BLEND

Fluent · Ethereum · beta_5y

token id: #284
symbol: BLEND
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xd8a271974e8edae9d7b58e3370dc1669427503f4
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-24
predictions: 519

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

143

of 173 predictions shown

direction hit

75.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1334

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0222

actual -0.1211

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.0519	0.051107	-1.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.60
2026-10-21	oos	0.0514	0.050327	-2.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.60
2026-10-20	oos	0.05065	0.049723	-1.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.58
2026-10-19	oos	0.04825	0.04733	-1.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-18	oos	0.05155	0.051107	-0.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-17	oos	0.0561	0.055323	-1.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.57
2026-10-16	oos	0.05865	0.05764	-1.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-15	oos	0.05925	0.058488	-1.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-14	oos	0.06075	0.059646	-1.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-13	oos	0.0633	0.062068	-1.95%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-10-12	oos	0.0641	0.062471	-2.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-10-11	oos	0.0652	0.06357	-2.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.0669	0.064996	-2.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-09	oos	0.0654	0.063547	-2.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-08	oos	0.0659	0.063768	-3.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.57
2026-10-07	oos	0.06515	0.063095	-3.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.59
2026-10-06	oos	0.0666	0.064669	-2.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.58
2026-10-05	oos	0.0682	0.066279	-2.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.59
2026-10-04	oos	0.06845	0.066666	-2.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.60
2026-10-03	oos	0.0687	0.06657	-3.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.60
2026-10-02	oos	0.0657	0.063722	-3.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.60
2026-10-01	oos	0.06785	0.065814	-3.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.59
2026-09-30	oos	0.06835	0.066111	-3.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-09-29	oos	0.06685	0.06472	-3.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.59
2026-09-28	oos	0.06635	0.06429	-3.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-09-27	oos	0.0694	0.067205	-3.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.58
2026-09-26	oos	0.06945	0.067321	-3.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.58
2026-09-25	oos	0.0703	0.067992	-3.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.58
2026-09-24	oos	0.0693	0.067084	-3.20%	–	pending	–	–	0.58
2026-09-23	oos	0.0686	0.066405	-3.20%	–	pending	–	–	0.58
2026-09-22	oos	0.0691	0.067334	-2.56%	0.0519	-24.89%	0.2489	✓	0.49
2026-09-21	oos	0.0676	0.066327	-1.88%	0.0514	-23.96%	0.2305	✓	0.53
2026-09-20	oos	0.065	0.062884	-3.26%	0.05065	-22.08%	0.2288	✓	0.57
2026-09-19	oos	0.0677	0.065198	-3.70%	0.04825	-28.73%	0.3053	✓	0.58
