HBAR

Hedera · Hedera · beta_5y

token id: #35
symbol: HBAR
variant: –
chain: Hedera
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2022-10-13
predictions: 4,371

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

60.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0507

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0083

actual -0.0062

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.084215	0.082221	-2.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-21	oos	0.08402	0.082063	-2.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-20	oos	0.08427	0.082368	-2.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-10-19	oos	0.082935	0.08122	-2.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-18	oos	0.085345	0.083366	-2.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-17	oos	0.085225	0.083537	-1.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-16	oos	0.083485	0.08214	-1.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-15	oos	0.085125	0.083714	-1.66%	0.084215	-1.07%	0.0182	✓	0.96
2026-10-14	oos	0.0844	0.083097	-1.54%	0.08402	-0.45%	0.0021	✓	0.96
2026-10-13	oos	0.08691	0.085436	-1.70%	0.08427	-3.04%	0.0119	✓	0.96
2026-10-12	oos	0.08678	0.08526	-1.75%	0.082935	-4.43%	0.0288	✓	0.96
2026-10-11	oos	0.094055	0.092024	-2.16%	0.085345	-9.26%	0.0575	✓	0.88
2026-10-10	oos	0.09238	0.090547	-1.98%	0.085225	-7.75%	0.0442	✓	0.88
2026-10-09	oos	0.092205	0.090488	-1.86%	0.083485	-9.46%	0.0693	✓	0.88
2026-10-08	oos	0.090265	0.088699	-1.74%	0.085125	-5.69%	0.0458	✓	0.88
2026-10-07	oos	0.09284	0.091149	-1.82%	0.0844	-9.09%	0.0588	✓	0.87
2026-10-06	oos	0.09966	0.097591	-2.08%	0.08691	-12.79%	0.0919	✓	0.83
2026-10-05	oos	0.10171	0.099479	-2.19%	0.08678	-14.68%	0.0968	✓	0.83
2026-10-04	oos	0.10403	0.101686	-2.25%	0.094055	-9.59%	0.0502	✓	0.84
2026-10-03	oos	0.10197	0.099812	-2.12%	0.09238	-9.40%	0.0592	✓	0.83
2026-10-02	oos	0.10239	0.100257	-2.08%	0.092205	-9.95%	0.0643	✓	0.83
2026-10-01	oos	0.102615	0.10061	-1.95%	0.090265	-12.04%	0.0768	✓	0.84
2026-09-30	oos	0.10472	0.102342	-2.27%	0.09284	-11.34%	0.0946	✓	0.85
2026-09-29	oos	0.102385	0.100074	-2.26%	0.09966	-2.66%	0.0229	✓	0.84
2026-09-28	oos	0.122	0.115482	-5.34%	0.10171	-16.63%	0.1496	✓	0.83
2026-09-27	oos	0.09585	0.093786	-2.15%	0.10403	+8.53%	0.0810	✗	0.95
2026-09-26	oos	0.093485	0.091732	-1.88%	0.10197	+9.08%	0.1022	✗	0.95
2026-09-25	oos	0.095675	0.093643	-2.12%	0.10239	+7.02%	0.0847	✗	0.95
2026-09-24	oos	0.09309	0.091375	-1.84%	0.102615	+10.23%	0.1108	✗	0.95
2026-09-23	oos	0.09049	0.089103	-1.53%	0.10472	+15.73%	0.1709	✗	0.96
2026-09-22	oos	0.099085	0.096764	-2.34%	0.102385	+3.33%	0.0841	✗	0.92
2026-09-21	oos	0.093385	0.091478	-2.04%	0.122	+30.64%	0.3222	✗	0.93
2026-09-20	oos	0.086515	0.084623	-2.19%	0.09585	+10.79%	0.0889	✗	0.89
2026-09-19	oos	0.08142	0.080186	-1.52%	0.093485	+14.82%	0.1188	✗	0.90
2026-09-18	oos	0.07921	0.078125	-1.37%	0.095675	+20.79%	0.1672	✗	0.91
2026-09-17	oos	0.07454	0.073933	-0.81%	0.09309	+24.89%	0.1415	✗	0.89
2026-09-16	oos	0.07388	0.073529	-0.48%	0.09049	+22.48%	0.1165	✗	0.89
2026-09-15	oos	0.074235	0.073896	-0.46%	0.099085	+33.47%	0.1778	✗	0.88
2026-09-14	oos	0.077725	0.077353	-0.48%	0.093385	+20.15%	0.1016	✗	0.85
2026-09-13	oos	0.075075	0.07505	-0.03%	0.086515	+15.24%	0.0957	✗	0.84
2026-09-12	oos	0.074695	0.075119	+0.57%	0.08142	+9.00%	0.0381	✓	0.85
2026-09-11	oos	0.0744	0.075314	+1.23%	0.07921	+6.47%	0.0106	✓	0.86
2026-09-10	oos	0.07476	0.075826	+1.43%	0.07454	-0.29%	0.0150	✗	0.86
