BILL

Billions Network · Ethereum · beta_5y

token id: #325
symbol: BILL
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xb1110919016846972056ab995054d65560d5f05e
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-04
predictions: 489

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

156

of 163 predictions shown

direction hit

69.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1601

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0218

actual -0.1399

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.007325	0.007087	-3.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-21	oos	0.005555	0.005464	-1.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-20	oos	0.00565	0.005578	-1.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-10-19	oos	0.005755	0.005714	-0.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-18	oos	0.006	0.005965	-0.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.006795	0.006716	-1.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.70
2026-10-16	oos	0.007205	0.007117	-1.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-15	oos	0.007285	0.007212	-1.00%	0.007325	+0.55%	0.0026	✓	0.72
2026-10-14	oos	0.00821	0.008094	-1.42%	0.005555	-32.34%	0.3865	✓	0.73
2026-10-13	oos	0.0086	0.008486	-1.33%	0.00565	-34.30%	0.4051	✓	0.84
2026-10-12	oos	0.01038	0.010097	-2.72%	0.005755	-44.56%	0.5633	✓	0.94
2026-10-11	oos	0.009855	0.009671	-1.86%	0.006	-39.12%	0.4656	✓	0.58
2026-10-10	oos	0.0099	0.009713	-1.88%	0.006795	-31.36%	0.3495	✓	0.42
2026-10-09	oos	0.00937	0.009226	-1.54%	0.007205	-23.11%	0.2421	✓	0.40
2026-10-08	oos	0.00964	0.009491	-1.55%	0.007285	-24.43%	0.2666	✓	0.39
2026-10-07	oos	0.01117	0.010986	-1.65%	0.00821	-26.50%	0.2845	✓	0.33
2026-10-06	oos	0.010975	0.010903	-0.66%	0.0086	-21.64%	0.2266	✓	0.37
2026-10-05	oos	0.01145	0.011354	-0.84%	0.01038	-9.34%	0.0711	✓	0.39
2026-10-04	oos	0.01129	0.011226	-0.57%	0.009855	-12.71%	0.1163	✓	0.42
2026-10-03	oos	0.01108	0.010989	-0.82%	0.0099	-10.65%	0.0954	✓	0.41
2026-10-02	oos	0.01105	0.010955	-0.86%	0.00937	-15.20%	0.1466	✓	0.41
2026-10-01	oos	0.011535	0.011441	-0.81%	0.00964	-16.43%	0.1557	✓	0.41
2026-09-30	oos	0.011565	0.011454	-0.96%	0.01117	-3.42%	0.0238	✓	0.38
2026-09-29	oos	0.0114	0.011324	-0.67%	0.010975	-3.73%	0.0405	✓	0.41
2026-09-28	oos	0.01148	0.01142	-0.53%	0.01145	-0.26%	0.0082	✓	0.40
2026-09-27	oos	0.01244	0.012316	-1.00%	0.01129	-9.24%	0.0997	✓	0.53
2026-09-26	oos	0.013185	0.012972	-1.61%	0.01108	-15.97%	0.1599	✓	0.57
2026-09-25	oos	0.01327	0.013037	-1.76%	0.01105	-16.73%	0.1680	✓	0.53
2026-09-24	oos	0.01353	0.013238	-2.16%	0.011535	-14.75%	0.1407	✓	0.54
2026-09-23	oos	0.01228	0.012164	-0.95%	0.011565	-5.82%	0.0451	✓	0.55
2026-09-22	oos	0.01402	0.013654	-2.61%	0.0114	-18.69%	0.1649	✓	0.51
2026-09-21	oos	0.01394	0.01357	-2.66%	0.01148	-17.65%	0.1454	✓	0.59
2026-09-20	oos	0.01375	0.013461	-2.10%	0.01244	-9.53%	0.1049	✓	0.65
2026-09-19	oos	0.01427	0.013899	-2.60%	0.013185	-7.60%	0.0776	✓	0.65
2026-09-18	oos	0.014045	0.013672	-2.66%	0.01327	-5.52%	0.0539	✓	0.62
2026-09-17	oos	0.01383	0.013442	-2.80%	0.01353	-2.17%	0.0547	✓	0.61
2026-09-16	oos	0.01285	0.012508	-2.66%	0.01228	-4.44%	0.0794	✓	0.59