2026-09-18	oos	0.0645	0.062354	-3.33%	0.05155	-20.08%	0.1981	✓	0.56
2026-09-17	oos	0.0624	0.060078	-3.72%	0.0561	-10.10%	0.1033	✓	0.55
2026-09-16	oos	0.06055	0.058595	-3.23%	0.05865	-3.14%	0.0374	✓	0.56
2026-09-15	oos	0.06015	0.058271	-3.12%	0.05925	-1.50%	0.0310	✓	0.57
2026-09-14	oos	0.06395	0.061752	-3.44%	0.06075	-5.00%	0.0396	✓	0.55
2026-09-13	oos	0.0638	0.061668	-3.34%	0.0633	-0.78%	0.0175	✓	0.55
2026-09-12	oos	0.06705	0.064485	-3.83%	0.0641	-4.40%	0.0365	✓	0.54
2026-09-11	oos	0.066	0.063713	-3.47%	0.0652	-1.21%	0.0188	✓	0.52
2026-09-10	oos	0.06685	0.064524	-3.48%	0.0669	+0.07%	0.0048	✓	0.51
2026-09-09	oos	0.0645	0.062983	-2.35%	0.0654	+1.40%	0.0087	✓	0.55
2026-09-08	oos	0.0651	0.063666	-2.20%	0.0659	+1.23%	0.0160	✓	0.46
2026-09-07	oos	0.0659	0.065172	-1.10%	0.06515	-1.14%	0.0214	✓	0.41
2026-09-06	oos	0.0661	0.065938	-0.24%	0.0666	+0.76%	0.0179	✓	0.44
2026-09-05	oos	0.0645	0.064496	-0.01%	0.0682	+5.74%	0.0238	✗	0.45
2026-09-04	oos	0.0631	0.064304	+1.91%	0.06845	+8.48%	0.0258	✓	0.45
2026-09-03	oos	0.0631	0.065923	+4.47%	0.0687	+8.87%	0.0222	✓	0.45
2026-09-02	oos	0.0621	0.063951	+2.98%	0.0657	+5.80%	0.0246	✓	0.58
2026-09-01	oos	0.0628	0.065447	+4.22%	0.06785	+8.04%	0.0192	✓	0.60
2026-08-31	oos	0.06465	0.069393	+7.34%	0.06835	+5.72%	0.0531	✓	0.62
2026-08-30	oos	0.06635	0.06952	+4.78%	0.06685	+0.75%	0.0871	✗	0.65
2026-08-29	oos	0.0658	0.069476	+5.59%	0.06635	+0.84%	0.0895	✗	0.67
2026-08-28	oos	0.06495	0.069191	+6.53%	0.0694	+6.85%	0.0520	✓	0.67
2026-08-27	oos	0.0666	0.072778	+9.28%	0.06945	+4.28%	0.0806	✓	0.67
2026-08-26	oos	0.0657	0.070765	+7.71%	0.0703	+7.00%	0.0483	✓	0.67
2026-08-25	oos	0.06375	0.068137	+6.88%	0.0693	+8.71%	0.0298	✓	0.65
2026-08-24	oos	0.0673	0.071316	+5.97%	0.0686	+1.93%	0.0807	✗	0.63
2026-08-23	oos	0.0651	0.068402	+5.07%	0.0691	+6.14%	0.0573	✗	0.65
2026-08-22	oos	0.0639	0.067117	+5.03%	0.0676	+5.79%	0.0680	✗	0.64
2026-08-21	oos	0.0672	0.070098	+4.31%	0.065	-3.27%	0.0977	✗	0.63
2026-08-20	oos	0.06395	0.064456	+0.79%	0.0677	+5.86%	0.0176	✗	0.62
2026-08-19	oos	0.0641	0.063279	-1.28%	0.0645	+0.62%	0.0849	✓	0.67
2026-08-18	oos	0.05945	0.057819	-2.74%	0.0624	+4.96%	0.0235	✓	0.60
2026-08-17	oos	0.06165	0.059745	-3.09%	0.06055	-1.78%	0.0871	✓	0.60
2026-08-16	oos	0.06245	0.060074	-3.81%	0.06015	-3.68%	0.1149	✓	0.63
2026-08-15	oos	0.06455	0.06206	-3.86%	0.06395	-0.93%	0.1049	✓	0.63
2026-08-14	oos	0.0626	0.060334	-3.62%	0.0638	+1.92%	0.0703	✓	0.64
2026-08-13	oos	0.064	0.0617	-3.59%	0.06705	+4.77%	0.0450	✓	0.65
2026-08-12	oos	0.0634	0.061193	-3.48%	0.066	+4.10%	0.0612	✓	0.69
2026-08-11	oos	0.06495	0.062701	-3.46%	0.06685	+2.93%	0.0690	✓	0.71
2026-08-10	oos	0.06795	0.065337	-3.85%	0.0645	-5.08%	0.1581	✓	0.72
2026-08-09	oos	0.0669	0.064524	-3.55%	0.0651	-2.69%	0.1308	✓	0.73
2026-08-08	oos	0.0644	0.062281	-3.29%	0.0659	+2.33%	0.0879	✓	0.73
2026-08-07	oos	0.0635	0.061596	-3.00%	0.0661	+4.09%	0.0872	✓	0.74
2026-08-06	oos	0.06305	0.060997	-3.26%	0.0645	+2.30%	0.1027	✓	0.73
2026-08-05	oos	0.0628	0.060836	-3.13%	0.0631	+0.48%	0.1200	✓	0.75
2026-08-04	oos	0.0627	0.060626	-3.31%	0.0631	+0.64%	0.1404	✓	0.76
2026-08-03	oos	0.0678	0.064977	-4.16%	0.0621	-8.41%	0.1974	✓	0.77
2026-08-02	oos	0.0669	0.06431	-3.87%	0.0628	-6.13%	0.1807	✓	0.79
2026-08-01	oos	0.06925	0.066304	-4.25%	0.06465	-6.64%	0.2076	✓	0.81
