KAIO

KAIO · Ethereum · beta_5y

token id: #324
symbol: KAIO
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x00bac91fd8f5b4a0dc03c8021139b76f6549ee7e
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-06
predictions: 483

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

131

of 161 predictions shown

direction hit

77.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.4012

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0441

actual -0.2147

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.029719	0.027192	-8.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-21	oos	0.030038	0.02733	-9.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-20	oos	0.030499	0.027784	-8.90%	–	pending	–	–	-0.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.029365	0.026814	-8.69%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-18	oos	0.029598	0.027055	-8.59%	–	pending	–	–	-0.09
2026-10-17	oos	0.034899	0.031712	-9.13%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-16	oos	0.036292	0.032984	-9.12%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-15	oos	0.03372	0.030662	-9.07%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-14	oos	0.031919	0.028936	-9.34%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-13	oos	0.028875	0.02643	-8.47%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-12	oos	0.027404	0.02511	-8.37%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-11	oos	0.025037	0.023235	-7.20%	–	pending	–	–	0.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.025012	0.023341	-6.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.11
2026-10-09	oos	0.025199	0.023439	-6.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.024821	0.02299	-7.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.020707	0.01944	-6.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.23
2026-10-06	oos	0.022712	0.021447	-5.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.16
2026-10-05	oos	0.026838	0.025069	-6.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.16
2026-10-04	oos	0.020323	0.019193	-5.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-03	oos	0.019305	0.018103	-6.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.022008	0.020588	-6.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.26
2026-10-01	oos	0.021486	0.020077	-6.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.26
2026-09-30	oos	0.024146	0.022361	-7.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-09-29	oos	0.026617	0.02437	-8.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.033197	0.029025	-12.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.21
2026-09-27	oos	0.014683	0.013643	-7.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-26	oos	0.01501	0.013842	-7.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-25	oos	0.013481	0.012459	-7.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-09-24	oos	0.01323	0.012249	-7.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-23	oos	0.01364	0.012584	-7.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-22	oos	0.013553	0.012633	-6.78%	0.029719	+119.29%	0.8700	✗	0.62
2026-09-21	oos	0.01374	0.012851	-6.47%	0.030038	+118.62%	0.8790	✗	0.65
2026-09-20	oos	0.01351	0.012354	-8.56%	0.030499	+125.75%	0.8872	✗	0.76
2026-09-19	oos	0.013822	0.012616	-8.73%	0.029365	+112.46%	0.8393	✗	0.75
