HBAR

Hedera · Hedera · beta_5y

token id: #35
symbol: HBAR
variant: –
chain: Hedera
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2022-10-13
predictions: 4,371

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

44.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1150

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0019

actual -0.0081

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.084215	0.080751	-4.11%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-21	oos	0.08386	0.081114	-3.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-20	oos	0.08427	0.08111	-3.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-10-19	oos	0.082935	0.07958	-4.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-18	oos	0.085345	0.082088	-3.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-17	oos	0.085225	0.081718	-4.11%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-16	oos	0.083485	0.08051	-3.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-15	oos	0.085125	0.082481	-3.11%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-14	oos	0.0844	0.081435	-3.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-13	oos	0.08691	0.084084	-3.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-12	oos	0.08678	0.083302	-4.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-11	oos	0.094055	0.090522	-3.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-10	oos	0.09238	0.088785	-3.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-09	oos	0.092205	0.088977	-3.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-08	oos	0.090265	0.087196	-3.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-07	oos	0.09284	0.090056	-3.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.87
2026-10-06	oos	0.09966	0.096773	-2.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-05	oos	0.10171	0.098766	-2.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-04	oos	0.10403	0.101114	-2.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-03	oos	0.10197	0.09914	-2.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-02	oos	0.10239	0.09997	-2.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-01	oos	0.102615	0.100451	-2.11%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-09-30	oos	0.10472	0.102563	-2.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-09-29	oos	0.102385	0.100639	-1.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-09-28	oos	0.122	0.117022	-4.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-09-27	oos	0.09585	0.09512	-0.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-09-26	oos	0.093485	0.093057	-0.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-09-25	oos	0.095675	0.095503	-0.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-09-24	oos	0.09309	0.093606	+0.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-09-23	oos	0.09049	0.091676	+1.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-09-22	oos	0.099085	0.100005	+0.93%	0.084215	-15.01%	0.1506	✗	0.92
2026-09-21	oos	0.093385	0.095192	+1.93%	0.08386	-10.20%	0.0987	✗	0.93
2026-09-20	oos	0.086515	0.087683	+1.35%	0.08427	-2.59%	0.0591	✗	0.89
2026-09-19	oos	0.08142	0.083034	+1.98%	0.082935	+1.86%	0.0079	✓	0.90
2026-09-18	oos	0.07921	0.080985	+2.24%	0.085345	+7.75%	0.0398	✓	0.91
2026-09-17	oos	0.07454	0.074813	+0.37%	0.085225	+14.33%	0.0736	✓	0.89
2026-09-16	oos	0.07388	0.074376	+0.67%	0.083485	+13.00%	0.0552	✓	0.89
2026-09-15	oos	0.074235	0.074606	+0.50%	0.085125	+14.67%	0.0589	✓	0.88
2026-09-14	oos	0.077725	0.078572	+1.09%	0.0844	+8.59%	0.0355	✓	0.85
