ARCSOL

? · · beta_5y

token id: #958
symbol: ARCSOL
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-12-11
predictions: 1,989

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

41.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3998

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0726

actual +0.1753

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.06386	0.05899	-7.63%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-21	oos	0.050705	0.047635	-6.05%	–	pending	–	–	-0.17
2026-10-20	oos	0.05179	0.048373	-6.60%	–	pending	–	–	-0.14
2026-10-19	oos	0.04402	0.041737	-5.19%	–	pending	–	–	-0.19
2026-10-18	oos	0.041255	0.039394	-4.51%	–	pending	–	–	-0.20
2026-10-17	oos	0.040095	0.038424	-4.17%	–	pending	–	–	-0.21
2026-10-16	oos	0.035465	0.034782	-1.93%	–	pending	–	–	-0.19
2026-10-15	oos	0.03882	0.037925	-2.31%	–	pending	–	–	-0.22
2026-10-14	oos	0.036985	0.036519	-1.26%	–	pending	–	–	-0.23
2026-10-13	oos	0.031545	0.031797	+0.80%	–	pending	–	–	-0.13
2026-10-12	oos	0.05973	0.058342	-2.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.13
2026-10-11	oos	0.06296	0.061581	-2.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.18
2026-10-10	oos	0.061445	0.059996	-2.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.21
2026-10-09	oos	0.062975	0.060932	-3.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.21
2026-10-08	oos	0.060855	0.058942	-3.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.21
2026-10-07	oos	0.06405	0.061707	-3.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.18
2026-10-06	oos	0.071945	0.068859	-4.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.08
2026-10-05	oos	0.070345	0.067508	-4.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.08
2026-10-04	oos	0.073015	0.070031	-4.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.08
2026-10-03	oos	0.071135	0.068113	-4.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.07
2026-10-02	oos	0.070635	0.067681	-4.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.07
2026-10-01	oos	0.07224	0.069151	-4.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.06
2026-09-30	oos	0.07045	0.0677	-3.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.07265	0.069748	-3.99%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.06992	0.06759	-3.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.07275	0.070345	-3.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.07069	0.068839	-2.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.07175	0.069699	-2.86%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.07354	0.071365	-2.96%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.07853	0.075449	-3.92%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.078215	0.076126	-2.67%	0.06386	-18.35%	0.1764	✓	-0.03
2026-09-21	oos	0.07816	0.076675	-1.90%	0.050705	-35.13%	0.4149	✓	-0.03
2026-09-20	oos	0.073655	0.070932	-3.70%	0.05179	-29.69%	0.3117	✓	-0.13
2026-09-19	oos	0.063745	0.062988	-1.19%	0.04402	-30.94%	0.3575	✓	-0.10
2026-09-18	oos	0.070975	0.068878	-2.96%	0.041255	-41.87%	0.5112	✓	-0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.07026	0.06691	-4.77%	0.040095	-42.93%	0.5041	✓	-0.13
2026-09-16	oos	0.07422	0.070203	-5.41%	0.035465	-52.22%	0.6739	✓	-0.13
2026-09-15	oos	0.07934	0.074149	-6.54%	0.03882	-51.07%	0.6393	✓	-0.09
2026-09-14	oos	0.07305	0.070085	-4.06%	0.036985	-49.37%	0.6354	✓	-0.09
2026-09-13	oos	0.06938	0.066663	-3.92%	0.031545	-54.53%	0.7404	✓	-0.10
2026-09-12	oos	0.07315	0.07014	-4.12%	0.05973	-18.35%	0.1537	✓	-0.12
2026-09-11	oos	0.07391	0.070923	-4.04%	0.06296	-14.82%	0.1054	✓	-0.17
