BLEND

Fluent · Ethereum · beta_5y

token id: #284
symbol: BLEND
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xd8a271974e8edae9d7b58e3370dc1669427503f4
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-24
predictions: 519

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

172

of 173 predictions shown

direction hit

57.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0305

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0041

actual -0.0060

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.0519	0.051718	-0.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.60
2026-10-21	oos	0.0514	0.051228	-0.33%	0.0519	-0.38%	0.0019	✓	0.60
2026-10-20	oos	0.05065	0.050503	-0.29%	0.0514	+1.48%	0.0193	✗	0.58
2026-10-19	oos	0.04825	0.048158	-0.19%	0.05065	+4.97%	0.0429	✗	0.56
2026-10-18	oos	0.05155	0.051413	-0.27%	0.04825	-6.40%	0.0624	✓	0.56
2026-10-17	oos	0.0561	0.055898	-0.36%	0.05155	-8.11%	0.0853	✓	0.57
2026-10-16	oos	0.05865	0.05848	-0.29%	0.0561	-4.35%	0.0407	✓	0.56
2026-10-15	oos	0.05925	0.059076	-0.29%	0.05865	-1.01%	0.0031	✓	0.55
2026-10-14	oos	0.06075	0.060547	-0.33%	0.05925	-2.47%	0.0254	✓	0.55
2026-10-13	oos	0.0633	0.063061	-0.38%	0.06075	-4.03%	0.0276	✓	0.52
2026-10-12	oos	0.0641	0.063781	-0.50%	0.0633	-1.25%	0.0164	✓	0.53
2026-10-11	oos	0.0652	0.064956	-0.37%	0.0641	-1.69%	0.0004	✓	0.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.0669	0.066608	-0.44%	0.0652	-2.54%	0.0265	✓	0.56
2026-10-09	oos	0.0654	0.065122	-0.43%	0.0669	+2.29%	0.0245	✗	0.56
2026-10-08	oos	0.0659	0.065498	-0.61%	0.0654	-0.76%	0.0074	✓	0.57
2026-10-07	oos	0.06515	0.064846	-0.47%	0.0659	+1.15%	0.0274	✗	0.59
2026-10-06	oos	0.0666	0.066347	-0.38%	0.06515	-2.18%	0.0026	✓	0.58
2026-10-05	oos	0.0682	0.067927	-0.40%	0.0666	-2.35%	0.0183	✓	0.59
2026-10-04	oos	0.06845	0.068144	-0.45%	0.0682	-0.37%	0.0061	✗	0.60
2026-10-03	oos	0.0687	0.068264	-0.64%	0.06845	-0.36%	0.0097	✓	0.60
2026-10-02	oos	0.0657	0.065448	-0.38%	0.0687	+4.57%	0.0468	✗	0.60
2026-10-01	oos	0.06785	0.067551	-0.44%	0.0657	-3.17%	0.0254	✓	0.59
2026-09-30	oos	0.06835	0.067977	-0.55%	0.06785	-0.73%	0.0115	✓	0.63
2026-09-29	oos	0.06685	0.066572	-0.42%	0.06835	+2.24%	0.0269	✗	0.59
2026-09-28	oos	0.06635	0.066033	-0.48%	0.06685	+0.75%	0.0109	✗	0.64
2026-09-27	oos	0.0694	0.069113	-0.41%	0.06635	-4.39%	0.0338	✓	0.58
2026-09-26	oos	0.06945	0.069123	-0.47%	0.0694	-0.07%	0.0037	✓	0.58
2026-09-25	oos	0.0703	0.069949	-0.50%	0.06945	-1.21%	0.0094	✓	0.58
2026-09-24	oos	0.0693	0.068935	-0.53%	0.0703	+1.44%	0.0216	✗	0.58
