8=======>

2022-01-21 · +1d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 141 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.1772
141 of 141 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-3.42%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
80.9%
in alpha space · 87.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-3.81%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (141 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.51860.52197+0.65%0.4454-14.11%0.1110✗1.222.4M2022-01-22
LRCLoopringEthereum0.86780.870609+0.32%0.7316-15.69%0.0977✗1.961.1M2022-01-22
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.04170.041832+0.32%0.0376-9.83%0.0678✗1.0024.3M2022-01-22
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum17.8817.9177+0.21%16.11-9.90%0.0359✗1.814.1M2022-01-22
MOVRMoonriverBase9595.1862+0.20%83.9941-11.59%0.0760✗1.26489k2022-01-22
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03630.036355+0.15%0.0326-10.19%0.0523✗1.461.1M2022-01-22
LCXLCXEthereum0.09390.094009+0.12%0.0799-14.91%0.1103✗1.352.0M2022-01-22
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00920.009207+0.08%0.00793-13.80%0.0554✗2.4123.2M2022-01-22
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.053880.053916+0.07%0.04896-9.13%0.0382✗1.502.1M2022-01-22
RADRadworksEthereum5.685.6815+0.03%5.06-10.92%0.0770✗1.001.0M2022-01-22
MASKMask NetworkEthereum6.496.4917+0.03%5.61-13.56%0.1116✗0.881.0M2022-01-22
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.726.7214+0.02%6.06-9.82%0.0965✗0.181.2M2022-01-22
QNTQuantEthereum114.44114.458+0.02%98.78-13.68%0.1091✗0.986.9M2022-01-22
ZENHorizenBase38.9438.9444+0.01%35.28-9.40%0.0385✗1.55620k2022-01-22
CRVCurve DAOEthereum3.313.31-0.00%2.89-12.69%0.0779✓1.4832.4M2022-01-22
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.316.3097-0.00%5.63-10.78%0.0855✓0.73652k2022-01-22
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08340.083394-0.01%0.0732-12.23%0.0839✓1.20269k2022-01-22
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06190.061891-0.01%0.0543-12.28%0.0747✓1.44684k2022-01-22
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7640.763849-0.02%0.711-6.94%0.0292✓1.092.0M2022-01-22
COMPCompoundEthereum139.37139.3425-0.02%120.3-13.68%0.0997✓1.2188k2022-01-22
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3520.351904-0.03%0.319-9.37%0.0439✓1.391.8M2022-01-22
XVGVergenative0.010020.010016-0.04%0.00935-6.69%0.0169✓1.341.8M2022-01-22
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.67470.674425-0.04%0.5834-13.53%0.0858✓1.521.4M2022-01-22
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2710.270889-0.04%0.244-9.96%0.0692✓0.9160k2022-01-22
XVSVenusEthereum9.949.9355-0.05%7.59-23.64%0.2240✓1.173.0M2022-01-22
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.977.9664-0.05%6.96-12.67%0.1209✓0.363.1M2022-01-22
SKLSKALEEthereum0.12060.120542-0.05%0.1135-5.89%0.0080✓1.344.3M2022-01-22
GITCOINGITCOIN7.8267.8218-0.05%6.944-11.27%0.1066✓0.3238k2022-01-22
QTUMQtumQtum6.12256.1191-0.06%5.5565-9.24%0.0409✓1.43263k2022-01-22
AMPAmpEthereum0.03030.030281-0.06%0.02985-1.49%0.0242✗0.998.3M2022-01-22
LPTLivepeerEthereum24.8624.8442-0.06%23.84-4.10%0.0254✗1.712.7M2022-01-22
BICOBiconomyEthereum2.452.4484-0.07%2.08-15.10%0.1080✓1.427.4M2022-01-22
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0416410.041613-0.07%0.036765-11.71%0.0740✓1.289.3M2022-01-22
