ARCSOL

? · · beta_5y

token id: #958
symbol: ARCSOL
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-12-11
predictions: 1,989

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

46.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1793

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0272

actual +0.0299

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.06386	0.061578	-3.57%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-21	oos	0.050705	0.049295	-2.78%	–	pending	–	–	-0.17
2026-10-20	oos	0.05179	0.04984	-3.76%	–	pending	–	–	-0.14
2026-10-19	oos	0.04402	0.042922	-2.49%	–	pending	–	–	-0.19
2026-10-18	oos	0.041255	0.04046	-1.93%	–	pending	–	–	-0.20
2026-10-17	oos	0.040095	0.039552	-1.36%	–	pending	–	–	-0.21
2026-10-16	oos	0.035465	0.035799	+0.94%	–	pending	–	–	-0.19
2026-10-15	oos	0.03882	0.038871	+0.13%	0.06386	+64.50%	0.5021	✓	-0.22
2026-10-14	oos	0.036985	0.037555	+1.54%	0.050705	+37.10%	0.3034	✓	-0.23
2026-10-13	oos	0.031545	0.033041	+4.74%	0.05179	+64.18%	0.4492	✓	-0.13
2026-10-12	oos	0.05973	0.059152	-0.97%	0.04402	-26.30%	0.2956	✓	0.13
2026-10-11	oos	0.06296	0.062246	-1.13%	0.041255	-34.47%	0.4076	✓	0.18
2026-10-10	oos	0.061445	0.060817	-1.02%	0.040095	-34.75%	0.4126	✓	0.21
2026-10-09	oos	0.062975	0.062127	-1.35%	0.035465	-43.68%	0.5579	✓	0.21
2026-10-08	oos	0.060855	0.060194	-1.09%	0.03882	-36.21%	0.4397	✓	0.21
2026-10-07	oos	0.06405	0.063178	-1.36%	0.036985	-42.26%	0.5317	✓	0.18
2026-10-06	oos	0.071945	0.070666	-1.78%	0.031545	-56.15%	0.8042	✓	0.08
2026-10-05	oos	0.070345	0.069178	-1.66%	0.05973	-15.09%	0.1429	✓	0.08
2026-10-04	oos	0.073015	0.071709	-1.79%	0.06296	-13.77%	0.1276	✓	0.08
2026-10-03	oos	0.071135	0.069811	-1.86%	0.061445	-13.62%	0.1262	✓	0.07
2026-10-02	oos	0.070635	0.069323	-1.86%	0.062975	-10.84%	0.0944	✓	0.07
2026-10-01	oos	0.07224	0.0709	-1.85%	0.060855	-15.76%	0.1503	✓	0.06
2026-09-30	oos	0.07045	0.069235	-1.72%	0.06405	-9.08%	0.0777	✓	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.07265	0.071318	-1.83%	0.071945	-0.97%	0.0080	✓	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.06992	0.068827	-1.56%	0.070345	+0.61%	0.0210	✗	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.07275	0.071551	-1.65%	0.073015	+0.36%	0.0200	✗	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.07069	0.069709	-1.39%	0.071135	+0.63%	0.0202	✗	0.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.07175	0.070714	-1.44%	0.070635	-1.55%	0.0010	✓	-0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.07354	0.072434	-1.50%	0.07224	-1.77%	0.0026	✓	-0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.07853	0.077005	-1.94%	0.07045	-10.29%	0.0892	✓	-0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.078215	0.07692	-1.66%	0.07265	-7.12%	0.0580	✓	-0.03
2026-09-21	oos	0.07816	0.076791	-1.75%	0.06992	-10.54%	0.0948	✓	-0.03
2026-09-20	oos	0.073655	0.0721	-2.11%	0.07275	-1.23%	0.0142	✓	-0.13
2026-09-19	oos	0.063745	0.063285	-0.72%	0.07069	+10.89%	0.1147	✗	-0.10
2026-09-18	oos	0.070975	0.070022	-1.34%	0.07175	+1.09%	0.0283	✗	-0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.07026	0.069122	-1.62%	0.07354	+4.67%	0.0745	✗	-0.13
2026-09-16	oos	0.07422	0.072775	-1.95%	0.07853	+5.81%	0.0897	✗	-0.13
2026-09-15	oos	0.07934	0.077137	-2.78%	0.078215	-1.42%	0.0262	✓	-0.09
2026-09-14	oos	0.07305	0.072009	-1.43%	0.07816	+7.00%	0.0912	✗	-0.09
2026-09-13	oos	0.06938	0.068657	-1.04%	0.073655	+6.16%	0.0757	✗	-0.10
2026-09-12	oos	0.07315	0.072308	-1.15%	0.063745	-12.86%	0.1198	✓	-0.12
2026-09-11	oos	0.07391	0.073101	-1.10%	0.070975	-3.97%	0.0216	✓	-0.17