2026-09-23	oos	0.0686	0.068251	-0.51%	0.0693	+1.02%	0.0152	✗	0.58
2026-09-22	oos	0.0691	0.068776	-0.47%	0.0686	-0.72%	0.0080	✗	0.49
2026-09-21	oos	0.0676	0.067279	-0.47%	0.0691	+2.22%	0.0292	✗	0.53
2026-09-20	oos	0.065	0.06468	-0.49%	0.0676	+4.00%	0.0070	✗	0.57
2026-09-19	oos	0.0677	0.067096	-0.89%	0.065	-3.99%	0.0312	✓	0.58
2026-09-18	oos	0.0645	0.064205	-0.46%	0.0677	+4.96%	0.0505	✗	0.56
2026-09-17	oos	0.0624	0.062148	-0.40%	0.0645	+3.37%	0.0058	✗	0.55
2026-09-16	oos	0.06055	0.060342	-0.34%	0.0624	+3.06%	0.0320	✗	0.56
2026-09-15	oos	0.06015	0.059963	-0.31%	0.06055	+0.67%	0.0055	✗	0.57
2026-09-14	oos	0.06395	0.063741	-0.33%	0.06015	-5.94%	0.0395	✓	0.55
2026-09-13	oos	0.0638	0.063593	-0.32%	0.06395	+0.24%	0.0042	✓	0.55
2026-09-12	oos	0.06705	0.066767	-0.42%	0.0638	-4.85%	0.0422	✓	0.54
2026-09-11	oos	0.066	0.065749	-0.38%	0.06705	+1.59%	0.0192	✗	0.52
2026-09-10	oos	0.06685	0.066468	-0.57%	0.066	-1.27%	0.0115	✓	0.51
2026-09-09	oos	0.0645	0.064319	-0.28%	0.06685	+3.64%	0.0509	✗	0.55
2026-09-08	oos	0.0651	0.06494	-0.25%	0.0645	-0.92%	0.0058	✓	0.46
2026-09-07	oos	0.0659	0.065744	-0.24%	0.0651	-1.21%	0.0065	✓	0.41
2026-09-06	oos	0.0661	0.065966	-0.20%	0.0659	-0.30%	0.0060	✗	0.44
2026-09-05	oos	0.0645	0.064442	-0.09%	0.0661	+2.48%	0.0226	✗	0.45
2026-09-04	oos	0.0631	0.063108	+0.01%	0.0645	+2.22%	0.0209	✓	0.45
2026-09-03	oos	0.0631	0.063187	+0.14%	0.0631	+0.00%	0.0076	✓	0.45
2026-09-02	oos	0.0621	0.062089	-0.02%	0.0631	+1.61%	0.0128	✓	0.58
2026-09-01	oos	0.0628	0.062789	-0.02%	0.0621	-1.11%	0.0103	✓	0.60
2026-08-31	oos	0.06465	0.064684	+0.05%	0.0628	-2.86%	0.0204	✗	0.62
2026-08-30	oos	0.06635	0.066295	-0.08%	0.06465	-2.56%	0.0326	✓	0.65
2026-08-29	oos	0.0658	0.065763	-0.06%	0.06635	+0.84%	0.0138	✗	0.67
2026-08-28	oos	0.06495	0.064923	-0.04%	0.0658	+1.31%	0.0100	✗	0.67
2026-08-27	oos	0.0666	0.066551	-0.07%	0.06495	-2.48%	0.0036	✓	0.67
2026-08-26	oos	0.0657	0.065584	-0.18%	0.0666	+1.37%	0.0048	✗	0.67
2026-08-25	oos	0.06375	0.063689	-0.10%	0.0657	+3.06%	0.0270	✗	0.65
2026-08-24	oos	0.0673	0.067108	-0.29%	0.06375	-5.27%	0.0477	✓	0.63
2026-08-23	oos	0.0651	0.064975	-0.19%	0.0673	+3.38%	0.0247	✗	0.65
2026-08-22	oos	0.0639	0.06377	-0.20%	0.0651	+1.88%	0.0150	✗	0.64
2026-08-21	oos	0.0672	0.066979	-0.33%	0.0639	-4.91%	0.0368	✓	0.63
2026-08-20	oos	0.06395	0.063761	-0.30%	0.0672	+5.08%	0.0086	✗	0.62
2026-08-19	oos	0.0641	0.063859	-0.38%	0.06395	-0.23%	0.0337	✓	0.67
2026-08-18	oos	0.05945	0.059256	-0.33%	0.0641	+7.82%	0.0371	✗	0.60
2026-08-17	oos	0.06165	0.061404	-0.40%	0.05945	-3.57%	0.0342	✓	0.60
2026-08-16	oos	0.06245	0.062166	-0.45%	0.06165	-1.28%	0.0245	✓	0.63
