BILL

Billions Network · Ethereum · beta_5y

token id: #325
symbol: BILL
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xb1110919016846972056ab995054d65560d5f05e
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-04
predictions: 489

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

162

of 163 predictions shown

direction hit

62.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0615

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0054

actual -0.0210

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.007325	0.007257	-0.93%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-21	oos	0.005555	0.005545	-0.18%	0.007325	+3.17%	0.0311	✗	0.79
2026-10-20	oos	0.00565	0.005643	-0.13%	0.005555	-1.68%	0.0138	✓	0.65
2026-10-19	oos	0.005755	0.005754	-0.02%	0.00565	-1.82%	0.0270	✓	0.66
2026-10-18	oos	0.006	0.005999	-0.02%	0.005755	-4.08%	0.0401	✓	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.006795	0.006782	-0.19%	0.006	-11.70%	0.1279	✓	0.70
2026-10-16	oos	0.007205	0.007188	-0.24%	0.006795	-5.69%	0.0552	✓	0.69
2026-10-15	oos	0.007285	0.007272	-0.18%	0.007205	-1.10%	0.0038	✓	0.72
2026-10-14	oos	0.00821	0.008185	-0.31%	0.007285	-11.27%	0.1214	✓	0.73
2026-10-13	oos	0.0086	0.008572	-0.33%	0.00821	-4.53%	0.0276	✓	0.84
2026-10-12	oos	0.01038	0.010295	-0.82%	0.0086	-17.15%	0.1955	✓	0.94
2026-10-11	oos	0.009855	0.009803	-0.53%	0.01038	+5.33%	0.0709	✗	0.58
2026-10-10	oos	0.0099	0.009848	-0.53%	0.009855	-0.45%	0.0032	✓	0.42
2026-10-09	oos	0.00937	0.009334	-0.38%	0.0099	+5.66%	0.0571	✗	0.40
2026-10-08	oos	0.00964	0.009601	-0.41%	0.00937	-2.80%	0.0284	✓	0.39
2026-10-07	oos	0.01117	0.011105	-0.59%	0.00964	-13.70%	0.1351	✓	0.33
2026-10-06	oos	0.010975	0.010935	-0.37%	0.01117	+1.78%	0.0312	✗	0.37
2026-10-05	oos	0.01145	0.011396	-0.47%	0.010975	-4.15%	0.0367	✓	0.39
2026-10-04	oos	0.01129	0.011244	-0.40%	0.01145	+1.42%	0.0218	✗	0.42
2026-10-03	oos	0.01108	0.011034	-0.41%	0.01129	+1.90%	0.0145	✗	0.41
2026-10-02	oos	0.01105	0.011001	-0.44%	0.01108	+0.27%	0.0060	✗	0.41
2026-10-01	oos	0.011535	0.011486	-0.42%	0.01105	-4.20%	0.0371	✓	0.41
2026-09-30	oos	0.011565	0.011516	-0.43%	0.011535	-0.26%	0.0041	✓	0.38
2026-09-29	oos	0.0114	0.011364	-0.32%	0.011565	+1.45%	0.0180	✗	0.41
2026-09-28	oos	0.01148	0.011448	-0.28%	0.0114	-0.70%	0.0051	✓	0.40
2026-09-27	oos	0.01244	0.012389	-0.41%	0.01148	-7.72%	0.0699	✓	0.53
2026-09-26	oos	0.013185	0.013114	-0.54%	0.01244	-5.65%	0.0530	✓	0.57
2026-09-25	oos	0.01327	0.013194	-0.57%	0.013185	-0.64%	0.0027	✓	0.53
2026-09-24	oos	0.01353	0.013437	-0.69%	0.01327	-1.92%	0.0106	✓	0.54
2026-09-23	oos	0.01228	0.012239	-0.33%	0.01353	+10.18%	0.1002	✗	0.55
2026-09-22	oos	0.01402	0.013915	-0.75%	0.01228	-12.41%	0.1140	✓	0.51
2026-09-21	oos	0.01394	0.013839	-0.72%	0.01402	+0.57%	0.0157	✗	0.59
2026-09-20	oos	0.01375	0.013672	-0.57%	0.01394	+1.38%	0.0229	✓	0.65
2026-09-19	oos	0.01427	0.014171	-0.70%	0.01375	-3.64%	0.0295	✓	0.65
2026-09-18	oos	0.014045	0.013941	-0.74%	0.01427	+1.60%	0.0206	✗	0.62
2026-09-17	oos	0.01383	0.013728	-0.74%	0.014045	+1.55%	0.0124	✓	0.61
2026-09-16	oos	0.01285	0.012764	-0.67%	0.01383	+7.63%	0.0786	✗	0.59
