HBAR

Hedera · Hedera · beta_5y

token id: #35
symbol: HBAR
variant: –
chain: Hedera
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2022-10-13
predictions: 4,371

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

58.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0172

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0028

actual -0.0009

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.084215	0.083842	-0.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-21	oos	0.08386	0.083497	-0.43%	0.084215	+0.42%	0.0064	✗	0.96
2026-10-20	oos	0.08427	0.08392	-0.42%	0.08386	-0.49%	0.0133	✓	0.97
2026-10-19	oos	0.082935	0.08264	-0.36%	0.08427	+1.61%	0.0068	✗	0.95
2026-10-18	oos	0.085345	0.084906	-0.51%	0.082935	-2.82%	0.0215	✓	0.96
2026-10-17	oos	0.085225	0.084906	-0.37%	0.085345	+0.14%	0.0022	✓	0.96
2026-10-16	oos	0.083485	0.083239	-0.29%	0.085225	+2.08%	0.0250	✗	0.96
2026-10-15	oos	0.085125	0.084816	-0.36%	0.083485	-1.93%	0.0085	✓	0.96
2026-10-14	oos	0.0844	0.084132	-0.32%	0.085125	+0.86%	0.0052	✗	0.96
2026-10-13	oos	0.08691	0.086573	-0.39%	0.0844	-2.89%	0.0076	✓	0.96
2026-10-12	oos	0.08678	0.086457	-0.37%	0.08691	+0.15%	0.0106	✓	0.96
2026-10-11	oos	0.094055	0.09357	-0.52%	0.08678	-7.73%	0.0547	✓	0.88
2026-10-10	oos	0.09238	0.091969	-0.45%	0.094055	+1.81%	0.0143	✗	0.88
2026-10-09	oos	0.092205	0.091824	-0.41%	0.09238	+0.19%	0.0021	✓	0.88
2026-10-08	oos	0.090265	0.089922	-0.38%	0.092205	+2.15%	0.0159	✗	0.88
2026-10-07	oos	0.09284	0.092463	-0.41%	0.090265	-2.77%	0.0073	✓	0.87
2026-10-06	oos	0.09966	0.099163	-0.50%	0.09284	-6.84%	0.0436	✓	0.83
2026-10-05	oos	0.10171	0.101156	-0.54%	0.09966	-2.02%	0.0129	✓	0.83
2026-10-04	oos	0.10403	0.103415	-0.59%	0.10171	-2.23%	0.0093	✓	0.84
2026-10-03	oos	0.10197	0.101446	-0.51%	0.10403	+2.02%	0.0080	✗	0.83
2026-10-02	oos	0.10239	0.10185	-0.53%	0.10197	-0.41%	0.0011	✓	0.83
2026-10-01	oos	0.102615	0.102126	-0.48%	0.10239	-0.22%	0.0060	✗	0.84
2026-09-30	oos	0.10472	0.104058	-0.63%	0.102615	-2.01%	0.0271	✓	0.85
2026-09-29	oos	0.102385	0.101736	-0.63%	0.10472	+2.28%	0.0297	✗	0.84
2026-09-28	oos	0.122	0.1193	-2.21%	0.102385	-16.08%	0.1547	✓	0.83
2026-09-27	oos	0.09585	0.095301	-0.57%	0.122	+27.28%	0.2583	✗	0.95
2026-09-26	oos	0.093485	0.093068	-0.45%	0.09585	+2.53%	0.0289	✗	0.95
2026-09-25	oos	0.095675	0.095135	-0.56%	0.093485	-2.29%	0.0211	✓	0.95
2026-09-24	oos	0.09309	0.092643	-0.48%	0.095675	+2.78%	0.0355	✗	0.95
2026-09-23	oos	0.09049	0.090137	-0.39%	0.09309	+2.87%	0.0322	✗	0.96
2026-09-22	oos	0.099085	0.098321	-0.77%	0.09049	-8.67%	0.0635	✓	0.92
2026-09-21	oos	0.093385	0.092714	-0.72%	0.099085	+6.10%	0.0707	✗	0.93
2026-09-20	oos	0.086515	0.085906	-0.70%	0.093385	+7.94%	0.0255	✗	0.89
2026-09-19	oos	0.08142	0.081066	-0.44%	0.086515	+6.26%	0.0659	✗	0.90
2026-09-18	oos	0.07921	0.078869	-0.43%	0.08142	+2.79%	0.0278	✗	0.91
2026-09-17	oos	0.07454	0.074399	-0.19%	0.07921	+6.27%	0.0115	✗	0.89
2026-09-16	oos	0.07388	0.073788	-0.12%	0.07454	+0.89%	0.0078	✗	0.89
2026-09-15	oos	0.074235	0.074109	-0.17%	0.07388	-0.48%	0.0096	✓	0.88
2026-09-14	oos	0.077725	0.077563	-0.21%	0.074235	-4.49%	0.0153	✓	0.85
2026-09-13	oos	0.075075	0.075007	-0.09%	0.077725	+3.53%	0.0207	✗	0.84
2026-09-12	oos	0.074695	0.074727	+0.04%	0.075075	+0.51%	0.0097	✓	0.85
2026-09-11	oos	0.0744	0.074506	+0.14%	0.074695	+0.40%	0.0019	✓	0.86
2026-09-10	oos	0.07476	0.074908	+0.20%	0.0744	-0.48%	0.0143	✗	0.86
2026-09-09	oos	0.076535	0.07679	+0.33%	0.07476	-2.32%	0.0074	✗	0.86
