ARCSOL

? · · beta_5y

token id: #958
symbol: ARCSOL
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-12-11
predictions: 1,989

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

51.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0670

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0077

actual +0.0044

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.06386	0.063123	-1.15%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-21	oos	0.050705	0.050295	-0.81%	0.06386	+0.81%	0.0165	✗	-0.17
2026-10-20	oos	0.05179	0.051127	-1.28%	0.050705	-2.09%	0.0087	✓	-0.14
2026-10-19	oos	0.04402	0.043699	-0.73%	0.05179	+17.65%	0.1724	✗	-0.19
2026-10-18	oos	0.041255	0.04103	-0.55%	0.04402	+6.70%	0.0699	✗	-0.20
2026-10-17	oos	0.040095	0.039944	-0.38%	0.041255	+2.89%	0.0339	✗	-0.21
2026-10-16	oos	0.035465	0.035539	+0.21%	0.040095	+13.06%	0.1203	✓	-0.19
2026-10-15	oos	0.03882	0.038823	+0.01%	0.035465	-8.64%	0.0922	✗	-0.22
2026-10-14	oos	0.036985	0.037107	+0.33%	0.03882	+4.96%	0.0467	✓	-0.23
2026-10-13	oos	0.031545	0.031858	+0.99%	0.036985	+17.25%	0.1469	✓	-0.13
2026-10-12	oos	0.05973	0.059498	-0.39%	0.031545	-47.19%	0.6367	✓	0.13
2026-10-11	oos	0.06296	0.062649	-0.49%	0.05973	-5.13%	0.0434	✓	0.18
2026-10-10	oos	0.061445	0.061187	-0.42%	0.06296	+2.47%	0.0266	✗	0.21
2026-10-09	oos	0.062975	0.062671	-0.48%	0.061445	-2.43%	0.0207	✓	0.21
2026-10-08	oos	0.060855	0.060642	-0.35%	0.062975	+3.48%	0.0356	✗	0.21
2026-10-07	oos	0.06405	0.063794	-0.40%	0.060855	-4.99%	0.0437	✓	0.18
2026-10-06	oos	0.071945	0.071531	-0.58%	0.06405	-10.97%	0.1083	✓	0.08
2026-10-05	oos	0.070345	0.069981	-0.52%	0.071945	+2.27%	0.0279	✗	0.08
2026-10-04	oos	0.073015	0.072582	-0.59%	0.070345	-3.66%	0.0306	✓	0.08
2026-10-03	oos	0.071135	0.07071	-0.60%	0.073015	+2.64%	0.0307	✗	0.07
2026-10-02	oos	0.070635	0.070211	-0.60%	0.071135	+0.71%	0.0129	✗	0.07
2026-10-01	oos	0.07224	0.071807	-0.60%	0.070635	-2.22%	0.0162	✓	0.06
2026-09-30	oos	0.07045	0.070065	-0.55%	0.07224	+2.54%	0.0300	✗	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.07265	0.07221	-0.60%	0.07045	-3.03%	0.0247	✓	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.06992	0.069563	-0.51%	0.07265	+3.90%	0.0433	✗	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.07275	0.072335	-0.57%	0.06992	-3.89%	0.0339	✓	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.07069	0.070345	-0.49%	0.07275	+2.91%	0.0336	✗	0.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.07175	0.071402	-0.49%	0.07069	-1.48%	0.0100	✓	-0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.07354	0.073168	-0.51%	0.07175	-2.43%	0.0196	✓	-0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.07853	0.078019	-0.65%	0.07354	-6.35%	0.0591	✓	-0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.078215	0.077712	-0.64%	0.07853	+0.40%	0.0098	✗	-0.03
2026-09-21	oos	0.07816	0.077552	-0.78%	0.078215	+0.07%	0.0084	✗	-0.03
2026-09-20	oos	0.073655	0.073097	-0.76%	0.07816	+6.12%	0.0754	✗	-0.13
2026-09-19	oos	0.063745	0.063558	-0.29%	0.073655	+15.55%	0.1473	✗	-0.10
2026-09-18	oos	0.070975	0.070655	-0.45%	0.063745	-10.19%	0.1025	✓	-0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.07026	0.069965	-0.42%	0.070975	+1.02%	0.0215	✗	-0.13
2026-09-16	oos	0.07422	0.073824	-0.53%	0.07026	-5.34%	0.0491	✓	-0.13
2026-09-15	oos	0.07934	0.078642	-0.88%	0.07422	-6.45%	0.0572	✓	-0.09
2026-09-14	oos	0.07305	0.072684	-0.50%	0.07934	+8.61%	0.0846	✗	-0.09
2026-09-13	oos	0.06938	0.069133	-0.36%	0.07305	+5.29%	0.0569	✗	-0.10
2026-09-12	oos	0.07315	0.072845	-0.42%	0.06938	-5.15%	0.0495	✓	-0.12