2026-09-10	oos	0.07355	0.072777	-1.05%	0.07026	-4.47%	0.0356	✓	-0.17
2026-09-09	oos	0.071975	0.07176	-0.30%	0.07422	+3.12%	0.0293	✗	-0.16
2026-09-08	oos	0.07252	0.07236	-0.22%	0.07934	+9.40%	0.0862	✗	-0.16
2026-09-07	oos	0.07476	0.074538	-0.30%	0.07305	-2.29%	0.0221	✓	-0.17
2026-09-06	oos	0.07195	0.072252	+0.42%	0.06938	-3.57%	0.0469	✗	-0.14
2026-09-05	oos	0.074015	0.074394	+0.51%	0.07315	-1.17%	0.0214	✗	-0.14
2026-09-04	oos	0.07428	0.074966	+0.92%	0.07391	-0.50%	0.0180	✗	-0.12
2026-09-03	oos	0.07189	0.07334	+2.02%	0.07355	+2.31%	0.0034	✓	-0.10
2026-09-02	oos	0.07274	0.073688	+1.30%	0.071975	-1.05%	0.0211	✗	-0.19
2026-09-01	oos	0.06482	0.066308	+2.30%	0.07252	+11.88%	0.0921	✓	-0.19
2026-08-31	oos	0.06939	0.071059	+2.41%	0.07476	+7.74%	0.0525	✓	-0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.06761	0.069374	+2.61%	0.07195	+6.42%	0.0402	✓	-0.11
2026-08-29	oos	0.07057	0.072422	+2.62%	0.074015	+4.88%	0.0248	✓	-0.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.06989	0.071771	+2.69%	0.07428	+6.28%	0.0377	✓	-0.15
2026-08-27	oos	0.06683	0.069082	+3.37%	0.07189	+7.57%	0.0412	✓	-0.11
2026-08-26	oos	0.07115	0.072996	+2.59%	0.07274	+2.23%	0.0054	✓	-0.09
2026-08-25	oos	0.07217	0.073778	+2.23%	0.06482	-10.18%	0.1312	✗	-0.12
2026-08-24	oos	0.07048	0.072084	+2.28%	0.06939	-1.55%	0.0387	✗	-0.11
2026-08-23	oos	0.0693	0.07068	+1.99%	0.06761	-2.44%	0.0445	✗	-0.11
2026-08-22	oos	0.06685	0.068162	+1.96%	0.07057	+5.56%	0.0365	✓	-0.12
2026-08-21	oos	0.0681	0.069196	+1.61%	0.06989	+2.63%	0.0092	✓	-0.13
2026-08-20	oos	0.06936	0.069383	+0.03%	0.06683	-3.65%	0.0278	✗	-0.10
2026-08-19	oos	0.0691	0.068378	-1.05%	0.07115	+2.97%	0.0543	✗	-0.11
2026-08-18	oos	0.06936	0.068047	-1.89%	0.07217	+4.05%	0.0823	✗	-0.12
2026-08-17	oos	0.07402	0.072443	-2.13%	0.07048	-4.78%	0.0061	✓	-0.11
2026-08-16	oos	0.07188	0.070384	-2.08%	0.0693	-3.59%	0.0135	✓	-0.14
2026-08-15	oos	0.07187	0.070402	-2.04%	0.06685	-6.98%	0.0251	✓	-0.13
2026-08-14	oos	0.07702	0.07507	-2.53%	0.0681	-11.58%	0.0656	✓	-0.15
2026-08-13	oos	0.0757	0.073725	-2.61%	0.06936	-8.38%	0.0496	✓	-0.08
2026-08-12	oos	0.07193	0.070047	-2.62%	0.0691	-3.93%	0.0081	✓	-0.24
2026-08-11	oos	0.06592	0.064538	-2.10%	0.06936	+5.22%	0.0773	✗	-0.29
2026-08-10	oos	0.06458	0.063217	-2.11%	0.07402	+14.62%	0.1601	✗	-0.27
2026-08-09	oos	0.0662	0.064517	-2.54%	0.07188	+8.58%	0.0987	✗	-0.30
2026-08-08	oos	0.06342	0.061296	-3.35%	0.07187	+13.32%	0.1502	✗	-0.30
2026-08-07	oos	0.05236	0.051514	-1.62%	0.07702	+47.10%	0.3909	✗	-0.38
2026-08-06	oos	0.05468	0.053576	-2.02%	0.0757	+38.44%	0.3409	✗	-0.36
2026-08-05	oos	0.0513	0.050399	-1.76%	0.07193	+40.21%	0.3492	✗	-0.35
2026-08-04	oos	0.053	0.051985	-1.92%	0.06592	+24.38%	0.2348	✗	-0.33
2026-08-03	oos	0.0509	0.049916	-1.93%	0.06458	+26.88%	0.2600	✗	-0.35
2026-08-02	oos	0.05129	0.050382	-1.77%	0.0662	+29.07%	0.2797	✗	-0.31
2026-08-01	oos	0.05185	0.050926	-1.78%	0.06342	+22.31%	0.2303	✗	-0.32
2026-07-31	oos	0.05344	0.052471	-1.81%	0.05236	-2.02%	0.0084	✓	-0.32
2026-07-30	oos	0.05276	0.052016	-1.41%	0.05468	+3.64%	0.0476	✗	-0.33
2026-07-29	oos	0.0537	0.05291	-1.47%	0.0513	-4.47%	0.0275	✓	-0.31
2026-07-28	oos	0.05151	0.050942	-1.10%	0.053	+2.89%	0.0406	✗	-0.31
2026-07-27	oos	0.05404	0.053422	-1.14%	0.0509	-5.81%	0.0495	✓	-0.33
2026-07-26	oos	0.05593	0.055506	-0.76%	0.05129	-8.30%	0.0873	✓	-0.29
2026-07-25	oos	0.06002	0.059452	-0.95%	0.05185	-13.61%	0.1446	✓	-0.32
2026-07-24	oos	0.06223	0.06162	-0.98%	0.05344	-14.13%	0.1484	✓	-0.30
2026-07-23	oos	0.06145	0.061133	-0.52%	0.05276	-14.14%	0.1488	✓	-0.29
2026-07-22	oos	0.06452	0.064351	-0.26%	0.0537	-16.77%	0.1913	✓	-0.31