2026-09-08	oos	0.07905	0.079314	+0.33%	0.076535	-3.18%	0.0339	✗	0.85
2026-09-07	oos	0.081845	0.082048	+0.25%	0.07905	-3.41%	0.0303	✗	0.84
2026-09-06	oos	0.08161	0.081904	+0.36%	0.081845	+0.29%	0.0127	✓	0.86
2026-09-05	oos	0.08021	0.08051	+0.37%	0.08161	+1.75%	0.0082	✓	0.85
2026-09-04	oos	0.0784	0.078699	+0.38%	0.08021	+2.31%	0.0173	✓	0.85
2026-09-03	oos	0.07927	0.07954	+0.34%	0.0784	-1.10%	0.0025	✓	0.86
2026-09-02	oos	0.07456	0.074701	+0.19%	0.07927	+6.32%	0.0180	✓	0.83
2026-09-01	oos	0.07405	0.074182	+0.18%	0.07456	+0.69%	0.0061	✓	0.83
2026-08-31	oos	0.07363	0.073776	+0.20%	0.07405	+0.57%	0.0160	✓	0.82
2026-08-30	oos	0.07347	0.073536	+0.09%	0.07363	+0.22%	0.0082	✗	0.83
2026-08-29	oos	0.07552	0.075542	+0.03%	0.07347	-2.71%	0.0217	✗	0.83
2026-08-28	oos	0.0761	0.076078	-0.03%	0.07552	-0.76%	0.0116	✓	0.83
2026-08-27	oos	0.07877	0.078718	-0.07%	0.0761	-3.39%	0.0084	✓	0.82
2026-08-26	oos	0.07861	0.078491	-0.15%	0.07877	+0.20%	0.0093	✓	0.82
2026-08-25	oos	0.07776	0.077585	-0.23%	0.07861	+1.09%	0.0081	✗	0.80
2026-08-24	oos	0.0793	0.07906	-0.30%	0.07776	-1.94%	0.0120	✓	0.79
2026-08-23	oos	0.07982	0.079526	-0.37%	0.0793	-0.65%	0.0157	✓	0.80
2026-08-22	oos	0.07742	0.077105	-0.41%	0.07982	+3.10%	0.0277	✗	0.80
2026-08-21	oos	0.0798	0.079354	-0.56%	0.07742	-2.98%	0.0118	✓	0.79
2026-08-20	oos	0.07345	0.073141	-0.42%	0.0798	+8.65%	0.0356	✗	0.73
2026-08-19	oos	0.07058	0.070272	-0.44%	0.07345	+4.07%	0.0062	✗	0.73
2026-08-18	oos	0.06734	0.067128	-0.31%	0.07058	+4.81%	0.0005	✓	0.73
2026-08-17	oos	0.06593	0.065724	-0.31%	0.06734	+2.14%	0.0220	✗	0.73
2026-08-16	oos	0.0646	0.06442	-0.28%	0.06593	+2.06%	0.0044	✗	0.73
2026-08-15	oos	0.06543	0.065249	-0.28%	0.0646	-1.27%	0.0079	✓	0.73
2026-08-14	oos	0.06584	0.06564	-0.30%	0.06543	-0.62%	0.0037	✓	0.73
2026-08-13	oos	0.06547	0.065284	-0.28%	0.06584	+0.57%	0.0137	✗	0.73
2026-08-12	oos	0.066	0.065816	-0.28%	0.06547	-0.80%	0.0054	✓	0.73
2026-08-11	oos	0.06638	0.066166	-0.32%	0.066	-0.57%	0.0011	✓	0.74
2026-08-10	oos	0.0676	0.067391	-0.31%	0.06638	-1.80%	0.0108	✓	0.73
2026-08-09	oos	0.06858	0.068371	-0.30%	0.0676	-1.43%	0.0006	✓	0.74
2026-08-08	oos	0.06894	0.068726	-0.31%	0.06858	-0.52%	0.0014	✓	0.74
2026-08-07	oos	0.06804	0.067846	-0.28%	0.06894	+1.32%	0.0158	✗	0.76
2026-08-06	oos	0.06817	0.067975	-0.29%	0.06804	-0.19%	0.0065	✓	0.77
2026-08-05	oos	0.06901	0.068811	-0.29%	0.06817	-1.22%	0.0053	✓	0.77
2026-08-04	oos	0.06935	0.069136	-0.31%	0.06901	-0.49%	0.0085	✓	0.77
2026-08-03	oos	0.07046	0.070209	-0.36%	0.06935	-1.58%	0.0195	✓	0.79
2026-08-02	oos	0.07002	0.069768	-0.36%	0.07046	+0.63%	0.0103	✗	0.80
2026-08-01	oos	0.069	0.068741	-0.37%	0.07002	+1.48%	0.0093	✗	0.79
2026-07-31	oos	0.06876	0.068504	-0.37%	0.069	+0.35%	0.0080	✗	0.78
2026-07-30	oos	0.06834	0.068124	-0.32%	0.06876	+0.61%	0.0335	✗	0.81
2026-07-29	oos	0.06781	0.067603	-0.30%	0.06834	+0.78%	0.0005	✓	0.81
2026-07-28	oos	0.06835	0.068141	-0.31%	0.06781	-0.79%	0.0055	✓	0.80
2026-07-27	oos	0.06807	0.067865	-0.30%	0.06835	+0.41%	0.0052	✗	0.80
2026-07-26	oos	0.0702	0.06998	-0.31%	0.06807	-3.03%	0.0075	✓	0.79
2026-07-25	oos	0.07093	0.070716	-0.30%	0.0702	-1.03%	0.0204	✓	0.81
2026-07-24	oos	0.07076	0.070566	-0.27%	0.07093	+0.24%	0.0025	✓	0.81
2026-07-23	oos	0.07107	0.070881	-0.27%	0.07076	-0.44%	0.0105	✗	0.82
2026-07-22	oos	0.07286	0.072584	-0.38%	0.07107	-2.46%	0.0083	✓	0.81
2026-07-21	oos	0.06953	0.069329	-0.29%	0.07286	+4.79%	0.0550	✗	0.82
2026-07-20	oos	0.06671	0.066555	-0.23%	0.06953	+4.23%	0.0282	✗	0.79