2026-07-31	oos	0.0738	0.070285	-4.76%	0.06635	-10.09%	0.2303	✓	0.81
2026-07-30	oos	0.0731	0.070119	-4.08%	0.0658	-9.99%	0.2250	✓	0.85
2026-07-29	oos	0.0694	0.066725	-3.85%	0.06495	-6.41%	0.1666	✓	0.71
2026-07-28	oos	0.0659	0.063685	-3.36%	0.0666	+1.06%	0.1011	✓	0.64
2026-07-27	oos	0.0684	0.06577	-3.84%	0.0657	-3.95%	0.1155	✓	0.53
2026-07-26	oos	0.0647	0.062955	-2.70%	0.06375	-1.47%	0.0941	✓	0.58
2026-07-25	oos	0.061	0.059704	-2.12%	0.0673	+10.33%	0.0087	✓	0.54
2026-07-24	oos	0.06055	0.059614	-1.55%	0.0651	+7.51%	0.0026	✓	0.47
2026-07-23	oos	0.06255	0.061844	-1.13%	0.0639	+2.16%	0.0408	✓	0.43
2026-07-22	oos	0.061	0.060692	-0.51%	0.0672	+10.16%	0.0250	✗	0.45
2026-07-21	oos	0.0605	0.0603	-0.33%	0.06395	+5.70%	0.0163	✗	0.46
2026-07-20	oos	0.0599	0.059688	-0.35%	0.0641	+7.01%	0.0440	✗	0.45
2026-07-19	oos	0.06025	0.059895	-0.59%	0.05945	-1.33%	0.0075	✓	0.45
2026-07-18	oos	0.0599	0.060069	+0.28%	0.06165	+2.92%	0.0282	✓	0.45
2026-07-17	oos	0.0622	0.061859	-0.55%	0.06245	+0.40%	0.0174	✗	0.47
2026-07-16	oos	0.0626	0.06232	-0.45%	0.06455	+3.12%	0.0407	✗	0.47
2026-07-15	oos	0.06225	0.062489	+0.38%	0.0626	+0.56%	0.0148	✓	0.48
2026-07-14	oos	0.063	0.063213	+0.34%	0.064	+1.59%	0.0240	✓	0.48
2026-07-13	oos	0.0606	0.06034	-0.43%	0.0634	+4.62%	0.0415	✗	0.43
2026-07-12	oos	0.062	0.06194	-0.10%	0.06495	+4.76%	0.0489	✗	0.43
2026-07-11	oos	0.0627	0.062744	+0.07%	0.06795	+8.37%	0.0788	✓	0.43
2026-07-10	oos	0.0637	0.06368	-0.03%	0.0669	+5.02%	0.0445	✗	0.43
2026-07-09	oos	0.06245	0.062397	-0.08%	0.0644	+3.12%	0.0203	✗	0.42
2026-07-08	oos	0.06205	0.061913	-0.22%	0.0635	+2.34%	0.0082	✗	0.41
2026-07-07	oos	0.0643	0.064151	-0.23%	0.06305	-1.94%	0.0232	✓	0.40
2026-07-06	oos	0.066	0.06579	-0.32%	0.0628	-4.85%	0.0502	✓	0.39
2026-07-05	oos	0.06715	0.066736	-0.62%	0.0627	-6.63%	0.0653	✓	0.40
2026-07-04	oos	0.0682	0.067647	-0.81%	0.0678	-0.59%	0.0002	✓	0.40
2026-07-03	oos	0.0707	0.069618	-1.53%	0.0669	-5.37%	0.0463	✓	0.42
2026-07-02	oos	0.06465	0.064226	-0.66%	0.06925	+7.12%	0.0682	✗	0.35
2026-07-01	oos	0.0677	0.066544	-1.71%	0.0738	+9.01%	0.0847	✗	0.40
2026-06-30	oos	0.0619	0.061198	-1.13%	0.0731	+18.09%	0.1482	✗	0.29
2026-06-29	oos	0.0601	0.059818	-0.47%	0.0694	+15.47%	0.1279	✗	0.34
2026-06-28	oos	0.0589	0.058585	-0.54%	0.0659	+11.88%	0.0946	✗	0.33
2026-06-27	oos	0.0592	0.058645	-0.94%	0.0684	+15.54%	0.1340	✗	0.33
2026-06-26	oos	0.057	0.056839	-0.28%	0.0647	+13.51%	0.1023	✗	0.32
2026-06-25	oos	0.0602	0.059623	-0.96%	0.061	+1.33%	0.0023	✓	0.34
2026-06-24	oos	0.05325	0.053733	+0.91%	0.06055	+13.71%	0.0970	✓	0.45
2026-06-23	oos	0.05615	0.056612	+0.82%	0.06255	+11.40%	0.0839	✓	0.42
2026-06-22	oos	0.0612	0.061107	-0.15%	0.061	-0.33%	0.0137	✓	0.36
2026-06-21	oos	0.05935	0.059405	+0.09%	0.0605	+1.94%	0.0012	✓	0.34
2026-06-20	oos	0.0585	0.058783	+0.48%	0.0599	+2.39%	0.0134	✓	0.36
2026-06-19	oos	0.061	0.06073	-0.44%	0.06025	-1.23%	0.0151	✓	0.38
2026-06-18	oos	0.05585	0.056194	+0.62%	0.0599	+7.25%	0.0543	✓	0.32
2026-06-17	oos	0.0575	0.057683	+0.32%	0.0622	+8.17%	0.0780	✓	0.31
2026-06-16	oos	0.05995	0.059861	-0.15%	0.0626	+4.42%	0.0531	✗	0.29
2026-06-15	oos	0.0605	0.060328	-0.28%	0.06225	+2.89%	0.0384	✗	0.29
2026-06-14	oos	0.0604	0.060105	-0.49%	0.063	+4.30%	0.0502	✗	0.29
2026-06-13	oos	0.06215	0.061439	-1.14%	0.0606	-2.49%	0.0031	✓	0.31
2026-06-12	oos	0.0639	0.06275	-1.80%	0.062	-2.97%	0.0131	✓	0.33