2026-09-09	oos	0.076535	0.078278	+2.28%	0.07388	-3.47%	0.0340	✗	0.86
2026-09-08	oos	0.07905	0.08101	+2.48%	0.074235	-6.09%	0.0558	✗	0.85
2026-09-07	oos	0.081845	0.083835	+2.43%	0.077725	-5.03%	0.0658	✗	0.84
2026-09-06	oos	0.08161	0.084122	+3.08%	0.075075	-8.01%	0.0752	✗	0.86
2026-09-05	oos	0.08021	0.082846	+3.29%	0.074695	-6.88%	0.0756	✗	0.85
2026-09-04	oos	0.0784	0.08118	+3.55%	0.0744	-5.10%	0.0604	✗	0.85
2026-09-03	oos	0.07927	0.082289	+3.81%	0.07476	-5.69%	0.0445	✗	0.86
2026-09-02	oos	0.07456	0.076382	+2.44%	0.076535	+2.65%	0.0084	✓	0.83
2026-09-01	oos	0.07405	0.07591	+2.51%	0.07905	+6.75%	0.0293	✓	0.83
2026-08-31	oos	0.07363	0.075677	+2.78%	0.081845	+11.16%	0.0728	✓	0.82
2026-08-30	oos	0.07347	0.07502	+2.11%	0.08161	+11.08%	0.0562	✓	0.83
2026-08-29	oos	0.07552	0.076912	+1.84%	0.08021	+6.21%	0.0251	✓	0.83
2026-08-28	oos	0.0761	0.07735	+1.64%	0.0784	+3.02%	0.0060	✓	0.83
2026-08-27	oos	0.07877	0.080159	+1.76%	0.07927	+0.63%	0.0212	✗	0.82
2026-08-26	oos	0.07861	0.079568	+1.22%	0.07456	-5.15%	0.0470	✗	0.82
2026-08-25	oos	0.07776	0.078466	+0.91%	0.07405	-4.77%	0.0464	✗	0.80
2026-08-24	oos	0.0793	0.079715	+0.52%	0.07363	-7.15%	0.0752	✗	0.79
2026-08-23	oos	0.07982	0.07984	+0.02%	0.07347	-7.96%	0.0825	✗	0.80
2026-08-22	oos	0.07742	0.077398	-0.03%	0.07552	-2.45%	0.0366	✓	0.80
2026-08-21	oos	0.0798	0.079529	-0.34%	0.0761	-4.64%	0.0392	✓	0.79
2026-08-20	oos	0.07345	0.073037	-0.56%	0.07877	+7.24%	0.0060	✗	0.73
2026-08-19	oos	0.07058	0.069868	-1.01%	0.07861	+11.38%	0.0221	✗	0.73
2026-08-18	oos	0.06734	0.066602	-1.10%	0.07776	+15.47%	0.0124	✗	0.73
2026-08-17	oos	0.06593	0.065223	-1.07%	0.0793	+20.28%	0.0473	✗	0.73
2026-08-16	oos	0.0646	0.063913	-1.06%	0.07982	+23.56%	0.0677	✗	0.73
2026-08-15	oos	0.06543	0.064725	-1.08%	0.07742	+18.32%	0.0332	✗	0.73
2026-08-14	oos	0.06584	0.065083	-1.15%	0.0798	+21.20%	0.0452	✗	0.73
2026-08-13	oos	0.06547	0.064728	-1.13%	0.07345	+12.19%	0.0234	✗	0.73
2026-08-12	oos	0.066	0.065239	-1.15%	0.07058	+6.94%	0.0135	✗	0.73
2026-08-11	oos	0.06638	0.065556	-1.24%	0.06734	+1.45%	0.0136	✗	0.74
2026-08-10	oos	0.0676	0.066765	-1.24%	0.06593	-2.47%	0.0190	✓	0.73
2026-08-09	oos	0.06858	0.067749	-1.21%	0.0646	-5.80%	0.0243	✓	0.74
2026-08-08	oos	0.06894	0.068106	-1.21%	0.06543	-5.09%	0.0182	✓	0.74
2026-08-07	oos	0.06804	0.067291	-1.10%	0.06584	-3.23%	0.0011	✓	0.76
2026-08-06	oos	0.06817	0.067433	-1.08%	0.06547	-3.96%	0.0194	✓	0.77
2026-08-05	oos	0.06901	0.068279	-1.06%	0.066	-4.36%	0.0196	✓	0.77
2026-08-04	oos	0.06935	0.068562	-1.14%	0.06638	-4.28%	0.0260	✓	0.77
2026-08-03	oos	0.07046	0.069546	-1.30%	0.0676	-4.06%	0.0339	✓	0.79
2026-08-02	oos	0.07002	0.069093	-1.32%	0.06858	-2.06%	0.0242	✓	0.80
2026-08-01	oos	0.069	0.068047	-1.38%	0.06894	-0.09%	0.0133	✓	0.79
2026-07-31	oos	0.06876	0.067808	-1.38%	0.06804	-1.05%	0.0220	✓	0.78
2026-07-30	oos	0.06834	0.067542	-1.17%	0.06817	-0.25%	0.0150	✗	0.81
2026-07-29	oos	0.06781	0.067038	-1.14%	0.06901	+1.77%	0.0201	✗	0.81
2026-07-28	oos	0.06835	0.067572	-1.14%	0.06935	+1.46%	0.0234	✗	0.80
2026-07-27	oos	0.06807	0.067309	-1.12%	0.07046	+3.51%	0.0486	✗	0.80
2026-07-26	oos	0.0702	0.069466	-1.05%	0.07002	-0.26%	0.0305	✗	0.79
2026-07-25	oos	0.07093	0.070176	-1.06%	0.069	-2.72%	0.0026	✓	0.81
2026-07-24	oos	0.07076	0.070088	-0.95%	0.06876	-2.83%	0.0030	✓	0.81
2026-07-23	oos	0.07107	0.070533	-0.75%	0.06834	-3.84%	0.0275	✓	0.82
2026-07-22	oos	0.07286	0.072263	-0.82%	0.06781	-6.93%	0.0364	✓	0.81
2026-07-21	oos	0.06953	0.069169	-0.52%	0.06835	-1.70%	0.0215	✗	0.82