2026-09-18	oos	0.01351	0.012326	-8.77%	0.029598	+119.08%	0.8657	✗	0.74
2026-09-17	oos	0.013894	0.012616	-9.19%	0.034899	+151.18%	0.9616	✗	0.87
2026-09-16	oos	0.013951	0.012647	-9.35%	0.036292	+160.14%	0.9941	✗	0.88
2026-09-15	oos	0.013095	0.01198	-8.52%	0.03372	+157.49%	0.9590	✗	0.91
2026-09-14	oos	0.013015	0.011994	-7.85%	0.031919	+145.24%	0.9377	✗	0.97
2026-09-13	oos	0.013244	0.012284	-7.25%	0.028875	+118.02%	0.7778	✗	0.97
2026-09-12	oos	0.01399	0.013037	-6.81%	0.027404	+95.89%	0.6889	✗	0.96
2026-09-11	oos	0.013969	0.013147	-5.88%	0.025037	+79.24%	0.5692	✗	0.93
2026-09-10	oos	0.013893	0.013185	-5.10%	0.025012	+80.03%	0.5650	✗	0.94
2026-09-09	oos	0.013968	0.013562	-2.91%	0.025199	+80.41%	0.5687	✗	0.96
2026-09-08	oos	0.014179	0.013874	-2.15%	0.024821	+75.06%	0.5446	✗	0.92
2026-09-07	oos	0.014925	0.014725	-1.34%	0.020707	+38.74%	0.2943	✗	0.91
2026-09-06	oos	0.015738	0.015831	+0.59%	0.022712	+44.31%	0.3052	✓	0.89
2026-09-05	oos	0.015695	0.015904	+1.33%	0.026838	+71.00%	0.4590	✓	0.90
2026-09-04	oos	0.016369	0.016735	+2.24%	0.020323	+24.16%	0.1302	✓	0.78
2026-09-03	oos	0.016792	0.017488	+4.15%	0.019305	+14.97%	0.0686	✓	0.72
2026-09-02	oos	0.0174	0.017484	+0.48%	0.022008	+26.48%	0.1385	✓	1.03
2026-09-01	oos	0.017791	0.018155	+2.05%	0.021486	+20.77%	0.0727	✓	1.04
2026-08-31	oos	0.018144	0.018887	+4.09%	0.024146	+33.08%	0.1866	✓	0.96
2026-08-30	oos	0.017735	0.018473	+4.16%	0.026617	+50.08%	0.2879	✓	1.04
2026-08-29	oos	0.017556	0.018335	+4.43%	0.033197	+89.09%	0.5191	✓	1.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.017912	0.018872	+5.36%	0.014683	-18.02%	0.3471	✗	1.18
2026-08-27	oos	0.01779	0.019068	+7.18%	0.01501	-15.63%	0.3041	✗	1.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.017253	0.018411	+6.71%	0.013481	-21.86%	0.3911	✗	1.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.018184	0.019382	+6.59%	0.01323	-27.24%	0.4751	✗	1.30
2026-08-24	oos	0.018718	0.020051	+7.12%	0.01364	-27.13%	0.4738	✗	1.34
2026-08-23	oos	0.020346	0.021222	+4.30%	0.013553	-33.39%	0.5962	✗	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.0182	0.019216	+5.58%	0.01374	-24.51%	0.4989	✗	1.40
2026-08-21	oos	0.017552	0.01881	+7.17%	0.01351	-23.03%	0.3818	✗	1.43
2026-08-20	oos	0.017291	0.017777	+2.81%	0.013822	-20.07%	0.4172	✗	1.55
2026-08-19	oos	0.016853	0.016808	-0.27%	0.01351	-19.83%	0.4564	✓	1.54
2026-08-18	oos	0.015957	0.01553	-2.68%	0.013894	-12.93%	0.3838	✓	1.64
2026-08-17	oos	0.01766	0.017024	-3.60%	0.013951	-21.00%	0.4655	✓	1.60
2026-08-16	oos	0.01777	0.017026	-4.18%	0.013095	-26.31%	0.5651	✓	1.64
2026-08-15	oos	0.017905	0.017215	-3.85%	0.013015	-27.31%	0.6379	✓	1.66
2026-08-14	oos	0.017855	0.017197	-3.69%	0.013244	-25.82%	0.5909	✓	1.66
2026-08-13	oos	0.017485	0.017009	-2.72%	0.01399	-19.99%	0.5366	✓	1.73
2026-08-12	oos	0.01726	0.016804	-2.64%	0.013969	-19.07%	0.4947	✓	1.57
2026-08-11	oos	0.01843	0.017875	-3.01%	0.013893	-24.62%	0.5402	✓	1.55
2026-08-10	oos	0.018025	0.017584	-2.45%	0.013968	-22.51%	0.5563	✓	1.61
2026-08-09	oos	0.01724	0.017046	-1.13%	0.014179	-17.76%	0.5082	✓	1.70
2026-08-08	oos	0.017	0.016852	-0.87%	0.014925	-12.21%	0.4575	✓	1.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01781	0.017569	-1.35%	0.015738	-11.63%	0.4757	✓	1.71
2026-08-06	oos	0.01824	0.01789	-1.92%	0.015695	-13.95%	0.5032	✓	1.72
