8=======>

2022-01-22 · +1d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 143 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1335
143 of 143 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.63%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
55.2%
in alpha space · 79.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+3.47%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (143 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.44540.451715+1.42%0.5018+12.66%0.0622✓1.262.4M2022-01-23
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.03760.038011+1.09%0.0375-0.27%0.0822✗2.0224.3M2022-01-23
LRCLoopringEthereum0.73160.738595+0.96%0.8591+17.43%0.0829✓2.001.1M2022-01-23
SPELLSpellEthereum0.007930.007998+0.86%0.00841+6.05%0.0335✗2.4623.2M2022-01-23
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03260.032852+0.77%0.0335+2.76%0.0308✗1.481.1M2022-01-23
MOVRMoonriverBase83.994184.5879+0.71%84.9691+1.16%0.0393✗1.29486k2022-01-23
SUSHISushiEthereum4.424.4511+0.70%4.66+5.43%0.0003✓1.3416.1M2022-01-23
RADRadworksEthereum5.065.0948+0.69%5.21+2.96%0.0125✗1.021.1M2022-01-23
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.90.906167+0.69%0.85-5.56%0.1196✗1.63569k2022-01-23
LCXLCXEthereum0.07990.080442+0.68%0.1069+33.79%0.2372✓1.382.0M2022-01-23
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.1116.2116+0.63%17.17+6.58%0.0048✓1.834.1M2022-01-23
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.967.0031+0.62%7.33+5.32%0.0318✓0.412.8M2022-01-23
BICOBiconomyEthereum2.082.092+0.58%2.24+7.69%0.0184✓1.476.6M2022-01-23
XVSVenusEthereum7.597.6312+0.54%8.17+7.64%0.0259✓1.243.0M2022-01-23
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.58340.586553+0.54%0.596+2.16%0.0369✗1.551.4M2022-01-23
MASKMask NetworkEthereum5.615.6396+0.53%5.9+5.17%0.0137✓0.921.0M2022-01-23
GITCOINGITCOIN6.9446.9783+0.49%7.243+4.31%0.0251✓0.3638k2022-01-23
SOLSolanaSolana94.7895.2412+0.49%99.82+5.32%0.0058✓1.21142.2M2022-01-23
FILFilecoinFilecoin19.0119.0984+0.47%19.51+2.63%0.0198✗1.2014.5M2022-01-23
HIVEHivenative0.79870.802364+0.46%0.839+5.05%0.0060✗1.483.8M2022-01-23
NANOnanopayBase2.04612.0552+0.45%2.227+8.84%0.0375✓1.25714k2022-01-23
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3190.3204+0.44%0.331+3.76%0.0155✗1.411.8M2022-01-23
COMPCompoundEthereum120.3120.8257+0.44%128.28+6.63%0.0173✓1.2588k2022-01-23
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.892.9023+0.43%3.02+4.50%0.0119✗1.5132.4M2022-01-23
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.048960.049156+0.40%0.05508+12.50%0.0623✓1.511.9M2022-01-23
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.07320.073492+0.40%0.0783+6.97%0.0216✓1.23299k2022-01-23
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2440.244947+0.39%0.278+13.93%0.0949✓0.9367k2022-01-23
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum50.1750.3495+0.36%54.81+9.25%0.0437✓1.216.3M2022-01-23
UMAUMAEthereum6.116.1311+0.35%6.38+4.42%0.0039✓1.053.9M2022-01-23
DODODODOEthereum0.4960.497694+0.34%0.507+2.22%0.0349✗1.578.0M2022-01-23
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.640.642132+0.33%0.66+3.12%0.0380✗1.921.3M2022-01-23
AAVEAaveEthereum147.18147.6621+0.33%158.72+7.84%0.0291✓1.2617.6M2022-01-23
QNTQuantEthereum98.7899.1011+0.33%109.75+11.11%0.0673✓1.027.0M2022-01-23
ARPAARPAEthereum0.05430.054475+0.32%0.0576+6.08%0.0057✓1.47684k2022-01-23