2026-09-13	oos	0.075075	0.075537	+0.62%	0.08691	+15.76%	0.0739	✓	0.84
2026-09-12	oos	0.074695	0.075473	+1.04%	0.08678	+16.18%	0.0918	✓	0.85
2026-09-11	oos	0.0744	0.075686	+1.73%	0.094055	+26.42%	0.1481	✓	0.86
2026-09-10	oos	0.07476	0.075804	+1.40%	0.09238	+23.57%	0.1289	✓	0.86
2026-09-09	oos	0.076535	0.078704	+2.83%	0.092205	+20.47%	0.1127	✓	0.86
2026-09-08	oos	0.07905	0.081753	+3.42%	0.090265	+14.19%	0.0646	✓	0.85
2026-09-07	oos	0.081845	0.085118	+4.00%	0.09284	+13.43%	0.0433	✓	0.84
2026-09-06	oos	0.08161	0.085468	+4.73%	0.09966	+22.12%	0.0999	✓	0.86
2026-09-05	oos	0.08021	0.084203	+4.98%	0.10171	+26.80%	0.1278	✓	0.85
2026-09-04	oos	0.0784	0.082683	+5.46%	0.10403	+32.69%	0.1596	✓	0.85
2026-09-03	oos	0.07927	0.084551	+6.66%	0.10197	+28.64%	0.1514	✓	0.86
2026-09-02	oos	0.07456	0.077403	+3.81%	0.10239	+37.33%	0.2060	✓	0.83
2026-09-01	oos	0.07405	0.077393	+4.51%	0.102615	+38.58%	0.2057	✓	0.83
2026-08-31	oos	0.07363	0.0779	+5.80%	0.10472	+42.22%	0.2452	✓	0.82
2026-08-30	oos	0.07347	0.077258	+5.16%	0.102385	+39.36%	0.2204	✓	0.83
2026-08-29	oos	0.07552	0.079699	+5.53%	0.122	+61.55%	0.3718	✓	0.83
2026-08-28	oos	0.0761	0.080662	+5.99%	0.09585	+25.95%	0.1044	✓	0.83
2026-08-27	oos	0.07877	0.084703	+7.53%	0.093485	+18.68%	0.0572	✓	0.82
2026-08-26	oos	0.07861	0.083829	+6.64%	0.095675	+21.71%	0.0812	✓	0.82
2026-08-25	oos	0.07776	0.082975	+6.71%	0.09309	+19.71%	0.0575	✓	0.80
2026-08-24	oos	0.0793	0.084494	+6.55%	0.09049	+14.11%	0.0161	✓	0.79
2026-08-23	oos	0.07982	0.08416	+5.44%	0.099085	+24.14%	0.0804	✓	0.80
2026-08-22	oos	0.07742	0.081908	+5.80%	0.093385	+20.62%	0.0383	✓	0.80
2026-08-21	oos	0.0798	0.084892	+6.38%	0.086515	+8.41%	0.0091	✓	0.79
2026-08-20	oos	0.07345	0.075685	+3.04%	0.08142	+10.85%	0.0053	✓	0.73
2026-08-19	oos	0.07058	0.071113	+0.76%	0.07921	+12.23%	0.0048	✓	0.73
2026-08-18	oos	0.06734	0.066276	-1.58%	0.07454	+10.69%	0.0043	✓	0.73
2026-08-17	oos	0.06593	0.064929	-1.52%	0.07388	+12.06%	0.0077	✓	0.73
2026-08-16	oos	0.0646	0.063184	-2.19%	0.074235	+14.91%	0.0269	✗	0.73
2026-08-15	oos	0.06543	0.063906	-2.33%	0.077725	+18.79%	0.0394	✗	0.73
2026-08-14	oos	0.06584	0.064341	-2.28%	0.075075	+14.03%	0.0100	✓	0.73
2026-08-13	oos	0.06547	0.063836	-2.50%	0.074695	+14.09%	0.0127	✓	0.73
2026-08-12	oos	0.066	0.064267	-2.63%	0.0744	+12.73%	0.0019	✓	0.73
2026-08-11	oos	0.06638	0.064742	-2.47%	0.07476	+12.62%	0.0067	✓	0.74
2026-08-10	oos	0.0676	0.065815	-2.64%	0.076535	+13.22%	0.0025	✓	0.73
2026-08-09	oos	0.06858	0.066885	-2.47%	0.07905	+15.27%	0.0264	✗	0.74
2026-08-08	oos	0.06894	0.067292	-2.39%	0.081845	+18.72%	0.0497	✗	0.74
2026-08-07	oos	0.06804	0.066561	-2.17%	0.08161	+19.94%	0.0406	✗	0.76
2026-08-06	oos	0.06817	0.06661	-2.29%	0.08021	+17.66%	0.0194	✓	0.77
2026-08-05	oos	0.06901	0.067476	-2.22%	0.0784	+13.61%	0.0117	✓	0.77
2026-08-04	oos	0.06935	0.067566	-2.57%	0.07927	+14.30%	0.0247	✓	0.77
2026-08-03	oos	0.07046	0.068292	-3.08%	0.07456	+5.82%	0.0672	✓	0.79
2026-08-02	oos	0.07002	0.067689	-3.33%	0.07405	+5.76%	0.0676	✓	0.80
2026-08-01	oos	0.069	0.066542	-3.56%	0.07363	+6.71%	0.0750	✓	0.79
2026-07-31	oos	0.06876	0.066273	-3.62%	0.07347	+6.85%	0.0633	✓	0.78
2026-07-30	oos	0.06834	0.066305	-2.98%	0.07552	+10.51%	0.0240	✓	0.81
2026-07-29	oos	0.06781	0.065948	-2.75%	0.0761	+12.23%	0.0158	✓	0.81
2026-07-28	oos	0.06835	0.066593	-2.57%	0.07877	+15.25%	0.0153	✓	0.80
2026-07-27	oos	0.06807	0.066468	-2.35%	0.07861	+15.48%	0.0045	✓	0.80
2026-07-26	oos	0.0702	0.068999	-1.71%	0.07776	+10.77%	0.0258	✓	0.79
2026-07-25	oos	0.07093	0.069843	-1.53%	0.0793	+11.80%	0.0398	✓	0.81