2026-07-20	oos	0.06671	0.066378	-0.50%	0.06807	+2.04%	0.0437	✗	0.79
2026-07-19	oos	0.06652	0.06619	-0.50%	0.0702	+5.53%	0.0508	✗	0.79
2026-07-18	oos	0.06708	0.06679	-0.43%	0.07093	+5.74%	0.0663	✗	0.79
2026-07-17	oos	0.06588	0.065601	-0.42%	0.07076	+7.41%	0.0734	✗	0.79
2026-07-16	oos	0.06654	0.066261	-0.42%	0.07107	+6.81%	0.0543	✗	0.79
2026-07-15	oos	0.06793	0.067703	-0.33%	0.07286	+7.26%	0.0572	✗	0.77
2026-07-14	oos	0.0673	0.067146	-0.23%	0.06953	+3.31%	0.0167	✗	0.78
2026-07-13	oos	0.06654	0.06623	-0.47%	0.06671	+0.26%	0.0306	✓	0.82
2026-07-12	oos	0.067575	0.067358	-0.32%	0.06652	-1.56%	0.0246	✓	0.82
2026-07-11	oos	0.06844	0.068167	-0.40%	0.06708	-1.99%	0.0289	✓	0.81
2026-07-10	oos	0.07032	0.070031	-0.41%	0.06588	-6.31%	0.0581	✓	0.81
2026-07-09	oos	0.0699	0.069578	-0.46%	0.06654	-4.81%	0.0523	✓	0.82
2026-07-08	oos	0.06931	0.068983	-0.47%	0.06793	-1.99%	0.0471	✓	0.81
2026-07-07	oos	0.07088	0.070608	-0.38%	0.0673	-5.05%	0.0689	✓	0.81
2026-07-06	oos	0.07332	0.073025	-0.40%	0.06654	-9.25%	0.0708	✓	0.81
2026-07-05	oos	0.07629	0.075852	-0.57%	0.067575	-11.42%	0.1176	✓	0.84
2026-07-04	oos	0.0772	0.07657	-0.82%	0.06844	-11.35%	0.1213	✓	0.84
2026-07-03	oos	0.07332	0.072848	-0.64%	0.07032	-4.09%	0.0561	✓	0.82
2026-07-02	oos	0.07084	0.070406	-0.61%	0.0699	-1.33%	0.0291	✓	0.80
2026-07-01	oos	0.07187	0.071243	-0.87%	0.06931	-3.56%	0.0584	✓	0.83
2026-06-30	oos	0.06945	0.068869	-0.84%	0.07088	+2.06%	0.0353	✓	0.81
2026-06-29	oos	0.07158	0.071028	-0.77%	0.07332	+2.43%	0.0182	✓	0.81
2026-06-28	oos	0.07092	0.070392	-0.74%	0.07629	+7.57%	0.0271	✗	0.80
2026-06-27	oos	0.07182	0.071297	-0.73%	0.0772	+7.49%	0.0390	✗	0.79
2026-06-26	oos	0.07083	0.070385	-0.63%	0.07332	+3.52%	0.0083	✗	0.79
2026-06-25	oos	0.07336	0.072766	-0.81%	0.07084	-3.44%	0.0503	✓	0.80
2026-06-24	oos	0.07553	0.074896	-0.84%	0.07187	-4.85%	0.0280	✓	0.79
2026-06-23	oos	0.07748	0.07685	-0.81%	0.06945	-10.36%	0.0473	✓	0.79
2026-06-22	oos	0.07865	0.078012	-0.81%	0.07158	-8.99%	0.0376	✓	0.79
2026-06-21	oos	0.078	0.077373	-0.80%	0.07092	-9.08%	0.0385	✓	0.79
2026-06-20	oos	0.08062	0.079887	-0.91%	0.07182	-10.92%	0.0514	✓	0.80
2026-06-19	oos	0.08045	0.07969	-0.95%	0.07083	-11.96%	0.0727	✓	0.80
2026-06-18	oos	0.08019	0.079406	-0.98%	0.07336	-8.52%	0.0376	✓	0.80
2026-06-17	oos	0.08123	0.080415	-1.00%	0.07553	-7.02%	0.0180	✓	0.81
2026-06-16	oos	0.08058	0.079841	-0.92%	0.07748	-3.85%	0.0083	✓	0.83
2026-06-15	oos	0.08254	0.081551	-1.20%	0.07865	-4.71%	0.0069	✓	0.82
2026-06-14	oos	0.08116	0.080241	-1.13%	0.078	-3.89%	0.0031	✓	0.82
2026-06-13	oos	0.07828	0.077489	-1.01%	0.08062	+2.99%	0.0423	✗	0.82
2026-06-12	oos	0.07784	0.07703	-1.04%	0.08045	+3.35%	0.0443	✗	0.83
2026-06-11	oos	0.07916	0.078225	-1.18%	0.08019	+1.30%	0.0338	✗	0.83
2026-06-10	oos	0.07762	0.076779	-1.08%	0.08123	+4.65%	0.0165	✗	0.84
2026-06-09	oos	0.07947	0.078562	-1.14%	0.08058	+1.40%	0.0262	✓	0.84
2026-06-08	oos	0.0813	0.080279	-1.26%	0.08254	+1.53%	0.0136	✓	0.83
2026-06-07	oos	0.08194	0.080878	-1.30%	0.08116	-0.95%	0.0273	✓	0.83
2026-06-06	oos	0.07967	0.078804	-1.09%	0.07828	-1.74%	0.0527	✓	0.81
2026-06-05	oos	0.08035	0.079402	-1.18%	0.07784	-3.12%	0.0523	✓	0.81
2026-06-04	oos	0.08372	0.082515	-1.44%	0.07916	-5.45%	0.0384	✓	0.80
2026-06-03	oos	0.08512	0.083985	-1.33%	0.07762	-8.81%	0.0462	✓	0.79
2026-06-02	oos	0.0868	0.085592	-1.39%	0.07947	-8.44%	0.0122	✓	0.80
2026-06-01	oos	0.09223	0.090732	-1.62%	0.0813	-11.85%	0.0140	✓	0.78
2026-05-31	oos	0.09647	0.094683	-1.85%	0.08194	-15.06%	0.0301	✓	0.76
2026-05-30	oos	0.09499	0.092884	-2.22%	0.07967	-16.13%	0.0118	✓	0.74
