AVL

Avalon · Ethereum · beta_5y

token id: #696
symbol: AVL
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x5c8d0c48810fd37a0a824d074ee290e64f7a8fa2
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-27
predictions: 144

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

of 48 predictions shown

direction hit

51.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0600

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0218

actual -0.0061

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.021245	0.020879	-1.72%	–	pending	–	–	1.17
2026-10-21	oos	0.019479	0.019235	-1.25%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-20	oos	0.019693	0.019422	-1.37%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-19	oos	0.020678	0.020221	-2.21%	–	pending	–	–	1.17
2026-10-18	oos	0.019445	0.019149	-1.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.18
2026-10-17	oos	0.020546	0.020181	-1.78%	–	pending	–	–	1.20
2026-10-16	oos	0.022173	0.021493	-3.07%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-15	oos	0.020543	0.019912	-3.07%	0.021245	+3.41%	0.0337	✗	1.23
2026-10-14	oos	0.018647	0.018428	-1.18%	0.019479	+4.46%	0.0390	✗	1.20
2026-10-13	oos	0.019376	0.019114	-1.35%	0.019693	+1.64%	0.0321	✗	1.19
2026-10-12	oos	0.018817	0.01861	-1.10%	0.020678	+9.89%	0.1041	✗	1.17
2026-10-11	oos	0.020663	0.020305	-1.73%	0.019445	-5.89%	0.0213	✓	1.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.022471	0.021792	-3.02%	0.020546	-8.56%	0.0377	✓	1.14
2026-10-09	oos	0.019944	0.019652	-1.46%	0.022173	+11.18%	0.1348	✗	1.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.019933	0.019662	-1.36%	0.020543	+3.06%	0.0380	✗	1.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.022334	0.021868	-2.09%	0.018647	-16.51%	0.1385	✓	1.01
2026-10-06	oos	0.02175	0.021341	-1.88%	0.019376	-10.92%	0.0644	✓	1.11
2026-10-05	oos	0.022515	0.022039	-2.11%	0.018817	-16.42%	0.1050	✓	1.11
2026-10-04	oos	0.022884	0.022381	-2.20%	0.020663	-9.71%	0.0430	✓	1.11
2026-10-03	oos	0.022833	0.0223	-2.34%	0.022471	-1.59%	0.0322	✗	1.13
2026-10-02	oos	0.022786	0.022257	-2.32%	0.019944	-12.47%	0.0833	✓	1.13
2026-10-01	oos	0.022953	0.022406	-2.38%	0.019933	-13.15%	0.0742	✓	1.13
2026-09-30	oos	0.023642	0.023	-2.71%	0.022334	-5.53%	0.0255	✓	1.17
2026-09-29	oos	0.022532	0.021953	-2.57%	0.02175	-3.47%	0.0357	✓	1.17
2026-09-28	oos	0.021848	0.021278	-2.61%	0.022515	+3.05%	0.0248	✓	1.17
2026-09-27	oos	0.024924	0.024079	-3.39%	0.022884	-8.18%	0.0765	✓	1.07
2026-09-26	oos	0.025513	0.024576	-3.67%	0.022833	-10.50%	0.0777	✓	1.07
2026-09-25	oos	0.024789	0.023912	-3.54%	0.022786	-8.08%	0.0531	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.024097	0.023283	-3.38%	0.022953	-4.75%	0.0198	✓	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.023279	0.022533	-3.21%	0.023642	+1.56%	0.0579	✗	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.024603	0.023779	-3.35%	0.022532	-8.42%	0.0237	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.023323	0.022623	-3.00%	0.021848	-6.32%	0.0020	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.021137	0.020485	-3.08%	0.024924	+17.92%	0.1563	✗	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.021371	0.02069	-3.18%	0.025513	+19.38%	0.1711	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.0216	0.020868	-3.39%	0.024789	+14.76%	0.1332	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.020413	0.019843	-2.79%	0.024097	+18.05%	0.0941	✗	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.020576	0.019996	-2.82%	0.023279	+13.14%	0.0494	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.021305	0.020641	-3.12%	0.024603	+15.48%	0.0442	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.020442	0.019885	-2.72%	0.023323	+14.09%	0.0572	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.020262	0.019718	-2.69%	0.021137	+4.32%	0.0143	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.021569	0.020702	-4.02%	0.021371	-0.92%	0.0183	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.020448	0.019905	-2.65%	0.0216	+5.64%	0.0353	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.018637	0.01851	-0.68%	0.020413	+9.53%	0.1003	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.02012	0.019945	-0.87%	0.020576	+2.26%	0.0589	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.020503	0.020454	-0.24%	0.021305	+3.91%	0.0779	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.020774	0.020913	+0.67%	0.020442	-1.60%	0.0111	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.020602	0.021021	+2.03%	0.020262	-1.65%	0.0083	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.020591	0.02114	+2.66%	0.021569	+4.75%	0.0528	✓	1.00