2026-07-21	oos	0.0666	0.066471	-0.19%	0.05151	-22.66%	0.2677	✓	-0.31
2026-07-20	oos	0.07012	0.069628	-0.70%	0.05404	-22.93%	0.2603	✓	-0.29
2026-07-19	oos	0.07069	0.070093	-0.85%	0.05593	-20.88%	0.2228	✓	-0.29
2026-07-18	oos	0.07093	0.07035	-0.82%	0.06002	-15.38%	0.1608	✓	-0.26
2026-07-17	oos	0.07314	0.072367	-1.06%	0.06223	-14.92%	0.1503	✓	-0.21
2026-07-16	oos	0.07475	0.073905	-1.13%	0.06145	-17.79%	0.1807	✓	-0.19
2026-07-15	oos	0.07579	0.074942	-1.12%	0.06452	-14.87%	0.1448	✓	-0.24
2026-07-14	oos	0.08041	0.079153	-1.56%	0.0666	-17.17%	0.1673	✓	-0.23
2026-07-13	oos	0.07419	0.07309	-1.48%	0.07012	-5.49%	0.0244	✓	-0.37
2026-07-12	oos	0.07814	0.077011	-1.44%	0.07069	-9.53%	0.0796	✓	-0.41
2026-07-11	oos	0.07879	0.07764	-1.46%	0.07093	-9.98%	0.0835	✓	-0.43
2026-07-10	oos	0.07946	0.078316	-1.44%	0.07314	-7.95%	0.0698	✓	-0.40
2026-07-09	oos	0.0791	0.077908	-1.51%	0.07475	-5.50%	0.0377	✓	-0.40
2026-07-08	oos	0.08115	0.079725	-1.76%	0.07579	-6.61%	0.0357	✓	-0.38
2026-07-07	oos	0.08095	0.07963	-1.63%	0.08041	-0.67%	0.0182	✗	-0.33
2026-07-06	oos	0.08236	0.080985	-1.67%	0.07419	-9.92%	0.0969	✓	-0.34
2026-07-05	oos	0.08139	0.080017	-1.69%	0.07814	-3.99%	0.0230	✓	-0.29
2026-07-04	oos	0.07808	0.076929	-1.47%	0.07879	+0.91%	0.0272	✗	-0.30
2026-07-03	oos	0.07906	0.077856	-1.52%	0.07946	+0.51%	0.0284	✗	-0.32
2026-07-02	oos	0.08274	0.08118	-1.89%	0.0791	-4.40%	0.0180	✓	-0.29
2026-07-01	oos	0.08328	0.081536	-2.09%	0.08115	-2.56%	0.0060	✓	-0.29
2026-06-30	oos	0.0839	0.082051	-2.20%	0.08095	-3.52%	0.0067	✓	-0.26
2026-06-29	oos	0.08357	0.08186	-2.05%	0.08236	-1.45%	0.0223	✗	-0.26
2026-06-28	oos	0.08813	0.085804	-2.64%	0.08139	-7.65%	0.0395	✓	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.08415	0.082179	-2.34%	0.07808	-7.21%	0.0414	✓	-0.19
2026-06-26	oos	0.08425	0.082171	-2.47%	0.07906	-6.16%	0.0309	✓	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.08372	0.081615	-2.51%	0.08274	-1.17%	0.0192	✓	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.08263	0.080672	-2.37%	0.08328	+0.79%	0.0271	✗	-0.28
2026-06-23	oos	0.08268	0.080775	-2.30%	0.0839	+1.48%	0.0224	✓	-0.23
2026-06-22	oos	0.08369	0.081755	-2.31%	0.08357	-0.14%	0.0062	✓	-0.26
2026-06-21	oos	0.08017	0.078514	-2.07%	0.08813	+9.93%	0.0990	✗	-0.27
2026-06-20	oos	0.07994	0.078314	-2.03%	0.08415	+5.27%	0.0524	✗	-0.28
2026-06-19	oos	0.07887	0.077331	-1.95%	0.08425	+6.82%	0.0706	✗	-0.27
2026-06-18	oos	0.08197	0.080098	-2.28%	0.08372	+2.13%	0.0305	✗	-0.27
2026-06-17	oos	0.08464	0.082383	-2.67%	0.08263	-2.37%	0.0121	✓	-0.27
2026-06-16	oos	0.07379	0.072649	-1.55%	0.08268	+12.05%	0.1176	✗	-0.25
2026-06-15	oos	0.07726	0.07594	-1.71%	0.08369	+8.32%	0.0843	✗	-0.36
2026-06-14	oos	0.08196	0.080266	-2.07%	0.08017	-2.18%	0.0123	✓	-0.29
2026-06-13	oos	0.08941	0.086811	-2.91%	0.07994	-10.59%	0.0834	✓	-0.30
2026-06-12	oos	0.08883	0.085598	-3.64%	0.07887	-11.21%	0.0822	✓	-0.33
2026-06-11	oos	0.08349	0.081368	-2.54%	0.08197	-1.82%	0.0040	✓	-0.31
2026-06-10	oos	0.08397	0.081537	-2.90%	0.08464	+0.80%	0.0525	✗	-0.32
2026-06-09	oos	0.08311	0.080758	-2.83%	0.07379	-11.21%	0.0710	✓	-0.31
2026-06-08	oos	0.08395	0.081442	-2.99%	0.07726	-7.97%	0.0364	✓	-0.33
2026-06-07	oos	0.08357	0.081002	-3.07%	0.08196	-1.93%	0.0217	✓	-0.27
2026-06-06	oos	0.08278	0.080098	-3.24%	0.08941	+8.01%	0.1199	✗	-0.17
2026-06-05	oos	0.08116	0.078263	-3.57%	0.08883	+9.45%	0.1326	✗	-0.15
2026-06-04	oos	0.07524	0.073133	-2.80%	0.08349	+10.96%	0.1323	✗	-0.05
2026-06-03	oos	0.07419	0.072073	-2.85%	0.08397	+13.18%	0.1497	✗	-0.08