2026-05-29	oos	0.09908	0.096345	-2.76%	0.08035	-18.90%	0.0434	✓	0.75
2026-05-28	oos	0.09089	0.088727	-2.38%	0.08372	-7.89%	0.0485	✗	0.75
2026-05-27	oos	0.08554	0.084318	-1.43%	0.08512	-0.49%	0.1250	✗	0.78
2026-05-26	oos	0.08645	0.085258	-1.38%	0.0868	+0.40%	0.1180	✗	0.78
2026-05-25	oos	0.08805	0.086868	-1.34%	0.09223	+4.75%	0.1249	✗	0.81
2026-05-24	oos	0.08834	0.087168	-1.33%	0.09647	+9.20%	0.1380	✗	0.81
2026-05-23	oos	0.08959	0.088272	-1.47%	0.09499	+6.03%	0.1042	✗	0.81
2026-05-22	oos	0.08782	0.086575	-1.42%	0.09908	+12.82%	0.1574	✗	0.80
2026-05-21	oos	0.08984	0.088474	-1.52%	0.09089	+1.17%	0.0700	✗	0.80
2026-05-20	oos	0.08876	0.087519	-1.40%	0.08554	-3.63%	0.0108	✓	0.81
2026-05-19	oos	0.08848	0.087299	-1.34%	0.08645	-2.29%	0.0002	✓	0.81
2026-05-18	oos	0.09016	0.08889	-1.41%	0.08805	-2.34%	0.0127	✓	0.81
2026-05-17	oos	0.09007	0.088932	-1.26%	0.08834	-1.92%	0.0022	✓	0.80
2026-05-16	oos	0.09122	0.090155	-1.17%	0.08959	-1.79%	0.0087	✓	0.80
2026-05-15	oos	0.09283	0.091774	-1.14%	0.08782	-5.40%	0.0064	✓	0.81
2026-05-14	oos	0.09498	0.093959	-1.08%	0.08984	-5.41%	0.0084	✓	0.82
2026-05-13	oos	0.09338	0.092301	-1.16%	0.08876	-4.95%	0.0196	✓	0.84
2026-05-12	oos	0.09385	0.092965	-0.94%	0.08848	-5.72%	0.0103	✓	0.83
2026-05-11	oos	0.09691	0.096033	-0.90%	0.09016	-6.97%	0.0138	✓	0.82
2026-05-10	oos	0.09753	0.09653	-1.03%	0.09007	-7.65%	0.0202	✓	0.82
2026-05-09	oos	0.09287	0.092	-0.94%	0.09122	-1.78%	0.0172	✗	0.80
2026-05-08	oos	0.09267	0.091815	-0.92%	0.09283	+0.17%	0.0224	✗	0.80
2026-05-07	oos	0.09009	0.089466	-0.69%	0.09498	+5.43%	0.0491	✗	0.80
2026-05-06	oos	0.09137	0.090902	-0.51%	0.09338	+2.20%	0.0518	✗	0.93
2026-05-05	oos	0.09029	0.089843	-0.50%	0.09385	+3.94%	0.0484	✗	0.92
2026-05-04	oos	0.08774	0.087314	-0.49%	0.09691	+10.45%	0.0832	✗	0.91
2026-05-03	oos	0.08771	0.087215	-0.56%	0.09753	+11.20%	0.0708	✗	0.91
2026-05-02	oos	0.08857	0.088133	-0.49%	0.09287	+4.85%	0.0297	✗	0.91
2026-05-01	oos	0.08818	0.087809	-0.42%	0.09267	+5.09%	0.0311	✗	0.92
2026-04-30	oos	0.08731	0.086789	-0.60%	0.09009	+3.18%	0.0064	✓	0.92
2026-04-29	oos	0.08864	0.08803	-0.69%	0.09137	+3.08%	0.0298	✓	0.93
2026-04-28	oos	0.08891	0.088431	-0.54%	0.09029	+1.55%	0.0336	✓	0.93
2026-04-27	oos	0.08971	0.089404	-0.34%	0.08774	-2.20%	0.0483	✓	0.93
2026-04-26	oos	0.09231	0.092083	-0.25%	0.08771	-4.98%	0.0473	✓	0.93
2026-04-25	oos	0.09126	0.090909	-0.38%	0.08857	-2.95%	0.0384	✓	0.93
2026-04-24	oos	0.091	0.090644	-0.39%	0.08818	-3.10%	0.0369	✓	0.94
2026-04-23	oos	0.09082	0.090647	-0.19%	0.08731	-3.86%	0.0134	✓	0.94
2026-04-22	oos	0.09086	0.090646	-0.24%	0.08864	-2.44%	0.0077	✗	0.94
2026-04-21	oos	0.09038	0.089865	-0.57%	0.08891	-1.63%	0.0103	✓	0.95
2026-04-20	oos	0.08976	0.089163	-0.66%	0.08971	-0.06%	0.0125	✓	0.95
2026-04-19	oos	0.08727	0.086653	-0.71%	0.09231	+5.78%	0.0028	✓	0.95
2026-04-18	oos	0.08882	0.088407	-0.46%	0.09126	+2.75%	0.0080	✗	0.95
2026-04-17	oos	0.09078	0.090391	-0.43%	0.091	+0.24%	0.0022	✓	0.96
2026-04-16	oos	0.09076	0.089976	-0.86%	0.09082	+0.07%	0.0299	✓	0.97
2026-04-15	oos	0.08713	0.086582	-0.63%	0.09086	+4.28%	0.0058	✓	0.96
2026-04-14	oos	0.08511	0.084566	-0.64%	0.09038	+6.19%	0.0387	✗	0.96
2026-04-13	oos	0.08783	0.087087	-0.85%	0.08976	+2.20%	0.0121	✗	0.96
2026-04-12	oos	0.08519	0.084346	-0.99%	0.08727	+2.44%	0.0077	✓	0.98
2026-04-11	oos	0.08836	0.087601	-0.86%	0.08882	+0.52%	0.0211	✓	0.98
2026-04-10	oos	0.08955	0.088781	-0.86%	0.09078	+1.37%	0.0313	✓	0.98
2026-04-09	oos	0.08935	0.088533	-0.91%	0.09076	+1.58%	0.0202	✓	0.98