2026-09-15	oos	0.01248	0.012147	-2.67%	0.01402	+12.34%	0.0658	✗	0.59
2026-09-14	oos	0.012675	0.012415	-2.05%	0.01394	+9.98%	0.0530	✗	0.61
2026-09-13	oos	0.01265	0.0124	-1.98%	0.01375	+8.70%	0.0696	✗	0.61
2026-09-12	oos	0.013375	0.013102	-2.04%	0.01427	+6.69%	0.0555	✗	0.60
2026-09-11	oos	0.01402	0.013724	-2.11%	0.014045	+0.18%	0.0050	✓	0.61
2026-09-10	oos	0.012625	0.012449	-1.40%	0.01383	+9.54%	0.1067	✗	0.58
2026-09-09	oos	0.01339	0.013292	-0.73%	0.01285	-4.03%	0.0184	✓	0.56
2026-09-08	oos	0.014445	0.014388	-0.40%	0.01248	-13.60%	0.1183	✓	0.64
2026-09-07	oos	0.01516	0.015169	+0.06%	0.012675	-16.39%	0.1720	✗	0.65
2026-09-06	oos	0.01528	0.015441	+1.05%	0.01265	-17.21%	0.1708	✗	0.63
2026-09-05	oos	0.01551	0.015715	+1.32%	0.013375	-13.77%	0.1403	✗	0.64
2026-09-04	oos	0.01564	0.015909	+1.72%	0.01402	-10.36%	0.1055	✗	0.67
2026-09-03	oos	0.0167	0.01714	+2.63%	0.012625	-24.40%	0.2678	✗	0.63
2026-09-02	oos	0.01642	0.016611	+1.16%	0.01339	-18.45%	0.2235	✗	0.63
2026-09-01	oos	0.01824	0.018458	+1.20%	0.014445	-20.81%	0.2539	✗	0.65
2026-08-31	oos	0.0193	0.019596	+1.53%	0.01516	-21.45%	0.2601	✗	0.52
2026-08-30	oos	0.0188	0.019058	+1.37%	0.01528	-18.72%	0.2397	✗	0.55
2026-08-29	oos	0.019765	0.020035	+1.37%	0.01551	-21.53%	0.2651	✗	0.45
2026-08-28	oos	0.02019	0.020407	+1.08%	0.01564	-22.54%	0.2763	✗	0.44
2026-08-27	oos	0.02032	0.02061	+1.43%	0.0167	-17.81%	0.2160	✗	0.46
2026-08-26	oos	0.02017	0.020404	+1.16%	0.01642	-18.59%	0.2069	✗	0.47
2026-08-25	oos	0.01949	0.019759	+1.38%	0.01824	-6.41%	0.0736	✗	0.44
2026-08-24	oos	0.020445	0.020694	+1.22%	0.0193	-5.60%	0.0671	✗	0.49
2026-08-23	oos	0.02114	0.021286	+0.69%	0.0188	-11.07%	0.1238	✗	0.48
2026-08-22	oos	0.02075	0.020868	+0.57%	0.019765	-4.75%	0.0612	✗	0.45
2026-08-21	oos	0.02138	0.021506	+0.59%	0.02019	-5.57%	0.0602	✗	0.47
2026-08-20	oos	0.01991	0.019888	-0.11%	0.02032	+2.06%	0.0175	✓	0.41
2026-08-19	oos	0.02008	0.019918	-0.81%	0.02017	+0.45%	0.0264	✓	0.30
2026-08-18	oos	0.0193	0.019098	-1.04%	0.01949	+0.98%	0.0189	✓	0.20
2026-08-17	oos	0.02017	0.019955	-1.07%	0.020445	+1.36%	0.0019	✓	0.11
2026-08-16	oos	0.02032	0.02008	-1.18%	0.02114	+4.04%	0.0298	✗	0.10
2026-08-15	oos	0.02096	0.020738	-1.06%	0.02075	-1.00%	0.0200	✓	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.02163	0.021378	-1.17%	0.02138	-1.16%	0.0167	✓	0.08
2026-08-13	oos	0.023	0.022694	-1.33%	0.01991	-13.43%	0.1491	✓	0.13
2026-08-12	oos	0.023085	0.022786	-1.30%	0.02008	-13.02%	0.1487	✓	0.25
2026-08-11	oos	0.02499	0.024532	-1.83%	0.0193	-22.77%	0.2467	✓	0.38
2026-08-10	oos	0.02517	0.024695	-1.89%	0.02017	-19.86%	0.2058	✓	0.38
2026-08-09	oos	0.02452	0.024091	-1.75%	0.02032	-17.13%	0.1621	✓	0.26
2026-08-08	oos	0.02494	0.024512	-1.72%	0.02096	-15.96%	0.1495	✓	0.24
2026-08-07	oos	0.02412	0.023768	-1.46%	0.02163	-10.32%	0.0875	✓	0.23
2026-08-06	oos	0.02391	0.023565	-1.44%	0.023	-3.81%	0.0205	✓	0.29
2026-08-05	oos	0.02408	0.023696	-1.59%	0.023085	-4.13%	0.0199	✓	0.33
2026-08-04	oos	0.023105	0.022797	-1.33%	0.02499	+8.16%	0.0945	✗	0.33
2026-08-03	oos	0.02324	0.022913	-1.41%	0.02517	+8.30%	0.0904	✗	0.51
2026-08-02	oos	0.0239	0.023527	-1.56%	0.02452	+2.59%	0.0319	✗	0.45