2026-08-15	oos	0.06455	0.064118	-0.67%	0.06245	-3.25%	0.0245	✓	0.63
2026-08-14	oos	0.0626	0.062341	-0.41%	0.06455	+3.12%	0.0344	✗	0.64
2026-08-13	oos	0.064	0.063717	-0.44%	0.0626	-2.19%	0.0131	✓	0.65
2026-08-12	oos	0.0634	0.063156	-0.39%	0.064	+0.95%	0.0131	✗	0.69
2026-08-11	oos	0.06495	0.064673	-0.43%	0.0634	-2.39%	0.0185	✓	0.71
2026-08-10	oos	0.06795	0.067486	-0.68%	0.06495	-4.42%	0.0340	✓	0.72
2026-08-09	oos	0.0669	0.066379	-0.78%	0.06795	+1.57%	0.0341	✗	0.73
2026-08-08	oos	0.0644	0.06411	-0.45%	0.0669	+3.88%	0.0433	✗	0.73
2026-08-07	oos	0.0635	0.063172	-0.52%	0.0644	+1.42%	0.0191	✗	0.74
2026-08-06	oos	0.06305	0.062755	-0.47%	0.0635	+0.71%	0.0047	✗	0.73
2026-08-05	oos	0.0628	0.062536	-0.42%	0.06305	+0.40%	0.0121	✗	0.75
2026-08-04	oos	0.0627	0.06247	-0.37%	0.0628	+0.16%	0.0012	✓	0.76
2026-08-03	oos	0.0678	0.067475	-0.48%	0.0627	-7.52%	0.0805	✓	0.77
2026-08-02	oos	0.0669	0.066626	-0.41%	0.0678	+1.35%	0.0179	✗	0.79
2026-08-01	oos	0.06925	0.068926	-0.47%	0.0669	-3.39%	0.0393	✓	0.81
2026-07-31	oos	0.0738	0.073215	-0.79%	0.06925	-6.17%	0.0549	✓	0.81
2026-07-30	oos	0.0731	0.072568	-0.73%	0.0738	+0.96%	0.0422	✗	0.85
2026-07-29	oos	0.0694	0.068717	-0.98%	0.0731	+5.33%	0.0527	✗	0.71
2026-07-28	oos	0.0659	0.065395	-0.77%	0.0694	+5.31%	0.0590	✗	0.64
2026-07-27	oos	0.0684	0.067668	-1.07%	0.0659	-3.65%	0.0277	✓	0.53
2026-07-26	oos	0.0647	0.064214	-0.75%	0.0684	+5.72%	0.0780	✗	0.58
2026-07-25	oos	0.061	0.060773	-0.37%	0.0647	+6.07%	0.0539	✗	0.54
2026-07-24	oos	0.06055	0.06033	-0.36%	0.061	+0.74%	0.0095	✗	0.47
2026-07-23	oos	0.06255	0.062219	-0.53%	0.06055	-3.20%	0.0207	✓	0.43
2026-07-22	oos	0.061	0.060796	-0.33%	0.06255	+2.54%	0.0356	✗	0.45
2026-07-21	oos	0.0605	0.060333	-0.28%	0.061	+0.83%	0.0139	✗	0.46
2026-07-20	oos	0.0599	0.05974	-0.27%	0.0605	+1.00%	0.0038	✗	0.45
2026-07-19	oos	0.06025	0.060082	-0.28%	0.0599	-0.58%	0.0067	✓	0.45
2026-07-18	oos	0.0599	0.059763	-0.23%	0.06025	+0.58%	0.0089	✗	0.45
2026-07-17	oos	0.0622	0.06202	-0.29%	0.0599	-3.70%	0.0414	✓	0.47
2026-07-16	oos	0.0626	0.062416	-0.29%	0.0622	-0.64%	0.0044	✓	0.47
2026-07-15	oos	0.06225	0.062082	-0.27%	0.0626	+0.56%	0.0154	✗	0.48
2026-07-14	oos	0.063	0.062768	-0.37%	0.06225	-1.19%	0.0063	✓	0.48
2026-07-13	oos	0.0606	0.060442	-0.26%	0.063	+3.96%	0.0228	✗	0.43
2026-07-12	oos	0.062	0.061848	-0.24%	0.0606	-2.26%	0.0103	✓	0.43
2026-07-11	oos	0.0627	0.062545	-0.25%	0.062	-1.12%	0.0085	✓	0.43
2026-07-10	oos	0.0637	0.063531	-0.26%	0.0627	-1.57%	0.0108	✓	0.43
2026-07-09	oos	0.06245	0.062297	-0.24%	0.0637	+2.00%	0.0160	✗	0.42
