BILL

Billions Network · Ethereum · beta_5y

token id: #325
symbol: BILL
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xb1110919016846972056ab995054d65560d5f05e
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-04
predictions: 489

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

133

of 163 predictions shown

direction hit

90.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.4442

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0736

actual -0.5150

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.007325	0.006749	-7.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-21	oos	0.005555	0.005064	-8.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-20	oos	0.00565	0.005234	-7.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-10-19	oos	0.005755	0.005401	-6.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-18	oos	0.006	0.005694	-5.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.006795	0.006448	-5.11%	–	pending	–	–	0.70
2026-10-16	oos	0.007205	0.006886	-4.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-15	oos	0.007285	0.00701	-3.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.72
2026-10-14	oos	0.00821	0.007854	-4.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.73
2026-10-13	oos	0.0086	0.008296	-3.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-12	oos	0.01038	0.00971	-6.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-10-11	oos	0.009855	0.009394	-4.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.58
2026-10-10	oos	0.0099	0.009417	-4.88%	–	pending	–	–	0.42
2026-10-09	oos	0.00937	0.008961	-4.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.40
2026-10-08	oos	0.00964	0.009231	-4.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.39
2026-10-07	oos	0.01117	0.010735	-3.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.33
2026-10-06	oos	0.010975	0.010838	-1.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.37
2026-10-05	oos	0.01145	0.011296	-1.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.39
2026-10-04	oos	0.01129	0.011222	-0.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.42
2026-10-03	oos	0.01108	0.010929	-1.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.41
2026-10-02	oos	0.01105	0.010939	-1.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.41
2026-10-01	oos	0.011535	0.0114	-1.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.41
2026-09-30	oos	0.011565	0.011382	-1.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.38
2026-09-29	oos	0.0114	0.011297	-0.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.41
2026-09-28	oos	0.01148	0.011451	-0.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.40
2026-09-27	oos	0.01244	0.01226	-1.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-09-26	oos	0.013185	0.012749	-3.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.57
2026-09-25	oos	0.01327	0.012784	-3.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-09-24	oos	0.01353	0.012919	-4.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-09-23	oos	0.01228	0.012093	-1.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-09-22	oos	0.01402	0.013197	-5.87%	0.007325	-47.75%	0.5768	✓	0.51
2026-09-21	oos	0.01394	0.013093	-6.07%	0.005555	-60.15%	0.8302	✓	0.59