2026-08-01	oos	0.02446	0.024022	-1.79%	0.02494	+1.96%	0.0221	✗	0.46
2026-07-31	oos	0.02385	0.023455	-1.66%	0.02412	+1.13%	0.0132	✓	0.46
2026-07-30	oos	0.02413	0.023708	-1.75%	0.02391	-0.91%	0.0118	✓	0.47
2026-07-29	oos	0.02339	0.023062	-1.40%	0.02408	+2.95%	0.0383	✗	0.45
2026-07-28	oos	0.02374	0.02343	-1.31%	0.023105	-2.67%	0.0154	✓	0.45
2026-07-27	oos	0.02262	0.022447	-0.76%	0.02324	+2.74%	0.0363	✗	0.44
2026-07-26	oos	0.02508	0.024788	-1.16%	0.0239	-4.70%	0.0259	✓	0.37
2026-07-25	oos	0.02666	0.02628	-1.43%	0.02446	-8.25%	0.0618	✓	0.41
2026-07-24	oos	0.02872	0.028117	-2.10%	0.02385	-16.96%	0.1561	✓	0.43
2026-07-23	oos	0.0314	0.030329	-3.41%	0.02413	-23.15%	0.2267	✓	0.39
2026-07-22	oos	0.02487	0.024551	-1.28%	0.02339	-5.95%	0.0313	✓	0.51
2026-07-21	oos	0.02548	0.025141	-1.33%	0.02374	-6.83%	0.0365	✓	0.51
2026-07-20	oos	0.02403	0.023832	-0.82%	0.02262	-5.87%	0.0413	✓	0.46
2026-07-19	oos	0.02517	0.024925	-0.97%	0.02508	-0.36%	0.0013	✓	0.48
2026-07-18	oos	0.02514	0.024978	-0.65%	0.02666	+6.05%	0.0689	✗	0.48
2026-07-17	oos	0.02324	0.023269	+0.12%	0.02872	+23.58%	0.2092	✓	0.43
2026-07-16	oos	0.02658	0.026504	-0.28%	0.0314	+18.13%	0.1605	✗	0.45
2026-07-15	oos	0.03422	0.033804	-1.22%	0.02487	-27.32%	0.3142	✓	0.35
2026-07-14	oos	0.04152	0.040623	-2.16%	0.02548	-38.63%	0.4742	✓	0.34
2026-07-13	oos	0.05978	0.056167	-6.04%	0.02403	-59.80%	0.8979	✓	1.06
2026-07-12	oos	0.04947	0.047221	-4.55%	0.02517	-49.12%	0.6472	✓	1.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.04091	0.039951	-2.34%	0.02514	-38.55%	0.4825	✓	1.21
2026-07-10	oos	0.03927	0.038425	-2.15%	0.02324	-40.82%	0.4984	✓	1.21
2026-07-09	oos	0.03782	0.037163	-1.74%	0.02658	-29.72%	0.3464	✓	1.20
2026-07-08	oos	0.03755	0.03696	-1.57%	0.03422	-8.87%	0.1243	✓	1.21
2026-07-07	oos	0.03992	0.039176	-1.86%	0.04152	+4.01%	0.0274	✗	1.18
2026-07-06	oos	0.04289	0.041829	-2.47%	0.05978	+39.38%	0.3892	✗	1.17
2026-07-05	oos	0.04247	0.041598	-2.05%	0.04947	+16.48%	0.1704	✗	1.17
2026-07-04	oos	0.041285	0.04052	-1.85%	0.04091	-0.91%	0.0029	✓	1.16
2026-07-03	oos	0.04114	0.040453	-1.67%	0.03927	-4.55%	0.0592	✓	1.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.04516	0.044124	-2.29%	0.03782	-16.25%	0.1887	✓	1.27
2026-07-01	oos	0.04335	0.042502	-1.96%	0.03755	-13.38%	0.1710	✓	1.27
2026-06-30	oos	0.04451	0.043545	-2.17%	0.03992	-10.31%	0.1938	✓	1.36
2026-06-29	oos	0.05502	0.052458	-4.66%	0.04289	-22.05%	0.2725	✓	1.15
2026-06-28	oos	0.04397	0.042895	-2.44%	0.04247	-3.41%	0.0752	✓	0.98
2026-06-27	oos	0.03909	0.03864	-1.15%	0.041285	+5.62%	0.0154	✗	0.99
2026-06-26	oos	0.04091	0.040353	-1.36%	0.04114	+0.56%	0.0218	✓	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.04133	0.040881	-1.09%	0.04516	+9.27%	0.0698	✗	1.01
2026-06-24	oos	0.04503	0.044272	-1.68%	0.04335	-3.73%	0.0049	✓	0.95
2026-06-23	oos	0.05072	0.04947	-2.46%	0.04451	-12.24%	0.0484	✓	0.84
2026-06-22	oos	0.056125	0.054355	-3.15%	0.05502	-1.97%	0.0588	✗	0.76
2026-06-21	oos	0.05784	0.055968	-3.24%	0.04397	-23.98%	0.1920	✓	0.80
2026-06-20	oos	0.05615	0.054583	-2.79%	0.03909	-30.38%	0.2769	✓	0.82
2026-06-19	oos	0.05866	0.056988	-2.85%	0.04091	-30.26%	0.2819	✓	0.88