2026-09-11	oos	0.07391	0.073592	-0.43%	0.07315	-1.03%	0.0059	✓	-0.17
2026-09-10	oos	0.07355	0.073228	-0.44%	0.07391	+0.49%	0.0107	✗	-0.17
2026-09-09	oos	0.071975	0.071762	-0.30%	0.07355	+2.19%	0.0210	✗	-0.16
2026-09-08	oos	0.07252	0.072305	-0.30%	0.071975	-0.75%	0.0049	✓	-0.16
2026-09-07	oos	0.07476	0.074457	-0.41%	0.07252	-3.00%	0.0277	✓	-0.17
2026-09-06	oos	0.07195	0.071798	-0.21%	0.07476	+3.91%	0.0382	✗	-0.14
2026-09-05	oos	0.074015	0.073852	-0.22%	0.07195	-2.79%	0.0252	✓	-0.14
2026-09-04	oos	0.07428	0.074148	-0.18%	0.074015	-0.36%	0.0016	✓	-0.12
2026-09-03	oos	0.07189	0.071876	-0.02%	0.07428	+3.32%	0.0308	✗	-0.10
2026-09-02	oos	0.07274	0.072628	-0.15%	0.07189	-1.17%	0.0005	✓	-0.19
2026-09-01	oos	0.06482	0.064895	+0.12%	0.07274	+12.22%	0.1139	✓	-0.19
2026-08-31	oos	0.06939	0.069427	+0.05%	0.06482	-6.59%	0.0726	✗	-0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.06761	0.067692	+0.12%	0.06939	+2.63%	0.0260	✓	-0.11
2026-08-29	oos	0.07057	0.070617	+0.07%	0.06761	-4.19%	0.0446	✗	-0.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.06989	0.069938	+0.07%	0.07057	+0.97%	0.0097	✓	-0.15
2026-08-27	oos	0.06683	0.06696	+0.19%	0.06989	+4.58%	0.0395	✓	-0.11
2026-08-26	oos	0.07115	0.071175	+0.03%	0.06683	-6.07%	0.0616	✗	-0.09
2026-08-25	oos	0.07217	0.072119	-0.07%	0.07115	-1.41%	0.0128	✓	-0.12
2026-08-24	oos	0.07048	0.070429	-0.07%	0.07217	+2.40%	0.0238	✗	-0.11
2026-08-23	oos	0.0693	0.069221	-0.11%	0.07048	+1.70%	0.0198	✗	-0.11
2026-08-22	oos	0.06685	0.066785	-0.10%	0.0693	+3.66%	0.0380	✗	-0.12
2026-08-21	oos	0.0681	0.06798	-0.18%	0.06685	-1.84%	0.0188	✓	-0.13
2026-08-20	oos	0.06936	0.069106	-0.37%	0.0681	-1.82%	0.0075	✓	-0.10
2026-08-19	oos	0.0691	0.068779	-0.47%	0.06936	+0.38%	0.0142	✗	-0.11
2026-08-18	oos	0.06936	0.068982	-0.55%	0.0691	-0.37%	0.0101	✗	-0.12
2026-08-17	oos	0.07402	0.073525	-0.67%	0.06936	-6.30%	0.0580	✓	-0.11
2026-08-16	oos	0.07188	0.071437	-0.62%	0.07402	+2.98%	0.0390	✗	-0.14
2026-08-15	oos	0.07187	0.071439	-0.60%	0.07188	+0.01%	0.0058	✓	-0.13
2026-08-14	oos	0.07702	0.076408	-0.80%	0.07187	-6.69%	0.0611	✓	-0.15
2026-08-13	oos	0.0757	0.075044	-0.87%	0.07702	+1.74%	0.0254	✗	-0.08
2026-08-12	oos	0.07193	0.071273	-0.91%	0.0757	+5.24%	0.0603	✗	-0.24
2026-08-11	oos	0.06592	0.065467	-0.69%	0.07193	+9.12%	0.0936	✗	-0.29
2026-08-10	oos	0.06458	0.064142	-0.68%	0.06592	+2.07%	0.0257	✗	-0.27
2026-08-09	oos	0.0662	0.065581	-0.94%	0.06458	-2.45%	0.0197	✓	-0.30
2026-08-08	oos	0.06342	0.062554	-1.37%	0.0662	+4.38%	0.0564	✗	-0.30
2026-08-07	oos	0.05236	0.052099	-0.50%	0.06342	+21.12%	0.1967	✗	-0.38
2026-08-06	oos	0.05468	0.054325	-0.65%	0.05236	-4.24%	0.0333	✓	-0.36
2026-08-05	oos	0.0513	0.051021	-0.54%	0.05468	+6.59%	0.0674	✗	-0.35
2026-08-04	oos	0.053	0.052689	-0.59%	0.0513	-3.21%	0.0239	✓	-0.33
2026-08-03	oos	0.0509	0.050617	-0.56%	0.053	+4.13%	0.0492	✗	-0.35
2026-08-02	oos	0.05129	0.051037	-0.49%	0.0509	-0.76%	0.0029	✓	-0.31
2026-08-01	oos	0.05185	0.051594	-0.49%	0.05129	-1.08%	0.0021	✓	-0.32
2026-07-31	oos	0.05344	0.053157	-0.53%	0.05185	-2.98%	0.0252	✓	-0.32
2026-07-30	oos	0.05276	0.052518	-0.46%	0.05344	+1.29%	0.0076	✗	-0.33
2026-07-29	oos	0.0537	0.053441	-0.48%	0.05276	-1.75%	0.0089	✓	-0.31
2026-07-28	oos	0.05151	0.051341	-0.33%	0.0537	+4.25%	0.0452	✗	-0.31
2026-07-27	oos	0.05404	0.053845	-0.36%	0.05151	-4.68%	0.0435	✓	-0.33
2026-07-26	oos	0.05593	0.055746	-0.33%	0.05404	-3.38%	0.0385	✓	-0.29
2026-07-25	oos	0.06002	0.059791	-0.38%	0.05593	-6.81%	0.0615	✓	-0.32
2026-07-24	oos	0.06223	0.06197	-0.42%	0.06002	-3.55%	0.0310	✓	-0.30
2026-07-23	oos	0.06145	0.061264	-0.30%	0.06223	+1.27%	0.0113	✗	-0.29
