KAIO

KAIO · Ethereum · beta_5y

token id: #324
symbol: KAIO
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x00bac91fd8f5b4a0dc03c8021139b76f6549ee7e
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-06
predictions: 483

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

160

of 161 predictions shown

direction hit

54.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0679

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0052

actual -0.0084

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.029719	0.029492	-0.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-21	oos	0.030038	0.029809	-0.76%	0.029719	+1.31%	0.0206	✗	0.02
2026-10-20	oos	0.030499	0.030248	-0.82%	0.030038	-1.51%	0.0070	✓	-0.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.029365	0.029129	-0.81%	0.030499	+3.86%	0.0461	✗	-0.01
2026-10-18	oos	0.029598	0.029429	-0.57%	0.029365	-0.79%	0.0024	✓	-0.09
2026-10-17	oos	0.034899	0.034604	-0.85%	0.029598	-15.19%	0.1556	✓	-0.08
2026-10-16	oos	0.036292	0.035694	-1.65%	0.034899	-3.84%	0.0226	✓	-0.08
2026-10-15	oos	0.03372	0.033104	-1.83%	0.036292	+7.63%	0.0913	✗	-0.08
2026-10-14	oos	0.031919	0.031412	-1.59%	0.03372	+5.64%	0.0715	✗	-0.08
2026-10-13	oos	0.028875	0.028515	-1.25%	0.031919	+10.54%	0.1126	✗	-0.01
2026-10-12	oos	0.027404	0.027033	-1.35%	0.028875	+5.36%	0.0661	✗	-0.01
2026-10-11	oos	0.025037	0.024843	-0.78%	0.027404	+9.46%	0.1001	✗	0.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.025012	0.024702	-1.24%	0.025037	+0.10%	0.0125	✗	0.11
2026-10-09	oos	0.025199	0.024825	-1.49%	0.025012	-0.74%	0.0070	✓	0.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.024821	0.02441	-1.66%	0.025199	+1.52%	0.0307	✗	0.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.020707	0.020592	-0.56%	0.024821	+19.87%	0.1912	✗	0.23
2026-10-06	oos	0.022712	0.022519	-0.85%	0.020707	-8.83%	0.0796	✓	0.16
2026-10-05	oos	0.026838	0.026162	-2.52%	0.022712	-15.37%	0.1410	✓	0.16
2026-10-04	oos	0.020323	0.020066	-1.26%	0.026838	+32.06%	0.2932	✗	0.27
2026-10-03	oos	0.019305	0.019164	-0.73%	0.020323	+5.27%	0.0535	✗	0.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.022008	0.021698	-1.41%	0.019305	-12.28%	0.1175	✓	0.26
2026-10-01	oos	0.021486	0.021236	-1.16%	0.022008	+2.43%	0.0367	✗	0.26
2026-09-30	oos	0.024146	0.023731	-1.72%	0.021486	-11.02%	0.1035	✓	0.27
2026-09-29	oos	0.026617	0.026002	-2.31%	0.024146	-9.28%	0.0738	✓	0.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.033197	0.03175	-4.36%	0.026617	-19.82%	0.1768	✓	0.21
2026-09-27	oos	0.014683	0.014477	-1.40%	0.033197	+126.09%	0.8377	✗	0.65
2026-09-26	oos	0.01501	0.014748	-1.75%	0.014683	-2.18%	0.0048	✓	0.65
2026-09-25	oos	0.013481	0.013383	-0.72%	0.01501	+11.34%	0.1122	✗	0.64
2026-09-24	oos	0.01323	0.013152	-0.59%	0.013481	+1.90%	0.0270	✗	0.65
2026-09-23	oos	0.01364	0.013554	-0.64%	0.01323	-3.01%	0.0242	✓	0.65
2026-09-22	oos	0.013553	0.013473	-0.59%	0.01364	+0.65%	0.0257	✗	0.62
2026-09-21	oos	0.01374	0.013652	-0.64%	0.013553	-1.36%	0.0043	✓	0.65
2026-09-20	oos	0.01351	0.013426	-0.63%	0.01374	+1.70%	0.0262	✓	0.76
2026-09-19	oos	0.013822	0.013736	-0.62%	0.01351	-2.25%	0.0159	✓	0.75
2026-09-18	oos	0.01351	0.013432	-0.58%	0.013822	+2.30%	0.0253	✗	0.74
