BLEND

Fluent · Ethereum · beta_5y

token id: #284
symbol: BLEND
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xd8a271974e8edae9d7b58e3370dc1669427503f4
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-24
predictions: 519

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

166

of 173 predictions shown

direction hit

66.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0772

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0109

actual -0.0423

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.0519	0.051404	-0.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.60
2026-10-21	oos	0.0514	0.050844	-1.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.60
2026-10-20	oos	0.05065	0.050161	-0.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.58
2026-10-19	oos	0.04825	0.047867	-0.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-18	oos	0.05155	0.051178	-0.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-17	oos	0.0561	0.055566	-0.95%	–	pending	–	–	0.57
2026-10-16	oos	0.05865	0.058159	-0.84%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-15	oos	0.05925	0.058772	-0.81%	0.0519	-12.41%	0.1381	✓	0.55
2026-10-14	oos	0.06075	0.060159	-0.97%	0.0514	-15.39%	0.1649	✓	0.55
2026-10-13	oos	0.0633	0.062627	-1.06%	0.05065	-19.98%	0.2112	✓	0.52
2026-10-12	oos	0.0641	0.063203	-1.40%	0.04825	-24.73%	0.2706	✓	0.53
2026-10-11	oos	0.0652	0.064465	-1.13%	0.05155	-20.94%	0.2125	✓	0.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.0669	0.06602	-1.31%	0.0561	-16.14%	0.1524	✓	0.56
2026-10-09	oos	0.0654	0.064543	-1.31%	0.05865	-10.32%	0.0886	✓	0.56
2026-10-08	oos	0.0659	0.064746	-1.75%	0.05925	-10.09%	0.0917	✓	0.57
2026-10-07	oos	0.06515	0.064195	-1.47%	0.06075	-6.75%	0.0430	✓	0.59
2026-10-06	oos	0.0666	0.065787	-1.22%	0.0633	-4.95%	0.0217	✓	0.58
2026-10-05	oos	0.0682	0.067328	-1.28%	0.0641	-6.01%	0.0208	✓	0.59
2026-10-04	oos	0.06845	0.067526	-1.35%	0.0652	-4.75%	0.0151	✓	0.60
2026-10-03	oos	0.0687	0.067461	-1.80%	0.0669	-2.62%	0.0049	✓	0.60
2026-10-02	oos	0.0657	0.06483	-1.32%	0.0654	-0.46%	0.0229	✗	0.60
2026-10-01	oos	0.06785	0.066901	-1.40%	0.0659	-2.87%	0.0073	✓	0.59
2026-09-30	oos	0.06835	0.067226	-1.64%	0.06515	-4.68%	0.0293	✓	0.63
2026-09-29	oos	0.06685	0.065929	-1.38%	0.0666	-0.37%	0.0032	✓	0.59
2026-09-28	oos	0.06635	0.06533	-1.54%	0.0682	+2.79%	0.0257	✗	0.64
2026-09-27	oos	0.0694	0.068438	-1.39%	0.06845	-1.37%	0.0137	✓	0.58
2026-09-26	oos	0.06945	0.068393	-1.52%	0.0687	-1.08%	0.0022	✓	0.58
2026-09-25	oos	0.0703	0.069169	-1.61%	0.0657	-6.54%	0.0543	✓	0.58