2026-07-24	oos	0.07076	0.070133	-0.89%	0.07982	+12.80%	0.0273	✓	0.81
2026-07-23	oos	0.07107	0.071133	+0.09%	0.07742	+8.93%	0.0535	✗	0.82
2026-07-22	oos	0.07286	0.073604	+1.02%	0.0798	+9.53%	0.0564	✗	0.81
2026-07-21	oos	0.06953	0.070469	+1.35%	0.07345	+5.64%	0.0346	✗	0.82
2026-07-20	oos	0.06671	0.067277	+0.85%	0.07058	+5.80%	0.0002	✓	0.79
2026-07-19	oos	0.06652	0.067082	+0.84%	0.06734	+1.23%	0.0038	✓	0.79
2026-07-18	oos	0.06708	0.067808	+1.08%	0.06593	-1.71%	0.0242	✗	0.79
2026-07-17	oos	0.06588	0.066498	+0.94%	0.0646	-1.94%	0.0158	✗	0.79
2026-07-16	oos	0.06654	0.067166	+0.94%	0.06543	-1.67%	0.0168	✗	0.79
2026-07-15	oos	0.06793	0.068944	+1.49%	0.06584	-3.08%	0.0250	✗	0.77
2026-07-14	oos	0.0673	0.068446	+1.70%	0.06547	-2.72%	0.0254	✗	0.78
2026-07-13	oos	0.06654	0.06708	+0.81%	0.066	-0.81%	0.0312	✗	0.82
2026-07-12	oos	0.067575	0.068516	+1.39%	0.06638	-1.77%	0.0290	✗	0.82
2026-07-11	oos	0.06844	0.069458	+1.49%	0.0676	-1.23%	0.0289	✗	0.81
2026-07-10	oos	0.07032	0.071211	+1.27%	0.06858	-2.47%	0.0467	✗	0.81
2026-07-09	oos	0.0699	0.070609	+1.01%	0.06894	-1.37%	0.0460	✗	0.82
2026-07-08	oos	0.06931	0.06986	+0.79%	0.06804	-1.83%	0.0603	✗	0.81
2026-07-07	oos	0.07088	0.071656	+1.09%	0.06817	-3.82%	0.0618	✗	0.81
2026-07-06	oos	0.07332	0.074282	+1.31%	0.06901	-5.88%	0.0812	✗	0.81
2026-07-05	oos	0.07629	0.077069	+1.02%	0.06935	-9.10%	0.1117	✗	0.84
2026-07-04	oos	0.0772	0.078018	+1.06%	0.07046	-8.73%	0.1069	✗	0.84
2026-07-03	oos	0.07332	0.074051	+1.00%	0.07002	-4.50%	0.0687	✗	0.82
2026-07-02	oos	0.07084	0.07135	+0.72%	0.069	-2.60%	0.0501	✗	0.80
2026-07-01	oos	0.07187	0.072017	+0.20%	0.06876	-4.33%	0.0850	✗	0.83
2026-06-30	oos	0.06945	0.069335	-0.17%	0.06834	-1.60%	0.0963	✓	0.81
2026-06-29	oos	0.07158	0.071564	-0.02%	0.06781	-5.27%	0.1025	✓	0.81
2026-06-28	oos	0.07092	0.070816	-0.15%	0.06835	-3.62%	0.0921	✓	0.80
2026-06-27	oos	0.07182	0.07185	+0.04%	0.06807	-5.22%	0.1022	✗	0.79
2026-06-26	oos	0.07083	0.070923	+0.13%	0.0702	-0.89%	0.0778	✗	0.79
2026-06-25	oos	0.07336	0.073271	-0.12%	0.07093	-3.31%	0.0918	✓	0.80
2026-06-24	oos	0.07553	0.075356	-0.23%	0.07076	-6.32%	0.1019	✓	0.79
2026-06-23	oos	0.07748	0.07721	-0.35%	0.07107	-8.27%	0.1128	✓	0.79
2026-06-22	oos	0.07865	0.078327	-0.41%	0.07286	-7.36%	0.0984	✓	0.79
2026-06-21	oos	0.078	0.077606	-0.51%	0.06953	-10.86%	0.1499	✓	0.79
2026-06-20	oos	0.08062	0.080159	-0.57%	0.06671	-17.25%	0.1958	✓	0.80
2026-06-19	oos	0.08045	0.080009	-0.55%	0.06652	-17.32%	0.1998	✓	0.80
2026-06-18	oos	0.08019	0.079793	-0.50%	0.06708	-16.35%	0.1977	✓	0.80
2026-06-17	oos	0.08123	0.080828	-0.49%	0.06588	-18.90%	0.1975	✓	0.81
2026-06-16	oos	0.08058	0.080184	-0.49%	0.06654	-17.42%	0.1629	✓	0.83
2026-06-15	oos	0.08254	0.082065	-0.58%	0.06793	-17.70%	0.1695	✓	0.82
2026-06-14	oos	0.08116	0.080474	-0.85%	0.0673	-17.08%	0.1698	✓	0.82
2026-06-13	oos	0.07828	0.077658	-0.79%	0.06654	-15.00%	0.1264	✓	0.82
2026-06-12	oos	0.07784	0.077205	-0.82%	0.067575	-13.19%	0.1359	✓	0.83
2026-06-11	oos	0.07916	0.078323	-1.06%	0.06844	-13.54%	0.1376	✓	0.83
2026-06-10	oos	0.07762	0.076757	-1.11%	0.07032	-9.40%	0.1233	✓	0.84
2026-06-09	oos	0.07947	0.078351	-1.41%	0.0699	-12.04%	0.1341	✓	0.84
2026-06-08	oos	0.0813	0.079925	-1.69%	0.06931	-14.75%	0.1315	✓	0.83
2026-06-07	oos	0.08194	0.080431	-1.84%	0.07088	-13.50%	0.1267	✓	0.83
2026-06-06	oos	0.07967	0.078386	-1.61%	0.07332	-7.97%	0.1075	✓	0.81
2026-06-05	oos	0.08035	0.078858	-1.86%	0.07629	-5.05%	0.0661	✓	0.81
2026-06-04	oos	0.08372	0.081621	-2.51%	0.0772	-7.79%	0.0466	✓	0.80
2026-06-03	oos	0.08512	0.082727	-2.81%	0.07332	-13.86%	0.1018	✓	0.79