2026-06-02	oos	0.0709	0.069179	-2.43%	0.08311	+17.22%	0.1842	✗	0.01
2026-06-01	oos	0.07662	0.074433	-2.85%	0.08395	+9.57%	0.1148	✗	-0.04
2026-05-31	oos	0.07343	0.071614	-2.47%	0.08357	+13.81%	0.1641	✗	0.06
2026-05-30	oos	0.07835	0.075799	-3.26%	0.08278	+5.65%	0.1451	✗	0.30
2026-05-29	oos	0.07464	0.072208	-3.26%	0.08116	+8.74%	0.1328	✗	0.09
2026-05-28	oos	0.07173	0.069477	-3.14%	0.07524	+4.89%	0.0863	✗	0.05
2026-05-27	oos	0.06396	0.062461	-2.34%	0.07419	+15.99%	0.1841	✗	0.08
2026-05-26	oos	0.06433	0.062781	-2.41%	0.0709	+10.21%	0.1505	✗	0.22
2026-05-25	oos	0.06502	0.063395	-2.50%	0.07662	+17.84%	0.1393	✗	-0.63
2026-05-24	oos	0.06402	0.062458	-2.44%	0.07343	+14.70%	0.1320	✗	-0.66
2026-05-23	oos	0.06449	0.062791	-2.63%	0.07835	+21.49%	0.1971	✗	-0.63
2026-05-22	oos	0.06401	0.062373	-2.56%	0.07464	+16.61%	0.1608	✗	-0.67
2026-05-21	oos	0.0641	0.062443	-2.58%	0.07173	+11.90%	0.1020	✗	-0.69
2026-05-20	oos	0.06525	0.063466	-2.73%	0.06396	-1.98%	0.0213	✓	-0.70
2026-05-19	oos	0.06462	0.06293	-2.62%	0.06433	-0.45%	0.0134	✓	-0.70
2026-05-18	oos	0.06589	0.064121	-2.68%	0.06502	-1.32%	0.0167	✓	-0.70
2026-05-17	oos	0.06769	0.065667	-2.99%	0.06402	-5.42%	0.0292	✓	-0.69
2026-05-16	oos	0.06178	0.060321	-2.36%	0.06449	+4.39%	0.0543	✗	-0.67
2026-05-15	oos	0.07376	0.070855	-3.94%	0.06401	-13.22%	0.1348	✓	-0.71
2026-05-14	oos	0.06026	0.059187	-1.78%	0.0641	+6.37%	0.0531	✗	-0.60
2026-05-13	oos	0.06384	0.062298	-2.42%	0.06525	+2.21%	0.0353	✗	-0.48
2026-05-12	oos	0.06714	0.065402	-2.59%	0.06462	-3.75%	0.0375	✓	-0.54
2026-05-11	oos	0.06406	0.062742	-2.06%	0.06589	+2.86%	0.0206	✓	-0.47
2026-05-10	oos	0.06287	0.061746	-1.79%	0.06769	+7.67%	0.0610	✗	-0.51
2026-05-09	oos	0.06858	0.066834	-2.55%	0.06178	-9.92%	0.0936	✓	-0.47
2026-05-08	oos	0.06956	0.067727	-2.63%	0.07376	+6.04%	0.0796	✗	-0.40
2026-05-07	oos	0.06741	0.065849	-2.32%	0.06026	-10.61%	0.0849	✓	-0.28
2026-05-06	oos	0.06943	0.067854	-2.27%	0.06384	-8.05%	0.0586	✓	0.09
2026-05-05	oos	0.07004	0.068325	-2.45%	0.06714	-4.14%	0.0179	✓	-0.08
2026-05-04	oos	0.06657	0.06509	-2.22%	0.06406	-3.77%	0.0151	✓	-0.04
2026-05-03	oos	0.06844	0.066793	-2.41%	0.06287	-8.14%	0.0503	✓	-0.23
2026-05-02	oos	0.0717	0.069843	-2.59%	0.06858	-4.35%	0.0134	✓	-0.20
2026-05-01	oos	0.07521	0.073082	-2.83%	0.06956	-7.51%	0.0449	✓	-0.18
2026-04-30	oos	0.07485	0.072605	-3.00%	0.06741	-9.94%	0.0656	✓	-0.18
2026-04-29	oos	0.07517	0.072929	-2.98%	0.06943	-7.64%	0.0365	✓	-0.18
2026-04-28	oos	0.06678	0.06538	-2.10%	0.07004	+4.88%	0.0738	✗	-0.08
2026-04-27	oos	0.07902	0.07612	-3.67%	0.06657	-15.76%	0.1307	✓	-0.11
2026-04-26	oos	0.06856	0.067155	-2.05%	0.06844	-0.18%	0.0188	✓	-0.08
2026-04-25	oos	0.06671	0.065422	-1.93%	0.0717	+7.48%	0.0928	✗	-0.09
2026-04-24	oos	0.06458	0.0634	-1.83%	0.07521	+16.46%	0.1713	✗	-0.04
2026-04-23	oos	0.06653	0.06525	-1.92%	0.07485	+12.51%	0.1361	✗	-0.05
2026-04-22	oos	0.06516	0.063943	-1.87%	0.07517	+15.36%	0.1603	✗	-0.05
2026-04-21	oos	0.06662	0.065108	-2.27%	0.06678	+0.24%	0.0253	✗	-0.04
2026-04-20	oos	0.0665	0.064987	-2.28%	0.07902	+18.83%	0.1968	✗	-0.07
2026-04-19	oos	0.06537	0.063867	-2.30%	0.06856	+4.88%	0.0817	✗	-0.17
2026-04-18	oos	0.06838	0.066791	-2.32%	0.06671	-2.44%	0.0039	✓	-0.20
2026-04-17	oos	0.06957	0.06802	-2.23%	0.06458	-7.17%	0.0509	✓	-0.22
2026-04-16	oos	0.07276	0.070845	-2.63%	0.06653	-8.56%	0.0544	✓	-0.21
2026-04-15	oos	0.06959	0.067804	-2.57%	0.06516	-6.37%	0.0304	✓	-0.21
2026-04-14	oos	0.07018	0.068324	-2.65%	0.06662	-5.07%	0.0193	✓	-0.21
2026-04-13	oos	0.07211	0.070111	-2.77%	0.0665	-7.78%	0.0483	✓	-0.24
2026-04-12	oos	0.07456	0.072039	-3.38%	0.06537	-12.33%	0.0950	✓	-0.05