2026-09-15	oos	0.01248	0.012397	-0.67%	0.01285	+2.96%	0.0316	✗	0.59
2026-09-14	oos	0.012675	0.012612	-0.50%	0.01248	-1.54%	0.0102	✗	0.61
2026-09-13	oos	0.01265	0.012596	-0.43%	0.012675	+0.20%	0.0046	✓	0.61
2026-09-12	oos	0.013375	0.013303	-0.54%	0.01265	-5.42%	0.0467	✓	0.60
2026-09-11	oos	0.01402	0.013932	-0.63%	0.013375	-4.60%	0.0412	✓	0.61
2026-09-10	oos	0.012625	0.012587	-0.30%	0.01402	+11.05%	0.1027	✗	0.58
2026-09-09	oos	0.01339	0.013359	-0.23%	0.012625	-5.71%	0.0439	✓	0.56
2026-09-08	oos	0.014445	0.014413	-0.22%	0.01339	-7.30%	0.0723	✓	0.64
2026-09-07	oos	0.01516	0.015138	-0.14%	0.014445	-4.72%	0.0415	✓	0.65
2026-09-06	oos	0.01528	0.015283	+0.02%	0.01516	-0.79%	0.0018	✓	0.63
2026-09-05	oos	0.01551	0.01552	+0.06%	0.01528	-1.48%	0.0196	✗	0.64
2026-09-04	oos	0.01564	0.015658	+0.12%	0.01551	-0.83%	0.0108	✗	0.67
2026-09-03	oos	0.0167	0.01674	+0.24%	0.01564	-6.35%	0.0555	✗	0.63
2026-09-02	oos	0.01642	0.016419	-0.00%	0.0167	+1.71%	0.0147	✓	0.63
2026-09-01	oos	0.01824	0.018232	-0.04%	0.01642	-9.98%	0.1039	✓	0.65
2026-08-31	oos	0.0193	0.019294	-0.03%	0.01824	-5.49%	0.0485	✓	0.52
2026-08-30	oos	0.0188	0.018794	-0.03%	0.0193	+2.66%	0.0202	✗	0.55
2026-08-29	oos	0.019765	0.019749	-0.08%	0.0188	-4.88%	0.0460	✓	0.45
2026-08-28	oos	0.02019	0.020156	-0.17%	0.019765	-2.11%	0.0218	✓	0.44
2026-08-27	oos	0.02032	0.020293	-0.13%	0.02019	-0.64%	0.0092	✗	0.46
2026-08-26	oos	0.02017	0.020134	-0.18%	0.02032	+0.74%	0.0019	✗	0.47
2026-08-25	oos	0.01949	0.019468	-0.11%	0.02017	+3.49%	0.0327	✗	0.44
2026-08-24	oos	0.020445	0.020407	-0.19%	0.01949	-4.67%	0.0431	✓	0.49
2026-08-23	oos	0.02114	0.021072	-0.32%	0.020445	-3.29%	0.0379	✓	0.48
2026-08-22	oos	0.02075	0.020681	-0.33%	0.02114	+1.88%	0.0180	✗	0.45
2026-08-21	oos	0.02138	0.0213	-0.38%	0.02075	-2.95%	0.0185	✓	0.47
2026-08-20	oos	0.01991	0.019845	-0.32%	0.02138	+7.38%	0.0456	✗	0.41
2026-08-19	oos	0.02008	0.019998	-0.41%	0.01991	-0.85%	0.0199	✓	0.30
2026-08-18	oos	0.0193	0.019234	-0.34%	0.02008	+4.04%	0.0291	✗	0.20
2026-08-17	oos	0.02017	0.020095	-0.37%	0.0193	-4.31%	0.0407	✓	0.11
2026-08-16	oos	0.02032	0.020242	-0.38%	0.02017	-0.74%	0.0062	✓	0.10
2026-08-15	oos	0.02096	0.020886	-0.35%	0.02032	-3.05%	0.0272	✓	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.02163	0.021549	-0.37%	0.02096	-3.10%	0.0278	✓	0.08
2026-08-13	oos	0.023	0.022902	-0.43%	0.02163	-5.96%	0.0562	✓	0.13
2026-08-12	oos	0.023085	0.022992	-0.40%	0.023	-0.37%	0.0003	✓	0.25
2026-08-11	oos	0.02499	0.024851	-0.55%	0.023085	-7.62%	0.0730	✓	0.38
2026-08-10	oos	0.02517	0.025026	-0.57%	0.02499	-0.72%	0.0008	✓	0.38
2026-08-09	oos	0.02452	0.024384	-0.55%	0.02517	+2.65%	0.0355	✗	0.26
2026-08-08	oos	0.02494	0.024807	-0.53%	0.02452	-1.68%	0.0114	✓	0.24
2026-08-07	oos	0.02412	0.024006	-0.47%	0.02494	+3.40%	0.0381	✗	0.23
2026-08-06	oos	0.02391	0.023798	-0.47%	0.02412	+0.88%	0.0107	✗	0.29
2026-08-05	oos	0.02408	0.023961	-0.49%	0.02391	-0.71%	0.0004	✓	0.33
2026-08-04	oos	0.023105	0.023009	-0.41%	0.02408	+4.22%	0.0427	✗	0.33
2026-08-03	oos	0.02324	0.023143	-0.42%	0.023105	-0.58%	0.0063	✓	0.51
2026-08-02	oos	0.0239	0.023791	-0.46%	0.02324	-2.76%	0.0232	✓	0.45
