FOLD

The Interfold · Ethereum · beta_5y

token id: #290
symbol: FOLD
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xe172e9b6cfbeeb5593bdce3f077356fdb33af904
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-25
predictions: 150

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

of 50 predictions shown

direction hit

51.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1377

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0618

actual -0.0257

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.04925	0.04811	-2.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.87
2026-10-21	oos	0.04772	0.046636	-2.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-20	oos	0.04858	0.0473	-2.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-19	oos	0.04751	0.046414	-2.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-18	oos	0.04779	0.046608	-2.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-17	oos	0.05113	0.049746	-2.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-16	oos	0.05269	0.051067	-3.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-15	oos	0.05285	0.051066	-3.38%	0.04925	-6.81%	0.0579	✓	0.86
2026-10-14	oos	0.05383	0.052078	-3.25%	0.04772	-11.35%	0.0993	✓	0.87
2026-10-13	oos	0.060215	0.057905	-3.84%	0.04858	-19.32%	0.1741	✓	0.78
2026-10-12	oos	0.059405	0.05693	-4.17%	0.04751	-20.02%	0.1818	✓	0.76
2026-10-11	oos	0.06681	0.063235	-5.35%	0.04779	-28.47%	0.2671	✓	0.64
2026-10-10	oos	0.06538	0.062383	-4.58%	0.05113	-21.80%	0.1872	✓	0.63
2026-10-09	oos	0.064485	0.061259	-5.00%	0.05269	-18.29%	0.1427	✓	0.62
2026-10-08	oos	0.06178	0.05851	-5.29%	0.05285	-14.45%	0.1049	✓	0.60
2026-10-07	oos	0.064415	0.060712	-5.75%	0.05383	-16.43%	0.1084	✓	0.57
2026-10-06	oos	0.06901	0.064685	-6.27%	0.060215	-12.74%	0.0572	✓	0.50
2026-10-05	oos	0.07369	0.068607	-6.90%	0.059405	-19.39%	0.1210	✓	0.48
2026-10-04	oos	0.0701	0.065149	-7.06%	0.06681	-4.69%	0.0427	✓	0.53
2026-10-03	oos	0.072825	0.067005	-7.99%	0.06538	-10.22%	0.0120	✓	0.57
2026-10-02	oos	0.06417	0.059321	-7.56%	0.064485	+0.49%	0.0967	✗	0.57
2026-10-01	oos	0.067655	0.062331	-7.87%	0.06178	-8.68%	0.0120	✓	0.55
2026-09-30	oos	0.069015	0.063043	-8.65%	0.064415	-6.67%	0.0234	✓	0.57
2026-09-29	oos	0.066025	0.060466	-8.42%	0.06901	+4.52%	0.1192	✗	0.58
2026-09-28	oos	0.061035	0.055878	-8.45%	0.07369	+20.73%	0.2612	✗	0.57
2026-09-27	oos	0.06903	0.062464	-9.51%	0.0701	+1.55%	0.1039	✗	0.48
2026-09-26	oos	0.066875	0.060133	-10.08%	0.072825	+8.90%	0.1896	✗	0.48
2026-09-25	oos	0.058715	0.053358	-9.12%	0.06417	+9.29%	0.1822	✗	0.47
2026-09-24	oos	0.0597	0.053828	-9.84%	0.067655	+13.32%	0.2261	✗	0.47
2026-09-23	oos	0.05971	0.053287	-10.76%	0.069015	+15.58%	0.2684	✗	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.060325	0.053869	-10.70%	0.066025	+9.45%	0.2336	✗	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.06106	0.054113	-11.38%	0.061035	-0.04%	0.1573	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.062015	0.055477	-10.54%	0.06903	+11.31%	0.1787	✗	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.07045	0.062469	-11.33%	0.066875	-5.07%	0.0297	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.066755	0.059188	-11.34%	0.058715	-12.04%	0.0470	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.0641	0.05738	-10.48%	0.0597	-6.86%	0.0605	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.05471	0.050042	-8.53%	0.05971	+9.14%	0.0740	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.043735	0.042288	-3.31%	0.060325	+37.93%	0.2238	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.049085	0.046769	-4.72%	0.06106	+24.40%	0.1644	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.04818	0.046492	-3.50%	0.062015	+28.72%	0.2329	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.050545	0.048698	-3.65%	0.07045	+39.38%	0.3192	✗	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.051095	0.04941	-3.30%	0.066755	+30.65%	0.2545	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.05233	0.050738	-3.04%	0.0641	+22.49%	0.2362	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.05138	0.050426	-1.86%	0.05471	+6.48%	0.1093	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.05349	0.052686	-1.50%	0.043735	-18.24%	0.1490	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.05533	0.05471	-1.12%	0.049085	-11.29%	0.0968	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.05607	0.055759	-0.55%	0.04818	-14.07%	0.1010	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.055135	0.055655	+0.94%	0.050545	-8.33%	0.0636	✗	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.05539	0.056611	+2.20%	0.051095	-7.75%	0.0711	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.059025	0.060241	+2.06%	0.05233	-11.34%	0.0809	✗	1.00