2026-04-11	oos	0.07646	0.073781	-3.50%	0.06838	-10.57%	0.0738	✓	-0.06
2026-04-10	oos	0.071	0.068693	-3.25%	0.06957	-2.01%	0.0157	✓	-0.06
2026-04-09	oos	0.07094	0.068108	-3.99%	0.07276	+2.57%	0.0686	✗	-0.05
2026-04-08	oos	0.05996	0.058334	-2.71%	0.06959	+16.06%	0.1807	✗	-0.08
2026-04-07	oos	0.05853	0.056984	-2.64%	0.07018	+19.90%	0.2108	✗	-0.08
2026-04-06	oos	0.05693	0.055274	-2.91%	0.07211	+26.66%	0.2714	✗	-0.07
2026-04-05	oos	0.05355	0.052166	-2.58%	0.07456	+39.23%	0.3590	✗	-0.07
2026-04-04	oos	0.05503	0.05339	-2.98%	0.07646	+38.94%	0.3641	✗	-0.06
2026-04-03	oos	0.05465	0.052937	-3.14%	0.071	+29.92%	0.2988	✗	-0.06
2026-04-02	oos	0.05233	0.050782	-2.96%	0.07094	+35.56%	0.3382	✗	-0.06
2026-04-01	oos	0.05479	0.052946	-3.37%	0.05996	+9.44%	0.1275	✗	-0.07
2026-03-31	oos	0.05374	0.051907	-3.41%	0.05853	+8.91%	0.1240	✗	-0.07
2026-03-30	oos	0.05065	0.049057	-3.15%	0.05693	+12.40%	0.1517	✗	-0.09
2026-03-29	oos	0.05037	0.048744	-3.23%	0.05355	+6.31%	0.0988	✗	-0.11
2026-03-28	oos	0.0517	0.049725	-3.82%	0.05503	+6.44%	0.1028	✗	-0.10
2026-03-27	oos	0.04745	0.045949	-3.16%	0.05465	+15.17%	0.1744	✗	-0.11
2026-03-26	oos	0.04267	0.041745	-2.17%	0.05233	+22.64%	0.2242	✗	-0.06
2026-03-25	oos	0.04459	0.043482	-2.48%	0.05479	+22.88%	0.2272	✗	-0.09
2026-03-24	oos	0.04665	0.045317	-2.86%	0.05374	+15.20%	0.1677	✗	-0.08
2026-03-23	oos	0.04747	0.045987	-3.12%	0.05065	+6.70%	0.0917	✗	-0.08
2026-03-22	oos	0.04813	0.04659	-3.20%	0.05037	+4.65%	0.0763	✗	-0.06
2026-03-21	oos	0.0497	0.047841	-3.74%	0.0517	+4.02%	0.0750	✗	-0.07
2026-03-20	oos	0.04846	0.046436	-4.18%	0.04745	-2.08%	0.0179	✓	-0.06
2026-03-19	oos	0.04463	0.043035	-3.57%	0.04267	-4.39%	0.0096	✓	-0.07
2026-03-18	oos	0.04082	0.039647	-2.87%	0.04459	+9.24%	0.1175	✗	-0.03
2026-03-17	oos	0.03639	0.035733	-1.80%	0.04665	+28.19%	0.2672	✗	0.01
2026-03-16	oos	0.042995	0.041751	-2.89%	0.04747	+10.41%	0.1312	✗	0.05
2026-03-15	oos	0.04655	0.044896	-3.55%	0.04813	+3.39%	0.0784	✗	0.13
2026-03-14	oos	0.04861	0.04654	-4.26%	0.0497	+2.24%	0.0688	✗	0.09
2026-03-13	oos	0.04251	0.041141	-3.22%	0.04846	+14.00%	0.1641	✗	0.06
2026-03-12	oos	0.04395	0.042346	-3.65%	0.04463	+1.55%	0.0531	✗	0.07
2026-03-11	oos	0.04198	0.040523	-3.47%	0.04082	-2.76%	0.0062	✓	0.07
2026-03-10	oos	0.04267	0.040843	-4.28%	0.03639	-14.72%	0.1193	✓	0.07
2026-03-09	oos	0.0386	0.037419	-3.06%	0.042995	+11.39%	0.1350	✗	0.04
2026-03-08	oos	0.03482	0.034296	-1.50%	0.04655	+33.69%	0.3081	✗	-0.03
2026-03-07	oos	0.03611	0.035471	-1.77%	0.04861	+34.62%	0.3170	✗	-0.03
2026-03-06	oos	0.03847	0.037554	-2.38%	0.04251	+10.50%	0.1258	✗	-0.04
2026-03-05	oos	0.03718	0.036347	-2.24%	0.04395	+18.21%	0.1898	✗	-0.03
2026-03-04	oos	0.03949	0.038272	-3.08%	0.04198	+6.31%	0.0910	✗	-0.04
2026-03-03	oos	0.03686	0.036285	-1.56%	0.04267	+15.76%	0.1643	✗	-0.09
2026-03-02	oos	0.05133	0.048417	-5.68%	0.0386	-24.80%	0.2272	✓	-0.11
2026-03-01	oos	0.04186	0.04048	-3.30%	0.03482	-16.82%	0.1500	✓	-0.20
2026-02-28	oos	0.02815	0.029004	+3.04%	0.03611	+28.28%	0.2192	✓	-0.02
2026-02-27	oos	0.03078	0.031171	+1.27%	0.03847	+24.98%	0.2105	✓	-0.00
2026-02-26	oos	0.03057	0.029373	-3.92%	0.03718	+21.62%	0.2359	✗	-0.00
2026-02-25	oos	0.05789	0.055838	-3.54%	0.03949	-31.78%	0.3437	✓	-0.04
2026-02-24	oos	0.10322	0.09613	-6.87%	0.03686	-64.29%	0.9890	✓	0.47
2026-02-23	oos	0.09076	0.085554	-5.74%	0.05133	-43.44%	0.5397	✓	0.46
2026-02-22	oos	0.09047	0.084346	-6.77%	0.04186	-53.73%	0.6879	✓	0.46
2026-02-21	oos	0.07352	0.070664	-3.88%	0.02815	-61.71%	0.9127	✓	0.52
2026-02-20	oos	0.07318	0.070301	-3.93%	0.03078	-57.94%	0.8133	✓	0.40
