KAIO

KAIO · Ethereum · beta_5y

token id: #324
symbol: KAIO
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x00bac91fd8f5b4a0dc03c8021139b76f6549ee7e
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-06
predictions: 483

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

154

of 161 predictions shown

direction hit

57.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1674

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0166

actual -0.0451

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.029719	0.028785	-3.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-21	oos	0.030038	0.029082	-3.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-20	oos	0.030499	0.029496	-3.29%	–	pending	–	–	-0.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.029365	0.028444	-3.14%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-18	oos	0.029598	0.028824	-2.62%	–	pending	–	–	-0.09
2026-10-17	oos	0.034899	0.033793	-3.17%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-16	oos	0.036292	0.03465	-4.53%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-15	oos	0.03372	0.032068	-4.90%	0.029719	-11.86%	0.0740	✓	-0.08
2026-10-14	oos	0.031919	0.030448	-4.61%	0.030038	-5.89%	0.0124	✓	-0.08
2026-10-13	oos	0.028875	0.027761	-3.85%	0.030499	+5.63%	0.0940	✗	-0.01
2026-10-12	oos	0.027404	0.026328	-3.93%	0.029365	+7.16%	0.1092	✗	-0.01
2026-10-11	oos	0.025037	0.024389	-2.59%	0.029598	+18.22%	0.1953	✗	0.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.025012	0.024194	-3.27%	0.034899	+39.53%	0.3684	✗	0.11
2026-10-09	oos	0.025199	0.024253	-3.75%	0.036292	+44.02%	0.4044	✗	0.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.024821	0.023798	-4.12%	0.03372	+35.85%	0.3479	✗	0.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.020707	0.020318	-1.88%	0.031919	+54.14%	0.4564	✗	0.23
2026-10-06	oos	0.022712	0.022183	-2.33%	0.028875	+27.13%	0.2682	✗	0.16
2026-10-05	oos	0.026838	0.025385	-5.41%	0.027404	+2.11%	0.0842	✗	0.16
2026-10-04	oos	0.020323	0.019662	-3.25%	0.025037	+23.20%	0.2507	✗	0.27
2026-10-03	oos	0.019305	0.018839	-2.42%	0.025012	+29.56%	0.2890	✗	0.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.022008	0.021217	-3.60%	0.025199	+14.50%	0.1781	✗	0.26
2026-10-01	oos	0.021486	0.020798	-3.20%	0.024821	+15.52%	0.1865	✗	0.26
2026-09-30	oos	0.024146	0.023113	-4.28%	0.020707	-14.24%	0.1090	✓	0.27
2026-09-29	oos	0.026617	0.025151	-5.51%	0.022712	-14.67%	0.1076	✓	0.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.033197	0.029993	-9.65%	0.026838	-19.16%	0.1169	✓	0.21
2026-09-27	oos	0.014683	0.014055	-4.27%	0.020323	+38.41%	0.3532	✗	0.65
2026-09-26	oos	0.01501	0.014252	-5.05%	0.019305	+28.62%	0.3010	✗	0.65
2026-09-25	oos	0.013481	0.013027	-3.37%	0.022008	+63.25%	0.5212	✗	0.64
2026-09-24	oos	0.01323	0.012823	-3.08%	0.021486	+62.40%	0.5126	✗	0.65
2026-09-23	oos	0.01364	0.0132	-3.23%	0.024146	+77.02%	0.6103	✗	0.65
2026-09-22	oos	0.013553	0.013154	-2.94%	0.026617	+96.40%	0.7236	✗	0.62
2026-09-21	oos	0.01374	0.01333	-2.99%	0.033197	+141.61%	0.9364	✗	0.65
2026-09-20	oos	0.01351	0.013059	-3.34%	0.014683	+8.68%	0.0869	✗	0.76
2026-09-19	oos	0.013822	0.013364	-3.31%	0.01501	+8.60%	0.0872	✗	0.75
2026-09-18	oos	0.01351	0.013077	-3.21%	0.013481	-0.22%	0.0014	✓	0.74
