CAP

Cap · Ethereum · beta_5y

token id: #71
symbol: CAP
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x99991c6aabba5a096f24f250b73580f5179b9999
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-26
predictions: 330

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

109

of 110 predictions shown

direction hit

37.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0832

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0099

actual +0.0132

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.069027	0.068587	-0.64%	–	pending	–	–	-0.47
2026-10-21	oos	0.066581	0.066226	-0.53%	0.069027	+0.08%	0.0074	✗	-0.52
2026-10-20	oos	0.068735	0.068327	-0.59%	0.066581	-3.13%	0.0276	✓	-0.57
2026-10-19	oos	0.066889	0.066564	-0.49%	0.068735	+2.76%	0.0400	✗	-0.59
2026-10-18	oos	0.070477	0.0701	-0.54%	0.066889	-5.09%	0.0482	✓	-0.62
2026-10-17	oos	0.073935	0.073499	-0.59%	0.070477	-4.68%	0.0374	✓	-0.60
2026-10-16	oos	0.072748	0.072399	-0.48%	0.073935	+1.63%	0.0201	✗	-0.59
2026-10-15	oos	0.07849	0.077995	-0.63%	0.072748	-7.32%	0.0744	✓	-0.62
2026-10-14	oos	0.073752	0.073486	-0.36%	0.07849	+6.42%	0.0701	✗	-0.63
2026-10-13	oos	0.088248	0.087667	-0.66%	0.073752	-16.43%	0.1866	✓	-0.74
2026-10-12	oos	0.097059	0.09573	-1.37%	0.088248	-9.08%	0.0695	✓	-0.72
2026-10-11	oos	0.092361	0.091586	-0.84%	0.097059	+5.09%	0.0379	✗	-0.86
2026-10-10	oos	0.092402	0.091105	-1.40%	0.092361	-0.04%	0.0221	✗	-0.92
2026-10-09	oos	0.086635	0.085698	-1.08%	0.092402	+6.66%	0.0794	✗	-0.92
2026-10-08	oos	0.073139	0.072623	-0.71%	0.086635	+18.45%	0.1858	✗	-0.90
2026-10-07	oos	0.07128	0.070748	-0.75%	0.073139	+2.61%	0.0152	✗	-0.94
2026-10-06	oos	0.087975	0.086037	-2.20%	0.07128	-18.98%	0.2195	✓	-1.17
2026-10-05	oos	0.073941	0.073168	-1.04%	0.087975	+18.98%	0.1815	✗	-1.17
2026-10-04	oos	0.065278	0.064835	-0.68%	0.073941	+13.27%	0.1216	✗	-1.12
2026-10-03	oos	0.069035	0.068516	-0.75%	0.065278	-5.44%	0.0257	✓	-1.10
2026-10-02	oos	0.074028	0.073044	-1.33%	0.069035	-6.74%	0.0534	✓	-1.10
2026-10-01	oos	0.069846	0.068991	-1.22%	0.074028	+5.99%	0.0661	✗	-1.08
2026-09-30	oos	0.069306	0.068418	-1.28%	0.069846	+0.78%	0.0378	✗	-1.12
2026-09-29	oos	0.059839	0.059145	-1.16%	0.069306	+15.82%	0.1574	✗	-1.12
2026-09-28	oos	0.056407	0.055718	-1.22%	0.059839	+6.09%	0.0740	✗	-1.20
2026-09-27	oos	0.053595	0.053024	-1.06%	0.056407	+5.25%	0.0473	✗	-1.21
2026-09-26	oos	0.051578	0.051064	-1.00%	0.053595	+3.91%	0.0490	✗	-1.20
2026-09-25	oos	0.052128	0.05154	-1.13%	0.051578	-1.05%	0.0052	✓	-1.17
2026-09-24	oos	0.049949	0.049379	-1.14%	0.052128	+4.36%	0.0502	✗	-1.15
2026-09-23	oos	0.053106	0.052211	-1.68%	0.049949	-5.94%	0.0442	✓	-1.16
2026-09-22	oos	0.046809	0.046312	-1.06%	0.053106	+13.45%	0.1134	✗	-1.10
2026-09-21	oos	0.045872	0.045425	-0.97%	0.046809	+2.04%	0.0250	✗	-1.10
2026-09-20	oos	0.044741	0.04442	-0.72%	0.045872	+2.53%	0.1137	✗	-1.26