2026-09-24	oos	0.0693	0.06815	-1.66%	0.06785	-2.09%	0.0076	✓	0.58
2026-09-23	oos	0.0686	0.06748	-1.63%	0.06835	-0.36%	0.0185	✗	0.58
2026-09-22	oos	0.0691	0.068128	-1.41%	0.06685	-3.26%	0.0040	✓	0.49
2026-09-21	oos	0.0676	0.066705	-1.32%	0.06635	-1.85%	0.0143	✗	0.53
2026-09-20	oos	0.065	0.063938	-1.63%	0.0694	+6.77%	0.0591	✗	0.57
2026-09-19	oos	0.0677	0.066049	-2.44%	0.06945	+2.58%	0.0281	✗	0.58
2026-09-18	oos	0.0645	0.063504	-1.54%	0.0703	+8.99%	0.0798	✗	0.56
2026-09-17	oos	0.0624	0.061512	-1.42%	0.0693	+11.06%	0.0647	✗	0.55
2026-09-16	oos	0.06055	0.059853	-1.15%	0.0686	+13.29%	0.0785	✗	0.56
2026-09-15	oos	0.06015	0.059548	-1.00%	0.0691	+14.88%	0.0732	✗	0.57
2026-09-14	oos	0.06395	0.063244	-1.10%	0.0676	+5.71%	0.0105	✓	0.55
2026-09-13	oos	0.0638	0.063128	-1.05%	0.065	+1.88%	0.0013	✓	0.55
2026-09-12	oos	0.06705	0.066157	-1.33%	0.0677	+0.97%	0.0041	✓	0.54
2026-09-11	oos	0.066	0.065278	-1.09%	0.0645	-2.27%	0.0361	✓	0.52
2026-09-10	oos	0.06685	0.065896	-1.43%	0.0624	-6.66%	0.0533	✓	0.51
2026-09-09	oos	0.0645	0.064204	-0.46%	0.06055	-6.12%	0.0435	✓	0.55
2026-09-08	oos	0.0651	0.064937	-0.25%	0.06015	-7.60%	0.0596	✓	0.46
2026-09-07	oos	0.0659	0.065936	+0.05%	0.06395	-2.96%	0.0258	✗	0.41
2026-09-06	oos	0.0661	0.06641	+0.47%	0.0638	-3.48%	0.0201	✗	0.44
2026-09-05	oos	0.0645	0.065105	+0.94%	0.06705	+3.95%	0.0441	✓	0.45
2026-09-04	oos	0.0631	0.064177	+1.71%	0.066	+4.60%	0.0420	✓	0.45
2026-09-03	oos	0.0631	0.064815	+2.72%	0.06685	+5.94%	0.0581	✓	0.45
2026-09-02	oos	0.0621	0.063133	+1.66%	0.0645	+3.86%	0.0142	✓	0.58
2026-09-01	oos	0.0628	0.063928	+1.80%	0.0651	+3.66%	0.0101	✓	0.60
2026-08-31	oos	0.06465	0.066382	+2.68%	0.0659	+1.93%	0.0114	✓	0.62
2026-08-30	oos	0.06635	0.067478	+1.70%	0.0661	-0.38%	0.0425	✗	0.65
2026-08-29	oos	0.0658	0.067019	+1.85%	0.0645	-1.98%	0.0519	✗	0.67
2026-08-28	oos	0.06495	0.066157	+1.86%	0.0631	-2.85%	0.0630	✗	0.67
2026-08-27	oos	0.0666	0.06801	+2.12%	0.0631	-5.26%	0.0832	✗	0.67
2026-08-26	oos	0.0657	0.066664	+1.47%	0.0621	-5.48%	0.0561	✗	0.67
2026-08-25	oos	0.06375	0.064652	+1.41%	0.0628	-1.49%	0.0197	✗	0.65
2026-08-24	oos	0.0673	0.06784	+0.80%	0.06465	-3.94%	0.0448	✗	0.63
2026-08-23	oos	0.0651	0.06563	+0.81%	0.06635	+1.92%	0.0114	✓	0.65
2026-08-22	oos	0.0639	0.064364	+0.73%	0.0658	+2.97%	0.0123	✓	0.64
2026-08-21	oos	0.0672	0.067454	+0.38%	0.06495	-3.35%	0.0339	✗	0.63
2026-08-20	oos	0.06395	0.063807	-0.22%	0.0666	+4.14%	0.0164	✓	0.62
2026-08-19	oos	0.0641	0.063554	-0.85%	0.0657	+2.50%	0.0553	✓	0.67
2026-08-18	oos	0.05945	0.058798	-1.10%	0.06375	+7.23%	0.0358	✓	0.60
2026-08-17	oos	0.06165	0.060835	-1.32%	0.0673	+9.16%	0.0216	✓	0.60