2026-07-19	oos	0.06652	0.066372	-0.22%	0.06671	+0.29%	0.0014	✓	0.79
2026-07-18	oos	0.06708	0.066934	-0.22%	0.06652	-0.83%	0.0048	✓	0.79
2026-07-17	oos	0.06588	0.065751	-0.20%	0.06708	+1.82%	0.0090	✗	0.79
2026-07-16	oos	0.06654	0.066413	-0.19%	0.06588	-0.99%	0.0096	✓	0.79
2026-07-15	oos	0.06793	0.067795	-0.20%	0.06654	-2.05%	0.0073	✓	0.77
2026-07-14	oos	0.0673	0.067183	-0.17%	0.06793	+0.94%	0.0143	✗	0.78
2026-07-13	oos	0.06654	0.06642	-0.18%	0.0673	+1.14%	0.0219	✓	0.82
2026-07-12	oos	0.067575	0.067463	-0.17%	0.06654	-1.53%	0.0055	✗	0.82
2026-07-11	oos	0.06844	0.068303	-0.20%	0.067575	-1.26%	0.0103	✓	0.81
2026-07-10	oos	0.07032	0.070185	-0.19%	0.06844	-2.67%	0.0207	✓	0.81
2026-07-09	oos	0.0699	0.06977	-0.19%	0.07032	+0.60%	0.0044	✓	0.82
2026-07-08	oos	0.06931	0.069195	-0.17%	0.0699	+0.85%	0.0020	✓	0.81
2026-07-07	oos	0.07088	0.070771	-0.15%	0.06931	-2.22%	0.0069	✓	0.81
2026-07-06	oos	0.07332	0.07319	-0.18%	0.07088	-3.33%	0.0235	✓	0.81
2026-07-05	oos	0.07629	0.07612	-0.22%	0.07332	-3.89%	0.0430	✓	0.84
2026-07-04	oos	0.0772	0.076956	-0.32%	0.07629	-1.18%	0.0153	✓	0.84
2026-07-03	oos	0.07332	0.073139	-0.25%	0.0772	+5.29%	0.0467	✗	0.82
2026-07-02	oos	0.07084	0.070685	-0.22%	0.07332	+3.50%	0.0231	✗	0.80
2026-07-01	oos	0.07187	0.071659	-0.29%	0.07084	-1.43%	0.0323	✓	0.83
2026-06-30	oos	0.06945	0.069266	-0.27%	0.07187	+3.48%	0.0172	✗	0.81
2026-06-29	oos	0.07158	0.071397	-0.26%	0.06945	-2.98%	0.0053	✓	0.81
2026-06-28	oos	0.07092	0.070754	-0.23%	0.07158	+0.93%	0.0024	✗	0.80
2026-06-27	oos	0.07182	0.071654	-0.23%	0.07092	-1.25%	0.0042	✓	0.79
2026-06-26	oos	0.07083	0.070689	-0.20%	0.07182	+1.40%	0.0168	✗	0.79
2026-06-25	oos	0.07336	0.073179	-0.25%	0.07083	-3.45%	0.0366	✓	0.80
2026-06-24	oos	0.07553	0.075336	-0.26%	0.07336	-2.87%	0.0099	✓	0.79
2026-06-23	oos	0.07748	0.07729	-0.24%	0.07553	-2.52%	0.0017	✓	0.79
2026-06-22	oos	0.07865	0.07846	-0.24%	0.07748	-1.49%	0.0038	✗	0.79
2026-06-21	oos	0.078	0.077822	-0.23%	0.07865	+0.83%	0.0017	✓	0.79
2026-06-20	oos	0.08062	0.080416	-0.25%	0.078	-3.25%	0.0182	✓	0.80
2026-06-19	oos	0.08045	0.080246	-0.25%	0.08062	+0.21%	0.0048	✓	0.80
2026-06-18	oos	0.08019	0.079987	-0.25%	0.08045	+0.32%	0.0018	✓	0.80
2026-06-17	oos	0.08123	0.081014	-0.27%	0.08019	-1.28%	0.0097	✗	0.81
2026-06-16	oos	0.08058	0.080387	-0.24%	0.08123	+0.81%	0.0253	✗	0.83
2026-06-15	oos	0.08254	0.082261	-0.34%	0.08058	-2.37%	0.0124	✓	0.82
2026-06-14	oos	0.08116	0.080925	-0.29%	0.08254	+1.70%	0.0127	✗	0.82
2026-06-13	oos	0.07828	0.07809	-0.24%	0.08116	+3.68%	0.0224	✗	0.82
2026-06-12	oos	0.07784	0.077648	-0.25%	0.07828	+0.57%	0.0035	✓	0.83
2026-06-11	oos	0.07916	0.078936	-0.28%	0.07784	-1.67%	0.0137	✓	0.83
2026-06-10	oos	0.07762	0.077422	-0.25%	0.07916	+1.98%	0.0061	✓	0.84
2026-06-09	oos	0.07947	0.079263	-0.26%	0.07762	-2.33%	0.0177	✓	0.84
2026-06-08	oos	0.0813	0.081074	-0.28%	0.07947	-2.25%	0.0016	✓	0.83
2026-06-07	oos	0.08194	0.081709	-0.28%	0.0813	-0.78%	0.0019	✓	0.83
2026-06-06	oos	0.07967	0.079473	-0.25%	0.08194	+2.85%	0.0012	✓	0.81
2026-06-05	oos	0.08035	0.080113	-0.29%	0.07967	-0.85%	0.0031	✓	0.81
2026-06-04	oos	0.08372	0.083437	-0.34%	0.08035	-4.03%	0.0020	✓	0.80
2026-06-03	oos	0.08512	0.084872	-0.29%	0.08372	-1.64%	0.0108	✓	0.79
2026-06-02	oos	0.0868	0.08654	-0.30%	0.08512	-1.94%	0.0155	✗	0.80
2026-06-01	oos	0.09223	0.091881	-0.38%	0.0868	-5.89%	0.0043	✓	0.78
2026-05-31	oos	0.09647	0.096008	-0.48%	0.09223	-4.40%	0.0164	✓	0.76
2026-05-30	oos	0.09499	0.094335	-0.69%	0.09647	+1.56%	0.0243	✗	0.74