2026-02-19	oos	0.07658	0.073263	-4.33%	0.03057	-60.08%	0.8772	✓	0.41
2026-02-18	oos	0.07777	0.073948	-4.91%	0.05789	-25.56%	0.2540	✓	0.39
2026-02-17	oos	0.07714	0.073608	-4.58%	0.10322	+33.81%	0.3610	✗	0.44
2026-02-16	oos	0.07932	0.075294	-5.08%	0.09076	+14.42%	0.2151	✗	0.45
2026-02-15	oos	0.0769	0.073237	-4.76%	0.09047	+17.65%	0.2192	✗	0.46
2026-02-14	oos	0.07943	0.075183	-5.35%	0.07352	-7.44%	0.0103	✓	0.45
2026-02-13	oos	0.08241	0.076835	-6.77%	0.07318	-11.20%	0.0431	✓	0.46
2026-02-12	oos	0.07515	0.070777	-5.82%	0.07658	+1.90%	0.0740	✗	0.41
2026-02-11	oos	0.06673	0.063963	-4.15%	0.07777	+16.54%	0.1994	✗	0.44
2026-02-10	oos	0.0712	0.067459	-5.25%	0.07714	+8.34%	0.1421	✗	0.41
2026-02-09	oos	0.06393	0.0614	-3.96%	0.07932	+24.07%	0.2637	✗	0.43
2026-02-08	oos	0.0755	0.070435	-6.71%	0.0769	+1.85%	0.0968	✗	0.42
2026-02-07	oos	0.06176	0.059385	-3.85%	0.07943	+28.61%	0.2881	✗	0.35
2026-02-06	oos	0.07968	0.073809	-7.37%	0.08241	+3.43%	0.1178	✗	0.31
2026-02-05	oos	0.06819	0.064312	-5.69%	0.07515	+10.21%	0.1508	✗	0.09
2026-02-04	oos	0.06337	0.060063	-5.22%	0.06673	+5.30%	0.1398	✗	0.40
2026-02-03	oos	0.07037	0.064798	-7.92%	0.0712	+1.18%	0.1329	✗	0.41
2026-02-02	oos	0.04656	0.045162	-3.00%	0.06393	+37.31%	0.4373	✗	0.78
2026-02-01	oos	0.04173	0.041068	-1.59%	0.0755	+80.92%	0.6642	✗	0.61
2026-01-31	oos	0.0431	0.042349	-1.74%	0.06176	+43.29%	0.4324	✗	0.43
2026-01-30	oos	0.04241	0.041738	-1.58%	0.07968	+87.88%	0.7353	✗	0.50
2026-01-29	oos	0.04793	0.046844	-2.27%	0.06819	+42.27%	0.5270	✗	0.51
2026-01-28	oos	0.05456	0.052713	-3.39%	0.06337	+16.15%	0.2687	✗	0.42
2026-01-27	oos	0.05158	0.05003	-3.01%	0.07037	+36.43%	0.4109	✗	0.43
2026-01-26	oos	0.04991	0.048585	-2.65%	0.04656	-6.71%	0.0091	✓	0.45
2026-01-25	oos	0.05037	0.049129	-2.46%	0.04173	-17.15%	0.1058	✓	0.48
2026-01-24	oos	0.05777	0.055966	-3.12%	0.0431	-25.39%	0.2130	✓	0.39
2026-01-23	oos	0.06047	0.058471	-3.31%	0.04241	-29.87%	0.3019	✓	0.31
2026-01-22	oos	0.06253	0.060417	-3.38%	0.04793	-23.35%	0.2117	✓	0.35
2026-01-21	oos	0.0701	0.067202	-4.13%	0.05456	-22.17%	0.2076	✓	0.35
2026-01-20	oos	0.08145	0.076208	-6.44%	0.05158	-36.67%	0.3946	✓	0.47
2026-01-19	oos	0.06695	0.063472	-5.19%	0.04991	-25.45%	0.2053	✓	0.74
2026-01-18	oos	0.05477	0.052711	-3.76%	0.05037	-8.03%	0.0176	✓	0.80
2026-01-17	oos	0.04908	0.047534	-3.15%	0.05777	+17.71%	0.2490	✗	0.82
2026-01-16	oos	0.05165	0.049964	-3.26%	0.06047	+17.08%	0.2434	✗	0.81
2026-01-15	oos	0.05462	0.052756	-3.41%	0.06253	+14.48%	0.2254	✗	0.84
2026-01-14	oos	0.05716	0.055075	-3.65%	0.0701	+22.64%	0.3078	✗	0.82
2026-01-13	oos	0.06727	0.063021	-6.32%	0.08145	+21.08%	0.3295	✗	0.95
2026-01-12	oos	0.04898	0.047212	-3.61%	0.06695	+36.69%	0.3401	✗	0.62
2026-01-11	oos	0.04891	0.046939	-4.03%	0.05477	+11.98%	0.1346	✗	0.66
2026-01-10	oos	0.044	0.042408	-3.62%	0.04908	+11.55%	0.1131	✗	0.65
2026-01-09	oos	0.04275	0.041063	-3.95%	0.05165	+20.82%	0.1954	✗	0.63
2026-01-08	oos	0.03731	0.036039	-3.41%	0.05462	+46.40%	0.3852	✗	0.63
2026-01-07	oos	0.03251	0.031694	-2.51%	0.05716	+75.82%	0.4923	✗	1.62
2026-01-06	oos	0.03523	0.034375	-2.43%	0.06727	+90.95%	0.6433	✗	1.60
2026-01-05	oos	0.03633	0.035432	-2.47%	0.04898	+34.82%	0.3713	✗	1.64
2026-01-04	oos	0.03601	0.034983	-2.85%	0.04891	+35.82%	0.3467	✗	1.70
2026-01-03	oos	0.03574	0.034647	-3.06%	0.044	+23.11%	0.2432	✗	1.70
2026-01-02	oos	0.03374	0.032743	-2.96%	0.04275	+26.70%	0.2564	✗	1.67
2026-01-01	oos	0.03516	0.034098	-3.02%	0.03731	+6.11%	0.0469	✗	1.70
2025-12-31	oos	0.03534	0.03427	-3.03%	0.03251	-8.01%	0.1247	✓	1.70
2025-12-30	oos	0.03487	0.033857	-2.91%	0.03523	+1.03%	0.0615	✓	1.73
