	pending	–	–	-1.29
2026-09-26	oos	0.1038	0.082331	-20.68%	–	pending	–	–	-1.31
2026-09-25	oos	0.130175	0.106778	-17.97%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.10344	0.083504	-19.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.16812	0.141223	-16.00%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.139465	0.120288	-13.75%	0.02106	-84.90%	1.7193	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.234285	0.199243	-14.96%	0.021215	-90.94%	2.2097	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.238305	0.196983	-17.34%	0.021195	-91.11%	2.2510	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.226335	0.188014	-16.93%	0.020355	-91.01%	2.2306	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.22224	0.184773	-16.86%	0.02088	-90.60%	2.1942	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.23069	0.184864	-19.86%	0.02746	-88.10%	1.9707	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.21309	0.17115	-19.68%	0.029085	-86.35%	1.8403	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.195995	0.157029	-19.88%	0.029995	-84.70%	1.7384	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.16108	0.136755	-15.10%	0.029625	-81.61%	1.5720	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.14472	0.123734	-14.50%	0.04862	-66.40%	1.0130	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.154585	0.128217	-17.06%	0.040295	-73.93%	1.2139	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.07052	0.066729	-5.38%	0.04401	-37.59%	0.4967	✓	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.03809	0.032761	-13.99%	0.04627	+21.48%	0.2652	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.049155	0.047001	-4.38%	0.046	-6.42%	0.0745	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.05884	0.057964	-1.49%	0.05196	-11.69%	0.1499	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.05455	0.054101	-0.82%	0.04116	-24.55%	0.3249	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.0741	0.075135	+1.40%	0.06616	-10.72%	0.1899	✗	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.08774	0.08844	+0.80%	0.04544	-48.21%	0.7374	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.