FOLD
The Interfold · Ethereum · beta_5y
- token id
- #290
- symbol
- FOLD
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0xe172e9b6cfbeeb5593bdce3f077356fdb33af904
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-25
- predictions
- 150
Track record at +30d
assessed
20
of 50 predictions shown
direction hit
35.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2232
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.2068
actual +0.0004
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | live | 0.04925 | 0.046242 | -6.11% | – | pending | – | – | 0.87 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.04772 | 0.044698 | -6.33% | – | pending | – | – | 0.85 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.04858 | 0.045238 | -6.88% | – | pending | – | – | 0.85 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.04751 | 0.04433 | -6.69% | – | pending | – | – | 0.83 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.04779 | 0.044408 | -7.08% | – | pending | – | – | 0.83 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.05113 | 0.047163 | -7.76% | – | pending | – | – | 0.86 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.05269 | 0.048189 | -8.54% | – | pending | – | – | 0.86 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.05285 | 0.04803 | -9.12% | – | pending | – | – | 0.86 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.05383 | 0.04883 | -9.29% | – | pending | – | – | 0.87 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.060215 | 0.054015 | -10.30% | – | pending | – | – | 0.78 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.059405 | 0.052826 | -11.08% | – | pending | – | – | 0.76 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.06681 | 0.058467 | -12.49% | – | pending | – | – | 0.64 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.06538 | 0.057517 | -12.03% | – | pending | – | – | 0.63 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.064485 | 0.05615 | -12.92% | – | pending | – | – | 0.62 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.06178 | 0.053317 | -13.70% | – | pending | – | – | 0.60 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.064415 | 0.054996 | -14.62% | – | pending | – | – | 0.57 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.06901 | 0.058266 | -15.57% | – | pending | – | – | 0.50 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.07369 | 0.061652 | -16.34% | – | pending | – | – | 0.48 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.0701 | 0.058235 | -16.93% | – | pending | – | – | 0.53 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.072825 | 0.059682 | -18.05% | – | pending | – | – | 0.57 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.06417 | 0.052548 | -18.11% | – | pending | – | – | 0.57 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.067655 | 0.055 | -18.70% | – | pending | – | – | 0.55 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.069015 | 0.055398 | -19.73% | – | pending | – | – | 0.57 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.066025 | 0.053042 | -19.66% | – | pending | – | – | 0.58 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.061035 | 0.04867 | -20.26% | – | pending | – | – | 0.57 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.06903 | 0.054078 | -21.66% | – | pending | – | – | 0.48 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.066875 | 0.051928 | -22.35% | – | pending | – | – | 0.48 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.058715 | 0.046048 | -21.57% | – | pending | – | – | 0.47 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.0597 | 0.046014 | -22.93% | – | pending | – | – | 0.47 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.05971 | 0.04513 | -24.42% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.060325 | 0.045545 | -24.50% | 0.04925 | -18.36% | 0.1014 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.06106 | 0.04535 | -25.73% | 0.04772 | -21.85% | 0.0970 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.062015 | 0.046358 | -25.25% | 0.04858 | -21.66% | 0.0251 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.07045 | 0.052328 | -25.72% | 0.04751 | -32.56% | 0.1040 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.066755 | 0.049314 | -26.13% | 0.04779 | -28.41% | 0.0453 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.0641 | 0.048492 | -24.35% | 0.05113 | -20.23% | 0.0109 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.05471 | 0.0424 | -22.50% | 0.05269 | -3.69% | 0.1493 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.043735 | 0.036448 | -16.66% | 0.05285 | +20.84% | 0.2886 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.049085 | 0.039782 | -18.95% | 0.05383 | +9.67% | 0.2599 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.04818 | 0.039849 | -17.29% | 0.060215 | +24.98% | 0.3340 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.050545 | 0.041571 | -17.75% | 0.059405 | +17.53% | 0.3006 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.051095 | 0.042109 | -17.59% | 0.06681 | +30.76% | 0.3811 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.05233 | 0.04338 | -17.10% | 0.06538 | +24.94% | 0.3302 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.05138 | 0.043034 | -16.24% | 0.064485 | +25.51% | 0.3515 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.05349 | 0.045075 | -15.73% | 0.06178 | +15.50% | 0.2747 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.05533 | 0.046934 | -15.17% | 0.064415 | +16.42% | 0.2651 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.05607 | 0.048155 | -14.12% | 0.06901 | +23.08% | 0.2971 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.055135 | 0.048368 | -12.27% | 0.07369 | +33.65% | 0.3495 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.05539 | 0.050174 | -9.42% | 0.0701 | +26.56% | 0.2522 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.059025 | 0.054576 | -7.54% | 0.072825 | +23.38% | 0.2466 | ✗ | 1.00 |