2026-04-08	oos	0.08901	0.088118	-1.00%	0.08713	-2.11%	0.0619	✓	0.98
2026-04-07	oos	0.09183	0.090783	-1.14%	0.08511	-7.32%	0.0950	✓	0.98
2026-04-06	oos	0.08742	0.086405	-1.16%	0.08783	+0.47%	0.0603	✓	0.98
2026-04-05	oos	0.08802	0.086999	-1.16%	0.08519	-3.22%	0.0456	✓	0.98
2026-04-04	oos	0.08748	0.086421	-1.21%	0.08836	+1.01%	0.0601	✓	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.08772	0.086623	-1.25%	0.08955	+2.09%	0.0532	✓	1.00
2026-04-02	oos	0.088	0.086876	-1.28%	0.08935	+1.53%	0.0426	✓	1.00
2026-04-01	oos	0.08845	0.087351	-1.24%	0.08901	+0.63%	0.0244	✓	1.01
2026-03-31	oos	0.08758	0.086475	-1.26%	0.09183	+4.85%	0.0062	✓	1.02
2026-03-30	oos	0.08721	0.086117	-1.25%	0.08742	+0.24%	0.0172	✓	1.03
2026-03-29	oos	0.088	0.086906	-1.24%	0.08802	+0.02%	0.0338	✓	1.03
2026-03-28	oos	0.08978	0.088709	-1.19%	0.08748	-2.56%	0.0289	✓	1.03
2026-03-27	oos	0.08907	0.088126	-1.06%	0.08772	-1.52%	0.0140	✓	1.03
2026-03-26	oos	0.09107	0.090327	-0.82%	0.088	-3.37%	0.0026	✓	1.04
2026-03-25	oos	0.09467	0.094066	-0.64%	0.08845	-6.57%	0.0140	✓	1.04
2026-03-24	oos	0.09416	0.093569	-0.63%	0.08758	-6.99%	0.0315	✓	1.04
2026-03-23	oos	0.09318	0.092648	-0.57%	0.08721	-6.41%	0.0020	✓	1.04
2026-03-22	oos	0.08921	0.088613	-0.67%	0.088	-1.36%	0.0225	✗	1.04
2026-03-21	oos	0.09155	0.091022	-0.58%	0.08978	-1.93%	0.0262	✗	1.04
2026-03-20	oos	0.09318	0.092807	-0.40%	0.08907	-4.41%	0.0220	✗	1.04
2026-03-19	oos	0.09288	0.092519	-0.39%	0.09107	-1.95%	0.0015	✓	1.04
2026-03-18	oos	0.09579	0.095494	-0.31%	0.09467	-1.17%	0.0095	✓	1.05
2026-03-17	oos	0.09876	0.098616	-0.15%	0.09416	-4.66%	0.0037	✗	1.06
2026-03-16	oos	0.10029	0.100083	-0.21%	0.09318	-7.09%	0.0128	✓	1.07
2026-03-15	oos	0.09632	0.096132	-0.19%	0.08921	-7.38%	0.0003	✓	1.06
2026-03-14	oos	0.0936	0.093413	-0.20%	0.09155	-2.19%	0.0149	✗	1.06
2026-03-13	oos	0.09514	0.094831	-0.32%	0.09318	-2.06%	0.0108	✓	1.07
2026-03-12	oos	0.09484	0.094537	-0.32%	0.09288	-2.07%	0.0084	✓	1.07
2026-03-11	oos	0.09425	0.093981	-0.29%	0.09579	+1.63%	0.0034	✗	1.07
2026-03-10	oos	0.09519	0.094855	-0.35%	0.09876	+3.75%	0.0186	✓	1.07
2026-03-09	oos	0.09436	0.093892	-0.50%	0.10029	+6.28%	0.0308	✓	1.07
2026-03-08	oos	0.09392	0.093293	-0.67%	0.09632	+2.56%	0.0762	✓	1.09
2026-03-07	oos	0.09582	0.095272	-0.57%	0.0936	-2.32%	0.0805	✓	1.09
2026-03-06	oos	0.09758	0.097074	-0.52%	0.09514	-2.50%	0.0645	✓	1.09
2026-03-05	oos	0.09959	0.099194	-0.40%	0.09484	-4.77%	0.0394	✓	1.10
2026-03-04	oos	0.10116	0.100734	-0.42%	0.09425	-6.83%	0.0283	✓	1.10
2026-03-03	oos	0.09697	0.096533	-0.45%	0.09519	-1.84%	0.0406	✓	1.13
2026-03-02	oos	0.09804	0.097588	-0.46%	0.09436	-3.75%	0.0271	✓	1.12
2026-03-01	oos	0.09696	0.096383	-0.60%	0.09392	-3.14%	0.0294	✓	1.17
2026-02-28	oos	0.1002	0.099501	-0.70%	0.09582	-4.37%	0.0428	✓	1.17
2026-02-27	oos	0.10041	0.099628	-0.78%	0.09758	-2.82%	0.0601	✓	1.17
2026-02-26	oos	0.10265	0.101793	-0.84%	0.09959	-2.98%	0.0795	✓	1.17
2026-02-25	oos	0.10183	0.100912	-0.90%	0.10116	-0.66%	0.0759	✓	1.17
2026-02-24	oos	0.09503	0.094294	-0.77%	0.09697	+2.04%	0.0476	✓	1.17
2026-02-23	oos	0.09492	0.094232	-0.72%	0.09804	+3.29%	0.0336	✓	1.16
2026-02-22	oos	0.09819	0.097562	-0.64%	0.09696	-1.25%	0.0264	✗	1.17
2026-02-21	oos	0.09977	0.099058	-0.71%	0.1002	+0.43%	0.0286	✗	1.17
2026-02-20	oos	0.09965	0.098886	-0.77%	0.10041	+0.76%	0.0535	✗	1.20
2026-02-19	oos	0.09759	0.096899	-0.71%	0.10265	+5.18%	0.0484	✗	1.20
2026-02-18	oos	0.09907	0.098257	-0.82%	0.10183	+2.79%	0.0074	✓	1.21