2026-09-10	oos	0.07355	0.070527	-4.11%	0.061445	-16.46%	0.1245	✓	-0.17
2026-09-09	oos	0.071975	0.070197	-2.47%	0.062975	-12.50%	0.1002	✓	-0.16
2026-09-08	oos	0.07252	0.070818	-2.35%	0.060855	-16.09%	0.1452	✓	-0.16
2026-09-07	oos	0.07476	0.073142	-2.16%	0.06405	-14.33%	0.1240	✓	-0.17
2026-09-06	oos	0.07195	0.071121	-1.15%	0.071945	-0.01%	0.0203	✗	-0.14
2026-09-05	oos	0.074015	0.073145	-1.17%	0.070345	-4.96%	0.0292	✓	-0.14
2026-09-04	oos	0.07428	0.074041	-0.32%	0.073015	-1.70%	0.0040	✓	-0.12
2026-09-03	oos	0.07189	0.073637	+2.43%	0.071135	-1.05%	0.0302	✗	-0.10
2026-09-02	oos	0.07274	0.072964	+0.31%	0.070635	-2.89%	0.0151	✗	-0.19
2026-09-01	oos	0.06482	0.066248	+2.20%	0.07224	+11.45%	0.1037	✓	-0.19
2026-08-31	oos	0.06939	0.071219	+2.64%	0.07045	+1.53%	0.0055	✓	-0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.06761	0.069424	+2.68%	0.07265	+7.45%	0.0535	✓	-0.11
2026-08-29	oos	0.07057	0.072755	+3.10%	0.06992	-0.92%	0.0301	✓	-0.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.06989	0.072305	+3.46%	0.07275	+4.09%	0.0180	✓	-0.15
2026-08-27	oos	0.06683	0.070476	+5.46%	0.07069	+5.78%	0.0084	✓	-0.11
2026-08-26	oos	0.07115	0.0744	+4.57%	0.07175	+0.84%	0.0308	✓	-0.09
2026-08-25	oos	0.07217	0.075482	+4.59%	0.07354	+1.90%	0.0176	✓	-0.12
2026-08-24	oos	0.07048	0.074107	+5.15%	0.07853	+11.42%	0.0652	✓	-0.11
2026-08-23	oos	0.0693	0.072628	+4.80%	0.078215	+12.86%	0.0855	✓	-0.11
2026-08-22	oos	0.06685	0.070272	+5.12%	0.07816	+16.92%	0.1200	✓	-0.12
2026-08-21	oos	0.0681	0.071461	+4.94%	0.073655	+8.16%	0.0347	✓	-0.13
2026-08-20	oos	0.06936	0.069846	+0.70%	0.063745	-8.10%	0.0805	✗	-0.10
2026-08-19	oos	0.0691	0.067428	-2.42%	0.070975	+2.71%	0.0684	✗	-0.11
2026-08-18	oos	0.06936	0.065835	-5.08%	0.07026	+1.30%	0.0851	✗	-0.12
2026-08-17	oos	0.07402	0.070047	-5.37%	0.07422	+0.27%	0.0754	✗	-0.11
2026-08-16	oos	0.07188	0.067929	-5.50%	0.07934	+10.38%	0.1804	✗	-0.14
2026-08-15	oos	0.07187	0.067982	-5.41%	0.07305	+1.64%	0.1005	✗	-0.13
2026-08-14	oos	0.07702	0.072227	-6.22%	0.06938	-9.92%	0.0112	✓	-0.15
2026-08-13	oos	0.0757	0.071158	-6.00%	0.07315	-3.37%	0.0436	✓	-0.08
2026-08-12	oos	0.07193	0.067909	-5.59%	0.07391	+2.75%	0.1328	✗	-0.24
2026-08-11	oos	0.06592	0.062754	-4.80%	0.07355	+11.57%	0.2130	✗	-0.29
2026-08-10	oos	0.06458	0.061464	-4.83%	0.071975	+11.45%	0.2119	✗	-0.27
2026-08-09	oos	0.0662	0.063042	-4.77%	0.07252	+9.55%	0.1965	✗	-0.30
2026-08-08	oos	0.06342	0.060308	-4.91%	0.07476	+17.88%	0.2743	✗	-0.30
2026-08-07	oos	0.05236	0.050733	-3.11%	0.07195	+37.41%	0.4297	✗	-0.38
2026-08-06	oos	0.05468	0.052635	-3.74%	0.074015	+35.36%	0.4198	✗	-0.36
2026-08-05	oos	0.0513	0.049698	-3.12%	0.07428	+44.80%	0.4757	✗	-0.35
2026-08-04	oos	0.053	0.051071	-3.64%	0.07189	+35.64%	0.4195	✗	-0.33
2026-08-03	oos	0.0509	0.048937	-3.86%	0.07274	+42.91%	0.4646	✗	-0.35
2026-08-02	oos	0.05129	0.049369	-3.75%	0.06482	+26.38%	0.3345	✗	-0.31
2026-08-01	oos	0.05185	0.049808	-3.94%	0.06939	+33.83%	0.4044	✗	-0.32
2026-07-31	oos	0.05344	0.051367	-3.88%	0.06761	+26.52%	0.3436	✗	-0.32
2026-07-30	oos	0.05276	0.051479	-2.43%	0.07057	+33.76%	0.3778	✗	-0.33
2026-07-29	oos	0.0537	0.052253	-2.69%	0.06989	+30.15%	0.3517	✗	-0.31
2026-07-28	oos	0.05151	0.05026	-2.43%	0.06683	+29.74%	0.3564	✗	-0.31
2026-07-27	oos	0.05404	0.05275	-2.39%	0.07115	+31.66%	0.3699	✗	-0.33
2026-07-26	oos	0.05593	0.055487	-0.79%	0.07217	+29.04%	0.3166	✗	-0.29
2026-07-25	oos	0.06002	0.059075	-1.57%	0.07048	+17.43%	0.2431	✗	-0.32
2026-07-24	oos	0.06223	0.061278	-1.53%	0.0693	+11.36%	0.1810	✗	-0.30
2026-07-23	oos	0.06145	0.061256	-0.32%	0.06685	+8.79%	0.1366	✗	-0.29
2026-07-22	oos	0.06452	0.064936	+0.65%	0.0681	+5.55%	0.0996	✓	-0.31