2026-09-17	oos	0.013894	0.013427	-3.36%	0.01323	-4.78%	0.1024	✓	0.87
2026-09-16	oos	0.013951	0.013336	-4.41%	0.01364	-2.23%	0.0682	✓	0.88
2026-09-15	oos	0.013095	0.012822	-2.09%	0.013553	+3.49%	0.0647	✓	0.91
2026-09-14	oos	0.013015	0.012808	-1.59%	0.01374	+5.57%	0.0286	✓	0.97
2026-09-13	oos	0.013244	0.013078	-1.25%	0.01351	+2.01%	0.0213	✓	0.97
2026-09-12	oos	0.01399	0.013826	-1.18%	0.013822	-1.20%	0.0483	✓	0.96
2026-09-11	oos	0.013969	0.013866	-0.73%	0.01351	-3.28%	0.0692	✓	0.93
2026-09-10	oos	0.013893	0.01386	-0.24%	0.013894	+0.01%	0.0048	✗	0.94
2026-09-09	oos	0.013968	0.01404	+0.52%	0.013951	-0.12%	0.0202	✓	0.96
2026-09-08	oos	0.014179	0.014311	+0.94%	0.013095	-7.64%	0.0547	✗	0.92
2026-09-07	oos	0.014925	0.015128	+1.36%	0.013015	-12.80%	0.1399	✗	0.91
2026-09-06	oos	0.015738	0.016086	+2.21%	0.013244	-15.85%	0.1544	✗	0.89
2026-09-05	oos	0.015695	0.016115	+2.68%	0.01399	-10.86%	0.1120	✗	0.90
2026-09-04	oos	0.016369	0.016851	+2.94%	0.013969	-14.66%	0.1631	✗	0.78
2026-09-03	oos	0.016792	0.017406	+3.66%	0.013893	-17.26%	0.1821	✗	0.72
2026-09-02	oos	0.0174	0.017746	+1.99%	0.013968	-19.72%	0.2523	✗	1.03
2026-09-01	oos	0.017791	0.018205	+2.33%	0.014179	-20.31%	0.2640	✗	1.04
2026-08-31	oos	0.018144	0.018642	+2.75%	0.014925	-17.74%	0.2288	✗	0.96
2026-08-30	oos	0.017735	0.018157	+2.38%	0.015738	-11.26%	0.1783	✗	1.04
2026-08-29	oos	0.017556	0.017957	+2.28%	0.015695	-10.60%	0.1580	✗	1.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.017912	0.018287	+2.10%	0.016369	-8.61%	0.1382	✗	1.18
2026-08-27	oos	0.01779	0.018203	+2.32%	0.016792	-5.61%	0.0965	✗	1.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.017253	0.017605	+2.04%	0.0174	+0.85%	0.0164	✓	1.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.018184	0.018494	+1.70%	0.017791	-2.16%	0.0200	✗	1.30
2026-08-24	oos	0.018718	0.018996	+1.48%	0.018144	-3.07%	0.0388	✗	1.34
2026-08-23	oos	0.020346	0.020328	-0.09%	0.017735	-12.83%	0.1353	✓	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.0182	0.018365	+0.91%	0.017556	-3.54%	0.0663	✗	1.40
2026-08-21	oos	0.017552	0.017779	+1.30%	0.017912	+2.05%	0.0163	✓	1.43
2026-08-20	oos	0.017291	0.017353	+0.36%	0.01779	+2.89%	0.1222	✗	1.55
2026-08-19	oos	0.016853	0.01678	-0.43%	0.017253	+2.37%	0.1746	✓	1.54
2026-08-18	oos	0.015957	0.015793	-1.02%	0.018184	+13.96%	0.1777	✓	1.64
2026-08-17	oos	0.01766	0.017403	-1.45%	0.018718	+5.99%	0.2521	✓	1.60
2026-08-16	oos	0.01777	0.017476	-1.66%	0.020346	+14.50%	0.1964	✓	1.64
2026-08-15	oos	0.017905	0.017617	-1.61%	0.0182	+1.65%	0.3016	✓	1.66
2026-08-14	oos	0.017855	0.017574	-1.57%	0.017552	-1.70%	0.3636	✓	1.66
2026-08-13	oos	0.017485	0.017246	-1.37%	0.017291	-1.11%	0.2407	✓	1.73
2026-08-12	oos	0.01726	0.017055	-1.19%	0.016853	-2.36%	0.1517	✓	1.57
2026-08-11	oos	0.01843	0.01814	-1.57%	0.015957	-13.42%	0.1560	✓	1.55
2026-08-10	oos	0.018025	0.017783	-1.34%	0.01766	-2.02%	0.0211	✓	1.61
2026-08-09	oos	0.01724	0.017074	-0.96%	0.01777	+3.07%	0.0936	✗	1.70
2026-08-08	oos	0.017	0.016832	-0.99%	0.017905	+5.32%	0.1120	✗	1.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01781	0.017619	-1.07%	0.017855	+0.25%	0.0647	✗	1.71
2026-08-06	oos	0.01824	0.017974	-1.46%	0.017485	-4.14%	0.0050	✓	1.72
2026-08-05	oos	0.018525	0.018181	-1.85%	0.01726	-6.83%	0.0203	✓	1.70