2026-06-02	oos	0.0868	0.084048	-3.17%	0.07084	-18.39%	0.1063	✓	0.80
2026-06-01	oos	0.09223	0.088973	-3.53%	0.07187	-22.08%	0.0785	✓	0.78
2026-05-31	oos	0.09647	0.092935	-3.66%	0.06945	-28.01%	0.1171	✓	0.76
2026-05-30	oos	0.09499	0.091454	-3.72%	0.07158	-24.64%	0.0950	✓	0.74
2026-05-29	oos	0.09908	0.094518	-4.60%	0.07092	-28.42%	0.1297	✓	0.75
2026-05-28	oos	0.09089	0.087022	-4.26%	0.07182	-20.98%	0.0383	✓	0.75
2026-05-27	oos	0.08554	0.082336	-3.75%	0.07083	-17.20%	0.0155	✓	0.78
2026-05-26	oos	0.08645	0.083636	-3.25%	0.07336	-15.14%	0.0546	✗	0.78
2026-05-25	oos	0.08805	0.085482	-2.92%	0.07553	-14.22%	0.0684	✗	0.81
2026-05-24	oos	0.08834	0.085805	-2.87%	0.07748	-12.29%	0.0649	✗	0.81
2026-05-23	oos	0.08959	0.086989	-2.90%	0.07865	-12.21%	0.0452	✗	0.81
2026-05-22	oos	0.08782	0.084957	-3.26%	0.078	-11.18%	0.0564	✗	0.80
2026-05-21	oos	0.08984	0.087377	-2.74%	0.08062	-10.26%	0.0712	✗	0.80
2026-05-20	oos	0.08876	0.086318	-2.75%	0.08045	-9.36%	0.0908	✗	0.81
2026-05-19	oos	0.08848	0.086105	-2.68%	0.08019	-9.37%	0.0897	✗	0.81
2026-05-18	oos	0.09016	0.087793	-2.63%	0.08123	-9.90%	0.0659	✗	0.81
2026-05-17	oos	0.09007	0.087879	-2.43%	0.08058	-10.54%	0.0455	✗	0.80
2026-05-16	oos	0.09122	0.089389	-2.01%	0.08254	-9.52%	0.0515	✗	0.80
2026-05-15	oos	0.09283	0.091481	-1.45%	0.08116	-12.57%	0.0293	✗	0.81
2026-05-14	oos	0.09498	0.094487	-0.52%	0.07828	-17.58%	0.0004	✓	0.82
2026-05-13	oos	0.09338	0.092136	-1.33%	0.07784	-16.64%	0.0179	✗	0.84
2026-05-12	oos	0.09385	0.09344	-0.44%	0.07916	-15.65%	0.0293	✗	0.83
2026-05-11	oos	0.09691	0.097201	+0.30%	0.07762	-19.91%	0.0081	✓	0.82
2026-05-10	oos	0.09753	0.098351	+0.84%	0.07947	-18.52%	0.0212	✓	0.82
2026-05-09	oos	0.09287	0.093002	+0.14%	0.0813	-12.46%	0.0627	✓	0.80
2026-05-08	oos	0.09267	0.092528	-0.15%	0.08194	-11.58%	0.0682	✗	0.80
2026-05-07	oos	0.09009	0.090295	+0.23%	0.07967	-11.57%	0.0940	✓	0.80
2026-05-06	oos	0.09137	0.092595	+1.34%	0.08035	-12.06%	0.1267	✓	0.93
2026-05-05	oos	0.09029	0.091364	+1.19%	0.08372	-7.28%	0.1305	✓	0.92
2026-05-04	oos	0.08774	0.088327	+0.67%	0.08512	-2.99%	0.1630	✓	0.91
2026-05-03	oos	0.08771	0.087293	-0.48%	0.0868	-1.04%	0.1430	✗	0.91
2026-05-02	oos	0.08857	0.088242	-0.37%	0.09223	+4.13%	0.1340	✗	0.91
2026-05-01	oos	0.08818	0.087891	-0.33%	0.09647	+9.40%	0.1497	✗	0.92
2026-04-30	oos	0.08731	0.086126	-1.36%	0.09499	+8.80%	0.1292	✗	0.92
2026-04-29	oos	0.08864	0.08729	-1.52%	0.09908	+11.78%	0.1563	✗	0.93
2026-04-28	oos	0.08891	0.087874	-1.17%	0.09089	+2.23%	0.0686	✗	0.93
2026-04-27	oos	0.08971	0.0896	-0.12%	0.08554	-4.65%	0.0089	✓	0.93
2026-04-26	oos	0.09231	0.092912	+0.65%	0.08645	-6.35%	0.0378	✗	0.93
2026-04-25	oos	0.09126	0.091358	+0.11%	0.08805	-3.52%	0.0320	✗	0.93
2026-04-24	oos	0.091	0.091258	+0.28%	0.08834	-2.92%	0.0266	✗	0.94
2026-04-23	oos	0.09082	0.091666	+0.93%	0.08959	-1.35%	0.0031	✓	0.94
2026-04-22	oos	0.09086	0.092036	+1.29%	0.08782	-3.35%	0.0130	✗	0.94
2026-04-21	oos	0.09038	0.090461	+0.09%	0.08984	-0.60%	0.0216	✗	0.95
2026-04-20	oos	0.08976	0.089687	-0.08%	0.08876	-1.11%	0.0303	✓	0.95
2026-04-19	oos	0.08727	0.086285	-1.13%	0.08848	+1.39%	0.0120	✓	0.95
2026-04-18	oos	0.08882	0.088902	+0.09%	0.09016	+1.51%	0.0010	✗	0.95
2026-04-17	oos	0.09078	0.091896	+1.23%	0.09007	-0.78%	0.0239	✗	0.96
2026-04-16	oos	0.09076	0.090823	+0.07%	0.09122	+0.51%	0.0327	✗	0.97
2026-04-15	oos	0.08713	0.086925	-0.24%	0.09283	+6.54%	0.0129	✗	0.96
2026-04-14	oos	0.08511	0.084564	-0.64%	0.09498	+11.60%	0.0304	✗	0.96
2026-04-13	oos	0.08783	0.087324	-0.58%	0.09338	+6.32%	0.0064	✗	0.96
2026-04-12	oos	0.08519	0.083137	-2.41%	0.09385	+10.17%	0.0055	✓	0.98