2026-07-21	oos	0.0666	0.067261	+0.99%	0.06936	+4.14%	0.0595	✓	-0.31
2026-07-20	oos	0.07012	0.069628	-0.70%	0.0691	-1.45%	0.0100	✗	-0.29
2026-07-19	oos	0.07069	0.069792	-1.27%	0.06936	-1.88%	0.0062	✓	-0.29
2026-07-18	oos	0.07093	0.069954	-1.38%	0.07402	+4.36%	0.0552	✗	-0.26
2026-07-17	oos	0.07314	0.071492	-2.25%	0.07188	-1.72%	0.0019	✓	-0.21
2026-07-16	oos	0.07475	0.072902	-2.47%	0.07187	-3.85%	0.0166	✓	-0.19
2026-07-15	oos	0.07579	0.074096	-2.24%	0.07702	+1.62%	0.0323	✗	-0.24
2026-07-14	oos	0.08041	0.078051	-2.93%	0.0757	-5.86%	0.0363	✓	-0.23
2026-07-13	oos	0.07419	0.071497	-3.63%	0.07193	-3.05%	0.0128	✓	-0.37
2026-07-12	oos	0.07814	0.07547	-3.42%	0.06592	-15.64%	0.1366	✓	-0.41
2026-07-11	oos	0.07879	0.076052	-3.47%	0.06458	-18.04%	0.1626	✓	-0.43
2026-07-10	oos	0.07946	0.076785	-3.37%	0.0662	-16.69%	0.1439	✓	-0.40
2026-07-09	oos	0.0791	0.076213	-3.65%	0.06342	-19.82%	0.1730	✓	-0.40
2026-07-08	oos	0.08115	0.07767	-4.29%	0.05236	-35.48%	0.3783	✓	-0.38
2026-07-07	oos	0.08095	0.077781	-3.92%	0.05468	-32.45%	0.3476	✓	-0.33
2026-07-06	oos	0.08236	0.079183	-3.86%	0.0513	-37.71%	0.4309	✓	-0.34
2026-07-05	oos	0.08139	0.078244	-3.87%	0.053	-34.88%	0.3874	✓	-0.29
2026-07-04	oos	0.07808	0.075298	-3.56%	0.0509	-34.81%	0.3898	✓	-0.30
2026-07-03	oos	0.07906	0.076025	-3.84%	0.05129	-35.13%	0.3887	✓	-0.32
2026-07-02	oos	0.08274	0.078862	-4.69%	0.05185	-37.33%	0.4133	✓	-0.29
2026-07-01	oos	0.08328	0.078905	-5.25%	0.05344	-35.83%	0.3762	✓	-0.29
2026-06-30	oos	0.0839	0.079069	-5.76%	0.05276	-37.12%	0.3787	✓	-0.26
2026-06-29	oos	0.08357	0.079034	-5.43%	0.0537	-35.74%	0.3706	✓	-0.26
2026-06-28	oos	0.08813	0.082404	-6.50%	0.05151	-41.55%	0.4557	✓	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.08415	0.079153	-5.94%	0.05404	-35.78%	0.3700	✓	-0.19
2026-06-26	oos	0.08425	0.079087	-6.13%	0.05593	-33.61%	0.3305	✓	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.08372	0.078421	-6.33%	0.06002	-28.31%	0.2536	✓	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.08263	0.077744	-5.91%	0.06223	-24.69%	0.2088	✓	-0.28
2026-06-23	oos	0.08268	0.078058	-5.59%	0.06145	-25.68%	0.2306	✓	-0.23
2026-06-22	oos	0.08369	0.079022	-5.58%	0.06452	-22.91%	0.1943	✓	-0.26
2026-06-21	oos	0.08017	0.075929	-5.29%	0.0666	-16.93%	0.1174	✓	-0.27
2026-06-20	oos	0.07994	0.075859	-5.11%	0.07012	-12.28%	0.0744	✓	-0.28
2026-06-19	oos	0.07887	0.074761	-5.21%	0.07069	-10.37%	0.0509	✓	-0.27
2026-06-18	oos	0.08197	0.077204	-5.81%	0.07093	-13.47%	0.0768	✓	-0.27
2026-06-17	oos	0.08464	0.079475	-6.10%	0.07314	-13.59%	0.0854	✓	-0.27
2026-06-16	oos	0.07379	0.070648	-4.26%	0.07475	+1.30%	0.0492	✗	-0.25
2026-06-15	oos	0.07726	0.073665	-4.65%	0.07579	-1.90%	0.0198	✓	-0.36
2026-06-14	oos	0.08196	0.077394	-5.57%	0.08041	-1.89%	0.0350	✓	-0.29
2026-06-13	oos	0.08941	0.082873	-7.31%	0.07419	-17.02%	0.1210	✓	-0.30
2026-06-12	oos	0.08883	0.081864	-7.84%	0.07814	-12.03%	0.0455	✓	-0.33
2026-06-11	oos	0.08349	0.077926	-6.66%	0.07879	-5.63%	0.0121	✓	-0.31
2026-06-10	oos	0.08397	0.077801	-7.35%	0.07946	-5.37%	0.0347	✓	-0.32
2026-06-09	oos	0.08311	0.076997	-7.35%	0.0791	-4.82%	0.0344	✓	-0.31
2026-06-08	oos	0.08395	0.077556	-7.62%	0.08115	-3.34%	0.0410	✓	-0.33
2026-06-07	oos	0.08357	0.077034	-7.82%	0.08095	-3.14%	0.0497	✓	-0.27
2026-06-06	oos	0.08278	0.075976	-8.22%	0.08236	-0.51%	0.0894	✗	-0.17
2026-06-05	oos	0.08116	0.074375	-8.36%	0.08139	+0.28%	0.0962	✗	-0.15
2026-06-04	oos	0.07524	0.069803	-7.23%	0.07808	+3.77%	0.1115	✗	-0.05
2026-06-03	oos	0.07419	0.068767	-7.31%	0.07906	+6.56%	0.1377	✗	-0.08
2026-06-02	oos	0.0709	0.066172	-6.67%	0.08274	+16.70%	0.2242	✗	0.01