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.9575.953-0.07%5.8-2.64%0.0047✗0.79163k2022-01-22
SUNSun TokenTron0.0161710.01616-0.07%0.014961-7.48%0.0302✓1.202.7M2022-01-22
DKAdKargoEthereum0.083240.083179-0.07%0.07873-5.42%0.0090✓1.1838k2022-01-22
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.039770.03974-0.08%0.03631-8.70%0.0469✓1.1125k2022-01-22
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.970.969254-0.08%0.9-7.22%0.0108✓1.63569k2022-01-22
STORJStorjEthereum1.18481.1838-0.08%1.0381-12.38%0.0930✓0.99402k2022-01-22
SCSiacoinnative0.010440.010431-0.08%0.0094-9.96%0.0626✓1.07641k2022-01-22
DODODODOEthereum0.5610.56052-0.09%0.496-11.59%0.0622✓1.558.0M2022-01-22
FILFilecoinFilecoin21.9821.9604-0.09%19.01-13.51%0.0987✓1.1714.5M2022-01-22
BANDBandEthereum3.963.9563-0.09%3.49-11.87%0.0799✓1.172.4M2022-01-22
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9840.983076-0.09%0.87-11.59%0.0685✓1.382.3M2022-01-22
RLCiExec RLCEthereum21.9979-0.10%1.77-11.50%0.0686✓1.353.1M2022-01-22
NANOnanopayBase2.32652.324-0.10%2.0461-12.05%0.0796✓1.23699k2022-01-22
LINKChainlinkEthereum17.4417.4213-0.11%15.86-9.06%0.0463✓1.2275.4M2022-01-22
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash315.04314.7011-0.11%291.88-7.35%0.0348✓1.047.0M2022-01-22
ZECZcashZcash102.35102.2319-0.12%94.59-7.58%0.0261✓1.338.4M2022-01-22
CBKCobakEthereum2.1972.1944-0.12%1.979-9.92%0.0618✓1.0724k2022-01-22
AUCTIONBounceEthereum15.5515.5313-0.12%13.19-15.18%0.1215✓1.08841k2022-01-22
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum58.3958.317-0.13%50.17-14.08%0.1050✓1.176.3M2022-01-22
CHZChilizEthereum0.1980.197752-0.13%0.1764-10.91%0.0603✓1.394.3M2022-01-22
UOSUltraEthereum0.917340.916173-0.13%0.80696-12.03%0.0803✓1.202.4M2022-01-22
CVCCivicEthereum0.23960.239294-0.13%0.2179-9.06%0.0508✓1.10440k2022-01-22
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011110.011096-0.13%0.00998-10.17%0.0573✓1.252.2M2022-01-22
CTSICartesiEthereum0.48110.480477-0.13%0.4385-8.85%0.0368✓1.402.6M2022-01-22
LTCLitecoinLitecoin114.51114.3609-0.13%108.41-5.33%0.0017✓1.3330.5M2022-01-22
AAVEAaveEthereum171.09170.8662-0.13%147.18-13.98%0.1014✓1.2317.6M2022-01-22
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.730.729039-0.13%0.64-12.33%0.0572✓1.881.3M2022-01-22
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.2321.201-0.14%18.76-11.63%0.0628✓1.53944k2022-01-22
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.292.2868-0.14%2.1-8.30%0.0300✓1.422.7M2022-01-22
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.071970.071868-0.14%0.06237-13.34%0.1109✓0.7956k2022-01-22
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche66.0765.9761-0.14%59.8-9.49%0.0482✓1.2987.3M2022-01-22
MANADecentralandEthereum2.22192.2186-0.15%2.0434-8.04%0.0381✓1.144.3M2022-01-22
YFIyearn.financeEthereum25,741.6425,702.86-0.15%22,897.64-11.05%0.0833✓0.8320.9M2022-01-22
XECeCashnative0.000079680.000079557-0.15%0.00006839-14.17%0.1110✓1.046.5M2022-01-22
ETCEthereum Classicnative25.9525.9094-0.16%24.23-6.63%0.0247✓1.093.3M2022-01-22
ADACardanoCardano1.12111.1193-0.16%1.0713-4.44%0.0002✓1.13104.1M2022-01-22
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06340.063295-0.16%0.0594-6.31%0.0200✓1.1221k2022-01-22
COTICOTIEthereum0.29210.291617-0.17%0.2645-9.45%0.0355✓1.604.6M2022-01-22
