CAP
Cap · Ethereum · beta_5y
- token id
- #71
- symbol
- CAP
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x99991c6aabba5a096f24f250b73580f5179b9999
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-06-26
- predictions
- 330
Track record at +30d
assessed
80
of 110 predictions shown
direction hit
13.8%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.7656
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.1307
actual +0.6166
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | live | 0.069027 | 0.061854 | -10.39% | – | pending | – | – | -0.47 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.066581 | 0.059765 | -10.24% | – | pending | – | – | -0.52 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.068735 | 0.062041 | -9.74% | – | pending | – | – | -0.57 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.066889 | 0.060629 | -9.36% | – | pending | – | – | -0.59 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.070477 | 0.063868 | -9.38% | – | pending | – | – | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.073935 | 0.066878 | -9.54% | – | pending | – | – | -0.60 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.072748 | 0.066195 | -9.01% | – | pending | – | – | -0.59 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.07849 | 0.071253 | -9.22% | – | pending | – | – | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.073752 | 0.067479 | -8.51% | – | pending | – | – | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.088248 | 0.079725 | -9.66% | – | pending | – | – | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.097059 | 0.086158 | -11.23% | – | pending | – | – | -0.72 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.092361 | 0.083049 | -10.08% | – | pending | – | – | -0.86 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.092402 | 0.082609 | -10.60% | – | pending | – | – | -0.92 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.086635 | 0.077897 | -10.09% | – | pending | – | – | -0.92 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.073139 | 0.066499 | -9.08% | – | pending | – | – | -0.90 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.07128 | 0.06477 | -9.13% | – | pending | – | – | -0.94 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.087975 | 0.078288 | -11.01% | – | pending | – | – | -1.17 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.073941 | 0.066849 | -9.59% | – | pending | – | – | -1.17 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.065278 | 0.059254 | -9.23% | – | pending | – | – | -1.12 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.069035 | 0.062102 | -10.04% | – | pending | – | – | -1.10 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.074028 | 0.065995 | -10.85% | – | pending | – | – | -1.10 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.069846 | 0.061934 | -11.33% | – | pending | – | – | -1.08 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.069306 | 0.060954 | -12.05% | – | pending | – | – | -1.12 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.059839 | 0.052088 | -12.95% | – | pending | – | – | -1.12 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.056407 | 0.048634 | -13.78% | – | pending | – | – | -1.20 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.053595 | 0.046065 | -14.05% | – | pending | – | – | -1.21 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.051578 | 0.043981 | -14.73% | – | pending | – | – | -1.20 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.052128 | 0.043996 | -15.60% | – | pending | – | – | -1.17 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.049949 | 0.041829 | -16.26% | – | pending | – | – | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.053106 | 0.044188 | -16.79% | – | pending | – | – | -1.16 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.046809 | 0.039232 | -16.19% | 0.069027 | +47.46% | 0.5395 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.045872 | 0.038243 | -16.63% | 0.066581 | +45.14% | 0.5039 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.044741 | 0.03759 | -15.98% | 0.068735 | +53.63% | 0.6308 | ✗ | -1.26 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.047769 | 0.039942 | -16.39% | 0.066889 | +40.02% | 0.5250 | ✗ | -1.27 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.05581 | 0.047342 | -15.17% | 0.070477 | +26.28% | 0.4155 | ✗ | -1.26 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.054984 | 0.047722 | -13.21% | 0.073935 | +34.47% | 0.5272 | ✗ | -1.40 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.060022 | 0.051819 | -13.67% | 0.072748 | +21.20% | 0.4345 | ✗ | -1.40 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.057324 | 0.049591 | -13.49% | 0.07849 | +36.92% | 0.5760 | ✗ | -1.41 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.064413 | 0.053416 | -17.07% | 0.073752 | +14.50% | 0.3921 | ✗ | -1.64 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.047068 | 0.040915 | -13.07% | 0.088248 | +87.49% | 0.9109 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.044869 | 0.039168 | -12.70% | 0.097059 | +116.32% | 1.0086 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.04448 | 0.039148 | -11.99% | 0.092361 | +107.64% | 1.0028 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.045466 | 0.04038 | -11.19% | 0.092402 | +103.23% | 0.9712 | ✗ | -1.79 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.047448 | 0.041928 | -11.63% | 0.086635 | +82.59% | 0.8254 | ✗ | -1.88 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.046785 | 0.041707 | -10.85% | 0.073139 | +56.33% | 0.6380 | ✗ | -1.88 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.046622 | 0.041888 | -10.15% | 0.07128 | +52.89% | 0.6292 | ✗ | -1.89 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.042957 | 0.039076 | -9.03% | 0.087975 | +104.80% | 0.9285 | ✗ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.044706 | 0.041152 | -7.95% | 0.073941 | +65.39% | 0.7191 | ✗ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.045241 | 0.042419 | -6.24% | 0.065278 | +44.29% | 0.5843 | ✗ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.04878 | 0.045203 | -7.33% | 0.069035 | +41.52% | 0.5063 | ✗ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.072695 | 0.066291 | -8.81% | 0.074028 | +1.83% | 0.2333 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.070557 | 0.064179 | -9.04% | 0.069846 | -1.01% | 0.2113 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.068387 | 0.061669 | -9.82% | 0.069306 | +1.34% | 0.2020 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.068164 | 0.060927 | -10.62% | 0.059839 | -12.21% | 0.0846 