2026-06-01	oos	0.07662	0.071096	-7.21%	0.08328	+8.69%	0.1505	✗	-0.04
2026-05-31	oos	0.07343	0.068592	-6.59%	0.0839	+14.26%	0.2162	✗	0.06
2026-05-30	oos	0.07835	0.072432	-7.55%	0.08357	+6.66%	0.2034	✗	0.30
2026-05-29	oos	0.07464	0.069154	-7.35%	0.08813	+18.07%	0.2606	✗	0.09
2026-05-28	oos	0.07173	0.06661	-7.14%	0.08415	+17.31%	0.2432	✗	0.05
2026-05-27	oos	0.06396	0.060111	-6.02%	0.08425	+31.72%	0.3549	✗	0.08
2026-05-26	oos	0.06433	0.060403	-6.10%	0.08372	+30.14%	0.3799	✗	0.22
2026-05-25	oos	0.06502	0.061029	-6.14%	0.08263	+27.08%	0.1548	✗	-0.63
2026-05-24	oos	0.06402	0.060097	-6.13%	0.08268	+29.15%	0.1827	✗	-0.66
2026-05-23	oos	0.06449	0.060249	-6.58%	0.08369	+29.77%	0.2136	✗	-0.63
2026-05-22	oos	0.06401	0.059712	-6.72%	0.08017	+25.25%	0.1760	✗	-0.67
2026-05-21	oos	0.0641	0.05987	-6.60%	0.07994	+24.71%	0.1598	✗	-0.69
2026-05-20	oos	0.06525	0.060801	-6.82%	0.07887	+20.87%	0.1213	✗	-0.70
2026-05-19	oos	0.06462	0.060193	-6.85%	0.08197	+26.85%	0.1688	✗	-0.70
2026-05-18	oos	0.06589	0.061216	-7.09%	0.08464	+28.46%	0.1995	✗	-0.70
2026-05-17	oos	0.06769	0.06277	-7.27%	0.07379	+9.01%	0.0483	✓	-0.69
2026-05-16	oos	0.06178	0.057964	-6.18%	0.07726	+25.06%	0.1780	✗	-0.67
2026-05-15	oos	0.07376	0.067836	-8.03%	0.08196	+11.12%	0.0579	✓	-0.71
2026-05-14	oos	0.06026	0.057583	-4.44%	0.08941	+48.37%	0.3026	✗	-0.60
2026-05-13	oos	0.06384	0.059957	-6.08%	0.08883	+39.14%	0.2875	✗	-0.48
2026-05-12	oos	0.06714	0.062988	-6.18%	0.08349	+24.35%	0.1548	✗	-0.54
2026-05-11	oos	0.06406	0.060913	-4.91%	0.08397	+31.08%	0.1868	✗	-0.47
2026-05-10	oos	0.06287	0.060144	-4.34%	0.08311	+32.19%	0.1757	✗	-0.51
2026-05-09	oos	0.06858	0.064329	-6.20%	0.08395	+22.41%	0.1513	✗	-0.47
2026-05-08	oos	0.06956	0.065115	-6.39%	0.08357	+20.14%	0.1543	✗	-0.40
2026-05-07	oos	0.06741	0.063524	-5.77%	0.08278	+22.80%	0.1872	✗	-0.28
2026-05-06	oos	0.06943	0.065696	-5.38%	0.08116	+16.89%	0.2365	✗	0.09
2026-05-05	oos	0.07004	0.066014	-5.75%	0.07524	+7.42%	0.1125	✗	-0.08
2026-05-04	oos	0.06657	0.062863	-5.57%	0.07419	+11.45%	0.1577	✗	-0.04
2026-05-03	oos	0.06844	0.06411	-6.33%	0.0709	+3.59%	0.0635	✓	-0.23
2026-05-02	oos	0.0717	0.066857	-6.75%	0.07662	+6.86%	0.1169	✗	-0.20
2026-05-01	oos	0.07521	0.069773	-7.23%	0.07343	-2.37%	0.0399	✓	-0.18
2026-04-30	oos	0.07485	0.069226	-7.51%	0.07835	+4.68%	0.1177	✗	-0.18
2026-04-29	oos	0.07517	0.069542	-7.49%	0.07464	-0.71%	0.0651	✓	-0.18
2026-04-28	oos	0.06678	0.062754	-6.03%	0.07173	+7.41%	0.1305	✗	-0.08
2026-04-27	oos	0.07902	0.072989	-7.63%	0.06396	-19.06%	0.1363	✓	-0.11
2026-04-26	oos	0.06856	0.065044	-5.13%	0.06433	-6.17%	0.0140	✓	-0.08
2026-04-25	oos	0.06671	0.063304	-5.11%	0.06502	-2.53%	0.0263	✓	-0.09
2026-04-24	oos	0.06458	0.061468	-4.82%	0.06402	-0.87%	0.0404	✓	-0.04
2026-04-23	oos	0.06653	0.063219	-4.98%	0.06449	-3.07%	0.0189	✓	-0.05
2026-04-22	oos	0.06516	0.061921	-4.97%	0.06401	-1.76%	0.0315	✓	-0.05
2026-04-21	oos	0.06662	0.062674	-5.92%	0.0641	-3.78%	0.0232	✓	-0.04
2026-04-20	oos	0.0665	0.062355	-6.23%	0.06525	-1.88%	0.0468	✓	-0.07
2026-04-19	oos	0.06537	0.060945	-6.77%	0.06462	-1.15%	0.0652	✓	-0.17
2026-04-18	oos	0.06838	0.063949	-6.48%	0.06589	-3.64%	0.0331	✓	-0.20
2026-04-17	oos	0.06957	0.065365	-6.04%	0.06769	-2.70%	0.0358	✓	-0.22
2026-04-16	oos	0.07276	0.067685	-6.97%	0.06178	-15.09%	0.0833	✓	-0.21
2026-04-15	oos	0.06959	0.064795	-6.89%	0.07376	+5.99%	0.1413	✗	-0.21
2026-04-14	oos	0.07018	0.065094	-7.25%	0.06026	-14.14%	0.0589	✓	-0.21
2026-04-13	oos	0.07211	0.066683	-7.53%	0.06384	-11.47%	0.0285	✓	-0.24
2026-04-12	oos	0.07456	0.067923	-8.90%	0.06714	-9.95%	0.0050	✓	-0.05