2026-08-05	oos	0.018525	0.018075	-2.43%	0.016369	-11.64%	0.4559	✓	1.70
2026-08-04	oos	0.018385	0.017734	-3.54%	0.016792	-8.67%	0.4951	✓	1.85
2026-08-03	oos	0.01727	0.016733	-3.11%	0.0174	+0.75%	0.3207	✓	1.82
2026-08-02	oos	0.01601	0.015631	-2.36%	0.017791	+11.12%	0.2300	✓	1.82
2026-08-01	oos	0.014815	0.014544	-1.83%	0.018144	+22.47%	0.1777	✓	1.78
2026-07-31	oos	0.015205	0.01492	-1.88%	0.017735	+16.64%	0.2038	✓	1.78
2026-07-30	oos	0.017	0.016586	-2.44%	0.017556	+3.27%	0.2737	✓	1.74
2026-07-29	oos	0.01538	0.015047	-2.17%	0.017912	+16.46%	0.1588	✓	1.69
2026-07-28	oos	0.01431	0.014028	-1.97%	0.01779	+24.32%	0.1460	✓	1.68
2026-07-27	oos	0.01352	0.013338	-1.35%	0.017253	+27.61%	0.1007	✓	1.66
2026-07-26	oos	0.0173	0.016833	-2.70%	0.018184	+5.11%	0.2014	✓	1.52
2026-07-25	oos	0.01305	0.012969	-0.62%	0.018718	+43.44%	0.0955	✗	1.32
2026-07-24	oos	0.014115	0.013983	-0.94%	0.020346	+44.14%	0.1180	✗	1.33
2026-07-23	oos	0.013615	0.013586	-0.22%	0.0182	+33.68%	0.0605	✗	1.37
2026-07-22	oos	0.01306	0.013161	+0.78%	0.017552	+34.40%	0.0476	✓	1.41
2026-07-21	oos	0.013	0.013136	+1.04%	0.017291	+33.01%	0.1425	✓	1.42
2026-07-20	oos	0.01512	0.015076	-0.29%	0.016853	+11.46%	0.0174	✗	1.55
2026-07-19	oos	0.015995	0.015899	-0.60%	0.015957	-0.24%	0.0037	✓	1.56
2026-07-18	oos	0.01561	0.015637	+0.17%	0.01766	+13.13%	0.1294	✓	1.56
2026-07-17	oos	0.016175	0.016208	+0.20%	0.01777	+9.86%	0.1183	✓	1.58
2026-07-16	oos	0.01902	0.018844	-0.93%	0.017905	-5.86%	0.0320	✓	1.61
2026-07-15	oos	0.01949	0.019313	-0.91%	0.017855	-8.39%	0.0343	✓	1.62
2026-07-14	oos	0.02091	0.020565	-1.65%	0.017485	-16.38%	0.1229	✓	1.62
2026-07-13	oos	0.020185	0.019751	-2.15%	0.01726	-14.49%	0.1646	✓	1.63
2026-07-12	oos	0.02075	0.0203	-2.17%	0.01843	-11.18%	0.0912	✓	1.66
2026-07-11	oos	0.02053	0.020113	-2.03%	0.018025	-12.20%	0.1132	✓	1.66
2026-07-10	oos	0.02095	0.020519	-2.06%	0.01724	-17.71%	0.1926	✓	1.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.020245	0.019858	-1.91%	0.017	-16.03%	0.1995	✓	1.63
2026-07-08	oos	0.019995	0.019597	-1.99%	0.01781	-10.93%	0.1630	✓	1.61
2026-07-07	oos	0.021025	0.020546	-2.28%	0.01824	-13.25%	0.1430	✓	1.62
2026-07-06	oos	0.02209	0.021513	-2.61%	0.018525	-16.14%	0.1646	✓	1.62
2026-07-05	oos	0.02136	0.020828	-2.49%	0.018385	-13.93%	0.1364	✓	1.59
2026-07-04	oos	0.020275	0.019809	-2.30%	0.01727	-14.82%	0.1465	✓	1.55
2026-07-03	oos	0.02124	0.020755	-2.28%	0.01601	-24.62%	0.2840	✓	1.57
2026-07-02	oos	0.022865	0.022212	-2.86%	0.014815	-35.21%	0.4388	✓	1.64
2026-07-01	oos	0.02291	0.022229	-2.97%	0.015205	-33.63%	0.4573	✓	1.66
2026-06-30	oos	0.02383	0.022941	-3.73%	0.017	-28.66%	0.4747	✓	1.74
2026-06-29	oos	0.026745	0.025405	-5.01%	0.01538	-42.49%	0.6038	✓	1.69
2026-06-28	oos	0.026145	0.024803	-5.13%	0.01431	-45.27%	0.6682	✓	1.67
2026-06-27	oos	0.025275	0.024027	-4.94%	0.01352	-46.51%	0.6768	✓	1.67
2026-06-26	oos	0.02648	0.02499	-5.63%	0.0173	-34.67%	0.5107	✓	1.68
2026-06-25	oos	0.02528	0.023922	-5.37%	0.01305	-48.38%	0.7273	✓	1.64
2026-06-24	oos	0.02414	0.022972	-4.84%	0.014115	-41.53%	0.5727	✓	1.73
2026-06-23	oos	0.02557	0.024267	-5.09%	0.013615	-46.75%	0.6440	✓	1.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.029675	0.027801	-6.31%	0.01306	-55.99%	0.8109	✓	1.68
2026-06-21	oos	0.03032	0.028233	-6.88%	0.013	-57.12%	0.8612	✓	1.69