2026-06-18	oos	0.06372	0.061706	-3.16%	0.04133	-35.14%	0.3508	✓	0.96
2026-06-17	oos	0.06622	0.064025	-3.31%	0.04503	-32.00%	0.3004	✓	0.93
2026-06-16	oos	0.06792	0.065537	-3.51%	0.05072	-25.32%	0.2137	✓	0.92
2026-06-15	oos	0.07033	0.067831	-3.55%	0.056125	-20.20%	0.1571	✓	0.91
2026-06-14	oos	0.0738	0.070913	-3.91%	0.05784	-21.63%	0.1670	✓	0.96
2026-06-13	oos	0.07298	0.070191	-3.82%	0.05615	-23.06%	0.2200	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.0734	0.070503	-3.95%	0.05866	-20.08%	0.1829	✓	1.04
2026-06-11	oos	0.06964	0.067095	-3.65%	0.06372	-8.50%	0.0405	✓	1.03
2026-06-10	oos	0.0631	0.061441	-2.63%	0.06622	+4.94%	0.0325	✗	0.89
2026-06-09	oos	0.0706	0.068378	-3.15%	0.06792	-3.80%	0.0634	✓	0.92
2026-06-08	oos	0.06982	0.067639	-3.12%	0.07033	+0.73%	0.0073	✓	0.93
2026-06-07	oos	0.07435	0.07163	-3.66%	0.0738	-0.74%	0.0055	✓	0.95
2026-06-06	oos	0.07222	0.070011	-3.06%	0.07298	+1.05%	0.0192	✓	1.06
2026-06-05	oos	0.07	0.068108	-2.70%	0.0734	+4.86%	0.0323	✗	1.06
2026-06-04	oos	0.07362	0.071322	-3.12%	0.06964	-5.41%	0.0202	✓	0.97
2026-06-03	oos	0.08668	0.082868	-4.40%	0.0631	-27.20%	0.2298	✓	1.03
2026-06-02	oos	0.08178	0.078198	-4.38%	0.0706	-13.67%	0.0247	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.08854	0.083256	-5.97%	0.06982	-21.14%	0.0530	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.08049	0.076179	-5.36%	0.07435	-7.63%	0.1261	✗	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.07362	0.070541	-4.18%	0.07222	-1.90%	0.2161	✗	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.07056	0.068176	-3.38%	0.07	-0.79%	0.2105	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.08394	0.079807	-4.92%	0.07362	-12.29%	0.0609	✗	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.07896	0.075924	-3.84%	0.08668	+9.78%	0.2813	✗	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.0908	0.085903	-5.39%	0.08178	-9.93%	0.0797	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.08888	0.084242	-5.22%	0.08854	-0.38%	0.1297	✗	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.11267	0.10368	-7.98%	0.08049	-28.56%	0.2080	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.09772	0.0911	-6.77%	0.07362	-24.66%	0.1748	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.08794	0.083376	-5.19%	0.07056	-19.76%	0.1390	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.076	0.072722	-4.31%	0.08394	+10.45%	0.1969	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.0859	0.080323	-6.49%	0.07896	-8.08%	0.0245	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.11193	0.104266	-6.85%	0.0908	-18.88%	0.1259	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.1522	0.140622	-7.61%	0.08888	-41.60%	0.4627	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.15665	0.14444	-7.79%	0.11267	-28.08%	0.2428	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.14328	0.133121	-7.09%	0.09772	-31.80%	0.2903	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.1738	0.160575	-7.61%	0.08794	-49.40%	0.5553	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.20844	0.189972	-8.86%	0.076	-63.54%	0.8716	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.1831	0.167669	-8.43%	0.0859	-53.09%	0.6457	✓	1.00