2026-04-11	oos	0.07646	0.069786	-8.73%	0.06406	-16.22%	0.0787	✓	-0.06
2026-04-10	oos	0.071	0.06526	-8.09%	0.06287	-11.45%	0.0307	✓	-0.06
2026-04-09	oos	0.07094	0.064725	-8.76%	0.06858	-3.33%	0.0642	✓	-0.05
2026-04-08	oos	0.05996	0.055851	-6.85%	0.06956	+16.01%	0.2294	✗	-0.08
2026-04-07	oos	0.05853	0.054642	-6.64%	0.06741	+15.17%	0.2186	✗	-0.08
2026-04-06	oos	0.05693	0.052776	-7.30%	0.06943	+21.96%	0.2861	✗	-0.07
2026-04-05	oos	0.05355	0.04986	-6.89%	0.07004	+30.79%	0.3513	✗	-0.07
2026-04-04	oos	0.05503	0.050765	-7.75%	0.06657	+20.97%	0.2813	✗	-0.06
2026-04-03	oos	0.05465	0.050281	-7.99%	0.06844	+25.23%	0.3179	✗	-0.06
2026-04-02	oos	0.05233	0.04831	-7.68%	0.0717	+37.02%	0.4038	✗	-0.06
2026-04-01	oos	0.05479	0.050218	-8.34%	0.07521	+37.27%	0.4140	✗	-0.07
2026-03-31	oos	0.05374	0.049245	-8.37%	0.07485	+39.28%	0.4271	✗	-0.07
2026-03-30	oos	0.05065	0.046626	-7.95%	0.07517	+48.41%	0.4893	✗	-0.09
2026-03-29	oos	0.05037	0.046272	-8.14%	0.06678	+32.58%	0.3823	✗	-0.11
2026-03-28	oos	0.0517	0.047195	-8.71%	0.07902	+52.84%	0.5309	✗	-0.10
2026-03-27	oos	0.04745	0.043916	-7.45%	0.06856	+44.49%	0.4640	✗	-0.11
2026-03-26	oos	0.04267	0.040217	-5.75%	0.06671	+56.34%	0.5139	✗	-0.06
2026-03-25	oos	0.04459	0.041766	-6.33%	0.06458	+44.83%	0.4429	✗	-0.09
2026-03-24	oos	0.04665	0.04327	-7.25%	0.06653	+42.62%	0.4388	✗	-0.08
2026-03-23	oos	0.04747	0.04377	-7.79%	0.06516	+37.27%	0.4059	✗	-0.08
2026-03-22	oos	0.04813	0.044262	-8.04%	0.06662	+38.42%	0.4161	✗	-0.06
2026-03-21	oos	0.0497	0.045237	-8.98%	0.0665	+33.80%	0.3916	✗	-0.07
2026-03-20	oos	0.04846	0.043902	-9.40%	0.06537	+34.89%	0.4009	✗	-0.06
2026-03-19	oos	0.04463	0.040978	-8.18%	0.06838	+53.22%	0.5175	✗	-0.07
2026-03-18	oos	0.04082	0.038142	-6.56%	0.06957	+70.43%	0.6032	✗	-0.03
2026-03-17	oos	0.03639	0.034777	-4.43%	0.07276	+99.95%	0.7380	✗	0.01
2026-03-16	oos	0.042995	0.040037	-6.88%	0.06959	+61.86%	0.5529	✗	0.05
2026-03-15	oos	0.04655	0.042715	-8.24%	0.07018	+50.76%	0.4942	✗	0.13
2026-03-14	oos	0.04861	0.044073	-9.33%	0.07211	+48.34%	0.4883	✗	0.09
2026-03-13	oos	0.04251	0.039289	-7.58%	0.07456	+75.39%	0.6408	✗	0.06
2026-03-12	oos	0.04395	0.040308	-8.29%	0.07646	+73.97%	0.6379	✗	0.07
2026-03-11	oos	0.04198	0.038692	-7.83%	0.071	+69.13%	0.6043	✗	0.07
2026-03-10	oos	0.04267	0.039004	-8.59%	0.07094	+66.25%	0.5964	✗	0.07
2026-03-09	oos	0.0386	0.035951	-6.86%	0.05996	+55.34%	0.5099	✗	0.04
2026-03-08	oos	0.03482	0.033136	-4.84%	0.05853	+68.09%	0.5711	✗	-0.03
2026-03-07	oos	0.03611	0.034165	-5.39%	0.05693	+57.66%	0.5114	✗	-0.03
2026-03-06	oos	0.03847	0.035995	-6.43%	0.05355	+39.20%	0.3978	✗	-0.04
2026-03-05	oos	0.03718	0.034826	-6.33%	0.05503	+48.01%	0.4560	✗	-0.03
2026-03-04	oos	0.03949	0.036494	-7.59%	0.05465	+38.39%	0.4002	✗	-0.04
2026-03-03	oos	0.03686	0.034723	-5.80%	0.05233	+41.97%	0.4082	✗	-0.09
2026-03-02	oos	0.05133	0.045542	-11.28%	0.05479	+6.74%	0.1837	✗	-0.11
2026-03-01	oos	0.04186	0.038307	-8.49%	0.05374	+28.38%	0.3459	✗	-0.20
2026-02-28	oos	0.02815	0.027178	-3.45%	0.05065	+79.93%	0.6224	✗	-0.02
2026-02-27	oos	0.03078	0.029133	-5.35%	0.05037	+63.65%	0.5475	✗	-0.00
2026-02-26	oos	0.03057	0.026476	-13.39%	0.0517	+69.12%	0.6692	✗	-0.00
2026-02-25	oos	0.05789	0.052424	-9.44%	0.04745	-18.03%	0.1007	✓	-0.04
2026-02-24	oos	0.10322	0.088315	-14.44%	0.04267	-58.66%	0.7608	✓	0.47
2026-02-23	oos	0.09076	0.078865	-13.11%	0.04459	-50.87%	0.6152	✓	0.46
2026-02-22	oos	0.09047	0.078277	-13.48%	0.04665	-48.44%	0.5370	✓	0.46
2026-02-21	oos	0.07352	0.066321	-9.79%	0.04747	-35.43%	0.3564	✓	0.52
2026-02-20	oos	0.07318	0.065824	-10.05%	0.04813	-34.23%	0.3123	✓	0.40
2026-02-19	oos	0.07658	0.068202	-10.94%	0.0497	-35.10%	0.3281	✓	0.41