2026-09-19	oos	0.047769	0.04725	-1.09%	0.044741	-6.34%	0.0557	✓	-1.27
2026-09-18	oos	0.05581	0.05528	-0.95%	0.047769	-14.41%	0.1404	✓	-1.26
2026-09-17	oos	0.054984	0.054539	-0.81%	0.05581	+1.50%	0.1037	✗	-1.40
2026-09-16	oos	0.060022	0.059254	-1.28%	0.054984	-8.39%	0.0710	✓	-1.40
2026-09-15	oos	0.057324	0.056523	-1.40%	0.060022	+4.71%	0.0705	✗	-1.41
2026-09-14	oos	0.064413	0.062337	-3.22%	0.057324	-11.01%	0.1390	✓	-1.64
2026-09-13	oos	0.047068	0.046851	-0.46%	0.064413	+36.85%	0.3503	✗	-1.80
2026-09-12	oos	0.044869	0.044767	-0.23%	0.047068	+4.90%	0.0393	✗	-1.80
2026-09-11	oos	0.04448	0.044436	-0.10%	0.044869	+0.87%	0.0110	✗	-1.80
2026-09-10	oos	0.045466	0.045442	-0.05%	0.04448	-2.17%	0.0057	✓	-1.79
2026-09-09	oos	0.047448	0.047414	-0.07%	0.045466	-4.18%	0.0844	✓	-1.88
2026-09-08	oos	0.046785	0.046816	+0.07%	0.047448	+1.42%	0.0095	✓	-1.88
2026-09-07	oos	0.046622	0.046668	+0.10%	0.046785	+0.35%	0.0130	✗	-1.89
2026-09-06	oos	0.042957	0.043128	+0.40%	0.046622	+8.53%	0.0487	✓	-1.86
2026-09-05	oos	0.044706	0.044883	+0.40%	0.042957	-3.91%	0.0321	✗	-1.86
2026-09-04	oos	0.045241	0.045411	+0.37%	0.044706	-1.18%	0.0120	✗	-1.86
2026-09-03	oos	0.04878	0.04875	-0.06%	0.045241	-7.25%	0.1137	✓	-1.98
2026-09-02	oos	0.072695	0.072155	-0.74%	0.04878	-32.90%	0.3226	✓	-1.38
2026-09-01	oos	0.070557	0.070042	-0.73%	0.072695	+3.03%	0.0355	✗	-1.38
2026-08-31	oos	0.068387	0.067864	-0.76%	0.070557	+3.17%	0.0183	✗	-1.38
2026-08-30	oos	0.068164	0.0676	-0.83%	0.068387	+0.33%	0.0275	✗	-1.38
2026-08-29	oos	0.069214	0.068576	-0.92%	0.068164	-1.52%	0.0163	✓	-1.41
2026-08-28	oos	0.069928	0.069244	-0.98%	0.069214	-1.02%	0.0067	✓	-1.40
2026-08-27	oos	0.066045	0.065404	-0.97%	0.069928	+5.88%	0.0233	✗	-1.41
2026-08-26	oos	0.070614	0.069856	-1.07%	0.066045	-6.47%	0.0344	✓	-1.38
2026-08-25	oos	0.069435	0.068687	-1.08%	0.070614	+1.70%	0.0364	✗	-1.38
2026-08-24	oos	0.068823	0.068089	-1.07%	0.069435	+0.89%	0.0115	✗	-1.39
2026-08-23	oos	0.069367	0.068581	-1.13%	0.068823	-0.78%	0.0257	✗	-1.39
2026-08-22	oos	0.070097	0.069257	-1.20%	0.069367	-1.04%	0.0137	✗	-1.38
2026-08-21	oos	0.067073	0.066309	-1.14%	0.070097	+4.51%	0.0329	✗	-1.38
2026-08-20	oos	0.064753	0.064029	-1.12%	0.067073	+3.58%	0.1734	✗	-1.81
2026-08-19	oos	0.067798	0.066907	-1.31%	0.064753	-4.49%	0.0663	✗	-1.90
2026-08-18	oos	0.068975	0.068075	-1.30%	0.067798	-1.71%	0.1677	✗	-2.49
2026-08-17	oos	0.070634	0.069412	-1.73%	0.068975	-2.35%	0.0015	✓	-2.48
2026-08-16	oos	0.067132	0.0661	-1.54%	0.070634	+5.22%	0.1364	✗	-2.72
2026-08-15	oos	0.062121	0.061232	-1.43%	0.067132	+8.07%	0.0842	✗	-2.70
2026-08-14	oos	0.065324	0.063502	-2.79%	0.062121	-4.90%	0.0201	✓	-2.70
2026-08-13	oos	0.056743	0.055863	-1.55%	0.065324	+15.12%	0.1378	✗	-2.62
2026-08-12	oos	0.055292	0.054349	-1.70%	0.056743	+2.62%	0.0437	✗	-2.62
2026-08-11	oos	0.054776	0.053351	-2.60%	0.055292	+0.94%	0.0308	✗	-2.62
2026-08-10	oos	0.046134	0.045044	-2.36%	0.054776	+18.73%	0.1806	✗	-2.52
