LONGXIA

? · · beta_5y

token id: #185
symbol: LONGXIA
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-27
predictions: 144

Track record at +1d

assessed

47

of 48 predictions shown

direction hit

53.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2303

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0219

actual -0.0320

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.02106	0.021039	-0.10%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-21	oos	0.021215	0.021194	-0.10%	0.02106	-0.73%	0.0095	✓	1.35
2026-10-20	oos	0.021195	0.021182	-0.06%	0.021215	+0.09%	0.0160	✓	1.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.020355	0.020344	-0.05%	0.021195	+4.13%	0.0232	✗	1.33
2026-10-18	oos	0.02088	0.020846	-0.16%	0.020355	-2.51%	0.0211	✓	1.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.02746	0.027476	+0.06%	0.02088	-23.96%	0.2855	✗	1.44
2026-10-16	oos	0.029085	0.029103	+0.06%	0.02746	-5.59%	0.0560	✗	1.44
2026-10-15	oos	0.029995	0.030002	+0.02%	0.029085	-3.03%	0.0202	✗	1.43
2026-10-14	oos	0.029625	0.029652	+0.09%	0.029995	+1.25%	0.0018	✓	1.43
2026-10-13	oos	0.04862	0.047706	-1.88%	0.029625	-39.07%	0.4593	✓	0.92
2026-10-12	oos	0.040295	0.03996	-0.83%	0.04862	+20.66%	0.1835	✗	0.77
2026-10-11	oos	0.04401	0.0434	-1.39%	0.040295	-8.44%	0.0587	✓	0.66
2026-10-10	oos	0.04627	0.045588	-1.48%	0.04401	-4.88%	0.0416	✓	0.69
2026-10-09	oos	0.046	0.045326	-1.46%	0.04627	+0.59%	0.0175	✗	0.69
2026-10-08	oos	0.05196	0.050857	-2.12%	0.046	-11.47%	0.1084	✓	0.77
2026-10-07	oos	0.04116	0.040397	-1.85%	0.05196	+26.24%	0.2722	✗	1.07
2026-10-06	oos	0.06616	0.063706	-3.71%	0.04116	-37.79%	0.4302	✓	0.25
2026-10-05	oos	0.04544	0.043944	-3.29%	0.06616	+45.60%	0.4100	✗	0.34
2026-10-04	oos	0.04529	0.043532	-3.88%	0.04544	+0.33%	0.0459	✗	0.34
2026-10-03	oos	0.049945	0.047793	-4.31%	0.04529	-9.32%	0.0637	✓	0.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.03919	0.037106	-5.32%	0.049945	+27.44%	0.2958	✗	0.46
2026-10-01	oos	0.110175	0.102251	-7.19%	0.03919	-64.43%	0.9587	✓	0.07
2026-09-30	oos	0.0359	0.033623	-6.34%	0.110175	+206.89%	1.2016	✗	-0.96
2026-09-29	oos	0.068975	0.066268	-3.92%	0.0359	-47.95%	0.6140	✓	-1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.070225	0.067479	-3.91%	0.068975	-1.78%	0.0242	✓	-1.05
2026-09-27	oos	0.08775	0.085317	-2.77%	0.070225	-19.97%	0.2102	✓	-1.29
2026-09-26	oos	0.1038	0.101497	-2.22%	0.08775	-15.46%	0.1448	✓	-1.31
2026-09-25	oos	0.130175	0.127041	-2.41%	0.1038	-20.26%	0.2059	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.10344	0.101499	-1.88%	0.130175	+25.85%	0.2523	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.16812	0.164518	-2.14%	0.10344	-38.47%	0.4641	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.139465	0.137731	-1.24%	0.16812	+20.55%	0.2207	✗	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.234285	0.229649	-1.98%	0.139465	-40.47%	0.4941	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.238305	0.232499	-2.44%	0.234285	-1.69%	0.0572	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.226335	0.220722	-2.48%	0.238305	+5.29%	0.0776	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.22224	0.216648	-2.52%	0.226335	+1.84%	0.0393	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.23069	0.222962	-3.35%	0.22224	-3.66%	0.0608	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.21309	0.205725	-3.46%	0.23069	+8.26%	0.1119	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.195995	0.188182	-3.99%	0.21309	+8.72%	0.1169	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.16108	0.156119	-3.08%	0.195995	+21.68%	0.2612	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.14472	0.140281	-3.07%	0.16108	+11.30%	0.1205	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.154585	0.145896	-5.62%	0.14472	-6.38%	0.0021	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.07052	0.069521	-1.42%	0.154585	+119.21%	0.7984	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.03809	0.037741	-0.92%	0.07052	+85.14%	0.6164	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.049155	0.049049	-0.22%	0.03809	-22.51%	0.2303	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.05884	0.05875	-0.15%	0.049155	-16.46%	0.1762	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.05455	0.054532	-0.03%	0.05884	+7.86%	0.0842	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.0741	0.073984	-0.16%	0.05455	-26.38%	0.2891	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.08774	0.087355	-0.44%	0.0741	-15.55%	0.1709	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.