2026-07-22	oos	0.06452	0.064334	-0.29%	0.06145	-4.76%	0.0507	✓	-0.31
2026-07-21	oos	0.0666	0.066407	-0.29%	0.06452	-3.12%	0.0308	✓	-0.31
2026-07-20	oos	0.07012	0.069851	-0.38%	0.0666	-5.02%	0.0419	✓	-0.29
2026-07-19	oos	0.07069	0.070412	-0.39%	0.07012	-0.81%	0.0018	✓	-0.29
2026-07-18	oos	0.07093	0.070674	-0.36%	0.07069	-0.34%	0.0002	✓	-0.26
2026-07-17	oos	0.07314	0.072853	-0.39%	0.07093	-3.02%	0.0238	✓	-0.21
2026-07-16	oos	0.07475	0.074447	-0.40%	0.07314	-2.15%	0.0173	✓	-0.19
2026-07-15	oos	0.07579	0.075474	-0.42%	0.07475	-1.37%	0.0131	✓	-0.24
2026-07-14	oos	0.08041	0.079926	-0.60%	0.07579	-5.75%	0.0541	✓	-0.23
2026-07-13	oos	0.07419	0.073857	-0.45%	0.08041	+8.38%	0.1008	✗	-0.37
2026-07-12	oos	0.07814	0.077771	-0.47%	0.07419	-5.06%	0.0568	✓	-0.41
2026-07-11	oos	0.07879	0.078418	-0.47%	0.07814	-0.82%	0.0038	✓	-0.43
2026-07-10	oos	0.07946	0.079085	-0.47%	0.07879	-0.84%	0.0059	✓	-0.40
2026-07-09	oos	0.0791	0.078728	-0.47%	0.07946	+0.46%	0.0152	✗	-0.40
2026-07-08	oos	0.08115	0.080714	-0.54%	0.0791	-2.53%	0.0145	✓	-0.38
2026-07-07	oos	0.08095	0.080538	-0.51%	0.08115	+0.25%	0.0019	✓	-0.33
2026-07-06	oos	0.08236	0.081915	-0.54%	0.08095	-1.71%	0.0155	✓	-0.34
2026-07-05	oos	0.08139	0.080949	-0.54%	0.08236	+1.19%	0.0192	✗	-0.29
2026-07-04	oos	0.07808	0.07773	-0.45%	0.08139	+4.24%	0.0484	✗	-0.30
2026-07-03	oos	0.07906	0.078709	-0.44%	0.07808	-1.24%	0.0052	✓	-0.32
2026-07-02	oos	0.08274	0.082289	-0.54%	0.07906	-4.45%	0.0351	✓	-0.29
2026-07-01	oos	0.08328	0.082782	-0.60%	0.08274	-0.65%	0.0067	✗	-0.29
2026-06-30	oos	0.0839	0.083386	-0.61%	0.08328	-0.74%	0.0050	✓	-0.26
2026-06-29	oos	0.08357	0.083105	-0.56%	0.0839	+0.39%	0.0023	✓	-0.26
2026-06-28	oos	0.08813	0.087459	-0.76%	0.08357	-5.17%	0.0432	✓	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.08415	0.083595	-0.66%	0.08813	+4.73%	0.0514	✗	-0.19
2026-06-26	oos	0.08425	0.08365	-0.71%	0.08415	-0.12%	0.0057	✓	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.08372	0.083116	-0.72%	0.08425	+0.63%	0.0145	✗	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.08263	0.08206	-0.69%	0.08372	+1.32%	0.0141	✗	-0.28
2026-06-23	oos	0.08268	0.082109	-0.69%	0.08263	-0.06%	0.0002	✓	-0.23
2026-06-22	oos	0.08369	0.083102	-0.70%	0.08268	-1.21%	0.0104	✓	-0.26
2026-06-21	oos	0.08017	0.079687	-0.60%	0.08369	+4.39%	0.0521	✗	-0.27
2026-06-20	oos	0.07994	0.079462	-0.60%	0.08017	+0.29%	0.0045	✓	-0.28
2026-06-19	oos	0.07887	0.078443	-0.54%	0.07994	+1.36%	0.0221	✗	-0.27
2026-06-18	oos	0.08197	0.081444	-0.64%	0.07887	-3.78%	0.0296	✓	-0.27
2026-06-17	oos	0.08464	0.083948	-0.82%	0.08197	-3.15%	0.0306	✓	-0.27
2026-06-16	oos	0.07379	0.073494	-0.40%	0.08464	+14.70%	0.1367	✗	-0.25
2026-06-15	oos	0.07726	0.076922	-0.44%	0.07379	-4.49%	0.0452	✓	-0.36
2026-06-14	oos	0.08196	0.081526	-0.53%	0.07726	-5.73%	0.0512	✓	-0.29
2026-06-13	oos	0.08941	0.088703	-0.79%	0.08196	-8.33%	0.0732	✓	-0.30
2026-06-12	oos	0.08883	0.087803	-1.16%	0.08941	+0.65%	0.0227	✗	-0.33
2026-06-11	oos	0.08349	0.082925	-0.68%	0.08883	+6.40%	0.0687	✗	-0.31
2026-06-10	oos	0.08397	0.083302	-0.80%	0.08349	-0.57%	0.0130	✗	-0.32
2026-06-09	oos	0.08311	0.082474	-0.77%	0.08397	+1.03%	0.0168	✗	-0.31
2026-06-08	oos	0.08395	0.083266	-0.82%	0.08311	-1.00%	0.0091	✓	-0.33
2026-06-07	oos	0.08357	0.082864	-0.84%	0.08395	+0.45%	0.0120	✗	-0.27
2026-06-06	oos	0.08278	0.082011	-0.93%	0.08357	+0.95%	0.0257	✗	-0.17
2026-06-05	oos	0.08116	0.080252	-1.12%	0.08278	+2.00%	0.0306	✗	-0.15
2026-06-04	oos	0.07524	0.074637	-0.80%	0.08116	+7.87%	0.0816	✗	-0.05
2026-06-03	oos	0.07419	0.073574	-0.83%	0.07524	+1.42%	0.0221	✗	-0.08