2026-05-29	oos	0.09908	0.098175	-0.91%	0.09499	-4.13%	0.0371	✓	0.75
2026-05-28	oos	0.09089	0.09019	-0.77%	0.09908	+9.01%	0.0955	✗	0.75
2026-05-27	oos	0.08554	0.085257	-0.33%	0.09089	+6.25%	0.0724	✗	0.78
2026-05-26	oos	0.08645	0.086167	-0.33%	0.08554	-1.05%	0.0083	✗	0.78
2026-05-25	oos	0.08805	0.087774	-0.31%	0.08645	-1.82%	0.0001	✓	0.81
2026-05-24	oos	0.08834	0.08807	-0.31%	0.08805	-0.33%	0.0031	✓	0.81
2026-05-23	oos	0.08959	0.089264	-0.36%	0.08834	-1.40%	0.0138	✓	0.81
2026-05-22	oos	0.08782	0.087522	-0.34%	0.08959	+2.02%	0.0106	✗	0.80
2026-05-21	oos	0.08984	0.089488	-0.39%	0.08782	-2.25%	0.0033	✓	0.80
2026-05-20	oos	0.08876	0.088457	-0.34%	0.08984	+1.22%	0.0148	✗	0.81
2026-05-19	oos	0.08848	0.088195	-0.32%	0.08876	+0.32%	0.0010	✓	0.81
2026-05-18	oos	0.09016	0.089836	-0.36%	0.08848	-1.86%	0.0133	✓	0.81
2026-05-17	oos	0.09007	0.089796	-0.30%	0.09016	+0.10%	0.0088	✗	0.80
2026-05-16	oos	0.09122	0.090967	-0.28%	0.09007	-1.26%	0.0027	✓	0.80
2026-05-15	oos	0.09283	0.092563	-0.29%	0.09122	-1.73%	0.0048	✓	0.81
2026-05-14	oos	0.09498	0.094675	-0.32%	0.09283	-2.26%	0.0010	✓	0.82
2026-05-13	oos	0.09338	0.093108	-0.29%	0.09498	+1.71%	0.0011	✓	0.84
2026-05-12	oos	0.09385	0.093612	-0.25%	0.09338	-0.50%	0.0099	✗	0.83
2026-05-11	oos	0.09691	0.096625	-0.29%	0.09385	-3.16%	0.0166	✓	0.82
2026-05-10	oos	0.09753	0.097139	-0.40%	0.09691	-0.64%	0.0023	✓	0.82
2026-05-09	oos	0.09287	0.092581	-0.31%	0.09753	+5.02%	0.0369	✗	0.80
2026-05-08	oos	0.09267	0.0924	-0.29%	0.09287	+0.22%	0.0004	✓	0.80
2026-05-07	oos	0.09009	0.08988	-0.23%	0.09267	+2.86%	0.0287	✗	0.80
2026-05-06	oos	0.09137	0.091141	-0.25%	0.09009	-1.40%	0.0049	✗	0.93
2026-05-05	oos	0.09029	0.090048	-0.27%	0.09137	+1.20%	0.0086	✗	0.92
2026-05-04	oos	0.08774	0.087499	-0.27%	0.09029	+2.91%	0.0195	✗	0.91
2026-05-03	oos	0.08771	0.087496	-0.24%	0.08774	+0.03%	0.0120	✓	0.91
2026-05-02	oos	0.08857	0.088357	-0.24%	0.08771	-0.97%	0.0059	✓	0.91
2026-05-01	oos	0.08818	0.087977	-0.23%	0.08857	+0.44%	0.0015	✓	0.92
2026-04-30	oos	0.08731	0.087105	-0.23%	0.08818	+1.00%	0.0108	✓	0.92
2026-04-29	oos	0.08864	0.08841	-0.26%	0.08731	-1.50%	0.0193	✓	0.93
2026-04-28	oos	0.08891	0.088711	-0.22%	0.08864	-0.30%	0.0061	✗	0.93
2026-04-27	oos	0.08971	0.089515	-0.22%	0.08891	-0.89%	0.0059	✗	0.93
2026-04-26	oos	0.09231	0.092102	-0.23%	0.08971	-2.82%	0.0107	✓	0.93
2026-04-25	oos	0.09126	0.091046	-0.23%	0.09231	+1.15%	0.0016	✓	0.93
2026-04-24	oos	0.091	0.090778	-0.24%	0.09126	+0.29%	0.0030	✗	0.94
2026-04-23	oos	0.09082	0.090627	-0.21%	0.091	+0.20%	0.0140	✗	0.94
2026-04-22	oos	0.09086	0.090637	-0.25%	0.09082	-0.04%	0.0011	✓	0.94
2026-04-21	oos	0.09038	0.09013	-0.28%	0.09086	+0.53%	0.0147	✓	0.95
2026-04-20	oos	0.08976	0.089489	-0.30%	0.09038	+0.69%	0.0039	✗	0.95
2026-04-19	oos	0.08727	0.08706	-0.24%	0.08976	+2.85%	0.0046	✗	0.95
2026-04-18	oos	0.08882	0.08863	-0.21%	0.08727	-1.75%	0.0089	✗	0.95
2026-04-17	oos	0.09078	0.090538	-0.27%	0.08882	-2.16%	0.0021	✓	0.96
2026-04-16	oos	0.09076	0.090426	-0.37%	0.09078	+0.02%	0.0206	✓	0.97
2026-04-15	oos	0.08713	0.086921	-0.24%	0.09076	+4.17%	0.0390	✗	0.96
2026-04-14	oos	0.08511	0.084928	-0.21%	0.08713	+2.37%	0.0171	✗	0.96
2026-04-13	oos	0.08783	0.087575	-0.29%	0.08511	-3.10%	0.0251	✓	0.96
2026-04-12	oos	0.08519	0.08498	-0.25%	0.08783	+3.10%	0.0170	✓	0.98
2026-04-11	oos	0.08836	0.088149	-0.24%	0.08519	-3.59%	0.0024	✓	0.98
2026-04-10	oos	0.08955	0.08933	-0.25%	0.08836	-1.33%	0.0121	✓	0.98
2026-04-09	oos	0.08935	0.089129	-0.25%	0.08955	+0.22%	0.0116	✓	0.98