2026-09-17	oos	0.013894	0.01379	-0.75%	0.01351	-2.76%	0.0709	✓	0.87
2026-09-16	oos	0.013951	0.013762	-1.36%	0.013894	-0.41%	0.0072	✓	0.88
2026-09-15	oos	0.013095	0.013048	-0.36%	0.013951	+6.53%	0.0602	✗	0.91
2026-09-14	oos	0.013015	0.012985	-0.23%	0.013095	+0.62%	0.0410	✗	0.97
2026-09-13	oos	0.013244	0.013219	-0.19%	0.013015	-1.73%	0.0328	✓	0.97
2026-09-12	oos	0.01399	0.01396	-0.21%	0.013244	-5.33%	0.0469	✓	0.96
2026-09-11	oos	0.013969	0.013947	-0.16%	0.01399	+0.15%	0.0024	✗	0.93
2026-09-10	oos	0.013893	0.013882	-0.08%	0.013969	+0.54%	0.0020	✓	0.94
2026-09-09	oos	0.013968	0.013969	+0.01%	0.013893	-0.54%	0.0162	✓	0.96
2026-09-08	oos	0.014179	0.014187	+0.06%	0.013968	-1.48%	0.0136	✗	0.92
2026-09-07	oos	0.014925	0.01494	+0.10%	0.014179	-5.00%	0.0449	✗	0.91
2026-09-06	oos	0.015738	0.015764	+0.17%	0.014925	-5.17%	0.0408	✗	0.89
2026-09-05	oos	0.015695	0.015733	+0.24%	0.015738	+0.27%	0.0054	✗	0.90
2026-09-04	oos	0.016369	0.016408	+0.24%	0.015695	-4.12%	0.0460	✗	0.78
2026-09-03	oos	0.016792	0.016841	+0.29%	0.016369	-2.52%	0.0141	✗	0.72
2026-09-02	oos	0.0174	0.017412	+0.07%	0.016792	-3.50%	0.0877	✗	1.03
2026-09-01	oos	0.017791	0.017807	+0.09%	0.0174	-2.20%	0.0219	✗	1.04
2026-08-31	oos	0.018144	0.018161	+0.10%	0.017791	-1.95%	0.0063	✗	0.96
2026-08-30	oos	0.017735	0.017739	+0.02%	0.018144	+2.31%	0.0106	✓	1.04
2026-08-29	oos	0.017556	0.017561	+0.03%	0.017735	+1.02%	0.0183	✓	1.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.017912	0.017904	-0.04%	0.017556	-1.98%	0.0255	✓	1.18
2026-08-27	oos	0.01779	0.017788	-0.01%	0.017912	+0.68%	0.0466	✗	1.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.017253	0.017254	+0.01%	0.01779	+3.11%	0.0105	✓	1.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.018184	0.018174	-0.06%	0.017253	-5.12%	0.0602	✓	1.30
2026-08-24	oos	0.018718	0.018693	-0.14%	0.018184	-2.86%	0.0199	✓	1.34
2026-08-23	oos	0.020346	0.020222	-0.61%	0.018718	-8.00%	0.1001	✓	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.0182	0.018158	-0.23%	0.020346	+11.79%	0.1016	✗	1.40
2026-08-21	oos	0.017552	0.017521	-0.18%	0.0182	+3.69%	0.0614	✗	1.43
2026-08-20	oos	0.017291	0.017251	-0.23%	0.017552	+1.51%	0.0917	✓	1.55
2026-08-19	oos	0.016853	0.016807	-0.27%	0.017291	+2.60%	0.0520	✓	1.54
2026-08-18	oos	0.015957	0.015912	-0.28%	0.016853	+5.62%	0.0558	✓	1.64
2026-08-17	oos	0.01766	0.017586	-0.42%	0.015957	-9.64%	0.1023	✓	1.60
2026-08-16	oos	0.01777	0.017688	-0.46%	0.01766	-0.62%	0.0438	✓	1.64
2026-08-15	oos	0.017905	0.017821	-0.47%	0.01777	-0.75%	0.0019	✓	1.66
2026-08-14	oos	0.017855	0.017771	-0.47%	0.017905	+0.28%	0.0063	✗	1.66
2026-08-13	oos	0.017485	0.017408	-0.44%	0.017855	+2.12%	0.0377	✗	1.73
2026-08-12	oos	0.01726	0.017197	-0.37%	0.017485	+1.30%	0.0163	✗	1.57
2026-08-11	oos	0.01843	0.018334	-0.52%	0.01726	-6.35%	0.0574	✓	1.55
2026-08-10	oos	0.018025	0.017942	-0.46%	0.01843	+2.25%	0.0364	✗	1.61
2026-08-09	oos	0.01724	0.017177	-0.37%	0.018025	+4.55%	0.0730	✗	1.70
2026-08-08	oos	0.017	0.016934	-0.39%	0.01724	+1.41%	0.0195	✗	1.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01781	0.017739	-0.40%	0.017	-4.55%	0.0430	✓	1.71
2026-08-06	oos	0.01824	0.018143	-0.53%	0.01781	-2.36%	0.0351	✓	1.72
2026-08-05	oos	0.018525	0.018398	-0.68%	0.01824	-1.54%	0.0002	✓	1.70
