CAP
Cap · Ethereum · beta_5y
- token id
- #71
- symbol
- CAP
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x99991c6aabba5a096f24f250b73580f5179b9999
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-06-26
- predictions
- 330
Track record at +7d
assessed
103
of 110 predictions shown
direction hit
33.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2671
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0445
actual +0.1223
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | live | 0.069027 | 0.066755 | -3.29% | – | pending | – | – | -0.47 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.066581 | 0.064628 | -2.93% | – | pending | – | – | -0.52 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.068735 | 0.066674 | -3.00% | – | pending | – | – | -0.57 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.066889 | 0.065146 | -2.61% | – | pending | – | – | -0.59 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.070477 | 0.068552 | -2.73% | – | pending | – | – | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.073935 | 0.071821 | -2.86% | – | pending | – | – | -0.60 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.072748 | 0.070921 | -2.51% | – | pending | – | – | -0.59 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.07849 | 0.076235 | -2.87% | 0.069027 | -12.06% | 0.0837 | ✓ | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.073752 | 0.072149 | -2.17% | 0.066581 | -9.72% | 0.0717 | ✓ | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.088248 | 0.085541 | -3.07% | 0.068735 | -22.11% | 0.2202 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.097059 | 0.092618 | -4.58% | 0.066889 | -31.08% | 0.3246 | ✓ | -0.72 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.092361 | 0.089204 | -3.42% | 0.070477 | -23.69% | 0.2530 | ✓ | -0.86 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.092402 | 0.088325 | -4.41% | 0.073935 | -19.99% | 0.1949 | ✓ | -0.92 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.086635 | 0.083408 | -3.72% | 0.072748 | -16.03% | 0.1485 | ✓ | -0.92 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.073139 | 0.071056 | -2.85% | 0.07849 | +7.31% | 0.1042 | ✗ | -0.90 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.07128 | 0.069127 | -3.02% | 0.073752 | +3.47% | 0.0452 | ✗ | -0.94 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.087975 | 0.082945 | -5.72% | 0.088248 | +0.31% | 0.0282 | ✓ | -1.17 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.073941 | 0.071214 | -3.69% | 0.097059 | +31.27% | 0.2539 | ✗ | -1.17 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.065278 | 0.063253 | -3.10% | 0.092361 | +41.49% | 0.3415 | ✗ | -1.12 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.069035 | 0.066643 | -3.47% | 0.092402 | +33.85% | 0.3027 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.074028 | 0.070638 | -4.58% | 0.086635 | +17.03% | 0.1784 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.069846 | 0.0666 | -4.65% | 0.073139 | +4.72% | 0.0529 | ✗ | -1.08 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.069306 | 0.065875 | -4.95% | 0.07128 | +2.85% | 0.0751 | ✗ | -1.12 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.059839 | 0.056717 | -5.22% | 0.087975 | +47.02% | 0.4641 | ✗ | -1.12 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.056407 | 0.05322 | -5.65% | 0.073941 | +31.08% | 0.3613 | ✗ | -1.20 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.053595 | 0.050603 | -5.58% | 0.065278 | +21.80% | 0.2836 | ✗ | -1.21 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.051578 | 0.048604 | -5.77% | 0.069035 | +33.85% | 0.3555 | ✗ | -1.20 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.052128 | 0.048863 | -6.26% | 0.074028 | +42.01% | 0.4211 | ✗ | -1.17 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.049949 | 0.046665 | -6.58% | 0.069846 | +39.83% | 0.4096 | ✗ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.053106 | 0.049167 | -7.42% | 0.069306 | +30.50% | 0.3319 | ✗ | -1.16 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.046809 | 0.043759 | -6.52% | 0.059839 | +27.84% | 0.2798 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.045872 | 0.042856 | -6.58% | 0.056407 | +22.97% | 0.2342 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.044741 | 0.042192 | -5.70% | 0.053595 | +19.79% | 0.2894 | ✗ | -1.26 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.047769 | 0.044729 | -6.37% | 0.051578 | +7.97% | 0.1912 | ✗ | -1.27 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.05581 | 0.052668 | -5.63% | 0.052128 | -6.60% | 0.0390 | ✓ | -1.26 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.054984 | 0.052459 | -4.59% | 0.049949 | -9.16% | 0.0912 | ✗ | -1.40 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.060022 | 0.056796 | -5.37% | 0.053106 | -11.52% | 0.0767 | ✗ | -1.40 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.057324 | 0.054233 | -5.39% | 0.046809 | -18.34% | 0.0378 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.064413 | 0.058584 | -9.05% | 0.045872 | -28.78% | 0.0773 | ✓ | -1.64 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.047068 | 0.045523 | -3.28% | 0.044741 | -4.94% | 0.0823 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.044869 | 0.043808 | -2.36% | 0.047769 | +6.46% | 0.1765 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.04448 | 0.043748 | -1.65% | 0.05581 | +25.47% | 0.3268 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.045466 | 0.044932 | -1.17% | 0.054984 | +20.93% | 0.1975 | ✗ | -1.79 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.047448 | 0.046869 | -1.22% | 0.060022 | +26.50% | 0.1952 | ✗ | -1.88 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.046785 | 0.046623 | -0.35% | 0.057324 | +22.53% | 0.1366 | ✗ | -1.88 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.046622 | 0.046706 | +0.18% | 0.064413 | +38.16% | 0.2994 | ✓ | -1.89 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.042957 | 0.043686 | +1.70% | 0.047068 | +9.57% | 0.0095 | ✓ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.044706 | 0.04552 | +1.82% | 0.044869 | +0.37% | 0.0753 | ✗ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.045241 | 0.04604 | +1.76% | 0.04448 | -1.68% | 0.0930 | ✗ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.04878 | 0.048505 | -0.56% | 0.045466 | -6.79% | 0.1832 | ✓ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.072695 | 0.070745 | -2.68% | 0.047448 | -34.73% | 0.3821 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.070557 | 0.068662 | -2.69% | 0.046785 | -33.69% | 0.3651 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.068387 | 0.066266 | -3.10% | 0.046622 | -31.83% | 0.3423 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.068164 | 0.065774 | -3.51% | 0.042957 | -36.98% | 0.3792 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.069214 | 0.066409 | -4.05% | 0.044706 | -35.41% | 0.3673 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.069928 | 0.066907 | -4.32% | 0.045241 | -35.30% | 0.3585 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.066045 | 0.062946 | -4.69% | 0.04878 | -26.14% | 0.2377 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.070614 | 0.067161 | -4.89% | 0.072695 | +2.95% | 0.0488 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.069435 | 0.066008 | -4.94% | 0.070557 | +1.62% | 0.0466 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.068823 | 0.065432 | -4.93% | 0.068387 | -0.63% | 0.0368 | ✓ | -1.39 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.069367 | 0.06587 | -5.04% | 0.068164 | -1.73% | 0.0331 | ✓ | -1.39 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.070097 | 0.066511 | -5.12% | 0.069214 | -1.26% | 0.0609 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.067073 | 0.063842 | -4.82% | 0.069928 | +4.26% | 0.0824 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.064753 | 0.061407 | -5.17% | 0.066045 | +2.00% | 0.2442 | ✗ | -1.81 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.067798 | 0.063898 | -5.75% | 0.070614 | +4.15% | 0.3492 | ✗ | -1.90 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.068975 | 0.064913 | -5.89% | 0.069435 | +0.67% | 0.5504 | ✗ | -2.49 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.070634 | 0.065979 | -6.59% | 0.068823 | -2.56% | 0.5463 | ✗ | -2.48 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.067132 | 0.063028 | -6.11% | 0.069367 | +3.33% | 0.6743 | ✗ | -2.72 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.062121 | 0.058537 | -5.77% | 0.070097 | +12.84% | 0.7231 | ✗ | -2.70 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.065324 | 0.059997 | -8.15% | 0.067073 | +2.68% | 0.7009 | ✗ | -2.70 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.056743 | 0.053368 | -5.95% | 0.064753 | +14.12% | 0.5616 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.055292 | 0.051892 | -6.15% | 0.067798 | +22.62% | 0.4996 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.054776 | 0.050559 | -7.70% | 0.068975 | +25.92% | 0.3576 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.046134 | 0.042781 | -7.27% | 0.070634 | +53.11% | 0.5236 | ✗ | -2.52 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.039386 | 0.037344 | -5.18% | 0.067132 | +70.45% | 0.5130 | ✗ | -2.33 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.036911 | 0.034944 | -5.33% | 0.062121 | +68.30% | 0.5069 | ✗ | -2.32 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.035967 | 0.033796 | -6.04% | 0.065324 | +81.62% | 0.5897 | ✗ | -2.31 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.030811 | 0.028938 | -6.08% | 0.056743 | +84.16% | 0.6410 | ✗ | -2.45 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.02783 | 0.02659 | -4.45% | 0.055292 | +98.68% | 0.6876 | ✗ | -2.39 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.025369 | 0.02443 | -3.70% | 0.054776 | +115.92% | 0.7873 | ✗ | -2.47 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.027598 | 0.026455 | -4.14% | 0.046134 | +67.17% | 0.5730 | ✗ | -2.42 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.029535 | 0.02812 | -4.79% | 0.039386 | +33.36% | 0.3882 | ✗ | -2.44 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.027282 | 0.026137 | -4.20% | 0.036911 | +35.30% | 0.4310 | ✗ | -2.55 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.039226 | 0.036272 | -7.53% | 0.035967 | -8.31% | 0.0771 | ✓ | -2.65 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.034526 | 0.031938 | -7.50% | 0.030811 | -10.76% | 0.0536 | ✓ | -2.50 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.026065 | 0.024907 | -4.44% | 0.02783 | +6.77% | 0.1430 | ✗ | -2.91 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.027298 | 0.025829 | -5.38% | 0.025369 | -7.07% | 0.0087 | ✓ | -2.92 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.024081 | 0.022999 | -4.49% | 0.027598 | +14.60% | 0.1718 | ✗ | -2.92 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.022534 | 0.02164 | -3.97% | 0.029535 | +31.07% | 0.2266 | ✗ | -2.95 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.020987 | 0.020172 | -3.89% | 0.027282 | +29.99% | 0.3260 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.02708 | 0.025513 | -5.79% | 0.039226 | +44.85% | 0.4500 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.023588 | 0.022447 | -4.83% | 0.034526 | +46.37% | 0.4356 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.021176 | 0.020308 | -4.10% | 0.026065 | +23.09% | 0.2833 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.019997 | 0.019207 | -3.95% | 0.027298 | +36.51% | 0.3925 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.02103 | 0.0201 | -4.42% | 0.024081 | +14.51% | 0.2043 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.018488 | 0.01773 | -4.10% | 0.022534 | +21.89% | 0.2296 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.018888 | 0.018123 | -4.05% | 0.020987 | +11.12% | 0.1545 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.018668 | 0.017891 | -4.16% | 0.02708 | +45.06% | 0.4116 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.018416 | 0.017642 | -4.20% | 0.023588 | +28.08% | 0.2706 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.018352 | 0.017586 | -4.18% | 0.021176 | +15.39% | 0.1648 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.016452 | 0.01584 | -3.72% | 0.019997 | +21.55% | 0.2098 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.019108 | 0.018359 | -3.92% | 0.02103 | +10.06% | 0.0896 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.017007 | 0.016432 | -3.38% | 0.018488 | +8.71% | 0.1032 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.015945 | 0.015458 | -3.05% | 0.018888 | +18.46% | 0.1845 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.019616 | 0.019059 | -2.84% | 0.018668 | -4.83% | 0.0171 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.021747 | 0.021083 | -3.05% | 0.018416 | -15.32% | 0.1446 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.022573 | 0.021794 | -3.45% | 0.018352 | -18.70% | 0.2110 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.020944 | 0.020332 | -2.92% | 0.016452 | -21.45% | 0.2377 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.02124 | 0.0206 | -3.01% | 0.019108 | -10.04% | 0.0477 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.023265 | 0.022398 | -3.73% | 0.017007 | -26.90% | 0.2778 | ✓ | 1.00 |