FOLD

The Interfold · Ethereum · beta_5y

token id: #290
symbol: FOLD
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xe172e9b6cfbeeb5593bdce3f077356fdb33af904
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-25
predictions: 147

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 49 predictions shown

direction hit

56.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0479

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0089

actual -0.0051

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.04772	0.047525	-0.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-20	oos	0.04858	0.048341	-0.49%	0.04772	-1.77%	0.0104	✓	0.85
2026-10-19	oos	0.04751	0.047331	-0.38%	0.04858	+2.25%	0.0149	✗	0.83
2026-10-18	oos	0.04779	0.047601	-0.40%	0.04751	-0.59%	0.0002	✓	0.83
2026-10-17	oos	0.05113	0.0509	-0.45%	0.04779	-6.53%	0.0696	✓	0.86
2026-10-16	oos	0.05269	0.052414	-0.52%	0.05113	-2.96%	0.0236	✓	0.86
2026-10-15	oos	0.05285	0.052541	-0.59%	0.05269	-0.30%	0.0094	✗	0.86
2026-10-14	oos	0.05383	0.053551	-0.52%	0.05285	-1.82%	0.0191	✓	0.87
2026-10-13	oos	0.060215	0.059799	-0.69%	0.05383	-10.60%	0.0907	✓	0.78
2026-10-12	oos	0.059405	0.058966	-0.74%	0.060215	+1.36%	0.0083	✗	0.76
2026-10-11	oos	0.06681	0.065972	-1.25%	0.059405	-11.08%	0.0899	✓	0.64
2026-10-10	oos	0.06538	0.064798	-0.89%	0.06681	+2.19%	0.0248	✗	0.63
2026-10-09	oos	0.064485	0.063894	-0.92%	0.06538	+1.39%	0.0202	✗	0.62
2026-10-08	oos	0.06178	0.061232	-0.89%	0.064485	+4.38%	0.0456	✗	0.60
2026-10-07	oos	0.064415	0.063794	-0.96%	0.06178	-4.09%	0.0211	✓	0.57
2026-10-06	oos	0.06901	0.068258	-1.09%	0.064415	-6.66%	0.0446	✓	0.50
2026-10-05	oos	0.07369	0.072669	-1.39%	0.06901	-6.35%	0.0505	✓	0.48
2026-10-04	oos	0.0701	0.069183	-1.31%	0.07369	+5.12%	0.0677	✗	0.53
2026-10-03	oos	0.072825	0.071578	-1.71%	0.0701	-3.74%	0.0327	✓	0.57
2026-10-02	oos	0.06417	0.063357	-1.27%	0.072825	+13.49%	0.1377	✗	0.57
2026-10-01	oos	0.067655	0.066728	-1.37%	0.06417	-5.15%	0.0368	✓	0.55
2026-09-30	oos	0.069015	0.067836	-1.71%	0.067655	-1.97%	0.0113	✓	0.57
2026-09-29	oos	0.066025	0.065012	-1.53%	0.069015	+4.53%	0.0603	✗	0.58
2026-09-28	oos	0.061035	0.060219	-1.34%	0.066025	+8.18%	0.0908	✗	0.57
2026-09-27	oos	0.06903	0.067814	-1.76%	0.061035	-11.58%	0.0996	✓	0.48
2026-09-26	oos	0.066875	0.065533	-2.01%	0.06903	+3.22%	0.0517	✗	0.48
2026-09-25	oos	0.058715	0.057844	-1.48%	0.066875	+13.90%	0.1433	✗	0.47
2026-09-24	oos	0.0597	0.058752	-1.59%	0.058715	-1.65%	0.0010	✓	0.47
2026-09-23	oos	0.05971	0.058649	-1.78%	0.0597	-0.02%	0.0177	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.060325	0.059333	-1.64%	0.05971	-1.02%	0.0277	✗	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.06106	0.060021	-1.70%	0.060325	-1.20%	0.0096	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.062015	0.061118	-1.45%	0.06106	-1.54%	0.0658	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.07045	0.069032	-2.01%	0.062015	-11.97%	0.1063	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.066755	0.065428	-1.99%	0.07045	+5.54%	0.0695	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.0641	0.062725	-2.15%	0.066755	+4.14%	0.0047	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.05471	0.053881	-1.51%	0.0641	+17.16%	0.1710	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.043735	0.043705	-0.07%	0.05471	+25.09%	0.2172	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.049085	0.048933	-0.31%	0.043735	-10.90%	0.0786	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.04818	0.048135	-0.09%	0.049085	+1.88%	0.0018	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.050545	0.050489	-0.11%	0.04818	-4.68%	0.0408	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.051095	0.051067	-0.05%	0.050545	-1.08%	0.0110	✓	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.05233	0.052288	-0.08%	0.051095	-2.36%	0.0318	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.05138	0.051473	+0.18%	0.05233	+1.85%	0.0391	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.05349	0.053602	+0.21%	0.05138	-3.94%	0.0402	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.05533	0.05545	+0.22%	0.05349	-3.33%	0.0278	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.05607	0.056181	+0.20%	0.05533	-1.32%	0.0004	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.055135	0.055364	+0.41%	0.05607	+1.70%	0.0063	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.05539	0.055653	+0.48%	0.055135	-0.46%	0.0113	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.059025	0.059205	+0.31%	0.05539	-6.16%	0.0469	✗	1.00