2026-09-20	oos	0.01375	0.013029	-5.24%	0.00565	-58.91%	0.8497	✓	0.65
2026-09-19	oos	0.01427	0.013351	-6.44%	0.005755	-59.67%	0.8463	✓	0.65
2026-09-18	oos	0.014045	0.01316	-6.30%	0.006	-57.28%	0.7940	✓	0.62
2026-09-17	oos	0.01383	0.012815	-7.34%	0.006795	-50.87%	0.6735	✓	0.61
2026-09-16	oos	0.01285	0.011934	-7.13%	0.007205	-43.93%	0.5450	✓	0.59
2026-09-15	oos	0.01248	0.011566	-7.32%	0.007285	-41.63%	0.5113	✓	0.59
2026-09-14	oos	0.012675	0.011922	-5.94%	0.00821	-35.23%	0.3991	✓	0.61
2026-09-13	oos	0.01265	0.011837	-6.43%	0.0086	-32.02%	0.3677	✓	0.61
2026-09-12	oos	0.013375	0.012589	-5.88%	0.01038	-22.39%	0.2266	✓	0.60
2026-09-11	oos	0.01402	0.01317	-6.06%	0.009855	-29.71%	0.3387	✓	0.61
2026-09-10	oos	0.012625	0.011916	-5.61%	0.0099	-21.58%	0.2321	✓	0.58
2026-09-09	oos	0.01339	0.01288	-3.81%	0.00937	-30.02%	0.3478	✓	0.56
2026-09-08	oos	0.014445	0.013927	-3.59%	0.00964	-33.26%	0.3940	✓	0.64
2026-09-07	oos	0.01516	0.014637	-3.45%	0.01117	-26.32%	0.3041	✓	0.65
2026-09-06	oos	0.01528	0.014988	-1.91%	0.010975	-28.17%	0.3513	✓	0.63
2026-09-05	oos	0.01551	0.01528	-1.48%	0.01145	-26.18%	0.3344	✓	0.64
2026-09-04	oos	0.01564	0.015592	-0.31%	0.01129	-27.81%	0.3776	✓	0.67
2026-09-03	oos	0.0167	0.016779	+0.47%	0.01108	-33.65%	0.4415	✗	0.63
2026-09-02	oos	0.01642	0.016384	-0.22%	0.01105	-32.70%	0.4504	✓	0.63
2026-09-01	oos	0.01824	0.018119	-0.66%	0.011535	-36.76%	0.5114	✓	0.65
2026-08-31	oos	0.0193	0.019388	+0.46%	0.011565	-40.08%	0.5485	✗	0.52
2026-08-30	oos	0.0188	0.01901	+1.12%	0.0114	-39.36%	0.5523	✗	0.55
2026-08-29	oos	0.019765	0.02014	+1.90%	0.01148	-41.92%	0.5910	✗	0.45
2026-08-28	oos	0.02019	0.020638	+2.22%	0.01244	-38.39%	0.5421	✗	0.44
2026-08-27	oos	0.02032	0.021096	+3.82%	0.013185	-35.11%	0.4933	✗	0.46
2026-08-26	oos	0.02017	0.020992	+4.07%	0.01327	-34.21%	0.4877	✗	0.47
2026-08-25	oos	0.01949	0.02065	+5.95%	0.01353	-30.58%	0.4543	✗	0.44
2026-08-24	oos	0.020445	0.021741	+6.34%	0.01228	-39.94%	0.6038	✗	0.49
2026-08-23	oos	0.02114	0.022275	+5.37%	0.01402	-33.68%	0.5126	✗	0.48
2026-08-22	oos	0.02075	0.021839	+5.25%	0.01394	-32.82%	0.5019	✗	0.45
2026-08-21	oos	0.02138	0.022635	+5.87%	0.01375	-35.69%	0.5151	✗	0.47
2026-08-20	oos	0.01991	0.020294	+1.93%	0.01427	-28.33%	0.3960	✗	0.41
2026-08-19	oos	0.02008	0.019892	-0.94%	0.014045	-30.05%	0.3939	✓	0.30
2026-08-18	oos	0.0193	0.018724	-2.98%	0.01383	-28.34%	0.3365	✓	0.20
2026-08-17	oos	0.02017	0.019591	-2.87%	0.01285	-36.29%	0.4400	✓	0.11
2026-08-16	oos	0.02032	0.019619	-3.45%	0.01248	-38.58%	0.4712	✓	0.10
2026-08-15	oos	0.02096	0.020298	-3.16%	0.012675	-39.53%	0.4930	✓	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.02163	0.020905	-3.35%	0.01265	-41.52%	0.5176	✓	0.08
2026-08-13	oos	0.023	0.022142	-3.73%	0.013375	-41.85%	0.5297	✓	0.13
2026-08-12	oos	0.023085	0.022227	-3.71%	0.01402	-39.27%	0.5103	✓	0.25
2026-08-11	oos	0.02499	0.023741	-5.00%	0.012625	-49.48%	0.7020	✓	0.38
2026-08-10	oos	0.02517	0.023892	-5.08%	0.01339	-46.80%	0.6564	✓	0.38
2026-08-09	oos	0.02452	0.023441	-4.40%	0.014445	-41.09%	0.5332	✓	0.26
2026-08-08	oos	0.02494	0.023813	-4.52%	0.01516	-39.21%	0.4986	✓	0.24
2026-08-07	oos	0.02412	0.023247	-3.62%	0.01528	-36.65%	0.4678	✓	0.23
2026-08-06	oos	0.02391	0.023057	-3.57%	0.01551	-35.13%	0.4584	✓	0.29
2026-08-05	oos	0.02408	0.023114	-4.01%	0.01564	-35.05%	0.4604	✓	0.33