2026-04-11	oos	0.08836	0.087168	-1.35%	0.09691	+9.68%	0.0037	✓	0.98
2026-04-10	oos	0.08955	0.088615	-1.04%	0.09753	+8.91%	0.0206	✓	0.98
2026-04-09	oos	0.08935	0.088105	-1.39%	0.09287	+3.94%	0.0617	✓	0.98
2026-04-08	oos	0.08901	0.087666	-1.51%	0.09267	+4.11%	0.0630	✓	0.98
2026-04-07	oos	0.09183	0.090507	-1.44%	0.09009	-1.89%	0.1094	✓	0.98
2026-04-06	oos	0.08742	0.085128	-2.62%	0.09137	+4.52%	0.0941	✓	0.98
2026-04-05	oos	0.08802	0.085567	-2.79%	0.09029	+2.58%	0.1025	✓	0.98
2026-04-04	oos	0.08748	0.084863	-2.99%	0.08774	+0.30%	0.1371	✓	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.08772	0.085275	-2.79%	0.08771	-0.01%	0.1318	✓	1.00
2026-04-02	oos	0.088	0.085642	-2.68%	0.08857	+0.65%	0.1286	✓	1.00
2026-04-01	oos	0.08845	0.0866	-2.09%	0.08818	-0.31%	0.1220	✓	1.01
2026-03-31	oos	0.08758	0.086185	-1.59%	0.08731	-0.31%	0.1016	✓	1.02
2026-03-30	oos	0.08721	0.085776	-1.64%	0.08864	+1.64%	0.0979	✓	1.03
2026-03-29	oos	0.088	0.086787	-1.38%	0.08891	+1.03%	0.1261	✓	1.03
2026-03-28	oos	0.08978	0.089105	-0.75%	0.08971	-0.08%	0.1520	✓	1.03
2026-03-27	oos	0.08907	0.088874	-0.22%	0.09231	+3.64%	0.1375	✓	1.03
2026-03-26	oos	0.09107	0.091938	+0.95%	0.09126	+0.21%	0.1335	✗	1.04
2026-03-25	oos	0.09467	0.096664	+2.11%	0.091	-3.88%	0.1464	✗	1.04
2026-03-24	oos	0.09416	0.096316	+2.29%	0.09082	-3.55%	0.1671	✗	1.04
2026-03-23	oos	0.09318	0.095781	+2.79%	0.09086	-2.49%	0.1551	✗	1.04
2026-03-22	oos	0.08921	0.090952	+1.95%	0.09038	+1.31%	0.1295	✗	1.04
2026-03-21	oos	0.09155	0.093576	+2.21%	0.08976	-1.96%	0.1418	✗	1.04
2026-03-20	oos	0.09318	0.095862	+2.88%	0.08727	-6.34%	0.1419	✗	1.04
2026-03-19	oos	0.09288	0.095495	+2.82%	0.08882	-4.37%	0.1559	✗	1.04
2026-03-18	oos	0.09579	0.098725	+3.06%	0.09078	-5.23%	0.1671	✗	1.05
2026-03-17	oos	0.09876	0.102365	+3.65%	0.09076	-8.10%	0.1378	✗	1.06
2026-03-16	oos	0.10029	0.104079	+3.78%	0.08713	-13.12%	0.1770	✗	1.07
2026-03-15	oos	0.09632	0.099626	+3.43%	0.08511	-11.64%	0.1769	✗	1.06
2026-03-14	oos	0.0936	0.09668	+3.29%	0.08783	-6.16%	0.1428	✗	1.06
2026-03-13	oos	0.09514	0.09818	+3.20%	0.08519	-10.46%	0.1391	✗	1.07
2026-03-12	oos	0.09484	0.097582	+2.89%	0.08836	-6.83%	0.1372	✗	1.07
2026-03-11	oos	0.09425	0.097018	+2.94%	0.08955	-4.99%	0.1218	✗	1.07
2026-03-10	oos	0.09519	0.097905	+2.85%	0.08935	-6.14%	0.1191	✗	1.07
2026-03-09	oos	0.09436	0.096795	+2.58%	0.08901	-5.67%	0.1247	✗	1.07
2026-03-08	oos	0.09392	0.095815	+2.02%	0.09183	-2.23%	0.1367	✗	1.09
2026-03-07	oos	0.09582	0.09783	+2.10%	0.08742	-8.77%	0.1382	✗	1.09
2026-03-06	oos	0.09758	0.099839	+2.31%	0.08802	-9.80%	0.1402	✗	1.09
2026-03-05	oos	0.09959	0.102134	+2.55%	0.08748	-12.16%	0.0977	✗	1.10
2026-03-04	oos	0.10116	0.103891	+2.70%	0.08772	-13.29%	0.0786	✗	1.10
2026-03-03	oos	0.09697	0.099293	+2.40%	0.088	-9.25%	0.0966	✗	1.13
2026-03-02	oos	0.09804	0.100345	+2.35%	0.08845	-9.78%	0.1144	✗	1.12
2026-03-01	oos	0.09696	0.098983	+2.09%	0.08758	-9.67%	0.1651	✗	1.17
2026-02-28	oos	0.1002	0.102106	+1.90%	0.08721	-12.96%	0.1537	✗	1.17
2026-02-27	oos	0.10041	0.102029	+1.61%	0.088	-12.36%	0.1496	✗	1.17
2026-02-26	oos	0.10265	0.104166	+1.48%	0.08978	-12.54%	0.1281	✗	1.17
2026-02-25	oos	0.10183	0.103366	+1.51%	0.08907	-12.53%	0.1202	✗	1.17
2026-02-24	oos	0.09503	0.096545	+1.59%	0.09107	-4.17%	0.1413	✗	1.17
2026-02-23	oos	0.09492	0.096473	+1.64%	0.09467	-0.26%	0.1330	✗	1.16
2026-02-22	oos	0.09819	0.099525	+1.36%	0.09416	-4.10%	0.1050	✗	1.17
2026-02-21	oos	0.09977	0.101031	+1.26%	0.09318	-6.61%	0.1301	✗	1.17
2026-02-20	oos	0.09965	0.100964	+1.32%	0.08921	-10.48%	0.1213	✗	1.20
2026-02-19	oos	0.09759	0.098923	+1.37%	0.09155	-6.19%	0.1117	✗	1.20