2026-02-18	oos	0.07777	0.068667	-11.71%	0.04846	-37.69%	0.3719	✓	0.39
2026-02-17	oos	0.07714	0.068314	-11.44%	0.04463	-42.14%	0.4415	✓	0.44
2026-02-16	oos	0.07932	0.069608	-12.24%	0.04082	-48.54%	0.5489	✓	0.45
2026-02-15	oos	0.0769	0.067754	-11.89%	0.03639	-52.68%	0.6544	✓	0.46
2026-02-14	oos	0.07943	0.069115	-12.99%	0.042995	-45.87%	0.5066	✓	0.45
2026-02-13	oos	0.08241	0.070487	-14.47%	0.04655	-43.51%	0.4411	✓	0.46
2026-02-12	oos	0.07515	0.065358	-13.03%	0.04861	-35.32%	0.3263	✓	0.41
2026-02-11	oos	0.06673	0.059488	-10.85%	0.04251	-36.30%	0.3611	✓	0.44
2026-02-10	oos	0.0712	0.062339	-12.45%	0.04395	-38.27%	0.3597	✓	0.41
2026-02-09	oos	0.06393	0.057057	-10.75%	0.04198	-34.33%	0.3075	✓	0.43
2026-02-08	oos	0.0755	0.064747	-14.24%	0.04267	-43.48%	0.4151	✓	0.42
2026-02-07	oos	0.06176	0.055161	-10.68%	0.0386	-37.50%	0.3528	✓	0.35
2026-02-06	oos	0.07968	0.067484	-15.31%	0.03482	-56.30%	0.6410	✓	0.31
2026-02-05	oos	0.06819	0.059455	-12.81%	0.03611	-47.05%	0.5050	✓	0.09
2026-02-04	oos	0.06337	0.055655	-12.18%	0.03847	-39.29%	0.3413	✓	0.40
2026-02-03	oos	0.07037	0.059766	-15.07%	0.03718	-47.16%	0.4482	✓	0.41
2026-02-02	oos	0.04656	0.042585	-8.54%	0.03949	-15.18%	0.0139	✓	0.78
2026-02-01	oos	0.04173	0.038868	-6.86%	0.03686	-11.67%	0.0194	✓	0.61
2026-01-31	oos	0.0431	0.039925	-7.37%	0.05133	+19.10%	0.3090	✗	0.43
2026-01-30	oos	0.04241	0.039183	-7.61%	0.04186	-1.30%	0.1900	✗	0.50
2026-01-29	oos	0.04793	0.043913	-8.38%	0.02815	-41.27%	0.3260	✓	0.51
2026-01-28	oos	0.05456	0.049422	-9.42%	0.03078	-43.59%	0.3455	✓	0.42
2026-01-27	oos	0.05158	0.046909	-9.05%	0.03057	-40.73%	0.3098	✓	0.43
2026-01-26	oos	0.04991	0.045488	-8.86%	0.05789	+15.99%	0.3584	✗	0.45
2026-01-25	oos	0.05037	0.045893	-8.89%	0.10322	+104.92%	0.9564	✗	0.48
2026-01-24	oos	0.05777	0.05241	-9.28%	0.09076	+57.11%	0.6733	✗	0.39
2026-01-23	oos	0.06047	0.054685	-9.57%	0.09047	+49.61%	0.5907	✗	0.31
2026-01-22	oos	0.06253	0.056291	-9.98%	0.07352	+17.58%	0.3629	✗	0.35
2026-01-21	oos	0.0701	0.062294	-11.14%	0.07318	+4.39%	0.2559	✗	0.35
2026-01-20	oos	0.08145	0.070533	-13.40%	0.07658	-5.98%	0.2133	✗	0.47
2026-01-19	oos	0.06695	0.059619	-10.95%	0.07777	+16.16%	0.5101	✗	0.74
2026-01-18	oos	0.05477	0.049747	-9.17%	0.07714	+40.84%	0.7015	✗	0.80
2026-01-17	oos	0.04908	0.044846	-8.63%	0.07932	+61.61%	0.8366	✗	0.82
2026-01-16	oos	0.05165	0.047101	-8.81%	0.0769	+48.89%	0.7546	✗	0.81
2026-01-15	oos	0.05462	0.049616	-9.16%	0.07943	+45.42%	0.7337	✗	0.84
2026-01-14	oos	0.05716	0.051844	-9.30%	0.08241	+44.17%	0.7435	✗	0.82
2026-01-13	oos	0.06727	0.059338	-11.79%	0.07515	+11.71%	0.5821	✗	0.95
2026-01-12	oos	0.04898	0.044535	-9.08%	0.06673	+36.24%	0.5948	✗	0.62
2026-01-11	oos	0.04891	0.044351	-9.32%	0.0712	+45.57%	0.6561	✗	0.66
2026-01-10	oos	0.044	0.04018	-8.68%	0.06393	+45.30%	0.6285	✗	0.65
2026-01-09	oos	0.04275	0.039046	-8.66%	0.0755	+76.61%	0.8195	✗	0.63
2026-01-08	oos	0.03731	0.034453	-7.66%	0.06176	+65.53%	0.7547	✗	0.63
2026-01-07	oos	0.03251	0.030346	-6.66%	0.07968	+145.09%	1.3822	✗	1.62
2026-01-06	oos	0.03523	0.033169	-5.85%	0.06819	+93.56%	1.3609	✗	1.60
2026-01-05	oos	0.03633	0.034242	-5.75%	0.06337	+74.43%	1.0278	✗	1.64
2026-01-04	oos	0.03601	0.033527	-6.90%	0.07037	+95.42%	1.0646	✗	1.70
2026-01-03	oos	0.03574	0.033105	-7.37%	0.04656	+30.27%	0.5818	✗	1.70
2026-01-02	oos	0.03374	0.031232	-7.43%	0.04173	+23.68%	0.5518	✗	1.67
2026-01-01	oos	0.03516	0.032404	-7.84%	0.0431	+22.58%	0.4899	✗	1.70
2025-12-31	oos	0.03534	0.032503	-8.03%	0.04241	+20.01%	0.3332	✗	1.70
2025-12-30	oos	0.03487	0.0321	-7.94%	0.04793	+37.45%	0.4787	✗	1.73
2025-12-29	oos	0.03703	0.033876	-8.52%	0.05456	+47.34%	0.4367	✗	1.71