2026-06-02	oos	0.0709	0.070442	-0.65%	0.07419	+4.64%	0.0522	✗	0.01
2026-06-01	oos	0.07662	0.076009	-0.80%	0.0709	-7.47%	0.0726	✓	-0.04
2026-05-31	oos	0.07343	0.072959	-0.64%	0.07662	+4.34%	0.0510	✗	0.06
2026-05-30	oos	0.07835	0.077583	-0.98%	0.07343	-6.28%	0.0542	✓	0.30
2026-05-29	oos	0.07464	0.073886	-1.01%	0.07835	+4.97%	0.0582	✗	0.09
2026-05-28	oos	0.07173	0.071035	-0.97%	0.07464	+4.06%	0.0496	✗	0.05
2026-05-27	oos	0.06396	0.063556	-0.63%	0.07173	+12.15%	0.1219	✗	0.08
2026-05-26	oos	0.06433	0.063918	-0.64%	0.06396	-0.58%	0.0052	✓	0.22
2026-05-25	oos	0.06502	0.06458	-0.68%	0.06433	-1.06%	0.0155	✓	-0.63
2026-05-24	oos	0.06402	0.063607	-0.65%	0.06502	+1.56%	0.0243	✗	-0.66
2026-05-23	oos	0.06449	0.064042	-0.70%	0.06402	-0.73%	0.0024	✓	-0.63
2026-05-22	oos	0.06401	0.063593	-0.65%	0.06449	+0.75%	0.0247	✗	-0.67
2026-05-21	oos	0.0641	0.063684	-0.65%	0.06401	-0.14%	0.0138	✓	-0.69
2026-05-20	oos	0.06525	0.064786	-0.71%	0.0641	-1.76%	0.0100	✓	-0.70
2026-05-19	oos	0.06462	0.064197	-0.65%	0.06525	+0.97%	0.0227	✗	-0.70
2026-05-18	oos	0.06589	0.065452	-0.66%	0.06462	-1.93%	0.0144	✓	-0.70
2026-05-17	oos	0.06769	0.067139	-0.81%	0.06589	-2.66%	0.0229	✓	-0.69
2026-05-16	oos	0.06178	0.061423	-0.58%	0.06769	+9.57%	0.0912	✗	-0.67
2026-05-15	oos	0.07376	0.072796	-1.31%	0.06178	-16.24%	0.1727	✓	-0.71
2026-05-14	oos	0.06026	0.059966	-0.49%	0.07376	+22.40%	0.1919	✗	-0.60
2026-05-13	oos	0.06384	0.063435	-0.63%	0.06026	-5.61%	0.0407	✓	-0.48
2026-05-12	oos	0.06714	0.06665	-0.73%	0.06384	-4.92%	0.0511	✓	-0.54
2026-05-11	oos	0.06406	0.063688	-0.58%	0.06714	+4.81%	0.0456	✗	-0.47
2026-05-10	oos	0.06287	0.062563	-0.49%	0.06406	+1.89%	0.0207	✗	-0.51
2026-05-09	oos	0.06858	0.068109	-0.69%	0.06287	-8.33%	0.0712	✓	-0.47
2026-05-08	oos	0.06956	0.069057	-0.72%	0.06858	-1.41%	0.0046	✓	-0.40
2026-05-07	oos	0.06741	0.066992	-0.62%	0.06956	+3.19%	0.0383	✗	-0.28
2026-05-06	oos	0.06943	0.06898	-0.65%	0.06741	-2.91%	0.0215	✓	0.09
2026-05-05	oos	0.07004	0.069552	-0.70%	0.06943	-0.87%	0.0012	✓	-0.08
2026-05-04	oos	0.06657	0.066185	-0.58%	0.07004	+5.21%	0.0571	✗	-0.04
2026-05-03	oos	0.06844	0.068035	-0.59%	0.06657	-2.73%	0.0181	✓	-0.23
2026-05-02	oos	0.0717	0.071239	-0.64%	0.06844	-4.55%	0.0404	✓	-0.20
2026-05-01	oos	0.07521	0.074656	-0.74%	0.0717	-4.67%	0.0394	✓	-0.18
2026-04-30	oos	0.07485	0.074232	-0.83%	0.07521	+0.48%	0.0176	✗	-0.18
2026-04-29	oos	0.07517	0.074522	-0.86%	0.07485	-0.43%	0.0057	✓	-0.18
2026-04-28	oos	0.06678	0.066417	-0.54%	0.07517	+12.56%	0.1232	✗	-0.08
2026-04-27	oos	0.07902	0.077998	-1.29%	0.06678	-15.49%	0.1567	✓	-0.11
2026-04-26	oos	0.06856	0.068096	-0.68%	0.07902	+15.26%	0.1475	✗	-0.08
2026-04-25	oos	0.06671	0.066288	-0.63%	0.06856	+2.77%	0.0348	✗	-0.09
2026-04-24	oos	0.06458	0.064189	-0.61%	0.06671	+3.30%	0.0386	✗	-0.04
2026-04-23	oos	0.06653	0.066102	-0.64%	0.06458	-2.93%	0.0238	✓	-0.05
2026-04-22	oos	0.06516	0.064768	-0.60%	0.06653	+2.10%	0.0269	✗	-0.05
2026-04-21	oos	0.06662	0.066131	-0.73%	0.06516	-2.19%	0.0137	✓	-0.04
2026-04-20	oos	0.0665	0.066032	-0.70%	0.06662	+0.18%	0.0093	✗	-0.07
2026-04-19	oos	0.06537	0.064945	-0.65%	0.0665	+1.73%	0.0283	✗	-0.17
2026-04-18	oos	0.06838	0.067923	-0.67%	0.06537	-4.40%	0.0435	✓	-0.20
2026-04-17	oos	0.06957	0.069121	-0.65%	0.06838	-1.71%	0.0147	✓	-0.22
2026-04-16	oos	0.07276	0.072204	-0.76%	0.06957	-4.38%	0.0319	✓	-0.21
2026-04-15	oos	0.06959	0.069103	-0.70%	0.07276	+4.56%	0.0525	✗	-0.21
2026-04-14	oos	0.07018	0.069694	-0.69%	0.06959	-0.84%	0.0003	✓	-0.21
2026-04-13	oos	0.07211	0.071587	-0.73%	0.07018	-2.68%	0.0207	✓	-0.24