2026-08-04	oos	0.018385	0.017929	-2.48%	0.01843	+0.24%	0.0426	✗	1.85
2026-08-03	oos	0.01727	0.016834	-2.52%	0.018025	+4.37%	0.0556	✗	1.82
2026-08-02	oos	0.01601	0.015771	-1.49%	0.01724	+7.68%	0.0509	✗	1.82
2026-08-01	oos	0.014815	0.01465	-1.12%	0.017	+14.75%	0.0891	✗	1.78
2026-07-31	oos	0.015205	0.015004	-1.32%	0.01781	+17.13%	0.1139	✗	1.78
2026-07-30	oos	0.017	0.016553	-2.63%	0.01824	+7.29%	0.1094	✗	1.74
2026-07-29	oos	0.01538	0.015092	-1.87%	0.018525	+20.45%	0.1864	✗	1.69
2026-07-28	oos	0.01431	0.014062	-1.73%	0.018385	+28.48%	0.2627	✗	1.68
2026-07-27	oos	0.01352	0.013368	-1.13%	0.01727	+27.74%	0.2621	✗	1.66
2026-07-26	oos	0.0173	0.016733	-3.28%	0.01601	-7.46%	0.0008	✓	1.52
2026-07-25	oos	0.01305	0.012967	-0.64%	0.014815	+13.52%	0.1651	✗	1.32
2026-07-24	oos	0.014115	0.013976	-0.99%	0.015205	+7.72%	0.1107	✗	1.33
2026-07-23	oos	0.013615	0.01354	-0.55%	0.017	+24.86%	0.2345	✗	1.37
2026-07-22	oos	0.01306	0.013037	-0.18%	0.01538	+17.76%	0.2130	✗	1.41
2026-07-21	oos	0.013	0.013012	+0.09%	0.01431	+10.08%	0.1533	✓	1.42
2026-07-20	oos	0.01512	0.015058	-0.41%	0.01352	-10.58%	0.0713	✓	1.55
2026-07-19	oos	0.015995	0.015914	-0.51%	0.0173	+8.16%	0.0676	✗	1.56
2026-07-18	oos	0.01561	0.015576	-0.22%	0.01305	-16.40%	0.1648	✓	1.56
2026-07-17	oos	0.016175	0.016147	-0.17%	0.014115	-12.74%	0.1392	✓	1.58
2026-07-16	oos	0.01902	0.01888	-0.73%	0.013615	-28.42%	0.3589	✓	1.61
2026-07-15	oos	0.01949	0.019349	-0.72%	0.01306	-32.99%	0.4270	✓	1.62
2026-07-14	oos	0.02091	0.020679	-1.11%	0.013	-37.83%	0.5017	✓	1.62
2026-07-13	oos	0.020185	0.019971	-1.06%	0.01512	-25.09%	0.3537	✓	1.63
2026-07-12	oos	0.02075	0.020524	-1.09%	0.015995	-22.92%	0.2737	✓	1.66
2026-07-11	oos	0.02053	0.020318	-1.03%	0.01561	-23.96%	0.2900	✓	1.66
2026-07-10	oos	0.02095	0.020717	-1.11%	0.016175	-22.79%	0.2414	✓	1.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.020245	0.020035	-1.04%	0.01902	-6.05%	0.0672	✓	1.63
2026-07-08	oos	0.019995	0.019805	-0.95%	0.01949	-2.53%	0.0790	✓	1.61
2026-07-07	oos	0.021025	0.020788	-1.13%	0.02091	-0.55%	0.0361	✓	1.62
2026-07-06	oos	0.02209	0.021756	-1.51%	0.020185	-8.62%	0.0305	✓	1.62
2026-07-05	oos	0.02136	0.021049	-1.46%	0.02075	-2.86%	0.0182	✓	1.59
2026-07-04	oos	0.020275	0.020105	-0.84%	0.02053	+1.26%	0.0041	✓	1.55
2026-07-03	oos	0.02124	0.021055	-0.87%	0.02095	-1.37%	0.0449	✓	1.57
2026-07-02	oos	0.022865	0.022609	-1.12%	0.020245	-11.46%	0.1549	✓	1.64
2026-07-01	oos	0.02291	0.02263	-1.22%	0.019995	-12.72%	0.1857	✓	1.66
2026-06-30	oos	0.02383	0.023406	-1.78%	0.021025	-11.77%	0.2443	✓	1.74
2026-06-29	oos	0.026745	0.026215	-1.98%	0.02209	-17.41%	0.2760	✓	1.69
2026-06-28	oos	0.026145	0.025624	-1.99%	0.02136	-18.30%	0.2933	✓	1.67
2026-06-27	oos	0.025275	0.02483	-1.76%	0.020275	-19.78%	0.2884	✓	1.67
2026-06-26	oos	0.02648	0.025905	-2.17%	0.02124	-19.79%	0.2675	✓	1.68
2026-06-25	oos	0.02528	0.024805	-1.88%	0.022865	-9.55%	0.1295	✓	1.64
2026-06-24	oos	0.02414	0.023778	-1.50%	0.02291	-5.10%	0.0080	✓	1.73
2026-06-23	oos	0.02557	0.025147	-1.65%	0.02383	-6.80%	0.0655	✗	1.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.029675	0.028958	-2.42%	0.026745	-9.87%	0.0233	✓	1.68
2026-06-21	oos	0.03032	0.029488	-2.75%	0.026145	-13.77%	0.0165	✓	1.69