2026-07-08	oos	0.06205	0.061905	-0.23%	0.06245	+0.64%	0.0026	✗	0.41
2026-07-07	oos	0.0643	0.064136	-0.25%	0.06205	-3.50%	0.0262	✓	0.40
2026-07-06	oos	0.066	0.065807	-0.29%	0.0643	-2.58%	0.0190	✓	0.39
2026-07-05	oos	0.06715	0.066923	-0.34%	0.066	-1.71%	0.0165	✓	0.40
2026-07-04	oos	0.0682	0.067916	-0.42%	0.06715	-1.54%	0.0145	✓	0.40
2026-07-03	oos	0.0707	0.070084	-0.87%	0.0682	-3.54%	0.0310	✓	0.42
2026-07-02	oos	0.06465	0.064423	-0.35%	0.0707	+9.36%	0.0872	✗	0.35
2026-07-01	oos	0.0677	0.067242	-0.68%	0.06465	-4.51%	0.0494	✓	0.40
2026-06-30	oos	0.0619	0.061565	-0.54%	0.0677	+9.37%	0.0879	✗	0.29
2026-06-29	oos	0.0601	0.059911	-0.31%	0.0619	+3.00%	0.0421	✗	0.34
2026-06-28	oos	0.0589	0.058707	-0.33%	0.0601	+2.04%	0.0197	✗	0.33
2026-06-27	oos	0.0592	0.058975	-0.38%	0.0589	-0.51%	0.0012	✓	0.33
2026-06-26	oos	0.057	0.056812	-0.33%	0.0592	+3.86%	0.0415	✗	0.32
2026-06-25	oos	0.0602	0.059791	-0.68%	0.057	-5.32%	0.0495	✓	0.34
2026-06-24	oos	0.05325	0.05317	-0.15%	0.0602	+13.05%	0.1338	✗	0.45
2026-06-23	oos	0.05615	0.056048	-0.18%	0.05325	-5.16%	0.0399	✓	0.42
2026-06-22	oos	0.0612	0.060955	-0.40%	0.05615	-8.25%	0.0746	✓	0.36
2026-06-21	oos	0.05935	0.059192	-0.27%	0.0612	+3.12%	0.0296	✗	0.34
2026-06-20	oos	0.0585	0.058333	-0.29%	0.05935	+1.45%	0.0228	✗	0.36
2026-06-19	oos	0.061	0.0606	-0.66%	0.0585	-4.10%	0.0397	✓	0.38
2026-06-18	oos	0.05585	0.055751	-0.18%	0.061	+9.22%	0.0870	✗	0.32
2026-06-17	oos	0.0575	0.057407	-0.16%	0.05585	-2.87%	0.0199	✓	0.31
2026-06-16	oos	0.05995	0.059827	-0.21%	0.0575	-4.09%	0.0344	✓	0.29
2026-06-15	oos	0.0605	0.060354	-0.24%	0.05995	-0.91%	0.0038	✓	0.29
2026-06-14	oos	0.0604	0.060261	-0.23%	0.0605	+0.17%	0.0015	✓	0.29
2026-06-13	oos	0.06215	0.061977	-0.28%	0.0604	-2.82%	0.0319	✓	0.31
2026-06-12	oos	0.0639	0.063649	-0.39%	0.06215	-2.74%	0.0285	✓	0.33
2026-06-11	oos	0.0623	0.061975	-0.52%	0.0639	+2.57%	0.0307	✗	0.32
2026-06-10	oos	0.0673	0.066353	-1.41%	0.0623	-7.43%	0.0800	✓	0.50
2026-06-09	oos	0.0542	0.054161	-0.07%	0.0673	+24.17%	0.2191	✗	0.49
2026-06-08	oos	0.0572	0.05714	-0.11%	0.0542	-5.24%	0.0428	✓	0.46
2026-06-07	oos	0.0589	0.058825	-0.13%	0.0572	-2.89%	0.0263	✓	0.46
2026-06-06	oos	0.058	0.057989	-0.02%	0.0589	+1.55%	0.0009	✓	0.42
2026-06-05	oos	0.0586	0.058612	+0.02%	0.058	-1.02%	0.0093	✗	0.42
2026-06-04	oos	0.0652	0.065134	-0.10%	0.0586	-10.12%	0.0972	✓	0.19
2026-06-03	oos	0.0747	0.07445	-0.33%	0.0652	-12.72%	0.1319	✓	0.20
2026-06-02	oos	0.0783	0.078017	-0.36%	0.0747	-4.60%	0.0389	✓	0.11
2026-06-01	oos	0.083	0.082647	-0.42%	0.0783	-5.66%	0.0700	✓	-0.24