2026-04-08	oos	0.08901	0.088761	-0.28%	0.08935	+0.38%	0.0032	✓	0.98
2026-04-07	oos	0.09183	0.091513	-0.34%	0.08901	-3.07%	0.0164	✓	0.98
2026-04-06	oos	0.08742	0.087155	-0.30%	0.09183	+5.04%	0.0096	✗	0.98
2026-04-05	oos	0.08802	0.087762	-0.29%	0.08742	-0.68%	0.0017	✓	0.98
2026-04-04	oos	0.08748	0.087227	-0.29%	0.08802	+0.62%	0.0160	✓	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.08772	0.087455	-0.30%	0.08748	-0.27%	0.0047	✓	1.00
2026-04-02	oos	0.088	0.087726	-0.31%	0.08772	-0.32%	0.0011	✓	1.00
2026-04-01	oos	0.08845	0.088167	-0.32%	0.088	-0.51%	0.0163	✗	1.01
2026-03-31	oos	0.08758	0.087278	-0.35%	0.08845	+0.99%	0.0150	✗	1.02
2026-03-30	oos	0.08721	0.086928	-0.32%	0.08758	+0.42%	0.0152	✓	1.03
2026-03-29	oos	0.088	0.087718	-0.32%	0.08721	-0.90%	0.0179	✓	1.03
2026-03-28	oos	0.08978	0.08949	-0.32%	0.088	-1.98%	0.0111	✓	1.03
2026-03-27	oos	0.08907	0.088808	-0.29%	0.08978	+0.80%	0.0114	✗	1.03
2026-03-26	oos	0.09107	0.090839	-0.25%	0.08907	-2.20%	0.0175	✗	1.04
2026-03-25	oos	0.09467	0.094425	-0.26%	0.09107	-3.80%	0.0014	✓	1.04
2026-03-24	oos	0.09416	0.093904	-0.27%	0.09467	+0.54%	0.0031	✓	1.04
2026-03-23	oos	0.09318	0.092905	-0.30%	0.09416	+1.05%	0.0184	✗	1.04
2026-03-22	oos	0.08921	0.088972	-0.27%	0.09318	+4.45%	0.0006	✓	1.04
2026-03-21	oos	0.09155	0.091333	-0.24%	0.08921	-2.56%	0.0073	✓	1.04
2026-03-20	oos	0.09318	0.092985	-0.21%	0.09155	-1.75%	0.0081	✗	1.04
2026-03-19	oos	0.09288	0.092706	-0.19%	0.09318	+0.32%	0.0035	✓	1.04
2026-03-18	oos	0.09579	0.095615	-0.18%	0.09288	-3.04%	0.0092	✓	1.05
2026-03-17	oos	0.09876	0.098572	-0.19%	0.09579	-3.01%	0.0107	✗	1.06
2026-03-16	oos	0.10029	0.100039	-0.25%	0.09876	-1.53%	0.0008	✓	1.07
2026-03-15	oos	0.09632	0.096125	-0.20%	0.10029	+4.12%	0.0130	✗	1.06
2026-03-14	oos	0.0936	0.093438	-0.17%	0.09632	+2.91%	0.0069	✗	1.06
2026-03-13	oos	0.09514	0.094934	-0.22%	0.0936	-1.62%	0.0185	✓	1.07
2026-03-12	oos	0.09484	0.094655	-0.20%	0.09514	+0.32%	0.0011	✓	1.07
2026-03-11	oos	0.09425	0.094076	-0.18%	0.09484	+0.63%	0.0032	✗	1.07
2026-03-10	oos	0.09519	0.094988	-0.21%	0.09425	-0.99%	0.0116	✓	1.07
2026-03-09	oos	0.09436	0.094136	-0.24%	0.09519	+0.88%	0.0126	✓	1.07
2026-03-08	oos	0.09392	0.093684	-0.25%	0.09436	+0.47%	0.0328	✓	1.09
2026-03-07	oos	0.09582	0.095605	-0.22%	0.09392	-1.98%	0.0034	✗	1.09
2026-03-06	oos	0.09758	0.097376	-0.21%	0.09582	-1.80%	0.0025	✓	1.09
2026-03-05	oos	0.09959	0.099398	-0.19%	0.09758	-2.02%	0.0255	✗	1.10
2026-03-04	oos	0.10116	0.100935	-0.22%	0.09959	-1.55%	0.0142	✗	1.10
2026-03-03	oos	0.09697	0.096787	-0.19%	0.10116	+4.32%	0.0255	✓	1.13
2026-03-02	oos	0.09804	0.097852	-0.19%	0.09697	-1.09%	0.0009	✓	1.12
2026-03-01	oos	0.09696	0.09676	-0.21%	0.09804	+1.11%	0.0399	✓	1.17
2026-02-28	oos	0.1002	0.099954	-0.25%	0.09696	-3.23%	0.0093	✓	1.17
2026-02-27	oos	0.10041	0.100152	-0.26%	0.1002	-0.21%	0.0191	✓	1.17
2026-02-26	oos	0.10265	0.10236	-0.28%	0.10041	-2.18%	0.0095	✗	1.17
2026-02-25	oos	0.10183	0.101492	-0.33%	0.10265	+0.81%	0.0200	✗	1.17
2026-02-24	oos	0.09503	0.094782	-0.26%	0.10183	+7.16%	0.0021	✓	1.17
2026-02-23	oos	0.09492	0.094683	-0.25%	0.09503	+0.12%	0.0137	✗	1.16
2026-02-22	oos	0.09819	0.097973	-0.22%	0.09492	-3.33%	0.0215	✗	1.17
2026-02-21	oos	0.09977	0.099533	-0.24%	0.09819	-1.58%	0.0078	✓	1.17
2026-02-20	oos	0.09965	0.099397	-0.25%	0.09977	+0.12%	0.0042	✗	1.20
2026-02-19	oos	0.09759	0.097371	-0.22%	0.09965	+2.11%	0.0051	✗	1.20
2026-02-18	oos	0.09907	0.098823	-0.25%	0.09759	-1.49%	0.0226	✓	1.21
2026-02-17	oos	0.10203	0.10174	-0.28%	0.09907	-2.90%	0.0078	✓	1.20