2026-08-16	oos	0.06245	0.061484	-1.55%	0.0651	+4.24%	0.0767	✓	0.63
2026-08-15	oos	0.06455	0.063274	-1.98%	0.0639	-1.01%	0.1160	✓	0.63
2026-08-14	oos	0.0626	0.061722	-1.40%	0.0672	+7.35%	0.0536	✓	0.64
2026-08-13	oos	0.064	0.063054	-1.48%	0.06395	-0.08%	0.0773	✓	0.65
2026-08-12	oos	0.0634	0.062549	-1.34%	0.0641	+1.10%	0.0372	✓	0.69
2026-08-11	oos	0.06495	0.064006	-1.45%	0.05945	-8.47%	0.0867	✓	0.71
2026-08-10	oos	0.06795	0.066585	-2.01%	0.06165	-9.27%	0.0833	✓	0.72
2026-08-09	oos	0.0669	0.06548	-2.12%	0.06245	-6.65%	0.0242	✓	0.73
2026-08-08	oos	0.0644	0.063469	-1.45%	0.06455	+0.23%	0.0385	✗	0.73
2026-08-07	oos	0.0635	0.062512	-1.56%	0.0626	-1.42%	0.0236	✗	0.74
2026-08-06	oos	0.06305	0.062113	-1.49%	0.064	+1.51%	0.0396	✗	0.73
2026-08-05	oos	0.0628	0.061956	-1.34%	0.0634	+0.96%	0.0369	✗	0.75
2026-08-04	oos	0.0627	0.061919	-1.25%	0.06495	+3.59%	0.0540	✗	0.76
2026-08-03	oos	0.0678	0.066707	-1.61%	0.06795	+0.22%	0.0131	✓	0.77
2026-08-02	oos	0.0669	0.065938	-1.44%	0.0669	+0.00%	0.0022	✓	0.79
2026-08-01	oos	0.06925	0.068116	-1.64%	0.0644	-7.00%	0.0834	✓	0.81
2026-07-31	oos	0.0738	0.072075	-2.34%	0.0635	-13.96%	0.1530	✓	0.81
2026-07-30	oos	0.0731	0.071597	-2.06%	0.06305	-13.75%	0.1211	✓	0.85
2026-07-29	oos	0.0694	0.067688	-2.47%	0.0628	-9.51%	0.0827	✓	0.71
2026-07-28	oos	0.0659	0.064603	-1.97%	0.0627	-4.86%	0.0319	✓	0.64
2026-07-27	oos	0.0684	0.066637	-2.58%	0.0678	-0.88%	0.0192	✓	0.53
2026-07-26	oos	0.0647	0.063552	-1.77%	0.0669	+3.40%	0.0679	✗	0.58
2026-07-25	oos	0.061	0.060455	-0.89%	0.06925	+13.52%	0.1488	✗	0.54
2026-07-24	oos	0.06055	0.060077	-0.78%	0.0738	+21.88%	0.2150	✗	0.47
2026-07-23	oos	0.06255	0.061908	-1.03%	0.0731	+16.87%	0.1684	✗	0.43
2026-07-22	oos	0.061	0.060701	-0.49%	0.0694	+13.77%	0.1492	✗	0.45
2026-07-21	oos	0.0605	0.060316	-0.30%	0.0659	+8.93%	0.1072	✗	0.46
2026-07-20	oos	0.0599	0.059721	-0.30%	0.0684	+14.19%	0.1463	✗	0.45
2026-07-19	oos	0.06025	0.06002	-0.38%	0.0647	+7.39%	0.0705	✗	0.45
2026-07-18	oos	0.0599	0.059805	-0.16%	0.061	+1.84%	0.0233	✗	0.45
2026-07-17	oos	0.0622	0.06194	-0.42%	0.06055	-2.65%	0.0241	✓	0.47
2026-07-16	oos	0.0626	0.062328	-0.43%	0.06255	-0.08%	0.0058	✓	0.47
2026-07-15	oos	0.06225	0.062088	-0.26%	0.061	-2.01%	0.0277	✓	0.48
2026-07-14	oos	0.063	0.062707	-0.47%	0.0605	-3.97%	0.0470	✓	0.48
2026-07-13	oos	0.0606	0.060381	-0.36%	0.0599	-1.16%	0.0281	✓	0.43
2026-07-12	oos	0.062	0.061833	-0.27%	0.06025	-2.82%	0.0323	✓	0.43
2026-07-11	oos	0.0627	0.062529	-0.27%	0.0599	-4.47%	0.0498	✓	0.43
2026-07-10	oos	0.0637	0.063495	-0.32%	0.0622	-2.35%	0.0190	✓	0.43
2026-07-09	oos	0.06245	0.062265	-0.30%	0.0626	+0.24%	0.0015	✓	0.42