2025-12-28	oos	0.04027	0.036618	-9.07%	0.05158	+28.09%	0.3187	✗	1.70
2025-12-27	oos	0.04554	0.040812	-10.38%	0.04991	+9.60%	0.1928	✗	1.68
2025-12-26	oos	0.04354	0.03889	-10.68%	0.05037	+15.69%	0.2725	✗	1.65
2025-12-25	oos	0.04617	0.040887	-11.44%	0.05777	+25.12%	0.3099	✗	1.65
2025-12-24	oos	0.04127	0.036937	-10.50%	0.06047	+46.52%	0.4580	✗	1.66
2025-12-23	oos	0.0401	0.035848	-10.60%	0.06253	+55.94%	0.5215	✗	1.52
2025-12-22	oos	0.04472	0.039654	-11.33%	0.0701	+56.75%	0.5561	✗	1.50
2025-12-21	oos	0.04437	0.039224	-11.60%	0.08145	+83.57%	0.7363	✗	1.51
2025-12-20	oos	0.04508	0.039551	-12.26%	0.06695	+48.51%	0.4534	✗	1.56
2025-12-19	oos	0.0423	0.03704	-12.43%	0.05477	+29.48%	0.2964	✗	1.55
2025-12-18	oos	0.04002	0.035084	-12.33%	0.04908	+22.64%	0.1692	✗	1.56
2025-12-17	oos	0.036	0.031563	-12.32%	0.05165	+43.47%	0.3298	✗	1.59
2025-12-16	oos	0.04841	0.041431	-14.42%	0.05462	+12.83%	0.1516	✓	1.48
2025-12-15	oos	0.04002	0.034633	-13.46%	0.05716	+42.83%	0.3386	✗	1.41
2025-12-14	oos	0.03232	0.028412	-12.09%	0.06727	+108.14%	0.7440	✗	1.50
2025-12-13	oos	0.03009	0.026668	-11.37%	0.04898	+62.78%	0.5921	✗	1.54
2025-12-12	oos	0.03156	0.028033	-11.17%	0.04891	+54.97%	0.5464	✗	1.55
2025-12-11	oos	0.03257	0.02907	-10.75%	0.044	+35.09%	0.4512	✗	1.55
2025-12-10	oos	0.03374	0.030095	-10.80%	0.04275	+26.70%	0.3772	✗	1.57
2025-12-09	oos	0.0371	0.033066	-10.87%	0.03731	+0.57%	0.1489	✗	1.56
2025-12-08	oos	0.03916	0.034614	-11.61%	0.03251	-16.98%	0.0736	✓	1.58
2025-12-07	oos	0.03906	0.034514	-11.64%	0.03523	-9.81%	0.0364	✓	1.58
2025-12-06	oos	0.04	0.035255	-11.86%	0.03633	-9.18%	0.0508	✓	1.61
2025-12-05	oos	0.04029	0.035481	-11.94%	0.03601	-10.62%	0.0235	✓	1.61
2025-12-04	oos	0.0406	0.035841	-11.72%	0.03574	-11.97%	0.0238	✓	1.63
2025-12-03	oos	0.04414	0.038757	-12.19%	0.03374	-23.56%	0.0773	✓	1.61
2025-12-02	oos	0.04418	0.038594	-12.64%	0.03516	-20.42%	0.0461	✓	1.65
2025-12-01	oos	0.04214	0.036635	-13.06%	0.03534	-16.14%	0.0603	✓	1.74
2025-11-30	oos	0.05073	0.043266	-14.71%	0.03487	-31.26%	0.1798	✓	1.63
2025-11-29	oos	0.04066	0.035529	-12.62%	0.03703	-8.93%	0.1087	✓	1.61
2025-11-28	oos	0.04525	0.038835	-14.18%	0.04027	-11.01%	0.0911	✓	1.62
2025-11-27	oos	0.03818	0.03338	-12.57%	0.04554	+19.28%	0.3747	✗	1.64
2025-11-26	oos	0.03594	0.031351	-12.77%	0.04354	+21.15%	0.3875	✗	1.65
2025-11-25	oos	0.03641	0.031427	-13.69%	0.04617	+26.81%	0.3877	✗	1.75
2025-11-24	oos	0.03441	0.029854	-13.24%	0.04127	+19.94%	0.3370	✗	1.76
2025-11-23	oos	0.02719	0.024365	-10.39%	0.0401	+47.48%	0.4863	✗	1.67
2025-11-22	oos	0.03725	0.031726	-14.83%	0.04472	+20.05%	0.2525	✗	2.03
2025-11-21	oos	0.03157	0.027531	-12.79%	0.04437	+40.54%	0.3928	✗	2.05
2025-11-20	oos	0.02838	0.025285	-10.91%	0.04508	+58.84%	0.5353	✗	2.10
2025-11-19	oos	0.0308	0.027117	-11.96%	0.0423	+37.34%	0.5264	✗	2.18
2025-11-18	oos	0.03265	0.028441	-12.89%	0.04002	+22.57%	0.5237	✗	2.18
2025-11-17	oos	0.03008	0.026455	-12.05%	0.036	+19.68%	0.4516	✗	2.17
2025-11-16	oos	0.03037	0.026675	-12.17%	0.04841	+59.40%	0.7478	✗	2.18
2025-11-15	oos	0.02951	0.025853	-12.39%	0.04002	+35.62%	0.6583	✗	2.20
2025-11-14	oos	0.03099	0.026877	-13.27%	0.03232	+4.29%	0.3394	✗	2.23
2025-11-13	oos	0.03208	0.027637	-13.85%	0.03009	-6.20%	0.3163	✗	2.34
2025-11-12	oos	0.02999	0.02625	-12.47%	0.03156	+5.24%	0.4689	✗	2.40
2025-11-11	oos	0.02939	0.025824	-12.13%	0.03257	+10.82%	0.4911	✗	2.42
2025-11-10	oos	0.02816	0.024877	-11.66%	0.03374	+19.82%	0.6579	✗	2.50
2025-11-09	oos	0.03016	0.026098	-13.47%	0.0371	+23.01%	0.6620	✗	2.55
2025-11-08	oos	0.02936	0.025354	-13.65%	0.03916	+33.38%	0.7461	✗	2.58