2026-04-12	oos	0.07456	0.073886	-0.90%	0.07211	-3.29%	0.0217	✓	-0.05
2026-04-11	oos	0.07646	0.075686	-1.01%	0.07456	-2.48%	0.0170	✓	-0.06
2026-04-10	oos	0.071	0.070332	-0.94%	0.07646	+7.69%	0.0836	✗	-0.06
2026-04-09	oos	0.07094	0.070005	-1.32%	0.071	+0.08%	0.0150	✗	-0.05
2026-04-08	oos	0.05996	0.059487	-0.79%	0.07094	+18.31%	0.1769	✗	-0.08
2026-04-07	oos	0.05853	0.058081	-0.77%	0.05996	+2.44%	0.0309	✗	-0.08
2026-04-06	oos	0.05693	0.056454	-0.84%	0.05853	+2.81%	0.0392	✗	-0.07
2026-04-05	oos	0.05355	0.053185	-0.68%	0.05693	+6.31%	0.0679	✗	-0.07
2026-04-04	oos	0.05503	0.054592	-0.80%	0.05355	-2.69%	0.0178	✓	-0.06
2026-04-03	oos	0.05465	0.054188	-0.85%	0.05503	+0.70%	0.0157	✗	-0.06
2026-04-02	oos	0.05233	0.051924	-0.78%	0.05465	+4.43%	0.0512	✗	-0.06
2026-04-01	oos	0.05479	0.05428	-0.93%	0.05233	-4.49%	0.0379	✓	-0.07
2026-03-31	oos	0.05374	0.053225	-0.96%	0.05479	+1.95%	0.0289	✗	-0.07
2026-03-30	oos	0.05065	0.050211	-0.87%	0.05374	+6.10%	0.0700	✗	-0.09
2026-03-29	oos	0.05037	0.049916	-0.90%	0.05065	+0.56%	0.0158	✗	-0.11
2026-03-28	oos	0.0517	0.051089	-1.18%	0.05037	-2.57%	0.0147	✓	-0.10
2026-03-27	oos	0.04745	0.04699	-0.97%	0.0517	+8.96%	0.0955	✗	-0.11
2026-03-26	oos	0.04267	0.04242	-0.59%	0.04745	+11.20%	0.1097	✗	-0.06
2026-03-25	oos	0.04459	0.0443	-0.65%	0.04267	-4.31%	0.0406	✓	-0.09
2026-03-24	oos	0.04665	0.046297	-0.76%	0.04459	-4.42%	0.0367	✓	-0.08
2026-03-23	oos	0.04747	0.04708	-0.82%	0.04665	-1.73%	0.0096	✓	-0.08
2026-03-22	oos	0.04813	0.04771	-0.87%	0.04747	-1.37%	0.0024	✓	-0.06
2026-03-21	oos	0.0497	0.049185	-1.04%	0.04813	-3.16%	0.0227	✓	-0.07
2026-03-20	oos	0.04846	0.047886	-1.18%	0.0497	+2.56%	0.0358	✗	-0.06
2026-03-19	oos	0.04463	0.044183	-1.00%	0.04846	+8.58%	0.0930	✗	-0.07
2026-03-18	oos	0.04082	0.040498	-0.79%	0.04463	+9.33%	0.0966	✗	-0.03
2026-03-17	oos	0.03639	0.036239	-0.42%	0.04082	+12.17%	0.1195	✗	0.01
2026-03-16	oos	0.042995	0.042694	-0.70%	0.03639	-15.36%	0.1591	✓	0.05
2026-03-15	oos	0.04655	0.046127	-0.91%	0.042995	-7.64%	0.0738	✓	0.13
2026-03-14	oos	0.04861	0.048034	-1.18%	0.04655	-4.24%	0.0334	✓	0.09
2026-03-13	oos	0.04251	0.042172	-0.79%	0.04861	+14.35%	0.1418	✗	0.06
2026-03-12	oos	0.04395	0.043536	-0.94%	0.04251	-3.28%	0.0242	✓	0.07
2026-03-11	oos	0.04198	0.041606	-0.89%	0.04395	+4.69%	0.0545	✗	0.07
2026-03-10	oos	0.04267	0.04213	-1.26%	0.04198	-1.62%	0.0038	✓	0.07
2026-03-09	oos	0.0386	0.038274	-0.84%	0.04267	+10.54%	0.1078	✗	0.04
2026-03-08	oos	0.03482	0.034689	-0.38%	0.0386	+10.86%	0.1078	✗	-0.03
2026-03-07	oos	0.03611	0.03596	-0.42%	0.03482	-3.57%	0.0328	✓	-0.03
2026-03-06	oos	0.03847	0.038251	-0.57%	0.03611	-6.13%	0.0582	✓	-0.04
2026-03-05	oos	0.03718	0.037012	-0.45%	0.03847	+3.47%	0.0375	✗	-0.03
2026-03-04	oos	0.03949	0.039239	-0.64%	0.03718	-5.85%	0.0550	✓	-0.04
2026-03-03	oos	0.03686	0.036755	-0.28%	0.03949	+7.14%	0.0776	✗	-0.09
2026-03-02	oos	0.05133	0.050425	-1.76%	0.03686	-28.19%	0.3142	✓	-0.11
2026-03-01	oos	0.04186	0.041447	-0.99%	0.05133	+22.62%	0.2231	✗	-0.20
2026-02-28	oos	0.02815	0.02836	+0.74%	0.04186	+48.70%	0.3890	✓	-0.02
2026-02-27	oos	0.03078	0.030935	+0.50%	0.02815	-8.54%	0.0943	✗	-0.00
2026-02-26	oos	0.03057	0.030523	-0.15%	0.03078	+0.69%	0.0083	✗	-0.00
2026-02-25	oos	0.05789	0.057561	-0.57%	0.03057	-47.19%	0.6331	✓	-0.04
2026-02-24	oos	0.10322	0.10102	-2.13%	0.05789	-43.92%	0.5848	✓	0.47
2026-02-23	oos	0.09076	0.089333	-1.57%	0.10322	+13.73%	0.1485	✗	0.46
2026-02-22	oos	0.09047	0.088497	-2.18%	0.09076	+0.32%	0.0461	✗	0.46
2026-02-21	oos	0.07352	0.072852	-0.91%	0.09047	+23.05%	0.2192	✗	0.52
2026-02-20	oos	0.07318	0.072533	-0.88%	0.07352	+0.46%	0.0137	✗	0.40