2026-05-31	oos	0.0875	0.087117	-0.44%	0.083	-5.14%	0.0629	✓	-0.46
2026-05-30	oos	0.09045	0.089998	-0.50%	0.0875	-3.26%	0.0294	✓	-0.47
2026-05-29	oos	0.09185	0.091354	-0.54%	0.09045	-1.52%	0.0074	✓	-0.46
2026-05-28	oos	0.0956	0.094871	-0.76%	0.09185	-3.92%	0.0333	✓	-0.47
2026-05-27	oos	0.0909	0.09047	-0.47%	0.0956	+5.17%	0.0510	✗	-0.39
2026-05-26	oos	0.091	0.09063	-0.41%	0.0909	-0.11%	0.0047	✓	-0.38
2026-05-25	oos	0.0984	0.097911	-0.50%	0.091	-7.52%	0.0849	✓	-0.63
2026-05-24	oos	0.1044	0.103759	-0.61%	0.0984	-5.75%	0.0509	✓	-0.60
2026-05-23	oos	0.1092	0.108376	-0.75%	0.1044	-4.40%	0.0416	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.1037	0.10297	-0.70%	0.1092	+5.30%	0.0429	✗	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.10625	0.104929	-1.24%	0.1037	-2.40%	0.0157	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.09565	0.095236	-0.43%	0.10625	+11.08%	0.1085	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.0963	0.095889	-0.43%	0.09565	-0.67%	0.0117	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.09965	0.099173	-0.48%	0.0963	-3.36%	0.0271	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.0985	0.098139	-0.37%	0.09965	+1.17%	0.0213	✗	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.1052	0.104724	-0.45%	0.0985	-6.37%	0.0523	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.1114	0.110817	-0.52%	0.1052	-5.57%	0.0399	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.12075	0.11995	-0.66%	0.1114	-7.74%	0.0487	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.1168	0.116091	-0.61%	0.12075	+3.38%	0.0170	✗	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.1201	0.119337	-0.64%	0.1168	-2.75%	0.0065	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.12355	0.122711	-0.68%	0.1201	-2.79%	0.0062	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.12355	0.122694	-0.69%	0.12355	+0.00%	0.0127	✗	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.1208	0.119919	-0.73%	0.12355	+2.28%	0.0109	✗	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.1233	0.122278	-0.83%	0.1208	-2.03%	0.0180	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.11315	0.112485	-0.59%	0.1233	+8.97%	0.0895	✗	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	0.1178	0.117056	-0.63%	0.11315	-3.95%	0.0162	✓	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	0.1251	0.12391	-0.95%	0.1178	-5.84%	0.0571	✓	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	0.119	0.118113	-0.75%	0.1251	+5.13%	0.0443	✗	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.1179	0.117098	-0.68%	0.119	+0.93%	0.0002	✓	1.00