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.841.8369-0.17%1.62-11.96%0.0848✓1.052.7M2022-01-22
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.462.4558-0.17%2.33-5.28%0.0129✓1.02869k2022-01-22
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.558460.557499-0.17%0.518861-7.09%0.0251✓1.202.3M2022-01-22
HIVEHivenative0.9060.904356-0.18%0.7987-11.84%0.0676✓1.463.9M2022-01-22
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.8570.855428-0.18%0.78-8.98%0.0501✓1.0922.7M2022-01-22
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.810110.808609-0.19%0.71467-11.78%0.0565✓1.72848k2022-01-22
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0220820.022041-0.19%0.020108-8.94%0.0490✓1.103.7M2022-01-22
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.7381.7347-0.19%1.506-13.35%0.0934✓1.241.9M2022-01-22
SOLSolanaSolana112.32112.1092-0.19%94.78-15.62%0.1227✓1.16142.2M2022-01-22
DOTPolkadotPolkadot19.6719.6327-0.19%18.26-7.17%0.0189✓1.3858.5M2022-01-22
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.43660.43576-0.19%0.4163-4.65%0.0052✗1.3110.8M2022-01-22
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.25230.251798-0.20%0.2331-7.61%0.0283✓1.261.9M2022-01-22
SUSHISushiEthereum4.964.9501-0.20%4.42-10.89%0.0621✓1.3217.0M2022-01-22
XLMStellarStellar0.2028620.202453-0.20%0.19237-5.17%0.0095✓1.0724.9M2022-01-22
UMAUMAEthereum6.66.5861-0.21%6.11-7.42%0.0345✓1.043.9M2022-01-22
ETHEthereumEthereum2,569.012,563.48-0.22%2,411.90-6.12%0.0176✓1.12502.4M2022-01-22
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013940.01391-0.22%0.01275-8.54%0.0535✓0.8621k2022-01-22
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2091.2063-0.22%1.161-3.97%0.0114✗1.284.0M2022-01-22
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.63650.635085-0.22%0.5482-13.87%0.0771✓1.8046.2M2022-01-22
UNIUniswapEthereum12.6312.6015-0.23%11.16-11.64%0.0706✓1.3112.7M2022-01-22
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.566.5451-0.23%5.66-13.72%0.1140✓0.80616k2022-01-22
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.5553.5468-0.23%3.0068-15.42%0.1188✓1.193.9M2022-01-22
FTTFTXEthereum38.5238.4297-0.23%33.44-13.19%0.0938✓1.1625.7M2022-01-22
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV95.6895.4554-0.23%89.24-6.73%0.0307✓0.941.8M2022-01-22
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.055520.055388-0.24%0.05051-9.02%0.0404✓1.3312.0M2022-01-22
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.3923.3838-0.24%3.059-9.82%0.0680✓0.851.1M2022-01-22
XTZTezosTezos3.34173.3336-0.24%2.9521-11.66%0.0694✓1.343.1M2022-01-22
IMXImmutableEthereum2.712.7034-0.24%2.46-9.23%0.0323✓1.602.2M2022-01-22
XYMSymbolnative0.16390.163487-0.25%0.1498-8.60%0.0609✓0.68536k2022-01-22
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.03031.0277-0.26%0.9512-7.68%0.0307✓1.2032.1M2022-01-22
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.124.1093-0.26%3.665-11.04%0.0854✓0.75445k2022-01-22
TRXTRONTron0.0611090.060949-0.26%0.05675-7.13%0.0344✓0.95486k2022-01-22
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4451.4412-0.26%1.366-5.47%0.0072✓1.191.8M2022-01-22
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.71864.7061-0.26%4.2394-10.16%0.0584✓1.18443k2022-01-22
DASHDashDash105.73105.4486-0.27%97.07-8.19%0.0357✓1.212.8M2022-01-22