2026-02-19	oos	0.07658	0.07582	-0.99%	0.07318	-4.44%	0.0416	✓	0.41
2026-02-18	oos	0.07777	0.076823	-1.22%	0.07658	-1.53%	0.0064	✓	0.39
2026-02-17	oos	0.07714	0.076329	-1.05%	0.07777	+0.82%	0.0256	✗	0.44
2026-02-16	oos	0.07932	0.078365	-1.20%	0.07714	-2.75%	0.0066	✓	0.45
2026-02-15	oos	0.0769	0.076071	-1.08%	0.07932	+3.15%	0.0414	✗	0.46
2026-02-14	oos	0.07943	0.078449	-1.23%	0.0769	-3.19%	0.0134	✓	0.45
2026-02-13	oos	0.08241	0.080813	-1.94%	0.07943	-3.62%	0.0238	✓	0.46
2026-02-12	oos	0.07515	0.073921	-1.64%	0.08241	+9.66%	0.0927	✗	0.41
2026-02-11	oos	0.06673	0.066077	-0.98%	0.07515	+12.62%	0.1341	✗	0.44
2026-02-10	oos	0.0712	0.070224	-1.37%	0.06673	-6.28%	0.0403	✓	0.41
2026-02-09	oos	0.06393	0.063376	-0.87%	0.0712	+11.37%	0.1244	✗	0.43
2026-02-08	oos	0.0755	0.073978	-2.02%	0.06393	-15.32%	0.1449	✓	0.42
2026-02-07	oos	0.06176	0.061227	-0.86%	0.0755	+22.25%	0.2043	✗	0.35
2026-02-06	oos	0.07968	0.077809	-2.35%	0.06176	-22.49%	0.2253	✓	0.31
2026-02-05	oos	0.06819	0.066922	-1.86%	0.07968	+16.85%	0.1637	✗	0.09
2026-02-04	oos	0.06337	0.062409	-1.52%	0.06819	+7.61%	0.1495	✗	0.40
2026-02-03	oos	0.07037	0.068387	-2.82%	0.06337	-9.95%	0.0616	✓	0.41
2026-02-02	oos	0.04656	0.046185	-0.81%	0.07037	+51.14%	0.4514	✗	0.78
2026-02-01	oos	0.04173	0.041553	-0.42%	0.04656	+11.57%	0.0998	✗	0.61
2026-01-31	oos	0.0431	0.042902	-0.46%	0.04173	-3.18%	0.0179	✓	0.43
2026-01-30	oos	0.04241	0.042276	-0.32%	0.0431	+1.63%	0.0531	✗	0.50
2026-01-29	oos	0.04793	0.047684	-0.51%	0.04241	-11.52%	0.1148	✓	0.51
2026-01-28	oos	0.05456	0.054078	-0.88%	0.04793	-12.15%	0.0980	✓	0.42
2026-01-27	oos	0.05158	0.051185	-0.77%	0.05456	+5.78%	0.0636	✗	0.43
2026-01-26	oos	0.04991	0.049592	-0.64%	0.05158	+3.35%	0.0349	✗	0.45
2026-01-25	oos	0.05037	0.050102	-0.53%	0.04991	-0.91%	0.0132	✓	0.48
2026-01-24	oos	0.05777	0.057331	-0.76%	0.05037	-12.81%	0.1183	✓	0.39
2026-01-23	oos	0.06047	0.059983	-0.81%	0.05777	-4.47%	0.0362	✓	0.31
2026-01-22	oos	0.06253	0.062047	-0.77%	0.06047	-3.29%	0.0258	✓	0.35
2026-01-21	oos	0.0701	0.069374	-1.04%	0.06253	-10.80%	0.1043	✓	0.35
2026-01-20	oos	0.08145	0.079648	-2.21%	0.0701	-13.93%	0.1333	✓	0.47
2026-01-19	oos	0.06695	0.065756	-1.78%	0.08145	+21.66%	0.2486	✗	0.74
2026-01-18	oos	0.05477	0.054164	-1.11%	0.06695	+22.24%	0.2212	✗	0.80
2026-01-17	oos	0.04908	0.048712	-0.75%	0.05477	+11.59%	0.1301	✗	0.82
2026-01-16	oos	0.05165	0.051246	-0.78%	0.04908	-4.98%	0.0399	✓	0.81
2026-01-15	oos	0.05462	0.054169	-0.83%	0.05165	-5.44%	0.0469	✓	0.84
2026-01-14	oos	0.05716	0.056621	-0.94%	0.05462	-4.44%	0.0244	✓	0.82
2026-01-13	oos	0.06727	0.06568	-2.36%	0.05716	-15.03%	0.1544	✓	0.95
2026-01-12	oos	0.04898	0.048513	-0.95%	0.06727	+37.34%	0.2990	✗	0.62
2026-01-11	oos	0.04891	0.048327	-1.19%	0.04898	+0.14%	0.0111	✓	0.66
2026-01-10	oos	0.044	0.043556	-1.01%	0.04891	+11.16%	0.1124	✗	0.65
2026-01-09	oos	0.04275	0.042229	-1.22%	0.044	+2.92%	0.0421	✗	0.63
2026-01-08	oos	0.03731	0.036943	-0.98%	0.04275	+14.58%	0.1495	✗	0.63
2026-01-07	oos	0.03251	0.032328	-0.56%	0.03731	+14.76%	0.1478	✗	1.62
2026-01-06	oos	0.03523	0.03501	-0.63%	0.03251	-7.72%	0.0319	✓	1.60
2026-01-05	oos	0.03633	0.036084	-0.68%	0.03523	-3.03%	0.0214	✓	1.64
2026-01-04	oos	0.03601	0.035746	-0.73%	0.03633	+0.89%	0.0274	✓	1.70
2026-01-03	oos	0.03574	0.035461	-0.78%	0.03601	+0.76%	0.0014	✓	1.70
2026-01-02	oos	0.03374	0.033505	-0.70%	0.03574	+5.93%	0.0527	✗	1.67
2026-01-01	oos	0.03516	0.03491	-0.71%	0.03374	-4.04%	0.0572	✓	1.70
2025-12-31	oos	0.03534	0.035095	-0.69%	0.03516	-0.51%	0.0221	✓	1.70
2025-12-30	oos	0.03487	0.034661	-0.60%	0.03534	+1.35%	0.0371	✗	1.73