2025-12-29	oos	0.03703	0.03588	-3.11%	0.03633	-1.89%	0.1155	✓	1.71
2025-12-28	oos	0.04027	0.038868	-3.48%	0.03601	-10.58%	0.1450	✓	1.70
2025-12-27	oos	0.04554	0.043633	-4.19%	0.03574	-21.52%	0.2520	✓	1.68
2025-12-26	oos	0.04354	0.041667	-4.30%	0.03374	-22.51%	0.2605	✓	1.65
2025-12-25	oos	0.04617	0.043891	-4.94%	0.03516	-23.85%	0.2512	✓	1.65
2025-12-24	oos	0.04127	0.039538	-4.20%	0.03534	-14.37%	0.1102	✓	1.66
2025-12-23	oos	0.0401	0.038453	-4.11%	0.03487	-13.04%	0.1145	✓	1.52
2025-12-22	oos	0.04472	0.04266	-4.61%	0.03703	-17.20%	0.1168	✓	1.50
2025-12-21	oos	0.04437	0.042287	-4.69%	0.04027	-9.24%	0.0359	✓	1.51
2025-12-20	oos	0.04508	0.042775	-5.11%	0.04554	+1.02%	0.0718	✗	1.56
2025-12-19	oos	0.0423	0.039963	-5.53%	0.04354	+2.93%	0.0998	✗	1.55
2025-12-18	oos	0.04002	0.038029	-4.97%	0.04617	+15.37%	0.1631	✗	1.56
2025-12-17	oos	0.036	0.034376	-4.51%	0.04127	+14.64%	0.1572	✗	1.59
2025-12-16	oos	0.04841	0.045056	-6.93%	0.0401	-17.17%	0.1094	✓	1.48
2025-12-15	oos	0.04002	0.037535	-6.21%	0.04472	+11.74%	0.1406	✗	1.41
2025-12-14	oos	0.03232	0.03084	-4.58%	0.04437	+37.28%	0.3558	✗	1.50
2025-12-13	oos	0.03009	0.028882	-4.02%	0.04508	+49.82%	0.4786	✗	1.54
2025-12-12	oos	0.03156	0.030259	-4.12%	0.0423	+34.03%	0.3730	✗	1.55
2025-12-11	oos	0.03257	0.031186	-4.25%	0.04002	+22.87%	0.3728	✗	1.55
2025-12-10	oos	0.03374	0.032301	-4.26%	0.036	+6.70%	0.2114	✗	1.57
2025-12-09	oos	0.0371	0.03544	-4.48%	0.04841	+30.49%	0.3953	✗	1.56
2025-12-08	oos	0.03916	0.037277	-4.81%	0.04002	+2.20%	0.1464	✗	1.58
2025-12-07	oos	0.03906	0.037199	-4.76%	0.03232	-17.26%	0.1012	✓	1.58
2025-12-06	oos	0.04	0.038066	-4.83%	0.03009	-24.78%	0.2528	✓	1.61
2025-12-05	oos	0.04029	0.03834	-4.84%	0.03156	-21.67%	0.2113	✓	1.61
2025-12-04	oos	0.0406	0.038697	-4.69%	0.03257	-19.78%	0.1803	✓	1.63
2025-12-03	oos	0.04414	0.041906	-5.06%	0.03374	-23.56%	0.1922	✓	1.61
2025-12-02	oos	0.04418	0.041864	-5.24%	0.0371	-16.03%	0.1456	✓	1.65
2025-12-01	oos	0.04214	0.040005	-5.07%	0.03916	-7.07%	0.1072	✓	1.74
2025-11-30	oos	0.05073	0.047151	-7.06%	0.03906	-23.00%	0.1888	✓	1.63
2025-11-29	oos	0.04066	0.038595	-5.08%	0.04	-1.62%	0.0637	✗	1.61
2025-11-28	oos	0.04525	0.042173	-6.80%	0.04029	-10.96%	0.0177	✓	1.62
2025-11-27	oos	0.03818	0.036169	-5.27%	0.0406	+6.34%	0.1017	✗	1.64
2025-11-26	oos	0.03594	0.03394	-5.56%	0.04414	+22.82%	0.2090	✗	1.65
2025-11-25	oos	0.03641	0.034155	-6.19%	0.04418	+21.34%	0.1794	✗	1.75
2025-11-24	oos	0.03441	0.032338	-6.02%	0.04214	+22.46%	0.3048	✗	1.76
2025-11-23	oos	0.02719	0.026262	-3.41%	0.05073	+86.58%	0.5911	✗	1.67
2025-11-22	oos	0.03725	0.03462	-7.06%	0.04066	+9.15%	0.0185	✓	2.03
2025-11-21	oos	0.03157	0.029823	-5.53%	0.04525	+43.33%	0.2806	✗	2.05
2025-11-20	oos	0.02838	0.02732	-3.74%	0.03818	+34.53%	0.2217	✗	2.10
2025-11-19	oos	0.0308	0.029407	-4.52%	0.03594	+16.69%	0.2244	✗	2.18
2025-11-18	oos	0.03265	0.030906	-5.34%	0.03641	+11.52%	0.2990	✗	2.18
2025-11-17	oos	0.03008	0.028683	-4.64%	0.03441	+14.39%	0.2744	✗	2.17
2025-11-16	oos	0.03037	0.028973	-4.60%	0.02719	-10.47%	0.1144	✗	2.18
2025-11-15	oos	0.02951	0.028048	-4.95%	0.03725	+26.23%	0.5497	✗	2.20
2025-11-14	oos	0.03099	0.02932	-5.39%	0.03157	+1.87%	0.3090	✗	2.23
2025-11-13	oos	0.03208	0.030068	-6.27%	0.02838	-11.53%	0.2721	✗	2.34
2025-11-12	oos	0.02999	0.028448	-5.14%	0.0308	+2.70%	0.3328	✗	2.40
2025-11-11	oos	0.02939	0.027948	-4.91%	0.03265	+11.09%	0.4048	✗	2.42
2025-11-10	oos	0.02816	0.026872	-4.57%	0.03008	+6.82%	0.4642	✗	2.50
2025-11-09	oos	0.03016	0.028231	-6.40%	0.03037	+0.70%	0.3426	✗	2.55
2025-11-08	oos	0.02936	0.027489	-6.37%	0.02951	+0.51%	0.2468	✗	2.58