2026-06-20	oos	0.03034	0.02818	-7.12%	0.01512	-50.16%	0.6490	✓	1.73
2026-06-19	oos	0.02745	0.02572	-6.30%	0.015995	-41.73%	0.5054	✓	1.61
2026-06-18	oos	0.02631	0.024744	-5.95%	0.01561	-40.67%	0.5075	✓	1.56
2026-06-17	oos	0.02856	0.026767	-6.28%	0.016175	-43.36%	0.4904	✓	1.55
2026-06-16	oos	0.02937	0.02751	-6.33%	0.01902	-35.24%	0.3240	✓	1.58
2026-06-15	oos	0.02962	0.027771	-6.24%	0.01949	-34.20%	0.3162	✓	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.03074	0.02873	-6.54%	0.02091	-31.98%	0.3001	✓	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.032005	0.029781	-6.95%	0.020185	-36.93%	0.3323	✓	1.66
2026-06-12	oos	0.03101	0.028963	-6.60%	0.02075	-33.09%	0.3385	✓	1.60
2026-06-11	oos	0.03033	0.028413	-6.32%	0.02053	-32.31%	0.3301	✓	1.57
2026-06-10	oos	0.031025	0.029039	-6.40%	0.02095	-32.47%	0.3982	✓	1.68
2026-06-09	oos	0.03148	0.029423	-6.54%	0.020245	-35.69%	0.4137	✓	1.67
2026-06-08	oos	0.0324	0.030082	-7.16%	0.019995	-38.29%	0.3858	✓	1.72
2026-06-07	oos	0.03466	0.031765	-8.35%	0.021025	-39.34%	0.4132	✓	1.73
2026-06-06	oos	0.03785	0.034222	-9.58%	0.02209	-41.64%	0.5509	✓	2.24
2026-06-05	oos	0.02799	0.026625	-4.88%	0.02136	-23.69%	0.3037	✓	2.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.03417	0.031628	-7.44%	0.020275	-40.66%	0.4333	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.03762	0.034399	-8.56%	0.02124	-43.54%	0.4581	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.03679	0.033447	-9.09%	0.022865	-37.85%	0.2996	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.04181	0.03657	-12.53%	0.02291	-45.20%	0.2943	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.05	0.042043	-15.91%	0.02383	-52.34%	0.3389	✓	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.06753	0.05447	-19.34%	0.026745	-60.40%	0.5074	✓	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.03825	0.033255	-13.06%	0.026145	-31.65%	0.0306	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.03677	0.032448	-11.75%	0.025275	-31.26%	0.0456	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.03918	0.034497	-11.95%	0.02648	-32.41%	0.0505	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.04436	0.03843	-13.37%	0.02528	-43.01%	0.1798	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.051465	0.043739	-15.01%	0.02414	-53.09%	0.3579	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.05471	0.046533	-14.95%	0.02557	-53.26%	0.3927	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.05338	0.045815	-14.17%	0.029675	-44.41%	0.2532	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.056	0.048408	-13.56%	0.03032	-45.86%	0.2913	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.053555	0.046384	-13.39%	0.03034	-43.35%	0.2360	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.05371	0.047112	-12.28%	0.02745	-48.89%	0.3409	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.062095	0.054685	-11.93%	0.02631	-57.63%	0.5321	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.061165	0.054435	-11.00%	0.02856	-53.31%	0.4678	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.07421	0.06572	-11.44%	0.02937	-60.42%	0.6402	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.0765	0.067971	-11.15%	0.02962	-61.28%	0.6664	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.09405	0.083985	-10.70%	0.03074	-67.32%	0.8201	✓	1.00