2026-08-04	oos	0.023105	0.022329	-3.36%	0.0167	-27.72%	0.3687	✓	0.33
2026-08-03	oos	0.02324	0.022381	-3.69%	0.01642	-29.35%	0.4095	✓	0.51
2026-08-02	oos	0.0239	0.022939	-4.02%	0.01824	-23.68%	0.3181	✓	0.45
2026-08-01	oos	0.02446	0.023331	-4.62%	0.0193	-21.10%	0.2929	✓	0.46
2026-07-31	oos	0.02385	0.022818	-4.33%	0.0188	-21.17%	0.2908	✓	0.46
2026-07-30	oos	0.02413	0.02312	-4.19%	0.019765	-18.09%	0.2451	✓	0.47
2026-07-29	oos	0.02339	0.022567	-3.52%	0.02019	-13.68%	0.1999	✓	0.45
2026-07-28	oos	0.02374	0.02298	-3.20%	0.02032	-14.41%	0.2260	✓	0.45
2026-07-27	oos	0.02262	0.02216	-2.03%	0.02017	-10.83%	0.1890	✓	0.44
2026-07-26	oos	0.02508	0.024376	-2.81%	0.01949	-22.29%	0.2919	✓	0.37
2026-07-25	oos	0.02666	0.025771	-3.33%	0.020445	-23.31%	0.3162	✓	0.41
2026-07-24	oos	0.02872	0.027425	-4.51%	0.02114	-26.39%	0.3427	✓	0.43
2026-07-23	oos	0.0314	0.029465	-6.16%	0.02075	-33.92%	0.4170	✓	0.39
2026-07-22	oos	0.02487	0.024138	-2.94%	0.02138	-14.03%	0.2080	✓	0.51
2026-07-21	oos	0.02548	0.024665	-3.20%	0.01991	-21.86%	0.2615	✓	0.51
2026-07-20	oos	0.02403	0.023411	-2.58%	0.02008	-16.44%	0.1816	✓	0.46
2026-07-19	oos	0.02517	0.024476	-2.76%	0.0193	-23.32%	0.2376	✓	0.48
2026-07-18	oos	0.02514	0.024556	-2.32%	0.02017	-19.77%	0.1944	✓	0.48
2026-07-17	oos	0.02324	0.022943	-1.28%	0.02032	-12.56%	0.1143	✓	0.43
2026-07-16	oos	0.02658	0.026164	-1.56%	0.02096	-21.14%	0.2164	✓	0.45
2026-07-15	oos	0.03422	0.032964	-3.67%	0.02163	-36.79%	0.4119	✓	0.35
2026-07-14	oos	0.04152	0.039021	-6.02%	0.023	-44.61%	0.5204	✓	0.34
2026-07-13	oos	0.05978	0.05249	-12.19%	0.023085	-61.38%	0.8407	✓	1.06
2026-07-12	oos	0.04947	0.044656	-9.73%	0.02499	-49.48%	0.5765	✓	1.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.04091	0.038232	-6.55%	0.02517	-38.47%	0.4207	✓	1.21
2026-07-10	oos	0.03927	0.036872	-6.11%	0.02452	-37.56%	0.4215	✓	1.21
2026-07-09	oos	0.03782	0.035753	-5.47%	0.02494	-34.06%	0.3926	✓	1.20
2026-07-08	oos	0.03755	0.035629	-5.12%	0.02412	-35.77%	0.4406	✓	1.21
2026-07-07	oos	0.03992	0.037629	-5.74%	0.02391	-40.11%	0.4710	✓	1.18
2026-07-06	oos	0.04289	0.039984	-6.78%	0.02408	-43.86%	0.5180	✓	1.17
2026-07-05	oos	0.04247	0.039767	-6.36%	0.023105	-45.60%	0.5515	✓	1.17
2026-07-04	oos	0.041285	0.038757	-6.12%	0.02324	-43.71%	0.5184	✓	1.16
2026-07-03	oos	0.04114	0.038785	-5.73%	0.0239	-41.91%	0.5022	✓	1.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.04516	0.04193	-7.15%	0.02446	-45.84%	0.5652	✓	1.27
2026-07-01	oos	0.04335	0.040407	-6.79%	0.02385	-44.98%	0.5863	✓	1.27
2026-06-30	oos	0.04451	0.041175	-7.49%	0.02413	-45.79%	0.6708	✓	1.36
2026-06-29	oos	0.05502	0.048623	-11.63%	0.02339	-57.49%	0.8011	✓	1.15
2026-06-28	oos	0.04397	0.040256	-8.45%	0.02374	-46.01%	0.5974	✓	0.98
2026-06-27	oos	0.03909	0.036558	-6.48%	0.02262	-42.13%	0.5404	✓	0.99
2026-06-26	oos	0.04091	0.038067	-6.95%	0.02508	-38.69%	0.5026	✓	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.04133	0.038571	-6.68%	0.02666	-35.49%	0.4442	✓	1.01
2026-06-24	oos	0.04503	0.041558	-7.71%	0.02872	-36.22%	0.4168	✓	0.95
2026-06-23	oos	0.05072	0.046162	-8.99%	0.0314	-38.09%	0.4170	✓	0.84
2026-06-22	oos	0.056125	0.050514	-10.00%	0.02487	-55.69%	0.7337	✓	0.76
2026-06-21	oos	0.05784	0.051945	-10.19%	0.02548	-55.95%	0.7529	✓	0.80
2026-06-20	oos	0.05615	0.050757	-9.60%	0.02403	-57.20%	0.7603	✓	0.82