2025-11-07	oos	0.02507	0.022341	-10.88%	0.03906	+55.80%	0.9081	✗	2.62
2025-11-06	oos	0.02259	0.020417	-9.62%	0.04	+77.07%	1.0000	✗	2.59
2025-11-05	oos	0.02642	0.023277	-11.90%	0.04029	+52.50%	0.9279	✗	2.52
2025-11-04	oos	0.02557	0.022417	-12.33%	0.0406	+58.78%	0.8385	✗	2.52
2025-11-03	oos	0.02367	0.021017	-11.21%	0.04414	+86.48%	1.1201	✗	2.88
2025-11-02	oos	0.01919	0.017593	-8.32%	0.04418	+130.22%	1.5524	✗	3.31
2025-11-01	oos	0.01756	0.016204	-7.72%	0.04214	+139.98%	1.7577	✗	3.30
2025-10-31	oos	0.01618	0.014982	-7.40%	0.05073	+213.54%	1.8490	✗	3.27
2025-10-30	oos	0.013	0.012382	-4.75%	0.04066	+212.77%	1.7519	✗	3.20
2025-10-29	oos	0.01309	0.012433	-5.02%	0.04525	+245.68%	1.9049	✗	3.21
2025-10-28	oos	0.01363	0.012825	-5.90%	0.03818	+180.12%	1.7875	✗	3.28
2025-10-27	oos	0.01453	0.013517	-6.97%	0.03594	+147.35%	1.7372	✗	3.27
2025-10-26	oos	0.01458	0.013523	-7.25%	0.03641	+149.73%	1.8793	✗	3.28
2025-10-25	oos	0.01564	0.014352	-8.23%	0.03441	+120.01%	1.6889	✗	3.46
2025-10-24	oos	0.01313	0.012353	-5.92%	0.02719	+107.08%	1.6408	✗	3.46
2025-10-23	oos	0.0135	0.012634	-6.41%	0.03725	+175.93%	1.9936	✗	3.47
2025-10-22	oos	0.01197	0.011421	-4.58%	0.03157	+163.74%	1.8221	✗	3.43
2025-10-21	oos	0.01301	0.012228	-6.01%	0.02838	+118.14%	1.6124	✗	3.43
2025-10-20	oos	0.01334	0.012451	-6.67%	0.0308	+130.88%	1.5707	✗	3.50
2025-10-19	oos	0.0134	0.012513	-6.62%	0.03265	+143.66%	1.5063	✗	3.49
2025-10-18	oos	0.0135	0.012569	-6.89%	0.03008	+122.81%	1.4078	✗	3.52
2025-10-17	oos	0.01155	0.011042	-4.40%	0.03037	+162.94%	1.4374	✗	3.47
2025-10-16	oos	0.01146	0.010989	-4.11%	0.02951	+157.50%	1.4250	✗	3.52
2025-10-15	oos	0.01216	0.011562	-4.92%	0.03099	+154.85%	1.5492	✗	3.54
2025-10-14	oos	0.01252	0.011857	-5.29%	0.03208	+156.23%	1.4478	✗	3.57
2025-10-13	oos	0.01343	0.012651	-5.80%	0.02999	+123.31%	1.3141	✗	3.58
2025-10-12	oos	0.01231	0.01169	-5.04%	0.02939	+138.75%	1.3130	✗	3.53
2025-10-11	oos	0.01196	0.011427	-4.45%	0.02816	+135.45%	1.0655	✗	3.70
2025-10-10	oos	0.01147	0.010829	-5.59%	0.03016	+162.95%	1.3111	✗	3.76
2025-10-09	oos	0.02132	0.020294	-4.81%	0.02936	+37.71%	0.7819	✗	2.37
2025-10-08	oos	0.02238	0.021222	-5.18%	0.02507	+12.02%	0.5682	✗	2.26
2025-10-07	oos	0.01976	0.018934	-4.18%	0.02259	+14.32%	0.6077	✗	2.38
2025-10-06	oos	0.02155	0.020562	-4.58%	0.02642	+22.60%	0.6998	✗	2.46
2025-10-05	oos	0.02113	0.020203	-4.39%	0.02557	+21.01%	0.7170	✗	2.45
2025-10-04	oos	0.02253	0.021361	-5.19%	0.02367	+5.06%	0.4491	✗	2.49
2025-10-03	oos	0.02337	0.022075	-5.54%	0.01919	-17.89%	0.1117	✗	2.49
2025-10-02	oos	0.02322	0.021939	-5.52%	0.01756	-24.38%	0.0066	✓	2.50
2025-10-01	oos	0.02106	0.020113	-4.50%	0.01618	-23.17%	0.0208	✓	2.47
2025-09-30	oos	0.02064	0.019609	-5.00%	0.013	-37.02%	0.2765	✓	2.60
2025-09-29	oos	0.0199	0.018955	-4.75%	0.01309	-34.22%	0.2611	✓	2.82
2025-09-28	oos	0.02045	0.019383	-5.22%	0.01363	-33.35%	0.3709	✓	2.98
2025-09-27	oos	0.02037	0.019218	-5.66%	0.01453	-28.67%	0.3984	✓	3.02
2025-09-26	oos	0.02103	0.019757	-6.05%	0.01458	-30.67%	0.4354	✓	3.04
2025-09-25	oos	0.02033	0.019043	-6.33%	0.01564	-23.07%	0.2694	✓	3.04
2025-09-24	oos	0.01793	0.016883	-5.84%	0.01313	-26.77%	0.1764	✓	3.65
2025-09-23	oos	0.01685	0.015784	-6.33%	0.0135	-19.88%	0.0940	✓	3.64
2025-09-22	oos	0.01713	0.016051	-6.30%	0.01197	-30.12%	0.1281	✓	3.53
2025-09-21	oos	0.0195	0.018367	-5.81%	0.01301	-33.28%	0.1294	✓	3.48
2025-09-20	oos	0.02021	0.019007	-5.95%	0.01334	-33.99%	0.1909	✓	3.56
2025-09-19	oos	0.01988	0.018674	-6.06%	0.0134	-32.60%	0.1093	✓	3.56
2025-09-18	oos	0.02217	0.020731	-6.49%	0.0135	-39.11%	0.1166	✓	3.53

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.