2026-02-18	oos	0.09907	0.100243	+1.18%	0.09318	-5.95%	0.1451	✗	1.21
2026-02-17	oos	0.10203	0.10292	+0.87%	0.09288	-8.97%	0.1456	✗	1.20
2026-02-16	oos	0.10164	0.10253	+0.88%	0.09579	-5.76%	0.1093	✗	1.21
2026-02-15	oos	0.10028	0.101238	+0.96%	0.09876	-1.52%	0.1124	✗	1.22
2026-02-14	oos	0.10384	0.104356	+0.50%	0.10029	-3.42%	0.1249	✗	1.21
2026-02-13	oos	0.09878	0.099452	+0.68%	0.09632	-2.49%	0.1004	✗	1.20
2026-02-12	oos	0.0931	0.094132	+1.11%	0.0936	+0.54%	0.0932	✗	1.20
2026-02-11	oos	0.08903	0.090206	+1.32%	0.09514	+6.86%	0.0155	✗	1.21
2026-02-10	oos	0.09072	0.091593	+0.96%	0.09484	+4.54%	0.0046	✓	1.22
2026-02-09	oos	0.09207	0.092746	+0.73%	0.09425	+2.37%	0.0142	✓	1.22
2026-02-08	oos	0.09122	0.091882	+0.73%	0.09519	+4.35%	0.0410	✓	1.24
2026-02-07	oos	0.08995	0.090637	+0.76%	0.09436	+4.90%	0.0551	✓	1.26
2026-02-06	oos	0.09122	0.091609	+0.43%	0.09392	+2.96%	0.1084	✓	1.25
2026-02-05	oos	0.07803	0.079646	+2.07%	0.09582	+22.80%	0.1007	✓	1.22
2026-02-04	oos	0.08925	0.089164	-0.10%	0.09758	+9.33%	0.1899	✗	1.44
2026-02-03	oos	0.09058	0.090067	-0.57%	0.09959	+9.95%	0.1973	✗	1.49
2026-02-02	oos	0.09318	0.092088	-1.17%	0.10116	+8.56%	0.2140	✗	1.52
2026-02-01	oos	0.08845	0.087666	-0.89%	0.09697	+9.63%	0.2737	✗	1.46
2026-01-31	oos	0.09286	0.091475	-1.49%	0.09804	+5.58%	0.2687	✗	1.50
2026-01-30	oos	0.09859	0.096466	-2.15%	0.09696	-1.65%	0.3896	✗	1.56
2026-01-29	oos	0.10097	0.098475	-2.47%	0.1002	-0.76%	0.3797	✗	1.56
2026-01-28	oos	0.10696	0.104608	-2.20%	0.10041	-6.12%	0.4438	✗	1.60
2026-01-27	oos	0.10806	0.10585	-2.05%	0.10265	-5.01%	0.4137	✗	1.60
2026-01-26	oos	0.10647	0.104042	-2.28%	0.10183	-4.36%	0.3828	✗	1.55
2026-01-25	oos	0.10313	0.100632	-2.42%	0.09503	-7.85%	0.4043	✗	1.53
2026-01-24	oos	0.1083	0.105649	-2.45%	0.09492	-12.35%	0.3842	✗	1.53
2026-01-23	oos	0.10938	0.106778	-2.38%	0.09819	-10.23%	0.3457	✗	1.53
2026-01-22	oos	0.1081	0.105164	-2.72%	0.09977	-7.71%	0.3690	✗	1.53
2026-01-21	oos	0.1092	0.105773	-3.14%	0.09965	-8.75%	0.3617	✗	1.54
2026-01-20	oos	0.10557	0.101829	-3.54%	0.09759	-7.56%	0.3744	✗	1.51
2026-01-19	oos	0.11079	0.107328	-3.12%	0.09907	-10.58%	0.4310	✗	1.54
2026-01-18	oos	0.11172	0.108416	-2.96%	0.10203	-8.67%	0.4444	✗	1.54
2026-01-17	oos	0.11884	0.116367	-2.08%	0.10164	-14.47%	0.3587	✗	1.53
2026-01-16	oos	0.11859	0.116631	-1.65%	0.10028	-15.44%	0.3521	✗	1.53
2026-01-15	oos	0.11779	0.116248	-1.31%	0.10384	-11.84%	0.3704	✗	1.54
2026-01-14	oos	0.12339	0.123138	-0.20%	0.09878	-19.94%	0.3066	✗	1.54
2026-01-13	oos	0.12222	0.121449	-0.63%	0.0931	-23.83%	0.2997	✗	1.55
2026-01-12	oos	0.11494	0.113081	-1.62%	0.08903	-22.54%	0.2449	✗	1.57
2026-01-11	oos	0.11716	0.11562	-1.31%	0.09072	-22.57%	0.1946	✗	1.57
2026-01-10	oos	0.11767	0.116586	-0.92%	0.09207	-21.76%	0.1652	✗	1.58
2026-01-09	oos	0.12019	0.120048	-0.12%	0.09122	-24.10%	0.1357	✗	1.62
2026-01-08	oos	0.12042	0.120544	+0.10%	0.08995	-25.30%	0.1537	✓	1.63
2026-01-07	oos	0.12358	0.123958	+0.31%	0.09122	-26.19%	0.1404	✓	1.73
2026-01-06	oos	0.12892	0.130045	+0.87%	0.07803	-39.47%	0.1851	✓	1.74
2026-01-05	oos	0.13169	0.132759	+0.81%	0.08925	-32.23%	0.0377	✓	1.73
2026-01-04	oos	0.12536	0.126237	+0.70%	0.09058	-27.74%	0.0035	✓	1.73
2026-01-03	oos	0.12073	0.121557	+0.68%	0.09318	-22.82%	0.0207	✗	1.74
2026-01-02	oos	0.1216	0.122605	+0.83%	0.08845	-27.26%	0.0542	✗	1.74
2026-01-01	oos	0.11419	0.115065	+0.77%	0.09286	-18.68%	0.0074	✓	1.71
2025-12-31	oos	0.10617	0.106893	+0.68%	0.09859	-7.14%	0.0145	✗	1.68
2025-12-30	oos	0.11159	0.112352	+0.68%	0.10097	-9.52%	0.0318	✗	1.67