2026-06-20	oos	0.03034	0.02941	-3.06%	0.025275	-16.69%	0.0323	✓	1.73
2026-06-19	oos	0.02745	0.026855	-2.17%	0.02648	-3.53%	0.0767	✗	1.61
2026-06-18	oos	0.02631	0.025823	-1.85%	0.02528	-3.91%	0.0594	✗	1.56
2026-06-17	oos	0.02856	0.027976	-2.05%	0.02414	-15.48%	0.0619	✓	1.55
2026-06-16	oos	0.02937	0.028748	-2.12%	0.02557	-12.94%	0.0440	✓	1.58
2026-06-15	oos	0.02962	0.029024	-2.01%	0.029675	+0.19%	0.0790	✗	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.03074	0.030067	-2.19%	0.03032	-1.37%	0.0698	✗	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.032005	0.03125	-2.36%	0.03034	-5.20%	0.0242	✓	1.66
2026-06-12	oos	0.03101	0.030373	-2.05%	0.02745	-11.48%	0.0996	✓	1.60
2026-06-11	oos	0.03033	0.029775	-1.83%	0.02631	-13.25%	0.1067	✓	1.57
2026-06-10	oos	0.031025	0.030462	-1.81%	0.02856	-7.95%	0.1445	✓	1.68
2026-06-09	oos	0.03148	0.030935	-1.73%	0.02937	-6.70%	0.1550	✓	1.67
2026-06-08	oos	0.0324	0.03175	-2.01%	0.02962	-8.58%	0.1549	✓	1.72
2026-06-07	oos	0.03466	0.033738	-2.66%	0.03074	-11.31%	0.1574	✓	1.73
2026-06-06	oos	0.03785	0.036401	-3.83%	0.032005	-15.44%	0.2568	✓	2.24
2026-06-05	oos	0.02799	0.028112	+0.44%	0.03101	+10.79%	0.0162	✓	2.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.03417	0.033675	-1.45%	0.03033	-11.24%	0.1008	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.03762	0.036879	-1.97%	0.031025	-17.53%	0.1315	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.03679	0.0361	-1.88%	0.03148	-14.43%	0.0594	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.04181	0.040365	-3.46%	0.0324	-22.51%	0.0968	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.05	0.047234	-5.53%	0.03466	-30.68%	0.1591	✓	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.06753	0.06048	-10.44%	0.03785	-43.95%	0.2761	✓	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.03825	0.037474	-2.03%	0.02799	-26.82%	0.1077	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.03677	0.03657	-0.54%	0.03417	-7.07%	0.0737	✗	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.03918	0.038936	-0.62%	0.03762	-3.98%	0.1144	✗	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.04436	0.043598	-1.72%	0.03679	-17.06%	0.0409	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.051465	0.049898	-3.04%	0.04181	-18.76%	0.0969	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.05471	0.052962	-3.20%	0.05	-8.61%	0.0124	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.05338	0.052151	-2.30%	0.06753	+26.51%	0.2967	✗	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.056	0.054655	-2.40%	0.03825	-31.70%	0.3290	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.053555	0.052988	-1.06%	0.03677	-31.34%	0.3119	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.05371	0.053658	-0.10%	0.03918	-27.05%	0.2728	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.062095	0.061315	-1.26%	0.04436	-28.56%	0.3114	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.061165	0.060825	-0.56%	0.051465	-15.86%	0.1711	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.07421	0.072432	-2.40%	0.05471	-26.28%	0.2750	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.0765	0.074495	-2.62%	0.05338	-30.22%	0.3145	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.09405	0.089984	-4.32%	0.056	-40.46%	0.4275	✓	1.00