2026-02-17	oos	0.10203	0.10105	-0.96%	0.09503	-6.86%	0.0007	✓	1.20
2026-02-16	oos	0.10164	0.100692	-0.93%	0.09492	-6.61%	0.0179	✗	1.21
2026-02-15	oos	0.10028	0.099336	-0.94%	0.09819	-2.08%	0.0093	✓	1.22
2026-02-14	oos	0.10384	0.102348	-1.44%	0.09977	-3.92%	0.0066	✓	1.21
2026-02-13	oos	0.09878	0.09762	-1.17%	0.09965	+0.88%	0.0352	✗	1.20
2026-02-12	oos	0.0931	0.09216	-1.01%	0.09759	+4.82%	0.0435	✗	1.20
2026-02-11	oos	0.08903	0.088402	-0.71%	0.09907	+11.28%	0.1249	✗	1.21
2026-02-10	oos	0.09072	0.090031	-0.76%	0.10203	+12.47%	0.1491	✗	1.22
2026-02-09	oos	0.09207	0.091259	-0.88%	0.10164	+10.39%	0.1296	✗	1.22
2026-02-08	oos	0.09122	0.090404	-0.89%	0.10028	+9.93%	0.1302	✗	1.24
2026-02-07	oos	0.08995	0.089204	-0.83%	0.10384	+15.44%	0.1421	✗	1.26
2026-02-06	oos	0.09122	0.089982	-1.36%	0.09878	+8.29%	0.1241	✗	1.25
2026-02-05	oos	0.07803	0.078542	+0.66%	0.0931	+19.31%	0.1052	✓	1.22
2026-02-04	oos	0.08925	0.088513	-0.83%	0.08903	-0.25%	0.1286	✗	1.44
2026-02-03	oos	0.09058	0.089755	-0.91%	0.09072	+0.15%	0.1518	✗	1.49
2026-02-02	oos	0.09318	0.092082	-1.18%	0.09207	-1.19%	0.1747	✗	1.52
2026-02-01	oos	0.08845	0.087846	-0.68%	0.09122	+3.13%	0.1695	✗	1.46
2026-01-31	oos	0.09286	0.092008	-0.92%	0.08995	-3.13%	0.1678	✗	1.50
2026-01-30	oos	0.09859	0.097465	-1.14%	0.09122	-7.48%	0.2091	✗	1.56
2026-01-29	oos	0.10097	0.099791	-1.17%	0.07803	-22.72%	0.2167	✗	1.56
2026-01-28	oos	0.10696	0.105663	-1.21%	0.08925	-16.56%	0.1513	✗	1.60
2026-01-27	oos	0.10806	0.106667	-1.29%	0.09058	-16.18%	0.0982	✗	1.60
2026-01-26	oos	0.10647	0.105123	-1.27%	0.09318	-12.48%	0.0576	✗	1.55
2026-01-25	oos	0.10313	0.101996	-1.10%	0.08845	-14.23%	0.0391	✗	1.53
2026-01-24	oos	0.1083	0.107055	-1.15%	0.09286	-14.26%	0.0484	✗	1.53
2026-01-23	oos	0.10938	0.108095	-1.17%	0.09859	-9.86%	0.0028	✓	1.53
2026-01-22	oos	0.1081	0.106887	-1.12%	0.10097	-6.60%	0.0303	✗	1.53
2026-01-21	oos	0.1092	0.107714	-1.36%	0.10696	-2.05%	0.0035	✓	1.54
2026-01-20	oos	0.10557	0.104353	-1.15%	0.10806	+2.36%	0.0212	✗	1.51
2026-01-19	oos	0.11079	0.109434	-1.22%	0.10647	-3.90%	0.0460	✗	1.54
2026-01-18	oos	0.11172	0.110532	-1.06%	0.10313	-7.69%	0.0517	✗	1.54
2026-01-17	oos	0.11884	0.117606	-1.04%	0.1083	-8.87%	0.0177	✗	1.53
2026-01-16	oos	0.11859	0.117519	-0.90%	0.10938	-7.77%	0.0282	✗	1.53
2026-01-15	oos	0.11779	0.116874	-0.78%	0.1081	-8.23%	0.0237	✗	1.54
2026-01-14	oos	0.12339	0.122356	-0.84%	0.1092	-11.50%	0.0116	✗	1.54
2026-01-13	oos	0.12222	0.121013	-0.99%	0.10557	-13.62%	0.0172	✓	1.55
2026-01-12	oos	0.11494	0.113786	-1.00%	0.11079	-3.61%	0.0502	✓	1.57
2026-01-11	oos	0.11716	0.115996	-0.99%	0.11172	-4.64%	0.0846	✓	1.57
2026-01-10	oos	0.11767	0.116632	-0.88%	0.11884	+0.99%	0.0619	✓	1.58
2026-01-09	oos	0.12019	0.119146	-0.87%	0.11859	-1.33%	0.0917	✓	1.62
2026-01-08	oos	0.12042	0.119501	-0.76%	0.11779	-2.18%	0.0942	✓	1.63
2026-01-07	oos	0.12358	0.122662	-0.74%	0.12339	-0.15%	0.0986	✓	1.73
2026-01-06	oos	0.12892	0.1279	-0.79%	0.12222	-5.20%	0.0760	✓	1.74
2026-01-05	oos	0.13169	0.130384	-0.99%	0.11494	-12.72%	0.0760	✓	1.73
2026-01-04	oos	0.12536	0.124229	-0.90%	0.11716	-6.54%	0.0468	✓	1.73
2026-01-03	oos	0.12073	0.11982	-0.75%	0.11767	-2.53%	0.0138	✓	1.74
2026-01-02	oos	0.1216	0.120366	-1.01%	0.12019	-1.16%	0.0122	✓	1.74
2026-01-01	oos	0.11419	0.113256	-0.82%	0.12042	+5.46%	0.0177	✗	1.71
2025-12-31	oos	0.10617	0.105583	-0.55%	0.12358	+16.40%	0.0863	✗	1.68
2025-12-30	oos	0.11159	0.110889	-0.63%	0.12892	+15.53%	0.0530	✗	1.67
2025-12-29	oos	0.11273	0.111819	-0.81%	0.13169	+16.82%	0.0393	✗	1.66