2026-08-09	oos	0.039386	0.038891	-1.26%	0.046134	+17.13%	0.1369	✗	-2.33
2026-08-08	oos	0.036911	0.036403	-1.38%	0.039386	+6.70%	0.0766	✗	-2.32
2026-08-07	oos	0.035967	0.035329	-1.77%	0.036911	+2.62%	0.0444	✗	-2.31
2026-08-06	oos	0.030811	0.030249	-1.82%	0.035967	+16.74%	0.1969	✗	-2.45
2026-08-05	oos	0.02783	0.027552	-1.00%	0.030811	+10.71%	0.0993	✗	-2.39
2026-08-04	oos	0.025369	0.025206	-0.64%	0.02783	+9.70%	0.1203	✗	-2.47
2026-08-03	oos	0.027598	0.027381	-0.78%	0.025369	-8.08%	0.0541	✓	-2.42
2026-08-02	oos	0.029535	0.029225	-1.05%	0.027598	-6.56%	0.0586	✓	-2.44
2026-08-01	oos	0.027282	0.027084	-0.73%	0.029535	+8.26%	0.1164	✗	-2.55
2026-07-31	oos	0.039226	0.03834	-2.26%	0.027282	-30.45%	0.3429	✓	-2.65
2026-07-30	oos	0.034526	0.033725	-2.32%	0.039226	+13.61%	0.0767	✗	-2.50
2026-07-29	oos	0.026065	0.02582	-0.94%	0.034526	+32.46%	0.3279	✗	-2.91
2026-07-28	oos	0.027298	0.026925	-1.37%	0.026065	-4.52%	0.0302	✓	-2.92
2026-07-27	oos	0.024081	0.023832	-1.03%	0.027298	+13.36%	0.1428	✗	-2.92
2026-07-26	oos	0.022534	0.022347	-0.83%	0.024081	+6.87%	0.0006	✓	-2.95
2026-07-25	oos	0.020987	0.020839	-0.71%	0.022534	+7.37%	0.0621	✗	1.00
2026-07-24	oos	0.02708	0.026684	-1.46%	0.020987	-22.50%	0.2434	✓	1.00
2026-07-23	oos	0.023588	0.023311	-1.17%	0.02708	+14.81%	0.1649	✗	1.00
2026-07-22	oos	0.021176	0.020985	-0.90%	0.023588	+11.39%	0.1327	✗	1.00
2026-07-21	oos	0.019997	0.019834	-0.82%	0.021176	+5.90%	0.0720	✗	1.00
2026-07-20	oos	0.02103	0.020819	-1.00%	0.019997	-4.91%	0.0601	✓	1.00
2026-07-19	oos	0.018488	0.018342	-0.79%	0.02103	+13.75%	0.1286	✗	1.00
2026-07-18	oos	0.018888	0.018737	-0.80%	0.018488	-2.12%	0.0117	✓	1.00
2026-07-17	oos	0.018668	0.018515	-0.82%	0.018888	+1.18%	0.0059	✓	1.00
2026-07-16	oos	0.018416	0.018264	-0.83%	0.018668	+1.37%	0.0199	✗	1.00
2026-07-15	oos	0.018352	0.018195	-0.85%	0.018416	+0.35%	0.0268	✗	1.00
2026-07-14	oos	0.016452	0.016352	-0.61%	0.018352	+11.55%	0.1196	✗	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.019108	0.018948	-0.84%	0.016452	-13.90%	0.1841	✓	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.017007	0.016908	-0.58%	0.019108	+12.35%	0.1457	✗	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.015945	0.01588	-0.41%	0.017007	+6.66%	0.0691	✗	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.019616	0.019517	-0.50%	0.015945	-18.71%	0.1966	✓	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.021747	0.021617	-0.60%	0.019616	-9.80%	0.1121	✓	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.022573	0.022404	-0.75%	0.021747	-3.66%	0.0447	✓	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.020944	0.020831	-0.54%	0.022573	+7.78%	0.0976	✗	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.02124	0.021113	-0.60%	0.020944	-1.39%	0.0026	✓	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.023265	0.023049	-0.93%	0.02124	-8.70%	0.0883	✓	1.00