2025-12-29	oos	0.03703	0.036796	-0.63%	0.03487	-5.83%	0.0789	✓	1.71
2025-12-28	oos	0.04027	0.039969	-0.75%	0.03703	-8.05%	0.0615	✓	1.70
2025-12-27	oos	0.04554	0.045075	-1.02%	0.04027	-11.57%	0.1141	✓	1.68
2025-12-26	oos	0.04354	0.043103	-1.00%	0.04554	+4.59%	0.0454	✗	1.65
2025-12-25	oos	0.04617	0.045562	-1.32%	0.04354	-5.70%	0.0477	✓	1.65
2025-12-24	oos	0.04127	0.040868	-0.98%	0.04617	+11.87%	0.1303	✗	1.66
2025-12-23	oos	0.0401	0.03975	-0.87%	0.04127	+2.92%	0.0344	✗	1.52
2025-12-22	oos	0.04472	0.044229	-1.10%	0.0401	-10.33%	0.0787	✓	1.50
2025-12-21	oos	0.04437	0.043882	-1.10%	0.04472	+0.79%	0.0203	✗	1.51
2025-12-20	oos	0.04508	0.044515	-1.25%	0.04437	-1.57%	0.0088	✓	1.56
2025-12-19	oos	0.0423	0.041677	-1.47%	0.04508	+6.57%	0.0744	✗	1.55
2025-12-18	oos	0.04002	0.039547	-1.18%	0.0423	+5.70%	0.0201	✗	1.56
2025-12-17	oos	0.036	0.035692	-0.85%	0.04002	+11.17%	0.1283	✗	1.59
2025-12-16	oos	0.04841	0.047369	-2.15%	0.036	-25.64%	0.2465	✓	1.48
2025-12-15	oos	0.04002	0.039278	-1.85%	0.04841	+20.96%	0.1858	✗	1.41
2025-12-14	oos	0.03232	0.031967	-1.09%	0.04002	+23.82%	0.2548	✗	1.50
2025-12-13	oos	0.03009	0.029837	-0.84%	0.03232	+7.41%	0.1159	✗	1.54
2025-12-12	oos	0.03156	0.031281	-0.88%	0.03009	-4.66%	0.0384	✓	1.55
2025-12-11	oos	0.03257	0.032278	-0.90%	0.03156	-3.10%	0.0159	✗	1.55
2025-12-10	oos	0.03374	0.033444	-0.88%	0.03257	-3.47%	0.0351	✓	1.57
2025-12-09	oos	0.0371	0.036731	-0.99%	0.03374	-9.06%	0.0739	✓	1.56
2025-12-08	oos	0.03916	0.038721	-1.12%	0.0371	-5.26%	0.0777	✓	1.58
2025-12-07	oos	0.03906	0.038638	-1.08%	0.03916	+0.26%	0.0090	✓	1.58
2025-12-06	oos	0.04	0.039559	-1.10%	0.03906	-2.35%	0.0330	✓	1.61
2025-12-05	oos	0.04029	0.039854	-1.08%	0.04	-0.72%	0.0051	✓	1.61
2025-12-04	oos	0.0406	0.040198	-0.99%	0.04029	-0.76%	0.0516	✗	1.63
2025-12-03	oos	0.04414	0.043626	-1.16%	0.0406	-8.02%	0.0483	✓	1.61
2025-12-02	oos	0.04418	0.043642	-1.22%	0.04414	-0.09%	0.0270	✓	1.65
2025-12-01	oos	0.04214	0.041695	-1.06%	0.04418	+4.84%	0.0404	✓	1.74
2025-11-30	oos	0.05073	0.049647	-2.13%	0.04214	-16.93%	0.0887	✓	1.63
2025-11-29	oos	0.04066	0.040197	-1.14%	0.05073	+24.77%	0.2409	✗	1.61
2025-11-28	oos	0.04525	0.044318	-2.06%	0.04066	-10.14%	0.0848	✓	1.62
2025-11-27	oos	0.03818	0.037687	-1.29%	0.04525	+18.52%	0.1903	✗	1.64
2025-11-26	oos	0.03594	0.035418	-1.45%	0.03818	+6.23%	0.0596	✗	1.65
2025-11-25	oos	0.03641	0.035772	-1.75%	0.03594	-1.29%	0.0571	✓	1.75
2025-11-24	oos	0.03441	0.033815	-1.73%	0.03641	+5.81%	0.0928	✗	1.76
2025-11-23	oos	0.02719	0.027013	-0.65%	0.03441	+26.55%	0.2141	✗	1.67
2025-11-22	oos	0.03725	0.036415	-2.24%	0.02719	-27.01%	0.3425	✓	2.03
2025-11-21	oos	0.03157	0.031058	-1.62%	0.03725	+17.99%	0.1911	✗	2.05
2025-11-20	oos	0.02838	0.028134	-0.87%	0.03157	+11.24%	0.1512	✗	2.10
2025-11-19	oos	0.0308	0.030471	-1.07%	0.02838	-7.86%	0.0495	✗	2.18
2025-11-18	oos	0.03265	0.03219	-1.41%	0.0308	-5.67%	0.0098	✓	2.18
2025-11-17	oos	0.03008	0.029729	-1.17%	0.03265	+8.54%	0.0746	✗	2.17
2025-11-16	oos	0.03037	0.030033	-1.11%	0.03008	-0.95%	0.0504	✗	2.18
2025-11-15	oos	0.02951	0.029139	-1.26%	0.03037	+2.91%	0.0730	✗	2.20
2025-11-14	oos	0.03099	0.030556	-1.40%	0.02951	-4.78%	0.0593	✓	2.23
2025-11-13	oos	0.03208	0.031488	-1.84%	0.03099	-3.40%	0.1075	✗	2.34
2025-11-12	oos	0.02999	0.029581	-1.36%	0.03208	+6.97%	0.1294	✗	2.40
2025-11-11	oos	0.02939	0.029011	-1.29%	0.02999	+2.04%	0.0655	✗	2.42
2025-11-10	oos	0.02816	0.02784	-1.14%	0.02939	+4.37%	0.1253	✗	2.50
2025-11-09	oos	0.03016	0.029551	-2.02%	0.02816	-6.63%	0.0793	✓	2.55
2025-11-08	oos	0.02936	0.028779	-1.98%	0.03016	+2.72%	0.0132	✓	2.58