2025-12-28	oos	0.11538	0.114424	-0.83%	0.12536	+8.65%	0.0242	✗	1.66
2025-12-27	oos	0.11516	0.114125	-0.90%	0.12073	+4.84%	0.0047	✓	1.65
2025-12-26	oos	0.11157	0.11057	-0.90%	0.1216	+8.99%	0.0460	✗	1.63
2025-12-25	oos	0.10884	0.108022	-0.75%	0.11419	+4.92%	0.0265	✗	1.63
2025-12-24	oos	0.10923	0.1085	-0.67%	0.10617	-2.80%	0.0196	✓	1.64
2025-12-23	oos	0.1104	0.109701	-0.63%	0.11159	+1.08%	0.0009	✓	1.64
2025-12-22	oos	0.11407	0.113217	-0.75%	0.11273	-1.17%	0.0225	✗	1.63
2025-12-21	oos	0.11193	0.111265	-0.59%	0.11538	+3.08%	0.0504	✗	1.63
2025-12-20	oos	0.11374	0.113	-0.65%	0.11516	+1.25%	0.0285	✗	1.64
2025-12-19	oos	0.1119	0.111147	-0.67%	0.11157	-0.29%	0.0187	✗	1.64
2025-12-18	oos	0.10483	0.104357	-0.45%	0.10884	+3.83%	0.0099	✗	1.62
2025-12-17	oos	0.10992	0.10935	-0.52%	0.10923	-0.63%	0.0272	✓	1.62
2025-12-16	oos	0.1146	0.113968	-0.55%	0.1104	-3.66%	0.0240	✓	1.62
2025-12-15	oos	0.11416	0.113452	-0.62%	0.11407	-0.08%	0.0344	✓	1.63
2025-12-14	oos	0.11821	0.117516	-0.59%	0.11193	-5.31%	0.0573	✓	1.63
2025-12-13	oos	0.12302	0.122336	-0.56%	0.11374	-7.54%	0.0377	✓	1.62
2025-12-12	oos	0.12397	0.12331	-0.53%	0.1119	-9.74%	0.0573	✓	1.63
2025-12-11	oos	0.12992	0.129192	-0.56%	0.10483	-19.31%	0.0796	✓	1.62
2025-12-10	oos	0.13476	0.133814	-0.70%	0.10992	-18.43%	0.0897	✓	1.64
2025-12-09	oos	0.13898	0.137792	-0.85%	0.1146	-17.54%	0.0967	✓	1.64
2025-12-08	oos	0.13455	0.1334	-0.85%	0.11416	-15.15%	0.0776	✓	1.63
2025-12-07	oos	0.13099	0.130054	-0.71%	0.11821	-9.76%	0.0548	✓	1.63
2025-12-06	oos	0.13403	0.133025	-0.75%	0.12302	-8.21%	0.0963	✓	1.65
2025-12-05	oos	0.13395	0.133078	-0.65%	0.12397	-7.45%	0.0880	✓	1.65
2025-12-04	oos	0.13939	0.138479	-0.65%	0.12992	-6.79%	0.0719	✓	1.66
2025-12-03	oos	0.14607	0.144897	-0.80%	0.13476	-7.74%	0.0473	✓	1.65
2025-12-02	oos	0.1447	0.143403	-0.90%	0.13898	-3.95%	0.0564	✓	1.67
2025-12-01	oos	0.13323	0.132296	-0.70%	0.13455	+0.99%	0.0665	✓	1.69
2025-11-30	oos	0.14133	0.140338	-0.70%	0.13099	-7.32%	0.0696	✓	1.71
2025-11-29	oos	0.14323	0.142222	-0.70%	0.13403	-6.42%	0.0299	✓	1.70
2025-11-28	oos	0.14539	0.144283	-0.76%	0.13395	-7.87%	0.0449	✓	1.70
2025-11-27	oos	0.14703	0.145862	-0.79%	0.13939	-5.20%	0.0598	✓	1.70
2025-11-26	oos	0.14787	0.146554	-0.89%	0.14607	-1.22%	0.0581	✓	1.69
2025-11-25	oos	0.1449	0.143609	-0.89%	0.1447	-0.14%	0.0692	✓	1.72
2025-11-24	oos	0.14845	0.146717	-1.17%	0.13323	-10.25%	0.0573	✓	1.72
2025-11-23	oos	0.14788	0.145707	-1.47%	0.14133	-4.43%	0.1006	✓	1.74
2025-11-22	oos	0.13168	0.130906	-0.59%	0.14323	+8.77%	0.0292	✓	1.70
2025-11-21	oos	0.1307	0.130049	-0.50%	0.14539	+11.24%	0.0012	✓	1.70
2025-11-20	oos	0.13637	0.135493	-0.64%	0.14703	+7.82%	0.0093	✓	1.69
2025-11-19	oos	0.14473	0.143403	-0.92%	0.14787	+2.17%	0.0500	✗	1.77
2025-11-18	oos	0.1506	0.14891	-1.12%	0.1449	-3.78%	0.0821	✗	1.76
2025-11-17	oos	0.1457	0.144334	-0.94%	0.14845	+1.89%	0.1032	✗	1.77
2025-11-16	oos	0.14655	0.145329	-0.83%	0.14788	+0.91%	0.1632	✗	1.79
2025-11-15	oos	0.15474	0.153291	-0.94%	0.13168	-14.90%	0.0629	✗	1.78
2025-11-14	oos	0.15283	0.151643	-0.78%	0.1307	-14.48%	0.0389	✗	1.78
2025-11-13	oos	0.1647	0.163216	-0.90%	0.13637	-17.20%	0.0756	✗	1.81
2025-11-12	oos	0.174	0.172229	-1.02%	0.14473	-16.82%	0.0163	✗	1.80
2025-11-11	oos	0.17766	0.175791	-1.05%	0.1506	-15.23%	0.0306	✗	1.80
2025-11-10	oos	0.19386	0.190432	-1.77%	0.1457	-24.84%	0.0224	✓	1.75
2025-11-09	oos	0.17656	0.174473	-1.18%	0.14655	-17.00%	0.0090	✓	1.73
2025-11-08	oos	0.17559	0.173412	-1.24%	0.15474	-11.87%	0.0061	✓	1.76
2025-11-07	oos	0.17696	0.174331	-1.49%	0.15283	-13.64%	0.0208	✗	1.72
