FOLD

The Interfold · Ethereum · beta_5y

token id: #290
symbol: FOLD
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xe172e9b6cfbeeb5593bdce3f077356fdb33af904
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-25
predictions: 150

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 50 predictions shown

direction hit

55.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0469

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0088

actual -0.0047

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.04925	0.04886	-0.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.87
2026-10-21	oos	0.05009	0.049715	-0.75%	0.04925	-1.68%	0.0114	✓	0.87
2026-10-20	oos	0.04858	0.048195	-0.79%	0.05009	+3.11%	0.0275	✗	0.85
2026-10-19	oos	0.04751	0.047126	-0.81%	0.04858	+2.25%	0.0193	✗	0.83
2026-10-18	oos	0.04779	0.047401	-0.81%	0.04751	-0.59%	0.0040	✓	0.83
2026-10-17	oos	0.05113	0.05069	-0.86%	0.04779	-6.53%	0.0655	✓	0.86
2026-10-16	oos	0.05269	0.052228	-0.88%	0.05113	-2.96%	0.0200	✓	0.86
2026-10-15	oos	0.05285	0.05236	-0.93%	0.05269	-0.30%	0.0129	✗	0.86
2026-10-14	oos	0.05383	0.05332	-0.95%	0.05285	-1.82%	0.0148	✓	0.87
2026-10-13	oos	0.060215	0.059629	-0.97%	0.05383	-10.60%	0.0878	✓	0.78
2026-10-12	oos	0.059405	0.058786	-1.04%	0.060215	+1.36%	0.0114	✗	0.76
2026-10-11	oos	0.06681	0.065949	-1.29%	0.059405	-11.08%	0.0895	✓	0.64
2026-10-10	oos	0.06538	0.064635	-1.14%	0.06681	+2.19%	0.0273	✗	0.63
2026-10-09	oos	0.064485	0.063776	-1.10%	0.06538	+1.39%	0.0221	✗	0.62
2026-10-08	oos	0.06178	0.061104	-1.09%	0.064485	+4.38%	0.0477	✗	0.60
2026-10-07	oos	0.064415	0.063722	-1.08%	0.06178	-4.09%	0.0199	✓	0.57
2026-10-06	oos	0.06901	0.068294	-1.04%	0.064415	-6.66%	0.0451	✓	0.50
2026-10-05	oos	0.07369	0.072817	-1.18%	0.06901	-6.35%	0.0525	✓	0.48
2026-10-04	oos	0.0701	0.069327	-1.10%	0.07369	+5.12%	0.0657	✗	0.53
2026-10-03	oos	0.072825	0.071833	-1.36%	0.0701	-3.74%	0.0362	✓	0.57
2026-10-02	oos	0.06417	0.063483	-1.07%	0.072825	+13.49%	0.1357	✗	0.57
2026-10-01	oos	0.067655	0.0669	-1.12%	0.06417	-5.15%	0.0394	✓	0.55
2026-09-30	oos	0.069015	0.068084	-1.35%	0.067655	-1.97%	0.0150	✓	0.57
2026-09-29	oos	0.066025	0.06521	-1.23%	0.069015	+4.53%	0.0573	✗	0.58
2026-09-28	oos	0.061035	0.060339	-1.14%	0.066025	+8.18%	0.0888	✗	0.57
2026-09-27	oos	0.06903	0.068141	-1.29%	0.061035	-11.58%	0.1044	✓	0.48
2026-09-26	oos	0.066875	0.065957	-1.37%	0.06903	+3.22%	0.0453	✗	0.48
2026-09-25	oos	0.058715	0.058028	-1.17%	0.066875	+13.90%	0.1401	✗	0.47
2026-09-24	oos	0.0597	0.059015	-1.15%	0.058715	-1.65%	0.0035	✓	0.47
2026-09-23	oos	0.05971	0.059059	-1.09%	0.0597	-0.02%	0.0107	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.060325	0.059749	-0.95%	0.05971	-1.02%	0.0207	✗	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.06106	0.060534	-0.86%	0.060325	-1.20%	0.0011	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.062015	0.061379	-1.03%	0.06106	-1.54%	0.0700	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.07045	0.069476	-1.38%	0.062015	-11.97%	0.1127	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.066755	0.065852	-1.35%	0.07045	+5.54%	0.0631	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.0641	0.062964	-1.77%	0.066755	+4.14%	0.0009	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.05471	0.054058	-1.19%	0.0641	+17.16%	0.1677	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.043735	0.04367	-0.15%	0.05471	+25.09%	0.2180	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.049085	0.048867	-0.44%	0.043735	-10.90%	0.0772	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.04818	0.048014	-0.34%	0.049085	+1.88%	0.0043	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.050545	0.050363	-0.36%	0.04818	-4.68%	0.0383	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.051095	0.050935	-0.31%	0.050545	-1.08%	0.0084	✓	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.05233	0.052147	-0.35%	0.051095	-2.36%	0.0291	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.05138	0.051236	-0.28%	0.05233	+1.85%	0.0437	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.05349	0.053346	-0.27%	0.05138	-3.94%	0.0355	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.05533	0.055209	-0.22%	0.05349	-3.33%	0.0234	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.05607	0.05599	-0.14%	0.05533	-1.32%	0.0038	✗	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.055135	0.055052	-0.15%	0.05607	+1.70%	0.0120	✗	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.05539	0.055348	-0.08%	0.055135	-0.46%	0.0058	✓	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.059025	0.059032	+0.01%	0.05539	-6.16%	0.0439	✗	1.00