2026-02-16	oos	0.10164	0.101366	-0.27%	0.10203	+0.38%	0.0313	✗	1.21
2026-02-15	oos	0.10028	0.10001	-0.27%	0.10164	+1.36%	0.0150	✗	1.22
2026-02-14	oos	0.10384	0.103376	-0.45%	0.10028	-3.43%	0.0131	✓	1.21
2026-02-13	oos	0.09878	0.098433	-0.35%	0.10384	+5.12%	0.0365	✗	1.20
2026-02-12	oos	0.0931	0.092808	-0.31%	0.09878	+6.10%	0.0162	✗	1.20
2026-02-11	oos	0.08903	0.088838	-0.22%	0.0931	+4.57%	0.0617	✗	1.21
2026-02-10	oos	0.09072	0.090525	-0.22%	0.08903	-1.86%	0.0153	✗	1.22
2026-02-09	oos	0.09207	0.091846	-0.24%	0.09072	-1.47%	0.0105	✗	1.22
2026-02-08	oos	0.09122	0.090992	-0.25%	0.09207	+0.93%	0.0149	✗	1.24
2026-02-07	oos	0.08995	0.089732	-0.24%	0.09122	+1.41%	0.0022	✓	1.26
2026-02-06	oos	0.09122	0.09079	-0.47%	0.08995	-1.39%	0.0136	✗	1.25
2026-02-05	oos	0.07803	0.078059	+0.04%	0.09122	+16.90%	0.0136	✓	1.22
2026-02-04	oos	0.08925	0.089051	-0.22%	0.07803	-12.57%	0.0845	✗	1.44
2026-02-03	oos	0.09058	0.090369	-0.23%	0.08925	-1.47%	0.0408	✗	1.49
2026-02-02	oos	0.09318	0.09288	-0.32%	0.09058	-2.79%	0.0340	✗	1.52
2026-02-01	oos	0.08845	0.088306	-0.16%	0.09318	+5.35%	0.0204	✗	1.46
2026-01-31	oos	0.09286	0.092645	-0.23%	0.08845	-4.75%	0.0126	✓	1.50
2026-01-30	oos	0.09859	0.098306	-0.29%	0.09286	-5.81%	0.0480	✗	1.56
2026-01-29	oos	0.10097	0.100679	-0.29%	0.09859	-2.36%	0.0135	✓	1.56
2026-01-28	oos	0.10696	0.106628	-0.31%	0.10097	-5.60%	0.0312	✗	1.60
2026-01-27	oos	0.10806	0.107677	-0.35%	0.10696	-1.02%	0.0075	✓	1.60
2026-01-26	oos	0.10647	0.106107	-0.34%	0.10806	+1.49%	0.0031	✓	1.55
2026-01-25	oos	0.10313	0.102834	-0.29%	0.10647	+3.24%	0.0051	✗	1.53
2026-01-24	oos	0.1083	0.10797	-0.31%	0.10313	-4.77%	0.0019	✓	1.53
2026-01-23	oos	0.10938	0.109022	-0.33%	0.1083	-0.99%	0.0001	✓	1.53
2026-01-22	oos	0.1081	0.107777	-0.30%	0.10938	+1.18%	0.0146	✗	1.53
2026-01-21	oos	0.1092	0.108775	-0.39%	0.1081	-1.01%	0.0079	✓	1.54
2026-01-20	oos	0.10557	0.105262	-0.29%	0.1092	+3.44%	0.0189	✗	1.51
2026-01-19	oos	0.11079	0.110415	-0.34%	0.10557	-4.71%	0.0275	✗	1.54
2026-01-18	oos	0.11172	0.111416	-0.27%	0.11079	-0.83%	0.0121	✗	1.54
2026-01-17	oos	0.11884	0.118467	-0.31%	0.11172	-5.99%	0.0347	✓	1.53
2026-01-16	oos	0.11859	0.118253	-0.28%	0.11884	+0.21%	0.0113	✗	1.53
2026-01-15	oos	0.11779	0.117495	-0.25%	0.11859	+0.68%	0.0106	✗	1.54
2026-01-14	oos	0.12339	0.122945	-0.36%	0.11779	-4.54%	0.0210	✓	1.54
2026-01-13	oos	0.12222	0.121736	-0.40%	0.12339	+0.96%	0.0118	✓	1.55
2026-01-12	oos	0.11494	0.114582	-0.31%	0.12222	+6.33%	0.0062	✓	1.57
2026-01-11	oos	0.11716	0.116803	-0.30%	0.11494	-1.89%	0.0215	✓	1.57
2026-01-10	oos	0.11767	0.117365	-0.26%	0.11716	-0.43%	0.0104	✓	1.58
2026-01-09	oos	0.12019	0.119856	-0.28%	0.11767	-2.10%	0.0159	✓	1.62
2026-01-08	oos	0.12042	0.120141	-0.23%	0.12019	-0.19%	0.0096	✗	1.63
2026-01-07	oos	0.12358	0.123296	-0.23%	0.12042	-2.56%	0.0188	✓	1.73
2026-01-06	oos	0.12892	0.12854	-0.29%	0.12358	-4.14%	0.0065	✗	1.74
2026-01-05	oos	0.13169	0.131194	-0.38%	0.12892	-2.10%	0.0148	✓	1.73
2026-01-04	oos	0.12536	0.124942	-0.33%	0.13169	+5.05%	0.0083	✗	1.73
2026-01-03	oos	0.12073	0.12041	-0.26%	0.12536	+3.84%	0.0232	✗	1.74
2026-01-02	oos	0.1216	0.121148	-0.37%	0.12073	-0.72%	0.0158	✓	1.74
2026-01-01	oos	0.11419	0.113871	-0.28%	0.1216	+6.49%	0.0423	✗	1.71
2025-12-31	oos	0.10617	0.105981	-0.18%	0.11419	+7.55%	0.0509	✗	1.68
2025-12-30	oos	0.11159	0.111354	-0.21%	0.10617	-4.86%	0.0306	✓	1.67
2025-12-29	oos	0.11273	0.11243	-0.27%	0.11159	-1.01%	0.0319	✓	1.66
2025-12-28	oos	0.11538	0.115076	-0.26%	0.11273	-2.30%	0.0060	✓	1.66