2026-07-08	oos	0.06205	0.061855	-0.31%	0.06225	+0.32%	0.0097	✓	0.41
2026-07-07	oos	0.0643	0.064056	-0.38%	0.063	-2.02%	0.0270	✓	0.40
2026-07-06	oos	0.066	0.06568	-0.48%	0.0606	-8.18%	0.0697	✓	0.39
2026-07-05	oos	0.06715	0.066728	-0.63%	0.062	-7.67%	0.0745	✓	0.40
2026-07-04	oos	0.0682	0.067622	-0.85%	0.0627	-8.06%	0.0799	✓	0.40
2026-07-03	oos	0.0707	0.069372	-1.88%	0.0637	-9.90%	0.0959	✓	0.42
2026-07-02	oos	0.06465	0.06417	-0.74%	0.06245	-3.40%	0.0365	✓	0.35
2026-07-01	oos	0.0677	0.066647	-1.56%	0.06205	-8.35%	0.0865	✓	0.40
2026-06-30	oos	0.0619	0.061155	-1.20%	0.0643	+3.88%	0.0270	✗	0.29
2026-06-29	oos	0.0601	0.059724	-0.63%	0.066	+9.82%	0.0787	✗	0.34
2026-06-28	oos	0.0589	0.058499	-0.68%	0.06715	+14.01%	0.1162	✗	0.33
2026-06-27	oos	0.0592	0.058684	-0.87%	0.0682	+15.20%	0.1336	✗	0.33
2026-06-26	oos	0.057	0.056633	-0.64%	0.0707	+24.04%	0.2087	✗	0.32
2026-06-25	oos	0.0602	0.059335	-1.44%	0.06465	+7.39%	0.0758	✗	0.34
2026-06-24	oos	0.05325	0.053233	-0.03%	0.0677	+27.14%	0.2480	✗	0.45
2026-06-23	oos	0.05615	0.056069	-0.14%	0.0619	+10.24%	0.1275	✗	0.42
2026-06-22	oos	0.0612	0.060712	-0.80%	0.0601	-1.80%	0.0121	✗	0.36
2026-06-21	oos	0.05935	0.059076	-0.46%	0.0589	-0.76%	0.0177	✗	0.34
2026-06-20	oos	0.0585	0.058234	-0.46%	0.0592	+1.20%	0.0411	✗	0.36
2026-06-19	oos	0.061	0.060179	-1.35%	0.057	-6.56%	0.0328	✓	0.38
2026-06-18	oos	0.05585	0.055754	-0.17%	0.0602	+7.79%	0.0932	✗	0.32
2026-06-17	oos	0.0575	0.057397	-0.18%	0.05325	-7.39%	0.0579	✓	0.31
2026-06-16	oos	0.05995	0.059715	-0.39%	0.05615	-6.34%	0.0481	✓	0.29
2026-06-15	oos	0.0605	0.060166	-0.55%	0.0612	+1.16%	0.0275	✗	0.29
2026-06-14	oos	0.0604	0.060068	-0.55%	0.05935	-1.74%	0.0011	✓	0.29
2026-06-13	oos	0.06215	0.061685	-0.75%	0.0585	-5.87%	0.0520	✓	0.31
2026-06-12	oos	0.0639	0.063193	-1.11%	0.061	-4.54%	0.0350	✓	0.33
2026-06-11	oos	0.0623	0.061456	-1.35%	0.05585	-10.35%	0.0921	✓	0.32
2026-06-10	oos	0.0673	0.065109	-3.25%	0.0575	-14.56%	0.1481	✓	0.50
2026-06-09	oos	0.0542	0.054232	+0.06%	0.05995	+10.61%	0.0702	✓	0.49
2026-06-08	oos	0.0572	0.057083	-0.20%	0.0605	+5.77%	0.0355	✗	0.46
2026-06-07	oos	0.0589	0.058715	-0.31%	0.0604	+2.55%	0.0113	✗	0.46
2026-06-06	oos	0.058	0.058179	+0.31%	0.06215	+7.16%	0.0421	✓	0.42
2026-06-05	oos	0.0586	0.058897	+0.51%	0.0639	+9.04%	0.0647	✓	0.42
2026-06-04	oos	0.0652	0.064959	-0.37%	0.0623	-4.45%	0.0411	✓	0.19
2026-06-03	oos	0.0747	0.073716	-1.32%	0.0673	-9.91%	0.0827	✓	0.20
2026-06-02	oos	0.0783	0.077048	-1.60%	0.0542	-30.78%	0.3429	✓	0.11
2026-06-01	oos	0.083	0.081332	-2.01%	0.0572	-31.08%	0.3810	✓	-0.24