2025-12-29	oos	0.11273	0.1133	+0.51%	0.10696	-5.12%	0.0963	✗	1.66
2025-12-28	oos	0.11538	0.115776	+0.34%	0.10806	-6.34%	0.0923	✗	1.66
2025-12-27	oos	0.11516	0.11564	+0.42%	0.10647	-7.55%	0.0909	✗	1.65
2025-12-26	oos	0.11157	0.112108	+0.48%	0.10313	-7.56%	0.0697	✗	1.63
2025-12-25	oos	0.10884	0.109241	+0.37%	0.1083	-0.50%	0.0440	✗	1.63
2025-12-24	oos	0.10923	0.109631	+0.37%	0.10938	+0.14%	0.0368	✗	1.64
2025-12-23	oos	0.1104	0.110803	+0.37%	0.1081	-2.08%	0.0623	✗	1.64
2025-12-22	oos	0.11407	0.114561	+0.43%	0.1092	-4.27%	0.0627	✗	1.63
2025-12-21	oos	0.11193	0.112357	+0.38%	0.10557	-5.68%	0.0562	✗	1.63
2025-12-20	oos	0.11374	0.11448	+0.65%	0.11079	-2.59%	0.1095	✗	1.64
2025-12-19	oos	0.1119	0.112999	+0.98%	0.11172	-0.16%	0.1112	✗	1.64
2025-12-18	oos	0.10483	0.105624	+0.76%	0.11884	+13.36%	0.0559	✗	1.62
2025-12-17	oos	0.10992	0.11058	+0.60%	0.11859	+7.89%	0.0961	✗	1.62
2025-12-16	oos	0.1146	0.115134	+0.47%	0.11779	+2.78%	0.1139	✗	1.62
2025-12-15	oos	0.11416	0.114549	+0.34%	0.12339	+8.09%	0.1131	✗	1.63
2025-12-14	oos	0.11821	0.118261	+0.04%	0.12222	+3.39%	0.0949	✗	1.63
2025-12-13	oos	0.12302	0.122891	-0.10%	0.11494	-6.57%	0.0836	✓	1.62
2025-12-12	oos	0.12397	0.123826	-0.12%	0.11716	-5.49%	0.0660	✓	1.63
2025-12-11	oos	0.12992	0.129603	-0.24%	0.11767	-9.43%	0.0581	✓	1.62
2025-12-10	oos	0.13476	0.134162	-0.44%	0.12019	-10.81%	0.0827	✓	1.64
2025-12-09	oos	0.13898	0.138296	-0.49%	0.12042	-13.35%	0.1088	✓	1.64
2025-12-08	oos	0.13455	0.133972	-0.43%	0.12358	-8.15%	0.0920	✓	1.63
2025-12-07	oos	0.13099	0.130564	-0.33%	0.12892	-1.58%	0.0714	✓	1.63
2025-12-06	oos	0.13403	0.133569	-0.34%	0.13169	-1.75%	0.0970	✓	1.65
2025-12-05	oos	0.13395	0.133893	-0.04%	0.12536	-6.41%	0.1051	✓	1.65
2025-12-04	oos	0.13939	0.139623	+0.17%	0.12073	-13.39%	0.1182	✗	1.66
2025-12-03	oos	0.14607	0.146646	+0.39%	0.1216	-16.75%	0.1243	✗	1.65
2025-12-02	oos	0.1447	0.145238	+0.37%	0.11419	-21.09%	0.1928	✗	1.67
2025-12-01	oos	0.13323	0.133844	+0.46%	0.10617	-20.31%	0.2552	✗	1.69
2025-11-30	oos	0.14133	0.141997	+0.47%	0.11159	-21.04%	0.2033	✗	1.71
2025-11-29	oos	0.14323	0.144259	+0.72%	0.11273	-21.29%	0.1757	✗	1.70
2025-11-28	oos	0.14539	0.146739	+0.93%	0.11538	-20.64%	0.1829	✗	1.70
2025-11-27	oos	0.14703	0.148373	+0.91%	0.11516	-21.68%	0.1869	✗	1.70
2025-11-26	oos	0.14787	0.149144	+0.86%	0.11157	-24.55%	0.2300	✗	1.69
2025-11-25	oos	0.1449	0.145933	+0.71%	0.10884	-24.89%	0.2902	✗	1.72
2025-11-24	oos	0.14845	0.149306	+0.58%	0.10923	-26.42%	0.2997	✗	1.72
2025-11-23	oos	0.14788	0.148329	+0.30%	0.1104	-25.34%	0.3077	✗	1.74
2025-11-22	oos	0.13168	0.132421	+0.56%	0.11407	-13.37%	0.2253	✗	1.70
2025-11-21	oos	0.1307	0.131334	+0.49%	0.11193	-14.36%	0.2297	✗	1.70
2025-11-20	oos	0.13637	0.136391	+0.02%	0.11374	-16.59%	0.2162	✗	1.69
2025-11-19	oos	0.14473	0.144446	-0.20%	0.1119	-22.68%	0.1889	✓	1.77
2025-11-18	oos	0.1506	0.150054	-0.36%	0.10483	-30.39%	0.2112	✓	1.76
2025-11-17	oos	0.1457	0.145038	-0.45%	0.10992	-24.56%	0.1605	✓	1.77
2025-11-16	oos	0.14655	0.145785	-0.52%	0.1146	-21.80%	0.1163	✓	1.79
2025-11-15	oos	0.15474	0.153958	-0.51%	0.11416	-26.22%	0.1203	✓	1.78
2025-11-14	oos	0.15283	0.15237	-0.30%	0.11821	-22.65%	0.1302	✓	1.78
2025-11-13	oos	0.1647	0.164225	-0.29%	0.12302	-25.31%	0.1099	✓	1.81
2025-11-12	oos	0.174	0.173305	-0.40%	0.12397	-28.75%	0.1213	✓	1.80
2025-11-11	oos	0.17766	0.176952	-0.40%	0.12992	-26.87%	0.1165	✓	1.80
2025-11-10	oos	0.19386	0.192732	-0.58%	0.13476	-30.49%	0.1113	✓	1.75
2025-11-09	oos	0.17656	0.175766	-0.45%	0.13898	-21.28%	0.0238	✓	1.73
2025-11-08	oos	0.17559	0.174682	-0.52%	0.13455	-23.37%	0.0484	✓	1.76