2026-06-11	oos	0.0623	0.061183	-1.79%	0.0627	+0.64%	0.0234	✗	0.32
2026-06-10	oos	0.0673	0.064876	-3.60%	0.0637	-5.35%	0.0397	✓	0.50
2026-06-09	oos	0.0542	0.05405	-0.28%	0.06245	+15.22%	0.1329	✗	0.49
2026-06-08	oos	0.0572	0.056548	-1.14%	0.06205	+8.48%	0.0989	✗	0.46
2026-06-07	oos	0.0589	0.057981	-1.56%	0.0643	+9.17%	0.1033	✗	0.46
2026-06-06	oos	0.058	0.057506	-0.85%	0.066	+13.79%	0.1166	✗	0.42
2026-06-05	oos	0.0586	0.058137	-0.79%	0.06715	+14.59%	0.1270	✗	0.42
2026-06-04	oos	0.0652	0.063401	-2.76%	0.0682	+4.60%	0.0751	✗	0.19
2026-06-03	oos	0.0747	0.071297	-4.56%	0.0707	-5.35%	0.0036	✓	0.20
2026-06-02	oos	0.0783	0.074137	-5.32%	0.06465	-17.43%	0.1277	✓	0.11
2026-06-01	oos	0.083	0.077971	-6.06%	0.0677	-18.43%	0.1822	✓	-0.24
2026-05-31	oos	0.0875	0.081832	-6.48%	0.0619	-29.26%	0.3852	✓	-0.46
2026-05-30	oos	0.09045	0.084258	-6.85%	0.0601	-33.55%	0.4334	✓	-0.47
2026-05-29	oos	0.09185	0.085334	-7.09%	0.0589	-35.87%	0.4682	✓	-0.46
2026-05-28	oos	0.0956	0.088305	-7.63%	0.0592	-38.08%	0.4952	✓	-0.47
2026-05-27	oos	0.0909	0.08448	-7.06%	0.057	-37.29%	0.4759	✓	-0.39
2026-05-26	oos	0.091	0.084536	-7.10%	0.0602	-33.85%	0.4310	✓	-0.38
2026-05-25	oos	0.0984	0.091	-7.52%	0.05325	-45.88%	0.6851	✓	-0.63
2026-05-24	oos	0.1044	0.096123	-7.93%	0.05615	-46.22%	0.6608	✓	-0.60
2026-05-23	oos	0.1092	0.100019	-8.41%	0.0612	-43.96%	0.3101	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.1037	0.095108	-8.28%	0.05935	-42.77%	0.2950	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.10625	0.096737	-8.95%	0.0585	-44.94%	0.3144	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.09565	0.088418	-7.56%	0.061	-36.23%	0.1719	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.0963	0.089487	-7.07%	0.05585	-42.00%	0.2719	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.09965	0.092943	-6.73%	0.0575	-42.30%	0.3030	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.0985	0.092612	-5.98%	0.05995	-39.14%	0.2697	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.1052	0.099366	-5.55%	0.0605	-42.49%	0.3319	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.1114	0.105081	-5.67%	0.0604	-45.78%	0.3688	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.12075	0.113516	-5.99%	0.06215	-48.53%	0.3725	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.1168	0.109434	-6.31%	0.0639	-45.29%	0.3166	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.1201	0.112418	-6.40%	0.0623	-48.13%	0.3542	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.12355	0.115537	-6.49%	0.0673	-45.53%	0.2552	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.12355	0.115653	-6.39%	0.0542	-56.13%	0.4708	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.1208	0.11249	-6.88%	0.0572	-52.65%	0.4303	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.1233	0.11392	-7.61%	0.0589	-52.23%	0.4232	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.11315	0.105588	-6.68%	0.058	-48.74%	0.3254	✓	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	0.1178	0.110027	-6.60%	0.0586	-50.25%	0.3415	✓	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	0.1251	0.115579	-7.61%	0.0652	-47.88%	0.3350	✓	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	0.119	0.110119	-7.46%	0.0747	-37.23%	0.1674	✓	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.1179	0.108628	-7.86%	0.0783	-33.59%	0.1631	✓	1.00