2026-08-01	oos	0.02446	0.024333	-0.52%	0.0239	-2.29%	0.0233	✓	0.46
2026-07-31	oos	0.02385	0.023739	-0.47%	0.02446	+2.56%	0.0304	✗	0.46
2026-07-30	oos	0.02413	0.02401	-0.50%	0.02385	-1.16%	0.0072	✗	0.47
2026-07-29	oos	0.02339	0.023297	-0.40%	0.02413	+3.16%	0.0294	✗	0.45
2026-07-28	oos	0.02374	0.023649	-0.38%	0.02339	-1.47%	0.0114	✓	0.45
2026-07-27	oos	0.02262	0.022568	-0.23%	0.02374	+4.95%	0.0496	✗	0.44
2026-07-26	oos	0.02508	0.024997	-0.33%	0.02262	-9.81%	0.0904	✓	0.37
2026-07-25	oos	0.02666	0.02655	-0.41%	0.02508	-5.93%	0.0636	✓	0.41
2026-07-24	oos	0.02872	0.028531	-0.66%	0.02666	-7.17%	0.0692	✓	0.43
2026-07-23	oos	0.0314	0.031011	-1.24%	0.02872	-8.54%	0.0709	✓	0.39
2026-07-22	oos	0.02487	0.024782	-0.35%	0.0314	+26.26%	0.2447	✗	0.51
2026-07-21	oos	0.02548	0.025391	-0.35%	0.02487	-2.39%	0.0174	✓	0.51
2026-07-20	oos	0.02403	0.023985	-0.19%	0.02548	+6.03%	0.0513	✗	0.46
2026-07-19	oos	0.02517	0.025108	-0.25%	0.02403	-4.53%	0.0478	✓	0.48
2026-07-18	oos	0.02514	0.025104	-0.14%	0.02517	+0.12%	0.0035	✗	0.48
2026-07-17	oos	0.02324	0.023259	+0.08%	0.02514	+8.18%	0.0718	✓	0.43
2026-07-16	oos	0.02658	0.026572	-0.03%	0.02324	-12.57%	0.1348	✓	0.45
2026-07-15	oos	0.03422	0.034122	-0.29%	0.02658	-22.33%	0.2447	✓	0.35
2026-07-14	oos	0.04152	0.041288	-0.56%	0.03422	-17.58%	0.1863	✓	0.34
2026-07-13	oos	0.05978	0.058448	-2.23%	0.04152	-30.55%	0.3872	✓	1.06
2026-07-12	oos	0.04947	0.048709	-1.54%	0.05978	+20.84%	0.2336	✗	1.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.04091	0.040664	-0.60%	0.04947	+20.92%	0.1966	✗	1.21
2026-07-10	oos	0.03927	0.039059	-0.54%	0.04091	+4.18%	0.0531	✗	1.21
2026-07-09	oos	0.03782	0.037666	-0.41%	0.03927	+3.83%	0.0237	✗	1.20
2026-07-08	oos	0.03755	0.037414	-0.36%	0.03782	+0.72%	0.0073	✓	1.21
2026-07-07	oos	0.03992	0.039747	-0.43%	0.03755	-5.94%	0.0364	✓	1.18
2026-07-06	oos	0.04289	0.042615	-0.64%	0.03992	-6.92%	0.0529	✓	1.17
2026-07-05	oos	0.04247	0.042267	-0.48%	0.04289	+0.99%	0.0070	✗	1.17
2026-07-04	oos	0.041285	0.041118	-0.40%	0.04247	+2.87%	0.0233	✗	1.16
2026-07-03	oos	0.04114	0.040993	-0.36%	0.041285	+0.35%	0.0034	✓	1.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.04516	0.044922	-0.53%	0.04114	-8.90%	0.1092	✓	1.27
2026-07-01	oos	0.04335	0.043167	-0.42%	0.04516	+4.18%	0.0134	✗	1.27
2026-06-30	oos	0.04451	0.044301	-0.47%	0.04335	-2.61%	0.0546	✓	1.36
2026-06-29	oos	0.05502	0.054287	-1.33%	0.04451	-19.10%	0.1668	✓	1.15
2026-06-28	oos	0.04397	0.043721	-0.57%	0.05502	+25.13%	0.2186	✗	0.98
2026-06-27	oos	0.03909	0.039004	-0.22%	0.04397	+12.48%	0.1275	✗	0.99
2026-06-26	oos	0.04091	0.040803	-0.26%	0.03909	-4.45%	0.0418	✓	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.04133	0.041251	-0.19%	0.04091	-1.02%	0.0134	✓	1.01
2026-06-24	oos	0.04503	0.044896	-0.30%	0.04133	-8.22%	0.0625	✓	0.95
2026-06-23	oos	0.05072	0.050485	-0.46%	0.04503	-11.22%	0.0917	✓	0.84
2026-06-22	oos	0.056125	0.055759	-0.65%	0.05072	-9.63%	0.0790	✓	0.76
2026-06-21	oos	0.05784	0.057436	-0.70%	0.056125	-2.97%	0.0321	✓	0.80
2026-06-20	oos	0.05615	0.055847	-0.54%	0.05784	+3.01%	0.0478	✗	0.82
2026-06-19	oos	0.05866	0.05833	-0.56%	0.05615	-4.28%	0.0484	✓	0.88
2026-06-18	oos	0.06372	0.063295	-0.67%	0.05866	-7.94%	0.0851	✓	0.96