2025-11-07	oos	0.02507	0.023923	-4.57%	0.03099	+23.61%	0.4919	✗	2.62
2025-11-06	oos	0.02259	0.021794	-3.52%	0.03208	+42.01%	0.4298	✗	2.59
2025-11-05	oos	0.02642	0.025113	-4.95%	0.02999	+13.51%	0.2321	✗	2.52
2025-11-04	oos	0.02557	0.024097	-5.76%	0.02939	+14.94%	0.1606	✗	2.52
2025-11-03	oos	0.02367	0.022344	-5.60%	0.02816	+18.97%	0.2470	✗	2.88
2025-11-02	oos	0.01919	0.01848	-3.70%	0.03016	+57.17%	0.6693	✗	3.31
2025-11-01	oos	0.01756	0.016927	-3.61%	0.02936	+67.20%	0.7919	✗	3.30
2025-10-31	oos	0.01618	0.015545	-3.93%	0.02507	+54.94%	0.6707	✗	3.27
2025-10-30	oos	0.013	0.012746	-1.95%	0.02259	+73.77%	0.7865	✗	3.20
2025-10-29	oos	0.01309	0.012826	-2.02%	0.02642	+101.83%	0.9077	✗	3.21
2025-10-28	oos	0.01363	0.013295	-2.46%	0.02557	+87.60%	1.0047	✗	3.28
2025-10-27	oos	0.01453	0.014087	-3.05%	0.02367	+62.90%	0.7425	✗	3.27
2025-10-26	oos	0.01458	0.014111	-3.22%	0.01919	+31.62%	0.4242	✗	3.28
2025-10-25	oos	0.01564	0.014994	-4.13%	0.01756	+12.28%	0.2084	✗	3.46
2025-10-24	oos	0.01313	0.012795	-2.55%	0.01618	+23.23%	0.2814	✗	3.46
2025-10-23	oos	0.0135	0.013108	-2.90%	0.013	-3.70%	0.0492	✗	3.47
2025-10-22	oos	0.01197	0.011763	-1.73%	0.01309	+9.36%	0.0298	✗	3.43
2025-10-21	oos	0.01301	0.012666	-2.65%	0.01363	+4.77%	0.0674	✓	3.43
2025-10-20	oos	0.01334	0.012982	-2.69%	0.01453	+8.92%	0.0029	✓	3.50
2025-10-19	oos	0.0134	0.013043	-2.66%	0.01458	+8.81%	0.0724	✓	3.49
2025-10-18	oos	0.0135	0.013094	-3.00%	0.01564	+15.85%	0.0341	✗	3.52
2025-10-17	oos	0.01155	0.011454	-0.83%	0.01313	+13.68%	0.0097	✓	3.47
2025-10-16	oos	0.01146	0.011414	-0.40%	0.0135	+17.80%	0.1061	✗	3.52
2025-10-15	oos	0.01216	0.012054	-0.87%	0.01197	-1.56%	0.0973	✗	3.54
2025-10-14	oos	0.01252	0.01239	-1.04%	0.01301	+3.91%	0.2007	✗	3.57
2025-10-13	oos	0.01343	0.013192	-1.77%	0.01334	-0.67%	0.1604	✗	3.58
2025-10-12	oos	0.01231	0.012235	-0.61%	0.0134	+8.85%	0.2928	✗	3.53
2025-10-11	oos	0.01196	0.012004	+0.37%	0.0135	+12.88%	0.2383	✓	3.70
2025-10-10	oos	0.01147	0.01145	-0.17%	0.01155	+0.70%	0.2325	✗	3.76
2025-10-09	oos	0.02132	0.0209	-1.97%	0.01146	-46.25%	0.3216	✓	2.37
2025-10-08	oos	0.02238	0.021848	-2.38%	0.01216	-45.67%	0.3434	✓	2.26
2025-10-07	oos	0.01976	0.019425	-1.70%	0.01252	-36.64%	0.2700	✓	2.38
2025-10-06	oos	0.02155	0.021114	-2.02%	0.01343	-37.68%	0.2591	✓	2.46
2025-10-05	oos	0.02113	0.020743	-1.83%	0.01231	-41.74%	0.3483	✓	2.45
2025-10-04	oos	0.02253	0.022043	-2.16%	0.01196	-46.92%	0.3615	✓	2.49
2025-10-03	oos	0.02337	0.022804	-2.42%	0.01147	-50.92%	0.4899	✓	2.49
2025-10-02	oos	0.02322	0.022616	-2.60%	0.02132	-8.18%	0.0816	✓	2.50
2025-10-01	oos	0.02106	0.020632	-2.03%	0.02238	+6.27%	0.0141	✓	2.47
2025-09-30	oos	0.02064	0.020203	-2.12%	0.01976	-4.26%	0.1838	✓	2.60
2025-09-29	oos	0.0199	0.019522	-1.90%	0.02155	+8.29%	0.1460	✓	2.82
2025-09-28	oos	0.02045	0.020026	-2.07%	0.02113	+3.33%	0.2330	✓	2.98
2025-09-27	oos	0.02037	0.019924	-2.19%	0.02253	+10.60%	0.2093	✓	3.02
2025-09-26	oos	0.02103	0.020484	-2.60%	0.02337	+11.13%	0.1992	✓	3.04
2025-09-25	oos	0.02033	0.019712	-3.04%	0.02322	+14.22%	0.1434	✓	3.04
2025-09-24	oos	0.01793	0.017499	-2.40%	0.02106	+17.46%	0.0181	✓	3.65
2025-09-23	oos	0.01685	0.016461	-2.31%	0.02064	+22.49%	0.1603	✗	3.64
2025-09-22	oos	0.01713	0.01674	-2.28%	0.0199	+16.17%	0.1223	✗	3.53
2025-09-21	oos	0.0195	0.019063	-2.24%	0.02045	+4.87%	0.1646	✗	3.48
2025-09-20	oos	0.02021	0.019753	-2.26%	0.02037	+0.79%	0.2226	✗	3.56
2025-09-19	oos	0.01988	0.019435	-2.24%	0.02103	+5.78%	0.2682	✗	3.56
2025-09-18	oos	0.02217	0.021609	-2.53%	0.02033	-8.30%	0.1916	✗	3.53

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.