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.062370.062566+0.31%0.06514+4.44%0.0119✓0.8360k2022-01-23
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.066.079+0.31%6.52+7.59%0.0627✓0.211.2M2022-01-23
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7110.71321+0.31%0.731+2.81%0.0129✗1.102.0M2022-01-23
UOSUltraEthereum0.806960.809444+0.31%0.90224+11.81%0.0666✓1.232.4M2022-01-23
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.870.872672+0.31%0.881+1.26%0.0384✗1.402.3M2022-01-23
XECeCashnative0.000068390.000068589+0.29%0.00007477+9.33%0.0496✓1.086.5M2022-01-23
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche59.859.9723+0.29%64.85+8.44%0.0336✓1.3187.3M2022-01-23
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.771.775+0.28%1.82+2.82%0.0218✗1.373.1M2022-01-23
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.5061.5102+0.28%1.611+6.97%0.0213✓1.271.9M2022-01-23
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.621.6245+0.28%1.7+4.94%0.0086✓1.082.6M2022-01-23
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.7618.812+0.28%19.45+3.68%0.0196✗1.55944k2022-01-23
XVGVergenative0.009350.009375+0.27%0.00969+3.64%0.0127✗1.341.8M2022-01-23
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.8615.9027+0.27%16.67+5.11%0.0048✓1.2475.4M2022-01-23
ZENHorizenBase35.2835.373+0.26%35.77+1.39%0.0422✗1.56613k2022-01-23
LPTLivepeerEthereum23.8423.9007+0.25%24.37+2.22%0.0388✗1.712.7M2022-01-23
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.050510.050636+0.25%0.05184+2.63%0.0225✗1.3512.0M2022-01-23
ZECZcashZcash94.5994.8226+0.25%97.58+3.16%0.0169✗1.348.4M2022-01-23
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.5121.5625+0.24%22.3+3.67%0.0082✓0.75353k2022-01-23
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000020530.00002058+0.24%0.0000225+9.60%0.0411✓1.411.7M2022-01-23
CTSICartesiEthereum0.43850.439544+0.24%0.4546+3.67%0.0147✗1.422.6M2022-01-23
MANADecentralandEthereum2.04342.0481+0.23%2.1145+3.48%0.0076✗1.164.3M2022-01-23
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.783.7887+0.23%3.94+4.23%0.0025✗1.223.2M2022-01-23
XTZTezosTezos2.95212.9585+0.22%3.0753+4.17%0.0079✗1.373.1M2022-01-23
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0367650.036844+0.21%0.039977+8.74%0.0369✓1.3110.3M2022-01-23
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.12.1045+0.21%2.57+22.38%0.1508✓1.442.6M2022-01-23
BANDBandEthereum3.493.4974+0.21%3.59+2.87%0.0147✗1.202.4M2022-01-23
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.714670.716182+0.21%0.76101+6.48%0.0012✓1.75848k2022-01-23
IMXImmutableEthereum2.462.4651+0.21%2.49+1.22%0.0452✗1.622.2M2022-01-23
SKLSKALEEthereum0.11350.113732+0.20%0.1139+0.35%0.0443✗1.344.3M2022-01-23
AUCTIONBounceEthereum13.1913.2159+0.20%14.05+6.52%0.0231✓1.12841k2022-01-23
UNIUniswapEthereum11.1611.1817+0.19%11.43+2.42%0.0235✗1.3312.7M2022-01-23
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum20.5420.5797+0.19%21.28+3.60%0.0122✗1.3434.9M2022-01-23
TRXTRONTron0.056750.056853+0.18%0.057499+1.32%0.0216✗0.96486k2022-01-23
SCSiacoinnative0.00940.009417+0.18%0.00983+4.57%0.0059✓1.09641k2022-01-23
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.0593.0643+0.17%3.138+2.58%0.0059✗0.871.1M2022-01-23
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.635.6395+0.17%5.92+5.15%0.0227✓0.76645k2022-01-23
SUNSun TokenTron0.0149610.014986+0.17%0.015019+0.39%0.0392✗1.222.7M2022-01-23