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.645.6244-0.28%4.8-14.89%0.1323✓0.67494k2022-01-22
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.56190.560339-0.28%0.5076-9.66%0.0483✓1.303.2M2022-01-22
NMRNumeraireEthereum23.3123.2451-0.28%21.51-7.72%0.0493✓0.73342k2022-01-22
LSKLiskEthereum1.66721.6624-0.29%1.65-1.03%0.0365✗1.1395k2022-01-22
MINAMina Protocolnative2.92.8914-0.30%2.34-19.31%0.1679✓1.12737k2022-01-22
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.56611.5614-0.30%1.4442-7.78%0.0392✓1.004.2M2022-01-22
XMRMoneroMonero172.82172.293-0.30%152.34-11.85%0.0850✓0.982.7M2022-01-22
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0614240.061235-0.31%0.054184-11.79%0.0834✓1.00644k2022-01-22
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.174.157-0.31%3.78-9.35%0.0482✓1.213.2M2022-01-22
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum36,607.8036,491.01-0.32%34,807.70-4.92%0.0083✓1.0018k2022-01-22
LUNATerraTerra 264.9464.7296-0.32%62.89-3.16%0.0422✗1.837.7M2022-01-22
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.14740.146911-0.33%0.1394-5.43%0.0159✓0.94362k2022-01-22
BTCBitcoinBitcoin36,456.9436,335.18-0.33%35,066.43-3.81%0.0033✗1.00648.0M2022-01-22
KCSKuCoinnative16.80816.7512-0.34%15.129-9.99%0.0399✓1.5910.7M2022-01-22
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.7952.7851-0.35%2.567-8.16%0.0220✓1.531.1M2022-01-22
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000022260.000022181-0.36%0.00002053-7.77%0.0230✓1.401.7M2022-01-22
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1420570.141549-0.36%0.133158-6.26%0.0195✓1.076.7M2022-01-22
KSMKusamaHydration213.87213.0972-0.36%190.08-11.12%0.0684✓1.181.3M2022-01-22
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.4213.371-0.37%12.62-5.96%0.0310✓0.69813k2022-01-22
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1683.1562-0.37%2.804-11.49%0.0888✓0.76526k2022-01-22
CELLCellframeEthereum0.89130.887955-0.38%0.7106-20.27%0.1750✓1.23108k2022-01-22
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum24.1924.099-0.38%20.54-15.09%0.1093✓1.3034.9M2022-01-22
GTGateEthereum6.2436.2192-0.38%5.6708-9.17%0.0570✓0.914.3M2022-01-22
BFCBifrostEthereum0.167040.16636-0.41%0.15638-6.38%0.0024✓1.536,8492022-01-22
XEMNEMnative0.0970.096604-0.41%0.0944-2.68%0.0186✗1.0741k2022-01-22
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.53510.532631-0.46%0.5658+5.74%0.1096✗1.271.7M2022-01-22
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.53453.5167-0.50%3.6015+1.90%0.0246✗0.02371k2022-01-22
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.49.349-0.54%8.68-7.66%0.0459✓0.73800k2022-01-22
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.22773.2086-0.59%2.9642-8.16%0.0459✓0.862,2572022-01-22
GLMRMoonbeamBase8.6478.5947-0.61%7.392-14.51%0.1119✓1.001.7M2022-01-22
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.43211.4222-0.69%1.5039+5.01%0.0889✗0.851.4M2022-01-22
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos34.6434.3941-0.71%29.27-15.50%0.1235✓0.97104.1M2022-01-22
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.113.0871-0.74%2.7227-12.45%0.0869✓0.992.2M2022-01-22
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.3518.2384-1.35%6.424-23.08%0.2097✓1.01301k2022-01-22
API3Api3Ethereum4.654.5572-2.00%4.82+3.66%0.0728✗0.43471k2022-01-22
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.