2026-08-04	oos	0.018385	0.018222	-0.89%	0.018525	+0.76%	0.0006	✓	1.85
2026-08-03	oos	0.01727	0.017108	-0.94%	0.018385	+6.46%	0.0553	✗	1.82
2026-08-02	oos	0.01601	0.015933	-0.48%	0.01727	+7.87%	0.0815	✗	1.82
2026-08-01	oos	0.014815	0.014764	-0.34%	0.01601	+8.07%	0.0603	✗	1.78
2026-07-31	oos	0.015205	0.015144	-0.40%	0.014815	-2.56%	0.0202	✓	1.78
2026-07-30	oos	0.017	0.016828	-1.01%	0.015205	-10.56%	0.0496	✓	1.74
2026-07-29	oos	0.01538	0.015285	-0.62%	0.017	+10.53%	0.0847	✗	1.69
2026-07-28	oos	0.01431	0.014231	-0.55%	0.01538	+7.48%	0.0764	✗	1.68
2026-07-27	oos	0.01352	0.013475	-0.33%	0.01431	+5.84%	0.0562	✗	1.66
2026-07-26	oos	0.0173	0.017067	-1.34%	0.01352	-21.85%	0.1943	✓	1.52
2026-07-25	oos	0.01305	0.013025	-0.19%	0.0173	+32.57%	0.2626	✗	1.32
2026-07-24	oos	0.014115	0.014069	-0.32%	0.01305	-7.55%	0.0796	✓	1.33
2026-07-23	oos	0.013615	0.013589	-0.19%	0.014115	+3.67%	0.0585	✗	1.37
2026-07-22	oos	0.01306	0.013047	-0.10%	0.013615	+4.25%	0.0650	✗	1.41
2026-07-21	oos	0.013	0.012997	-0.02%	0.01306	+0.46%	0.0140	✗	1.42
2026-07-20	oos	0.01512	0.0151	-0.13%	0.013	-14.02%	0.1803	✓	1.55
2026-07-19	oos	0.015995	0.01597	-0.15%	0.01512	-5.47%	0.0675	✓	1.56
2026-07-18	oos	0.01561	0.015598	-0.08%	0.015995	+2.47%	0.0279	✗	1.56
2026-07-17	oos	0.016175	0.016165	-0.06%	0.01561	-3.49%	0.0571	✓	1.58
2026-07-16	oos	0.01902	0.018979	-0.22%	0.016175	-14.96%	0.1630	✓	1.61
2026-07-15	oos	0.01949	0.019448	-0.21%	0.01902	-2.41%	0.0016	✓	1.62
2026-07-14	oos	0.02091	0.02084	-0.33%	0.01949	-6.79%	0.0602	✓	1.62
2026-07-13	oos	0.020185	0.020128	-0.28%	0.02091	+3.59%	0.0317	✓	1.63
2026-07-12	oos	0.02075	0.02069	-0.29%	0.020185	-2.72%	0.0142	✗	1.66
2026-07-11	oos	0.02053	0.020476	-0.26%	0.02075	+1.07%	0.0142	✗	1.66
2026-07-10	oos	0.02095	0.020889	-0.29%	0.02053	-2.00%	0.0081	✓	1.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.020245	0.020192	-0.26%	0.02095	+3.48%	0.0125	✗	1.63
2026-07-08	oos	0.019995	0.01995	-0.23%	0.020245	+1.25%	0.0094	✓	1.61
2026-07-07	oos	0.021025	0.020968	-0.27%	0.019995	-4.90%	0.0195	✓	1.62
2026-07-06	oos	0.02209	0.021999	-0.41%	0.021025	-4.82%	0.0280	✓	1.62
2026-07-05	oos	0.02136	0.021272	-0.41%	0.02209	+3.42%	0.0273	✗	1.59
2026-07-04	oos	0.020275	0.02024	-0.17%	0.02136	+5.35%	0.0417	✗	1.55
2026-07-03	oos	0.02124	0.021199	-0.19%	0.020275	-4.54%	0.0588	✓	1.57
2026-07-02	oos	0.022865	0.022805	-0.26%	0.02124	-7.11%	0.0985	✓	1.64
2026-07-01	oos	0.02291	0.022842	-0.30%	0.022865	-0.20%	0.0407	✓	1.66
2026-06-30	oos	0.02383	0.023709	-0.51%	0.02291	-3.86%	0.0765	✓	1.74
2026-06-29	oos	0.026745	0.026619	-0.47%	0.02383	-10.90%	0.0639	✓	1.69
2026-06-28	oos	0.026145	0.026023	-0.47%	0.026745	+2.29%	0.0082	✗	1.67
2026-06-27	oos	0.025275	0.025179	-0.38%	0.026145	+3.44%	0.0506	✗	1.67
2026-06-26	oos	0.02648	0.026349	-0.50%	0.025275	-4.55%	0.0397	✓	1.68
2026-06-25	oos	0.02528	0.025179	-0.40%	0.02648	+4.75%	0.0422	✗	1.64
2026-06-24	oos	0.02414	0.024074	-0.27%	0.02528	+4.72%	0.0855	✗	1.73
2026-06-23	oos	0.02557	0.025496	-0.29%	0.02414	-5.59%	0.0075	✓	1.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.029675	0.029526	-0.50%	0.02557	-13.83%	0.1091	✓	1.68
2026-06-21	oos	0.03032	0.030136	-0.61%	0.029675	-2.13%	0.0344	✓	1.69