QTUMQtumQtum5.55655.5658+0.17%5.815+4.65%0.0054✗1.44263k2022-01-23
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.41630.416969+0.16%0.4151-0.29%0.0491✗1.3110.8M2022-01-23
MINAMina Protocolnative2.342.3438+0.16%2.44+4.27%0.0002✓1.19737k2022-01-23
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.009980.009995+0.15%0.01032+3.41%0.0113✗1.272.3M2022-01-23
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.780.78119+0.15%0.8156+4.56%0.0055✓1.1022.7M2022-01-23
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0201080.020138+0.15%0.022662+12.70%0.0799✓1.123.7M2022-01-23
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.84.8069+0.14%5.02+4.58%0.0189✓0.72491k2022-01-23
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.8042.8079+0.14%2.945+5.03%0.0207✓0.79523k2022-01-23
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.50760.508298+0.14%0.5301+4.43%0.0029✗1.323.2M2022-01-23
YFIyearn.financeEthereum22,897.6422,927.81+0.13%25,099.20+9.61%0.0612✓0.8621.5M2022-01-23
CBKCobakEthereum1.9791.9815+0.13%2.095+5.86%0.0186✓1.0924k2022-01-23
CHZChilizEthereum0.17640.176606+0.12%0.1855+5.16%0.0011✓1.414.3M2022-01-23
KCSKuCoinnative15.12915.1463+0.11%15.88+4.96%0.0076✗1.6110.7M2022-01-23
KSMKusamaHydration190.08190.2972+0.11%191.51+0.75%0.0348✗1.211.3M2022-01-23
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.85.8065+0.11%6.129+5.67%0.0272✓0.79163k2022-01-23
STORJStorjEthereum1.03811.0392+0.11%1.0945+5.43%0.0170✓1.02402k2022-01-23
BFCBifrostEthereum0.156380.156546+0.11%0.16077+2.81%0.0256✗1.537,0112022-01-23
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5188610.519381+0.10%0.54463+4.97%0.0062✓1.212.3M2022-01-23
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.665.6653+0.09%5.85+3.36%0.0033✓0.84616k2022-01-23
ETHEthereumEthereum2,411.902,414.04+0.09%2,541.19+5.36%0.0131✓1.12502.4M2022-01-23
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.00683.0092+0.08%3.1436+4.55%0.0017✓1.233.8M2022-01-23
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1331580.133265+0.08%0.141702+6.42%0.0246✓1.086.7M2022-01-23
DKAdKargoEthereum0.078730.078788+0.07%0.08478+7.68%0.0329✓1.1941k2022-01-23
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.036310.036337+0.07%0.0379+4.38%0.0036✓1.1325k2022-01-23
CELLCellframeEthereum0.71060.711094+0.07%0.8434+18.69%0.1240✓1.37108k2022-01-23
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.23310.233245+0.06%0.2414+3.56%0.0088✗1.271.9M2022-01-23
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.6653.6672+0.06%3.844+4.88%0.0206✓0.78445k2022-01-23
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0541840.054217+0.06%0.057846+6.76%0.0307✓1.00575k2022-01-23
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.05940.059434+0.06%0.0613+3.20%0.0075✗1.1321k2022-01-23
XYMSymbolnative0.14980.149883+0.06%0.1617+7.94%0.0519✓0.70536k2022-01-23
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash291.88292.0388+0.05%302.74+3.72%0.0001✓1.057.0M2022-01-23
COTICOTIEthereum0.26450.26464+0.05%0.2697+1.97%0.0360✗1.614.6M2022-01-23
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012750.012756+0.05%0.01258-1.33%0.0439✗0.8821k2022-01-23
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.5672.5681+0.04%2.649+3.19%0.0214✗1.541.1M2022-01-23
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3661.3665+0.04%1.421+4.03%0.0016✗1.191.8M2022-01-23
XLMStellarStellar0.192370.192413+0.02%0.201066+4.52%0.0074✓1.0724.9M2022-01-23