2025-12-27	oos	0.11516	0.114829	-0.29%	0.11538	+0.19%	0.0035	✗	1.65
2025-12-26	oos	0.11157	0.111265	-0.27%	0.11516	+3.22%	0.0249	✗	1.63
2025-12-25	oos	0.10884	0.1086	-0.22%	0.11157	+2.51%	0.0247	✗	1.63
2025-12-24	oos	0.10923	0.109007	-0.20%	0.10884	-0.36%	0.0067	✗	1.64
2025-12-23	oos	0.1104	0.110173	-0.21%	0.10923	-1.06%	0.0120	✓	1.64
2025-12-22	oos	0.11407	0.113769	-0.26%	0.1104	-3.22%	0.0092	✓	1.63
2025-12-21	oos	0.11193	0.111704	-0.20%	0.11407	+1.91%	0.0225	✗	1.63
2025-12-20	oos	0.11374	0.113483	-0.23%	0.11193	-1.59%	0.0196	✓	1.64
2025-12-19	oos	0.1119	0.111622	-0.25%	0.11374	+1.64%	0.0145	✗	1.64
2025-12-18	oos	0.10483	0.104674	-0.15%	0.1119	+6.74%	0.0175	✗	1.62
2025-12-17	oos	0.10992	0.109728	-0.17%	0.10483	-4.63%	0.0315	✓	1.62
2025-12-16	oos	0.1146	0.114374	-0.20%	0.10992	-4.08%	0.0091	✓	1.62
2025-12-15	oos	0.11416	0.113926	-0.20%	0.1146	+0.39%	0.0210	✓	1.63
2025-12-14	oos	0.11821	0.117989	-0.19%	0.11416	-3.43%	0.0003	✓	1.63
2025-12-13	oos	0.12302	0.122795	-0.18%	0.11821	-3.91%	0.0001	✓	1.62
2025-12-12	oos	0.12397	0.123762	-0.17%	0.12302	-0.77%	0.0056	✓	1.63
2025-12-11	oos	0.12992	0.129683	-0.18%	0.12397	-4.58%	0.0048	✓	1.62
2025-12-10	oos	0.13476	0.134465	-0.22%	0.12992	-3.59%	0.0434	✓	1.64
2025-12-09	oos	0.13898	0.1386	-0.27%	0.13476	-3.04%	0.0165	✓	1.64
2025-12-08	oos	0.13455	0.134202	-0.26%	0.13898	+3.29%	0.0013	✓	1.63
2025-12-07	oos	0.13099	0.130715	-0.21%	0.13455	+2.72%	0.0244	✗	1.63
2025-12-06	oos	0.13403	0.133742	-0.22%	0.13099	-2.27%	0.0416	✓	1.65
2025-12-05	oos	0.13395	0.133704	-0.18%	0.13403	+0.06%	0.0039	✗	1.65
2025-12-04	oos	0.13939	0.139126	-0.19%	0.13395	-3.90%	0.0123	✗	1.66
2025-12-03	oos	0.14607	0.145706	-0.25%	0.13939	-4.57%	0.0201	✓	1.65
2025-12-02	oos	0.1447	0.144289	-0.28%	0.14607	+0.95%	0.0266	✓	1.67
2025-12-01	oos	0.13323	0.132951	-0.21%	0.1447	+8.61%	0.0108	✓	1.69
2025-11-30	oos	0.14133	0.141039	-0.21%	0.13323	-5.73%	0.0221	✗	1.71
2025-11-29	oos	0.14323	0.142939	-0.20%	0.14133	-1.33%	0.0027	✓	1.70
2025-11-28	oos	0.14539	0.14507	-0.22%	0.14323	-1.49%	0.0114	✓	1.70
2025-11-27	oos	0.14703	0.1467	-0.22%	0.14539	-1.12%	0.0013	✓	1.70
2025-11-26	oos	0.14787	0.147501	-0.25%	0.14703	-0.57%	0.0189	✓	1.69
2025-11-25	oos	0.1449	0.144545	-0.25%	0.14787	+2.05%	0.0381	✓	1.72
2025-11-24	oos	0.14845	0.147943	-0.34%	0.1449	-2.39%	0.0023	✓	1.72
2025-11-23	oos	0.14788	0.147179	-0.47%	0.14845	+0.39%	0.0204	✓	1.74
2025-11-22	oos	0.13168	0.131462	-0.17%	0.14788	+12.30%	0.0755	✗	1.70
2025-11-21	oos	0.1307	0.130499	-0.15%	0.13168	+0.75%	0.0167	✗	1.70
2025-11-20	oos	0.13637	0.136135	-0.17%	0.1307	-4.16%	0.0118	✓	1.69
2025-11-19	oos	0.14473	0.144388	-0.24%	0.13637	-5.78%	0.0408	✗	1.77
2025-11-18	oos	0.1506	0.150139	-0.31%	0.14473	-3.90%	0.0089	✓	1.76
2025-11-17	oos	0.1457	0.145334	-0.25%	0.1506	+3.36%	0.0201	✗	1.77
2025-11-16	oos	0.14655	0.146252	-0.20%	0.1457	-0.58%	0.0362	✗	1.79
2025-11-15	oos	0.15474	0.154387	-0.23%	0.14655	-5.29%	0.0265	✓	1.78
2025-11-14	oos	0.15283	0.152543	-0.19%	0.15474	+1.25%	0.0052	✓	1.78
2025-11-13	oos	0.1647	0.16433	-0.22%	0.15283	-7.21%	0.0230	✗	1.81
2025-11-12	oos	0.174	0.173537	-0.27%	0.1647	-5.34%	0.0160	✓	1.80
2025-11-11	oos	0.17766	0.177167	-0.28%	0.174	-2.06%	0.0060	✗	1.80
2025-11-10	oos	0.19386	0.192719	-0.59%	0.17766	-8.36%	0.0317	✓	1.75
2025-11-09	oos	0.17656	0.175978	-0.33%	0.19386	+9.80%	0.0756	✗	1.73
2025-11-08	oos	0.17559	0.175003	-0.33%	0.17656	+0.55%	0.0321	✓	1.76
2025-11-07	oos	0.17696	0.176159	-0.45%	0.17559	-0.77%	0.0134	✗	1.72