2026-06-17	oos	0.06622	0.065762	-0.69%	0.06372	-3.78%	0.0086	✓	0.93
2026-06-16	oos	0.06792	0.067425	-0.73%	0.06622	-2.50%	0.0015	✓	0.92
2026-06-15	oos	0.07033	0.069815	-0.73%	0.06792	-3.43%	0.0185	✓	0.91
2026-06-14	oos	0.0738	0.073175	-0.85%	0.07033	-4.70%	0.0480	✓	0.96
2026-06-13	oos	0.07298	0.072382	-0.82%	0.0738	+1.12%	0.0001	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.0734	0.072759	-0.87%	0.07298	-0.57%	0.0114	✓	1.04
2026-06-11	oos	0.06964	0.069096	-0.78%	0.0734	+5.40%	0.0608	✗	1.03
2026-06-10	oos	0.0631	0.062785	-0.50%	0.06964	+10.36%	0.0735	✗	0.89
2026-06-09	oos	0.0706	0.070135	-0.66%	0.0631	-10.62%	0.1021	✓	0.92
2026-06-08	oos	0.06982	0.069385	-0.62%	0.0706	+1.12%	0.0380	✗	0.93
2026-06-07	oos	0.07435	0.073761	-0.79%	0.06982	-6.09%	0.0513	✓	0.95
2026-06-06	oos	0.07222	0.071752	-0.65%	0.07435	+2.95%	0.0064	✓	1.06
2026-06-05	oos	0.07	0.069624	-0.54%	0.07222	+3.17%	0.0398	✗	1.06
2026-06-04	oos	0.07362	0.073189	-0.58%	0.07	-4.92%	0.0015	✓	0.97
2026-06-03	oos	0.08668	0.085841	-0.97%	0.07362	-15.07%	0.1498	✓	1.03
2026-06-02	oos	0.08178	0.081065	-0.87%	0.08668	+5.99%	0.1070	✗	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.08854	0.087367	-1.32%	0.08178	-7.63%	0.0014	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.08049	0.079651	-1.04%	0.08854	+10.00%	0.1370	✗	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.07362	0.073139	-0.65%	0.08049	+9.33%	0.0984	✗	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.07056	0.070261	-0.42%	0.07362	+4.34%	0.0412	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.08394	0.083194	-0.89%	0.07056	-15.94%	0.1627	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.07896	0.078561	-0.50%	0.08394	+6.31%	0.0771	✗	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.0908	0.090002	-0.88%	0.07896	-13.04%	0.1108	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.08888	0.088244	-0.72%	0.0908	+2.16%	0.0471	✗	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.11267	0.110618	-1.82%	0.08888	-21.11%	0.2223	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.09772	0.096337	-1.42%	0.11267	+15.30%	0.1524	✗	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.08794	0.087084	-0.97%	0.09772	+11.12%	0.0994	✗	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.076	0.075677	-0.42%	0.08794	+15.71%	0.1777	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.0859	0.085227	-0.78%	0.076	-11.53%	0.1155	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.11193	0.110804	-1.01%	0.0859	-23.26%	0.2638	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.1522	0.149923	-1.50%	0.11193	-26.46%	0.2899	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.15665	0.154152	-1.59%	0.1522	-2.84%	0.0067	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.14328	0.141626	-1.15%	0.15665	+9.33%	0.1098	✗	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.1738	0.171402	-1.38%	0.14328	-17.56%	0.1671	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.20844	0.203726	-2.26%	0.1738	-16.62%	0.1336	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.1831	0.179435	-2.00%	0.20844	+13.84%	0.1275	✗	1.00