AMPAmpEthereum0.029850.029856+0.02%0.02905-2.68%0.0609✗0.988.3M2022-01-23
LTCLitecoinLitecoin108.41108.4205+0.01%112.35+3.63%0.0098✗1.3330.5M2022-01-23
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.23944.2394-0.00%4.4346+4.60%0.0040✗1.20443k2022-01-23
XMRMoneroMonero152.34152.3386-0.00%156.73+2.88%0.0061✓1.012.6M2022-01-23
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.95120.951179-0.00%0.9895+4.03%0.0017✓1.2134.7M2022-01-23
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.2618.259-0.01%18.82+3.07%0.0169✓1.3858.5M2022-01-23
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV89.2489.2322-0.01%93.79+5.10%0.0174✗0.951.8M2022-01-23
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum34,807.7034,803.49-0.01%36,274.40+4.21%0.0071✗1.0126k2022-01-23
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana12.6212.6166-0.03%12.97+2.77%0.0037✗0.70813k2022-01-23
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.332.3293-0.03%2.41+3.43%0.0009✓1.03819k2022-01-23
CVCCivicEthereum0.21790.217829-0.03%0.2245+3.03%0.0081✓1.12440k2022-01-23
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13940.139329-0.05%0.1477+5.95%0.0261✗0.95362k2022-01-23
DASHDashDash97.0797.0204-0.05%99.58+2.59%0.0157✓1.222.8M2022-01-23
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana8.688.6735-0.07%8.96+3.23%0.0069✗0.75800k2022-01-23
BTCBitcoinBitcoin35,066.4335,039.87-0.08%36,282.47+3.47%0.0008✓1.00648.0M2022-01-23
ADACardanoCardano1.07131.0703-0.09%1.1249+5.00%0.0111✗1.13104.1M2022-01-23
ETCEthereum Classicnative24.2324.2076-0.09%25.17+3.88%0.0016✗1.103.3M2022-01-23
LSKLiskEthereum1.651.6483-0.10%1.6289-1.28%0.0500✓1.1295k2022-01-23
DYDXdYdXCosmos6.4246.4175-0.10%6.033-6.09%0.0987✓1.08301k2022-01-23
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1611.1598-0.10%1.154-0.60%0.0485✓1.274.0M2022-01-23
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.72272.7197-0.11%2.7981+2.77%0.0068✓1.032.2M2022-01-23
FTTFTXEthereum33.4433.3963-0.13%35.99+7.63%0.0339✗1.2029.0M2022-01-23
LUNATerraTerra 262.8962.8004-0.14%69.73+10.88%0.0432✗1.807.8M2022-01-23
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos29.2729.2276-0.14%34.65+18.38%0.1354✗1.02109.3M2022-01-23
GTGateEthereum5.67085.6622-0.15%6.1111+7.76%0.0446✗0.934.5M2022-01-23
XEMNEMnative0.09440.094243-0.17%0.0976+3.39%0.0014✓1.0741k2022-01-23
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.96422.9588-0.18%2.9942+1.01%0.0179✓0.872,9422022-01-23
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.60153.5899-0.32%3.5571-1.23%0.0097✓0.01371k2022-01-23
GLMRMoonbeamBase7.3927.366-0.35%8.018+8.47%0.0507✗1.001.6M2022-01-23
PROPropyEthereum2.152.1414-0.40%3.23+50.23%0.3769✗1.005.4M2022-01-23
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.54820.545826-0.43%0.609+11.09%0.0469✗1.8448.9M2022-01-23
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.44421.4376-0.46%1.3242-8.31%0.1163✓1.004.1M2022-01-23
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.50391.4969-0.47%1.4593-2.97%0.0534✓0.821.6M2022-01-23
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.56580.562487-0.59%0.5547-1.96%0.0555✓1.221.8M2022-01-23
API3Api3Ethereum4.824.7602-1.24%4.37-9.34%0.0988✓0.39471k2022-01-23
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.072020.071011-1.40%0.06498-9.78%0.1228✓1.0012.6M2022-01-23
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.