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.069214 | 0.061222 | -11.55% | 0.056407 | -18.50% | 0.0089 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.069928 | 0.061549 | -11.98% | 0.053595 | -23.36% | 0.0237 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.066045 | 0.057771 | -12.53% | 0.051578 | -21.90% | 0.0423 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.070614 | 0.06155 | -12.84% | 0.052128 | -26.18% | 0.0803 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.069435 | 0.060449 | -12.94% | 0.049949 | -28.06% | 0.0914 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.068823 | 0.060036 | -12.77% | 0.053106 | -22.84% | 0.0307 | ✓ | -1.39 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.069367 | 0.060443 | -12.87% | 0.046809 | -32.52% | 0.1121 | ✓ | -1.39 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.070097 | 0.061085 | -12.86% | 0.045872 | -34.56% | 0.1249 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.067073 | 0.059099 | -11.89% | 0.044741 | -33.30% | 0.2291 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.064753 | 0.056212 | -13.19% | 0.047769 | -26.23% | 0.0301 | ✓ | -1.81 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.067798 | 0.057963 | -14.51% | 0.05581 | -17.68% | 0.2553 | ✗ | -1.90 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.068975 | 0.058271 | -15.52% | 0.054984 | -20.28% | 0.3550 | ✗ | -2.49 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.070634 | 0.059298 | -16.05% | 0.060022 | -15.02% | 0.4254 | ✗ | -2.48 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.067132 | 0.05656 | -15.75% | 0.057324 | -14.61% | 0.5158 | ✗ | -2.72 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.062121 | 0.052673 | -15.21% | 0.064413 | +3.69% | 0.7831 | ✗ | -2.70 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.065324 | 0.054322 | -16.84% | 0.047068 | -27.95% | 0.3929 | ✗ | -2.70 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.056743 | 0.048178 | -15.09% | 0.044869 | -20.93% | 0.4452 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.055292 | 0.046929 | -15.12% | 0.04448 | -19.55% | 0.4613 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.054776 | 0.04596 | -16.09% | 0.045466 | -17.00% | 0.4770 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.046134 | 0.039071 | -15.31% | 0.047448 | +2.85% | 0.7044 | ✗ | -2.52 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.039386 | 0.034136 | -13.33% | 0.046785 | +18.79% | 0.7591 | ✗ | -2.33 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.036911 | 0.032041 | -13.20% | 0.046622 | +26.31% | 0.8329 | ✗ | -2.32 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.035967 | 0.031059 | -13.65% | 0.042957 | +19.43% | 0.8183 | ✗ | -2.31 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.030811 | 0.026739 | -13.22% | 0.044706 | +45.10% | 1.0463 | ✗ | -2.45 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.02783 | 0.02455 | -11.79% | 0.045241 | +62.57% | 1.1130 | ✗ | -2.39 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.025369 | 0.022556 | -11.09% | 0.04878 | +92.28% | 1.3600 | ✗ | -2.47 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.027598 | 0.024317 | -11.89% | 0.072695 | +163.41% | 1.5730 | ✗ | -2.42 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.029535 | 0.025765 | -12.76% | 0.070557 | +138.90% | 1.4899 | ✗ | -2.44 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.027282 | 0.023952 | -12.21% | 0.068387 | +150.67% | 1.6226 | ✗ | -2.55 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.039226 | 0.032728 | -16.56% | 0.068164 | +73.77% | 1.2946 | ✗ | -2.65 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.034526 | 0.029092 | -15.74% | 0.069214 | +100.47% | 1.3411 | ✗ | -2.50 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.026065 | 0.023011 | -11.72% | 0.069928 | +168.28% | 1.6857 | ✗ | -2.91 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.027298 | 0.023791 | -12.85% | 0.066045 | +141.93% | 1.6886 | ✗ | -2.92 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.024081 | 0.021344 | -11.37% | 0.070614 | +193.23% | 1.8269 | ✗ | -2.92 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.022534 | 0.020181 | -10.44% | 0.069435 | +208.14% | 1.7783 | ✗ | -2.95 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.020987 | 0.018757 | -10.63% | 0.068823 | +227.92% | 1.0943 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.02708 | 0.023395 | -13.61% | 0.069367 | +156.16% | 0.8939 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.023588 | 0.020839 | -11.65% | 0.070097 | +197.18% | 1.0437 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.021176 | 0.01897 | -10.42% | 0.067073 | +216.74% | 1.0930 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.019997 | 0.017946 | -10.26% | 0.064753 | +223.81% | 1.1900 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.02103 | 0.018708 | -11.04% | 0.067798 | +222.39% | 1.2268 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.018488 | 0.016411 | -11.23% | 0.068975 | +273.09% | 1.4358 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.018888 | 0.0168 | -11.06% | 0.070634 | +273.96% | 1.4411 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.018668 | 0.016549 | -11.35% | 0.067132 | +259.62% | 1.4170 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.018416 | 0.016303 | -11.47% | 0.062121 | +237.32% | 1.3496 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.018352 | 0.016303 | -11.17% | 0.065324 | +255.95% | 1.4153 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.016452 | 0.014557 | -11.52% | 0.056743 | +244.90% | 1.3848 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.019108 | 0.017079 | -10.62% | 0.055292 | +189.36% | 1.1565 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.017007 | 0.015222 | -10.50% | 0.054776 | +222.08% | 1.2838 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.015945 | 0.014293 | -10.36% | 0.046134 | +189.33% | 1.1696 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.019616 | 0.018035 | -8.05% | 0.039386 | +100.79% | 0.7699 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.021747 | 0.019975 | -8.15% | 0.036911 | +69.73% | 0.5870 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.022573 | 0.020591 | -8.78% | 0.035967 | +59.34% | 0.5160 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.020944 | 0.019266 | -8.01% | 0.030811 | +47.11% | 0.4548 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.02124 | 0.019601 | -7.71% | 0.02783 | +31.02% | 0.3411 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.023265 | 0.02129 | -8.49% | 0.025369 | +9.04% | 0.1680 | ✗ | 1.00 |