2026-05-31	oos	0.0875	0.085616	-2.15%	0.0589	-32.69%	0.4437	✓	-0.46
2026-05-30	oos	0.09045	0.088295	-2.38%	0.058	-35.88%	0.5104	✓	-0.47
2026-05-29	oos	0.09185	0.08956	-2.49%	0.0586	-36.20%	0.5097	✓	-0.46
2026-05-28	oos	0.0956	0.092706	-3.03%	0.0652	-31.80%	0.4181	✓	-0.47
2026-05-27	oos	0.0909	0.088838	-2.27%	0.0747	-17.82%	0.2307	✓	-0.39
2026-05-26	oos	0.091	0.089024	-2.17%	0.0783	-13.96%	0.1776	✓	-0.38
2026-05-25	oos	0.0984	0.095919	-2.52%	0.083	-15.65%	0.1951	✓	-0.63
2026-05-24	oos	0.1044	0.101399	-2.87%	0.0875	-16.19%	0.1744	✓	-0.60
2026-05-23	oos	0.1092	0.10567	-3.23%	0.09045	-17.17%	0.1172	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.1037	0.100554	-3.03%	0.09185	-11.43%	0.0626	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.10625	0.101835	-4.16%	0.0956	-10.02%	0.0097	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.09565	0.093627	-2.12%	0.0909	-4.97%	0.0121	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.0963	0.094419	-1.95%	0.091	-5.50%	0.0245	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.09965	0.097673	-1.98%	0.0984	-1.25%	0.0035	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.0985	0.097032	-1.49%	0.1044	+5.99%	0.0788	✗	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.1052	0.103418	-1.69%	0.1092	+3.80%	0.0732	✗	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.1114	0.109223	-1.95%	0.1037	-6.91%	0.0051	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.12075	0.117871	-2.38%	0.10625	-12.01%	0.0593	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.1168	0.114052	-2.35%	0.09565	-18.11%	0.1528	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.1201	0.117103	-2.50%	0.0963	-19.82%	0.1483	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.12355	0.120285	-2.64%	0.09965	-19.34%	0.1279	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.12355	0.120246	-2.67%	0.0985	-20.28%	0.1394	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.1208	0.117337	-2.87%	0.1052	-12.91%	0.0771	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.1233	0.11933	-3.22%	0.1114	-9.65%	0.0546	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.11315	0.110297	-2.52%	0.12075	+6.72%	0.0772	✗	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	0.1178	0.114631	-2.69%	0.1168	-0.85%	0.0455	✗	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	0.1251	0.120664	-3.55%	0.1201	-4.00%	0.0006	✓	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	0.119	0.115343	-3.07%	0.12355	+3.82%	0.0455	✗	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.1179	0.114365	-3.00%	0.12355	+4.79%	0.0319	✗	1.00