2025-11-06	oos	0.16312	0.161603	-0.93%	0.1647	+0.97%	0.0471	✗	1.69
2025-11-05	oos	0.1752	0.173171	-1.16%	0.174	-0.68%	0.0409	✗	1.66
2025-11-04	oos	0.16856	0.166956	-0.95%	0.17766	+5.40%	0.0368	✗	1.68
2025-11-03	oos	0.17522	0.173778	-0.82%	0.19386	+10.64%	0.1189	✗	1.75
2025-11-02	oos	0.19448	0.192369	-1.09%	0.17656	-9.21%	0.0073	✓	1.71
2025-11-01	oos	0.19622	0.19402	-1.12%	0.17559	-10.51%	0.0258	✗	1.72
2025-10-31	oos	0.20092	0.198198	-1.35%	0.17696	-11.93%	0.0104	✓	1.75
2025-10-30	oos	0.19653	0.19384	-1.37%	0.16312	-17.00%	0.0552	✓	1.75
2025-10-29	oos	0.2011	0.197948	-1.57%	0.1752	-12.88%	0.0209	✓	1.76
2025-10-28	oos	0.19451	0.191043	-1.78%	0.16856	-13.34%	0.0686	✗	1.81
2025-10-27	oos	0.18484	0.182703	-1.16%	0.17522	-5.20%	0.0837	✗	1.84
2025-10-26	oos	0.17997	0.178025	-1.08%	0.19448	+8.06%	0.1541	✗	1.84
2025-10-25	oos	0.17259	0.170897	-0.98%	0.19622	+13.69%	0.1653	✗	1.86
2025-10-24	oos	0.17084	0.169035	-1.06%	0.20092	+17.61%	0.1980	✗	1.87
2025-10-23	oos	0.16515	0.163647	-0.91%	0.19653	+19.00%	0.2141	✗	1.87
2025-10-22	oos	0.1661	0.164459	-0.99%	0.2011	+21.07%	0.1586	✗	1.89
2025-10-21	oos	0.1705	0.168665	-1.08%	0.19451	+14.08%	0.0648	✗	1.89
2025-10-20	oos	0.17551	0.173319	-1.25%	0.18484	+5.32%	0.0039	✓	1.93
2025-10-19	oos	0.17053	0.168669	-1.09%	0.17997	+5.54%	0.0358	✓	1.91
2025-10-18	oos	0.16598	0.164534	-0.87%	0.17259	+3.98%	0.0300	✓	1.91
2025-10-17	oos	0.16262	0.161431	-0.73%	0.17084	+5.05%	0.0235	✓	1.90
2025-10-16	oos	0.17082	0.169448	-0.80%	0.16515	-3.32%	0.0590	✓	1.90
2025-10-15	oos	0.179	0.177556	-0.81%	0.1661	-7.21%	0.0104	✓	1.91
2025-10-14	oos	0.19031	0.188335	-1.04%	0.1705	-10.41%	0.0176	✓	1.93
2025-10-13	oos	0.19446	0.1923	-1.11%	0.17551	-9.74%	0.0106	✓	1.94
2025-10-12	oos	0.18541	0.183698	-0.92%	0.17053	-8.03%	0.0355	✗	1.92
2025-10-11	oos	0.16827	0.167451	-0.49%	0.16598	-1.36%	0.0525	✗	1.88
2025-10-10	oos	0.17768	0.176724	-0.54%	0.16262	-8.48%	0.0336	✗	1.96
2025-10-09	oos	0.21307	0.21127	-0.84%	0.17082	-19.83%	0.0037	✓	1.84
2025-10-08	oos	0.21974	0.217848	-0.86%	0.179	-18.54%	0.0003	✓	1.83
2025-10-07	oos	0.21828	0.216286	-0.91%	0.19031	-12.81%	0.0068	✓	1.90
2025-10-06	oos	0.23022	0.227587	-1.14%	0.19446	-15.53%	0.0068	✓	1.91
2025-10-05	oos	0.21642	0.214527	-0.87%	0.18541	-14.33%	0.0115	✓	1.90
2025-10-04	oos	0.21715	0.2153	-0.85%	0.16827	-22.51%	0.0561	✓	1.90
2025-10-03	oos	0.22557	0.223375	-0.97%	0.17768	-21.23%	0.0779	✓	1.90
2025-10-02	oos	0.22759	0.225043	-1.12%	0.21307	-6.38%	0.0720	✓	1.92
2025-10-01	oos	0.22445	0.221669	-1.24%	0.21974	-2.10%	0.0841	✓	1.95
2025-09-30	oos	0.21499	0.212406	-1.20%	0.21828	+1.53%	0.0983	✓	2.02
2025-09-29	oos	0.21688	0.214087	-1.29%	0.23022	+6.15%	0.1031	✓	2.03
2025-09-28	oos	0.21613	0.213197	-1.36%	0.21642	+0.13%	0.1838	✓	2.07
2025-09-27	oos	0.21279	0.209991	-1.32%	0.21715	+2.05%	0.1983	✓	2.10
2025-09-26	oos	0.21453	0.211507	-1.41%	0.22557	+5.15%	0.1651	✓	2.11
2025-09-25	oos	0.20754	0.204875	-1.28%	0.22759	+9.66%	0.1072	✓	2.10
2025-09-24	oos	0.22124	0.21826	-1.35%	0.22445	+1.45%	0.0697	✓	2.13
2025-09-23	oos	0.21907	0.216142	-1.34%	0.21499	-1.86%	0.0444	✓	2.15
2025-09-22	oos	0.22242	0.219232	-1.43%	0.21688	-2.49%	0.0412	✓	2.12
2025-09-21	oos	0.23427	0.231119	-1.35%	0.21613	-7.74%	0.0099	✓	2.11
2025-09-20	oos	0.24201	0.238602	-1.41%	0.21279	-12.07%	0.0024	✓	2.17
2025-09-19	oos	0.23899	0.235801	-1.33%	0.21453	-10.23%	0.0212	✗	2.18
2025-09-18	oos	0.24624	0.242763	-1.41%	0.20754	-15.72%	0.0004	✓	2.19

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.