2025-11-07	oos	0.02507	0.024741	-1.31%	0.02936	+17.11%	0.1967	✗	2.62
2025-11-06	oos	0.02259	0.022391	-0.88%	0.02507	+10.98%	0.0625	✗	2.59
2025-11-05	oos	0.02642	0.02605	-1.40%	0.02259	-14.50%	0.0792	✓	2.52
2025-11-04	oos	0.02557	0.025087	-1.89%	0.02642	+3.32%	0.0072	✓	2.52
2025-11-03	oos	0.02367	0.023206	-1.96%	0.02557	+8.03%	0.2380	✗	2.88
2025-11-02	oos	0.01919	0.01897	-1.14%	0.02367	+23.35%	0.3425	✗	3.31
2025-11-01	oos	0.01756	0.017358	-1.15%	0.01919	+9.28%	0.0859	✗	3.30
2025-10-31	oos	0.01618	0.01596	-1.36%	0.01756	+8.53%	0.0807	✗	3.27
2025-10-30	oos	0.013	0.012934	-0.51%	0.01618	+24.46%	0.1873	✗	3.20
2025-10-29	oos	0.01309	0.013026	-0.49%	0.013	-0.69%	0.0487	✗	3.21
2025-10-28	oos	0.01363	0.013551	-0.58%	0.01309	-3.96%	0.0500	✗	3.28
2025-10-27	oos	0.01453	0.014419	-0.76%	0.01363	-6.19%	0.0222	✓	3.27
2025-10-26	oos	0.01458	0.014462	-0.81%	0.01453	-0.34%	0.0179	✗	3.28
2025-10-25	oos	0.01564	0.015443	-1.26%	0.01458	-6.78%	0.1457	✓	3.46
2025-10-24	oos	0.01313	0.013048	-0.63%	0.01564	+19.12%	0.1618	✗	3.46
2025-10-23	oos	0.0135	0.013396	-0.77%	0.01313	-2.74%	0.0492	✓	3.47
2025-10-22	oos	0.01197	0.011922	-0.40%	0.0135	+12.78%	0.0446	✗	3.43
2025-10-21	oos	0.01301	0.012917	-0.71%	0.01197	-7.99%	0.0515	✓	3.43
2025-10-20	oos	0.01334	0.013254	-0.65%	0.01301	-2.47%	0.0521	✗	3.50
2025-10-19	oos	0.0134	0.013308	-0.69%	0.01334	-0.45%	0.0578	✓	3.49
2025-10-18	oos	0.0135	0.013379	-0.90%	0.0134	-0.74%	0.0463	✓	3.52
2025-10-17	oos	0.01155	0.011525	-0.22%	0.0135	+16.88%	0.1340	✗	3.47
2025-10-16	oos	0.01146	0.011448	-0.11%	0.01155	+0.79%	0.0657	✗	3.52
2025-10-15	oos	0.01216	0.012135	-0.21%	0.01146	-5.76%	0.0271	✗	3.54
2025-10-14	oos	0.01252	0.012489	-0.24%	0.01216	-2.88%	0.0455	✗	3.57
2025-10-13	oos	0.01343	0.013363	-0.50%	0.01252	-6.78%	0.0041	✓	3.58
2025-10-12	oos	0.01231	0.012293	-0.14%	0.01343	+9.10%	0.0821	✗	3.53
2025-10-11	oos	0.01196	0.011973	+0.11%	0.01231	+2.93%	0.1131	✗	3.70
2025-10-10	oos	0.01147	0.011487	+0.15%	0.01196	+4.27%	0.1149	✓	3.76
2025-10-09	oos	0.02132	0.021197	-0.58%	0.01147	-46.20%	0.4376	✓	2.37
2025-10-08	oos	0.02238	0.022208	-0.77%	0.02132	-4.74%	0.0107	✓	2.26
2025-10-07	oos	0.01976	0.019668	-0.47%	0.02238	+13.26%	0.0912	✗	2.38
2025-10-06	oos	0.02155	0.02142	-0.60%	0.01976	-8.31%	0.0143	✓	2.46
2025-10-05	oos	0.02113	0.021021	-0.52%	0.02155	+1.99%	0.0012	✓	2.45
2025-10-04	oos	0.02253	0.022391	-0.62%	0.02113	-6.21%	0.0795	✓	2.49
2025-10-03	oos	0.02337	0.023198	-0.74%	0.02253	-3.59%	0.0321	✓	2.49
2025-10-02	oos	0.02322	0.023021	-0.86%	0.02337	+0.65%	0.0199	✓	2.50
2025-10-01	oos	0.02106	0.020923	-0.65%	0.02322	+10.26%	0.0637	✗	2.47
2025-09-30	oos	0.02064	0.020504	-0.66%	0.02106	+2.03%	0.0757	✓	2.60
2025-09-29	oos	0.0199	0.019788	-0.56%	0.02064	+3.72%	0.0495	✗	2.82
2025-09-28	oos	0.02045	0.020322	-0.63%	0.0199	-2.69%	0.0780	✓	2.98
2025-09-27	oos	0.02037	0.020238	-0.65%	0.02045	+0.39%	0.0580	✓	3.02
2025-09-26	oos	0.02103	0.020852	-0.85%	0.02037	-3.14%	0.0229	✓	3.04
2025-09-25	oos	0.02033	0.020113	-1.07%	0.02103	+3.44%	0.0262	✗	3.04
2025-09-24	oos	0.01793	0.017808	-0.68%	0.02033	+13.39%	0.2740	✗	3.65
2025-09-23	oos	0.01685	0.01676	-0.54%	0.01793	+6.41%	0.0245	✗	3.64
2025-09-22	oos	0.01713	0.017045	-0.50%	0.01685	-1.63%	0.0111	✗	3.53
2025-09-21	oos	0.0195	0.019384	-0.60%	0.01713	-12.15%	0.0459	✓	3.48
2025-09-20	oos	0.02021	0.020089	-0.60%	0.0195	-3.51%	0.0153	✓	3.56
2025-09-19	oos	0.01988	0.019774	-0.53%	0.02021	+1.66%	0.0199	✗	3.56
2025-09-18	oos	0.02217	0.022019	-0.68%	0.01988	-10.33%	0.0589	✓	3.53

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.