2025-11-07	oos	0.17696	0.176257	-0.40%	0.13099	-25.98%	0.0682	✓	1.72
2025-11-06	oos	0.16312	0.162631	-0.30%	0.13403	-17.83%	0.0195	✗	1.69
2025-11-05	oos	0.1752	0.174561	-0.36%	0.13395	-23.54%	0.0142	✓	1.66
2025-11-04	oos	0.16856	0.16832	-0.14%	0.13939	-17.31%	0.0257	✓	1.68
2025-11-03	oos	0.17522	0.174743	-0.27%	0.14607	-16.64%	0.0506	✗	1.75
2025-11-02	oos	0.19448	0.193109	-0.70%	0.1447	-25.60%	0.0390	✗	1.71
2025-11-01	oos	0.19622	0.194859	-0.69%	0.13323	-32.10%	0.0374	✗	1.72
2025-10-31	oos	0.20092	0.199001	-0.95%	0.14133	-29.66%	0.0058	✓	1.75
2025-10-30	oos	0.19653	0.194474	-1.05%	0.14323	-27.12%	0.0026	✓	1.75
2025-10-29	oos	0.2011	0.198431	-1.33%	0.14539	-27.70%	0.0243	✗	1.76
2025-10-28	oos	0.19451	0.192978	-0.79%	0.14703	-24.41%	0.1131	✗	1.81
2025-10-27	oos	0.18484	0.183381	-0.79%	0.14787	-20.00%	0.2111	✗	1.84
2025-10-26	oos	0.17997	0.178432	-0.85%	0.1449	-19.49%	0.2920	✗	1.84
2025-10-25	oos	0.17259	0.170763	-1.06%	0.14845	-13.99%	0.2976	✗	1.86
2025-10-24	oos	0.17084	0.169189	-0.97%	0.14788	-13.44%	0.3258	✗	1.87
2025-10-23	oos	0.16515	0.163351	-1.09%	0.13168	-20.27%	0.2762	✗	1.87
2025-10-22	oos	0.1661	0.164159	-1.17%	0.1307	-21.31%	0.2166	✗	1.89
2025-10-21	oos	0.1705	0.168059	-1.43%	0.13637	-20.02%	0.2166	✗	1.89
2025-10-20	oos	0.17551	0.171914	-2.05%	0.14473	-17.54%	0.1940	✗	1.93
2025-10-19	oos	0.17053	0.167452	-1.80%	0.1506	-11.69%	0.1935	✗	1.91
2025-10-18	oos	0.16598	0.16316	-1.70%	0.1457	-12.22%	0.1769	✗	1.91
2025-10-17	oos	0.16262	0.16039	-1.37%	0.14655	-9.88%	0.1430	✗	1.90
2025-10-16	oos	0.17082	0.167816	-1.76%	0.15474	-9.41%	0.1546	✗	1.90
2025-10-15	oos	0.179	0.175781	-1.80%	0.15283	-14.62%	0.1640	✗	1.91
2025-10-14	oos	0.19031	0.187557	-1.45%	0.1647	-13.46%	0.1141	✗	1.93
2025-10-13	oos	0.19446	0.191818	-1.36%	0.174	-10.52%	0.1465	✗	1.94
2025-10-12	oos	0.18541	0.182524	-1.56%	0.17766	-4.18%	0.1858	✗	1.92
2025-10-11	oos	0.16827	0.164213	-2.41%	0.19386	+15.21%	0.2490	✗	1.88
2025-10-10	oos	0.17768	0.173496	-2.36%	0.17656	-0.63%	0.1672	✗	1.96
2025-10-09	oos	0.21307	0.210254	-1.32%	0.17559	-17.59%	0.1393	✗	1.84
2025-10-08	oos	0.21974	0.217222	-1.15%	0.17696	-19.47%	0.1198	✗	1.83
2025-10-07	oos	0.21828	0.214922	-1.54%	0.16312	-25.27%	0.0675	✗	1.90
2025-10-06	oos	0.23022	0.22786	-1.03%	0.1752	-23.90%	0.0867	✗	1.91
2025-10-05	oos	0.21642	0.213357	-1.42%	0.16856	-22.11%	0.1370	✗	1.90
2025-10-04	oos	0.21715	0.213539	-1.66%	0.17522	-19.31%	0.0661	✗	1.90
2025-10-03	oos	0.22557	0.222102	-1.54%	0.19448	-13.78%	0.0598	✗	1.90
2025-10-02	oos	0.22759	0.222927	-2.05%	0.19622	-13.78%	0.0488	✗	1.92
2025-10-01	oos	0.22445	0.218795	-2.52%	0.20092	-10.48%	0.0701	✗	1.95
2025-09-30	oos	0.21499	0.208175	-3.17%	0.19653	-8.59%	0.0469	✗	2.02
2025-09-29	oos	0.21688	0.209553	-3.38%	0.2011	-7.28%	0.0371	✗	2.03
2025-09-28	oos	0.21613	0.208042	-3.74%	0.19451	-10.00%	0.0803	✓	2.07
2025-09-27	oos	0.21279	0.204472	-3.91%	0.18484	-13.14%	0.1838	✓	2.10
2025-09-26	oos	0.21453	0.206298	-3.84%	0.17997	-16.11%	0.2277	✓	2.11
2025-09-25	oos	0.20754	0.199205	-4.02%	0.17259	-16.84%	0.1936	✓	2.10
2025-09-24	oos	0.22124	0.21219	-4.09%	0.17084	-22.78%	0.1729	✓	2.13
2025-09-23	oos	0.21907	0.209794	-4.23%	0.16515	-24.61%	0.2024	✓	2.15
2025-09-22	oos	0.22242	0.212992	-4.24%	0.1661	-25.32%	0.1496	✓	2.12
2025-09-21	oos	0.23427	0.224347	-4.24%	0.1705	-27.22%	0.1439	✓	2.11
2025-09-20	oos	0.24201	0.232344	-3.99%	0.17551	-27.48%	0.1811	✓	2.17
2025-09-19	oos	0.23899	0.229432	-4.00%	0.17053	-28.65%	0.1606	✓	2.18
2025-09-18	oos	0.24624	0.237163	-3.69%	0.16598	-32.59%	0.1635	✓	2.19

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.