AVL
Avalon · Ethereum · beta_5y
- token id
- #696
- symbol
- AVL
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x5c8d0c48810fd37a0a824d074ee290e64f7a8fa2
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-27
- predictions
- 144
Track record at +30d
assessed
18
of 48 predictions shown
direction hit
83.3%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0462
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0669
actual -0.0663
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | live | 0.021245 | 0.02038 | -4.07% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.019479 | 0.018783 | -3.58% | – | pending | – | – | 1.13 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.019693 | 0.018995 | -3.54% | – | pending | – | – | 1.13 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.020678 | 0.019746 | -4.51% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.019445 | 0.018712 | -3.77% | – | pending | – | – | 1.18 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.020546 | 0.019589 | -4.66% | – | pending | – | – | 1.20 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.022173 | 0.020867 | -5.89% | – | pending | – | – | 1.19 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.020543 | 0.019471 | -5.22% | – | pending | – | – | 1.23 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.018647 | 0.017904 | -3.98% | – | pending | – | – | 1.20 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.019376 | 0.018612 | -3.94% | – | pending | – | – | 1.19 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.018817 | 0.018095 | -3.84% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.020663 | 0.01973 | -4.51% | – | pending | – | – | 1.09 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.022471 | 0.021097 | -6.11% | – | pending | – | – | 1.14 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.019944 | 0.018998 | -4.74% | – | pending | – | – | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.019933 | 0.018964 | -4.86% | – | pending | – | – | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.022334 | 0.021008 | -5.94% | – | pending | – | – | 1.01 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.02175 | 0.020609 | -5.25% | – | pending | – | – | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.022515 | 0.021191 | -5.88% | – | pending | – | – | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.022884 | 0.021485 | -6.11% | – | pending | – | – | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.022833 | 0.0214 | -6.28% | – | pending | – | – | 1.13 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.022786 | 0.0213 | -6.52% | – | pending | – | – | 1.13 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.022953 | 0.021478 | -6.42% | – | pending | – | – | 1.13 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.023642 | 0.021954 | -7.14% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.022532 | 0.021013 | -6.74% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.021848 | 0.020338 | -6.91% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.024924 | 0.022793 | -8.55% | – | pending | – | – | 1.07 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.025513 | 0.023211 | -9.02% | – | pending | – | – | 1.07 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.024789 | 0.022612 | -8.78% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.024097 | 0.022103 | -8.27% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.023279 | 0.021428 | -7.95% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.024603 | 0.022723 | -7.64% | 0.021245 | -13.65% | 0.0440 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.023323 | 0.021757 | -6.71% | 0.019479 | -16.48% | 0.0645 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.021137 | 0.019485 | -7.82% | 0.019693 | -6.83% | 0.0111 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.021371 | 0.019684 | -7.89% | 0.020678 | -3.24% | 0.0419 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.0216 | 0.019873 | -7.99% | 0.019445 | -9.98% | 0.0357 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.020413 | 0.018844 | -7.69% | 0.020546 | +0.65% | 0.0227 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.020576 | 0.018979 | -7.76% | 0.022173 | +7.76% | 0.0876 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.021305 | 0.019566 | -8.16% | 0.020543 | -3.57% | 0.0343 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.020442 | 0.018856 | -7.76% | 0.018647 | -8.78% | 0.0536 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.020262 | 0.018755 | -7.44% | 0.019376 | -4.38% | 0.0463 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.021569 | 0.019767 | -8.36% | 0.018817 | -12.76% | 0.1056 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.020448 | 0.018861 | -7.76% | 0.020663 | +1.05% | 0.0107 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.018637 | 0.017382 | -6.73% | 0.022471 | +20.57% | 0.1768 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.02012 | 0.018848 | -6.33% | 0.019944 | -0.88% | 0.0035 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.020503 | 0.019439 | -5.19% | 0.019933 | -2.78% | 0.0154 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.020774 | 0.020041 | -3.53% | 0.022334 | +7.51% | 0.0568 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.020602 | 0.02035 | -1.23% | 0.02175 | +5.57% | 0.0038 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.020591 | 0.020601 | +0.05% | 0.022515 | +9.34% | 0.0173 | ✓ | 1.00 |