2026-06-19	oos	0.05866	0.05301	-9.63%	0.02517	-57.09%	0.7614	✓	0.88
2026-06-18	oos	0.06372	0.057287	-10.10%	0.02514	-60.55%	0.8526	✓	0.96
2026-06-17	oos	0.06622	0.059413	-10.28%	0.02324	-64.90%	0.9306	✓	0.93
2026-06-16	oos	0.06792	0.060796	-10.49%	0.02658	-60.87%	0.8012	✓	0.92
2026-06-15	oos	0.07033	0.062866	-10.61%	0.03422	-51.34%	0.5866	✓	0.91
2026-06-14	oos	0.0738	0.065485	-11.27%	0.04152	-43.74%	0.4451	✓	0.96
2026-06-13	oos	0.07298	0.064708	-11.34%	0.05978	-18.09%	0.0452	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.0734	0.064834	-11.67%	0.04947	-32.60%	0.2738	✓	1.04
2026-06-11	oos	0.06964	0.061739	-11.35%	0.04091	-41.26%	0.4149	✓	1.03
2026-06-10	oos	0.0631	0.056748	-10.07%	0.03927	-37.77%	0.4061	✓	0.89
2026-06-09	oos	0.0706	0.063018	-10.74%	0.03782	-46.43%	0.5325	✓	0.92
2026-06-08	oos	0.06982	0.062339	-10.71%	0.03755	-46.22%	0.4946	✓	0.93
2026-06-07	oos	0.07435	0.065813	-11.48%	0.03992	-46.31%	0.5002	✓	0.95
2026-06-06	oos	0.07222	0.06435	-10.90%	0.04289	-40.61%	0.4593	✓	1.06
2026-06-05	oos	0.07	0.062641	-10.51%	0.04247	-39.33%	0.4319	✓	1.06
2026-06-04	oos	0.07362	0.065366	-11.21%	0.041285	-43.92%	0.4485	✓	0.97
2026-06-03	oos	0.08668	0.075195	-13.25%	0.04114	-52.54%	0.5783	✓	1.03
2026-06-02	oos	0.08178	0.070716	-13.53%	0.04516	-44.78%	0.3677	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.08854	0.07438	-15.99%	0.04335	-51.04%	0.3665	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.08049	0.067854	-15.70%	0.04451	-44.70%	0.1928	✓	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.07362	0.062843	-14.64%	0.05502	-25.26%	0.0710	✓	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.07056	0.060831	-13.79%	0.04397	-37.68%	0.1147	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.08394	0.070962	-15.46%	0.03909	-53.43%	0.3921	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.07896	0.067364	-14.69%	0.04091	-48.19%	0.2848	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.0908	0.075572	-16.77%	0.04133	-54.48%	0.3645	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.08888	0.073572	-17.22%	0.04503	-49.34%	0.2545	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.11267	0.09058	-19.61%	0.05072	-54.98%	0.3739	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.09772	0.079288	-18.86%	0.056125	-42.57%	0.1644	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.08794	0.072554	-17.50%	0.05784	-34.23%	0.0501	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.076	0.062553	-17.69%	0.05615	-26.12%	0.0805	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.0859	0.069208	-19.43%	0.05866	-31.71%	0.0340	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.11193	0.091505	-18.25%	0.06372	-43.07%	0.1623	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.1522	0.123588	-18.80%	0.06622	-56.49%	0.4467	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.15665	0.126806	-19.05%	0.06792	-56.64%	0.4591	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.14328	0.116916	-18.40%	0.07033	-50.91%	0.3440	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.1738	0.140275	-19.29%	0.0738	-57.54%	0.4573	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.20844	0.166473	-20.13%	0.07298	-64.99%	0.5948	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.1831	0.146629	-19.92%	0.0734	-59.91%	0.4705	✓	1.00