2025-11-06	oos	0.16312	0.162765	-0.22%	0.17696	+8.48%	0.0508	✗	1.69
2025-11-05	oos	0.1752	0.174651	-0.31%	0.16312	-6.89%	0.0265	✓	1.66
2025-11-04	oos	0.16856	0.168137	-0.25%	0.1752	+3.94%	0.0019	✓	1.68
2025-11-03	oos	0.17522	0.174852	-0.21%	0.16856	-3.80%	0.0491	✗	1.75
2025-11-02	oos	0.19448	0.193906	-0.30%	0.17522	-9.90%	0.0385	✓	1.71
2025-11-01	oos	0.19622	0.195625	-0.30%	0.19448	-0.89%	0.0134	✓	1.72
2025-10-31	oos	0.20092	0.200153	-0.38%	0.19622	-2.34%	0.0278	✓	1.75
2025-10-30	oos	0.19653	0.195772	-0.39%	0.20092	+2.23%	0.0059	✗	1.75
2025-10-29	oos	0.2011	0.200131	-0.48%	0.19653	-2.27%	0.0096	✗	1.76
2025-10-28	oos	0.19451	0.19323	-0.66%	0.2011	+3.39%	0.0867	✗	1.81
2025-10-27	oos	0.18484	0.184176	-0.36%	0.19451	+5.23%	0.0737	✗	1.84
2025-10-26	oos	0.17997	0.179382	-0.33%	0.18484	+2.71%	0.0374	✗	1.84
2025-10-25	oos	0.17259	0.172134	-0.26%	0.17997	+4.28%	0.0029	✓	1.86
2025-10-24	oos	0.17084	0.170357	-0.28%	0.17259	+1.02%	0.0025	✓	1.87
2025-10-23	oos	0.16515	0.16479	-0.22%	0.17084	+3.45%	0.0204	✗	1.87
2025-10-22	oos	0.1661	0.165704	-0.24%	0.16515	-0.57%	0.0474	✓	1.89
2025-10-21	oos	0.1705	0.170048	-0.27%	0.1661	-2.58%	0.0099	✓	1.89
2025-10-20	oos	0.17551	0.174976	-0.30%	0.1705	-2.85%	0.0130	✗	1.93
2025-10-19	oos	0.17053	0.170081	-0.26%	0.17551	+2.92%	0.0016	✓	1.91
2025-10-18	oos	0.16598	0.165663	-0.19%	0.17053	+2.74%	0.0030	✗	1.91
2025-10-17	oos	0.16262	0.162342	-0.17%	0.16598	+2.07%	0.0089	✗	1.90
2025-10-16	oos	0.17082	0.170503	-0.19%	0.16262	-4.80%	0.0167	✓	1.90
2025-10-15	oos	0.179	0.178661	-0.19%	0.17082	-4.57%	0.0006	✓	1.91
2025-10-14	oos	0.19031	0.189725	-0.31%	0.179	-5.94%	0.0192	✓	1.93
2025-10-13	oos	0.19446	0.193773	-0.35%	0.19031	-2.13%	0.0194	✗	1.94
2025-10-12	oos	0.18541	0.1849	-0.28%	0.19446	+4.88%	0.0470	✗	1.92
2025-10-11	oos	0.16827	0.168097	-0.10%	0.18541	+10.19%	0.0265	✗	1.88
2025-10-10	oos	0.17768	0.17748	-0.11%	0.16827	-5.30%	0.0144	✓	1.96
2025-10-09	oos	0.21307	0.212548	-0.24%	0.17768	-16.61%	0.0425	✓	1.84
2025-10-08	oos	0.21974	0.219177	-0.26%	0.21307	-3.04%	0.0039	✓	1.83
2025-10-07	oos	0.21828	0.217733	-0.25%	0.21974	+0.67%	0.0210	✓	1.90
2025-10-06	oos	0.23022	0.229333	-0.39%	0.21828	-5.19%	0.0022	✓	1.91
2025-10-05	oos	0.21642	0.21588	-0.25%	0.23022	+6.38%	0.0460	✗	1.90
2025-10-04	oos	0.21715	0.216653	-0.23%	0.21642	-0.34%	0.0175	✓	1.90
2025-10-03	oos	0.22557	0.22493	-0.28%	0.21715	-3.73%	0.0374	✓	1.90
2025-10-02	oos	0.22759	0.22685	-0.32%	0.22557	-0.89%	0.0325	✓	1.92
2025-10-01	oos	0.22445	0.223645	-0.36%	0.22759	+1.40%	0.0144	✓	1.95
2025-09-30	oos	0.21499	0.214327	-0.31%	0.22445	+4.40%	0.0334	✓	2.02
2025-09-29	oos	0.21688	0.216145	-0.34%	0.21499	-0.87%	0.0001	✓	2.03
2025-09-28	oos	0.21613	0.215381	-0.35%	0.21688	+0.35%	0.0326	✓	2.07
2025-09-27	oos	0.21279	0.212126	-0.31%	0.21613	+1.57%	0.0290	✓	2.10
2025-09-26	oos	0.21453	0.213775	-0.35%	0.21279	-0.81%	0.0043	✓	2.11
2025-09-25	oos	0.20754	0.20692	-0.30%	0.21453	+3.37%	0.0234	✗	2.10
2025-09-24	oos	0.22124	0.220507	-0.33%	0.20754	-6.19%	0.0221	✗	2.13
2025-09-23	oos	0.21907	0.21839	-0.31%	0.22124	+0.99%	0.0125	✓	2.15
2025-09-22	oos	0.22242	0.221621	-0.36%	0.21907	-1.51%	0.0020	✓	2.12
2025-09-21	oos	0.23427	0.233503	-0.33%	0.22242	-5.06%	0.0015	✓	2.11
2025-09-20	oos	0.24201	0.241148	-0.36%	0.23427	-3.20%	0.0201	✓	2.17
2025-09-19	oos	0.23899	0.238228	-0.32%	0.24201	+1.26%	0.0146	✗	2.18
2025-09-18	oos	0.24624	0.245322	-0.37%	0.23899	-2.94%	0.0007	✓	2.19

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.