2026-06-20	oos	0.03034	0.030116	-0.74%	0.03032	-0.07%	0.0335	✗	1.73
2026-06-19	oos	0.02745	0.027331	-0.43%	0.03034	+10.53%	0.0855	✗	1.61
2026-06-18	oos	0.02631	0.026219	-0.35%	0.02745	+4.33%	0.0312	✗	1.56
2026-06-17	oos	0.02856	0.02845	-0.39%	0.02631	-7.88%	0.0401	✓	1.55
2026-06-16	oos	0.02937	0.029254	-0.39%	0.02856	-2.76%	0.0044	✗	1.58
2026-06-15	oos	0.02962	0.029514	-0.36%	0.02937	-0.84%	0.0110	✗	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.03074	0.030618	-0.40%	0.02962	-3.64%	0.0470	✓	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.032005	0.031859	-0.46%	0.03074	-3.95%	0.0683	✓	1.66
2026-06-12	oos	0.03101	0.030891	-0.38%	0.032005	+3.21%	0.0132	✗	1.60
2026-06-11	oos	0.03033	0.030232	-0.32%	0.03101	+2.24%	0.0260	✗	1.57
2026-06-10	oos	0.031025	0.03092	-0.34%	0.03033	-2.24%	0.0761	✓	1.68
2026-06-09	oos	0.03148	0.031383	-0.31%	0.031025	-1.45%	0.0050	✓	1.67
2026-06-08	oos	0.0324	0.03229	-0.34%	0.03148	-2.84%	0.0126	✗	1.72
2026-06-07	oos	0.03466	0.034483	-0.51%	0.0324	-6.52%	0.0558	✓	1.73
2026-06-06	oos	0.03785	0.037455	-1.04%	0.03466	-8.43%	0.1661	✓	2.24
2026-06-05	oos	0.02799	0.02802	+0.11%	0.03785	+35.23%	0.3068	✓	2.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.03417	0.034095	-0.22%	0.02799	-18.09%	0.1529	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.03762	0.0375	-0.32%	0.03417	-9.17%	0.0893	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.03679	0.03671	-0.22%	0.03762	+2.26%	0.0646	✗	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.04181	0.04163	-0.43%	0.03679	-12.01%	0.0561	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.05	0.049531	-0.94%	0.04181	-16.38%	0.1382	✓	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.06753	0.065224	-3.42%	0.05	-25.96%	0.2631	✓	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.03825	0.038203	-0.12%	0.06753	+76.55%	0.5642	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.03677	0.036834	+0.18%	0.03825	+4.03%	0.0397	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.03918	0.039249	+0.18%	0.03677	-6.15%	0.0544	✗	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.04436	0.044361	+0.00%	0.03918	-11.68%	0.1041	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.051465	0.051341	-0.24%	0.04436	-13.81%	0.1276	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.05471	0.054543	-0.31%	0.051465	-5.93%	0.0616	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.05338	0.053305	-0.14%	0.05471	+2.49%	0.0218	✗	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.056	0.055846	-0.27%	0.05338	-4.68%	0.0610	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.053555	0.053583	+0.05%	0.056	+4.57%	0.0716	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.05371	0.053829	+0.22%	0.053555	-0.29%	0.0060	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.062095	0.062049	-0.07%	0.05371	-13.50%	0.1535	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.061165	0.061196	+0.05%	0.062095	+1.52%	0.0169	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.07421	0.073949	-0.35%	0.061165	-17.58%	0.1838	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.0765	0.076211	-0.38%	0.07421	-2.99%	0.0176	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.09405	0.09308	-1.03%	0.0765	-18.66%	0.1840	✓	1.00